GOLD 05/01/2025Scenario GOLD TF H4
- Stick to your stop loss to protect your trades
- Manage your positions patiently until you hit the target
- Profit always in risk, take the risk or lose the chance
XAUUSDG trade ideas
“Gold Poised for a Big Move Ahead of NFP – Reversal or BreakdownGold (XAU/USD) is approaching a major decision zone just before the highly anticipated NFP release. Price is reacting from a strong demand area (3,240–3,200), hinting at potential upside if momentum builds. A break above the descending trendline could fuel a rally toward 3,320 and 3,480.
However, a negative reaction to NFP might push gold down to test the deeper 3,168–3,134 support zone before bouncing.
This setup aligns perfectly with high-impact news – Follow for live updates and smart trade ideas during NFP!
XAUUSD(SHORT)
Elliot's Wave expecting Final wave to the downside.
ABC retracement done
1-5 wave to begin waiting for reversal candle stick formation.
Gold on Edge – Will NFP Trigger the Next Big Move?🚨 Gold at a Crossroads – Will NFP & White House Comments Trigger a Volatility Spike? ⚡
🧭 Macro Overview
Gold enters the US session with a mild rebound after a sharp selloff, following its historic climb to $3,500/oz. The recent drop was driven less by fundamentals and more by aggressive profit-taking, especially from retail flows in Asia, notably China.
Rather than a trend reversal, this correction looks like a healthy technical reset, just ahead of two major catalysts:
1️⃣ US Non-Farm Payrolls (May edition)
2️⃣ White House remarks on tariffs and trade strategy
These two factors will likely define gold’s direction heading into next week — either toward deeper support zones or a potential recovery rally into resistance.
📊 DXY & Macro Market Lens
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off its base near 98.xx, currently testing the 100.00 level. Whether the dollar strengthens further depends largely on today’s labour data and fiscal signals from Washington.
Traders should remain tactically neutral, relying on intraday timeframes like H1/H2 and respecting key price structure.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels
3,260
3,275
3,285
3,312
🔻 Key Support Levels
3,244
3,230
3,215
3,200
🎯 Trade Plan – Friday 3rd May, 2025
🔵 BUY ZONE A:
Entry: 3,232 – 3,230
SL: 3,226
TP: 3,236 → 3,240 → 3,244 → 3,248 → 3,252 → 3,256 → 3,260
🔵 BUY ZONE B:
Entry: 3,214 – 3,212
SL: 3,208
TP: 3,218 → 3,222 → 3,226 → 3,230 → 3,235 → 3,240
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3,276 – 3,278
SL: 3,282
TP: 3,272 → 3,268 → 3,264 → 3,260 → 3,250
⚠️ Final Notes
Volatility may spike sharply during the NY session as NFP and political news collide.
This is the kind of session where traders can either capitalize massively or get caught offside — stay disciplined.
Avoid emotional entries — let price come to you, wait for confirmation, and stick to your TP/SL.
📣 Conclusion
We’re likely in a calm-before-the-storm scenario. Gold hasn’t made its real move yet — but when it does, it’ll be swift.
Prepare. Execute. Protect your capital.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3344 and a gap below at 3306. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. EMA5 is lagging below 3306 so will need a close above and then below to confirm.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3367
POTENTIALLY 3390
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
POTENTIALLY
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3306
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3285
3259
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3259 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3233
3201
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3159 - 3112
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250502Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250502
XAUUSD Potential for a drop in 15min chart!Hey Guys,
To keep this analysis short and being able to publish it fast, I've considered a good potential zone for sell and price reaches to this area.
So based on this analysis we can consider a drop soon.
This post will be updated based on recent market movements.
Good luck! :)
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on our daily chart idea, it’s been playing out perfectly!
After we got the close above 3297, the gap up to 3433 completed exactly as we had analysed. However, without a further close or lock above 3433, the rejection was confirmed with a wick, and price then found support above the channel top, just as we always highlight.
With EMA5 still holding above the channel top, we’re likely to continue seeing support and price action playing above the channel. This opens the door for another retest of 3433. However, if price breaks back inside the channel along with EMA5, the levels inside the channel will reactivate for level-to-level plays.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD SHORThe price of 📉GOLD is likely to keep falling, following a significant downward trend.
After consolidating within a horizontal range on a 4-hour time frame, the support of the range was recently broken, signaling strong selling pressure and a probable continuation of the bearish trend.
It is possible that the pair will soon reach the 3200 support level.Then it will go for3166 level
Gold TechnicalsThis chart outlines a potential bullish breakout scenario for XAUUSD on the 1-hour timeframe. Price has been respecting a descending trendline, but recent upward momentum has brought it back to a key decision point near the trendline resistance. The circled area labeled "BOS" (Break of Structure) suggests a possible shift in market structure from bearish to bullish if price breaks and sustains above that zone. The main expectation is for price to push higher toward the upper resistance around 3,320 if the breakout confirms, offering a swing or intraday long opportunity. However, the alternative scenario (marked with a red arrow) highlights that failure to break the trendline could result in a rejection and continuation of the downtrend toward the 3,180–3,160 support zone. RSI near mid-levels supports the idea that price still has room to move in either direction, emphasizing the importance of watching price behavior at the breakout point.
