GOLD - Buy the RUMORS - SELL the news)GOLD - Buy the RUMORS - SELL the news)
market often front run some news evens and when it happens -0 make a reversal
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold Next 24 to 48 hours (31/3/2025)Current Market Snapshot OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold closed the previous week at approximately $3,085 per ounce, after hitting a new all-time high of $3,087 on Friday. This indicate a bullish market, driven by persistent safe-haven demand, central bank purchases (notably from China and Russia), and expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. However, there’s also chatter about potential profit-taking or consolidation, as gold approaches overbought conditions on some technical indicators.
Bullish Sentiment: Traders expect gold to break $3,100 soon, citing geopolitical risks and a weakening U.S. dollar index (DXY) forecasted to drop below 100.
Bearish/Cautious Sentiment: Some traders warn of a pullback to $3,055-$3,060 if $3,091 resistance holds or if unexpected U.S. economic data surprises markets.
Technical Analysis
Technical levels for next 24 to 48 hours:
Support Levels:
$3,060: Strong support from recent consolidation and a psychological round number.
$3,055: A deeper support level from late February 2025 trends.
$3,000: Major psychological and historical support if a significant sell-off occurs.
Resistance Levels:
$3,091: Immediate resistance; a break above this could trigger FOMO (fear of missing out) buying.
$3,100: Next psychological resistance
$3,200: Short-term bullish target
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index) on daily charts (from web sources) is near 70, suggesting gold is overbought but not yet at extreme levels (80+), indicating room for further upside.
Moving Averages: Gold is trading above its 50-day and 200-day EMAs, reinforcing the bullish trend.
Price Range for next 24 to 48 hours
Low: $3,058 - $3,065
This accounts for potential profit-taking at the open or a risk-off move if weekend news is negative.
High: $3,100 - $3,150
This reflects bullish momentum if $3,091 is breached early, with traders targeting $3,200 as the next psychological level.
After weighing all factors, here’s my enhanced prediction:
Most Likely Scenario: Gold will open slightly lower ($3,080-$3,085) due to profit-taking but will recover throughout the day as buyers step in at support levels ($3,060-$3,065). If $3,091 is broken (70% probability), gold could rally to close near $3,100-$3,120 by Monday’s or Tuesday’s end.
Alternative Scenario: If selling pressure intensifies (30% probability), gold might drop to $3,058-$3,065 but is unlikely to fall below $3,050, as buyers would likely defend this level.
Key Catalysts to Watch:
Asian market open (Monday morning): If Chinese or Indian gold demand remains strong, prices could gap up.
U.S. market open: Watch for any statements from Fed officials or Trump administration policy announcements.
Volume: High volume above $3,091 would confirm bullish momentum; low volume could signal consolidation.
Apr 2 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI
Apr 2 USD JOLTS Job Openings
Apr 2 USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Apr 3 USD Unemployment Claims
Apr 4 USD ISM Services PMI
Apr 4 USD Average Hourly Earning
Apr 4 USD Non-Farm Employment Change
Apr 4 USD Unemployment Rate
Apr 5 USD Fed Chair Powell Speaks
"XAU/USD Bearish Momentum Continues –Will Gold Break Below $3060📉 XAU/USD (Gold) Analysis – 1H Timeframe
🔹 Resistance Levels:
$3,135.69 (Major Resistance)
$3,100.14 (Intermediate Resistance)
🔹 Support Levels:
$3,059.69 (First Key Support)
$3,037.41 (Second Support)
$2,994.18 - $2,982.53 (Strong Demand Zone)
🔺 Market Structure & Trend
Gold is currently in a downtrend after facing rejection from the $3,135 zone.
A bearish structure is forming, with lower highs and lower lows.
The price attempted a recovery but faced resistance near $3,100, suggesting a possible continuation of the bearish move.
📊 Technical Outlook
✅ Bearish Confirmation: If price fails to break above $3,100, we may see a continuation toward the $3,060 support.
✅ Breakdown Confirmation: If $3,060 breaks, gold could further drop to $3,037 or even $2,994-$2,982 (major demand zone).
✅ Bullish Recovery: A strong close above $3,100 may invalidate the bearish scenario and lead to a retest of $3,135.
