XAUUSDG trade ideas
7/4: Trade Within the 3313–3346 RangeGood morning, everyone!
Yesterday’s intraday trades delivered solid profits. Since the U.S. market will be closed today, news-driven volatility is expected to be limited. Therefore, today’s trading focus will primarily revolve around technical setups.
Current structure:
Key support: 3321–3316
Immediate resistance: 3337–3342, followed by 3360
If support holds and resistance breaks, a potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern may form on the 4H chart, with the next target near 3380
If support breaks, focus shifts to the 3303–3289 support zone
Given the likelihood of range-bound price action today, the suggested intraday range is 3313–3346, with a preference for selling near resistance and buying near support.
If an upside breakout occurs, consider using the MA20 on the 30-minute chart as a guide for pullback entries.
NFP unexpectedly broke out, where will gold go?📰 News information：
1. Initial jobless claims and NFP data
2. The final decision of the Federal Reserve
📈 Technical Analysis：
The unexpectedly negative NFP data caused a sudden plunge in gold prices, which forced me to terminate the transaction urgently. Currently, gold has not fallen below the 3,300 mark. Therefore, I will still pay attention to the closing of the hourly line. If gold closes below 3,320, the downward trend will continue. On the contrary, if it closes above 3,320, gold will consolidate at a high level in the short term. Two days ago, I gave the support level of 3315-3305 below. Please be cautious in trading at the moment.
🎯 Trading Points：
For now, let’s focus on the hourly closing situation
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
SHORT XAUUSD IDEABullish NFP results
Bearish PA
Target 3295
Depending on 30 m PA if we close below prv candle, entry to previous long wick and retest the latest low
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 3✅ Fundamental Overview:
The U.S. ADP employment data released on Wednesday came in significantly below expectations, with only -33,000 new jobs added, far short of the market forecast of 100,000. This raised concerns about a potential slowdown in the U.S. labor market and strengthened expectations for Fed rate cuts later this year. As a result, gold prices rose by $18.2 during the session.
✅Today’s primary focus shifts to the U.S. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report. Market expectations are as follows:
🔹New jobs added: 110,000 (previous: 139,000)
🔹Unemployment rate: Expected to rise to 4.3%
🔹Average hourly earnings: Also closely watched for inflation implications
If the actual data falls significantly short of expectations, especially if job growth is below 100,000 or the unemployment rate exceeds 4.3%, this would likely reinforce rate cut expectations, driving gold to break above key resistance levels and extend its rally.
Conversely, if the data beats expectations, the market may scale back its rate-cut bets, supporting the U.S. dollar and putting downward pressure on gold prices. In this case, a pullback in gold should not be ruled out.
✅ Technical Analysis:
🔴Key Resistance Levels: 3358 is the major short-term resistance. A firm breakout and hold above this level could open the path toward the psychological barrier at 3400.
🟢Key Support Levels: 3320 serves as a critical short-term support. If it breaks, gold may test the $3300 level next, with further downside support at $3246.
✅ Trading Strategy Suggestions:
🔸 Aggressive Strategy (Pre-NFP Participation):
🔰If gold pulls back to the $3340–3345 range during the European session, consider small long positions. and look for targets at $3360–3380. If the NFP data is bullish for gold, there’s potential for a move toward $3400.
🔸 Conservative Strategy (Post-NFP Reaction):
Wait for the NFP data to be released and trade based on the market's immediate reaction:
🔰If gold breaks above $3358, consider buying the breakout, targeting $3400.
🔰If gold drops below $3320, short-term downside targets are $3300 and possibly lower.
✅ Key Factors to Watch in the NFP Report:
🟠Whether job creation is significantly below expectations (e.g., <100k)
🟠Whether the unemployment rate exceeds 4.3%
🟠The pace of wage growth and its impact on inflation expectations
✅If the data disappoints across the board, gold may extend the strength seen after the ADP report, breaking through $3370 and testing $3400. However, if the data comes in stronger than expected, be prepared for a potential pullback to $3300 or even lower.
🔥If your recent trading results haven’t been ideal, feel free to reach out. I’d be happy to help you avoid common pitfalls and improve your performance. I will provide real-time strategy updates during market hours based on price action — stay tuned🤝
XAUUSD:A long trading strategy
The highest gold price in the Asian session reached 3365.4, which is already our mid-line target range. If you have completed and left the market, congratulations, because I personally set the TP point of 3368, so it did not touch, the trend of the past two days is appropriate rewithdrawal after strengthening, the high is also gradually rising, the overall long trend has not changed. For today's data, the probability will make gold prices continue to rise, trading ideas or to do the main.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3347-51
TP:3365-70
This TP range is also the target range of the median trader, for friends who do not have automatic stop profit, you can take a profit manually at that time.
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Non-farm data is coming. Upward breakthrough?Information summary:
ADP data supports the rise of gold. Secondly, the weaker-than-expected non-farm data has triggered people's hope that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates earlier. The gold price hit the 3360 mark, then fell back slightly, and is currently fluctuating around 3350.
This Friday is the Independence Day holiday in the United States. The non-farm data will be released on Thursday. Today, we will focus on this data, which will trigger a new trend.
Market analysis:
From the 4-hour chart, gold is currently in a suppressed state. However, it is not ruled out that it will be supported at the bottom as before, and then break through the upper suppression position again with the help of non-farm data.
Therefore, the most critical position today is not above, but near the support of 3325 below. On Wednesday, the support near 3325 was tested many times but did not break down. If the price remains above this position today, the probability of an upward breakthrough is very high.
Based on the current market conditions and the data to be released soon, Quaid recommends that everyone wait and see for a while and wait for the new trend to come. Of course, according to the current forecast data, this will support the rise of gold. A radical approach can also try a long strategy around 3345.
TRENDLINE BREAKOUT [LONG]In this analysis we're focusing on 4H timeframe. As we know that price move impulse toward upside and break trendline, now I'm waiting for retracement. Once price reach my zone and give any type of bullish confirmation than we'll execute our trade. This is a higher time frame analysis and key levels. Let's analyze more deeply into smaller time frame and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD 4H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 2-3✅Gold price action for Wednesday is nearing its end. Looking back on today's performance, we successfully entered multiple long positions around the 3327–3330 support zone, all of which hit their profit targets.
✅Given the increased volatility in recent sessions and the fact that this week is NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) week with heavy fundamental releases, we maintained a cautious and disciplined approach to secure profits efficiently.
✅As many of you following my updates may have seen, I repeatedly emphasized not to chase long positions above the 3350 level, both Yesterday and Today. The market has since proven that chasing longs above 3350 carries higher risk. As anticipated, gold pulled back after testing that zone, and we took advantage of the retracement to enter longs at better prices, aligning with our ongoing strategy of "buying the dip in an uptrend" — resulting in yet another round of successful trades.
✅Technical Outlook (4H and Daily Timeframes):
🔶On the 4-hour chart, initial support is seen around 3324. If prices pull back and hold above this level, the bullish bias remains intact.
Key short-term support lies between 3314 and 3316, and a break below this area may lead to a test of the 3295–3301 zone, which serves as a crucial bull-bear dividing line.
🔶From a daily chart perspective, as long as gold remains firmly above the 3300 psychological support level, the broader structure remains bullish, and we continue to favor buying on dips.
✅Gold Trading Strategy:
🔰Buy zone: 3326–3333
⛔Stop-loss: Below 3319
🎯Take-profit targets: 3355–3363；If 3363 is broken, consider holding for further upside potential.
✅If your recent trading results haven’t been ideal, feel free to reach out. I’d be happy to help you avoid common pitfalls and improve your performance.
🔴I will provide real-time strategy updates during market hours based on price action — stay tuned.
The Power of Setting SL and TP: Secret to Mastering Your TradeThe Power of Setting SL and TP: The Secret to Mastering Your Trade
Hey there, traders! 👋 Let’s talk about something that can make a world of difference in your trading journey – Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP). These simple tools may look basic, but they are essential for every trader to stay consistent and profitable in the long run.
In today’s post, we’ll dive into the importance of setting SL and TP for each trade and how these two tools can change your trading game. Whether you’re new to trading or have been in the game for a while, understanding and applying SL and TP correctly is key to building a solid and profitable trading strategy. Let’s get started!
1. What Exactly Are SL and TP?
Stop Loss (SL):
A Stop Loss is the level where you decide to cut your losses if the market moves against your trade. It's your safety net, ensuring that your losses stay manageable. For example, if you’re trading XAU/USD at $1800 and don’t want to lose more than $50, you’d set your SL at $1750.
Take Profit (TP):
Take Profit is the level at which you’ll close your trade once the price reaches your desired profit. This helps you lock in profits automatically, without the temptation to stay in the market too long. For example, if you think gold will rise to $1850, you’d set your TP at that level to secure the profit.
2. Why Are SL and TP Crucial?
A. Eliminating Emotion from Your Trades
One of the hardest challenges in trading is keeping emotions out of the equation. Fear and greed can cause you to hold onto losing positions for too long or exit too soon. SL and TP automate your exits, allowing you to trade with a clear plan and reduce emotional decision-making.
B. Managing Risk Like a Pro
Risk management is the backbone of any successful trading strategy. SL limits your losses by setting a predefined level where your trade will automatically close. Without SLs, you could risk losing more than you intended, which can damage your trading account.
