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XAUUSDG trade ideas

GOLD GOLD Key Drivers This Week Central Bank Buying: Ongoing strong demand from central banks, especially in emerging markets, continues to underpin gold’s rally. Geopolitical Uncertainty: Persistent global tensions and trade disputes are keeping safe-haven demand elevated. Interest Rate Outlook: Markets expect U.S. interest rates to remain steady or decline, which supports gold by reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. Market Volatility: High volatility in equity markets is driving investors toward gold as a defensive asset.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD on correction to 3315I'm holding my Buying order at 3279 which I mentioned why I took buy at 3278-80 area What possible scenario we have? Bullish scanario: Currently market Is in falling wedge channel and market Is on retest upper trend line which meets 3315-20 resistance area although my buy trae3s that 3315 in first round. Additionally : if market breaks the trend line and closed above the 3315-3320 then stay on bullish move upto 3360 target. Brearish Scenario: On the other hand, market shows 3270-3280 shows strong rejection area at this time ,if market directly fall to that area and gives closing below then we’ll enter on selling side and 1st target will be 3245 then 3230. Additionally: as currently I'm holding my buy and my tps are 3315. If market remains low candles closes below 3320 ,then we'll on selling side.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Forexmaestro121
XAUUSD - Gold trend reversed?!Gold is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly timeframe and is in the specified pattern. The continuation of gold's movement depends on the breakdown of one of the two established trend lines, and after a valid breakdown, we expect to reach the established targets. In recent weeks, gold prices have experienced significant volatility. This precious metal, long regarded as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic uncertainty, faced a decline in Monday’s trading session. The primary reason behind this drop was signs of easing trade tensions between the United States and China, leading to decreased demand for safe assets. This decline occurred while investors awaited clarity regarding ongoing trade negotiations between the two countries. Last week, media reports indicated that China exempted some American imports from 125% tariffs, signaling a reduction in bilateral tensions. In response, Donald Trump stated that trade talks were underway; however, this claim was rejected by China. Additionally, the U.S. Treasury Secretary announced that he was unaware of any active negotiations, further fueling market doubts. According to a recent Federal Reserve survey, participants cited the outflow of foreign capital from U.S. assets and a decline in the dollar’s value as potential new economic shocks. Some respondents believed that increased tariffs might only cause limited market disruptions. The survey indicated that despite market turmoil in April, prices remained elevated relative to fundamental indicators. Meanwhile, investors were closely awaiting key U.S. economic data set to be released over the coming week. While the previous week was relatively quiet in terms of economic indicators, market focus has shifted toward a series of critical U.S. employment reports. These include the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) on Tuesday, the ADP private-sector employment report on Wednesday, and weekly jobless claims on Thursday—all paving the way for the most crucial event of the week: the April Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, to be released Friday morning. Beyond these reports, several major events are scheduled in the economic calendar: Canada’s federal election on Monday, the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index on Tuesday, preliminary first-quarter GDP data, pending home sales figures, and the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy decision on Wednesday, followed by the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI on Thursday—all of which could impact market sentiment. On another front, the China Gold Association reported that gold consumption fell by 5.96% in the first quarter of 2025, reaching 290,492 tons. Although gold jewelry demand declined by 26.85%, investment-related gold demand surged by 29.81%, reflecting investors’ pursuit of safe assets amid economic and geopolitical uncertainty. Domestic gold production in China increased by 1.49%, and assets held in gold ETFs rose sharply by 327.73%, indicating heightened financial caution among Chinese consumers in 2025. A recent report from Goldman Sachs suggests that the downward trend of the U.S. dollar is far from over and that the currency remains significantly overvalued. Jan Hatzius, the bank’s chief economist, stated that despite the dollar’s recent 5% drop, it still stands roughly two standard deviations above its long-term real average since 1973. Historically, such levels have marked the beginning of multi-year correction cycles for the dollar. Similar patterns occurred during the mid-1980s and early 2000s when the U.S. dollar experienced declines of around 25% to 30% following such valuations. Based on this, Goldman Sachs expects a similar scenario to unfold in the coming years. One of the key structural factors fueling this anticipated correction is the portfolio composition of global investors. Specifically, non-U.S. investors hold about $22 trillion worth of assets in the United States, roughly one-third of their total portfolios.Half of these investments are unhedged against currency risk, which could lead to sharp fluctuations in the currency markets if investor sentiment shifts. Goldman Sachs analysts believe that even a modest reallocation of global capital away from U.S. assets could significantly lower the dollar’s value. Therefore, they view the dollar’s gradual yet sustained decline not as a temporary fluctuation, but as a long-term structural trend.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Ali_PSND
XAU/USD 28 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and Bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 April 2025. Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback. Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD Short Term Pullback is Possible (READ CAPTION)📢As Of April 22, 2025 Gold (XAU/USD) is Exhibiting Strong Bullish movement Having recently Reached a Record high Of 3431.70 per ounce. 📌Key Levels: ✅️Resistance: Immediate resistance is observed around $3452 A breakout above this level could pave the way toward $3,485 and potentially $3,500 in the near term. ✅️Support: Support is established near $3,392. A decline below this point may lead to a correction toward the $33,74 level. 📈Market Outlook: While the overall trend remains bullish, the overbought RSI suggests caution, as a short-term pullback is possible. So If it's decline below this point it will Drop to 3374-70 🚀Don't Forget to Support me With Your Precious Feedback 💗
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Elliana_Gold_Trader
2
Clear shot towards 3250Watch the weekly Episode multitime detailed analysis why we're heading to bearish cycle. What possible scenario we have? Bullish scanario: Currently market Is below the 3320 ,I'm expecting opening of market will rise Gold upto 3350-60 area which will be almost 400 pips. Additionally if market again surpass  3360-3370  then ready for the next new ATH above 3500. Bearish Scenario: On the other hand, 3360-70 multiple rejection resistance cluster, where we have to wait for the candle closing below for selling opportunity towards 3250 for intraday target.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Forexmaestro121
I Bought at $3,308.16, Gold Market Hey fam, I’m back with an update on my XAU/USD M30 chart from April 25, 2025, at 09:19 PM WAT. I bought at $3,308.16 just now, after closing my earlier short at $3,305.69, and I’m here to break down my new trade setup for you. I’ve been hunting gold all week, balancing my trades with my passions like curating scents at Icon Collections Store, and I’m excited to share this move. Let’s analyze my buy, see how it aligns with my checklist, and make this interactive—grab a smoothie from Tastequest.com and let’s dive in! At 09:19 PM WAT, gold was at $3,306.52 (sell price) on the M30 chart, but I bought at $3,308.16, likely anticipating a bounce after the recent spike. Let’s recap the context: I had a short position at $3,305.69, targeting $3,294.71, with a stop-loss at $3,306.57. Gold spiked to $3,306.52, just 5 pips from my stop-loss, testing the bearish order block at $3,306.21. I suspected a liquidity grab by smart money, hunting stop-losses above the order block before resuming the downtrend. However, the spike to $3,306.52 and the failure to break above the previous high at $3,306.98 prompted me to close my short and flip to a buy at $3,308.16, expecting a potential reversal or short-term bounce.Let’s run through my checklist to see how this buy fits my criteria, which I’ve fine-tuned over six months:Harmonic Patterns: No clear XABCD structure is visible, but the spike to $3,306.52 and failure to break $3,306.98 suggest a potential reversal. This aligns with my past use of harmonic patterns, like the bearish shark I identified earlier this week, but now I’m looking for a bullish setup.Market Structure: The broader trend is still bearish—lower highs and lower lows since $3,499.99 on April 22. However, the spike to $3,306.52 and rejection at the $3,306.21 order block could indicate a short-term bullish move, possibly a liquidity grab setting up a bounce.Order Blocks: The bearish order block at $3,306.21 was retested, but the failure to drop immediately suggests buyers might be stepping in. I’m now looking for a bullish order block below, potentially around $3,294.71, where buyers defended earlier.Volume Profile: Not visible, but I’d expect high volume at $3,306.21, with a Fair Value Gap below near $3,294.71. A spike in volume on this bounce would confirm buying pressure.Top-Down Analysis: H4 and H1 are bearish, but M30 shows this spike as a potential reversal setup. M15 would confirm with a green Heikin Ashi candle if buyers take control.Heikin Ashi: Not visible, but I’d expect a green candle on M15 to confirm my buy. The green candle at $3,306.52 shows buying pressure, supporting my decision.Fibonacci: From the high at $3,306.98 to the low at $3,294.71, the 61.8% retracement is near $3,302.21, and the 78.6% is around $3,304.21. My buy at $3,308.16 is above the 100% Fib, suggesting I’m catching a potential breakout above the order block.Gann Theory: The descending trendline points to a target near $3,294.71 for bears, but a break above $3,306.98 could target $3,312.10, the next resistance on the chart.MACD and RSI: Not shown, but I’d expect MACD to show increasing momentum on this bounce, and RSI might be moving above 50, indicating a shift from bearish to neutral momentum.Risk Management: My buy at $3,308.16, stop-loss below the recent low at $3,294.71 (1345 pips risk), and take-profit at $3,312.10 (394 pips reward) gives a 1:0.3 reward ratio—lower than my usual 1:3, but I’m playing a short-term bounce. I might adjust this as the trade develops.Confirmation: I wait for all pieces to align. The failure to break $3,306.98, the retest of $3,306.21, and likely green Heikin Ashi on M15 are my signals for this buy. Trade Assessment: My buy at $3,308.16 is a bold move, as the broader trend remains bearish, but I’m playing a short-term bounce after the liquidity grab at $3,306.21. The failure to break above $3,306.98 and the buying pressure at $3,306.52 support my decision, but my risk-reward ratio is tight. I’ve flipped positions before—like when I targeted 20 pips on a 15-minute XAU/USD chart earlier this year—so I’m comfortable with quick adjustments. I’m targeting $3,312.10, the next resistance, but I’ll watch for a break above $3,306.98 to confirm this move. If price drops below $3,294.71, I’ll exit and reassess for a bearish setup. My system’s rated a ten out of ten, but I need to improve my timing, as I’ve entered early before, like on April 23 when I sold at $3,310 instead of $3,315.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by godshieldufford
Gold (XAUUSD) - Bearish Breakout from Triangle PatternGold (XAUUSD) - Bearish Breakout from Triangle Pattern | BreakOut Technical Analysis: On the 1-hour timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating price consolidation and reduced volatility. Recently, price action confirmed a bearish breakout below the triangle's lower trendline, suggesting a shift in momentum to the downside. The measured move technique has been applied to project the downside target, which aligns with the 3,158.27 level. Entry: Break and retest below the triangle. Stop Loss: Above the triangle resistance (~3,270). Take Profit Target: 3,158.27 (based on pattern projection). Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup with clear invalidation. Fundamental Context: From a macroeconomic perspective, ongoing U.S. dollar strength, supported by robust economic data and potential Fed tightening, has added downward pressure on gold prices. Additionally, reduced geopolitical tensions have limited safe-haven demand, contributing to bearish sentiment in precious metals. Trend Outlook: The short-term trend is bearish following the breakout. Traders should monitor momentum and volume for confirmation of continuation. A failure to hold below the breakout zone could invalidate the setup.
VELOCITY:GOLDShort
by Mr_Kevin_Trading
XAU/USD 01 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed as per my analysis dated 24 April 2025 by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation. Internal structure is now established, however, I will continue to monitor price regarding depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,221.320 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK