THE KOG REPORT - NFPQuick one today as we haven't had much time to put together the report.
Instead, the red box levels are shared below and the extreme red boxes are on the chart.
We have key level 3365 which needs to break as shown and key level 3345 which needs to break downside.
RED BOX TARGETS
Break above 3365 for 3366, 337, 3385, 3390, 3406 and 3420 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3345, 3336, 3329, 3320, 3310 and 3298 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAUUSD(GOLD): +1874 PIPS Target| Touching $3600? Gold experienced a significant price surge, driven by the ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel. This heightened uncertainty among global investors led to a price touch of $3445. The current price is accumulating, and we anticipate a strong bullish distribution in the near future. Please prioritise accurate risk management during trading.
Good luck,
Team Setupsfx_
GOLD conditions seem to remain bearish: Pay attention to hintsFor now, we can see that Gold’s bullish momentum has stalled and since Friday Gold has been under pressure from 3325. Not surprisingly though, the market structure performed as expected this past week.
I believe that short-term price action in gold may remain choppy next week due to Trump’s temporary tariff measures so caution is advised.
My bias is still the same as before, I think that on Monday the market will open bearish likely pushing price lower initially.
As you can see in my previous analysis, the forecasted move played as expected:
So this being said I plan to react based on how price behaves at support of 3270-3250 on the lower side in the short term.
If price tags the support as shown on my chart, I’ll be watching for a possible rebound toward 3300. This range in particular should not be overlooked . This area aligns with the point of control, and given how price often gravitates back to high-volume zones after sharp moves, a recovery to that level would be a natural reaction.
The key point lies in how the market will open and how price will behave, as well as the overall sentiment.
Gold's next move won’t be random, there are strong confluences at play that will guide and give us hints, so it’s up to us to stay attentive.
If we were to break upside above the $3,330 level, then we can see more bullish outlook next
The other scenario, to be taking into account would be to start with a strong bullish candle and reach 3330 before a drop.
Wishing you a profitable trading weekend ahead. This is just a forecast and should not be considered financial advice.
XAUUSD Daily Plan — June 13, 2025 By GoldFxMinds👋 Hello traders, and welcome to your full preparation for tomorrow’s gold session.
Gold continues to respect its structural map while liquidity traps remain active on both sides of the range. We’ve seen clean sweeps and fast reactions this week, but tomorrow brings a new catalyst: key U.S. data combined with fresh geopolitical tensions that may fuel additional volatility before the weekly close.
🌐 MACRO & GEOPOLITICAL OUTLOOK:
📊 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations are scheduled tomorrow:
Consumer Sentiment ➔ 52.2
Inflation Expectations ➔ 6.6%
These data points often trigger sharp USD moves and liquidity grabs.
🌍 Geopolitical tension has increased as President Trump authorized the evacuation of U.S. personnel from several Middle East locations due to rising threats in the region, particularly concerning the Iran nuclear situation.
This development triggered sharp moves across commodities, with oil rallying strongly.
Gold remains well-supported in this environment as global risk sentiment deteriorates.
Traders should expect elevated intraday volatility and potential liquidity sweeps on both sides as markets digest these developments.
🔎 The combination of macro data and geopolitical risk creates highly reactive conditions where liquidity hunts may precede any clear directional moves.
🔎 STRUCTURE OVERVIEW:
Price remains inside premium territory after recent bullish expansions.
Liquidity has already been taken above and below earlier this week, but additional traps may unfold before Friday’s close.
Larger structure remains bullish while short-term supply zones may attract quick inducements.
Tomorrow's flow will likely begin with manipulation during or after news, before real momentum develops.
🎯 BIAS
Main bias: Controlled bullish, but highly reactive inside premium.
As long as price holds above 3340, bulls remain in control on higher timeframe.
However, premium zones above 3395 may act as liquidity traps, inviting fast selloffs after inducements.
Best opportunities likely to come from either:
Controlled retracement into buy zones for continuation higher.
