GOLD BIASExpecting Gold to touch the second supply zone before moving down
follow for daily bias on gold
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold’s Big Heist—Will You Join the Loot or Get Robbed?🔥 GOLD HEIST ALERT: XAU/USD Breakout Robbery Plan (Swing & Scalp Strategy) 🔥
🌟 Greetings, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🌟
Ready to loot the gold market? 🏆💰 Based on Thief Trading Style analysis (technical + fundamental), here’s how we execute the heist on XAU/USD—escape with profits before the bears trap us!
📈 ENTRY: The Heist Begins!
"Break the Wall!" Wait for RESISTANCE (3370.00) to crack, then strike!
2 Ways to Rob:
✅ Buy Stop above Moving Average (breakout confirmation)
✅ Buy Limit near pullback zones (15m/30m recent swing lows)
Pro Tip: Set a chart alert 🚨—don’t miss the breakout!
🛑 STOP LOSS: Protect Your Loot!
"Yo, listen! If you’re buying after breakout, DO NOT set SL until price confirms!
Thief’s SL Rule: Place at recent swing low (4H timeframe)—adjust based on your risk & lot size.
Rebels, beware! 🔥 Your risk, your rules… but don’t cry if the market robs you back!
🎯 TARGET: Escape Like a Pro
Main Take Profit: 3480.00 (or exit early if the market turns shady!)
Scalpers: Only LONG plays! Use trailing SL to lock profits.
Swing Traders: Ride the trend & split the loot wisely! 💰
⚠️ WARNING: News = Market Chaos!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing stops = your best friend to protect profits.
💎 WHY THIS HEIST?
XAU/USD Trend: Neutral (but bullish potential! 🐂)
Key Drivers: Geopolitics, COT data, macro trends—do your homework! 🌍📰
🚀 BOOST THE HEIST!
Like this plan? Smash the Boost Button! 🔥 Helps us steal more profits & share next robbery targets! Stay tuned—more heists coming soon! 🎯🤝
🎉 Happy Trading, Thieves! May the market favor your loot! �💸
Gold Trading Strategy June 24Quite surprised with the price gap down at the beginning of the day. A sweep to 3333 and recovery to increase again in the Tokyo trading session.
This recovery completely breaks the market's bullish wave structure.
3363 and 3335 are paying attention in today's Asian and European trading sessions. This area can be traded short-term in the sideways range. The SELL area pays attention to the opening gap at 3368.
The upper range has some adjustments compared to yesterday in the direction of decreasing prices, so the SELL range 3386 and 3410 is paid attention to for trading.
Resistance: 3363-3368-3386-3410
Support: 3335-3322-3296
Good trading signal
BUY GOLD 3323-3321 Stoploss 3318
SELL GOLD 3363-3365 Stoploss 3370
HelenP. I Gold may continue to decline to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After dropping from the support zone, the price of Gold found temporary support near the trend line and started to rise again. The upward movement was sharp and even created a gap while breaking through the previous support level, which then acted as resistance. For some time, the price hovered around this resistance area but failed to gain enough strength to break higher. Eventually, Gold pulled back to the trend line and began consolidating within a triangle pattern. Inside this structure, it managed to break above the resistance zone again, but this breakout turned out to be false. The price quickly reversed and dropped, breaking through the resistance level and exiting the triangle to the downside. This breakdown also shows that the bullish momentum has weakened significantly. Now, Gold is trading near the trend line again, showing hesitation and a lack of strong bullish continuation. Given this technical behavior, I expect a small rise toward the trend line, followed by a continued drop toward the support level at 3320. That’s the area I’m watching as my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold prices rebound weakly after sharp fallFrom a technical perspective, the gold daily moving average system is intertwined, and the long and short forces are relatively balanced. The current key resistance above is near 3350, which is an important psychological barrier. If an effective breakthrough is achieved, it may open up the upward space; the support below focuses on the 3285-3290 line, which is the lower edge of the May oscillation platform. If it falls below, it may increase the pressure of the correction. The loss of the middle track in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure and provides technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long near the 3285-3290 level. At present, gold continues to fall in line with the trend.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to go long in the 3287-3292 area of gold, with a stop loss at 3280 and a target of 3320-3340.
GOLDThe US 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.29%, down about 0.03 percentage points (0.64%) from the previous day’s level around 4.32%–4.34%.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 97.877, showing relative stability with minor fluctuations
Impact on Markets Today
The slight decline in the 10-year yield suggests modest easing of bond market pressure, possibly reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing fiscal concerns and expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year.
