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Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 7/5/2025In my half year review, I expected next half year gold will continue its bullish drive. Overall picture shows a bullish momentum. However, the road is not straight and could be bumpy. In 2W TF, there is a three drive pattern indicated in the chart with three red arrows. An immediate price drop will follow from this pattern. Therefore, I am expecting the price to drop to 3180 before next take off. Next week's high is max at 3380 and could drop to 3260. Watch out the daily trading plan for more details next week.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by SteadyFund
Gold price rises by more than $100, will the bull run continue?📰 News information： 1. Geopolitical situation 2. PMI data 3. Global Central Bank Governors Meeting 📈 Technical Analysis： The NY session is about to begin, and there are two things we need to pay attention to. First, the PMI data, and second, the talks between global central bank governors. If Powell again hints that the inflation outlook is weaker than expected, this will increase the Fed's easing bets and trigger a new round of decline in the US dollar. The dovish tone may help gold prices to further rebound. On the contrary, if Powell makes some hawkish or cautious remarks, this may exacerbate the recent downward trend in gold prices. The key point at present is the 3350 mark. If the 4H closing line of the NY session remains below 3350, then in the short term we are expected to continue to retreat to the 3330-3320 range. If the 4H closing line is above 3350 and stabilizes, gold may rebound to the 61.8% position, which is around 3372. 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3340-3350-3355 TP 3330-3325-3320 BUY 3330-3320 TP 3340-3350-3372 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
4
GOLD (XAUUSD) | 4H OB Respected | waiting for 30m LH BreakPair: XAUUSD Bias: Bullish Timeframes: 4H, 30M, LTFs • 4H showing strong bullish structure — OB respected cleanly, confirming higher timeframe demand. • On 30M, now patiently waiting for the break of LH to confirm continued bullish intent. After that, looking for a sweep off a fresh internal OB for LTF entry confirmation. 🔹 Entry: After LH break + sweep + CHoCH on LTFs 🔹 Entry Zone: Within fresh internal OB post-LH break 🔹 Target: Near structure highs Mindset: Let the structure speak. No guesswork — wait for your levels, your break, and your confirmation. Precision over prediction. Bless Trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Juicemannn
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3301 and a gap below at 3242. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3301 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3301 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3370 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3429 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3499 BEARISH TARGETS 3242 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3242 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3089 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 3001 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
July 3, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis: Today, the NFP report will be released during the US session. Before Asian trading even began, the market saw a sharp downward move. It’s possible that both the Asian and European sessions will remain range-bound until the data release provides a clear direction. Until then, treat 3342–3365 as the primary range and focus on selling near resistance and buying near support within this zone. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3375 – Resistance • 3365 – Resistance • 3358 – Resistance • 3352 – Resistance • 3342 – Important support • 3337 – Support • 3328 – Key support • 3310–3312 – Intraday key support zone • 3300 – Psychological level 📈 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3342 → target 3337, then 3333, 3328, 3322 • BUY if price holds above 3348 → target 3350, then 3352, 3355, 3358 👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
XAUUSD: Gold Surges on U.S. Fiscal Reform ExpectationsGold remains firmly within a short-term bullish structure after rebounding strongly from the $3,258 support zone and forming a consolidation pattern just below the $3,342 resistance. This area marks the confluence of a descending trendline and a fair value gap (FVG), where buyers may gather momentum to break through. Fundamental news continues to favor the upside: concerns over the U.S. budget deficit and an upcoming tax reform package have boosted safe-haven demand for gold. Meanwhile, U.S. bond yields and the dollar remain low, further driving capital into precious metals. Yesterday, gold rose by approximately $33.49, equivalent to 3,349 pips, confirming strong bullish inflows. If price breaks above the $3,342–$3,356 zone, the next target could extend beyond the $3,400 mark. However, if short-term pullbacks occur, the $3,258 area remains a key support level to watch for potential bullish re-entry signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
