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XAUUSDG trade ideas

XAUUSD Breakout or Pullback? Planning for My Next Move!👀 👉 XAUUSD is currently moving sideways within a range. I’m watching for a potential buying opportunity if it breaks above the range high or pulls back to a key support level. In the video, we discuss how price action might develop and what to watch for when identifying trade opportunities. Here, I’m sharing my trading plan and my approach to analyzing price action, market structure, and trends to spot potential setups. 🚨 Not financial advice.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
5
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 17-21 FEB, 20251. Double Top Formation: First Peak: The price reached the resistance zone ($2,940) and got rejected. Second Peak: The price attempted to break this level again but faced rejection, forming the second top. Neckline (Support Zone at $2,875 - $2,885): The price is now testing this area, which acts as a key decision point. 2. Bearish Confirmation (If Breakdown Happens): If the price breaks below $2,875 and closes below this level, it confirms the double top. The next potential downside target would be around $2,800 - $2,810 (measured move from the top to neckline). 3. Possible Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Rebound (Invalidates Double Top): If the price holds $2,875 - $2,885 and bounces up, it could retest $2,940 - $2,960 again. This would turn the pattern into a fakeout, leading to another bullish move. ❌ Bearish Breakdown (Confirms Double Top): A clean break and close below $2,875 signals more downside. Target: $2,810 (or lower if momentum continues). 4. Trading Strategy: Short Entry (Bearish): If price breaks below $2,875, enter a sell position. Stop-loss: Above $2,890 (to avoid fakeouts). Take profit: $2,810 (or trail SL if trend continues). Long Entry (Bullish Reversal): If price holds $2,875 - $2,885 and forms bullish confirmation (like a hammer or engulfing candle). Stop-loss: Below $2,870 to protect from a fake breakout. Take profit: $2,940 - $2,960. Final Thought: If this is truly a double top, a break below the neckline could trigger a bigger correction. But if buyers step in, it could flip into a breakout-retest strategy instead.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quinn901
7
GOLD MONTHLY LONG TERM RANGE ROUTE MAP ANALYSISMonthly Chart Gold (9th Feb 2024) Dear Traders, Attached is the updated Monthly Chart Roadmap for GOLD, showcasing our meticulous analysis and 100% target accuracy since October 2023. The Golden Circle areas on the chart emphasize our precise predictions and successful target achievements over the months. Previous Chart Highlights: * GOLD successfully hit TP1 (2286.35) and TP2 (2603.46), with the monthly candle closing above TP2. * EMA5 crossed and locked above the TP2 level at 2603.46, confirming strong upward momentum. * The EMA5 detachment process was successfully completed. * The Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 2790 provided robust support, facilitating a push toward higher levels. What’s Next for GOLD? This chart update includes revised entry levels, weighted target levels, and two critical GOLDTURN levels: 2742 and 2595. These levels act as strong support zones, where potential reversals may occur. If a reversal happens, prices are likely to retest any of these levels (marked in red) before bouncing back. Pay close attention to EMA5 near the Entry Level of 2742.55. If EMA5 crosses and locks above 2742.55, it will confirm bullish momentum and make the target of TP1 (2961) achievable with ease. Although short-term bearish movements may occur, the broader picture on the monthly chart suggests a long-term bullish trend. Temporary pullbacks strengthen the trend and provide excellent dip-buying opportunities near support levels, minimizing risk. Recommendations: For a detailed understanding of support structures and to identify ideal buying opportunities, refer to our smaller time frame analyses, including weekly, daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H charts. These provide actionable insights while aligning with the bigger picture of long-term bullish momentum. As always, we’re committed to keeping you informed with daily updates and insights. Don’t forget to show your support by liking, commenting, and sharing this post. Stay tuned for more updates on our Trading View channel. Trade Safe with Confidence! The Quantum Trading Mastery
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
xauusd video analysis for the weekXAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) Analysis: February 17 – Febrauary 25, 2025 This analysis provides an in-depth evaluation of gold’s potential trajectory over the specified period, integrating fundamental drivers, technical indicators, and expert forecasts. Key factors influencing gold include geopolitical risks, monetary policy shifts, inflation trends, and technical patterns. 1. Fundamental Drivers A. Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty Trade Tensions: The U.S. administration’s recent tariffs (e.g., 25% on Mexican and Canadian imports, 10% on Chinese goods) have amplified global trade risks, increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Middle East and China Risks: Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a slowdown in China’s economy (evidenced by a decline in the Caixin PMI) are further driving investors toward gold. B. Monetary Policy and Inflation Fed Rate Cuts: Expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 and dovish stances from the ECB and BoE are weakening fiat currencies, boosting gold prices. Inflation Hedge: Persistent inflation, driven by tariffs and supply-chain disruptions, enhances gold’s appeal. Analysts caution that U.S. inflation could exceed targets, forcing the Fed to reverse rate cuts, which may temporarily support the USD but ultimately favor gold. C. Central Bank Demand Central banks, notably China’s PBOC, are accumulating gold reserves to diversify away from the USD, creating structural demand. 2. Technical Analysis A. Short-Term Signals (February–March) Momentum Indicators: The RSI (26.05) and Stochastic Oscillator (14.5) signal oversold conditions, suggesting a potential rebound. Key Levels: Support: $2,830 (February 10 analysis) and $2,720 (ascending channel lower boundary). Resistance: $2,887 (immediate target) and $2,900 (psychological barrier). 2. Key Technical Levels Support Levels: Immediate Support: $2,880 – This level aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the recent rally. Critical Support: $2,850 – Represents the lower boundary of the ascending channel formed since late 2024. Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: $2,920 – A breach could trigger bullish momentum toward higher targets. Key Resistance: $2,959 – The upper boundary of the channel and a major psychological level. 3. Momentum Indicators Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 62, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory. Moving Averages (MA): 50-Day MA: Positioned at $2,910, offering dynamic support. 200-Day MA: Located at $2,780, signaling long-term strength. Stochastic Oscillator: Signals potential upside as it exits oversold conditions on the 4-hour chart. 4. Chart Patterns and Trends Ascending Channel: Gold continues to trade within an ascending channel, maintaining a bullish structure. Bullish Flag Formation: On the daily chart, a bullish flag suggests a potential breakout if prices sustain above $2,920. Candlestick Signals: Last Friday’s bullish engulfing pattern highlights strong buying interest. 5. Scenarios for the Week Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $2,920 could target $2,965 and $3,000. Momentum indicators support further upside if geopolitical tensions persist. Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold $2,880 may lead to a decline toward $2,850. Profit-taking or USD strength could pressure gold, particularly if U.S. economic data surprises positively. Bullish Targets/ Resistance 2890 2906 2928 2934 2959 2972 2987 3023 Bearish/Support 2872 2857 2841 2807 2781
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
6
0217-0221 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders, When events develop in an illogical manner, emotions and manipulation are often the first two factors to consider. 1. The "illogical" phenomenon behind last Friday's U.S. stock market surge Last night, U.S. stocks experienced a significant rally despite lacking fundamental support. However, from the perspective of economic data and market dynamics, this surge appears to lack rationality. 1. Inflationary pressures are significantly increasing In January, the Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation rate unexpectedly rose to 3.5% (higher than the expected 3.2%), while the core PPI inflation rate reached 3.6% (higher than the expected 3.3%). This marks the highest PPI inflation rate since February 2023. More importantly, this data confirms that the previous 0.5% month-on-month increase in CPI was not due to seasonal factors but rather a reflection of persistent inflationary pressures. 2. Employment data indicates an overheated economy Last week, initial jobless claims came in at 213K, lower than the expected 216K, while continuing claims reached 1850K, below the expected 1882K. This demonstrates that the labor market remains strong, and the "hot" employment data further reinforces concerns about an overheating economy. 3. Rate cut expectations are delayed With CPI, PPI, and employment data all exceeding expectations, the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have been pushed further back. Currently, the market generally anticipates the earliest rate cuts to occur in September 2025. Even worse, if the Fed's core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, which is expected to be released today, also shows an increase, the market may reprice rate hike expectations. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield has already broken out of its symmetrical triangle, with technical analysis suggesting its next target could be 5%, further strengthening expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes instead of continuing to cut rates. 4. Liquidity is shrinking On Thursday (February 13), the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) usage dropped to $67.82 billion, the lowest level since April 2021, indicating that market liquidity is rapidly contracting. From this data, it is evident that U.S. stocks lack fundamental support for their rally. However, under such circumstances, the significant rise in U.S. stocks raises questions about whether emotional trading and market manipulation are at play. --- 2. Crowded markets: Risk appetite reaches extremes Scott Rubner, Managing Director and Tactical Expert at Goldman Sachs Global Markets, published a report following last night's U.S. stock market rally, bluntly stating that this is his final bullish email on U.S. stocks for this quarter. He pointed out: > “Everyone is in this pool, including retail investors, 401(k) retirement fund inflows, beginning-of-year fund allocations, and corporations. The dynamics of fund flow demand are rapidly changing, and negative seasonality is approaching.” This suggests that the market is already too crowded, and the momentum for buying on dips is rapidly diminishing. The following data further confirms the extreme crowding in the market: 1. Assets in leveraged long equity ETFs reached a record high of $95 billion last week, compared to $67.6 billion during the stock market frenzy of 2021. 2. Since the third quarter of 2022, the total assets of funds using derivatives for long bets have tripled. 3. Assets in leveraged short equity ETFs decreased by $13.3 billion, falling to $8.5 billion. In other words, for every $1 in leveraged short ETFs, there is a record $11 in leveraged long ETFs. The level of crowding in market trading has reached an extreme, or even "crazy," state. This extreme risk appetite has planted hidden risks for the future trajectory of the market. --- 3. Why did gold pull back? In such an extreme market environment for U.S. stocks, gold, as a safe-haven asset, failed to reach new highs last Friday and instead retreated. The reasons behind this phenomenon mainly include the following: 1. A stronger U.S. dollar Due to rising expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes, the U.S. Dollar Index saw a significant rebound last Friday. Gold prices typically have a negative correlation with the dollar, and a stronger dollar directly suppressed gold's upward momentum. 2. Rising real interest rates The upward movement in the two-year U.S. Treasury yield and the market's repricing of the Fed's monetary policy caused real interest rates to rise. Gold, as a non-yielding asset, is highly sensitive to real interest rates. Rising real interest rates weaken gold's appeal. 3. Market sentiment shifting toward risk assets Despite the market's uncertainties, the strong performance of U.S. stocks attracted substantial capital inflows into risk assets. Increased risk appetite among investors reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. 4. Technical resistance From a technical analysis perspective, gold faced significant resistance near its previous highs. Profit-taking by bulls further exacerbated gold's pullback. --- 4. Technical Analysis Weekly Chart It is evident that gold has entered a period of consolidation near its top. Last week closed with a bearish candle, forming a multi-candle evening star pattern on the weekly chart, which is a bearish reversal signal. For the upcoming week, the trading strategy will focus on identifying short opportunities on lower timeframes. Four-Hour Chart The five-wave structure appears to have ended, with the final wave reaching higher and broader levels than previously anticipated. Considering the gradual formation of a top structure, next week's trading plan will focus on short opportunities below the four-hour EMA. --- GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
Gold (XAUUSD) 30Min – Short-Term Scalping SetupBearish Divergence & Resistance Rejection Price is reaching the strong resistance zone (2936 - 2940), near the ATH (2942.710). RSI shows bearish divergence, signaling potential weakness in momentum. A rejection from this resistance zone could trigger a short-term pullback. Possible Short Entry : Upon confirmation of rejection (e.g., bearish engulfing, wick rejections). Short-Term Targets (TPs): First TP: 2,928.762 Second TP: 2,921.587 Potential Next Moves: Short-Term Correction – A rejection from 2936 - 2940 could lead to a brief pullback toward support levels (2928 - 2921). Bullish Continuation – If price holds at support, we could see a new impulsive move toward the ATH (2942.710) and beyond. 📉 Scalping Play: Short from resistance with TPs at 2928 & 2921. 📈 Long Opportunity: If resistance breaks, look for confirmation of bullish continuation.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by uPaSKaL
Moustafa! 16.02.25 Gold in a correction retrace to my target! * I expected around month ago that Gold would reach to 2943 exactly and it was so right prediction. But in return I expect a bearish retrace after 2943 was hit, which was my bigger TP target. * We are in a big rising channel on the weekly frame (in turquoise). A bearish retrace followed the price touch to the channel upper line. * I do not think that it will go too much down but I still accept a logic correction in the price after the last bullish run to the new ATH * I think that it will reach neither to the bottom of the channel line nor to the day candle top of 31.10.2024 * The safest level I recognised is when the price reaches to that green line I drew at 2830.51 Note: My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by moustafa_marei
Gold price starts to adjust down sharply yet, next week?✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 02/17/2025 - 02/21/2025 🔥 World situation: Gold price dipped below $2,900 on Friday but remains on track for a strong weekly gain of over 0.80% as traders take profits ahead of the weekend. Despite mixed US economic data, the Greenback hit yearly lows, and US Treasury yields tumbled. XAU/USD is currently trading at $2,883, down 1.48% for the day. US retail sales saw a sharp decline in January, further weakening the dollar. However, gold found support as traders adjusted their positions, benefiting from safe-haven demand. Following the data, investors priced in multiple Fed rate cuts, driving the US 10-year Treasury yield down to 4.472%. Meanwhile, Industrial Production rebounded in January after a weak previous month. 🔥 Identify: The H4 frame is still in an increasing range, gold prices may soon adjust down more strongly, in the context of waiting for the Trump administration to take actions to impose taxes on other countries in the world. 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $2908, $2942, $2957 Support : $2831, $2790, $2722 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
Minutes of the Federal Open Market CommitteeCommittee participants began discussions related to their review of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy framework. This review is focused on two specific areas: the Committee's Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy, which presents the Committee's approach to the conduct of monetary policy, and the Committee's policy communication practices. The Committee's 2 percent longer-run inflation goal will be retained and is not a focus of the review. The manager noted that inflation offsets overall increased slightly. However, both the survey measures of inflation expectations and prices in the Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities market remained fairly consistent with predictions that inflation would return to the Committee's 2% inflation target. In money markets, the manager noted that a quarter-point lowering of the target range for the federal funds rate in December was fully carried over to other short-term rates. Additionally, the 5 basis point technical adjustment to the overnight reverse repurchase agreement (ON RRP) offering rate made in December appears to have been passed through almost entirely to the repurchase agreement (repo) rate.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLDAs a market structure specialist ,i don't play with line chart on multiple time frame in other to see my demand and supply phase of price action. when price switch from demand to supply or supply to demand ,it either comes for retest or outright breakout which will eventually come later to retest a broken structure in the future on timing. Its expected to look for alignment in higher time frame (monthly ,weekly,daily 4hr,2hr,3r,1hr in trading directional bias. ...30min is my point of entry.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The market is trading on 2941.7 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 2952.86 Recommended Stop Loss - 2937.0 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
GOLD Is Going Up! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for GOLD. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2,953.88. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2,994.97 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1