Excellent opportunities on GoldAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have engaged #4 Scalp orders throughout yesterday's session (all in Profit) and will continue to do so however on the other side (Buying) from my key entry points. Keep in mind that overall trend remains Bullish and Trade accordingly."
As I expected upside extension as per above, I have waited for #3,352.80 - #3,357.80 my local Top's for the sequence and started aggressively Selling Gold from #3,348.80 first, then #3,352.80 #4 aggressive Selling Scalps and #3,357.80 final two Scalps which I held all the way towards #3,345.80 Support for the fractal (cca #130k Profits Intra-day).
My position: Since #3,337.80 was neckline for upside Bull structure, I was aware if it gets invalidated to the downside, it will open doors for #3,327.80 extension (which held twice throughout late U.S. and Asian session). I don't expect much Selling action today however Bulls need another Fundamental push to invalidate wall of Resistances at #3,340's and #3,350's. I will continue Scalping as opportunity arise / no Swing orders.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold W PatternActually 50-50 there is potential for prices to go up or down, but by chance it is safer for us to take a buy because of the w pattern, so here I took a buy, for conservative entry wait for a breakout, but if later it looks like a fake breakout has broken out upwards but goes back down then we will stop and reverse to take a sell.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Break : 3305
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
BullsSince hitting 3360+ Gold has formed a channel(flag) on which it has been declining on. Main goal is the 71 -79 retracement region before we get back to buys towards new all time highs.
Currently we at the lower end of the channel giving a buy opportunity towards the 1hr FVG @3325-3330 where we will also look for more sells and target 3280 -3274 (the 71 -79 retracement region).
NB don't force the market and watchout for major news
Gold price collapses! Analysis of gold price trend!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Wednesday (July 9), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,302 per ounce. Investors are optimistic about the trade agreement between the United States and its trading partners, while the strengthening of the US dollar and the rise in US bond yields have further increased the downward pressure on international gold. The global trade uncertainty and geopolitical factors caused by Trump's tariff policy continue to strengthen the safe-haven appeal of gold. The central bank's gold purchases and the "transfer" of investment funds have pushed up the London gold price by 26% so far this year, and it once hit a record high of $3,500 per ounce in April. Although gold outperformed most major asset classes in the first half of this year, it is not easy to continue to set new highs in the second half of the year.The short-term trend of international gold prices depends more on US macroeconomic data and trade policy trends. The substantial expansion of the scale of participating funds may also amplify market fluctuations. In addition, emerging market central banks still have room for continued buying. The expectation of global monetary system reconstruction and geopolitical risks still constitute long-term benefits, but periodic profit-taking and the strengthening of the US dollar may put selling pressure on gold prices. Traders should pay close attention to the Fed's June meeting minutes, official speeches, and the latest developments in trade negotiations to determine the future trend of gold prices.
Technical Review:
Spot gold fell after fluctuating upward on Tuesday. After the US market, it continued to fall and hit a recent low. In the hourly trend, the short-term moving average began to gradually diverge downward, and the K-line began to slowly bear the pressure. The short-term moving average maintained a weaker operation, tending to have some adjustments in the short-term trend. The key point is the gains and losses above 3300! From the 4-hour gold chart, the gold price fell from a high level and then stabilized around 3287. Although the support effect of this position is good, the price has been in a volatile trend in recent times. Therefore, we can continue to pay attention to the rise and fall of the 3285-3350 range. The breakthrough direction of the oscillation range is a reference signal for the short-term direction of the market. Gold has two rounds of downward breakthroughs through the 3300 mark this week. The New York closing price has to break 3300 before bottoming out and rebounding. The daily structure maintained a high and wide fluctuation, and then lost the MA10 daily moving average again. The RSI indicator was running below the central axis. The Bollinger Bands of the four-hour chart and the hourly chart opened downward, the moving average dead cross opened downward, and the RSI indicator ran below the central axis. Gold tended to run in a selling structure. The main idea of today's trading is to sell at a high price on the rebound, and to buy at a low price as an auxiliary.
