XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAUMUSD Tactical Map - XAUMO ZONE INTEL — MUST KNOW LEVELS
Zone
Price Range
Purpose
Yellow Zone
3281 – 3285
Liquidity Trap / Stop Hunt / Fake Break Zone
Green Zone
3286 – 3292
Bullish Ignition Area — breakout activates longs
Red Zone
3292 – 3305
Bearish Rejection — Supply slap zone
KEY S/R ZONES
Resistance: 3285 / 3305 / 3315
Support: 3215 / 3201 / 3170
Dead Man’s Land (No Man’s Zone): 3235–3250 (fakeout noise)
FULL CAIRO SESSION BEHAVIOR MAP
BULLISH SCENARIO: Ride the Rocket
Time (Cairo)
Session
Behavior
Execution Plan
10:00 AM
London Open
Dip to 3215 sweep, fake breakdown
Buy Stop 3230, SL 3214, TP 3260
11:00–12:30
London Push
Momentum push to 3250–3260
Add on breakout + volume, trail SL to 3238
1:00–3:00 PM
Pre-NY
Sideways coil, triangle base
Wait for wedge breakout above 3265
3:30 PM
NY Open
Fakeout dip, then explosion up
Buy Stop 3286, SL 3265, TP1 3305, TP2 3315
4:30+ PM
NY Continuation
Ride trend if VWAP holds
TP at exhaustion, RSI > 60 confirms run
BEARISH SCENARIO: Slice the Floor
Time (Cairo)
Session
Behavior
Execution Plan
10:00 AM
London Open
Fake pump above 3250 to trap longs
Sell Limit 3248, SL 3260
11:00–12:30
London Fade
Breakdown, lower highs
Sell Stop 3220, SL 3235, TP1 3201
1:00–3:00 PM
Pre-NY
Dead bounce into sell again
Re-enter short at 3240 on rejection
3:30 PM
NY Open
Slam candle down
Sell Stop 3214, SL 3235, TP1 3201, TP2 3170
4:30+ PM
NY Continuation
Freefall if RSI < 40
Hold runners into 3170, tighten SL above 3210
HYPOTHETICAL STRIKE ORDERS
Primary Bearish Order (High Probability – “Execution Blade”)
Type: Sell Stop
Entry: 3214
SL: 3235
TP1: 3201
TP2: 3170
Confidence: 88%
Reason: Volume flush under Ichimoku cloud with engulfing pattern confirmation. NY volatility is the trigger.
Primary Bullish Order (Breakout Missile)
Type: Buy Stop
Entry: 3286
SL: 3265
TP1: 3305
TP2: 3315
Confidence: 65%
Reason: Break above liquidity trap with volume spike post-NY. Needs RSI > 55 and divergence confirmation.
Scalp Setup (Early Killshot)
Type: Buy Stop (Fade Reversal)
Entry: 3230
SL: 3214
TP: 3250
Confidence: 70%
Reason: London opening trap sweep and snap back.
SCALP / SWING ACTION ZONES
Scalp: 3220–3235 (Fade traps, use tight stops)
Swing: 3215 Break = DUMP into 3201/3170
Only Swing Long if 3285 flips into solid support post-NY
Strategic Checklist
When to Strike:
→ Confirmed volume + price behavior at mapped levels (3215 / 3285)
When to Defend:
→ If price chops inside 3235–3250. No entry. Let market choose.
When to Scalp:
→ During liquidity sweep or fake NY dips. Quick TP, tight SL.
When to Swing:
→ Only on confirmed session breakouts (NYO flush or pump).
FINAL WORD FROM XAUMO
The battlefield today is volatile, full of liquidity traps and engineered fakeouts. Your weapon is precision timing, not prediction. Watch volume, read rejection wicks, and strike with purpose. No mercy. No hesitation.
XAUUSD Double TopOn the daily chart, XAUUSD has formed a potential double top pattern, and short-term bears have the upper hand. Currently, we can focus on the support near 3200. If it falls below, it is expected to continue to fall, and the downward target is the previous demand area of 2974-3022. During the day, we can focus on the rebound shorting opportunities in the 3268-3282 area.
