XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold Long: Completed Wave 4, target above $3500.A detailed walkthrough on Gold since 2011, the start of the first Cycle level wave. I go through my Elliott Wave counts for Gold, breaking down waves, focusing more on the recent wave 4 downturn.
The alternate count will be another wave Z down, giving up a triple combination.
Depending on the opening this coming week, the stop for this idea is either below 3154, or 3120.
Good luck!
XAUUSD Targeting the 1D MA100.When we looked at Gold (XAUUSD) on May 05 (see chart below), we called for a strong sell on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and a 3155 Target:
Now that this target was hit and the 1D MA50 broke, we expect a short-term bearish continuation, as the last 3 times the price broke below the 1D MA50, it always hit the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
Still, all candles since the test closed above the 1D MA50 so we need to seek a confirmation of the bearish continuation and that is the 4H MA50 (red trend-line). If rejected there, expect an instant drop. If not, the last Resistance is the top of the Channel Down. In both cases, our short-term Target is 3060.
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XAU/USD..1h chart pattern..**short trade on gold (XAU/USD) from 3272 with a target of 3200**—a **75-point drop**. Let’s break this down:
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### **Trade Analysis: Sell Gold @ 3275 → Target 3200**
1. **Potential Profit**:
- **72 points** (3272 – 3200).
- If trading 1 lot (100 oz), this is **$720 profit**.
2. **Key Levels**:
- **Entry**: 3275
- **Target**: 3200 (support level)
- **Stop-Loss (SL)**: Should be above a recent swing high (e.g., 3300–3320).
3. **Risk-Reward Ratio**:
- If SL = 3320 (48 points risk), Reward = 72 points → **1:1.5 ratio** (acceptable).
4. **Technical Justification**:
- **Bearish Scenario**: Gold fails to break 3300 resistance, pulls back to 3200.
- **Support at 3200**: A break below could lead to 3150 or lower.
- **Confirmation Needed**: Look for rejection at 3272 (bearish candlestick patterns, RSI divergence).
5. **Fundamental Factors**:
- **Strong USD** → Gold weakens.
- **Fed Hawkishness** (rate hikes) → Negative for gold.
- **Geopolitical Calm** → Less safe-haven demand.
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### **Trade Execution Plan**
- **Entry**: Sell at **3275** (or wait for rejection confirmation).
- **Stop-Loss**: **3300–3320** (adjust based on volatility).
- **Take Profit**: **3200** (first target), then trail if momentum continues.
- **Alternative**: Partial profit at 3225, move SL to breakeven.
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### **Caution**
- Gold is volatile—unexpected news (war, Fed pivot) could spike prices.
- If 3200 holds as support, consider closing the trade or tightening stops.
Would you like a chart reference or an update on current gold trends? 🚀
XAU/USD adding confirmation to the bullish outlookPattern Identified:
Inverse Head and Shoulders
Left Shoulder: Marked on the left with a price dip followed by a recovery.
Head: A deeper dip forms the lowest point in the pattern.
Right Shoulder: A smaller dip that mirrors the left shoulder, indicating the pattern's completion.
Neckline (Resistance):
The green horizontal zone marked as resistance connects the highs between the shoulders and head. A breakout above this level confirms the reversal.
Breakout Strategy:
Entry Zone: Around 3,304.82, just above the neckline, signaling the breakout entry.
Stop Loss Zone: Below the red shaded support area, around 3,218.65, to protect against a false breakout.
Target Zone: Projected around 3,446.27 – 3,520.00, aligned with the expected height of the inverse head and shoulders formation.
Indicators & Tools Used:
Ichimoku Cloud:
Shows past bearish momentum but recent price action is breaking above the cloud, adding confirmation to the bullish outlook.
Support Zone:
A strong support base is marked in red, acting as the floor for the pattern and prior accumulation zone.
Trend Channel (Left):
A bullish channel in early April supports the historical strength in price action before the head formation.
Trade Outlook:
Bias: Bullish
Signal Confirmation: Break above the neckline with volume (not shown but typically checked in execution)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable, with a clearly defined stop loss and a high potential target area.
