XAUUSD - Local Bearish Trend and Retest of Support-ResistanceOverall Trend:
The chart shows that Gold (XAUUSD) has been in a downtrend over the depicted period, particularly after a significant drop around June 24th/25th from the higher price levels (around 3348-3350). While there have been attempts at recovery, the price has generally been making lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish momentum.
Key Observations and Potential Entry Points:
Liquidity Area (Resistance/Potential Retest Zone): -The yellow shaded area marked "Liquidity Area (Gold can Retest)" between approximately 3330 and 3348 acted as a strong resistance zone after the initial drop.
Potential Entry (Short): If the price were to rally back into this "Liquidity Area" and show clear signs of rejection (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns like pin bars, engulfing patterns, or failure to break above it), it would be a strong point to consider a short (sell) entry. The red arrow indicates this possibility.
Rejection Zone (Current Resistance): - The yellow shaded area marked "Rejection Zone" around 3310-3319 is currently acting as a significant resistance. The price has attempted to break above it multiple times and has been rejected.
Potential Entry (Short): This area also presents a potential short (sell) entry if the price retests it and shows clear signs of rejection. The current candle is below this zone, indicating the rejection has already occurred.
"Sell Below this Area" (Breakdown Point): - The blue shaded area around 3293.51 - 3287.80 is highlighted as a critical support level.
Strong Point to Enter Trade (Short): - The chart explicitly labels this as "Sell Below this Area." If the price breaks convincingly below this support level (with strong bearish candle close below and follow-through), it would be a high-conviction short (sell) entry point. This indicates a potential continuation of the downtrend to lower targets. The red arrow signifies this downward move.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): - The RSI (14) is currently at 28.33. This indicates that Gold is approaching or is in oversold territory. While oversold conditions can sometimes precede a bounce, in a strong downtrend, prices can remain oversold for extended periods. It's crucial to combine RSI with price action. If the price breaks below the "Sell Below this Area" with an already oversold RSI, it might suggest a strong bearish momentum overwhelming any immediate bounce.
Trade Entry Strategy Summary:
Aggressive Short Entry: Consider a short if the price retests the "Rejection Zone" (3310-3319) or the higher "Liquidity Area" (3330-3348) and shows clear bearish rejection.
Confirmation Short Entry (Strongest Signal): The most robust short entry highlighted is a confirmed break and close below the "Sell Below this Area" (3293.51 - 3287.80). This would signal a continuation of the bearish momentum.
Important Considerations:
Risk Management: Always define your stop-loss order (e.g., above the rejection zone or above the breakdown level) to limit potential losses.
Target Levels: While not explicitly marked with targets, after a breakdown, look for previous swing lows or significant psychological levels as potential profit targets. The red line at 3274.98 could be an initial target if the "Sell Below this Area" is breached.
Confirmation: Always wait for candlestick confirmation (e.g., a strong bearish close) before entering a trade.
Timeframe: This is a 2-hour chart. The analysis is valid for this timeframe, but always consider higher timeframes for broader trend confirmation.
News/Fundamentals: While this is a technical analysis, be aware of any upcoming economic news or events that could impact Gold prices.
In conclusion, the chart strongly suggests a bearish bias for Gold, with key resistance zones above and a critical support level below that, if broken, could lead to further significant downside.
Disclaimer Warning - Do your own research before trading in Gold, we are not responsible for your loss...
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you Influencing Factors on Gold Prices:
- Geopolitical Factors:
Trump announced a comprehensive ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which will greatly ease tensions in the Middle East. The market's safe-haven demand triggered by the Israel-Iran conflict will drop significantly, and investors' safe-haven buying of gold will correspondingly decrease, thus exerting downward pressure on gold prices. Historical experience shows that when there was an expectation of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, gold prices once fell significantly due to the reduction in safe-haven demand.
- Market Expectation Factors:
Although Fed Governor Bowman hinted at a possible rate cut in July, which is positive for gold, the impact of the ceasefire news may be more direct and significant. Currently, market expectations for a Fed rate cut remain uncertain—CME data shows the probability of a rate cut in July is only 8.3%. In this context, the cooling of risk aversion triggered by the ceasefire may temporarily dominate the trend of gold prices, causing gold to face correcton pressure.
- Technical Aspects:
Before the ceasefire news emerged, gold prices fluctuated in the range of $3,350-$3,395, with $3,350 providing certain support and $3,400 serving as the upper resistance level. It is expected that after the ceasefire news is announced, gold prices may test the support at $3,350. If the support fails, they may further fall to around $3,300.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD sell@3365~3355
SL:3380
TP:3345~3330
DeGRAM | GOLD dipped below the supply zone📊 Technical Analysis
● Price has broken the inner rising-trend support and is sliding inside a fresh descending channel; the current pull-back is stalling in the 3 350-3 365 supply zone, where the old trend-line and a June distribution block overlap, printing consecutive lower highs.
● The channel’s width and the purple flag just completed project to 3 295 support (May pivot + mid-channel); a close beneath it exposes the outer rail / March swing low around 3 245.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Hawkish Fed comments have pushed 2-yr yields back above 4.8 % and lifted the DXY, while CFTC figures show a third straight week of long liquidation, curbing bullion bids.
✨ Summary
Fade 3 345-3 360; sustained trade under 3 320 targets 3 295 ➜ 3 245. Short bias void on an H1 close above 3 365.
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Gold Price Analysis June 27Daily Trend Analysis:
The price has reacted strongly at the 3348 level, forming a clear and sustainable bearish structure. The 3296 zone is now a critical level — a confirmed breakout below this area could lead to a deeper decline, especially with limited potential for recovery on Friday.
Today, the bearish trend is likely to face less resistance compared to the bullish side. As such, a move toward the support zones at 3278 and 3255 is highly probable.
Any bullish retracement during the European session should be viewed as a good opportunity to look for SELL setups, targeting 3278 and 3255.
As previously analyzed, SELL zones are clustered around key resistance levels. Traders should closely watch price reactions in these areas for potential entry signals.
🔹 Breakout key level: 3296
🔹 Support zones: 3278 – 3255
🔹 Resistance zones: 3300 – 3312 – 3325 – 3336 – 3348 – 3363
Bullish journey from here 24 th juneMarket in the last 2 weeks was on a bearish journey and it's time now ready for it's bullish move. Now the market at 4 hour chart and it's strong support and eventually will take it's turn heading towards 3390. So it's good to trigger your buy ordered around 3330-3326 area
Gold Eyes $3,361 in Bearish Setup📊 Technical Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) – 30-Min Chart
Chart Context:
Timeframe: 30-minute
Instrument: CFDs on Gold (USD/OZ)
Current Price: $3,386.282
Price Change: +14.757 (+0.44%)
Date: June 23, 2025
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🔍 Key Observations:
1. Descending Triangle Formation
The chart shows a descending triangle, characterized by:
A flat support zone around the $3,351–$3,355 range.
A descending resistance trendline, suggesting lower highs over time.
This is typically a bearish pattern, indicating that sellers are pressuring price lower.
2. Breakout and Retest
There was a recent breakout above the descending trendline (highlighted with a blue move).
However, the price may be performing a false breakout or retest, as a downward arrow suggests a potential reversal back toward the support.
3. Volume and Market Sentiment
Although volume is not shown, the chart’s structure implies selling pressure is still dominant after each rally is rejected.
Price remains within a consolidation box, indicating indecision — but leaning bearish due to the triangle pattern.
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🎯 Target: $3,361
The label "Target 3361" marks a likely support level if the bearish pattern plays out.
This is a measured move from the triangle height and structure, projecting downward from the breakdown point.
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🛑 Support Zones
Strong demand zones highlighted in red between $3,325–$3,340.
If price breaks below $3,351, expect a drop to $3,325–$3,330, which are historical demand areas.
GOLD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅GOLD has printed some
Lower high and lower lows
So despite a long-term uptrend
We are locally bearish biased
Which is reinforced by the recent
Bearish breakout of both the
Rising and horizontal support lines
So we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
With the target of retresting
The key structure below around 3,300$
SHORT🔥
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XAU/USD: Range Trading Awaiting BreakoutCore Logic:
1.Macro Drivers: Powell's dovish remarks continue to reverberate, with U.S. Treasury yields declining, the U.S. Dollar Index breaking below 97, and the debt ceiling extended to July 24—safe-haven demand props up gold prices.
2.Technical Outlook:
Currently trading in a $3,300–$3,350 range, with shrinking volume reflecting market caution.
Trend Projection:
- Likely to remain range-bound between $3,300–$3,350; a breakout will depend on progress in previously mentioned catalysts.
- If data misses expectations or geopolitical risks (e.g., Iran tensions) escalate, gold may rally to $3,360; otherwise, it could test $3,300 support.
Trading Strategies:
- Long positions: Enter lightly at $3,300–$3,310, stop-loss at $3,290, target $3,340.
- Short positions: Sell on rejection above $3,345, stop-loss at $3,360, target $3,320.
- Risk management: Cap single-trade exposure ≤3% to mitigate data-driven volatility.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Scalping Strategy Using BOS & OB | Gold Spot | by Mohsen MozafarDescription:
> This is a 30-minute scalping setup on Gold Spot (XAU/USD), based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) — focusing on Break of Structure (BOS) and Order Blocks (OB).
Analysis and strategy are prepared by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad.
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📊 Market Context:
Current Structure: Bearish
Short-Term Market Structure: MSU (Market Structure Up)
Efficiency: Confirmed (clean price action & response zones)
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🧠 Technical Highlights:
1. Double BOS confirms recent shifts in momentum
2. TLQ (Top Liquidity Quest) formed after HH (Higher High) and liquidity sweep
3. Key Demand OB identified (labeled A) — valid based on BOS confirmation
4. Expecting a bounce from OB (A) towards (B) as a reaction to unfilled imbalance
5. Potential drop from TLQ zone (B) to (C) if liquidity is fully absorbed
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🎯 Scalping Plan:
Entry Zone:
Order Block at (A), waiting for CHoCH or bullish price action confirmation
(preferably on lower timeframe like M5)
Stop Loss:
Just below OB (around 3327)
Take Profits:
TP1: Near TLQ / Extreme zone (B)
TP2: Further liquidity grab or possible continuation above previous HH
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❗ Alternative Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold at OB (A) and breaks below 3327 with BOS,
→ short opportunity opens toward new lows at 3314–3310 (labeled C).
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✅ Summary:
This is a clean scalping setup following SMC principles:
BOS → OB → Liquidity → Reaction
Focus on structure, precision, and quick confirmation signals.
Prepared by:
📌 Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
Gold fluctuates at high levels, intraday trading points📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial unemployment claims data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold has begun to show signs of bottoming out in the short term in the past two days. Since the daily line bottomed out and pulled up, the daily line closed positive yesterday, and the bulls began to counterattack, and the 1H low was rising. If it doesn't fall further in the short term, it will most likely bottom out and rebound. The upper pressure is at the Bollinger middle track of 3355, which is also the high point of Tuesday's decline. If gold breaks and stabilizes at this price, it will have a larger upward space, and the upper side will look at 3385. In the 4H chart, MACD temporarily forms a golden cross, which is a bullish signal; but the BOLL track pressure is still there, and gold bears still have momentum in the short term. Therefore, on the whole, in the short term, gold should pay attention to the 3350-3360 resistance above. If it encounters resistance under pressure here, it can consider shorting. Pay attention to the 3330-3320 support area below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3350-3360
TP 3340-3330-3320
BUY 3330-3320
TP 3340-3350
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TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Could we be entering another phase of gold consolidation?Gold's impressive rally from 2023 to 2025 completed the two-fold formation of the cup-and-handle pattern.
Notably, while gold would typically rally in response to heightened geopolitical tensions—such as the Israel-Iran conflict and the B2 bombing of nuclear power plants—it has instead shown resilience by retreating and displaying minimal sensitivity to these events. This unexpected behavior suggests that gold may be entering a consolidation phase despite the prevailing uncertainties.
As a Tier I asset under Basel III regulations, gold remains a fundamentally strong investment and is expected to resume its upward trajectory, reaching new all-time highs post-consolidation. The $2,800–$3,050 range presents a favorable entry point for market participants.
XAUUSD Daily Analysis
Gold is currently trading at a premium level after rejecting recent highs. The market is showing signs of weakness with a series of lower highs, suggesting a potential retracement. A key level to watch for a possible reaction or turnaround is around $3,225, which aligns with previous structural support and falls near the discount zone of the recent range. If price reaches this area, it could offer a favorable risk-reward opportunity for buyers depending on the reaction.