Today's analysis:
Last night, gold fell sharply. The current market has fallen below the low point of the day before, and has gone out of the pattern of continued decline. Yesterday, we have already let everyone sell. There is no problem with our thinking. Then today is the same. Gold is still in a weak situation. After the price fell yesterday, it started a continuous rebound in the second half of the night, but the amplitude and strength of the rebound were not large. It is obvious that the pressure from above is still strong. We will continue to sell after waiting for the rebound during the day! Gold has been falling for 1 hour, constantly refreshing the new lows of the past two days, and the 1-hour moving average of gold continues to sell downward and diverge. The selling force of gold is strong, and there is still downward momentum. The resistance of the gold moving average has now moved down to around 3317, and gold fell to 3320 yesterday and then rebounded slightly and directly fell below 3320. Then 3320 has become the key position of gold in the short term. Gold continues to sell at highs under pressure at 3320 during the day.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3283-3286 buy, stop loss 3274, target 3310-3330;
Short-term gold 3320-3323, sell, stop loss 3332, target 3290-3270;
Key points:
First support level: 3288, second support level: 3274, third support level: 3250
First resistance level: 3310, second resistance level: 3318, third resistance level: 3330
Gold Price Analysis - 4-Hour Chart4-hour candlestick chart for the Gold Spot price in U.S. Dollars (XAUUSD), sourced from OANDA. The chart displays the price movement over time, with green candles indicating an increase in price and red candles indicating a decrease. The chart also features various technical indicators and annotations, including a trend line and a support level.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar. The current price is $3,805.780, reflecting a decrease of $30.660 (-0.92%). Key levels include a sell price of $3,305.390 and a buy price of $3,305.940. The chart highlights recent volatility with a shaded area indicating a potential support or resistance zone around $3,344.320. The time frame spans from late June to early July 2025, with the latest data point at 02:41:15 on July 8, 2025.
XAU/USD – Watching Fibonacci Retracement Levels for Potential LoAfter a strong bullish impulse from the 3,297 zone to the 3,347 high, gold is currently undergoing a technical pullback.
🔍 **Key Levels to Watch:**
* 📉 38.2% Fib: **3,327**
* ⚖️ 50% Fib: **3,321** (Current area of interest)
* 🛡️ 61.8% Fib: **3,315** – strong potential support zone
The price is now testing the 50% level. If bullish confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing or breakout candle) appears around the **3,321–3,315** zone, this may present a **high-probability long opportunity**.
🎯 **Trade Idea:**
* **Entry Zone:** 3,321 – 3,315
* **Stop Loss:** Below 3,312
* **Target 1:** Retest of 3,347
* **Target 2:** Extension toward 3,355
⚠️ **Invalidation:** A clear break below 3,312 could open the door for deeper retracement toward the 78.6% level at 3,306.
XAU/USD 08 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Hello traders,
Today we're taking advantage of a great buying opportunity on the XAUUSD pair. This setup is ideal for both medium- and long-term positions. I anticipate that the price will rise toward the 3392.82 USD level in the coming weeks.
That’s why I’ve positioned this trade as a medium-term opportunity.
Demand Zones | Break of Structure | Targeting Liquidity Above
✅ Bullish Structure:
Price is forming higher lows, confirming a bullish internal structure after sweeping the lower demand zone.
🟦 Key Demand Zones:
First Demand Zone: 3,320 – 3,330 (short-term mitigation zone)
Second Demand Zone: 3,260 – 3,280 (HTF imbalance + liquidity sweep)
📌 Internal Break of Structure (iBOS):
Recent bullish reaction from 3,260 demand created an iBOS above minor highs.
Signals accumulation and smart money re-entry.
🔵 Target:
3,447.97 – buy-side liquidity resting above swing highs.
---
🎯 Trade Setup:
Buy Entry (Confirmed): 3,325–3,330
Stop Loss: 3,315
Take Profit: 3,447
Report - 7 jully, 2025China’s Export Rerouting: A Strategic Response to US Tariffs
China has aggressively shifted its export strategy to circumvent the steep tariff wall erected by President Trump as part of his ongoing trade war. Recent data from the US Census Bureau shows that Chinese exports directly to the US dropped by 43% year-on-year in May, equivalent to a $15 billion decline.
However, China’s overall exports still rose by 4.8% in the same period, indicating successful reallocation of trade flows. This was achieved through a 15% increase in exports to the ASEAN bloc and a 12% increase to the EU. By rerouting products through Southeast Asia, China is effectively sidestepping US tariffs, echoing tactics seen during the initial phase of the US-China trade war under Trump's first term.
Southeast Asia as a Transshipment Hub
Vietnam and Indonesia have emerged as key transit hubs. According to Capital Economics, an estimated $3.4 billion worth of Chinese goods were rerouted via Vietnam in May — a 30% increase from the previous year. Indirect trade through Indonesia also rose sharply to $800 million, up 25% year-on-year.
Chinese exports of electronic components to Vietnam surged, including printed circuits, telephone set parts, and display modules, which alone rose by $2.6 billion, or 54% compared to May 2024. This strategic pivot underlines China’s adaptability and Southeast Asia's growing role in global supply chain realignments.