XAU / USD 30 Minute ChartHello traders. Just a quick update. So as I suspected, we moved up a bit to the $3186 area, and now this is where we watch to see if we move up a bit to rope people into longs only to come back down, or do we keep pushing up?? Let's see how the next few hours play out. It's Friday so don't try to force or rush a trade. Big G gets my thanks. Happy Friday.
Gold Price Targets Fresh GainsGold Price Targets Fresh Gains
Gold price started a fresh increase above the $3,210 resistance level.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a steady increase from the $3,120 zone against the US Dollar.
- A connecting bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,210 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price found support near the $3,120 zone. The price formed a base and started a fresh increase above the $3,150 level.
The bulls cleared the $3,200 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was also a spike above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,347 swing high to the $3,120 low. The RSI is now above 50 and the price could aim for more gains.
Immediate resistance is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,347 swing high to the $3,120 low at $3,260.
The next major resistance is near the $3,295 level. An upside break above the $3,295 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,350. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,385 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $3,210 zone. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $3,210. If there is a downside break below the $3,210 support, the price might decline further.
In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $3,155 support. The next major support sits at $3,120. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,060 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Geopolitical conflicts dominate gold price fluctuationsFrom a technical perspective, gold closed with a long lower shadow last week, indicating strong support from below. It opened higher on Monday to around $3,252 before falling back, entering a short-term consolidation phase, but the $3,200 integer mark was lost and regained. The daily level stood firmly on the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands closed, indicating that the market is accumulating upward momentum. Gold is generally bullish this week, with an upper target of $3,280; if it breaks through this resistance level, it may fill the previous gap and further test $3,350 or even $3,400.
Gold's 1-hour K-line shows that gold has bottomed out and rebounded, recovering the losses of last Friday, and is currently close to the upper track of the Bollinger Band. Technical indicators show that there is an obvious bottoming signal below, and there is still room for growth. However, before effectively breaking through $3,280, it is difficult for gold to form a unilateral upward trend. Therefore, this week's operation is considered to be divided into two stages: below $3,280, it is treated as a volatile upward trend, and after breaking through, it will turn into a unilateral upward trend. For gold's short-term operation strategy today, it is recommended to focus on low-level longs and rebound high-level shorts. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3250-3260 is 3250-3260, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3115-3105 is 3115-3105.
Operation strategy:
1. Gold is recommended to go long in the 3220-3215 area, with a stop loss at 3207 and a target of 3230-3240
2. Gold is recommended to go short in the 3250-3255 area, with a stop loss at 3263 and a target of 3235-3225
Gold Bears Aim for 3200 – Selling Rallies Remains the PlayIn my Friday analysis, I highlighted the potential for Gold to retest the 3270 support zone, and indeed, the Asian session and the opening of the new trading week confirmed this move, pushing Gold down to a low of 3255.
The overall chart structure remains strongly bearish following the false breakout above the 3370 resistance and the spike above 3400. This suggests that sellers are firmly in control, with a high probability of further downside.
I expect a break below 3270 support in the coming sessions, targeting the 3200 zone as the next major level for bears.
For now, the strategy remains clear:
Sell rallies as long as 3350 resistance remains intact. 🚀
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XAUUSD DAILY PLAN UPDATE – MAY 19-20, 2025“We don’t redraw zones. We validate their power.”
Chart: ✅ Full SMC + Imbalance + Macro flow (no guesswork)
📍 STRUCTURE FOLLOW-UP FROM YESTERDAY
Price respected the key mapped zones with surgical precision:
✅ Confirmed reaction from "LTF FVG + Unmitigated OB": Price tapped this zone and has been coiling since, showing hesitation near 3245–3255 supply.
✅ Demand at 3182–3190 (Confirmed demand + liquidity seep) held the entire bullish wave.
❌ No break above 3255 = No RAKET yet. Bulls haven’t pushed through the supply.
So far, structure remains short-term bullish, macro still in correction, premium rejection active.
✅ STILL VALID ZONES FOR MAY 19
🔵 BUY ZONES
3182–3190 = "Confirmed demand + liquidity sweep"
→ 2x successful rejections = highly reactive if retested.
If this breaks = deeper retracement expected.
3120–3140 = “MACRO must-hold demand”
→ Cleanest long-term demand block. If we ever break this, macro flow turns fully bearish.
3060–3085 = “FVG fill + wick rebalancing”
→ Only for deep selloffs. High reward zone.
🔴 SELL ZONES
3248–3255 = “LTF FVG + Unmitigated OB”
→ In-play now. Watch for reaction + breakdown below 3228 = short confirmation.
(Great for intraday NY/Asia reversal plays)
3280–3292 = Internal LH / last supply
→ Valid swing short zone if market expands.
3360–3380 = “Supply + imbalance rejection”
→ Macro invalidation zone if broken.
⚠️ INVALIDATED / USED ZONES
❌ 3221–3228 minor demand → Already wicked through, structure closed above and below.
❌ 3230 OB → No longer fresh. Consolidated, weak edge.
❌ 3235–3240 scalp supply → Broken in Asia session, now used for liquidity inducement.
🔎 PLAN SCENARIOS
🔽 BEARISH:
Rejects again from 3248–3255, breaks 3228, targets 3182, then 3120.
🔼 BULLISH:
Clean break & hold above 3255, continuation toward 3280–3292 next.
💡 FLOW INSIGHT:
"Price has memory. Respect the zones, not the hype."
We are in a premium coil → until 3255 breaks, sellers have the edge.
Until 3182 breaks, bulls still breathe.
🔔 FINAL RAKET NOTE:
All the zones marked yesterday have proven structure today.
We hold them, refine them—not redraw them.
Drop a 🧠 if you still trust your chart.
Drop a 🚀 if you're ready for the next clean leg.
—
With logic & flow,
GoldFxMinds 💛
GOLD - At CUT N REVERSE area? holds or not??#GOLD... perfect bounced from bottom and market constant showing buying scenarios.
Buy now market at his one of the most important n expensive area that is 3237
Keep close 3237
We will go for cut n reverse below that on confirmation.
Don't holds buying below 3237
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAU/USD: Awaiting clarification of the European session trend.After a significant rebound yesterday, the market showed a cyclical decline in early trading today, with no clear tradable pattern emerging yet. The current price is in a stalemate zone between bulls and bears, and two-way operations carry high risks. It is recommended to closely monitor the trend in the European session. Wait until the European session clarifies whether the market will continue the downward trend or rebound further, and then follow the trend during the US session.
From a technical analysis perspective, yesterday's upward movement is more inclined to be a washing-out phase rather than a signal indicating the start of a gold bull market. Please be patient and wait for the market to clear up, and do not trade aggressively during this period. Always maintain a cautious attitude.
We will continue to monitor the market and keep updating trading strategies.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold - $3160 before the next move up?Introduction
Gold is currently exhibiting interesting price behavior across multiple timeframes, reflecting a mix of short-term bullishness within a broader context of consolidation. On the one-hour chart, gold is trading within a well-defined rising channel, suggesting a controlled upward correction following a strong impulsive move downward. This upward movement appears to be a retracement rather than a full reversal, especially when analyzed in conjunction with the higher timeframes.
Daily tight range
Zooming out, gold remains range-bound between the key levels of $3,500 and $3,200. The market has been oscillating within this wide horizontal band, making relatively equal highs and lows. This type of price action typically signals indecision or accumulation, where neither buyers nor sellers are firmly in control. Such a range can often precede a more decisive move in either direction once a breakout occurs. Until then, the market remains reactive to both support and resistance zones within this range.
Latest Gold sell-off
Yesterday’s trading session introduced a notable shift in momentum, as gold posted a large bearish candle on the one-hour chart, marking a sudden and aggressive sell-off. This move established a short-term bearish impulse. Since that moment, however, the price has been gradually recovering, climbing back within the confines of the rising channel. This rebound appears corrective in nature and has yet to reclaim the previous levels before the sell-off. Above the current price action lies a one-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could be an area of interest for liquidity hunters. Should gold manage to break out to the upside of the channel, it is quite possible that price action will aim to fill this FVG, which sits around the $3,300 level. This could represent a short-term bullish target before any potential continuation lower.
