Gold seeing further decline to down sideBased on the market condition price God looking as the bearish trend due to China and US War market will suggest low volume and also looking bearish tend but as slow volume here is the key Points for trading taking profit long-term.
Key Levels
Resistance zone 3328 / 3340
Support zone 3290 / 3250
if the price will stay in 3320 the next will be 3290 and also 3250 and long Term 3340,
As Always use proper risk management according to equity and must like and comments Thanks.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
The relationship between gold, copper and the US10YFirst, can you tell me what you think the relationship between these two curves is? Clearly, these two curves have a strong negative correlation, meaning they move exactly opposite to each other. You can see in the image that their behavior is like a mirror image (from 2007 to before 2022).
You are familiar with the gold-to-copper ratio, right? Now, when this gold-to-copper ratio curve rises, it means that gold is giving better returns compared to copper. This indicates that the global economy is moving away from growth and heading toward a recession. Investors, instead of investing in production (where copper symbolizes production), choose to invest in a safe haven like gold. The opposite happens when this curve goes down.
The lower curve represents the yield on long-term U.S. bonds. When this curve is rising, it means that the supply of bonds is greater than the demand. People are selling bonds, which causes the bond yield to rise. When the curve is falling, it means people are buying bonds, which causes the bond yield to drop.
Why do these two curves move in opposite directions?
Now, let’s get to the main question. The answer to this question is simple: bonds, like gold, serve as a safe haven for investors. When the economy moves toward a recession (when gold offers better returns than copper, and the gold-to-copper ratio is rising), some investors shift towards bonds, and the yield curve drops. That’s why these two curves move in opposite directions.
To summarize the entire story: Movement toward recession = investors moving toward gold and bonds = rise in the gold-to-copper ratio and drop in bond yield curve.
Now it’s clear why these two curves move opposite to each other. The big surprise is coming👇
Since the beginning of 2022, the historical trend has changed. These two curves have started to show a positive correlation! Meaning, everything I mentioned above has gone out the window! Now, the question is: What suddenly happened? There are several analyses, but I believe what changed is that U.S. bonds are no longer a safe haven for investors, as they once were (the same fear signal I mentioned earlier). In fact, after the pandemic, the world has never been the same. This is an important development and it affects many things. I’ve addressed this topic from various perspectives before, and here’s a new angle on it.
For the past two to three years, contrary to the historical trend, investors have been buying gold but selling bonds, and these two curves have been rising together.
As you can see, the analytical situation has changed drastically compared to, say, 10 years ago, and many fundamental facts have shifted. For instance, many people expect the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates and gold to go up again, but after an initial short shock, the story will probably reverse.
#Gold #XAUUSD #HG1!
Gold 1H Bullish Setup”There was a downtrend shown with a steep blue channel where price kept falling.
• After the downtrend, price reversed and moved sideways (consolidation).
• Resistance Line: A horizontal blue line on top of the consolidation shows resistance — price touched it twice but couldn’t break higher.
• Pattern:
• After failing at resistance, price fell again.
• It seems to have found support (around the lower blue dashed lines near 3236-3227).
• Prediction/Arrow:
• The blue arrow suggests that the price is expected to move up from the current area.
• Target could be a retest of the previous resistance near 3360.
In short:
This chart shows Gold has fallen into a support zone after a previous bullish setup, and the expectation is for a bullish move (uptrend) to begin soon.
XAU/USD) orderblok key Support Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Gold Spot against USD (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas presented:
Chart Analysis Summary:
1. Price Zones:
Supply Zone (Resistance): Around the 3,355–3,365 level.
Demand/Support Zone (Doer Block Support Level): Around 3,282–3,291.
2. Current Price Action:
Price is currently at $3,331.96, close to the supply zone, and bouncing between the zones.
There’s a sharp downtrend, which seems to be slowing down near the support level.
3. Projected Move:
The chart suggests a short-term dip back into the demand/support zone, followed by a bullish reversal.
Target Point: A move back up toward $3,498.36, which is marked as a significant resistance.
4. Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently around 36.64 and recovering, suggesting potential bullish divergence or an oversold condition.