US Policy Response and Warnings
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has warned that unless trade partners finalize deals with Washington, tariffs will "boomerang" back to their steep April levels starting August 1. The 90-day tariff pause, which initially calmed markets, is set to end imminently.
So far, Trump has secured only three trade agreements — with the UK, China, and Vietnam. Vietnam’s deal notably includes a punitive 40% levy on goods transshipped through its territory, specifically targeting Chinese re-exports. This demonstrates the US administration's determination to close loopholes and deter indirect circumvention of tariffs.
Implications for Trade Partners and Global Markets
Other major US trading partners, including the EU, Japan, and South Korea, remain in limbo, facing potential tariff hikes. The uncertainty has reintroduced volatility into trade-dependent markets. US officials anticipate a flurry of last-minute negotiations, but the threat of broad tariff reimposition looms large.
Trump’s approach, characterized by abrupt policy swings and negotiation brinkmanship, has already forced US allies and adversaries alike to reconsider supply chain configurations. The potential return of high tariffs risks reigniting concerns over inflation and global growth that initially triggered financial market sell-offs earlier in the year.
Financial Market Dynamics
Trump’s tariff pause had stabilized US equities and bond markets after an initial sharp downturn. However, the risk of renewed tariffs could reverse these gains, particularly if trade tensions escalate further. Investors are watching closely for any last-minute deals that might avert additional supply chain disruptions and support risk sentiment.
Meanwhile, China’s ability to maintain overall export growth despite US measures signals resilience and reinforces the importance of diversified trade relationships. For global investors, this suggests continued strength in ASEAN manufacturing and logistics sectors, as well as ongoing demand for regional infrastructure development to handle redirected trade flows.
Broader Geopolitical and Strategic Context
The rerouting highlights China’s tactical approach to trade pressure while deepening its economic ties with neighboring Southeast Asian nations. This strategy aligns with Beijing’s broader goal of strengthening its influence in ASEAN and hedging against Western economic decoupling efforts.
In parallel, the US is doubling down on "economic nationalism," threatening high tariffs unless trade partners make concessions. This could push more countries toward regional trade alliances, bypassing direct US channels and potentially undermining American market leverage over time.
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 7 July 2025Welcome to the new week traders
as we have FOMC meeting minutes report due this week so firs market is fell down from 3350 Psychological level now is testing 3300 psychological level
all eyes on breakout of 3300 level for now if market breaks 3300 level then it will move towards 3280 then 3350
only clear breakout of 3335 will clear path for towards 3368 level
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
GOLD CONFIRM TRADE🔍 Chart Analysis Summary:
Current Price: ~3,336
Key Resistance (Supply Zone): 3,340 – 3,353
Major Resistance Above: 3,388 – 3,395
Key Support (Demand Zone): 3,320 – 3,330
Major Support Below: 3,294 – 3,305
⚔️ Trade Setup Ideas:
📉 Sell Setup (High Probability Intraday Short)
Scenario: Price is near the lower supply zone (3,340–3,353), showing rejection.
Entry: 3,340 – 3,345 (on bearish candle confirmation or rejection wick)
Stop Loss: Above 3,353 (zone high or recent swing high)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3,330 (first minor support)
TP2: 3,320 (demand zone)
TP3: 3,295 (major support)
📌 Confirmation Tips:
Look for bearish engulfing / rejection candles
RSI divergence or weakness
Break of 3,330 support confirms continuation
📈 Buy Setup (If Price Drops to Demand)
Scenario: Price drops back into demand zone 3,320–3,330 with bullish reaction.
Entry: 3,322 – 3,328 (bullish wick or engulfing candle)
Stop Loss: Below 3,320
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3,340
TP2: 3,353 (supply)
TP3: 3,388 (major resistance)
📌 Confirmation Tips:
Bullish price action near 3,322 zone
Momentum buildup from demand
Use M15/M30 for refined entry
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 2-Hour Chart2-hour chart from OANDA displays the recent price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar. The current price is $3,336.615, up by $10.585 (+0.32%). The chart highlights a recent upward trend with a buy signal at $3,336.970 and a sell signal at $3,336.260. Key price levels include a resistance zone around $3,364.828 and a support zone near $3,309.957, with the price showing a potential breakout above the recent consolidation range.
What’s likely to happen next on Gold after the NFP crashed pricePrice was trading bullish above the 200EMA until the NFP report that unfortunately crashed price by -1.4% and price hasn’t been able to fill in the FVG caused by the news report. Going to the new week, traders are concerned about what’s next to happen. Are we likely to see bullish price action continuing or we are going to see a complete reversal in price. We’re still having bullish sentiment on gold but we’re only going to execute buys only when price starts to close above the key level of $3360.00 which is intraday high. Until then , price can easily crash lower.