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GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

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XAUUSDG trade ideas

Daily XAUUSD Outlook — Riding the Fed Wave (July 28, 2025)Hey Gold Hunters! 🌟 Today feels like the calm before a storm—ADP whispers tomorrow, the Fed speaks Wednesday, and gold is inching toward its next big move. Let’s weave the macro pulse into our Smart‑Money map, highlight the five real zones, then plot our sniper‑perfect entries. No fluff—just the human beat of the market. 1️⃣ Macro Pulse & Market Mood US Dollar: Bullish tilt as markets price in another hawkish Fed pause. Tomorrow (Tue): ADP jobs print could spark an early swing. Wed PM: FOMC Statement & Powell’s press conference—biggest catalyst this week. Thu/Fri: Core PCE, Unemployment Claims, then Friday’s NFP + ISM Manufacturing. Gold is caught in suspense: a squeeze here (into supply) or a slide there (into demand) will come fast once the Fed drops its hint. 🧭 Bias: Neutral‑bearish—looking for lower highs under the 3,345–3,375 supply zone, with a preference to short rallies into that band until price convincingly breaks and holds above 3,375. Once we see a clean weekly‑style close above that level, we’ll flip to neutral‑bullish. 2️⃣ Five Breathing Zones (Top → Bottom) 🛑 Zone 1 “Sky Trap” (3,380 – 3,415) The final airspace above our daily EMAs (10/50) where stops are hunted. Fib ext’s 127%–161.8% and an unfilled Fair‑Value Gap live here. Any spike that ends in a long upper wick or bearish engulf = short‑trap. (let price fall clear of this zone before the next) ⚔️ Zone 2 “Premium Supply” (3,345 – 3,375) The two‑week high order block, hugged by EMA50 and Fib 61.8%. Friday’s rejection candle was born here. Watch for bearish PA after a retest—your core sell zone. (space down to next) 🌊 Zone 3 “First Demand Cove” (3,290 – 3,320) Where mid‑June’s buyers piled in: June consolidation OB, filled FVG, and Fib 38.2–50% confluence. SMA100 sits below for extra gravity. A clean drop and bullish reaction here = sniper‑long trigger. (gap to deep zone) 🚀 Zone 4 “Deep Pullback Bay” (3,240 – 3,270) Hidden Fair‑Value Gap, BOS origin, and weekly EMA21 converge. If Zone 3 breaks, this is your deep‑dip reload—hunt that D1 reversal wick. (last space) 🛡️ Zone 5 “Macro Reset Block” (3,000 – 3,140) The root of 2024’s CHoCH, EMA200/SMA200 cluster, and 78.6–88.6% Fib retrace. Only if gold truly panics on a USD blitz—ultimate accumulation. 3️⃣ Sniper‑Perfect Scenarios 🔴 Short Setup Where: A thrust into Zone 1 or 2 (3,345+). Cue: Long upper wick → bearish engulf on D1/M30. Edge: FVG fill + Fib confluence + RSI rollover. 🟢 Long Setup Where: A dip into Zone 3 or, if swept, Zone 4. Cue: Bullish pin‑bar or engulf + reclaim of EMA10/50. Edge: June OB base + RSI bounce from ~50. 4️⃣ Your To‑Do List Morning Watch: Does gold flirt with 3,375? Prep your shorts. Mid‑Day Pull: A drop to 3,300? Hunt your longs. Avoid: The gaps between zones—those are “no‑man’s land.” News Trades: Let the daily candle close post‑Fed before committing. 💬 What’s your plan today? Comment below—let’s refine our edge! 👍 Enjoyed this map? Smash that Like & Follow for more pulse‑driven, zero‑fluff outlooks. Disclosure: Chart powered by Trade Nation’s TradingView feed. I participate in their Influencer Program. GoldFxMinds 💛
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
6
GOLD → Countertrend correction, retest of 3345 before growthFX:XAUUSD , undergoing a deep correction after a false breakout of local resistance at 3433, has reached the support of the upward trend. Will the bulls be able to maintain the trend? Gold held below $3,400 on Friday, rebounding from $3,350, and is poised to end the week higher. Investors are watching the conflict between Thailand and Cambodia, which is boosting demand for safe-haven assets, and are also awaiting decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan next week. The markets received additional support from US trade deals with Asian countries and progress in negotiations with the EU, easing fears of a tariff war. As part of the correction, gold is testing trend support and the 3345-3337 zone of interest. A false breakdown, lack of downward momentum, and bulls holding prices above 3345 could trigger growth and a continuation of the main upward trend. Resistance levels: 3375, 3383 Support levels: 3345, 3337, 3330 Technically, the support level of 3345 plays a fairly important role in the market. If, during the correction, the bulls manage to hold their ground above this zone, the prospects for recovery will be high, especially against the backdrop of geopolitical problems. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