Gold Holds Key Support Ahead of CPIOANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) edged higher to $3,255 early Tuesday as traders awaited the US April CPI report. While the 90-day US-China tariff truce improved market sentiment and limited gold’s upside, geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East, and South Asia continue to drive safe-haven flows. A de-escalation in US-China trade tensions triggered the recent pullback, with price failing to reclaim the $3,271 resistance. The $3,213 area remains a major support. A break above $3,271 is needed to resume bullish momentum, while failure to hold $3,213 could expose $3,127.
Resistance : $3,271 , $3,305
Support : $3,213 , $3,127
XAUUSD - Approaching Major Pullback Zone.The daily chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) shows a clear uptrend characterized by higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). We've recently seen a significant push to a new higher high, but price action now indicates a potential pullback.
Currently, the price is retracing and approaching what appears to be a **major pullback zone**. This zone is further emphasized as a **weekly Fibonacci retracement level**, suggesting a strong area of potential support.
Traders should watch for price action within this zone for potential bullish reversal signals. A successful hold above this level could indicate a continuation of the overall uptrend. Conversely, a break below this zone could signal a deeper correction.
**Key Points:**
* Established uptrend with HH and HL formations.
* Price currently in a pullback phase.
* Approaching a **major pullback zone**.
* This zone aligns with a **weekly Fibonacci retracement level**, increasing its significance.
* Monitor price action within this zone for potential trading opportunities.
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**Disclaimer:** This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own thorough research before making any trading decisions.
Gold Trade Plan 12/05/2025Dear Traders,
The upward trend in gold continues. Considering the news from the U.S. and China, if the price breaks above the 3370 level and stabilizes above it, the bullish trend will continue. Otherwise, I expect a pullback to the 3270 level or lower.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Bullish bounce off pullback support?XAU/USD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,202.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 3,151.11
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 3,344.32
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold is in a short-term weak oscillation.Yesterday morning, gold gapped down and continued to decline. It bottomed out near 3207 and rebounded for correction. The fluctuations during the European and American trading sessions were limited, maintaining a narrow trading range. In the US session, it surged to 3248 and then declined. Although it didn't reach a new low, the sideways movement is not a signal of a trend reversal.
This morning, the gold price first dropped and then rebounded to above 3230 and traded sideways. For today's operation, it is recommended to adopt a bearish strategy. The key resistance level is at 3260. If it breaks through this level, the bullish trend may resume. The support level is at 3200, and it is expected that the gold price will trade sideways within this range in the short term.
Technically, the hourly chart shows a sideways movement at a low level with alternating positive and negative K-lines. On the daily chart, the price has broken below the moving average system and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a bearish trend for gold in the short term. The operation strategy is as follows: Short when the price rebounds to the range of 3250-3255, with the target price at 3220-3210 and the stop-loss set at 3260. If the market strengthens during the European session, take profits before the US session.
XAUUSD
sell:3250-3255
tp:3220-3200
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold fluctuates and bottoms out, stabilizes and reboundsThe monthly chart of gold is in an upward trend, and the long-term trend is neutral and upward; the weekly chart has a high shooting star, and the medium-term trend is expected to fall; the daily chart failed to hit the previous high and ran downward, and the short-term trend is expected to fall; the intraday short-term broke through the 3248 suppression and continued upward, and the short-term stopped falling. So far, the market has been repeatedly sorted above the 3215 area, and the short-term shorts slowed down and showed signs of stopping falling! Note that if the one-hour closing today breaks above the 3348 area, then the shorts should be careful, and there is a high probability that the market will bottom out and reverse, that is, a new round of band bulls will start! At that time, everyone can directly choose the opportunity to buy the bottom! From the 4-hour chart of gold: At this time, the short-term 5-day is expected to cross the 10-day, then above 3240 will become a certain support performance, and the key strong support is still the annual average line moving up to 3200; one resistance is the big Yin high point in front of 3290, which is also the dividing pressure, and the strong pressure is the middle track 3293, or close to the 3300 mark; pay attention to the gains and losses between support and resistance. On the whole, the short-term operation suggestion for gold is to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3270-3290 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3215-3225 line of support.
