XAUUSD - The Wyckoff MethodGold is illustrating a classic Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic on 4-hour timeframe, highlighting a transition from a markdown to a markup phase. Initially, the price drops sharply in the markdown phase, falling from around $3,520, signaling strong selling pressure. This is followed by the accumulation phase, where the price consolidates between approximately $3,105 and $3,215 as institutional players quietly accumulate positions. A brief dip below this range forms the spring around $3,104.16—a false breakdown intended to trap sellers—before the price quickly recovers. The subsequent break of structure above $3,214.30 confirms a shift in market sentiment, leading to a clear buying point in anticipation of a bullish move. Price then enters the markup phase, targeting highs near $3,495.13, with a protective stop-loss ideally placed just below the spring. This structure suggests a strong bullish setup. Ideally this trend can be rode until a strong bearish divergence is observed on the Relative Strength Index
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold Mirage Trap: The Ultimate Liquidity Heist-[12May2025]What Retail Traders Don’t See in Today’s Gold Moves Institutional Liquidity Manipulation – A Step Ahead of Illusion Analysis
My view is rooted in fact and data—no noise, no distraction, no rush. X-Plus, the system I designed, precisely maps liquidity and movement. A smart trader remains independent, confident, and waits for confirmation before acting.
Introducing X-Plus: The Ultimate Precision System for Liquidity Mapping The market thrives on deception—misdirection, false breakouts, engineered liquidity traps. X-Plus exposes the illusion, pinpoints institutional execution layers, and keeps traders ahead of liquidity hunts instead of becoming their victims.
Before reading further, here is my take: This sequence represents the real institutional mechanics being set up for today’s move:
First up —a deceptive liquidity sweep above $3,379, creating false bullish momentum. Then down —a sharp selloff, breaking below $3,265, targeting deeper liquidity around $3,169. Finally, a sharp up —a fast recovery, engineered to trap bears, before surging toward the next 3-drive pattern peak of wave D.
Let's see how it will play out, yeah?
Retail traders will think they understand the trend, but institutions are controlling every step of the trap—this is a pure liquidity engineering play.
The inducement phase isn't just clearing liquidity—institutions are layering orders in dark pools while pushing a false trend onto visible exchanges. The pre-bell setup isn't about creating FOMO for retailers—it's actually about internal clearing for institutional portfolios that need rebalancing ahead of NYSE.
Macro Price Engineering Beyond SMC Narratives
Retail traders believe the pre-bell liquidity sweep is setting trend direction, but in reality, it’s engineering spread control for futures market execution. Volatility spikes aren’t retail-driven—they’re forced by institutional hedging adjustments in the fixed-income derivatives market, which most traders don’t factor into gold moves.
The Hidden Psychological Manipulation Behind Today’s Price Action
The illusion of market control isn't just baiting traders into stop-hunts—it’s actually resetting sentiment indicators that institutions use to fine-tune algorithmic executions later in the session. The price structure you're seeing isn't about accumulation or distribution—it's about forcing incorrect risk-reward calculations on retail traders so they mismanage their sizing, setting up deeper liquidity for NYSE execution.
The Real Execution Plan – Not Just a Reflection of Speculation
Liquidity sweeps aren't designed for direct stops today—they're actually pre-loading supply zones before derivative contract adjustments trigger auto-liquidation mechanisms. The predicted downside move isn't incorrect, but the true reversal won't happen where retail traders think—it'll be forced at a miscalculated low to trap institutions into forward-roll risk positions. NYSE won’t just sweep the bears before climbing—it’ll use forced dealer hedging activities to inflate volume before rejecting most breakout traders who take the upside move too early.
Gold Price Action Breakdown 📍 Current Market Levels Front Month Gold Contract: $3,326.30 (Last Settlement Price)
Resistance Zones: $3,360-$3,365, $3,400 (Psychological Barrier) Support Zones: $3,265-$3,264, $3,223-$3,222 (Next Downside Target)
⏳ Key Timing for Institutional Moves
Asian Pre-Bell (Next 2-3 Hours): Expect high-frequency stop-hunts targeting retail traders entering positions too early.
London Session Open (Critical Pivot Point): This will be the moment institutions flush liquidity out before positioning for the true move.
NYSE Session (True Move Unfolds): Gold renounces sharply, sweeping bears before the next 3-drive pattern peak of wave D.
🚀 Institutional Execution Strategy
Synthetic liquidity mirage—volume spikes will appear, but they’re not real demand, just engineered liquidity traps. Dark pool positioning—institutions will offload positions in hidden exchanges, making the real move invisible until execution. Delayed execution trap—the true reversal won’t happen immediately, forcing traders to hold onto losing positions longer than they should.
Conclusion: The Illusion Will Break—But Only for Those Who See It
Markets are designed to deceive—price action isn’t just movement, it’s manipulation. Today’s liquidity engineering is a masterclass in institutional deception, and only traders who understand where the true execution layers lie will emerge unscathed.