🔥 Trading Plan
🔻 Short Entry: Around $3,100 with SL above $3,110, TP at $3,060 and $3,037.
🔹 Long Entry: If price reaches $3,037 and shows reversal signals, TP at $3,080 and $3,100.
📌 Key Watch:
Price action at $3,100 (resistance)
Support reaction at $3,060 and $3,037
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan! 📊📉🚀
XAUUSD - market structure XAUUSD - market structure , short idea, XAUUSD - market structure , use risk managment and trade managment to save your capital
Gold bulls' carnivalThe current gold market is in a typical bull carnival market, and prices continue to climb to historical highs. After a small gap-up opening at 3087 in the morning, it quickly rose to the 3097 line, then fell back to repair the gap to around 3076 and rose again. This trend clearly shows that the market is still under the control of strong bulls, but it also indicates that risks are accumulating.
Technical analysis
Daily level analysis
The MACD indicator has a second golden cross and runs in large volume, showing strong bullish momentum
The dynamic indicator STO quickly enters the overbought area upward, warning of a callback risk
Key support level: around 3062 and 3057
Moving average system: MA5 (3054) and MA10 (3043) are not considered for the time being due to the lag of the indicator
4-hour level analysis
The price remained in the 3065-3086 range and then broke through
The gap 3084-3087 became an important support area
Secondary support level: 3076-73 and 306 5 front line
MACD golden cross with large volume oscillation, STO overbought upward, indicating oscillation upward
Hourly level analysis
After the big Yin repaired the gap, the big Yang immediately pulled up, showing that the upward momentum is not exhausted
MACD dead cross turned into golden cross, STO indicator rose
Key support area: 3089-3085-3081
Key price prompt
Bull defense line:
Short-term: 3084-3087 (gap support)
Medium-term: 3066-70 (bull-bear boundary)
Long-term: 3050-55 (bull-bear watershed)
Upper resistance:
3107-3109
3111- 3118
3135
Trading strategy suggestions
Long strategy (participate with caution)
Entry point: around 3085-87
Stop loss setting: below 3076
Target: 3095→3105→3118→3135 (take profits in batches)
Core logic: gap support is effective, short-term upward momentum is still there
Short layout (prepare for callback)
Potential short selling area:
3111-3118
Around 3135
Stop loss setting: 2-3 US dollars after breaking through the previous high
Target: 10-20 US dollars callback space
Core logic: technical repair after extreme overbought Demand
Special reminder
Non-agricultural weekly trading features:
The beginning of the week may continue to rise (Monday to Wednesday)
ADP data on Thursday and non-agricultural data on Friday may cause violent fluctuations
It is recommended to reduce positions before key events
Risk control points:
Strictly stop loss to prevent sudden reversals
Avoid chasing long positions at key resistance levels
Positions controlled within 5%
Market warning:
Currently in a typical "fish tail market", the profit and loss ratio has deteriorated
Bull carnival is often followed by a violent correction
Need to remain rational and not blindly chase the rise
Conclusion
Although the gold market remains strong at present, the technical side has shown multiple overbought signals. It is recommended that investors remain calm, cautiously go long at key support levels, and arrange short positions at important resistance levels to prepare for possible sharp corrections. Remember, when the market is the craziest, it is often necessary to keep the clearest mind. Strict risk control and position management are the key to survival in the current market.
Trend continuation within channel (15M & 1H confluence)Bias: Bullish
Strategy: Trend continuation within channel (15M & 1H confluence)
Setup: Buy $3,085–$3,090 → TP1 $3,105 → TP2 $3,110
why ?
#1D Chart (Top Left):
Elliott Wave Count suggests price is in Wave (5) of a bullish impulse.
A bullish breakout just happened from a bull flag (Wave 4).
RSI: Overbought (74) — caution of potential short-term pullback, but momentum remains strong.
#4H Chart (Top Right):
Strong impulse wave forming post corrective ABC.
Currently in sub-wave (5) — upside continuation likely toward $3,110–$3,120 before potential exhaustion.
#1H Chart (Bottom Right):
Inside a rising parallel channel.
Breakout from small range (flag) just occurred.
Expect continuation toward top of channel (~$3,110) if momentum continues.