200 EMA: Around $3,291.52, providing dynamic support — aligning with the lower demand zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
Trade Idea:
Buy Setup (Long Trade):
Entry: Near 3,282–3,291 (support zone).
Target: 3,498.36.
Stop Loss: Below the support zone (~3,270).
Overall Idea:
This is a reversal-based setup. The price is expected to retest the support before launching a bullish leg toward the target. The confluence of the EMA, support zone, and RSI near oversold adds weight to the potential for a bounce.
Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
DeGRAM | GOLD Held Support Level📊 Technical Analysis
Gold’s slide paused at $3 315; holding here keeps $3 500 – 3 520 in play.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
• PBoC has been buying for 5 months in a row.
• WGC expects strong demand from central banks in 2025.
• Trade wars, tensions in the Middle East and South Asia are causing risks that are increasing demand for gold.
• IMF warns new tariffs could slow growth, boosting safe-haven bids.
• Western ETFs had bought ≈240 t by mid-April.
• DXY is at 3-year lows and yields are down.
✨ Summary
Strong central-bank buying, renewed ETF inflows, softer USD yields and rising geopolitical risk align with chart support, favouring a rebound toward $3 500 – 3 520 while $3 315 holds.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
HelenP. I Gold may continue fall to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a strong bullish impulse, the price of Gold reached a local peak and started to reverse. Before that, the uptrend was developing within a clearly defined ascending channel, where the trend line acted as dynamic support multiple times. Each time the price touched this line, it rebounded and continued climbing higher. However, the most recent upward movement ended with a sharp pullback, which marked the beginning of a potential correction. At the moment, the price is trading below the recent high and has already started forming a corrective downward move. XAUUSD is now heading toward the important support zone between 3190 and 3160 points. This area is not only a key horizontal level but also intersects with the trend line, making it a strong confluence zone that may act as a magnet for the price during this phase. I expect that the Gold will make a minor upward move before continuing to decline, targeting the support zone at 3190 points, which is my current goal. Given the recent price rejection from the resistance and the bearish momentum building, a move toward 3190 looks like the most probable path. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for a test of that 3250 level, then looking for the short into the target level given. This move played out well giving our traders a great start to the week. We then identified the level we wanted as the bias level, gave the bias as bullish above and the targets to go with it. All targets were completed and we managed to end the week with a mega capture on gold.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Simple one this week. We would like to see how price adapts to the new range, and due to the slight stretch, we would say caution on long trades until we can see a support level confirmed. Our indi’s are suggesting a further move upside, so we would like to see an attack on that 3350-55 level first, which is where we may get a pull back, and then an attempt at higher pricing as shown on the chart.
We want to look to those higher resistance levels as potential short opportunities if visited first. Otherwise, we’ll look lower for the long trade again and as long as the set up presents itself, we’ll test the levels.
Due to news over the weekend and it being a bank holiday weekend, all of the above is subject to change as there are likely to be gaps on market open. Let’s see how it plays out, levels are levels!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink“Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink. 👀💣”
📅 Daily XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 25, 2025
Clean structure. No noise. Just logic.
🧭 MARKET CONTEXT
• Macro: No major USD catalyst. Yesterday's Unemployment Claims were neutral → price action driven by structure & liquidity.
• Sentiment: Gold remains in premium territory but failed to hold above 3355 in NY → suggesting smart money profit-taking.
• HTF Bias: Bullish (D1 trend intact, HLs hold)
• LTF Flow: Bearish intraday – CHoCH & BOS on M30-H1
• Key Event Backdrop: Powell not speaking today, but market still reflects uncertainty from recent Trump vs. Powell tensions.