6
XAU/USD) bearish reversal analysis Read The captionTechnical analysis of (XAU/USD) based on price action and technical indicators on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a --- Key Technical Insights: 1. Resistance Level (Highlighted Yellow Zone): Price is approaching a strong resistance zone (previous rejection marked by red arrows). This area has historically pushed price downward. 2. Trendline Support (Rising Black Line): Price has been following a short-term ascending trendline, forming higher lows. A break below this trendline signals potential bearish reversal. 3. EMA 200 (Blue Line): Price is currently above the EMA 200, indicating short-term bullish momentum. However, price is testing resistance — a rejection could flip momentum bearish. 4. Bearish Rejection & Projection: The chart shows an anticipated rejection from resistance, followed by a break of trendline support. Target zone is marked near 3,228.098, indicating a drop of ~94 points from the current level. 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is nearing overbought territory (68.79). A bearish divergence or RSI crossing down may confirm weakening momentum. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion / Trading Idea: Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: Near the resistance level (~3,322) Confirmation: Break of trendline support Target: 3,228 Stop-Loss: Above resistance zone (just over the upper trendline) --- pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SMC-Trading-Point
7
Gold Pulls Back After Strong US NFP Data📊 Market Overview: U.S. June Non-Farm Payrolls came in at 147,000 vs. 110,000 expected, strengthening the dollar and reducing expectations for a July Fed rate cut. As a result, gold dropped nearly 1%, trading in the $3,328–3,332 zone 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,350 – $3,360 • Immediate Support: $3,322 – $3,328 • EMA: Price has fallen below the 09 EMA, indicating a bearish short-term trend. • Candle/Volume/Momentum: A strong bearish candle with increased volume shows significant selling pressure post-NFP 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue its downtrend in the short term if the dollar remains strong and no fresh bullish triggers emerge. A drop toward $3,322–$3,328 is possible. 💡 Trade Ideas: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,342 – $3,345 🎯 TP: $3,322 ❌ SL: $3,348 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,322 – $3,325 🎯 TP: $3,345 ❌ SL: $3,316
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Bulls recover in new week, gold price returns to 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) regained some lost ground during Monday’s Asian session, buoyed by growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve may implement more interest rate cuts this year—and potentially sooner than previously anticipated. Such prospects weigh on the US Dollar, making the dollar-denominated metal more attractive to overseas buyers. However, the recent improvement in global risk sentiment—driven by the US-China trade accord and a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran—could reduce demand for Gold’s safe-haven appeal. Investors now turn their attention to upcoming comments from Federal Reserve officials, with speeches from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee expected later in the day. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price recovered, accumulating at the beginning of the new week around the price range of 3300. Still in the main downtrend. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3316- 3318 SL 3323 TP1: $3305 TP2: $3290 TP3: $3277 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3248-$3246 SL $3241 TP1: $3258 TP2: $3270 TP3: $3286 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
3
Gold Daily Review Dear traders, the sell-off last night directly brought the bulls back to their original form. The closing price of 3325 made most of the gains accumulated hard this week spit back. To me, this wave of market is a typical "data killing". The June non-agricultural data came out halfway, and the employment data was so strong that even the old foxes on Wall Street were surprised. Now the market's bet on the September rate cut has dropped directly from 70% to less than 50%. How can gold, which is "interest rate sensitive", withstand such a critical blow? From a technical perspective, the negative line of the daily line is indeed ugly, but I think the bulls should not die. Look at the 4-hour chart. The Bollinger Bands have begun to "tighten their belts", and the 3310-3365 box is clearly drawn. Today is Independence Day. The US market closed early. Those Wall Street wolves probably ran to the Hamptons for a pool party. We are likely to play a "lying flat" market in the Asian and European markets. I calculated with my fingers that the 40 USD range of 3310-3350 is enough for us to toss around. Remember - short orders at the upper edge of 3345 should be as fast, accurate and ruthless as "whack-a-mole", and long orders at