Gold Market Analysis: Seize the Bearish Opportunity!Hello, amazing traders! 📊 Last week, gold put both buyers and sellers through a rollercoaster, peaking at $3,439 on Monday and Tuesday before a sharp decline shook the market. The chart reveals a classic triangle pattern with a sneaky false breakout, designed to trap the unwary. Now, with the upside liquidity swept away, a bearish move is on the horizon—let’s break it down! 📈 Chart Insights Take a look at the attached chart! Gold’s recent action highlights: False Breakout: The price tricked traders with a brief surge, only to reverse sharply. Target Zone: Equal Lows at $3,240 are the next key level to watch. Retracements: Expect a pullback to the $3,360-$3,365 range, where order blocks, 4H Fair Value Gaps (FVG), and Hourly Imbalance Fair Value Gaps (IFVG) form a powerful demand zone. 🎯 Trading Plan Entry Point: Prepare to short around $3,360-$3,365 as gold retraces to this strong PD Array. Stop Loss: Place above $3,385 to avoid the daily and 4H FVG zone ($3,375-$3,385), which should act as resistance. Target: Aim for $3,240, the Equal Lows, with updates on short-term targets to follow. Note: The $3,375-$3,385 range is a balanced zone—unlikely to be revisited soon. 🚨 Why Act Now? This setup offers a golden (or should I say bearish gold?) chance to capitalize on the market’s momentum. The chart’s clear levels and the false breakout signal a high-probability move. Stay tuned for real-time updates as we track this trade! 💬 Join the Conversation! Loved this analysis? Hit the Like button to show your support! ❤️ Follow me for more actionable insights, and drop a comment below—where do you see gold heading next? Let’s build a thriving TradingView community together! 🙌 Happy trading, and may your trades be as sharp as this analysis! ✨
TVC:GOLDShort
by Mr_Masab
GOLD: clean pullback - now let’s see if support holdsGold continues to trade within an ascending channel on the 4H chart. After a local high, the price pulled back and is now approaching the key zone at 3333–3335. This area lines up with the 0.79 Fib retracement, the lower channel boundary, and a major volume cluster — a classic confluence zone. If buyers show up here and we get a bullish reversal candle, this becomes a valid long setup with a tight stop just below the level. First target is 3373 (0.5 Fib), followed by a potential retest of the high near 3439. The structure remains intact, the pullback is orderly, and volume supports the move. As long as the channel holds - the bias stays bullish.
TVC:GOLD
by TotoshkaTrades
XAU/USD Breakout Playbook – Rob the Market!🚨💰 GOLD HEIST IN MOTION! | XAU/USD Thief Trading Strategy (Breakout Edition) 🏴‍☠️ 🧠 Strategic Mindset | Not Your Average Chart Talk Yo Market Bandits & Pip Hunters – welcome to the underground playbook! This isn't your grandma’s chart breakdown – it’s a Thief Trading Takedown on XAU/USD (Gold), where we’re not chasing the market… we’re outsmarting it. THE MASTER PLAN: Enter Like a Ghost, Exit Like a King 👑 📍 ENTRY POINT – The Break-In Begins! 💥 Breakout Level: Watch for 3370.00 resistance to crack – this is our green light. 🕵️‍♂️ Entry Style: • Buy Stop above MA resistance zone (fast & clean) • OR Buy Limit near swing low zones after confirmation pullback (sniper entry) 🧠 Thief Tip: Wait for the breakout to happen. No orders, no SL before it. Patience is profit. 🔄 Layer the Entry: • Deploy DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) or scaling entries with precision • Build positions like stacking cash bags — smart, silent, and calculated 🛡️ PROTECT THE LOOT – Stop Loss Logic 💣 📍 SL Guide: 3310.00 (4H swing low – update as price structure evolves) 🔥 SL ONLY comes after breakout. Set it too early? That’s how you get caught. ⛔ No pre-breakout orders. No early SL. Stay invisible till it's go time. 🎯 THE ESCAPE – Profit Like a Phantom 🚀 💸 Take Profit: 3450.00 📉 Scalpers: Trail SL as price pushes – never give back stolen pips 🌀 Swing Traders: Monitor resistance layers – don’t let the bulls turn on you 🧭 CONTEXT – Why This Setup? 🔍 Macro Snapshot: • Trend: Neutral/Bullish Lean • Influencers: COT reports, geopolitical tension, dollar flows • Sentiment Shifting – watch the herd, but don’t run with it 🗞️ News Risk: Don’t get wrecked by events! Avoid entries during high-impact news. 🚨 Trailing SL is your best weapon during volatility. ⚡ POWER UP THE CREW – Support the Movement 💬 Drop a comment, hit the 🔥 like button, and share with your trading gang More Thief Trading blueprints coming soon – bigger breakouts, cleaner setups ⚠️ STAY SHARP, THIEVES! This ain't financial advice – it’s an outlaw’s edge on the market. Trade smart. Risk well. Protect the bag. 🏴‍☠️ XAU/USD GOLD HEIST IN PROGRESS... Join the Movement. Let’s Rob the Market.
