Gold Is Set to Bottom Out and Rebound This WeekGood morning, everyone!
At today’s open, gold once again dipped into the 3258–3248 buy zone, then rebounded toward 3270. From a structural perspective, gold has clearly entered a downward trend, but this decline is unlikely to be one-directional—short-term rebounds and consolidations are expected along the way.
Based on my experience, below 3250 remains a favorable area for initiating long positions. Whether the price rebounds directly or continues lower before building a stronger base to challenge 3300 again, the broader outlook remains bullish as long as the 3200 support holds. A bottoming reversal this week is still the more probable scenario.
As such, the focus early this week should be on buying near the lows, with short opportunities on rebounds as a secondary strategy. Monitor key support levels for signs of strength.
This week is also packed with important data—including PMI, Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), and the unemployment rate, in addition to regular economic releases. Given the current macroeconomic backdrop, significant market volatility is expected—bringing both risk and opportunity. Manage your exposure carefully and stay adaptable.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold fluctuates upward. Is the decline over?On Monday, gold opened at around 3282, and then fell back quickly to around 3247 under pressure; the downward low was blocked, and then rebounded strongly to around 3297; the market currently maintains a small upward trend.
At present, we need to focus on the resistance range of the upward trend.
From the 4-hour chart, the upper short-term resistance is around 3295-3300, followed by the suppression range of 3310-3315. The main direction of short-term operations maintains the rebound short-selling strategy. The support below is around 3255; the overall short-term operation relies on 3260-3300 to maintain the main tone of high-altitude participation unchanged.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3305, stop loss 3320, profit range 3270-3260.
A new week has just begun. I wish you all gain something from the market fluctuations.
Mastering Delta–Volume Divergence
🎓 Mastering Delta–Volume Divergence: How to Read Institutional Absorption and Trap Setups
⸻
1️⃣ What Is Delta?
Delta measures the net aggression between buyers and sellers:
• Market Buys: traders lifting the ask
• minus
• Market Sells: traders hitting the bid
✅ Positive Delta indicates stronger buying pressure.
✅ Negative Delta indicates stronger selling pressure.
Delta shows who is initiating trades, not just that trading is occurring.
⸻
2️⃣ What Is Volume?
Volume measures the total number of contracts traded, regardless of who initiated them.
Every matched buy and sell contributes equally to volume.
Volume reveals activity, but not who controls the move.
⸻
3️⃣ What Is Delta–Volume Divergence?
Delta–Volume Divergence occurs when:
✅ Volume is high (lots of trades happening),
✅ But Delta is near zero (neither side dominates).
This signals:
• Intense two-sided activity between buyers and sellers,
• Strong participation on both sides,
• Passive absorption—institutions quietly filling large orders without moving price significantly.
⸻
4️⃣ Chart Breakdown – Bar by Bar
Below is a clear example of this concept in practice, reviewing each daily bar from your footprint chart:
⸻
🔴 June 24
• Delta: -8,240 (strong net selling)
• Volume: 575,720 (very high)
• Interpretation:
• Heavy, aggressive selling.
• Clear trend-confirming action.
• No divergence.
⸻
🟢 June 25
• Delta: +4,650 (net buying)
• Volume: 343,990 (moderate)
• Interpretation:
• Counter-trend buying or short covering.
• Less volume and less conviction.
⸻
🟢 June 26
• Delta: +2,690 (mild net buying)
• Volume: 416,820 (higher)
• Interpretation:
• Rising volume but weaker delta.
• Early sign of balance developing.
• Possible absorption beginning.
⸻
🟨 June 27 (Critical Bar)
• Delta: +272 (near zero)
• Volume: 540,310 (very high)
• Interpretation:
• Huge volume churn.
• Neither buyers nor sellers in control.
• Likely institutional absorption of aggressive orders.
✅ This is a textbook example of Delta–Volume Divergence.
⸻
5️⃣ Why This Matters
Professional Insight:
• Sellers had been aggressive for several sessions.
• Suddenly, volume remained elevated, but delta flatlined.
• This suggests:
• Exhaustion of selling aggression, or
• Institutional accumulation and passive positioning.
This often sets the stage for:
• A trap reversal (short squeeze), or
• A continuation flush if sellers regroup and push lower.
⸻
6️⃣ Confirmation Scenarios
Scenario A: Bearish Continuation
• Watch for renewed strong negative delta (e.g., -5,000 or worse).
• Price remains below the last support (~3,250).
• Confirms absorption failed and sellers remain dominant.
Scenario B: Short Squeeze Reversal
• Price reclaims the VAL (~3,285–3,300).
• Delta flips strongly positive (+5,000 or more).
• Trapped shorts begin covering, driving price back toward supply.
