Gold can correct to support line of channel and then start growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. In this chart, we can see how the price, after forming a triangle structure and breaking out to the upside, Gold entered a downward channel, where it has been consistently respecting both the resistance and support lines. Each bounce from the lower boundary of this channel signals local buyer interest, especially near the support level around 3060, which also overlaps with the buyer zone. Recently, the price rebounded from this support line, indicating a potential start of a bullish correction inside the channel. This move is consistent with past price behavior, strong impulses from the bottom boundary followed by gradual movement toward the upper resistance line. Given the structure and the ongoing bounce, I expect Gold can correct the support line of the channel, after which it turns around and starts to grow to the 3290 resistance level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the pattern and the beginning of the seller zone. That’s why my TP 1 is set at 3290 points - a reasonable technical target within the current channel formation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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XAUUSDG trade ideas
Moody's downgrade hits the US dollar!In today's Asian session, gold rose slightly after opening and then turned down, falling to a low of $3204/ounce before rebounding, and consolidating in a narrow range of 3210-3220. After entering the European session, gold strengthened, reaching a high of around $3239. Technically, the 2-hour MACD indicator formed a golden cross, and the gold price has stabilized on the middle track on the 3-hour chart, but the 2-hour Bollinger band opening narrowed, indicating that the price fluctuation space is limited. Based on the current trend, it is recommended to adopt a buy on dip strategy.
Operation strategy:
Gold is recommended to buy near 3225 when it falls back, with a stop loss at 3202, and a target of 3235-3245. Hold if it breaks.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateRed boxes are working well allowing traders to navigate the ranges and trade the moves no matter what price.
We can see there was a break and close and the higher red box was hit, we had an EXC target up there that was shared and gave us over 400pips of capture to hit TP over night. That same box gave us a RIP for the short.
We have support here 3310 with resistance on the flip at 3320.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3320 for 3330, 3342, 3350 and 3357 in extension of the move
Break below 3306 for 3295, 3274 and 3160 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe
KOG
It’s the right time to shortUS President Trump recently criticized Fed Chairman Powell again, calling him "slow to act" and emphasizing that the Fed should cut interest rates as soon as possible to support the economy. Trump believes that delaying interest rate cuts may lead to the risk of recession in the US economy, but the Fed still takes inflation and employment data as the core of decision-making, and the two sides have obvious differences in policy positions.
At present, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations have been postponed and the magnitude has been reduced. Coupled with the expectation of rising US bond yields, the gold market sentiment has weakened. The world's largest gold ETF recently reduced its holdings by 8.98 tons to 918.73 tons, reflecting the cooling of institutions' short-term bullish enthusiasm for gold. Technically, gold prices continued to weaken after breaking through key support last week, and the weekly closing was negative, suggesting that shorts were dominant; the daily level was constrained by the 20-day moving average, and the volatile downward trend may continue in the short term. Focus on the 3250-3265 line resistance during the day. If it cannot break through, the $3,200 mark below may face a test.
Gold recommendation: short sell when it rebounds to 3245-3252 range. Target 3230-3220.
Gold Market AnalysisI anticipate that gold will continue its bullish momentum. During the Asia session, I expect price accumulation around 3195–3206. Moving into the London session, we might see a manipulation towards the sell side, aiming to shake out early buyers—so stay vigilant and hold your positions. Finally, in the New York session, I predict a strong distribution phase, pushing prices to higher levels.
Buyers, stay confident and hold strong!
GOLD trending higher: Can buyers push towards 3,350$?Right now OANDA:XAUUSD is a classic case of a market trading within an ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both its upper and lower borders.
The price has broken above a clear resistance zone and may pull back for a retest. This area also happens to coincide with the golden pocket of the recent swing and so it deserves special attention. If it holds as support, then that would be a confirmation of the bullish structure with the most likely possibility of a move towards 3,350, the middle side of the channel.
As long as the price stays above this support zone, the validity of the bullish setup is still there. If it does not, the short-term bullish outlook would therefore be interrupted and might be followed by further downside pullback.
Be sure to use proper risk management always.
Is there still a chance for short sellers to make a profit?At present, gold continues to rebound to around 3230, and the intraday rebound has reached $100. Today, both short trades have touched SL, giving back most of the profits of the long positions in the morning. So are there still opportunities for shorts to make profits?