The DXY near 97.9 indicates a moderately strong dollar, though recent trends show some weakening due to fiscal worries and softer economic data.
Together, a stable-to-slightly weaker dollar and a modestly lower 10-year yield can support safe-haven assets like gold, though elevated yields still pose a headwind. But despite the dips of both the 10 year bond yield and the dollar index GOLD lost over 500pips from Asian session to Newyork session trading.
In brief: The US 10-year yield’s slight dip combined with a steady DXY reflects a market balancing inflation, fiscal concerns, and Fed policy outlook. This environment supports cautious risk-taking with safe-haven demand still relevant.
#gold #dollar
Extra infoGeopolitical Gold Risk: EU Alarmed Over U.S. Custodianship
Rising geopolitical volatility and former President Trump’s escalating rhetoric against the U.S. Federal Reserve have sparked renewed European concerns over national gold reserves stored in the U.S., especially in Germany and Italy. Both nations hold the second and third-largest gold reserves globally (3,352 and 2,452 tonnes respectively), with a significant portion—over $245 billion in total—custodied at the New York Fed.
Lawmakers and public advocacy groups across the political spectrum in both countries are urging repatriation of gold to domestic vaults, citing Trump’s erratic policy stances and potential interference with central bank independence. The Bundesbank continues to defend New York's strategic value, while Italy remains silent. A growing number of central banks globally are reportedly shifting or planning to shift gold home as a precautionary move.
Japan’s Political Shifts: LDP Faces Voter Blowback Over Inflation
Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) suffered a historic electoral defeat in Tokyo’s local assembly elections, signaling growing voter discontent over surging food prices and stagnant wages. The LDP lost 8 of its 30 seats, surrendering its top position to Governor Yuriko Koike’s regional party, Tomin First.
With upper house elections on July 20, this loss raises risks of further political fragmentation. The populist right-wing Sanseito party gained seats for the first time, showcasing a shift toward fringe movements. PM Ishiba’s government also faces diplomatic and economic pressure as Trump threatens tariffs on Japanese imports. Tokyo’s results act as a warning sign that inflation and trade anxieties are materially influencing voter behavior.
U.S.-Korea Defence Diplomacy: Rolls-Royce Eyes GE Replacement
As South Korea reassesses its KF-21 fighter jet engine partner, UK officials are lobbying aggressively for Rolls-Royce to replace GE Aerospace, citing U.S. export restrictions that limit Seoul’s ability to sell jets internationally. The KF-21’s export prospects to Indonesia and the UAE are reportedly at risk due to American national security clauses.
Rolls-Royce proposes a joint development model to de-risk the engine program. However, entrenched U.S.–Korea defense ties, including Hanwha’s integration with U.S. military platforms, complicate this pivot. The U.K. seeks not only defense industrial collaboration but strategic geopolitical alignment with Seoul as a hedge against U.S. protectionism.
Energy Sector on Edge: Majors Withdraw Staff Amid Escalation Risks
European energy giants BP, TotalEnergies, and Eni have begun evacuating foreign staff from Iraqi fields, citing risk of Iranian retaliation after U.S. strikes on Tehran’s nuclear facilities. Operations remain intact, but local authorities confirm precautionary withdrawals, with Total reportedly pulling 60% of its expats.
Rumaila, Zubair, and southern Iraqi fields are proximate to Iranian territory and vulnerable to missile or proxy militia attacks. Analysts caution that Iran could exploit asymmetric tactics via regional militias, threatening key infrastructure without directly engaging U.S. forces. Shell, also present via Basra Gas, declined comment. The withdrawal underscores the fragile security balance as military posturing continues to escalate.
Oil Markets Volatile: Trump Demands Surge in U.S. Production
Following Brent crude’s spike to $81.40 and a subsequent intraday fall to $76.90, President Trump urged the Department of Energy to “DRILL, BABY, DRILL!!!” to stabilize prices. His public messaging emphasizes a fear that elevated oil costs play into enemy strategies, pressuring energy firms and OPEC+ to expand output.
So far, Middle East supply has not been disrupted, and no damage to the Strait of Hormuz—which handles 21 million barrels/day—has been recorded. However, analysts from S&P, SEB, and RBC warn of continued upside risk if Iran or its proxies target tankers, refineries, or pipelines. Several tankers have already changed course or anchored to avoid chokepoints, signaling preemptive market caution.
Financial Markets and Central Bank Tensions
Trump’s repeated interventions into Fed policy, combined with tariff-driven inflation concerns, have created a highly politicized environment for monetary policy. He has publicly demanded immediate rate cuts to 1–2%, pressuring Powell amid signs of internal division among Fed governors.
With inflation nearing the Fed's 2% target but geopolitical risks rising, Powell must testify to Congress this week and defend the institution's independence. A shift in Fed leadership post-2026 under a Trump administration may fundamentally reshape U.S. monetary credibility if dovish, politically loyal appointees take over.
European Fixed Income Competition: Vanguard Cuts Fees
As competition heats up in Europe’s bond ETF market, Vanguard has slashed fees on 7 of its 15 European fixed income ETFs. The changes reduce average expense ratios to 0.11%, part of a broader push to gain share from leaders like BlackRock and State Street.
This move aligns with Vanguard’s U.S. fee overhaul earlier this year, aimed at democratizing access to fixed income. European investors increasingly demand lower-cost bond solutions as the bond market now exceeds equities in size, yet remains more opaque and less efficient. The fee cut should help catalyze inflows from cost-sensit
GOLD The US 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.29%-4.37%
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 97.877, showing relative stability with minor fluctuations
Impact on Markets Today
The slight decline in the 10-year yield suggests modest easing of bond market pressure, possibly reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing fiscal concerns and expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year.
The DXY near 97.9 indicates a moderately strong dollar, though recent trends show some weakening due to fiscal worries and softer economic data.
Together, a stable-to-slightly weaker dollar and a modestly lower 10-year yield can support safe-haven assets like gold, though elevated yields still pose a headwind. But despite the dips of both the 10 year us government bond yield and the dollar index ,GOLD lost over 500pips from Asian session to Newyork session trading on cease fire deal between Israel and Iran by united states of America.
In brief: The US 10-year yield’s slight dip combined with a steady DXY reflects a market balancing inflation, fiscal concerns, and Fed policy outlook. This environment supports cautious risk-taking with safe-haven demand still relevant.
follow zone of buy and sell for educational purpose only.
#gold #dollar
The golden storm is coming again, are you ready?Gold rebounded after falling back to 3333 in the first wave, and then rebounded to 3357 in the second wave before falling again, breaking through the previous low of 3333 and accelerating down to 3316. Currently, the short-term trend has stabilized in the 3316 area, which is also the support level for multiple rebounds in the previous period. After continuing to fall today, it has not broken through. We have arranged long orders in the 3316-3317 area in advance and have taken profits near 3331. Gold rebounded after stepping back again. Our long order plan is still in position. If the subsequent rebound breaks through the 3333 line, it is expected to further rise to the 3340-3348 area. We will try to short in this area.
In the short-term structure, the upper resistance focuses on the 3340-3348 area, and the lower support focuses on the 3310-3315 area. 3300-3305 is the watershed between the strength of long and short positions in the short term. The daily level is still under pressure as a whole, and the main idea of high altitude continues.
Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to around 3340-3348, target the 3330-3320 range.
Trend Continuation Setup: Long Entry from MA supportPrice has pulled back to the key moving averages, acting as dynamic support. Trend remains bullish.
A bullish setup has formed, offering a long entry opportunity with limited downside risk.
📝Trade Plan :
Entry: Near the current price, around the moving averages
Stop Loss: Just below today’s low, at the 3310 level
Target: First target around 3500, with potential for continuation if momentum builds
Gold prices rebounded weakly after a sharp plunge!After Trump announced that Israel and Iran had reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement, market risk aversion significantly cooled, and gold prices plunged by more than $30 in early trading. From a technical perspective, the moving average system of gold's daily chart shows an intertwined state, with relatively balanced bullish and bearish forces. Currently, the key resistance above is near 3350, which is an important psychological threshold. If effectively broken through, it may open up an upward space; the support level below focuses on the 3285-3290 range, which is the lower edge of the May platform (shock platform). If broken, it may exacerbate pullback pressure. The loss of the middle 轨 (middle track) in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure, providing technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long near 3285-3290 during the pullback in the evening, but currently, gold continues to decline following the trend.
you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3290-3295
TP:3335-3340
GOLD Bearish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#GOLD is trading in a
UPtrend and Broke our of the bearish
Wedge pattern then made
A retest and is going down
Now so we are bearish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
GOLD Gold’s retreat is directly linked to the Israel-Iran ceasefire, which has eased geopolitical tensions and prompted a shift in investor risk appetite away from gold and into equities and other risk-on assets...watch 3243-3224 zone #gold #shavyfxhub
Report - June 24, 2025Geopolitical Flashpoint: U.S.–Iran–Israel Conflict Reaches Temporary Pause
After weeks of escalating military engagement, President Trump has declared a phased cease-fire between Iran and Israel, effective June 25. While Israel has not officially confirmed, both sides reportedly agreed to halt attacks if met with mutual restraint. Iran launched 14 missiles toward Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar on Monday in retaliation for the U.S. bombing of its nuclear sites; 13 were intercepted with no casualties. This symbolic attack was designed as a “face-saving” gesture, avoiding a broader conflict or disruption of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil chokepoint.