#15M Chart (Bottom Left):
Clean structure of higher lows, ascending trendline support.
Strong bullish reaction from recent consolidation = likely institutional demand.
XAUUSD SLOWS IN MOMENTUM! WHAT NEXT?Price has slow down down momentum as we began to see stagnant growth after price traded an all time high of $3149. We may likely see a decline to the area of 3084.50 a sell opportunity is envisaged from the current market price.
GOLD Can finally Dropped Gold has showing strong Bearish Pattern momentum on 4H time frame the price will recently tested the 3055 and take Hold needs to more fall.
Key levels and Trade setup Traders
Support zones 3085 / 3065 / Long Term 3030
Thanks for your support if you find this idea helpful and learn something new drops a like and leave comment.
Market Update (No Buy/Sell Bias)🧠 Structural Recap: Why Gold Did What It Did
🔄 Mitigation & Reaction Zones Review
✅ Premium Supply Zone @ 3144–3160 (H1-H4)
— Price tapped into this key premium area and sharply rejected it. This indicates a successful mitigation of that supply zone.
— This zone previously aligned with the weak high and premium structure, adding to its weight.
🟦 Mid-Range FVGs @ 3120–3130 (H1)
— This area acted as the bounce point today after price wicked down aggressively.
— The strong wick from 3086–3144 confirms buyer interest post-news, filling imbalance and mitigating prior demand (on H1).
🟫 Mitigated Demand Zone @ 3086–3096 (H1-H4)
— This demand zone was pierced and fully tapped. We saw a textbook bounce with strong reaction, suggesting the zone is now mitigated.
— A notable EQ + strong candle from this zone created bullish displacement.
🔵 Unmitigated Discount Demand @ 3054–3080 (H4)
— This remains a key untouched demand. Price wicked close to it but didn’t tap.
— If we get another push down, this is still valid and unmitigated.
🧱 Below 3050: Unmitigated Macro Zone (D1)
— The large OB/FVG combo around 2970–3030 still hasn’t been mitigated. This remains untouched liquidity in a deeper pullback.
📰 News Review — April 3, 2025
Trump’s Conference Commentary
— Hawkish rhetoric around economic strategy but no clear monetary focus.
— Mixed signals caused initial DXY strength, but later market corrected.
US Jobless Claims & ISM Services PMI
— Slightly worse-than-expected numbers, showing cooling economy signs.
— This supported XAU recovery post-drop as rate hike sentiment weakened.
Geopolitical Noise (Middle East)
— Continued tensions are keeping safe-haven demand intact, especially below 3100.
🧠 TL;DR
Zones like 3144–3160 and 3086–3096 are now mitigated.
3054–3080 and 2970–3030 remain unmitigated, future bounce areas.
Today’s volatility was news-driven, but liquidity still sits lower.
We’re currently in mid-mitigation flow, with the market respecting PA zones well.
XAUUSD Breaking Records: Bull & Bear Setups for the New Month 🔥 Attention all traders!🔥
XAUUSD is on fire, breaking records with power! Here’s the latest update:
🔻 Bearish Outlook: Watch for a potential dip below the 3076-3078 range. If it falls, targets like 3050 and 3030 could be in play. Keep an eye on these support zones! 👀
🔺 Bullish Outlook: A breakout above this range could open up buying opportunities! Look for price action above 3084 with targets at 3097 and 3110. 🚀
New Month Open Candle: As we step into a new month, keep a close watch on the market open candle 📅. This could set the tone for the next move!
💡 Risk Management** is key! Always trade smart and protect your capital! 💰
Join the discussion and share your thoughts! Let's ride this golden wave together! 🌟
NFP REPORT IMPACT ON XAUUSD ALERT!🚨 XAUUSD Market Alert 🚨
🔥 Current Action: XAUUSD is currently range-bound between 3101 and 3114—will it break out soon? The market’s at a critical point, and a sharp move could be on the horizon!
📉 Bearish Scenario: If price slips below this zone, keep an eye on potential support levels at 3070 and 3054. A downward shift could set up fresh opportunities for sellers.
📈 Bullish Scenario: On the flip side, a solid break above 3114 could trigger buying pressure, with targets at 3140 and 3170. A move like this could spark a new uptrend, especially with NFP data on the way, which could impact the gold market!