I think there are still considerable profit opportunities for shorts. Although gold has rebounded strongly to around 3230, it will soon face the short-term resistance area of 3240-3245, which happens to be the 38.2% split area when it retreats from 3435 to 3120, so this area has a certain suppression effect on gold in the short term! Then there is the suppression effect of the area around 3260; so I think there are still considerable profit opportunities for gold shorts. As gold rebounds, the short-term support below is raised to 3200-3190, followed by 3175-3165.
Trading strategy:
Consider trying to short gold in the 3235-3245 area, TP: 3200-3190
Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound?Gold Price Volatility: Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound?
💥 Market Outlook:
Today’s market is seeing unpredictable movements, with gold making significant drops and then rebounding sharply in the last two days. Are the recent news developments aligning with the price action, or is it just a major coincidence?
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Looking at the D1 and H4 charts, you can clearly see the breakdown, but gold quickly bounced back to the 325x area and reacted. The 3254–3256 zone is a key level that holds strong for sellers on both daily and H4 candles. If gold continues to hold below this level, the bearish trend remains strong, and another sharp drop could happen before the weekend.
If the 3254–3256 level is broken, the price may push toward the 327x, possibly even the 328x levels. However, this will be dependent on whether this critical support is maintained.
Trend Continuation or Reversal?
From a technical perspective, gold is still in a downtrend, and the current bounce is likely just a retracement before continuing lower. However, in terms of macro news, the USD is continuously dealing with bad inflation data, affecting the recovery of DXY (USD). The market is very sensitive to trap candles, and there may be false breakouts, so proceed cautiously.
There are also some news reports indicating that the US and China have reached a minor détente, but tensions remain around trade restrictions, imports, exports, and the use of rare earth minerals. Things are unpredictable with these two powers. Today, there are updates on tariffs, so keep an eye out!
📊 Key Resistance Levels:
3237
3251
3261
3276
3287
📉 Key Support Levels:
3205
3188
3170
3143
🎯 Trading Plan:
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3172 – 3170
SL: 3166
TP: 3176 → 3180 → 3184 → 3188 → 3192 → 3196 → 3200
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3142 – 3140
SL: 3136
TP: 3146 → 3150 → 3154 → 3158 → 3162 → 3170 → 3180 → 3190
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3160 – 3162
SL: 3166
TP: 3156 → 3152 → 3148 → 3144 → 3140 → 3130 → 3120
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3255 → 3250 → 3240
⚠️ Risk Management:
With strong volatility today, manage your risk carefully. It’s essential to adhere to your TP/SL to protect your account. Stay cautious, as there is a lot of unpredictability in the market with the upcoming news.
Conclusion:
Given the unpredictability of the market and geopolitical tensions, it’s wise to trade with caution today. Watch the critical support and resistance levels closely and stay flexible, adapting your strategy based on how the market evolves.
📣 Stay tuned for more updates and trade smart!
Can a V-shaped reversal continue the bull market?🗞News side:
1. Hamas official: If a permanent ceasefire is achieved, control of the Gaza Strip can be handed over
2. Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed is adjusting its overall policy-making framework. Zero interest rates are no longer a basic situation. The wording of underemployment and average inflation rate needs to be reconsidered. PCE is expected to fall to 2.2% in April.
3. Russia and Ukraine reached a ceasefire at the technical level
📈Technical aspects:
Yesterday, the gold price staged a V-shaped reversal and once rose to close near 3244. Although the technical indicators in the hourly chart show a favorable situation, there has been no correction in the current round of gold price increase, and the rise is slow. In addition, the RSI has entered the overbought area, so we need to be alert to the possibility of gold price correction today. Focus on the 3250-3260 resistance on the top and the 3210-3200 support on the bottom.
SELL 3245-3250 TP 3210-3200
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
GOLD 4H CHART DEEP ANALYSIS - TRADE IDEA📊 XAU/USD Chart Update – 4H Structure
🕓 May 20 – Session Outlook
Current Price: ~3,224.75
Gold is currently ranging just below key resistance at 3,239.97, holding support at 3,210.00.
🔍 Key Levels
🔹 Resistance:
– 3,239.97 (current ceiling)
– 3,264.60
– 3,290.55
🔹 Support:
– 3,210.87
– 3,179.59
-3,154.92
⚖️ Market Read
Price is ranging between 3,210 and 3,240 with higher lows forming, showing bullish pressure building up. EMAs are stacked slightly bullish (5 EMA above 21 EMA), but momentum is still waiting for a breakout.