Market Impact:
Oil dropped sharply (WTI -7.2%, Brent -6.8%) as war premium unwound.
Equities rallied (S&P 500 +1%, Dow +0.9%) on relief from escalation.
Risk-off unwound modestly with global equities rising in Asia (Nikkei +1.1%, Hang Seng +1.8%).
Strategic Implications:
A durable cease-fire is far from guaranteed. Israel may not comply long-term.
Iran’s restraint signals desire for diplomatic off-ramp, supported by Qatari mediation.
U.S. avoided further retaliation, citing the limited scope of Iran’s action as justification.
Trump’s Pressure on the Fed and the ‘Powell Trap’
President Trump has intensified attacks on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, demanding sharp rate cuts (targeting 1–2%). With inflation still near 2.6% Core PCE and tariffs starting to filter through consumer prices, the Fed risks its credibility if it yields to political pressure.
Fed Dynamics:
Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller (Trump appointees) support July cuts due to labor concerns.
Powell testifies before Congress this week, expected to defend central bank independence.
Market Reaction:
10-Year yield fell to 4.32%, 2-Year to 3.83%.
FedWatch: 22.7% chance of July cut, up from 14.5% pre-Iran strike.
Strategic Outlook:
Fed faces a no-win scenario: cut and risk inflation, or hold and face political firestorm.
Political pressure ahead of Powell’s February 2026 term expiry is rising—Trump may be shaping a post-Powell Fed regime.
U.S. Housing Market Update: Rising Inventory, Stalled Buyers
May existing-home sales rose +0.8% MoM (vs. -1.3% est.) but remain near record lows (4.03M annualized). Inventory rose +6.2% MoM, +20.3% YoY, yet affordability remains a major obstacle.
Median price: $422,800 (near record), +1.3% YoY.
Mortgage rates >6.5%, limiting buyer participation.
Price cuts surged (1 in 4 listings), showing seller capitulation.
Homes are sitting longer (27 days on market vs. 24 a year ago).
Implications:
Affordability gap persists: $100k income now affords just 37% of listings vs. 65% in 2018.
Selective regional strength: Midwest/Northeast stronger than Sunbelt/Southwest.
Energy Sector: Fragile but Stabilized for Now
Iran’s deliberate avoidance of energy infrastructure has led to a collapse in crude prices post-spike. However, risks remain:
Strait of Hormuz still vulnerable; closure would cut ~20% of global oil supply.
WTI pulled back to $75.67, Brent at $78.89—still ~10% higher than pre-June levels.
Trump publicly pressuring oil markets to keep prices low, signaling political discomfort with oil shocks during re-election year.
Energy Equities:
Exxon -2.6%, Halliburton -6.8% — oil-linked stocks lagged.
European oil names may rally if prices stay elevated: 7.8% EPS boost with +20% oil (Panmure).
GOLD Price Forecast: Is the Pullback Over? | Weekly OutlookWill XAUUSD resume its bullish trend, or is more downside ahead?
In this video, I break down last week’s gold price movement and the current market reaction to rising geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, now with the U.S. joining the conflict. We also assess the impact of the Fed’s recent rate hold, weak retail sales, and upcoming high-impact U.S. economic events like PMI, GDP, and Core PCE.