Fast spikes into premium traps for short-term sell opportunities.
Patience will be critical as both news and geopolitical headlines may trigger manipulations before real trend unfolds.
🔑 KEY ZONES TO WATCH:
BUY ZONES
🔵 3368 - 3360
Intraday pullback zone.
Look for minor liquidity dips followed by bullish rejection.
Targets: 3390 → 3405.
🔵 3348 - 3340
Deeper liquidity pocket into H4 imbalance and OB.
Engage only after strong downside sweep with sharp bullish reaction.
Targets: 3380 → 3396.
🔵 3325 - 3312
Extreme HTF liquidity zone.
Valid only if aggressive liquidation occurs into deeper discount.
Targets: 3360 → 3380.
SELL ZONES
🔴 3398 - 3405
First premium inducement area.
Look for fast spikes with M15 bearish rejection candles.
Targets: 3370 → 3348.
🔴 3412 - 3420
Secondary premium trap zone.
Valid only after upside wick rejection.
Targets: 3385 → 3355.
🔴 3435 - 3445
Maximum stop-hunt exhaustion zone.
Only valid if price aggressively squeezes into final liquidity.
Targets: 3390 → 3360.
⚠ TRADING REMINDER:
Friday’s session will likely be driven by both news and geopolitical headlines. Let liquidity play out inside the zones, wait for clear rejection signals, and execute with full confirmation. No chasing — sniper discipline only. 🎯
💎 Hit that 🚀 if you found this plan helpful.
👉 Feel free to follow for daily gold plans and share your thoughts in the comments.
We remain disciplined. We trade structure.
🌙 Rest well tonight — tomorrow we execute with precision and control.
— GoldFxMinds
Gold Breaks Out of Bullish Flag >> Eyes on $3,480 and $3,720Alright, so looking at this 4-hour chart of Gold, there's a really clean bullish flag pattern that’s just broken out, which is a strong continuation signal.
You can see that after that big push upward, the price consolidated inside a downward (sloping channel for a few weeks. That’s pretty classic behavior. a strong move followed by a period of rest where the market cools off a bit, but without giving up too much ground. That’s what forms the "flag."
Now, the exciting part is that we’ve just broken out of that channel to the upside, and it’s not just a breakout for the sake of it, it’s supported by an inverse head and shoulders right at the top of the channel. That’s a double confirmation that buyers are stepping in with conviction.
The chart also marks two potential targets:
The first target is around $3,480, which is a reasonable measured move based on the height of the flag.
The second target is around $3,720, which would be a more extended continuation if the momentum kicks in.
As long as the price holds above the breakout area (around $3,320–$3,340), this setup looks solid. If we pull back and retest that area and hold, that might be a great long entry with those two targets in mind.
If price drops back into the channel, though, that could mean the breakout was a fakeout, so that level is key.
Trading Signal for GOLD sell below $3,387 (21 SMA - 7/8 Murray)Early in the European session, gold traded around 3,368, showing signs of exhaustion after reaching the weekly high of 3,403. We could expect a technical correction to occur in the coming hours toward the 21SMA or the 7/8 Murray EMA at 3,355.
If the bearish momentum is maintained, gold could continue its decline. To do so, we should wait for confirmation below 3,350, then the price could reach the 200 EMA at 3,277. Around that area, gold left a gap on May 29, and it is likely that it could be filled.
On that other hand, if bullish strength prevails, we could expect a technical rebound around 3,35. This area has provided gold with a good rebounding point in the past, and this time the price reach the 8/8 Murray at 3,437.
This week, US employment data will be released, which could trigger strong volatility. This, in turn, could cause the price of gold to reach 3,437 or fall towards 3,270.
Our trading plan for the next few hours is to sell gold below 3,387 with a target at 3,359. Around this area, we should wait for a breakout or a technical rebound to occur before making a new decision.
Gold Extends Gains, Eyes 3400📊 Market Overview
• Following softer-than-expected US CPI data, gold surged strongly.