🔮 What to Watch For:
🟢 Bullish Scenario
– Break and retest above 3,240
– Target: 3,264 – 3,290
– SL below 3,220
🔴 Bearish Scenario
– Rejection from 3,240
– Short idea back to 3,210 or 3,179
– SL above 3,240
🧠 Let the market decide — don’t force anything inside the range.
Breakout or rejection will give the next clean opportunity.
– Sensei 🥋
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis: Short Setups Shine in a Tight Market! Hey everyone, Skeptic here! After checking out the market today, I’m zeroing in on XAU/USD (Gold) for some prime short opportunities. 😊 Let’s dive into the charts and unpack why this could be a sweet setup. We’ll start with the Daily Timeframe to get the big picture. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
Gold’s been riding a strong major uptrend, but we’re now in a corrective phase. Here’s what’s going on:
Trend Context: We’ve had a robust bullish trend, with weak corrections and sharp, high-momentum rallies.
Double Top Formation: A double top formed, and after breaking its neckline, we’ve entered a secondary corrective trend.
Key Levels:
Bullish Continuation: A break above the ceiling at 3416.19 confirms the major uptrend’s continuation.
Deeper Correction: A break below support at 3126.75 could push us down to 3019.98.
Recent Candles: They’re getting smaller and tighter, signaling market indecision. The next few days could define Gold’s direction—up or down.
This compression means we need to be ready for a breakout in either direction. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to find our long and short triggers and understand why this tightness matters.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
After the first corrective wave hit the 3126.75 support, we’ve entered a continuation triangle pattern. Here’s the plan:
Short Setup:
Trigger: A break below the triangle’s floor at 3206.32 is a solid short opportunity.
Why It Works: This is a continuation pattern, so no extra confirmation is needed—price action leads the way.
Outlook: Red candles have shown more strength than green ones, and the pattern supports bearish momentum from the prior wave, making a downward break more likely.
Long Setup:
Trigger: Wait for a break above the resistance at 3249.68 .
Confirmation: Look for support from RSI or SMA to boost confidence.
Risk Management: Keep position risk low, as the bearish momentum is stronger right now.
My Take: I’m leaning toward a bearish move due to stronger red candles and the pattern’s bearish bias. For shorts, use reasonable risk, but for longs, tighten your risk to stay safe. 😎
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it really helps! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
GOLD correction in progress Gold giant cup and handle formation in progress and price hit one of our internal resistance levels with price tagged at $3500 which currently acting at the current ATH, the plan now is to wait for the price correction towards the $2800 zone to complete the mini correction before further continuation towards the final setup target as shown on the chart.
Check out all the previous analysis on Gold that showcase cup and handle outlook.
Bearish Setup for Gold (XAU/USD)
Current Price: ~3,334 USD
• Expected Move: Short-term rise to 3,380–3,390, then a strong drop.
Reasoning:
• Completing an Elliott Wave triangle (E wave) at resistance.
• Harmonic pattern (Gartley/Bat) aligns with this reversal zone.
• Resistance lies within a descending channel.
• Bearish Target: ~3,050–3,030
• Trade Setup: Consider shorting near 3,380–3,390 with stops above 3,400.
TVC:GOLD
Gold's V-shaped reversal restarts its upward trend!Technical analysis of gold: Gold has a perfect V-shaped reversal today. It opened at 3177 and fell unilaterally in the Asian session. After touching 3120, it rose slowly. As of the time of writing, it has completely recovered its decline and is currently trading around 3220. I have analyzed the European session. After the gold price broke through the extreme drop of 3200, it needs to be repaired, but it has taken another rebound correction. The analysis also gave attention to 3198 to 3202 to continue to be bearish. With the slow rise and break, the bearish view is invalid. Now make a new analysis.
From a technical point of view, gold is now back above 3200, and the daily line is a big positive. It is undoubtedly absolutely strong. The key point is the gains and losses of 3200. If the retracement does not exceed 3200, then gold is extremely strong. On Friday, we will continue to see the daily line closing positive rise, but if the retracement is below 3200, the daily line cycle may close again, and there will be a continuous rebound to 3235 and 3260. Therefore, the key point today is to pay attention to the gains and losses of 3200.