💬 Let’s Talk Strategy: What’s your take on the XAUUSD setup? Share your insights, and let’s navigate this golden opportunity together! 💰🚀
XAUUSD:Continue to go longAfter Trump made remarks about imposing additional tariffs, it once again caused significant volatility in the market. The main players also took this opportunity to conduct consecutive washouts in the market. After reaching around 3170 at its highest point, almost all short positions were cleared out. Currently, the market has rapidly dropped to around 3100. If you bought gold at a high price, you would also experience serious losses in your account.
When the market is extremely unstable, the trading volume should be reduced, as the risks cannot be controlled. This is exactly why I have been emphasizing that novice traders should withdraw from the market this week. Otherwise, they are very likely to incur losses.
Although the decline is quite substantial, it is still uncertain that the upward trend has ended. For short-term trading, one can try to go long again.
xauusd buy@3100-3105
tp:3120-3130
I will continuously send out accurate signals, and all signals have been profitable. If you need accurate signals, please click the link below the article.
Gold and the bearish Breakout Line ...From a cyclical standpoint, a CLOSE below the H1 cyclically derived breakout line may indicate a sharp decline, at least in to the demand zone!
Upcoming news event:
14:15 SWE Time: ADP Non-Farm Employment
The breakout line defines the energy boundaries—once price gathers enough momentum to break through, a strong acceleration is likely to follow.
Has the gold tariff peaked?The current bullish structure of gold has not changed. The key support for the long-short watershed is still the 3100 line. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and enter the market near 3116 and gradually look up. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds and does not break the high, then short the US session at highs, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3148-50 area above. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is recommended to be mainly short on rebounds, supplemented by long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3148-3150 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operations.
Gold operation strategy: Gold 3100 short, stop loss 3110, target 3080-3070;
Online real-time guidance on gold trendsGold went up in the early trading, but the price fell again after rising to 3135. The fluctuation range of European trading narrowed. ADP employment data exceeded expectations. The market failed to break out of the trend. The current market is in the range of 3135-3109. The market is waiting for the details of the reciprocal tariffs and industry-specific tariffs to be announced at 3 am. The tariff policy announced by Trump is expected to have an adverse impact on the global economy, especially the United States. The current structure of gold is still bullish. After the correction, continue to go long at the key support level.
At the 4-hour level, the current market is shrinking and oscillating at a high level. The K-line is running above the middle track, and the oscillating and strong trend is maintained above the middle track. Focus on the 3100 support break. Only when it breaks below 3100 will the downward space be opened. There can be more at 3080-3060 below, and only when it stands above 3135 can it further hit a new high. Before the data, continue to see range oscillation, the small range is 3110-3135, and the large range is 3100-3150. In the short term, you can quickly enter and exit in the small range with high altitude and low long.
Gold dropping expectancythe same pattern golds did the last trading month, is the same im expecting around new month opening price (april), sellsideliquidity drop and then a pretty good distribution on po3
Non-agricultural gold is expected to fall sharply. On Friday (April 4), at 20:30 Beijing time, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the highly anticipated March non-farm payrolls report, which put pressure on gold.
Fundamentals: Today, gold is expected to fall sharply. The market continues to short at resistance points.
Market volatility is expected to increase during the period. The long-short game of the US dollar index near the 102 mark will determine whether it can continue to rise. If it breaks through 103, it may further suppress gold and non-US currencies. Gold is looking for direction in the range of 3080-3100 US dollars/ounce. If risk aversion picks up, it may retest the 3100 mark; on the contrary, if the US dollar continues to strengthen, breaking through 3080 will open up downside space. The decline in US stock futures may continue until early next week.
Sell@3080Today, the XAUUSD market is mired in extraordinary volatility. The uptrend in prices has continued unabated, with values rocketing to $3086. This powerful rally has inflicted heavy losses on bearish traders, leading to a mass liquidation of their positions.
Currently, the market is in a “double - whammy” situation, where both bulls and bears are feeling the pinch. This is the result of large - scale capital inflows. Savvy institutional investors and market players are deploying capital strategically, aiming to maximize profits.