⸻
7️⃣ Common Misinterpretation
⚠️ High volume alone does NOT mean momentum.
Key Point:
If delta is flat, high volume simply means churn, not directional energy.
This is why inexperienced traders often get caught:
• They see heavy volume and assume a breakout is underway.
• In reality, the market is absorbing liquidity to trap both sides.
⸻
8️⃣ Professional Tips for Trading Divergence
✅ Wait for confirmation before entering:
• Clear delta shifts, and
• Price reclaiming or rejecting key levels.
✅ Be aware of stop zones:
• Under recent lows if buyers fail,
• Above recent range if sellers get exhausted.
✅ Avoid trading during pure churn without clear follow-through.
⸻
9️⃣ Quick Recap
✅ Delta–Volume Divergence: High volume, flat delta, no clear directional control.
✅ Typically signals absorption and position buildup.
✅ Requires confirmation before committing to trades.
✅ Recognizing it helps you avoid traps and false breakouts.
⸻
🔟 Final Thought
Learning to read divergence is what separates professional traders from retail:
“Volume tells you how hard the market is working. Delta tells you who’s winning.”
Combine both to see the hidden game behind every price bar.
⸻
⚠️ Disclaimer: This lesson is for educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial advice.
XAU/USD 2h chart pattern.I'm provided for XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar) on the 2-hour timeframe, here's the analysis:
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📉 Chart Pattern Insight
A clear ascending channel was forming.
Price broke below the lower trendline (highlighted in orange), signaling a potential bearish breakdown.
The price is currently retesting the broken trendline and starting to reject it — a bearish sign.
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🎯 Target Levels Identified on Chart
You’ve marked two bearish targets with arrows:
1. First Target: Around $3,280
This aligns with a previous minor support area.
A reasonable short-term target after the trendline break.
2. Second (Deeper) Target: Around $3,245
Likely based on the full height of the channel projected downward (measured move).
This level could be the next major support.
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📌 Summary:
Target Price Level Confidence
First Target ~$3,280 Medium-High
Final Target ~$3,245 Medium
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Let me know if you'd like help setting stop-loss levels, trade management tips, or a risk-reward calculation based on your entry.
Gold price rises by more than $100, will the bull run continue?📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
3. Global Central Bank Governors Meeting
📈 Technical Analysis:
The NY session is about to begin, and there are two things we need to pay attention to. First, the PMI data, and second, the talks between global central bank governors. If Powell again hints that the inflation outlook is weaker than expected, this will increase the Fed's easing bets and trigger a new round of decline in the US dollar. The dovish tone may help gold prices to further rebound. On the contrary, if Powell makes some hawkish or cautious remarks, this may exacerbate the recent downward trend in gold prices. The key point at present is the 3350 mark. If the 4H closing line of the NY session remains below 3350, then in the short term we are expected to continue to retreat to the 3330-3320 range. If the 4H closing line is above 3350 and stabilizes, gold may rebound to the 61.8% position, which is around 3372.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350-3355
TP 3330-3325-3320
BUY 3330-3320
TP 3340-3350-3372
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
6.26 Gold intraday analysis guideOn Wednesday (June 25), international spot gold rose slightly during the US trading session, but was still suppressed by the 20-day moving average (US$3,355). The RSI (14) was at 48.7, in the neutral range of 40-60, suggesting that the market lacks a clear direction. US$3,355 (20-day moving average) has become the recent watershed between long and short positions. If it breaks through this level, it may test the psychological barrier of US$3,400. The support below is US$3,245 (the low point on May 29). If it fails, it may drop to the integer level of 3,200 and US$3,121 (the low point on May 15). Stability of the geopolitical situation: If the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East continues, the outflow of safe-haven funds may further suppress the gold price. Fed policy expectations: If the July non-agricultural and CPI data show that inflation is cooling down, it may rekindle expectations of interest rate cuts and boost gold. The current gold market is in a "wait-and-see mode", and both long and short sides lack decisive momentum. Traders need to pay close attention to: US economic data: especially employment and inflation indicators for the Fed's policy path. Geopolitical dynamics: Any breakdown of the ceasefire agreement could quickly push up safe-haven demand. Dollar trend: If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance, a stronger dollar may further suppress gold prices. Gold is expected to maintain range fluctuations in the short term, with the $3,355 moving average resistance and $3,245 support forming a key trading range. The direction of the breakthrough depends on new fundamental catalysts.
Personal operation analysis:
Trend: Oscillating trend
Support: Near 3,300.00
Resistance: Near 3,335.50
Strategy:
View logic: Short view near 3,335-3,340, stop loss 3,345, take profit near 3,300--3,280, and follow the stop loss 300 points.
XAUUSD - Breakdown: - RISK OFF - Gold Bears Part IV - Complete TVC:GOLD buyers got flushed all week 💥
Big Boy sells only.
Sometimes you’ve got to put your balls on the line and call it ahead — no hesitation.
New Ideas next week, Thank you and keep supporting!!
We did just that.
#Trump #DXY #Gold #XAUUSD #Dollar #Metals #CommodityTrading #KeepGoing #SmartMoneyMoves
GOLD Will Grow! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,290.38.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,315.54 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold may collapse again, don't get buried in it!In the past two trading days, gold began to rebound from a low of around 3245, and has now rebounded to around 3358, with a rebound of up to $113. Moreover, there has been no significant retracement during this rebound, indicating that gold has little intention to fall, and may even continue to rise.
But for me, gold rebounded from 3245. Even if a double bottom structure with 3275 as the secondary low was constructed on the technical level, it should not be enough for gold to rebound more than $113 in just two days as it fell below many supports in the early stage and bullish confidence suffered a serious blow. Moreover, it happened before the uncertain news of the NFP market.
So I have to consider that the market did it deliberately, and its primary purpose was to kill a large number of short chips in the market and lure more attracted long chips; secondly, the sharp rise before the NFP market may be to reserve room for the NFP market to fall in advance; in addition, I have to consider that the US dollar has fallen to a three-year low. If it continues to fall, there may be a global crisis of confidence in the US dollar, and the oversold rebound demand for the US dollar will also suppress gold.
Therefore, I still will not advocate chasing the rise of gold for the time being; on the contrary, I will actively seek opportunities to short gold in the 3350-3370 area; and once gold turns to a downward trend again, it may at least test the 3325-3315-3305 area downward in the short term.
GOLD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,346.90 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,365.74.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold Short: Wave 5 of C In this video, I explained my change in the Gold Elliott Wave counts on the cycle level (red font numbering) and how I think the Gold price movement will go down in a double combination (because the previous 2 waves are double combinations).
I also go through how I set the short target using Fibonacci extensions.
XAUUSD:Today's trading strategy
On Tuesday, the news that Trump announced a ceasefire between Iran and Israel dampened the risk aversion sentiment. Subsequently, the news that expectations of interest rate cuts had slowed down led to a further decline in gold prices. During the trading session, it once fell below the 3,300 mark. After the impact of the news weakened, it eventually rebounded to around 3,323, approaching the position where we first entered the market yesterday. Currently, there is no logic in the market. From a technical perspective, The resistance level above is at 3340-45, and the support level below is at 3305-10. We can conduct transactions around this range
Trading strategy:
SELL@3340-45
TP:3310-04
BUY@3305-10
TP:3335-40
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Diamond Level in Focus 📊 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 1H Timeframe
This chart outlines key market structure levels with two possible scenarios:
🔹 Ranging Area between 3329 – 3337 is being tested.
🔹 A break above the Diamond Win Line (3368) could lead to a bullish continuation toward the major resistance at 3394.
🔹 On the downside, rejection from this zone may push price back toward the support levels at 3312 and 3295.
🔹 Watch for clean price action confirmation before entering trades.
This setup is based on price structure, clean market zones, and potential breakout/rejection scenarios. Stay patient and trade smart!
XAU/USD Bearish Bomb Ready to Explode? (Entry Levels Inside)🏦💰 GOLD HEIST ALERT: XAU/USD Bearish Raid in Progress! (Short Setup Inside) 💰🏦
🚨 Cops Waiting at Resistance? Here's How to Steal Pips & Escape Safely! 🚨
🦹♂️ ATTENTION ALL MARKET BANDITS!
To the Profit Pirates & Risk-Takers! 🌍💣
Using our 🔥Thief Trading Tactics🔥 (a lethal mix of liquidity grabs + institutional order flow + macro traps), we're executing a bearish gold heist on XAU/USD—this is not advice, just a strategic robbery plan for traders who play by their own rules.
📉 THE GOLD VAULT RAID (SHORT ENTRY PLAN)
🎯 Loot Zone: 3280.00 (or escape earlier if bulls fight back)
💣 High-Stakes Play: Neutral trend turning bearish - trap for late buyers
👮♂️ Cop Trap: Where bullish traders get arrested by resistance
🔪 ENTRY RULES:
"Heist Activated!" – Strike when price breaks 3340.00
Sell Stop Orders above MA OR Sell Limit on pullbacks (15-30min TF)
Aggressive? Enter at market but use tighter stops
📌 SET ALERTS! Don't miss the breakdown
🚨 STOP LOSS (Escape Plan):
Thief SL at 3390.00 (4H swing high)
⚠️ Warning: "Ignore this SL? Enjoy your margin call."