C. Securing Consistent Profits
TP helps you to capture profits at the right time. Without it, you might let your profits slip away as the market moves against you. A TP ensures you don’t miss out on locking in gains when the market reaches your target.
D. Building Consistency
By setting SL and TP, you create a consistent and structured approach to your trading. If you trade with a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, where you risk $1 to make $2, you can build long-term profitability, even if you lose some trades along the way. Consistency is the key to success in trading.
3. How to Set SL and TP Like a Pro
A. Start with Proper Analysis
Before entering any trade, always analyze the market context. Use technical analysis (like support and resistance levels, Fibonacci, and trendlines) to place your SL and TP at logical levels. For example, set your SL slightly below support for a buy trade, or slightly above resistance for a sell trade.
B. Risk-to-Reward Ratio
A good rule of thumb is to have a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio. This means if you risk $50 on a trade, you aim to make at least $100. This allows you to lose half of your trades but still come out ahead in the long run. Always set your TP in relation to your risk tolerance.
C. Use Indicators to Help
Use indicators like EMA, RSI, Fibonacci retracements, and pivot points to determine the best levels for your SL and TP. For example, if you see a strong bullish trend and are entering a buy position, placing your TP near the next Fibonacci extension level is a great strategy.
D. Keep Volatility in Mind
Market volatility plays a big role in where you place your SL and TP. In highly volatile markets, tight SL might get hit too early. Adjust your SL to reflect the market’s movement. Similarly, your TP should be flexible enough to account for volatility.
4. Benefits of Setting SL and TP
A. Reducing Emotional Trading
Emotional trading is the quickest way to lose money. SL and TP take emotion out of the equation, making trading more objective and disciplined. You know exactly when you’re getting in, and when to get out – no guessing!
B. Avoiding Overtrading
Without clear SL and TP levels, you might overtrade, holding positions for too long or exiting too early. This lack of structure leads to emotional decisions and bad habits. Having SL and TP in place ensures that you trade only when it makes sense.
C. Gaining Confidence
By setting clear SL and TP levels, you gain confidence in your trading strategy. You know that your risk is limited and your profits are protected. This allows you to trade with a calm mindset, focusing on quality trades instead of rushing into everything.
5. Conclusion
Setting SL and TP is one of the most important skills for any trader, whether you're new to the market or experienced. They help you manage risk, capture profits, and build a disciplined approach to trading. By incorporating SL and TP into your trading plan, you can protect your capital, lock in profits, and ensure consistent growth in your trading journey.
So remember, Plan your trade and trade your plan – and always set your SL and TP before entering any trade.
Happy Trading! Stay disciplined, stay profitable! 💰🚀
Gold short-term trading strategy updateGold short-term trading strategy update
I. Analysis of key price ranges
Bull market attack path (need to break through to confirm)
First resistance level: 3355~3360 (yesterday's high, pressure zone in Asian session)
Breakthrough signal: three consecutive K lines on the hourly chart stand above 3360, and trading volume increases
Second resistance level: 3375~3380 (golden ratio 0.618 + weekly Bollinger band middle track)
Final goal: 3400 integer mark (breakthrough will trigger algorithmic trading buy, accelerate to 3425/3450)
Bear market counterattack defense line (break through and reverse the trend)
First support level: 3315 (5-day moving average + 4-hour chart EMA55)
Key observation point: Can this position be maintained before the European session?
Life and death line: 3300~3295 (psychological barrier + opening price of this week)
Breakthrough target: 3275 (low point on June 28) → 3255~3245 (200-day moving average + weekly level support)
II. Intraday long and short tactical deployment
▶ Long strategy (defensive counterattack type)
Entry conditions:
Appearance near 3315: ① 15-minute chart Pinbar reversal pattern ② RSI bottom divergence (30-minute cycle)
Stop loss setting: 3308 (invalid before breaking through the previous low)
Target ladder:
3340 (Asian session high)
3355 (reduce position 50%)
3375 (stop loss to cost price)
▶ Short strategy (trend-following strategy)
Entry time:
Appearance in the 3355~3360 area: ① Shooting star/evening star ② 4-hour TD sequence selling structure
Or 3302 effective breakthrough and callback confirmation (5-minute chart closed below 3300)
Stop loss rules:
High stop loss 3378 (break through yesterday's high 1.5 times ATR)
Break through short-term stop loss 3318 (pullback after support turns into resistance)
Target space:
3275 (profit and loss ratio 1:3)
3255 (medium-term holding requires cooperation with non-agricultural data)
III. Institutional order flow monitoring
CME futures data:
There is a large option barrier above 3350 (25,000 call options expire)
There is an accumulation of algorithmic trading buying in the 3300~3315 range (high-frequency trading support level)
London fixing price reminder:
This morning's fixing price is 3326. If the afternoon fixing price is lower than 3310, bearish sentiment will increase
IV. Emergency Warning
Today's US ADP employment data
Expected: +185,000 |
Data>200,000: bearish for gold (quick test of 3300)
Data<150,000: positive for breaking through 3355
Geo-risk time window
Iran nuclear negotiation deadline
★ Final conclusion:
Asia-Europe session: 3315~3355 range operation (sell high and buy low)
US session: wait for ADP data to trigger a breakthrough, strictly stop loss of $3 (leverage accounts need to reduce positions to one-third)
Breakthrough formula:
"Break through 3355 and chase more, don't guess the top before 3400;
3300 is lost and then pulled back, consider catching the flying knife at 3255"
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our sell entry at 3343 -3346.77, an overlap resistance
Our take profit will be at 3322.08, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 3358.78 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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XAU/USD Retrace ideaRetrace of asain Session highs and lows are very possible,possible previous day high trend
XAU USD 2HR CHART ANALYSIS 🔎 XAUUSD (Gold Spot) 2H Chart Analysis:
✅ Price recently made a strong bullish rally up to the resistance zone between 3346–3368.