VELOCITY:GOLDLong
by The-Thief
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, After completing our 1h chart idea update yesterday, please see our 4chart idea also played out to perfection!!! We started with our Bullish target hit at 3364 followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3429. This was also hit perfectly with no further cross and lock above 3429 confirming the perfect rejection. We are now seeing price play into the retracement zone and will continue to look for reactions on the lower Goldturn, inline with our plans to buy dips. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3364 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3364 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3429 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3499 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3561 BEARISH TARGETS 3297 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3297 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3242 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 3001 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
12
XAUUSD Expecting bullish Movement Gold is currently testing a strong demand zone between 3340 to 3335, which previously acted as a support area. The price action indicates potential for a bullish reversal from this zone, supported by oversold conditions and historical reaction levels. Entry Zone: 3340 to 3335 First Target: 3375 Second Target: 3390 Two potential scenarios are highlighted: A direct bullish reversal from the 3340–3335 zone A slight consolidation before continuation to the upside This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity for intraday or short-term swing traders. Monitor price action confirmation signals before entering
TVC:GOLDLong
by mcfkyz
2
Gold will rebound from support line of triangle and rise to 3430Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Following a sequence of significant upward trends and the subsequent downward corrections that defined its range, gold has entered a broad market zone of consolidation. This battleground is clearly anchored by the historically significant buyer zone around 3285 and a formidable seller zone near 3430. Currently, the asset's price action is coiling and contracting within the confines of a large symmetrical triangle, a classic pattern that signifies a period of equilibrium and energy build-up before a potential high-volatility breakout. After a recent upward rebound was decisively rejected by the upper resistance line, the price is now in a corrective descent, heading towards the crucial ascending support line of the triangle. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, which is based on the expectation that this downward move will find strong buying interest on this key trendline, respecting the pattern's integrity. A confirmed and strong bounce from this level would signal another complete upward rotation within the triangle is underway. Therefore, the tp is logically and strategically set at the 3430 resistance level, as it not only aligns with the formation's upper boundary but also represents the major seller zone, a natural magnet for price on such a rebound. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
13
Lingrid | GOLD Corrective Move: Potential Long Trade OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is pulling back sharply after facing rejection from the key resistance level at 3431, following a two-leg impulse wave. The structure shows a correction within an active uptrend, nearing confluence support from the upward trendline and horizontal level. As long as price holds above 3342, a bounce and continuation toward 3400 remain the favored scenario. Broader bullish structure and momentum buildup point to a possible resumption after the current retracement. 📉 Key Levels Buy trigger: Break above 3350 Buy zone: 3345 – 3340 Target: 3400 Invalidation: Break below 3320 💡 Risks Failure to hold the upward trendline could shift momentum Weak bounce may trap buyers before real breakout Resistance at 3400 could remain firm without stronger volume support If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
22
XAU/USD Powerful Bullish Rally AheadThe XAU/USD 4-hour chart shows a decisive breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling a shift towards bullish momentum. Price action has moved strongly above the upper trendline, indicating that buyers are in control. The Ichimoku cloud provides additional confirmation of the uptrend, with price holding well above the cloud zone. Previous resistance areas have been converted into support, and the upward projection suggests potential continuation of the rally. The chart structure reveals consistent higher highs and higher lows, which further supports bullish sentiment. As long as the price remains above the breakout zone and maintains strong volume, the trend is expected to extend upward, reflecting strong market confidence in gold’s short-term growth. Entry Buy : 3420 First Target :3450 Second Target :3500 If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to drop a like and comment . Your support keeps quality ideas flowing—let’s grow and win together! 💪📈