Bearish scenario
On the flip side, the more compelling scenario from a technical standpoint lies on the downside. If gold fails to sustain its upward trajectory and breaks below the lower boundary of the rising channel, the probability of a move toward the strong support level at $3,160 increases significantly. This level is particularly noteworthy because it aligns with multiple technical confluences. It represents a historical support area where price has previously reacted strongly, and it coincides with the so-called “golden pocket” of the Fibonacci retracement, typically considered a high-probability reversal zone by many traders. The presence of this confluence suggests that a breakdown could trigger a swift move toward this level, possibly attracting buyers once again if the support holds.
Bullish scenario
While the potential to move higher toward the $3,300 region and fill the FVG remains valid, especially if the current bullish momentum within the channel continues, it is, in my view, the less probable scenario. The recent sharp downward candle suggests that sellers have established control in the short term, and the current upward movement may simply be a retracement before a continuation lower.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the most likely and technically supported path for gold appears to be a breakdown from the rising channel, followed by a decline toward the $3,160 support level. This zone, bolstered by historical significance and Fibonacci confluence, presents a strong target for price if bearish momentum resumes. While a temporary push toward $3,300 is possible, especially to fill the FVG, it should be seen as a lower-probability scenario compared to the downside risk currently unfolding.
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Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/20/2025Gold did move up to 3247 resistance but failed to break it yesterday. Price has hit the resistance for 4 times and gave a rising triangle pattern. It seems the market is pressing toward breaking the resistance.
I also identified the trend line as shown in the chart. As long as the trend line is valid, gold should stay bullish.
I am looking to buy when 3252 is broken. Targeting 3310.
However, if the trend line is broken, the setup is invalid.
XAUUAD UPDATE 22-05-2025The chart you provided is a technical analysis for Gold (CFDs on Gold - US$/OZ) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of what it shows:
1. Price Action:
The current price is around $3,331.56.
The price has recently entered a resistance zone (highlighted in yellow-red near the top).
2. Resistance Zones:
Upper resistance: Around $3,389 (top yellow box).
Immediate resistance: Around $3,330–$3,340 (where price is currently reacting).
3. Support Zone:
Lower support: Around $3,142–$3,160 (bottom yellow box).
4. Bearish Outlook (as indicated by the blue arrow):
The chart suggests a potential rejection from the current resistance zone.
A projected drop toward the lower support area is illustrated.
There’s a red-shaded box likely representing a stop-loss zone, implying a short trade setup with entry near the current level.
5. Volume: There’s a moderate rise in volume recently, which could support the momentum shift.
Conclusion: The chart analysis suggests a short setup expecting gold to fall from the current resistance zone to the support zone around $3,140, assuming price fails to break above resistance.
Would you like a technical analysis or trading plan based on this idea?
GOLD BUY 2300Gold is showing strong bullish momentum amid global economic uncertainty and ongoing demand for safe-haven assets. confirming a potential continuation to the upside.
🔍 Technical Overview:
Trend: Bullish (Higher highs, higher lows)
Indicators:
RSI holding above 50, showing strength
MACD crossover to the upside
Price above 50/200 EMA – bullish structure
DID NOT WRITE DESCRIPTION WAS AI GENERATED AS I CBA
Gold forecast for next week
Before the fishermen went out to sea, they didn't know where the fish were? But they still chose to go because they believed they would return with a full load. When you invest, you don't know whether you can make a profit, but you still need to try. Success is not something that will happen in the future, but from the moment you choose and decide to do it, you will gain something if you insist on believing. The same is true for gold investment. You may still be losing money at the moment, but as long as you find me, all losses will be solved!
Views on the trend of gold next week!
Gold continued its downward trend on Friday. In the morning, there was another long-short wash and returned to the 3200 mark. The daily line closed with a small negative line. Then we have to consider a problem now, that is, whether the daily line will form a continuous decline. In the daily rhythm, we can see that the position of the high point has been declining, which means that after the top resistance level of the three-point line is blocked, it is easy to form a secondary turning point of the trend downward, which means that next week we still have to look at the retracement.
As for the future market direction, the short-term bearish trend will continue to be the theme! On the whole, the gold price rebounded in 4 hours and made a backtest. If the rebound does not break the resistance, it will continue to fall, and the direction of the decline will continue! After the short turning point turned downward from the high point, the current short trend is still extending downward, that is to say, before the short reaches the key node and the long builds a bottom, the rebound is still the main rhythm!
Gold: Enter short orders near 3212 next week, defend 22, and target 3180-60!
GOLD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3203.1
Stop Loss - 3212.0
Take Profit - 3181.7
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD GOLD Just Grabbed liquidity Below a key low analysis Full Guide: How to Use COT Data for Trading XAUUSD (Gold)
1. What is COT Data?
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It shows the aggregate positioning of different types of traders in the futures markets.
For XAUUSD (Gold), you’ll look at the Gold futures (COMEX) section.
2. Key Trader Categories in COT Report
1. Commercials (Hedgers):
Typically big institutions or producers like mining companies.
They use futures to hedge exposure, not speculate.
Usually short during rallies and long when price is low.
2. Non-Commercials (Large Speculators):
Hedge funds, money managers.
Considered the "smart money." Full Guide: How to Use COT Data for Trading XAUUSD (Gold)
1. What is COT Data?
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It shows the aggregate positioning of different types of traders in the futures markets.
For XAUUSD (Gold), you’ll look at the Gold futures (COMEX) section.
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2. Key Trader Categories in COT Report
1. Commercials (Hedgers):
Typically big institutions or producers like mining companies.
They use futures to hedge exposure, not speculate.
Usually short during rallies and long when price is low.
2. Non-Commercials (Large Speculators):
Hedge funds, money managers.
Considered the "smart money."
Follow trends and often drive major moves.
3. Nonreportables (Retail/Small Traders):
Smaller traders, often contrarian indicators.
Not always consistent with price direction.
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3. Where to Find COT Data
CFTC Website
Tools like:
Tradingster.com
BarChart.com
COTbase.com
Look for "Legacy" or "Disaggregated" COT reports for Gold - COMEX.
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4. How to Read the COT Data for Gold
Key Metrics:
Longs/Shorts: Number of contracts held.
Net Positions: Longs minus Shorts.Changes WoW: Increase/decrease in positions compared to the prior week.
Example Insight:
If Non-Commercials are heavily net long, and reaching historical highs, market may be overbought.
If Commercials increase shorts significantly, they may be preparing for a price decline.
A divergence between price action and COT data often signals potential reversal.
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5. Using COT for Gold Trading (XAUUSD)A. Trend Confirmation
Rising net long positions by non-commercials = bullish confirmation.
Decreasing net long or rising shorts = weakening trend or reversal.
B. Reversal Spotting
Extremes in positioning (e.g., record longs by speculators) often precede reversals.
Look for non-commercials reducing longs while commercials increase shorts—potential top.
C. Liquidity Grabs and COT
If gold grabs liquidity (stop hunts) and COT shows heavy speculative positioning, that could be a smart money trap.
A strong bullish reversal after liquidity grab with increasing net longs confirms a momentum shift.
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6. How to Combine COT with Technical Analysis
Use COT to validate or question what you see on the chart.
Example Setup:
Chart: Gold drops below key support (liquidity grab).
COT: Non-commercials increase longs that week.
Conclusion: Smart money bought the dip — potential for bullish reversal.
Combine with:
Market structure
Volume
Sentiment tools
Price action (e.g., bullish engulfing, break of structure)
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7. Limitations and Tips
Lagging Data: COT is released every Friday for data on Tuesday.
Use it for context and macro positioning, not for intraday trades.
Look at weekly or monthly trends, not daily.
Best used alongside price action and other confirmation signals.
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Conclusion
COT data is a powerful tool for understanding who is behind the move in gold. By tracking the positioning of major players, you can:
Confirm trends
Spot early signs of reversal
Align your trades with institutional momentum
Hanzo | Gold min Bullish Break– Confirming the Next Move🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
Bullish After Break Out : 3154
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Strong bullish reaction from a refined demand zone.
☄️Entry based on Smart Money Concepts: Break of structure + order block confirmation.
☄️Confluence with higher time frame support or key level.
☄️Bullish engulfing / displacement candle shows clear intent.
☄️Market in premium-to-discount transition zone.
Hanzo | Gold min Bullish Break– Confirming the Next Move