Gold awaits NFP after serious decline I expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "Technical analysis: Gold is being kept below the Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance zone of #3,292.80 - #3,300.80 despite the rejection on DX and continuous rise on equities, Gold didn’t manage to prepare the terrain for further the uptrend, according to my Technical estimations. Besides the High Selling Volume and evident Price-action showcasing of Bearish trend switch, #3,262.80 Support I mentioned which was about to be tested was invalidated and naturally Gold is on a decline (as I expected it throughout my recent remarks) and is Technicals what's keeping Gold Lower, relative to circumstances. Regardless of that, the Daily chart’s Support (Medium-term) is Trading just few points below, at #3,200.80, if broken it can open doors for #3,127.80 extension and Support mark test and is alone a positive development for Sellers ahead of the end of the Trading week."
Technical analysis: Daily chart remains isolated within solid Descending Channel and being Bearish indicates a Short-term Selling opportunity towards #3,200.80 psychological mark if Support gets invalidated and NFP delivers upside surprise (what I indeed expect). Keep an eye on the DX especially when the U.S. session opens (Bullish Gap fill) throughout today’s session in order to get more information and pointers of the Intra-day direction. Gold got rejected at #3,200.80 - #3,227.80 Medium-term Support zone (many rejections on current pressure point) and since the pullback wasn’t Bought back above the Hourly 1 chart’s Buying accumulation zone, current Price-action points that the Selling sentiment remains unchanged as this is just one of early Trading weeks in May. That keeps the Hourly 4 chart’s Descending Channel valid (already converted to a Bearish Flag / messenger of Selling continuation ahead), with #3,262.80 configuration currently representing it’s local Lower High’s Upper zone).
Heading into pullback resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,275.29
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 23.6% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,350.60
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,168.44
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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XAUUSD LONG Buy At 3250 With SL3246 TPAt 3265
Reason: XAUUSD At 20 EMA. Below That, It Will Go To A Low Level. So Small Sl Below 20 Ema.
TARGET SUCCESSFULLYThis chart highlights a textbook liquidity sweep and reversal pattern in Gold (XAU/USD).
Key Levels:
- Resistance Zone: Clearly defined above 3,360, with multiple rejection points.
- Support Level: Around 3,250, acting as a strong demand area.
- Liquidity Zone: Price dipped below the support to trigger stop-losses and trap sellers before reversing upward.
Price Action Insights:
- After grabbing liquidity below the support zone, the price rallied back, confirming a reversal setup.
- The move reached the target zone at 3251.225, fulfilling the projected bullish objective.
Outcome:
The trade idea played out successfully with the target marked as complete. Now, price is hovering at the former support-turned-resistance zone.
Next Steps:
Traders should monitor for:
- A potential breakout above this zone for continuation.
- Or rejection signals for a short-term pullback.
XAUUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 3259.47 which is a pullback resistance aligning close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 3170.07, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 3343.42, an overlap resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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XAUUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of XAU-USD (Gold) with you.
Looking at the chart, I see a potential small price pullback towards around 3260. After reaching that level, I expect a further price decrease to 3167.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: After the pullback to 3260, a further decrease to 3167 is expected.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3260
Support: 3167
💬 What are your thoughts on XAU-USD this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
Gold key levels to watchGold has broken key short-term support between 3260-3284 (shaded in grey on the chart). This is a bearish development in the short term outlook from a technical point of view. But with the long-term trend being bullish, traders should take this with a pinch of salt. Key support levels are now approaching. $3200 is an obvious level to keep an eye on. Below that old resistance at $3167 comes into focus next. The line in the sand is at around the $3100 mark, where the bullish trend line is also converging.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Gold Short: Update to wave counts and H&SThis is an update to the Gold short idea that I posted yesterday. I showed how we can draw another head-and-shoulders and demonstrated how to use Fibonacci extensions set take profit targets.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Thursday. On the 4 hour chart, I have marked my area of interest to see if gold will keep pushing down or push back up to retest the breakdown area. Many times the overnight sessions get corrected with the NY open. Saying that, we may push up a bit only to come back down. Let's see how the 4 hour candle closes. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
GOLD UPDATEHello friends✌
As you can see, after a sharp price drop, gold has entered a range that has formed a double top pattern that warns us of a continued price drop, so be careful🔊📈
*Trade safely with us*
ZIGZAG wave-c has startedContinuing the previous gold analysis
It seems that wave-(b) is turning into a normal zigzag and wave-c has started from the zigzag. Wave-c of this zigzag could end in the range of $3200-3216 or $3104-3118.
After the zigzag ends, we will have another upward movement in gold.
Gold under Selling pressureTechnical analysis: Gold is being kept below the Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance zone of #3,292.80 - #3,300.80 despite the rejection on DX and continuous rise on equities, Gold didn’t manage to prepare the terrain for further the uptrend, according to my Technical estimations. Besides the High Selling Volume and evident Price-action showcasing of Bearish trend switch, #3,262.80 Support I mentioned which was about to be tested was invalidated and naturally Gold is on a decline (as I expected it throughout my recent remarks) and is Technicals what's keeping Gold Lower, relative to circumstances. Regardless of that, the Daily chart’s Support (Medium-term) is Trading just few points below, at #3,200.80, if broken it can open doors for #3,127.80 extension and Support mark test and is alone a positive development for Sellers ahead of the end of the Trading week.
My positions: All my Selling order are concluded at this point.