XAUUSD at Critical Support – Bullish Continuation or Pullback 🔍 Market Overview
The chart shows a technical setup with clear support and resistance zones, alongside key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to guide directional bias.
📊 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: ~$3,445–$3,460
This is a historically reactive area where price has reversed sharply in the past. A breakout above this zone would suggest strong bullish continuation.
Strong Supporting Zone: ~$3,375–$3,390
Currently being tested. If the price holds here, it could act as a launchpad for a bullish move toward resistance.
Support Zone: ~$3,320–$3,340
If the strong support breaks, the next downside target would be this zone, which aligns with the 200 EMA (blue line) — a dynamic support level.
📈 Moving Averages
50 EMA (Red): Currently at $3,345.60, serving as a short-term dynamic support.
200 EMA (Blue): Currently at $3,304.13, marking a critical longer-term support. Price staying above this EMA reflects a bullish bias.
🔀 Probable Scenarios
Bullish Case (Preferred Scenario)
If price holds the strong supporting zone and breaks above current highs (~$3,395), it could rally toward the resistance zone at $3,445–$3,460.
Break and close above resistance may open the door for further upside continuation.
Bearish Case
A rejection from current levels or a break below $3,375 would likely lead to a retracement toward the support zone ($3,320–$3,340).
A break below the support zone and the 200 EMA would shift the structure into bearish territory.
✅ Bias & Recommendation
Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish
As long as the price remains above the strong supporting zone and 50 EMA, bulls have the upper hand.
Look for confirmation with a higher low or bullish engulfing candle before entering long.
Trade Idea:
Long Entry: On bullish confirmation above $3,395
Target: $3,445–$3,460
Stop Loss: Below $3,375 (support break)
XAUUSD 12/5/25Following our change in bias last week on gold, we continued to follow the bearish narrative into new lows after taking out the highs we identified at the beginning of the week. Now, we're looking for a similar setup — a potential pullback into those previous highs to give us the shift downward we’re anticipating.
That said, I believe gold may have more potential to move directly into our target zones without a significant pullback. Still, we keep that scenario on the table, as it's part of the trading plans we build from these key levels.
Of course, we don’t expect price action to simply go bullish and hand us perfect shorting opportunities. But we do believe that if price pulls back into certain areas, it could continue to deliver the downside movement we’re expecting.
Remember, we’re following a rule set. We’re sticking to our risk parameters and allowing the system to guide us. We’re not trading just because price moved down — we had a clear understanding of what we wanted to see, and price continues to respect that structure.
Stick to your plan, follow your risk, and let Orion lead the way.
Orion is bearish, and so are we.
Trade safe. Stick to your plan. Always follow Orion.
HelenP. I Gold will rebound from trend line to resistance zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After an aggressive rally from the support zone, the price has been consolidating just below the resistance area. What’s important now is how price behaves around the trend line, which has acted as dynamic support since early April. The most recent pullback landed exactly on this line, where buyers quickly reacted, forming a higher low. This move suggests that the bullish structure remains intact and buyers are defending their positions. The market is currently hovering near 3325, but with momentum slowly building and no major bearish breakdowns, it’s reasonable to anticipate another push higher. The resistance zone between 3405 and 3435 is the next key area, and it aligns with the top of the recent impulse move. If XAUUSD holds above the trend line and breaks through the 3405 level, we could see a continuation toward 3435, my current goal. Overall, the market shows a steady uptrend, supported by rising lows and a strong reaction at the trend line. Until this structure is broken, I remain bullish. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Risk aversion in China-US negotiations cools down!Gold closed with an "inverted hammer" positive line this week. The upper shadow line was mainly due to the continued stimulation of gold's safe-haven properties by the news at the beginning of the week. However, the tariff war with previous lessons helped the gold price to hit a historical high of 3500. The reaction of gold prices to this news this week was not as enthusiastic as before, which also led to the stop of the rise at 3439. The announcement of the interest rate decision in the second half of the week was in line with expectations. The gold price plunged 170 points in two days and stabilized above the 3300 mark as of yesterday's closing. Based on the previous evening star combination and this week's inverted hammer, it is believed that the gold price will continue to fall next week and will close below the real time, that is, below 3306.