📐 STRUCTURE & SMC FLOW
• M30–H1: Internal CHoCH formed after price failed to break above 3355
• Liquidity: Sweeps above 3353 and below 3312 → now hovering around internal equilibrium
• SMC Confluence: OBs, FVGs, and EMA alignment used for all entries
• FIB Zones: Discount for buys (3280–3310), Premium for sells (3385+)
🔻 SELL SCENARIOS
Sell #1 – 3385–3392
🧨 Premium retest zone + H1 OB + Gap mitigation
• SL: 3401
• TP1: 3355
• TP2: 3333
• TP3: 3306
🎯 Confluence: H1 OB, NY liquidity above, internal CHoCH
Sell #2 – 3411–3422
💣 Extended premium fill – final imbalance trap
• SL: 3432
• TP1: 3372
• TP2: 3333
• TP3: 3306
🎯 Confluence: Unmitigated FVG + fib extension 1.272 + clean wick rejection zone
🟢 BUY SCENARIOS
Buy #1 – 3333–3338
🔋 HTF OB + H4 structure demand
• SL: 3322
• TP1: 3360
• TP2: 3385
• TP3: 3410
🎯 Confluence: HTF FVG, historical bounce zone, EMA100 support
Buy #2 – 3284–3288
🧱 Sniper reentry zone from structure base
• SL: 3270
• TP1: 3312
• TP2: 3340
• TP3: 3372
🎯 Confluence: Previous sniper entry, structure HL, strong OB zone
📊 TREND RECAP
• HTF Trend: Bullish
• LTF Structure: Currently in retracement mode
• Bias: Neutral to bearish for early London, bullish only on clean 3333 reaction or deeper dip to 3284
🫂 COMMUNITY CALL
"Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink. 👀💣"
Will 3450 Hold? Or is Gold Just Getting Started? 🔄🧠
Which setup are you watching tomorrow? Let’s catch these sniper entries together – drop your bias in the comments 💬👇
TradingView's been too quiet lately – if this helped, hit that ❤️ and show some love.
Let’s grow this smart gold tribe together!
Smart plans, no hype. If you’re riding gold with logic, drop a 💡 below and let's connect!
XAU/USD: New ATH ~ $3500, What's Next? (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the 15-minute gold chart, we can see that the price once again reached a new high today, rallying up to the key psychological level of $3500. Following this move, gold has experienced a pullback down to $3423 so far. If the price stabilizes below $3442, we will likely see a further correction toward the next target at $3411. (This analysis will be updated)
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
(XAU/USD) 1H Chart – Bullish Reversal Setup from RBS + RBR Zone1. Current Price:
$3,317.27
● Price is currently in a downtrend after a recent high.
● EMA (9) is at $3,333.80 — acting as dynamic resistance.
⚠️ Watch for potential reversal!
2. Support Zone:
📦 Blue box marked as "RBS + RBR zone!"
● This is a key support area where price might bounce.
● RBS = Resistance Becomes Support
● RBR = Rally-Base-Rally
● Expecting buyers to step in here.
3. Trade Idea:
● Buy near $3,280 - $3,270 (inside the support box)
● Stop Loss: ❌ Below $3,258.00
● Target: 🎯 $3,500.13
4. Risk-Reward Ratio:
● Target: 🟦 +205.62 points (6.25%)
● Stop: 🔻 Small risk below support
● Good R:R setup if price respects the zone!
Scenario Summary
📉 Price is retracing
⬇️ Approaching strong support zone
📈 Possible bounce to $3,500
✅ High-probability reversal area
❗ Manage risk with tight stop below zone
Hanzo | Gold15 min Retest – Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 3327
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 3300
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3361
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3336
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 3270 – Major support / Key level
➗ 3300 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 3300 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest
• 3345 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 3270 – Equal lows
• 3370 – Equal highs
Gold's short-term decline continues⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) regained strong upward momentum during the Asian session on Thursday, rebounding sharply from the previous day’s steep decline and ending a two-day losing streak near the $3,260 weekly low. The renewed buying interest comes amid lingering concerns over the protracted trade impasse between the US and China, following US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s comments indicating that the standoff could drag on.
Compounding market anxiety is the persistent uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariff policies and their broader implications for global growth. These factors have fueled a fresh wave of safe-haven demand, driving investors back toward gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Still under selling pressure, gold price is consolidating below the downtrend line. Trading around 3300 and lower.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3412- 3414 SL 3419
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3380
TP3: $3370
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3228 - $3230 SL $3223
TP1: $3240
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3260
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Hits 3500! What’s Next? Gold Hits 3500! What’s Next?
Gold has reached 3500, but the move happened during a time of very low trading activity, which raises some concerns.
This kind of price action may not be sustainable, so we should be cautious about potential downward corrections.
Keep an eye out for any signs of a bearish pullback.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!
GOLD Took Third Scenario , New Entry Valid To Get 500 Pips !Here is my second place we can buy gold from it after the first entry that gave us more than 700 pips from last analysis please check it to know all scenarios for the next days , now i`m looking to buy gold again after retest the previous high that already broke , and with any bullish P.A , We can enter a new entry with 500 pips target .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Gold H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 3,239.50 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 3,190.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,348.70 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
How to break through the heavy pressure from above?From the analysis of the 4-hour line, today's support is around 3300-3310. If it falls back during the day, you can buy more once before rebounding. The upper short-term resistance is around 3340-3356, and the focus is on the suppression of 3380-90. The overall support is to maintain a wide range of long and short fluctuations in this range. In the middle position, watch more and move less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold rebounds at 3340 and goes short, rebounds at 3360 and covers short positions, stops at 3367, targets 3300-3310, and continues to hold if the position is broken;
Lingrid | GOLD trendline BREAKOUT: Short-Term BEARISH MoveOANDA:XAUUSD made a strong bullish run, but after reaching the top near 3500, the price entered a sideways range and recently broke below the upward trend-line. Now it’s retesting the 3,283–3,300 zone, which may act as resistance. If price fails here, we could see a drop back to the 3,150 support area. Bulls will need a solid recovery above 3,300 to regain control.
📈 Key Levels
Sell zone: 3,283 – 3,300
Sell trigger: rejection from retest area
Target: 3,150
Buy trigger: strong breakout and hold above 3,300
💡 Risks
Gold is sensitive to US macro data this week (FOMC, NFP, PCE).
Retest of the trend-line might trigger volatility and fakeouts.
Break above 3,300 could invalidate the bearish scenario.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Gold prices fall under double top pressureGold closed above 3313 yesterday, and reached 3353 at the end of the trading day. Today, the gold price fell back. Currently, the gold price is under the double top pressure of 3370 above and under the multi-bottom support of 3260 below. The market outlook mainly focuses on the shock adjustment in this range. The middle track of the Bollinger band at the hourly level is around 3322, which can be used as a watershed of strength and weakness. After the gold price falls below the middle track of the Bollinger band today, it is likely to go to the lower track of the Bollinger band, and it is more likely to test the shock bottom of 3260.
XAUUSD 1HGold Analysis
Continuing the previous analysis
The market faces a critical test at 3340.
A confirmed break and stabilization above this level would invalidate today's analysis and shift the trend bullish.
However, based on precise mathematical modeling, the expectation is clear:
The market is likely to fail in breaking above 3340, opening the way for a strong bearish move toward:
3235
3170
3130
Stay disciplined, trust the math, and move with confidence.
In a world full of uncertainty, we follow certainty.
Stay with me!
GOLD BULLISH TARGET TODAY AGAIN Target Analysis:
The large red arrow and black projection indicate a bullish price movement expectation.
The projected target zone is near the $3,400–$3,405 level, marked with a strong resistance line (in blue).
The intermediate target seems to be around $3,376.93, labeled as the "Weak High" — an area that price is expected to revisit and potentially break.
Analytical Insights:
Current Price Zone:
Price is currently around $3,287.28, inside a blue demand zone.
This area is labeled with a "Strong Low", suggesting strong bullish potential from this support area.
Market Structure:
Recent CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
Previous BOS shows that buyers have stepped in before, supporting the bullish thesis.
Volume Analysis:
Volume spikes (like 25.533K and 1.386K) indicate significant institutional activity near those price points.
These often act as liquidity grabs or areas of interest for reversals.
Expected Price Path:
The black wavy line illustrates a retracement + consolidation phase before continuation upwards.
This is typical SMC behavior: retrace to internal liquidity, then expand toward external liquidity (target highs).
Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Around $3,260–$3,287 (demand zone)
First Target: $3,376 (Weak High)
Final Target: $3,400–$3,405 (major resistance)
Invalidation Level: Below the "Strong Low" (~$3,260)