✅ A supply zone has been marked in this area, which is currently causing a bearish reaction.
✅ BOS (Break of Structure) and ChoCH (Change of Character) labels on the chart indicate that the overall market structure has been bearish, and price has now retraced to this supply area for a potential pullback.
✅ The trader appears to have taken a short position with a stop loss around 3368 and a target around 3259, giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3.
---
🔎 Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bearish Scenario (preferred):
If the supply zone at 3346–3368 holds and price rejects from there, the logical target could be the previous support near 3259, in line with market structure and bearish momentum.
✅ Bullish Scenario (invalidation):
If price breaks above 3368 with strength and confirms a candle close above, that would invalidate the supply zone, and the uptrend may resume toward higher levels around 3418 (previous highs).
---
🔎 Key Levels:
✔️ Resistance (Supply Zone): 3346–3368
✔️ Support (Demand Zone): 3259–3244
✔️ Market Structure: bearish, with a pullback into supply
✔️ Stop loss (for the short): above 3368
✔️ Target: around 3259
---
This analysis is not financial advice and does not constitute a trade recommendation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD - $4000+ in the 2020s I believe gold is real wealth.
You can hold in your hand, protect it and use it as you see fit.
Hold a stack of gold coins in your hand and see for yourself that there is nothing else quite like it.
There is also the metaphysical property of gold to attract more wealth, acknowledged in many cultures.
This has been true for me since I started accumulating physical gold.
So I am price agnostic about it.
I buy it and hold it because I like it.
I believe it is a unique way to store wealth energy in this world.
Looking at the chart, the days of buying physical gold at these sub $2000 prices may soon come to an end.
We have a huge cup, and a developed handle that is taking its time to break upwards.
The breakout was already rejected once. That will make the breakout all the more violent when it finally comes.
According to the minimum target of a cup and handle pattern, the gold price per oz will have a "4" handle before this decade is finished.
If you can, hold physical gold, in secret, well-guarded.
The fundamentals for a gold resurgence have been there for years now - fiat currency inflation and a scramble to store wealth.
Most people are still in a mindset of playing the trading game, or the interest - bearing game. Trying to beat the market and get something for nothing.
Those are net loss games now, and for the near future. There is a risk in holding your money in paper assets that few are talking about.
Those games will return when we create sound money again.
Good luck and enjoy!
XAUUSD POSSIBLE BUY OPPORTUNITY Price rebounded around the 3256.57 finding a support at that price level. From the H1 timeframe, a pull back to 3296.56 provides a buy opportunity. Keep watch on gold for a potential bullish move!
OVERALL BEARISH TREND ON GOLD FOR THE WEEK There is an overall bearish Trend on Gold, but the Price will retrace upwards to take out a level of inducement, which is the pullback after the break of the structure and also clear the liquidity at the previous high that was created last week on the high timeframe. So you can still get a retacement to buy on h1 to clear those levels/areas. Although the main trend is bearish
Gold set up playing wellExpecting price to retrace to the zone playing out well
Follow for more ideas
GOLD Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,281.18.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,396.94 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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xauusdGold enters support by reaching daily trend line
If gold continues to hold support
Gold is expected to reach its previous high again
Gold 1H: Potential Rejection or Continuation PlayGold (XAUUSD) Technical Outlook – 1H Timeframe
Price is currently reacting near 3275, with a potential scenario for either a bullish continuation toward the 3287–3290 zone or a rejection that could push the market back down toward the 3250–3245 support area.
Key levels to monitor:
🔹 Resistance: 3287–3290
🔹 Mid-support: 3270
🔹 Lower support: 3250–3245
I will wait for price confirmation around these levels before considering new entries.