• This morning, gold touched a high of 3377 before pulling back slightly to around 3372.
• A weaker USD and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts remain key bullish drivers.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: $3,380 – $3,400
• Nearest Support: $3,325 – $3,310
• EMA09: Price remains above EMA09, signaling a short-term uptrend.
• Candlestick & Momentum: Gold has broken out of a consolidation zone with strong momentum, though short-term overbought signals are emerging.
📌 Outlook
Gold may enter a mild pullback within the 3370–3380 zone before finding fresh momentum from upcoming Fed signals or macro data. Caution is advised when trading near major resistance.
💡 Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3375–3377
🎯 TP: 3355
❌ SL: 3385
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3325–3330
🎯 TP: 3350
❌ SL: 3315
Gold/XAUUSD Move 9th June 2025🔍 XAUUSD Analysis – June 10, 2025
Market Structure:
Market remains in a bearish sequence, with lower highs and lower lows intact on the HTF.
The current bullish leg is corrective, retracing into a well-defined supply zone at 3333–3338.
This zone previously triggered strong selling pressure, marking institutional activity.
Key Supply Zone:
3333–3338: Strong supply zone aligning with previous bearish OB and unmitigated FVG.
Expecting a liquidity grab above intra-day highs, followed by rejection from this zone.
Invalidation Level:
If price closes above 3340 with strength (especially on M15/H1), the bearish bias is invalidated, and we may shift toward the upper supply zone around 3375–3380.
Target Zone:
3295–3305: Strong demand area from which the last impulsive move originated.
Also a logical draw for liquidity resting below prior lows.
💼 Trade Idea:
Type: Sell Limit
Entry Zone: 3333–3338
Stop Loss: Above 3344 (structure break buffer)
Take Profit 1: 3310
Take Profit 2: 3300
Risk-to-Reward: ~1:2+
🧠 Execution Plan:
Wait for price to enter the 3333–3338 supply zone.
Look for LTF confirmations: bearish engulfing, BOS, or CHoCH (M1/M5).
Enter short on confirmation with SL above zone and scale out at each TP level.
Gold Rejected Below $3370 — Eyes on Lower Demand Zones! (READ)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, the price climbed to $3388, giving us nearly 150 pips of return. However, gold was rejected from that level and failed to hold above $3370, eventually dropping below $3360.
Currently, gold is trading around $3348, and we may likely see further decline toward lower levels. The potential downside targets are $3338, $3332, $3326, and $3317.
Key demand zones to watch are:
→ $3327
→ $3311
→ $3298–$3300
→ $3278
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSD Is XAUUSD getting ready for new ATHs? Gold has formed a clear bullish flag pattern and retested it clearly. One Thing I am looking for the retest of 50 DEMA . If the Price holds above the 50 DEMA, there are much chances that gold may target the new ATHs very soon.
What you guys think about it?
GOLD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,359.42
Target Level: 3,293.59
Stop Loss: 3,403.13
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
As anticipated, the market structure continues to respect our key levels and EMA5 dynamics to the letter.
After the clean bounce from 3334 into 3359, price did indeed push back toward 3389 for the retest, just as outlined. Once again ema5 failed to cross and lock above 3389, confirming rejection again. It’s important to highlight that price did retest 3389 exactly as projected, completing the range once again.
Crucially, no further EMA5 cross and lock above 3389 was seen, reconfirming the rejection and driving price back into the lower Goldturns, which we will now look for support and bounce off these levels.
The structure continues to unfold with precision, showing once again how effective our level based framework is when paired with EMA5 confirmations. This setup keeps us well aligned with market momentum.
As always, we remain focused and continue to buy dips using our support levels, capturing those 20 to 40 pip opportunities. As we’ve proven time and again, each level gives enough of a bounce for a quality entry and exit.
We encourage everyone to backtest our levels, we’ve shared them weekly for the past 3 years , and the data speaks for itself. These levels continue to work brilliantly with both short/mid term trends and countertrends.