the lower edge of 3325 should be as patient as a fisherman! The news is now "ice and fire". On the one hand, Trump's "big and beautiful" tax cut bill has just passed the test successfully. After this shot of booster, the US dollar and US bond yields are soaring like stimulants; on the other hand, drones in the Middle East are causing trouble again, and the small flame of geopolitical risk has not been extinguished. If you ask me, gold is like a "schizophrenic patient" now, jumping back and forth between inflation narratives and risk aversion sentiment. Specific strategy: ① Directly "operate from a height" near the rebound of 3345, set the stop loss at 3352, and the target position is the 3330-3320 range. Remember that this position is the "previous high neckline position" and the probability of breaking is not high. ② You can "lighten your position and fish" when it falls back to 3325. The defensive position of 3315 must be strictly guarded, and the target position is the pressure zone of 3335-3345
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Liz_Trading_gold
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – Gold (1H): 🔹 Pattern Disruption Identified: The chart previously followed a descending structure with lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish momentum. However, a temporary recovery (small bullish correction) appears after a sharp drop, disrupting the previous flow. --- 🔄 Disruption Points: 1. Break in Momentum (Structure Shift): The recent bullish correction (small upward leg) challenges the consistency of the descending trend. It signals a potential pause or trap in the current bearish move. 2. Price Rejection Area: Price attempted to bounce but failed to break above the previous lower high, indicating bearish strength remains intact, but is facing disruption from short-term buyers. 3. Volatility Spike: The long wick on the recent candle shows a volatility disruption, likely due to economic news or high-impact events (suggested by the ⚡ icon on the chart). 4. Target Zone Disruption: Though the yellow arrow points toward a bearish target, the slight upward pullback adds uncertainty about whether price will reach that level immediately.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
A LITTLE MORE RALLY?After price closed strong bearing the previous week, we have witnessed a massive rally back up into weekly highs. Even after 2 days of rally, this strong bullish pressure doesn't seem to be over looking at today's strong daily closure. We might just see price extend a little further into weekly highs as shown and now based on strong confirmations, a plunge back down into April's lows. A continuation of the rally may be seen after price taps into the current daily demand region as indicated on the chart. Fingers crossed for confirmations
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by KEMMATRADES
Excellent NFP sessionAs discussed throughout yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is Trading within #3,350's belt which represents crossroads for the Short-term. Either #3,362.80 - #3,368.80 break-out to the upside towards #3,377.80 strong Resistance, or #3,342.80 - #3,352.80 break-out to the downside towards #3,327.80 Support. Current Price-action is ideal for Scalping since I don't expect major movement until tomorrow's NFP numbers." Firstly I have re-Sold Gold almost all Wednesday's Asian session from #3,360's (Wednesday - Thursday) closing my orders on #3,352.80 then re-Bought Gold with set of aggressive Scalping orders from #3,345.80 towards #3,352.80. As NFP numbers were delivered, I have waited for decline to find a Support and Bought Gold aggressively from #3,312.80 and closed on #3,320.80. Later on, #3,332.80 Sold again (#4 aggressive Scalps) and closed on #3,327.80 and with mentioned order finalized excellent NFP session. Technical analysis: The Short-term Price-action is Trading within #3,327.80 - #3,352.80 belt as I can easily spot idle movements on Hourly 4 chart with #3,327.80 Support bounces but regardless, Gold is Trading within my predicted values. Spot though on the Hourly 4 chart how Technicals are showcasing different / mixed values, and Gold is isolated within Neutral Rectangle with detectable Higher Low’s Upper and Lower zone. This is what I described on my commentary as an Bearish Divergence (BD) and is usually a first alert that the trend might be pointing to even stronger takedown. See how the very same divergence has Traded since November - April. On the November #12 Low, the Price-action started rising on an Ascending Channel but only once the structure formed a new Low. Then again after mentioned Low’s, Gold started rising until the next Bullish Divergence (which means, after local Low's tested, Gold engaged parabolic uptrend). I am monitoring closely #MA50 on Daily chart which is pointer for new #1 - #3 Month cycle. My position: I will take no new orders as I am Highly satisfied with my returns / also it is holiday in U.S. as I do not expect major moves throughout the session (only ranging candles with Low Volume). Enjoy the Profits and have a great weekend!