Despite this current upward surge, we remain steadfast in our bearish outlook. Our in - depth analysis of multiple factors—including long - term economic trends, geopolitical developments, and technical indicators—reinforces our conviction. Many fundamental indicators suggest that the current rally is likely a short - lived market aberration. As the market continues to digest various macroeconomic data, we anticipate downward pressure to build, eventually reversing the current upward trend.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3085 - 3080
🎁 TP 3040 3030 3020 3010 3000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Gold's April 2nd Swing: Tariffs Stir MarketsOn the morning of Wednesday, April 2nd, spot gold was trading in a narrow range, currently around $3,114 per ounce. Gold prices rose and then fell on Tuesday. Spot gold once rose to around the $3,150 mark earlier, reaching a new all - time high of $3,148.85 per ounce, but then declined due to profit - taking, closing at $3,114.03 per ounce, with a decline of about 0.3%. US President Trump planned to announce on April 2nd that comprehensive tariffs would be imposed on countries with which the US has a trade imbalance. This led to a large number of safe - haven buying orders, helping gold prices continue to rise. However, near the end, some bulls took profits in advance.
In terms of the 4 - hour - level trend, it is temporarily in a high - level range - bound oscillation, undergoing repair. Currently, the short - cycle moving averages are basically in a state of adhesion and flattening, suggesting that the trend is likely to remain in a high - level oscillation and repair within the day.
The 1 - hour moving averages of gold still show a bullish arrangement with a golden cross pointing upward. Although gold has broken below the moving average support, the strength of the bullish rebound of gold is still relatively strong. Coupled with the support of gold's safe - haven property, the bulls still have the upper hand. As long as the price does not break below $3,100, the bullish view remains unchanged. For intraday operations, it is recommended to focus on buying on dips. Pay attention to whether the support at yesterday's low of $3,100 holds. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance at $3,140 - $3,150 above.
XAUUSD
buy@3100-3110
tp:3130-3140-3150
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
XAU/USD strategy discussionIn the early stage of gold trading this week, we continued to make profits with a reasonable strategy. But in early trading today, after setting a stop loss according to the established strategy, due to market fluctuations far exceeding expectations, our short order strictly implemented a stop loss after reaching 3045, but when gold tested the 3060 resistance again, I chose to short again and reap profits
Today once again highlights the high degree of uncertainty in the market, even in the profitable stage, latent risks cannot be ignored.
Reasonable adjustment of trading strategies according to risk tolerance can ensure stable account growth.
If you have any questions, you can leave me a message and I will be more than happy to answer them for you.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Support Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures:
Resistance 1: 3149 - 3151 area
Support 1: 3099 - 3104 area
Support 2: 3048 - 3057 area
Support 3: 3024 - 3036 area
Support 4: 2997 - 3001 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GoldXAUUSD
- Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Waves
- Break of Structure
- RSI - Divergence
- Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short and Long Time Frame
- CHOCH
Gold: Soaring on Tariffs, Testing Technical WatersIn the early trading session of the Asian market on Thursday (April 3rd), spot gold continued its upward trend and once reached a new all - time high of $3,167 per ounce. This was because US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that he would impose a benchmark tariff of 10% on all goods imported into the United States and impose higher tariffs on some of America's largest trading partners. This move will lead to an intensification of the trade war that he initiated after returning to the White House, causing the market's risk - aversion sentiment to soar sharply.
However, given the rapid increase in the gold price, one should not blindly chase after buying more gold. On the one hand, the rapid rise in the gold price has accumulated a certain amount of pressure for a correction, and there is a high probability that a pullback and subsequent recovery rally will occur. On the other hand, the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls data will be released tomorrow. On the eve of its announcement, the market will not quickly break out of a well - defined trading range and price level.
On the daily chart level, gold entered a downward adjustment mode on Tuesday, breaking the previous consecutive upward trend with positive candles. However, the current moving - average system still maintains a pattern of diverging upwards. Today, the key focus is on whether the downward movement of the market is sustainable. Firstly, we need to pay attention to the support effectiveness of the short - term moving average MA5. Currently, this moving average is roughly located around 3098, which is extremely close to yesterday's low of 3100 when the price dropped. If this support level can hold, then in the short term, gold can still be regarded as being in a strong pattern.
XAUUSD
buy@3105-3115
tp:3140-3160
