GOLD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is weaker than we
Expected and failed to break
The key horizontal level
Around 3360$ and we are
Now seeing a bearish rejection
So we are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold Stuck in Neutral: Range Trading PersistsSince its impressive rally towards $3,500 earlier this year, Gold (XAUUSD) has settled into a consolidation phase, oscillating steadily between $3,250 and $3,400. Prices have consistently gravitated towards the 20-period SMA, reflecting a neutral sentiment among traders. Despite staying above key trend supports (50- and 200-period SMAs), gold has lacked sustained directional momentum.
Technically, indicators confirm this balanced outlook. RSI remains neutral around 49, indicating evenly matched bulls and bears, while the stochastic oscillator similarly shows neither oversold nor overbought conditions. A declining ATR highlights reduced volatility, signaling cautious market participation. Critical near-term support lies at $3,164 and $3,054, while resistance holds firm at $3,296 and $3,400. Traders should anticipate continued mean reversion and look to fade extremes within this established range.
Fundamentally, Gold faces competing drivers. Geopolitical uncertainties and central bank diversification away from the U.S. dollar provide bullish tailwinds. Conversely, resilient U.S. economic data periodically boosts the dollar, restricting gold’s upside potential. Traders should monitor this week's Fed minutes closely, as surprises here could trigger volatility or even a breakout scenario toward $3,500 or a deeper correction below $3,164. For now, expect gold to remain range-bound, reacting sensitively to headlines and macroeconomic cues.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. I took today off, hope all is well. Looking at the 4 hour chart, we have had quite a few green candles in a row. So for me, I am not trying to get roped into a trade in the current zone marked on the chart. I am looking for a break and close above or below that zone. Let's see how the overnight session play out. Be well and trade the trend. The US dollar is beat up pretty badly right now. But be careful, never forget that for you to win a trade, an institution or entity has to lose. Just try to ride with the momentum.. Factor in the trading session, volume, news, multiple time frames, just to name a few. Things need to line up to take a trade, just clicking and hoping for the best will drain your account. Shout out to Big G. Thanks for reading.
Gold Under Pressure as Dollar Strengthens – Watch Below 3297FX:XAUUSD – Technical & Fundamental Outlook
Gold prices declined on Monday, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar following President Trump’s announcement of a potential 10% tariff on BRICS-aligned countries. The news supported the dollar and weakened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Although uncertainty remains around U.S. trade negotiations ahead of the July 9 tariff deadline, signals of possible extensions and staggered implementation have further reduced short-term haven flows into gold.
Technical View:
Gold remains under bearish pressure while trading below 3320.
As long as the price stays under this level, we expect sideways consolidation between 3297 and 3320 until a breakout occurs.
A 1H close below 3297 would confirm bearish continuation, targeting 3281 and 3255.
A break above 3320 would invalidate the bearish outlook and shift momentum toward 3342.
Pivot: 3297
Support Levels: 3281 / 3255 / 3239
Resistance Levels: 3314 / 3320 / 3342
Previous idea: Click Here...
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would ideally be looking for price to attempt lower and reject at the red box giving us the opportunity to long back up into the key levels following the red box and Excalibur targets. We did open with a huge spike down, into the 2nd region we wanted and managed to the move we giving us a great start to the week. As you can see on last week’s chart we broke above the red box which meant shorting was not on the cards, and a continuation into the next level would be a preferable trade, also working well. The NFP bias was bearish below the red box, again, tap and bounce from Excalibur giving the move downside, but not completing at the level we initially wanted.
Not a bad week at all in Camelot.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we would expect cleaner price action but there isn’t a lot of news so we may see some ranging and sudden burst of volume which will be needed to drive price out of the range.
We have support at the 3330 level and the extension level which is around 3210, which if spiked and held, should give us a move into the higher red box level and resistance 3345-50. There is another extension level above, 3360-65, which, if there was a bias this week would be the bearish below level. This level, if approached needs to be watched carefully for a potential RIP and needs to be broken for us to see higher pricing in gold.
Volume indicators are suggesting a potential pull back on the open, so let’s see if we can find that support and as long as we don’t break below 3310-6 we may just see a more range play between 3365 resistance and 3310 support.
It’s a bit conflicting on the charts this week which is why we’ll say let’s play it day by day and we’ll update every one as we go through the week.
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3350 for 3355, 3360, 3362, 3365, 3374, 3388 and 3396 in extension of the move
Break below 3335 for 3331, 3324, 3321, 3310, 3306 and 3293 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
False breakout? Gold reverses sharply after news surgeBecause of the news that Trump hinted at firing Powell, gold surged strongly in the short term and passed to 3377, recovering the recent decline in one fell swoop. We went long on gold near 3323 in advance, and went long on gold near 3340 again after gold retreated, hitting TP: 3345 and 3355 respectively. The two long trades successfully made a profit of 370pips, with a profit of more than $18K.