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
GOLD (XAUUSD) 4H Technical Analysis – Channel Breakout & Target🧠 Executive Summary: The GOLD market has completed a key structural shift following a successful bearish trendline breakout, and is now trading within a well-formed ascending price channel. Price action has recently bounced from the channel support area, which aligns closely with a retested zone that was previously resistance. All signs now point to a potential continuation of the bullish leg—but only if the current structure holds. This analysis outlines the technical foundation, key trading zones, price action psychology, and risk management factors that define this setup. 🔍 Technical Breakdown 🔸 1. Trendline Breakout – The Structural Shift The bearish trendline, which previously capped multiple upside moves throughout June, has finally been broken. The breakout was accompanied by higher volume and larger bullish candles, indicating momentum. After the breakout, price pulled back near the trendline and respected the newly flipped support zone. This forms a classic Breakout–Retest–Continuation pattern, one of the most reliable in trend reversal scenarios. 🔸 2. Formation of Ascending Channel – A New Bullish Structure After the breakout, price action established a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows, confirming the birth of a new ascending channel. The channel support (around 3,320–3,330) has been tested multiple times and held strong. The channel resistance lies between 3,390–3,400, which is now the next short-term target if bulls maintain control. The channel offers both trend direction and entry timing opportunities as price bounces between its boundaries. 🔸 3. Retest Zone – Buyer’s Territory The price is currently bouncing off the mid-channel zone, where the previous downtrend resistance overlaps with current channel support. This confluence area is where smart money often enters after institutional accumulation at the base (around 3,270). The bullish wick rejections around this zone signal a likely continuation toward the upper channel. 📈 Price Behavior & Market Psychology What’s happening here isn't just lines and candles—there’s a psychological story unfolding: Fear drove the market lower, respecting the bearish trendline until late June. Hope and buyer aggression surged once the breakout confirmed. Now we’re in the "belief" phase, where traders await confirmation of the new trend. Many are watching for entry confirmation at support zones, and as long as fear doesn’t return (i.e., price breaking below 3,320), the structure remains valid. 🧭 Key Technical Levels to Watch Level Type Price Range Notes Major Support Zone 3,270–3,285 Key buyer zone, invalidation of bullish case below this Channel Support 3,320–3,330 Retest zone after breakout, current active level Mid-Channel Area 3,350–3,360 Decision zone – price may build momentum here Channel Resistance 3,390–3,400 First bullish target, potential breakout area Breakout Target 3,420–3,440 If price breaks channel resistance with volume 🧮 Trade Setup Ideas (Educational – Not Financial Advice) 🟢 Long Setup Option 1: Entry: Upon confirmation above 3,340–3,345 with bullish engulfing candle or breakout bar. Stop-Loss: Below 3,320 or slightly below channel support. Take Profit: Partial at 3,390 (channel top), full at 3,420–3,440 breakout zone. R:R Ratio: 1:2.5+ (highly favorable) 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Risk Management) If price closes below 3,320 with momentum, expect a revisit to the 3,270–3,285 support. This invalidates the current bullish channel structure and might bring in short-term bearish pressure. Avoid long positions until new structure is formed. 🧠 Educational Takeaway for Traders This analysis highlights the importance of: Structure-based entries: Instead of chasing candles, you wait for confluence and entry triggers. Multiple timeframe confirmation: Higher timeframes also show bullish bias, giving confidence to 4H trades. Risk management: The current setup allows tight stop losses relative to potential reward, making it attractive. By combining trendline breakouts, channel formations, and support/resistance flips, you significantly increase the probability of a successful trade. 📌 Final Thoughts: Gold is giving traders a clean and structured opportunity. The market has shown strength through structure, not just random price spikes. With the ascending channel intact and price respecting support zones, there is a solid foundation for a bullish continuation toward 3,400 and beyond. But as always, confirmation is key. Wait for price action to validate your bias, and never ignore risk management.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
1
Still short gold before breaking 3355After the release of NFP yesterday, gold began to fall sharply from 3352, reaching a low of around 3312; although it has gradually rebounded above 3340, the time span is not short, so the rebound is not strong; and the double top structure successfully constructed by gold in the 3365-3360 area in the short term still plays a technical suppression role in the short term, greatly weakening the rebound potential; and with the decline of gold yesterday, I think before gold recovers the 3352 starting point, gold will also be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. If gold cannot successfully break through this area during the rebound, gold is expected to retest the 3330-3320 area again. Because of the US Independence Day, the gold market will be closed in advance today. It is expected that gold will not have a breakthrough today, so it may be difficult to break through the 3345-3355 area in the short term, so we can still continue to maintain the trading rhythm of shorting gold in terms of trading. So I think shorting gold still has a lot of profit potential. We can short gold with 3345-3355 area as resistance and look to the target area: 3335-3325-3315.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen