As shown in the figure: 30-minute cycle chartAs shown in the figure: 30-minute cycle chart
This week, the gold price broke through the head and shoulders bottom pattern and stopped at around $3,400
Following the sharp drop last Friday, the gold price trend showed a wide range of fluctuations, superimposed on the M chart resonance downward.
It is expected that the gold price will continue to fall on Monday.
1: On Monday this week, the gold price effectively broke through the blue macro triangle oscillation and went out of a new wave of pull-ups, but it was not until the highest point on Thursday that it effectively stood above the $3,400 mark. The downward trend after the release of non-agricultural data on Friday shows that the recent gold price is purely driven by policy and news.
2: The gold price has currently fallen below the central oscillation range of 3,340, and continues to fall and stop loss above 3,300. From this we draw the following conclusions:
A: As long as the gold price is below $3,340, the gold trading strategy should try to adopt a high-level short-selling strategy, with a stop loss set at 3,345-3,350.
B: 3,300-3,310 is the current effective support area. After fully testing the stability of the support level, you can consider trying to chase the short after the rebound high.
C: Key support level: 3200-3220-3250-3270-3300
D: Key pressure level: 3400-3340
Expected target for gold price decline on Monday: 3275-3250
XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAUUSD BATTLE PLAN — 16 JUNE 2025GoldFxMinds — Sniper Liquidity Execution
👋 Hello traders — we’re entering a highly tactical week where liquidity rotation dominates both sides of the board. This is no longer trend-following — this is liquidity chess.
🔎 Market Narrative
Gold remains structurally bullish after a clean sequence of higher lows: 3120 → 3246 → 3448.
Last week’s sweep above 3447 cleared weak hands, activated premium liquidity traps, and left price fully positioned inside extended premium expansion. Smart money continues rotating liquidity aggressively as markets prepare for this week’s heavy catalysts.
With FOMC, Powell’s press conference, Fed projections, and Middle East tensions all unfolding, institutional positioning is building quietly beneath surface price moves.
For us, this is not a moment to guess or force trades — this is the phase where patience and structure offer the only real edge.
🎯 GoldFxMinds Bias for 16 June 2025
🔼 Short-term:
Price remains inside premium expansion, with open liquidity layers above 3450 → 3480 → 3505 still uncollected. We allow price to finish hunting late buyers before considering any premium exhaustion reactions. No blind shorting inside premium unless exhaustion signals confirm.
🔽 Medium-term positioning:
Controlled pullbacks into 3368 and deeper recalibration zones offer the cleanest tactical long opportunities, aligned with higher timeframe bullish structure for potential future premium expansions.
❌ No aggressive directional conviction intraday:
The current structure demands discipline, patience, and reactive execution — not early bias.
🔼 Premium Supply Zones (Sniper Calibrated)
Price Zone Explanation
3450 – 3462 🔸 Premium inducement zone — early liquidity pocket where price may react mildly before sweeping deeper premium levels.
3480 – 3495 🔸 Liquidity collection extension — gap zone drawing in late buyers and liquidity build-up above recent highs.
3505 – 3515 🔸 Premium exhaustion — final sweep level for late liquidity grabs before potential higher timeframe recalibrations.
🔽 Demand Defense Zones (Sniper Calibrated)
Price Zone Explanation
3410 – 3400 🔸 Micro pullback — short-term liquidity refill zone valid for scalps, not for strong swing positioning.
3368 – 3352 🔸 Tactical bullish recalibration — strong HTF OB + FVG combo, valid for tactical swing positioning with structure confirmation.
3308 – 3292 🔸 Institutional re-accumulation base — deeper liquidity recalibration where larger players likely step in for new expansions.
🎯 Execution Flow & Tactical Outlook
We let liquidity fully expose itself before positioning:
Above 3450: Expect continued liquidity sweeps. Monitor sharp reactions above 3480 for exhaustion setups — only trade short-side if clear rejection signals emerge.
Into pullbacks: Minor dips toward 3410 offer quick reactive scalps only. The real positioning opportunities open inside 3368 and deeper zones, where recalibration offers cleaner entries aligned with HTF bullish structure.
Discipline is key: No chasing. No prediction. Only reaction to clean liquidity behavior.
🧠 Trader’s Mindset for This Week
We're facing one of the heaviest institutional risk weeks:
🏛 FOMC Interest Rate Decision → Major market-moving catalyst.