Although gold has risen sharply in the short term and effectively destroyed the downward structure, it is mainly news that drives the market. After Trump denied firing Powell, gold rose fast and fell fast. So we can't chase long gold too much. First, the sustainability of the news-driven market needs to be examined, and second, the certainty of Trump's news is still unreliable. He always denies himself the next day.
After the gold price retreated quickly, a long upper shadow appeared in the candlestick chart, indicating that the upper resistance should not be underestimated. Therefore, we should not rush to buy gold. We can still consider shorting gold in the 3355-3365 area. We should first focus on the area around 3340. If gold falls below this area during the retreat, gold will return to the short trend and test the area around 3320 again, or even fall below this area after multiple tests and continue to the 3310-3300 area.
HOW - TO : Use Quantum EdgeX IndicatorQuantum EdgeX is a visual trading tool designed to help identify potential trend reversals to the downside based on RSI and price behavior. It works across different Instruments and timeframes
What It Does:
1.Quantum EdgeX monitors overall price behavior in relation to RSI dynamics and marks potential moments where weakness may be forming.
2.It plots a arrow above the bar when specific conditions are detected and highlights the relevant candle in the background to help you visually track the event.
3.The background highlight remains visible even after a arrow is shown, giving users a visual reference of the condition.
How to Use:
1.Apply Quantum EdgeX to any chart — works for all instruments.
2.Compatible with any timeframe.
3.Best used to support your existing trading analysis.
4. Use the indicator directly as all settings are locked and pre-configured, so there is no need to change anything.
Example Chart:
Access:
This is a Public Invite-Only indicator.
To request access, send a message through my Trading View profile.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This script is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always use your own analysis and risk management before entering any trade.
Weekly XAUUSD Outlook (July 14–19, 2025)Hey team — we're entering a decisive week on gold as macro tensions heat up and price dances inside a key premium range. Let’s dive into what the chart is telling us.
🔸 HTF Bias: Weekly Structure Breakdown
Bias: Bullish with exhaustion signs
Current candle: Bearish rejection forming after last week's lower high inside the premium range
Trend: Still bullish overall, but stalling inside a distribution-like pattern
Weekly structure:
Confirmed CHoCH in early 2023 launched the bullish leg
Break of structure toward Higher High (HH) continues but weak high was created near 3500
We’re currently inside a weekly premium range, rejecting the upper quadrant
🔸 Key Weekly Confluences:
Zone Type Price Level Confluences
🔼 Resistance 3490–3500 Weak High + Premium zone + FVG + RSI divergence
🔼 Upper Range 3450–3470 Historical imbalance fill + EMA5 overextension
🔽 Support 3355–3320 Weekly OB + Discount side of premium leg + FVG
🔽 Deep Support 3200–3170 Last strong demand + BOS origin + RSI oversold risk zone
Fibonacci Range: 3500 = top of the bullish extension; 50% retracement sits around 3250
RSI (Weekly): Starting to curve down from overbought territory — watch for structure cracks
EMAs (5/21/50): Strong upside lock remains but a flattening 5EMA hints short-term slow-down
🗓 Macro + News Context:
This week is loaded with high-impact U.S. data and a parade of FOMC speakers:
Core CPI (Monday) and Retail Sales (Thursday) = critical for short-term inflation outlook
FOMC members speaking throughout the week = high chance of volatility spikes
Pre-G20 positioning (Friday–Saturday) could lead to risk-off flows or safety bids on gold
Watch Crude Oil Inventories and Building Permits for risk sentiment impact
The combination of CPI, retail sales, and continuous Fed commentary could cause abrupt sentiment swings — especially if inflation surprises to the upside again.
⚠️ What to Watch This Week:
Any weekly close above 3470 = potential sweep into weak high (3500)
Failure to hold 3355 zone = opens the door to revisit the deeper OB around 3200
Look for a lower high inside premium to confirm bearish weekly intent — otherwise we remain bullish
Any bounce from 3320 must show strong volume + FVG reaction to confirm continuation
✅ Final Notes:
This week is all about patience. We’re in a premium exhaustion phase, and with heavy macro catalysts on the table, gold is primed for a decisive breakout — up or down.
Stay flexible. Let price show its hand around the major zones. We’ll refine sniper entries on H4 and H1 once the weekly opens fully.
—
📌 If this breakdown helped, hit 🚀🚀🚀 follow @GoldFxMinds🔔 for daily updates as this structure develops and drop a comment:
Will gold sweep 3500 or collapse toward 3200? 👇
📢 Disclosure:
This analysis is based on the Trade Nation TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee.
⚠️ Educational content only — not financial advice.
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3.324.79 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,317.96..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
uptrend, heading towards 3400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) climb toward $3,350 in early Asian trading on Tuesday, supported by renewed safe-haven demand after US President Donald Trump threatened sweeping 100% tariffs on Russia. Traders now shift focus to the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could offer further cues for the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.
Late Monday, Trump warned that unless Russian President Vladimir Putin agrees to a peace deal to end the Ukraine conflict within 50 days, the US will impose 100% tariffs on Russian goods. The proposed sanctions, described as secondary tariffs, lack detailed clarification but have already fueled market anxiety. Heightened geopolitical tensions are likely to sustain near-term demand for gold as investors seek safety in the yellow metal
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Maintaining buying pressure above 3350, gold price in an uptrend, paying attention to CPI results to assess the inflation level of the world's number 1 economy
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3400- 3402 SL 3407
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3380
TP3: $3370
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3330-$3328 SL $3323
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3350
TP3: $3360
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold – Is $3430 the Next Target After This Breakout?Gold recently completed a clean sweep of the 4H swing lows, taking out downside liquidity just before breaking out of a well-defined descending channel. This move marked a shift in momentum and structure, suggesting that the bearish leg may have concluded and the market is now transitioning into a more bullish phase.
Breakout Confirmation and Retest Zone
Following the breakout, price retraced and tapped directly into a confluence area where a fair value gap aligns with the upper boundary of the broken channel. This acted as a high-probability retest zone, and the reaction was strong. The market respected this structure perfectly, adding conviction to the breakout's validity.
Support and Resistance Dynamics
Currently, price is hovering between a nearby support level and a short-term resistance zone above. The support is holding firm after the retest, while the resistance is capping upward momentum for now. This is a healthy consolidation following the breakout, and it provides a clear structure for monitoring continuation.
Imbalance Target and Flow Outlook
Should the market gain enough strength to break through the overhead resistance, there is a large unmitigated imbalance further above that stands as a strong magnet. It represents a clean fair value gap left behind during the previous selloff and could be the next major draw if bullish momentum continues.
Overall Flow and Trade Logic
The sequence is very clean: sweep of liquidity, bullish breakout, efficient retest, and now consolidation above support. As long as price continues to form higher lows and respect the current structure, the probability of further upside remains favorable. Patience around the resistance area will be key for confirmation.
Conclusion
Gold is displaying a textbook reversal setup driven by liquidity and structure. If the current support continues to hold and buyers reclaim control above resistance, the path toward the upper imbalance becomes highly probable. The market is aligned for continuation, with bullish momentum building gradually.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
GOLD: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,358.00 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,349.30.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold OutlookGold took previous week high and gave bearish move. The gold overall scenario shows it is bullish. The possible move for the gold will be to touch FVG retrace and go towards supply zone and again retrace back. Or if buyers step in we may see good bullish move gold might touch supply zone retrace a little bit follow the bullish path.
Gold will crash1. What happened yesterday
As expected, Gold started to rise after finding support at 3250. The move up played out perfectly, reaching the resistance area highlighted in yesterday’s analysis — around 3320–3340.
________________________________________
2. The key question today
Is this just a correction in a bearish trend, or the start of reversal?
________________________________________
3. Why I remain bearish
• On the weekly chart, structure still leans bearish
• On lower time frames, the bounce looks corrective — not impulsive
• No breakout above 3360 yet, which would be needed to shift the bias
• A move back below 3320 would likely trigger renewed selling
• If that happens, 3250 could be tested again quickly
We need to respect the bounce — but not overreact to it.
________________________________________
4. Trading plan
My bias remains bearish as long as price stays under 3360.
However, if we get a daily close above 3360, I’ll pause and re-evaluate the short bias. The market would then be signaling a potential trend shift.
________________________________________
5. Final thoughts 🚀
This is a key moment for gold. We’re at resistance zone but not broken above yet.
Until proven otherwise, the trend remains down — and rallies into 3340 zone should be considered selling opportunities.
Comments If you are new here, or your account is getting burned, please contact me. I will help you.
Gold Market Clears 3330's — Eyes Set on 3380'sJust as analyzed, Gold market swept through the 3330's, validating prior projections. This move confirms bullish continuation, with price now poised to reach 3380's as momentum builds within the ongoing wedge structure. follow for more insights, comment , and boost idea
GOLD/USD Bearish Rejection From Resistance Zone – Potential DropGOLD/USD Bearish Rejection From Resistance Zone – Potential Drop Ahead! 🎯
📊 Technical Analysis Summary:
The chart illustrates a bearish setup forming after multiple rejection points near a key resistance zone around 3,360–3,380 USD.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔴 Double Rejection Pattern:
Red arrows highlight strong bearish rejections from resistance.
Indicates sellers are defending this zone aggressively.
🟠 Support Turned Resistance:
The previous support (labelled as "SUPPOT") is now acting as resistance.
Classic bearish retest behavior.
🔷 Bearish Flag Formation:
Price consolidates in a descending flag pattern.
Breakdown below the flag suggests continuation to the downside.
🎯 Target Zone:
If breakdown confirms, price may drop towards target area near 3,275–3,280 USD (marked as “TARGET FAXS”).
🟧 Important Reaction Zones:
Multiple orange circles indicate zones of high reaction – historically significant for both buyers and sellers.
📌 Conclusion:
Unless bulls reclaim the 3,360–3,380 resistance zone convincingly, the bias remains bearish, and the next leg down may target the 3,280 USD area.
🔔 Traders should watch for a clean break below 3,320 to confirm bearish continuation.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jul 14 - Jul 18]This week, OANDA:XAUUSD opened at $3,342/oz, dropped to $3,282/oz, but then rebounded sharply to close at $3,355/oz. The recovery was mainly driven by former President Trump's announcement of new tariffs ranging from 20% to 50% on imports from 22 countries, effective August 1st. Particularly, a 35% tariff on Canadian goods — a key U.S. trading partner — raised concerns about global trade stability and supply chains.
Trump also proposed 15–20% tariffs on most other trading partners, reigniting fears of global trade disruptions. At the same time, ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas continued to weigh on sentiment, despite U.S. diplomatic efforts showing little progress.
However, analysts note that gold still lacks strong momentum for a breakout. Trump's tariff threats may be more about negotiation leverage than triggering a full-blown trade war. Meanwhile, with the labor market recovering and inflation rising, the Fed is expected to maintain its neutral monetary policy, limiting short-term gold price movements.
Although geopolitical tensions remain (e.g., Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Hamas), the ceasefire between Israel and Iran has reduced gold’s geopolitical risk premium.
Looking ahead, key U.S. economic data next week — including CPI, PPI, and retail sales — will be closely watched. A strong June core CPI (0.4% or higher) could reduce the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September, strengthening the USD and pushing gold lower. Conversely, weaker inflation data could boost expectations of a rate cut, supporting gold prices.
📌In terms of technical analysis, gold prices next week may continue to adjust and accumulate. Accordingly, if they surpass the 3,370 USD/oz mark, gold prices next week will challenge the 3,400-3,450 USD/oz range. On the contrary, gold prices next week will adjust down to 3,285 USD/oz, or even 3,245 USD/oz.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,350 – 3,310 – 3,300USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3435 - 3433⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3439
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3329 - 3331⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3326
Gold: escape from tariffsThe market optimism holds, but comments related to tariffs are still bringing some unrest among investors. Although this unrest is currently not as strong as in April this year, still, some investors prefer to keep part of their funds in the safe-haven assets. News regarding trade tariffs during the previous week include 35% tariffs on imports from Canada, 50% tariffs on imports from Brazil, and 50% tariffs on copper imports. The latest news posted on Saturday includes 30% tariffs on goods from Europe and Mexico. Weekend information was still not reflected in the market price of the gold, implying that the Monday trading session might start with further move to the upside.
The price of gold gained during the previous week, starting around the level of $3.285 with Friday's strong push, ending the week at $3.355. At this moment, the RSI modestly passed the 50 level, closing the week at 53. The MA50 continues to slow down divergence from MA200, but the potential cross is still not in store, considering the significant distance between two lines.
When it comes to the price of gold in the week ahead, tariffs will again be the ones to shape investors sentiment. At this moment, technical analysis is pointing potential for moves toward both sides. If Monday's trading session starts with a move toward the upside, then it will most probably continue for the rest of the week. The next resistance line stands at $3,4K, which could be tested. However, there is also some probability for a short price correction, where the level of $3,3K might be tested for one more time, eventually $3,280.
short recovery, trend line✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 07/14/2025 - 07/18/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices surged nearly 1% on Friday as market sentiment soured in response to US President Donald Trump’s controversial trade policies targeting Canada, while hinting at broader tariffs on other nations and copper. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,354, rebounding from intraday lows of $3,322.
On Thursday, Trump announced a 35% tariff on Canadian imports, though goods complying with the 2020 USMCA trade agreement remain exempt. He also signaled intentions to expand tariffs across most trading partners, proposing blanket rates ranging from 15% to 20%.
With a light US economic calendar, attention turned to Fed commentary. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee pushed back on calls for rate cuts aimed at reducing government borrowing costs, stressing the central bank’s focus remains firmly on employment and price stability.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
growth according to the trend, maintaining the accumulation price zone above 3300
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3392, $3447
Support: $3330, $3308, $3246
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest