XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold Price Analysis June 27Daily Trend Analysis:
The price has reacted strongly at the 3348 level, forming a clear and sustainable bearish structure. The 3296 zone is now a critical level — a confirmed breakout below this area could lead to a deeper decline, especially with limited potential for recovery on Friday.
Today, the bearish trend is likely to face less resistance compared to the bullish side. As such, a move toward the support zones at 3278 and 3255 is highly probable.
Any bullish retracement during the European session should be viewed as a good opportunity to look for SELL setups, targeting 3278 and 3255.
As previously analyzed, SELL zones are clustered around key resistance levels. Traders should closely watch price reactions in these areas for potential entry signals.
🔹 Breakout key level: 3296
🔹 Support zones: 3278 – 3255
🔹 Resistance zones: 3300 – 3312 – 3325 – 3336 – 3348 – 3363
DeGRAM | GOLD dipped below the supply zone📊 Technical Analysis
● Price has broken the inner rising-trend support and is sliding inside a fresh descending channel; the current pull-back is stalling in the 3 350-3 365 supply zone, where the old trend-line and a June distribution block overlap, printing consecutive lower highs.
● The channel’s width and the purple flag just completed project to 3 295 support (May pivot + mid-channel); a close beneath it exposes the outer rail / March swing low around 3 245.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Hawkish Fed comments have pushed 2-yr yields back above 4.8 % and lifted the DXY, while CFTC figures show a third straight week of long liquidation, curbing bullion bids.
✨ Summary
Fade 3 345-3 360; sustained trade under 3 320 targets 3 295 ➜ 3 245. Short bias void on an H1 close above 3 365.
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Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you Influencing Factors on Gold Prices:
- Geopolitical Factors:
Trump announced a comprehensive ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which will greatly ease tensions in the Middle East. The market's safe-haven demand triggered by the Israel-Iran conflict will drop significantly, and investors' safe-haven buying of gold will correspondingly decrease, thus exerting downward pressure on gold prices. Historical experience shows that when there was an expectation of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, gold prices once fell significantly due to the reduction in safe-haven demand.
- Market Expectation Factors:
Although Fed Governor Bowman hinted at a possible rate cut in July, which is positive for gold, the impact of the ceasefire news may be more direct and significant. Currently, market expectations for a Fed rate cut remain uncertain—CME data shows the probability of a rate cut in July is only 8.3%. In this context, the cooling of risk aversion triggered by the ceasefire may temporarily dominate the trend of gold prices, causing gold to face correcton pressure.
- Technical Aspects:
Before the ceasefire news emerged, gold prices fluctuated in the range of $3,350-$3,395, with $3,350 providing certain support and $3,400 serving as the upper resistance level. It is expected that after the ceasefire news is announced, gold prices may test the support at $3,350. If the support fails, they may further fall to around $3,300.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD sell@3365~3355
SL:3380
TP:3345~3330
Next Week Gold Trend Forecast & Trading TipsDuring this round, the price was sold off sharply from the historical high of 3,500 to 3,120 before rebounding. After consecutive rallies, it faced pressure and fell back to 3,452 due to the fading of market risk aversion. On Friday, it rebounded from a low of 3,340. The daily chart recorded a consolidative bearish candle, with the K-line combination leaning bearish, while the 4H chart showed signs of stopping the decline.
In the short term, it is expected to consolidate below 3,400 next week. For the medium term, attention should be paid to the geopolitical crisis and the Federal Reserve's July interest rate decision. A breakthrough node will be ushered in after confirming the resistance above 3,400.
On the short-term 4-hour chart, the support below is focused around 3,340-45, and the short-term resistance above is around 3,380-85. The key focus is on the suppression at the 3,400-05 level. The overall strategy of going long on pullbacks within this range remains unchanged. For medium-term positions, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines, avoid chasing orders, and patiently wait for entry at key levels.
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Bullish journey from here 24 th juneMarket in the last 2 weeks was on a bearish journey and it's time now ready for it's bullish move. Now the market at 4 hour chart and it's strong support and eventually will take it's turn heading towards 3390. So it's good to trigger your buy ordered around 3330-3326 area
GOLD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅GOLD has printed some
Lower high and lower lows
So despite a long-term uptrend
We are locally bearish biased
Which is reinforced by the recent
Bearish breakout of both the
Rising and horizontal support lines
So we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
With the target of retresting
The key structure below around 3,300$
SHORT🔥
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XAU/USD: Range Trading Awaiting BreakoutCore Logic:
1.Macro Drivers: Powell's dovish remarks continue to reverberate, with U.S. Treasury yields declining, the U.S. Dollar Index breaking below 97, and the debt ceiling extended to July 24—safe-haven demand props up gold prices.
2.Technical Outlook:
Currently trading in a $3,300–$3,350 range, with shrinking volume reflecting market caution.
Trend Projection:
- Likely to remain range-bound between $3,300–$3,350; a breakout will depend on progress in previously mentioned catalysts.
- If data misses expectations or geopolitical risks (e.g., Iran tensions) escalate, gold may rally to $3,360; otherwise, it could test $3,300 support.
Trading Strategies:
- Long positions: Enter lightly at $3,300–$3,310, stop-loss at $3,290, target $3,340.
- Short positions: Sell on rejection above $3,345, stop-loss at $3,360, target $3,320.
- Risk management: Cap single-trade exposure ≤3% to mitigate data-driven volatility.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Scalping Strategy Using BOS & OB | Gold Spot | by Mohsen MozafarDescription:
> This is a 30-minute scalping setup on Gold Spot (XAU/USD), based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) — focusing on Break of Structure (BOS) and Order Blocks (OB).
Analysis and strategy are prepared by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad.
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📊 Market Context:
Current Structure: Bearish
Short-Term Market Structure: MSU (Market Structure Up)
Efficiency: Confirmed (clean price action & response zones)
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🧠 Technical Highlights:
1. Double BOS confirms recent shifts in momentum
2. TLQ (Top Liquidity Quest) formed after HH (Higher High) and liquidity sweep
3. Key Demand OB identified (labeled A) — valid based on BOS confirmation
4. Expecting a bounce from OB (A) towards (B) as a reaction to unfilled imbalance
5. Potential drop from TLQ zone (B) to (C) if liquidity is fully absorbed
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🎯 Scalping Plan:
Entry Zone:
Order Block at (A), waiting for CHoCH or bullish price action confirmation
(preferably on lower timeframe like M5)
Stop Loss:
Just below OB (around 3327)
Take Profits:
TP1: Near TLQ / Extreme zone (B)
TP2: Further liquidity grab or possible continuation above previous HH
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❗ Alternative Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold at OB (A) and breaks below 3327 with BOS,
→ short opportunity opens toward new lows at 3314–3310 (labeled C).
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✅ Summary:
This is a clean scalping setup following SMC principles:
BOS → OB → Liquidity → Reaction
Focus on structure, precision, and quick confirmation signals.
Prepared by:
📌 Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
Gold Eyes $3,361 in Bearish Setup📊 Technical Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) – 30-Min Chart
Chart Context:
Timeframe: 30-minute
Instrument: CFDs on Gold (USD/OZ)
Current Price: $3,386.282
Price Change: +14.757 (+0.44%)
Date: June 23, 2025
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🔍 Key Observations:
1. Descending Triangle Formation
The chart shows a descending triangle, characterized by:
A flat support zone around the $3,351–$3,355 range.
A descending resistance trendline, suggesting lower highs over time.
This is typically a bearish pattern, indicating that sellers are pressuring price lower.
2. Breakout and Retest
There was a recent breakout above the descending trendline (highlighted with a blue move).
However, the price may be performing a false breakout or retest, as a downward arrow suggests a potential reversal back toward the support.
3. Volume and Market Sentiment
Although volume is not shown, the chart’s structure implies selling pressure is still dominant after each rally is rejected.
Price remains within a consolidation box, indicating indecision — but leaning bearish due to the triangle pattern.
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🎯 Target: $3,361
The label "Target 3361" marks a likely support level if the bearish pattern plays out.
This is a measured move from the triangle height and structure, projecting downward from the breakdown point.
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🛑 Support Zones
Strong demand zones highlighted in red between $3,325–$3,340.
If price breaks below $3,351, expect a drop to $3,325–$3,330, which are historical demand areas.
Gold fluctuates at high levels, intraday trading points📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial unemployment claims data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold has begun to show signs of bottoming out in the short term in the past two days. Since the daily line bottomed out and pulled up, the daily line closed positive yesterday, and the bulls began to counterattack, and the 1H low was rising. If it doesn't fall further in the short term, it will most likely bottom out and rebound. The upper pressure is at the Bollinger middle track of 3355, which is also the high point of Tuesday's decline. If gold breaks and stabilizes at this price, it will have a larger upward space, and the upper side will look at 3385. In the 4H chart, MACD temporarily forms a golden cross, which is a bullish signal; but the BOLL track pressure is still there, and gold bears still have momentum in the short term. Therefore, on the whole, in the short term, gold should pay attention to the 3350-3360 resistance above. If it encounters resistance under pressure here, it can consider shorting. Pay attention to the 3330-3320 support area below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3350-3360
TP 3340-3330-3320
BUY 3330-3320
TP 3340-3350
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TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Could we be entering another phase of gold consolidation?Gold's impressive rally from 2023 to 2025 completed the two-fold formation of the cup-and-handle pattern.
Notably, while gold would typically rally in response to heightened geopolitical tensions—such as the Israel-Iran conflict and the B2 bombing of nuclear power plants—it has instead shown resilience by retreating and displaying minimal sensitivity to these events. This unexpected behavior suggests that gold may be entering a consolidation phase despite the prevailing uncertainties.
As a Tier I asset under Basel III regulations, gold remains a fundamentally strong investment and is expected to resume its upward trajectory, reaching new all-time highs post-consolidation. The $2,800–$3,050 range presents a favorable entry point for market participants.