🎯 TARGETS:
Main Take-Profit: 3280.00
Scalpers: Ride the bear waves only
🔍 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Before raiding, check:
✅ COT Data (Are big players dumping gold?)
✅ Real Yields (TIPS vs Gold correlation)
✅ Geopolitical Heat (Safe-haven flows drying up?)
✅ DXY Strength (Dollar crushing commodities?)
🚨 NEWS RISK WARNING
Avoid NFP/CPI/FOMC periods (unless you like volatility torture)
Trailing stops = your get-out-of-jail-free card
💎 BOOST THIS HEIST!
👍 Smash Like to fund our next raid!
🔁 Share to recruit more trading outlaws!
🤑 See you at the target, rebels!
⚖️ DISCLAIMER: For entertainment only. Trade at your own peril.
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #TradingView #LiquidityGrab #ThiefTrading
💬 COMMENT: "Short already—or waiting for confirmation?" 👇🔥
XAUUSD Consolidates Near Resistance After Strong RallyGold (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe has staged a solid bullish reversal from the 3,263 USD support zone, reaching a recent high of 3,357 USD. Now, the market is entering a consolidation phase just below this resistance. This price action may be setting the stage for the next directional move.
After breaking a clear descending trendline, XAUUSD formed a two-leg bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows – a classic signal of trend reversal. The rally paused around 3,357 USD, a previous swing high acting as short-term resistance. The price is currently ranging between 3,330–3,340 USD with decreasing volume, indicating a potential accumulation zone rather than distribution.
Resistance: 3,357 USD – breakout target
Support zone: 3,330–3,335 USD – short-term demand zone
Invalidation level: 3,306 USD – below this, bullish structure breaks
As long as price holds above 3,330 USD, a bullish continuation remains the primary scenario. Traders can look for pullbacks or bullish patterns within this zone for potential long entries. A break and close above 3,357 USD would confirm strength, opening the path toward 3,370 or even 3,390 USD.
Stop-loss should be placed below 3,306 USD to manage risk if the breakout fails. If price loses the 3,306 support decisively, the setup turns neutral to bearish short-term.
The breakout leg was supported by rising volume, validating real demand. Current low-volume sideways movement suggests the market is “cooling off” after the rally, often a precursor to the next breakout move. Watching for bullish engulfing candles or volume spikes near support can offer trade confirmation.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a bullish technical structure on the 1H chart. The current range between 3,330–3,357 USD is key. If price breaks above resistance, we could see strong continuation toward higher levels. Traders should stay patient, manage risk carefully, and let price action confirm the next move.
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 2 July 2025Hello Traders,
Today all eyes on breakout of 3360-70 zone in order to GOLD go for further advance below this zone all eyes are remains on 3318 level if market successfully maintain 3330 level then will go down further towards 3300 Psychological Level after passing 3318
NFP main event of the day which is held by tomorrow
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold Holds Steady as Focus Shifts to Fed Policy Over GeopoliticaGold Holds Steady as Focus Shifts to Fed Policy Over Geopolitical Risk
- Gold prices remained resilient. The US Dollar Index slipped 0.23% to 97.74, while U.S. equities ended mixed as markets braced for Federal Reserve policy signals.
- The Israel-Iran ceasefire has eased geopolitical concerns, typically a bearish signal for gold. However, the metal’s continued strength, outperforming the weaker dollar, points to renewed institutional and retail accumulation. This highlights a key shift: investors are now prioritising monetary policy outlooks over crisis-driven moves.
- All eyes are on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony, with particular focus on his comments regarding tariffs and interest rates. The CME’s FedWatch tool now shows a 24.8% probability of a July rate cut. Powell’s cautious tone—balancing inflation risks from potential tariffs against economic softness—has added uncertainty to the rate path, especially amid political pressure from the Trump administration.
- Gold’s recent price action suggests it’s evolving from a pure safe-haven asset into a hedge against broader monetary and economic instability. With geopolitical tensions easing, traders are now closely watching the Fed’s next steps and the dollar’s direction as key drivers of gold’s trajectory.
GOLD Made H&S Reversal Pattern , Chance To Sell To Get 200 PipsHere is My 15 Mins Chart On Gold and we have a very good reversal Pattern , Head & Shoulders , we have a 15 mins closure below neckline 3322.00 we can enter a sell trade and targeting at least 100 pips as scalping , we can enter after waiting the price to retest neckline and then enter . and the price can reach 3300.00 to 3296.00 again .
GOLD Breakout Done Let`s Buy It To Get Clear 200 Pips !Here is my opinion on 30 mins T.F , We have a very good bullish price action and we have a very good breakout with amazing bullish candle and now the price back to retest the breakout area , it`s my fav place to enter a buy trade and the price can move 200 Pips easy , i`m waiting for retest and good bullish price action to enter a buy trade .