Retail sentiment will chase breakouts, stop-hunts will lure in emotional entries, and miscalculations will force premature exits. But behind the illusion lies the real institutional mechanics—the precise sequence of moves that will dictate today’s liquidity flow.
Gold Mirage Trap: The Ultimate Liquidity Heist is unfolding. Let’s see who escapes the trap and who falls into it.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on systematic liquidity mapping through X-Plus and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions are subject to manipulation, engineered liquidity events, and institutional strategies beyond the scope of retail trading. Traders are responsible for their own risk management, execution, and decision-making. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GOLD → Failed to Break Ressistance and Prepare to FallingYesterday, GOLD attempted to break through the resistance area at 3,246.00 but faced a rejection.
Today, a new resistance zone appears to be forming, indicating a potential shift in momentum toward a bearish trend.
The nearest target is identified at 3,127.00.
Safe trade, best regard
Prafi
Institutional Move Loading? Gold at Critical Liquidity Zones. Gold is holding above a major liquidity zone at 3211, while the key resistance at 3274 and 3320 remains untested. Based on current price behavior, I’m watching two possible scenarios:
📊 Scenario 1 – Liquidity Sweep & Drop:
Price could sweep the 3274 level, trapping late buyers.
Followed by a move downward toward 3193–3186, where significant historical liquidity lies.
📊 Scenario 2 – Fakeout Above 3320:
Gold might push up to test 3320, a major zone that hasn’t been touched yet.
This could trap both buyers and sellers, then reverse strongly toward 3193–3186, and possibly deeper.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
🟥 SELL ZONES:
3274 (current liquidity zone)
3320 (unresolved key resistance)
🟩 BUY ZONES:
3193 & 3186 (liquidity support)
🔥 Major Buy Zone: 3168 – multiple confirmations for a potential trend reversal here.
⚠️ REMINDER:
Gold is driven by institutional volume – charts can mislead when big money steps in. Even from here, a new ATH (All-Time High) is possible. Don’t trade blindly. DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and follow price action closely.
✅ Trade Safe | Trust the Process | Let Price Action Lead
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #LiquidityHunt #TradingView #GoldTraders #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #PriceAction #GoldForecast #RiskManagement
GOLD XAUUSD Trade Plan for coming week Chart Analysis Overview:
🔹 Key Level: 3280-3270
> This level acts as the decision point for the next move.
> The price is currently hovering just above it, making it crucial for short-term direction.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Sell Setup)
Trigger: Break below 3270
: Entry Zone: Around or shortly after the break
Targets:
>> TP1: 3225 <<
>> Final TP: 3200 <<
A clean break below 3270 indicates bearish momentum and could signal continuation to the downside, aligning with the previous low structure.
✅ Notes:
Enter only after a 1H candle closes below 3270.
Watch for a possible retest of 3270 as resistance before the drop.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Buy Setup)
: Trigger: Price holds above 3270 and forms a higher low.
: Pattern Forecasted: A retracement followed by an impulse wave upward.
: Targets:
>> TP1: 3350
>> Final TP: 3400
Rationale: If support holds at 3270, a reversal pattern is expected, targeting the previous resistance areas.
✅ Notes:
Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, hammer) near 3270.
Avoid chasing if the price shoots up without a clean pullback.
Gold's Bull Market Ends as It PlungesToday's opening saw the success of the first Sino-US negotiation. This news instantly wiped out the bulls. Some of the previous gains came from the uncertainty of tariffs. Now that risk aversion has subsided, it has directly suppressed the market. There is an oversold rebound demand around 3200. You can enter the market in batches at 3200. Pay attention to the MA5 moving average of 3260 for upper resistance. As long as the price below does not break 3200 today, you can enter the market in batches and gradually move up.
Gold: Short-Term Elliott Wave OutlookGold: Short-Term Elliott Wave Outlook
Gold is currently displaying a classic Elliott wave pattern, specifically an ABC correction. In this case, the C wave appears to be overextended.
Looking closer, the C wave has completed a five-wave sequence, which often signals the end of the correction. This suggests that Gold could be ready to resume its bullish trend.
In strong trends, these wave patterns create deep pullbacks before the price continues moving in the main direction.
Key price levels to watch:
3356
3405
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Start going long on goldAt present, the trend of gold is relatively calm, but as gold rebounds, a certain support strength has been shown below; and the short-term negative news has all appeared, and gold needs to rebound at the technical level. Therefore, I think we can try to go long on gold in small batches in the current area of 3230-3220, and expect gold to continue to rebound to the 3250-3260 area, or even the 3280-3290 area.
Trading strategy:
Try to start going long on gold in small batches in the 3230-3220 area; TP: 3250-3255
GOLD LONG SIGNAL|
✅GOLD went down sharply
And hit a horizontal support
Area around 3206$ from where
We will be expecting a local
Rebound therefore we can
Enter a long trade with the
TP of 3266$ and the SL of 3191$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.