The performance of the 4-hour cycle may now bottom out in the medium term. After the decline and rebound, the 4-hour mid-term Bollinger opening is temporarily strong, but if the US market rebounds continuously and stands firm at 3200, there will be a continuous positive pattern at the bottom, breaking the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, then there is a great possibility that it will go to 3235. Therefore, gold in the late trading should not be inertially bearish because of the decline on Wednesday. Even if it is bearish, it is necessary to observe the gains and losses of 3200. As for trading, first pay attention to 3200 below and try to buy, and see if 3230 breaks and 3250 breaks.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3250-365, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3193-3200. All friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Flexible response is the best strategyGold rose sharply in the morning and continued to rise slowly during the day. Because of the divergence of indicators in the short cycle, it is difficult to exert further force. Today's market has been fluctuating between 3285 and 3320. In the evening, we will first look at the space for decline and repair, and then fall back to accumulate strength to stabilize and attack. The lower support will remain at 3285-3280, and then look at the low point of 3274. The upper resistance level will look at the existing high point of 3320. If it breaks through 3320, then pay attention to around 3345. Short positions will be entered when the pressure situation is met. Continue to remain bullish in the evening. In terms of operation, wait for a decline and gradually look up to 3320 and 3345.
Gold operation suggestions: go long on gold around 3290-3285, and look at 3315 and 3325.
Gold - Bearish Scenario Still in Play
🟡 GOLD INTRADAY – Phase-Based Strategy
🔴 Current Zone: Below $3,205
📉 Price is reacting to a key resistance area, indicating a potential short-term corrective phase.
🔍 Multi-Zone Analysis
🟣 Resistance Zone
↗️ $3,265 – $3,425
Several rejection attempts at this zone — strong selling pressure detected.
🟢 Support Zones
↘️ $3,050 – $3,080 (Phase 1)
↘️ $2,890 – $2,930 (Phase 2 – potential extension if broken)
📊 Intraday Scenario
🔽 If rejection below $3,205 is confirmed:
Phase 1: Short-term target towards $3,050 – $3,080
Phase 2: Further downside potential if this zone breaks
🔼 On the other hand, a move back above $3,265 would invalidate the bearish pressure and reopen the path towards $3,320 – $3,425
⚠️ Stay cautious of macroeconomic events and USD movements.
Gold remains highly sensitive to major economic announcements.
💬 Drop a boost if you agree with the setup & share your plan, preferred levels, or alternative scenario below 👇
GOLD 21/05 – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE VS. TECHNICAL LEVELSGOLD MARKET UPDATE 21/05 – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE VS. TECHNICAL LEVELS – BIG MOVE AHEAD?
Gold’s recent rally has paused as traders weigh the latest signals from the Federal Reserve. Despite geopolitical tensions and softer U.S. economic data, the Fed is sticking with a "higher-for-longer" interest rate policy, which has kept the U.S. dollar strong and put pressure on gold’s price action.
📉 However, the technical outlook suggests a different story.
⚙️ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Is It A Bearish Trap Or A Hidden Bullish Opportunity?
Looking at the 1H timeframe, XAU/USD is consolidating after reaching a major Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 3328–3356. This zone reveals significant volatility and potential liquidity grabs, with two key FVG zones forming above and below the current price levels.
There’s a potential bullish scenario if gold retraces to the 3250–3252 support zone, where strong trendline confluence and dynamic support are likely to drive demand.
On the flip side, any rejection from the 3354–3356 SELL ZONE could initiate a bearish trend, pushing gold lower to test key structural support levels.
💹 TRADING STRATEGY FOR TODAY:
🔵 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3252–3250
Stop Loss: 3246
Take Profit:
3256 – 3260 – 3264 – 3268 – 3272 – 3280 – 3300 – ???
🔵 BUY SCALP
Entry: 3277–3275
Stop Loss: 3272
Take Profit:
3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300
🔻 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3354–3356
Stop Loss: 3360
Take Profit:
3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3334 – 3330 – 3320
🔻 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3328–3330
Stop Loss: 3334
Take Profit:
3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300
🌍 MACRO INSIGHT
The Fed’s hawkish stance continues to weigh on gold, but geopolitical uncertainty and ongoing de-dollarization trends maintain gold’s appeal.
China, along with other central banks, is still actively accumulating gold, signaling that long-term bullish pressure remains intact.
Keep an eye on U.S. data this week, especially PMI and jobless claims, as these could act as short-term catalysts for gold.
📌 KEY NOTES
Volatility is increasing, so stay disciplined. Stick to your key levels and manage risk effectively. Patience and strategy will be key as the market moves in the coming days.
Stay alert and trade wisely!