💡 Here’s what you’ll learn:
✅What caused gold’s pullback last week
✅Why institutional traders shake out retail buyers
✅Key fundamentals driving gold right now
✅How to position yourself smartly for the upcoming trading week
🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of this work.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#goldanalysis, #xauusd, #goldforecast, #goldpriceprediction, #forexanalysis, #fundamentalanalysis, #forextrading, #tradinggold, #goldnews, #federalreserve, #marketpsychology, #tradingstrategy, #geopoliticalrisk, #usdata, #iranisraeltensions, #goldbullish, #goldbearish, #forexmentor, #xauusdforecast, #tradingview
Gold price PMI positive, slight increase⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) edge higher toward $3,375 in early Asian trading on Monday, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions following US President Donald Trump’s decision to intervene militarily in the Israel-Iran conflict. The move significantly escalates the situation in the Middle East, fueling demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
The US launched airstrikes on three Iranian nuclear facilities early Sunday, marking a direct entry into the conflict despite Trump’s prior pledges to avoid new overseas wars. The intensifying turmoil has sparked a wave of risk aversion, supporting bullion prices amid rising uncertainty. Meanwhile, investors will closely monitor the preliminary S&P Global US Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for June, due later in the day, for further market direction.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices continue to be supported around the 3340 mark, positive with today's US PMI news data
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3380- 3382 SL 3387
TP1: $3370
TP2: $3360
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3318-$3316 SL $3311
TP1: $3326
TP2: $3338
TP3: $3349
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD Gold’s retreat is directly linked to the Israel-Iran ceasefire, which has eased geopolitical tensions and prompted a shift in investor risk appetite away from gold and into equities and other risk-on assets...watch 3243-3224 zone #gold
Choppy Gold Action Hides a Bigger Drop on Weekly Chart?After Monday’s correction, Gold continued lower – but the drop has been extremely choppy, making swing trading nearly impossible in this environment.
🔄 Short-term vs. Weekly Picture
On the 1H chart, price action is messy and directionless. However, the weekly chart tells a clearer story – which is not bullish at this moment.
❗ Let’s not rush into the “new ATH” narrative
Last week, I pointed out around the 3360 zone that we may get a rise above 3400. That move happened – but it seems more driven by Middle East tensions than by any structural strength in Gold itself.
📉 Why I’m leaning bearish on higher timeframes at this moment:
• This week’s price action almost fully negates last week’s strong green candle
• A close near the bottom of the range could form a Dark Cloud Cover pattern – a strong bearish signal
• Unless we see a reversal above 3400, downside remains the higher probability
📌 Next Target?
If the weekly close confirms this bearish setup, a drop to 3150 is not only possible – it’s becoming likely.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Outlook: Navigating Rising Geopolitical Tensions and Mixed Technical Analysis
The gold spot price recently tested resistance near $3,451, marking a significant swing high. Following this, the price has pulled back to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at approximately $3,353, which currently acts as critical support. The daily chart shows gold holding above its 50-day weighted moving average (WMA) around $3,250, with an upward sloping trendline reinforcing near-term bullish support.
If gold decisively stays below the $3,353 support, it may test lower levels near $3,293 and potentially the trendline support near $3,228. Such a move could signal a short-term bearish phase, driven by easing geopolitical fears or strengthening US dollar sentiment.
• Support Levels: $3,353 (61.8% Fib), $3,293 (100% Fib retracement), $3,228 (141.4% extension).
• Resistance Levels: $3,451 (recent high), with a possible challenge above to $3,500 psychological level.
Momentum indicators present a mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is nearing neutral at 48, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD histogram indicates weakening bullish momentum, while stochastic oscillators are trending lower but not yet in oversold territory, implying potential for further correction before resuming upward movement.
Conversely, a rebound above $3,451 could trigger fresh bullish momentum targeting $3,500 and beyond.
Gold: Breakout and Potential Retrace!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a selling opportunity around 3,390 zone, Gold was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,390 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAUUSD Update 21th June 2025After 1 week pull back, the price still find it support.
On the last Friday, it seems like bounce at 3339 support.
We need more further movement, and we'll see if 3339 hold as support, next target is 3440 level.
But if gold need more further correction, than 3320 is next support to retest.
Have a Good Luck !
#xauusd #Goldanalysist
Gold) Technical Update – Market Subdued AheadXAUUSD Technical Update – Market Subdued Ahead of Key Data
Gold is currently trading with limited momentum, reflecting a subdued market sentiment despite escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Notably, the market has largely digested the recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, showing a muted reaction to these developments.
Resistance levels 3395 / 3422
Support Levels 3355 /3350
Lets see more details in the chart Ps support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks
Gold Under Pressure – Will the 3,385 Zone Hold?Hello everyone, let’s dive into gold price action together!
Following decisions from the Fed, BOE, and SNB to hold interest rates steady, gold continues to face downward pressure. High interest rates reflect a firm stance on inflation, pushing short-term capital away from non-yielding assets like gold.
On the chart, gold closed the session near $3,368, showing little change from previous candles. The precious metal is still being rejected at a key confluence resistance zone (EMA 34, EMA 89, and a prior consolidation area). As long as price fails to break above $3,385, the downside scenario remains favored.
If this resistance holds, my next move would be to sell, targeting a drop to $3,300—a zone where buyers previously stepped in.
What about you? Do you see gold heading lower too?