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Trend_logic
10
GOLD → Countertrend correction. Where will growth begin?FX:XAUUSD faced pressure in the 3430 zone, traders moved into profit-taking mode, triggering a correction. The price entered the sell-off zone... On Thursday, gold is trading below $3400 as traders assess progress in US-EU trade talks and await preliminary PMI data from the US and the EU. These indicators could influence expectations for Fed and ECB rates. Optimism is being bolstered by reports of trade agreements between the US and Japan and other countries. The ECB is expected to keep rates unchanged, while the probability of a Fed rate cut in September is estimated at 60%. Investors are also watching Trump's conflict with Powell amid his visit to the Fed. Technically, the daily market structure is not broken, and a correction is forming within acceptable limits. Based on the current direction, the market may test the intermediate bottom: trend support, the 3345-3320 area. Resistance levels: 3375, 3383, 3400. Support levels: 3345, 3320 A retest of resistance at 3375-3383 is possible. If the bears keep the price below this zone, the metal may continue its correction phase towards the zone of interest indicated on the chart. Local sell-offs have not yet broken the bullish daily structure. However, the absence of a downward impulse and consolidation in 3375 - 3383 with a subsequent breakout of local resistance could increase demand again, which would generally lead to premature growth to 3400 - 3435. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) 1-hour technical analysis:📉 Support Zones: 3,312.35 – 3,300.00: Strong demand zone (marked in green) – this is your “buy” zone. 3,326.00 – 3,341.27: Intermediate support level, but may not hold under pressure. 📈 Resistance Zones: 3,359.40 – 3,373.04: Near-term resistance. 3,402.78: Key resistance from previous structure high. 🔁 Price Prediction Path: The hand-drawn path suggests: Short-term choppy consolidation or fakeouts. A potential drop into the green demand zone. Buy opportunity near 3,312 if a reversal signal appears. Expected bullish reversal toward 3,359+. 📊 Volume Analysis: Volume spikes near previous demand confirm strong buying interest. Recent volume tapering indicates a slowdown in selling pressure. ✅ Potential Trade Setup: Buy Limit: Around 3,312.00 – 3,305.00 Stop Loss: Below 3,300.00 Take Profit: 3,359.00 – 3,373.00 Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable if entry is timed with confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, double bottom, or volume spike).
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by nasarriaz1
2
Lingrid | GOLD Key Resistance Zone. Possible Short-Term TradeThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . OANDA:XAUUSD has reached the upper boundary of the resistance zone around 3,445 after a strong impulse leg from the support trendline and the breakout of consolidation. Price action shows signs of exhaustion just below the June high, forming a potential reversal pattern near the channel top. If gold fails to hold above this resistance, a short-term pullback toward the 3,385 level becomes likely. The setup favors a short-term corrective decline unless bulls reclaim control with a breakout above the red trendline. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: Rejection below 3,445 Sell zone: 3,430–3,445 Target: 3,385 Invalidation: Close above 3,480 💡 Risks Breakout continuation toward 3,480 Sustained momentum from recent impulse leg DXY weakness boosting gold's appeal If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lingrid
37
Hybrid Gartley-Elliott Wave Trade Setup on Gold Detailed Analysis & Prediction:** This trade setup merges two powerful frameworks: a **bearish Gartley pattern** indicating a short-term pullback, and an **Elliott Wave interpretation** suggesting bullish continuation via wave five. --- ### 🧠 Thought Process: 1. **Gartley Pattern Completion:** - The chart shows a completed bearish Gartley pattern with point D aligning around the **3,372 level**. - As per harmonic rules, point D typically signals a reversal zone, suggesting a short-term drop. 2. **Projected Pullback:** - A drop is expected toward the **3,323 support zone**, which coincides with previous swing lows and Fibonacci retracement confluence. - This area likely marks the start of **wave five** in the Elliott Wave count — indicating that the bearish move is simply the final corrective wave before continuation. 3. **Wave 5 Bullish Opportunity:** - Once price reaches the 3,323 zone and shows reversal confirmation, a strong bullish push is expected to begin. - This aligns with historical wave structures and momentum indicators showing possible trend exhaustion. --- ### 🎯 Profit Targets: | Target | Type | Price (USD) | |--------|-----------------------|---------------| | TP1 | Fibonacci 1.0 | 3,447.875 | | TP2 | Fibonacci 1.27 | 3,536.025 | | TP3 | Fibonacci 1.618 | 3,649.640 | --- ### 🛑 Stop Loss Strategy: | Level | Type | Price (USD) | |-----------|---------------------|---------------| | SL1 | Conservative | 3,246.111 | | SL2 | Aggressive | 3,198.444 | ---
TVC:GOLD
by Elrouby