BULLISH TARGET 3305 – ✅ DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3305 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3334 – ✅ DONE
3359 – ✅ DONE
3389 – ✅ DONE (retested as forecasted)
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
BEARISH TARGETS 3271
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3271 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3227
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3227 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
Stay sharp, manage risk, and trust the levels. We’ll continue providing updates as the structure develops further.
Thank you again for all your likes, comments, and continued support.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD|Bullish Momentum Builds in Gold Amid Geopolitical TensionsGold | Market Overview
The escalating conflict, particularly Israel’s attack on Iran, is significantly driving bullish momentum in the gold market. Should Iran respond, we may witness a continued rally toward new all-time highs.
As previously forecasted, gold successfully reached our target of 3431. A short-term correction toward this level is possible before the uptrend resumes. However, if the price manages to close a 1-hour candle above 3431, it will likely trigger a swift move toward 3500 and 3525.
• Pivot Level: 3431
• Resistance Levels: 3480, 3500, 3525
• Support Levels: 3404, 3376, 3366
Gold liquidity run short setup In this video I map out the range using the fixed range tool and talk about the possibility of a liquidity run on the weekly high before dropping back inside the range .
Engineering liquidity at the range value area high and thus heightening the expectation for more upside continuation , take the liquidity at $3392 and pull back below the vah *Value area high and head down to fill the new week open gap and the new monthly pivots $3297 and the poc * point of control and remain rangebound.
We all know that nothing is set in stone and this is just an idea out of many but its something to consider .
Set alerts and wait for reaction and lower time frame for confirmation
Thanks for your support
Trade negotiations and CPI data may trigger sharp volatility.Gold prices have maintained a consolidative pattern after completing retracement adjustments at the start of the week, with two key events today potentially breaking the calm:
1. China-US Trade Negotiation Outcome Pending
Chinese representative Li Chenggang disclosed that both sides have "reached a framework agreement in principle," characterizing the negotiations as "professional, rational, in-depth and candid." However, the market should be wary that this outcome may fall short of expectations—compared with previous talks, this round of consultations faces notably higher resistance. Specific clauses in the joint statement (such as the magnitude of tariff reductions and the scope of technical export restrictions relaxation) will directly influence risk sentiment. A dovish-leaning agreement may trigger short-term profit-taking in gold.
2. May CPI Data in Focus Tonight
The market expects inflation data to rebound month-on-month. If the actual figure exceeds expectations:
- Bullish scenario: Rising inflation suppresses consumption and drags on economic growth, with gold's inflation-hedging attribute likely to attract safe-haven buying;
- Bearish scenario: Elevated inflation may weaken expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts—if inflation persists above the 2% target, the Fed may pivot to contractionary policies (such as delaying rate cuts or balance sheet reduction), curbing gold's upside potential.
Trading Strategy Notes
The sustainability of the current gold rebound remains questionable, with investors advised to guard against the risk of "post-event reversal":
- Technical levels: Dense resistance at 3,330–3,350,with3,295 serving as the short-term support threshold;
- Trading advice: Avoid chasing rallies. Consider light short positions at resistance levels, or wait for data release to trade with the emerging volatility;
- Risk management: With two major events converging, volatility may surge. It is recommended to reduce position sizes and implement trailing stops.
XAU/USD
buy@3305-3315
tp:3335-3345
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
We are waiting for the H4 liquidity backtest to place SELL GOLDYesterday there was a BUY point and a missed SELL. Currently gold is in wave 5. We are waiting for the H4 liquidity backtest to place a SELL order.
World gold prices rose after the People's Bank of China announced on June 7 that it had added gold to its reserves for the seventh consecutive month in May. China's gold reserves were valued at $241.99 billion at the end of last month, down from $243.59 billion at the end of April. Gold prices hit an all-time high (over $3,500/ounce) in April, which boosted the value of China's holdings of the precious metal.
Investors are now waiting for the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), data due on June 13, to assess the country's economic health and predict the trajectory of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
Let's wait for SELL
Best regards, StarrOne !!!
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,330.13 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,332.32.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis : MMC Setup Confirmed + Target📊 1. Market Structure Overview
After a strong rally earlier this month, XAUUSD entered a corrective phase and formed a descending trendline which acted as resistance for multiple days. This trendline has just been tested and broken, suggesting that the correction may be coming to an end.
At the same time, price is showing signs of strength by bouncing off the lower boundary of a long-standing parallel ascending channel—a structure that has acted as dynamic support over the past two weeks.
🧱 2. Key Technical Elements
🟦 Support/Resistance Interchange Zone (S/R Flip)
Price recently interacted with a horizontal S/R interchange zone around the $3,310–$3,330 area.
This zone served as resistance during the earlier part of the trend and is now acting as support after the breakout.
It also overlaps with the mid-section of the ascending channel, adding confluence to this support area.
📐 Descending Trendline Break
The break above the descending trendline signals a potential shift in momentum.
Traders often view this kind of breakout as an early indicator of bullish continuation, especially when combined with volume or retests.
🟩 Next Reversal/Target Zone
A green box is highlighted around the $3,345–$3,355 zone, which could act as the next resistance or reversal level.
This is based on prior market structure and Fibonacci extension zones.
This area may offer a take-profit level for longs or a short-term reversal zone for countertrend traders.
🔍 3. What to Watch
✅ Bullish Scenario
If the price sustains above $3,310 and holds above the broken trendline, we could see a push toward the $3,345–$3,355 area.
Ideal long entries may occur on a retest of the trendline or the S/R flip zone, confirming it as support.
❌ Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold above the $3,300–$3,310 support region would invalidate the breakout.
A clean break below this zone could result in a drop back to the lower parallel channel boundary near $3,270 or even lower.
⚙️ 4. Trading Plan & Bias
Short-term Bias: Bullish (Trendline break + support hold)
Mid-term Bias: Cautiously Bullish (until major resistance is tested)
Risk Management: Stop-loss for long entries should be placed below $3,300 with targets near $3,345 and $3,355.
💬 Conclusion
This setup presents a classic case of trendline breakout + S/R flip confluence, which often leads to favorable risk/reward opportunities. Gold traders should monitor the retest behavior around current levels closely, as it will likely determine the next directional move.
📌 Always wait for confirmation, manage risk, and don’t chase moves—especially near major zones.
Gold plunges, what will be the trend next week?From the daily chart:
Since the last round of breaking the triangle convergence oscillation and breaking the trend line, gold has surged to 3400, but the upward momentum is insufficient and it has retreated. The low point of the retreat on Friday happened to be the support level of the previous triangle convergence trend line near 3300. If it falls below, the price will return to the triangle convergence oscillation range, and the gold price may fall further;
From the perspective of gold 1 hour, the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages have formed a dead cross downward, so gold still has downward momentum. After the gold 1-hour high box oscillation, gold finally broke through the box downward, indicating that the gold shorts are better, so the bottom of the gold box has now formed resistance, and the gold short-term resistance to gold has been formed near 3335. If gold is 3335 at the beginning of next week, then gold can continue to be short.
Next week's operation strategy is still around the 3285-3335 range.
Continue to short gold Gold rebounded from around 3315 and has now reached above 3340. According to the current structure, gold tends to rebound upward. But the characteristics of the recent market trends are also very obvious. Gold has risen with difficulty, but has retreated very quickly! Overall, there was no continuation in the process of long and short games, which was disorderly fluctuation.
According to the current structure, as long as gold cannot break through the 3350-3355 area and the bulls have not completely gained the upper hand, gold still has the potential to go down and test the 3320-3310 area again. Therefore, for short-term trading, we should not chase gold too much, and we can still try to short gold with the 3345-3355 area as resistance.