From the perspective of daily K, this week is generally a trend of rising and falling, and a slight rebound follows after the decline at the end of the week. Weekly Review We continue with the analysis of the second half of the week. From the perspective of the gold price trend since the high point of 3500, the first wave of decline has been considered to be over. The rebound from 3200 to 3439 did not exceed the previous high, so we will continue to analyze the second wave of decline, and strictly implement this idea in the operation. Now the overall trend of gold prices is also the same. Next week's operation will focus on the key suppression position of 3378 near the end of the week. If it cannot stand firm in the first half of the week, there is still a lot of room for further decline.
From the four-hour level, the triangle convergence pattern we analyzed is still there. Unexpectedly, there was a false break of the lower track in the Asian session on Friday. Next week, we still need to continue to pay attention to the support of this position. In general, next week, we will first pay attention to the operation of the range from 3378 to 3274, and wait for the break before I will re-analyze the structure. Once again, I would like to remind you that the news market is repeated, and the base of gold prices is too large, so the intraday volatility has also increased. It is also common to go up and down more than 100 points in a single day. Everyone needs to pay attention to the risk control of their positions.
In the short term, if we move to the hourly level, we can analyze the last wave of structure. The gold price rebounded after breaking through 3288 in the Asian session on Friday. After this action, the gold price rebounded quickly. Let’s not talk about who has the upper hand. From the last wave of rebound, the continuation is insufficient. If it is a restart of the bulls, the European and American sessions also need to cross the previous downward high point of 3368 to confirm. However, the European session was sideways throughout, and the US session also slightly continued the rebound trend and closed hastily. Therefore, at the opening of next week, it is necessary to continue to watch the gold price to test the support of the low point of the Asian session on Friday. In general, the operation ideas for next week are mainly high-altitude, and low-long also look at the rebound short-term.
GOLD - H4 PLANGOLD is in a sideways movement.
I hope the price reaches the range of 3320 to 3350 in the coming days, which will give them an opportunity to open a short position.
I do not believe in another definitive upward movement before reaching the area of approximately 3160.
SHORT PLAN
ENTRY ZONE: 3320 - 3350
TARGET: 3200 - 3160
LONG PLAN
ENTRY ZONE: 3200 - 3160
TARGET 1: 3400
TARGET 2: 3650
XAU/USD: Gold Regains Strength After Pullback – New Highs Ahead?By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, gold surged above $3400, reaching as high as $3439 before facing strong selling pressure, dropping sharply to $3359.
Currently, gold is trading around $3385, and if the price can hold above $3366, we may expect further bullish momentum. I believe gold is setting up for another move above $3400, potentially aiming to break into new highs once again.
THE LATEST ANALYSIS :
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GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again another smashing day on the charts today. After sharing updates and completing targets on our 1h chart idea; please now see update on our 4H chart idea, which is also playing out as analysed.
We started with our Bullish target hit at 3282, followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3343, which was hit perfectly. We then got ema5 cross and lock above 3342 opening 3404, also got completed. The cross and lock confirmation gave plenty of time to get in for the action.
No further cross and lock with ema5 above 3404 confirmed the perfect rejection, which we are seeing now, with price testing the lower Goldturns for support.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3282 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3224
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING RETRACEMENT RANGE
3190
3138
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3138 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3088 - 3046
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3046 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3015 - 2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold is at low.Gold is touching the low bound of the trendline! You will question about why this will work? Simple answer-bond interest rate is too high. If this has to control down, dollar has to move down, the gold need to move up. There are two cases that dollar will move down. One case is US want export, so cause dollar to go down. Second case is US market is weak and not pretending to be weak, it will lose attraction and move down. Both cases are true on dollar this time. So, gold will go up in my view!
Gold is still in a short-term bearish trendGold's 1-hour moving average continues to turn downward. If it crosses below to form a downward death cross, then gold's room for decline may further open up. The short-term short position of gold has not ended yet. Gold has a trend of falling again. The short-term trend of gold is still short.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3325, stop loss 3340, target 3290