🏛 Powell’s Press Conference → Immediate tone-shifting potential.
📊 Fed Projections → Will influence short-term USD positioning.
📊 Retail Sales & Housing Data → Potential intraday volatility triggers.
🌍 Middle East Tensions → Underlying risk bid remains supportive for gold.
Each event is fuel for liquidity displacement. We don't react emotionally — we position where liquidity delivers.
🚀 If this battle plan helps you stay fully locked — drop a 🚀, share your views, and follow GoldFxMinds for sniper liquidity updates throughout the week.
Stay sharp — liquidity always moves first.
— GoldFxMinds
Gold price is sure to make ATH in the new weekGold confirms a long-term uptrend. The ATH 3500 zone is likely to have a reaction before 3490.
Any pullback in Gold next week is still considered a good opportunity to Buy Gold. And the bullish price gap is likely to continue on Monday.
3495 and 3345 are accumulated with many people waiting to Buy there, setting up a Buy signal with SL 10 price at the weekly support and resistance zones.
The possibility of breaking ATH next week is very high
Support 3393-3345
Resistance 3490
Gold Surges Amid Middle East TensionsGold surged more than 1% to exceed $3,440, approaching record levels amid a sharp rise in safe-haven demand. The gains came after Israel's strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, fueling concerns over a wider regional conflict. Uncertainty surrounding potential US tariffs added to market jitters. Additionally, softer US inflation data increased expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, enhancing gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset.
Resistance is seen at $3,430, while support holds at $3,350.
Spot gold is expected to test the $3,450 resistance levelSpot gold continued to rise in the Asian session on Friday (June 13), reaching a high of $3,443.18 per ounce, an increase of about 1.57%.
Reuters technical analysts pointed out that spot gold is expected to test the resistance level of $3,450 per ounce, breaking through which it may rise to the range of $3,473 to $3,488.
The c wave that opened at $3,294 briefly broke through the 86.4% forecast level of $3,429. Currently, the wave is moving towards the 100% forecast level of $3,450. The current rise is classified as a continuation of the previous upward trend that started at $3,245.
The support level is at $3,413, and a break below this level may cause gold prices to fall to the range of $3,372 to $3,391. The daily chart shows that gold prices are expected to return to the high of $3,500 on April 22.
Depending on how deep the decline is from this high, gold prices could eventually rise to $3,800.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLDQ2025 OANDA:XAUUSD
XAU/USD 12 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Potential Bullish Breakout OpportunityGold seems to exhibit signs of overall potential Bullish momentum if the price action forms a prominent Higher High with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : 3.403
Stop Loss : 3328
TP 1 : 3478
gold on short buy#XAUUSD price have been multiple retesting and continuation on bullish, now we expect price to hit 3362-3364 for bearish.
Buy limit at 3342.5, SL 3335, TP 3362-3364.
Above 3349 holds bullish range also.
Above the rectangle 3362-3364 holds bearish reversal.
If H1 closes below 3332 then bearish is active also
GOLD PAY ATTENTION TO BULISHXAUUSD (Gold) Technical Signal ⚠️ | Price action is forming a classic bull flag pattern, showing consolidation after a strong upward move. The flag is starting to 'blush' — early signs of momentum building for a potential breakout. If price breaks above the upper trendline with volume confirmation, we could see a continuation toward higher resistance levels. Traders, keep a close eye – gold may be preparing for its next leg up. #XAUUSD #GoldSignal #BullFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #GoldBreakout #PriceAction"
XAU/USD 11 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD.market target 3370 entry point 3340stop loss 3330Let's break it down:
- Entry Point: 3340
- Target: 3370 (30-point gain)
- Stop Loss: 3330 (10-point risk)
You're expecting XAUUSD (Gold) to rise from 3340 to 3370. Potential reward: 30 points
Potential risk: 10 points
Risk-reward ratio looks favorable! Let's see how it unfolds!
XAU/USD 10 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Bulls Are Back? Major Demand Zone Holding Strong!Demand Zone Rejection Confirmed (3,297.18 – 3,307.00)
Price recently tapped into a key demand zone (highlighted in orange), and we saw a strong bullish rejection. Buyers stepped in aggressively after a fakeout below 3,297, indicating possible accumulation.
📉 This area has acted as a historical support, and bulls are clearly defending it again.
---
🟦 Supply Zone in Focus (3,375.00 – 3,390.00)
If this momentum continues, I'm eyeing the next major resistance/supply zone up near 3,380–3,390. This is where price sharply sold off previously, so I’ll be watching closely for reaction or breakout.
---
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
🟢 Support: 3,297.18 (Strong demand)
🔵 Resistance: 3,356.03, 3,380.00
📍 Current Price: 3,329.26
---
📅 Upcoming Events:
⚡️ Volatility alert approaching — watch out for market-moving U.S. news.
---
✅ Trade Idea:
If bullish momentum holds above 3,310 and confirms support, I’ll look for long entries targeting the supply zone.
Stop below 3,297 | TP near 3,375–3,390
---
💬 What do you think? Will gold break through the supply zone or reject again?
Drop your thoughts or setups below! 👇👇
🔔 Follow for more real-time chart breakdowns.
#XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #SupplyDemand #SmartMoney #Forex #TradingView
Gold to the top📊Technical Analysis for:
🕒 Timeframe:
📈 General Trend:
🔍 Analysis Summary:
We are currently observing a rebound from the 3390 - 3400 levels.
• Major Support Level:
• Resistance Level:
• Technical Indicators: We note that this correction is due to divergence.
🎯 Suggested Entry and Exit Points:
✅ Entry: On a breakout/rebound from
⛔ Stop Loss:
🎯 Targets:
• First Target:
• Second Target:
📌 Recommendation:
– It is recommended to wait for confirmation of the technical signal before making a decision.
🛑 Disclaimer:
This analysis is not considered financial advice or a direct buy or sell recommendation. Do your own research and carefully consider risk management before making any decisions.
📥 Do you agree with this analysis? Share your opinion in the comments!
🔁 Follow me for daily analysis.
XAUUSD (gold)My views on gold are pretty simple.
Overall gold price action is bullish so buys/longs will be my primary focus.
Indicated with the red circles (liquidity) has been grabbed by price then price rejected the demand zone indicatoing strong bullish momentum kicking in, price currently has had ChoCh (change of character) on lower timeframe (M30, M15) and now I'm actively in the entry looking for longs.
Good luck!
XAUUSD Sell Setup Analysis (June 9)**## 🟣 **XAUUSD Sell Setup Analysis (June 9)**
### 🔹 **Entry Zone:** 3320–3323
Price is entering a short-term **supply zone** or resistance band — potentially a previous H1/H4 reaction point.
---
### ✅ **Reasons for the Sell:**
1. **Resistance Retest (H1/H4)**
* 3320–3323 acted as support-turned-resistance earlier.
* Price bounced off this area previously → now offering a clean retest zone.
2. **Wick Rejection / Exhaustion Signs**
* On lower timeframes (M15–M30), price shows wicks and slowing bullish candles near 3320, suggesting weakness.
3. **Bearish Divergence Potential**
* Possible divergence on RSI or MACD if price spikes above 3320 while momentum slows.
4. **Short-Term Overbought Conditions**
* Following a rally into 3323, price may correct downward to clear liquidity below.
---
### 🎯 **Target Zones (TPs):**
| TP | Level | Logic |
| ------- | ----- | --------------------------------------------- |
| **TP1** | 3317 | Minor intraday low / structure break zone |
| **TP2** | 3312 | Pre-breakout base from earlier H1 candles |
| **TP3** | 3305 | Key demand zone — possible reaction area |
| **TP4** | 3299 | Stronger support, possible daily bounce level |
---
### ❌ **STOP LOSS: 3328**
This is a solid SL zone:
* Just above the local highs and outside most false breakouts
* Keeps your R\:R clean (1:2 to 1:4 range depending on TP)
---
### 📊 **Summary:**
| Element | Value |
| -------------- | ----------- |
| Direction | **Sell** 📉 |
| Entry Zone | 3320–3323 |
| Stop Loss | 3328 |
| TP1 | 3317 |
| TP2 | 3312 |
| TP3 | 3305 |
| TP4 | 3299 |
| R\:R Potential | Up to 1:4 |
---
XAU / USD 4 HOur ChartHello traders. Welcome to a new trading week. I have marked my current area of interest on the chart. That area of interest is also what I am waiting for a break out from . I can see both scalp buy and sell potential trade set ups. Patience is key. Let's see how the overnight sessions play out. Be well and trade the trend. Big G gets all my thanks.
XAU/USD 09-13 June 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025.
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line.
The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as Analysis dated 11 May 2025.
Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH.
This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments.
Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart: