A Golden Opportunity!Gold topped out around $3500 a few weeks ago and has corrected in a healthy pullback to our $3160 target for buying support. The uptrend line was again touched yesterday to be followed by strong buying support, this is a golden buying opportunity...the current wave 4 will be followed by a potentially strong upward thrust.
Wave 5's in metals are usually the strongest, based on the current pattern and first three wave move, our next target is $4000!
Position now, and the rewards are immense...a truly golden opportunity.
Appreciate a thumbs up, good trading and God Bless you all!
XAUUSDG trade ideas
How to arrange after gold falls into consolidation🗞News side:
1. US officials said Trump's statement was related to the Golden Dome Project, which may affect the flow of funds
2. The tension in the Middle East has intensified, and the risk aversion sentiment has increased, which is good for gold
3. Although the withdrawal of Indian and Pakistani troops has eased the regional situation, geopolitical risks still exist
4. Trump mentioned the tax bill, which affected economic expectations and affected gold investment sentiment to a certain extent.
📈Technical aspects:
At present, gold is in consolidation, and the upward trend is slightly stagnant. From the hourly chart, there are signs of downward correction after the upward test of 3320. In the short term, the upper 3320 line has a certain suppression, so gold may test the support again and then rise after stabilizing. Then the first support below is the 3292 line, followed by the 3285 line. If it falls below, it may test the two key support points of 3273 and 3265. The current trend is not clear. In the future trading, we will wait patiently for the gold price to stabilize before entering the market.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Lesson 14: Gold Trade Analysis trading off 4hr bullish candle 2 one hour candles kept getting rejected at $3,304 resistance level, we waited for this resistance level to be broken to indicate bullish momentum. We waited for price to correct back to resistance level of $3,304 and entered trade on continuation of bullish trend toward $3,313 price.
Gold's short-term trend lays the foundation for an upward trendAfter breaking through 3280, gold has now risen to a high of 3320, and the expected trend and strength have all been completed. There is no need to overemphasize the trend of gold. The direction is definitely bullish, and the transaction is definitely long. The key is at what point to go long and where to go high.
GOLD SELL SETUP The $3304:$3305 sell zone for gold could be attributed to several factors:
- *Resistance Level*: This price range might be acting as a resistance level, where gold prices face selling pressure or struggle to break through. Traders might be looking to sell at this level, anticipating a potential price drop.
- *Profit-Taking*: Investors might be selling gold at this price range to secure profits, especially after recent gains.
Gold Bounces Modestly from Trendline Support – But Is It Enough?Gold is holding just above rising trendline and 50-day SMA support (~$3,175), but the rebound has been tepid so far:
📉 Price action: Small-bodied candles reflect indecision
📊 RSI stuck near 50, suggesting a lack of directional momentum
📉 MACD still trending lower, though starting to flatten
📍Support:
Rising trendline and 50-day SMA: $3,175–$3,180
Below that: $3,100 (psychological + former resistance)
📍Resistance:
Initial resistance near $3,300
Heavier resistance back at $3,400+
⚠️ Big picture: The longer gold churns sideways near trendline support, the more vulnerable it becomes. Bulls need a strong move above $3,300 to reassert control.
-MW
GOLD/USD – 1H Technical OutlookGOLD/USD – 1H Technical Outlook
1️⃣ Market Structure
Gold has been ranging for several sessions after a sharp drop.
This sideways price action is occurring exactly around a former support zone that was broken and then reclaimed, indicating a classic fake out.
That move allowed price to sweep liquidity and tap into the Bull OTE zone, which triggered a strong reaction.
2️⃣ Key Zone
Precise reaction off the Bull OTE (61.8–78.6% retracement area)
Multiple FVGs (1H & 4H) have been filled
Clean re-entry above the former supply zone now turned support
3️⃣ Behavioral Read
Price action is showing signs of a structured recovery, with higher lows building up.
This current compression phase likely means Gold is loading up for another leg up.
A potential macro catalyst could provide the ignition.
4️⃣ Short-Term Expectation
🔜 Potential breakout of the 3,240 $ supply zone
🎯 Next upside targets: 3,290 $ → 3,325 $
GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3236.0
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3224.9
Safe Stop Loss - 3240.9
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAU/USD 20 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 15 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
While a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) has printed, I am exercising discretion and not marking it as such, given the shallow nature of the pullback.
Additionally, another bullish CHoCH has printed, with price now trading within a defined internal range. I will continue monitoring this closely, particularly in relation to the depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Sell Opportunity🔻 Gold (XAU/USD) Short Setup – Rejection from High-Volume Resistance Zone
Gold is showing signs of weakness after failing to hold above the 3,210–3,220 high-volume node. The 4H timeframe displays a clean rejection from the volume shelf with confirmation from Squeeze Momentum, offering a short trade opportunity toward the lower demand zone near 3,124.
📉 Entry: 3,210.87
🎯 Target: 3,123.89
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,254.20
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.01
📆 Expected Duration: 4–6 days
📌 Technical Highlights:
Volume Profile Resistance: Price rejected from a key HVN block, signaling exhaustion near institutional levels.
Bearish Price Action: Lower high structure with failed follow-through after breakout attempt.
SQZMOM Indicator: Fading green momentum suggests early bearish transition.
Clean downside path: Low-volume zones between 3,190–3,130 can accelerate the move to target.
Analysis of the latest gold trend on May 19:
Core logic analysis
Negative factors
The strengthening of the US dollar: the cooling of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations (the market is currently pricing in a 58 basis point rate cut by the end of the year, a significant reduction from April) suppresses the attractiveness of gold.
Risk appetite rebounds: The easing of Sino-US trade tensions weakens the demand for safe-haven assets, leading to long-term profit-taking.
Technical selling pressure: The weekly big negative line (a drop of nearly 4%) forms a short-term bearish trend, and we need to be vigilant about the risk of further correction.
Potential support
Long-term downward trend in real interest rates: If the Fed starts a rate cut cycle this year, gold will still have allocation value in the medium and long term.
Key technical support: There is long defense in the 3150-3140 area (daily line division and channel lower track), and if it stabilizes, it may trigger a rebound.
Key technical points
Upper resistance:
3210-3212 (anti-pressure point on Friday, May 16, which may confirm the short-term bottom after breaking through)
3230-3250 (strong resistance area, short orders can be considered when rebounding to this point).
Support below:
3170-3150 (core support area, if it falls below, it will look down to the previous low of 3120)
3140 (lower channel track, breaking may trigger an accelerated decline).
Operation strategy for next week
1. Trading in the shock range (high probability scenario)
Bull opportunity:
If it falls back to the 3150-3170 area and stabilizes (such as the K-line closes with a long lower shadow or the hourly chart diverges), go long with a light position, stop loss below 3140, and target 3210-3230.
Confirmation signal on the right: If the price stabilizes above 3212, you can follow up with a long order, with a target of 3250.
Short opportunity:
Rebound to 3230-3250 under pressure (if a stagflation pattern appears), go short, stop loss 3260, and target 3180-3150.
2. Breakthrough and follow-up strategy
Break above 3250: may start a new round of uptrend, follow up long orders when it falls back to 3230, target 3300.
Break below 3140: beware of deep correction, short at rebound 3160, target 3120-3100.
Risk warning
News disturbance:
If the speeches of Fed officials and US economic data (such as CPI and retail sales) strengthen the expectation of interest rate cuts, it may reverse the decline of gold.
The sudden escalation of the geopolitical situation (Russia-Ukraine conflict, etc.) will boost safe-haven buying.
Position management:
The current market is volatile, it is recommended to enter the market in batches with light positions and strictly stop losses (3-5 US dollars is appropriate).
Summary
Next week, gold is likely to fluctuate and bottom out in the range of 3150-3250, focusing on the gains and losses of 3150 support and 3212 breakthrough. Investors need to respond flexibly, avoid chasing ups and downs, and wait for key positions to be confirmed before trading in line with the trend. In the medium and long term, if the Fed's policy changes, gold still has upside potential, but it needs to digest technical selling pressure in the short term.
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. Not sure if anyone saw my last post but this is a follow up. I didn't take the push down, which I anticipated. But I marked the current area I would look to take a potential scalp trade. The NY open is in 20 minutes, and we will see volume come in to flush out existing trades. So I am gonna wait an hour to see how the market reacts. Big G gets a shout out. It is only Monday, so I am in no rush to force a trade. Patience is key.
Gold Alert: Short-Term Drop Ahead?🔴Trump’s Tariffs Eased, but U.S. Recession Risk Doubles!
Although President Trump has temporarily de-escalated trade tensions—helping U.S. stocks rebound—the risk of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months has doubled, according to a survey by the Philadelphia Fed, rising from 15.4% to 37%.
Experts warn that prolonged uncertainty from the trade war is making businesses and consumers more cautious, increasing the risks of slower growth and rising unemployment.
The U.S. GDP growth forecast for 2025 has been revised down to just 1.4%, the lowest in 16 years (excluding the pandemic). Meanwhile, public sentiment has slightly improved, thanks to signs of a temporary easing from the Trump administration.
⚠️ Gold price has recovered in the European session, returning to the old peak area, trading sideways around 3250. Bearish pressure continues to build. This is a signal traders need to watch closely.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
SELL XAU: zone 3248-3251 scalping
💰 TP: 50 - 100 - 200 pis
🚨 SL: 3254
5.19 Gold Market5.19 Gold Market
"The last AAA rating of the United States", "Israel launched a large-scale ground war in Gaza", "Russia-Ukraine negotiations broke down, Russia launched the largest air strike since 2022", "Iran made a strong statement that it would never stop uranium enrichment". There were continuous positive news over the weekend. This week's economic data was light, and only a few could affect the market. Investors need to continue to pay attention to relevant news about the international trade situation and geopolitical situation.
There are continuous positive news, and aggressive investors can go long today and make long-term investments. In the short term, the overall trend is still dominated by sideways fluctuations. Short-term investors must control their positions, strictly set stop losses, and do not resist single operations.
Today's strategy
BUY: 3220-3230
SL: 3210
TP: 3250
SELL: 3240-3235
SL: 3248
TP: 3213
Thank you for your attention, I hope my analysis can help you.
Correction at 3270-3280 Then Drop at 3130.XAUUSD H1& H40 Timeframe .
REASON: Market have due liquidity sweeps area at 3260-70 & CHOCH MultiRejected Resistance ). we have discussed in our weekly Episode.
- I will sell on top from 3270-3280 structural resistance area if i got confirmation of rejection and to long target at 3130.
Secondly below 3180 is also good point for sellers if its got invalidated at first stage and target will be 3130.
OPINION:Expecting the upside surprise and accumulate till NY session for distribution. Keep eye on Dxy for further confirmation.
XAUUSD (Gold) Bullish Trade setupXAUUSD (Gold) Technical Analysis
📉 Bearish Trendline Breakout & Retest: Price has broken above a descending trendline and successfully retested it as support, signaling a potential trend reversal.
AB=CD Pattern: A harmonic AB=CD pattern is in play, supporting the bullish continuation scenario.
Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap): Gold has taken support from a Bullish Fair Value Gap, indicating strong demand in that zone.
Wyckoff Upthrust Move: A Wyckoff Upthrust has played out, suggesting a possible spring and absorption of selling pressure.
Trend-Based Fibonacci Projection: The next major Fib extension level (100%) is at 3285, providing a key upside target.
Trade Setup
📈 Buy @ CMP: 3203
🛡 SL: 3152
🎯 TP1: 3235
🎯 TP2: 3285
⚠️ Risk Management is the Key to success 🔐
XAU/USD 16 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 15 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
While a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) has printed, I am exercising discretion and not marking it as such, given the shallow nature of the pullback.
Additionally, another bullish CHoCH has printed, with price now trading within a defined internal range. I will continue monitoring this closely, particularly in relation to the depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD remains bearish unless it breaks 3265🗞News side:
1. India considers using new Indus River project to cut water supply to Pakistan.
2. Pay attention to the news of Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations today
📈Technical aspects:
Today's opening correction is due to technical repair and adjustment, which is why I shorted. The support of 3200-3210 is of great significance to the short-term trend. If it can be supported here again, it may further promote the upward expansion space. However, after the rebound in the morning Asian session, it did not break through the 3265 line. On the contrary, the bulls began to weaken. Today is Friday, and the market is not expected to show a unilateral strong attitude. It will be treated as a shock during the day. Before breaking through 3265 above, we can short at a small level during the intraday rebound. Short-term operation suggestions, temporarily look at 3235-3240 on the upper side, and look at the support of 3210-3200 on the lower side.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
xauusd 1hThe chart you’ve shared is a technical analysis of the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements shown:
1. Downtrend Break:
A red trendline indicates a previous downtrend that has recently been broken to the upside, suggesting a potential reversal.
2. Buy Zone:
The chart labels a "buy zone" around the area where price has pulled back to retest the broken trendline—this is a common entry point for traders anticipating a bounce.
3. Levels & Target:
Level 1: Around 3,240
Level 2: Around 3,280
Target Successful: Around 3,330+
These are likely resistance levels or profit-taking points
Gold Bulls Reloading from 3239 | Break-and-Retest Long SetupGold (XAUUSD) is still riding a solid bullish wave after yesterday's strong move. The price surged sharply and is now setting up a classic break-and-retest pattern around the 3239 demand zone on the 30-minute chart.
After hitting a local peak, the price pulled back to the previous breakout level, creating a potential re-entry point for buyers. This movement fits well with the intraday structure and momentum, making it a high-probability continuation setup.
As long as the 3231 support level holds, the bullish outlook stays intact. The rejection wick from this area shows early signs of buyer interest, and a small bullish candle confirmation from here could spark another upward move.
🔹 Trade Plan:
Entry: 3239 (retest of broken structure)
Stop Loss: 3231 (below rejection wick & minor support)
Take Profits:
TP1: 3248 – minor resistance
TP2: 3255 – price imbalance fill
TP3: 3264 – extended target / top liquidity zone