XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAUUSD SELLWe had a market structure shift (MSS) followed by a break of structure (BOS), then a second BOS that triggered a retracement into the Fibonacci Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) level, forming a swing high — an ideal setup to go short.
GOLD GOLD ,my call for buy on 3285 is standing at 3307 and the descending trendline will remain the demand floor until broken.
GOLD - POTENTIALLooking at gold. Its still in a bit of limbo after the NFP reaction on Friday. However it is looking like the draw on liquidity is higher. Therefore my bias on gold for the start of the week is bullish so will be looking to get the most optimal entry to take some buys to the upside.
If we can manage to find a decent enough move price really could rally upwards.
Gold Trade Plan 09/07/2025Dear Traders,
Price Context:
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3285, having broken below the mid-channel level.
Key Levels:
Support Zone (Buy Area): Marked between ~$3270–$3280 (includes 0.786 Fibonacci level at 3270).
Resistance: $3366 (previous high, strong resistance).
Trendline:
An ascending trendline intersects with the buy zone, increasing the probability of a bullish reaction.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Reversal: A bounce from the current buy zone could trigger a move toward $3366.
Bearish Continuation: If price breaks and closes below $3270 with strong momentum, next support would be around $3242.
RSI Indicator:
Currently near oversold territory (~38), which supports a potential bounce.
📌 Conclusion:
This is a critical zone; watch for price action signals near the trendline and 0.786 level. Reversal is possible, but further downside risk remains if $3270 fails.
Regards,
Alireza!
XAUUSD Continue to drop?XAUUSD from daily resistance of 3345.00 after strong liquidity grab price started to fall with strong momentum to the daily support level. Yesterday we have seen a long daily doji formed with a long wick at the bottom followed by wick fill as expected with long bearish engulfer with both cross over of 10ema and 20ema.
Currently price in sharp downtrend and possibility to drop to monthly support below 3250.00
A bearish trade is high probable.
Sell target now confirmHello guys this is confirm target so don't miss any one client first you can try then contact me I hope understand
Gold price plunges by $30 at openingGold fell sharply at the opening of the morning session, with the intraday high and low price difference exceeding 30 US dollars. The positive factors over the weekend failed to reverse the bullish trend, and the bearish forces prevailed. Gold fell sharply in the last week of June, and bottomed out and rebounded in the first week of July. The market is in fierce competition between bulls and bears, and the volatile pattern has not changed. At present, gold has fallen below the non-agricultural low of 3311, and the market is weak. There is a high probability of a high and fall in the future. The short-term resistance is in the 3325-27 area, which is the intraday strength and weakness watershed; the 3343-45 area is the key boundary between bulls and bears. If it is not broken, it will fall back. If it breaks through, it is expected to hit 3365, 3380 or even 3400. The current support below is 3295-3290, and the resistance above is 3317-3323. It is recommended to do more in the callback.
Where will the price of gold go under such strong pressure?From the 4-hour analysis, the support line of 3295-3301 is concerned below, the short-term resistance above is concerned about 3316, and the suppression line of 3345-50 is focused on. The overall main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and maintain the main tone of participation in the trend. Wait patiently for key points to participate.
The risks of shorting at low levels have been informed!Today, I have reminded you many times not to chase short positions at low levels. Now you can see that gold has bottomed out and rebounded. We also bought gold in batches at 3285-3295, and the long positions also made perfect profits. I believe that friends who follow my articles can see that I have always emphasized not to short at low levels. It is also obvious to everyone that we bought long positions near 3295-3285. In the future, we will continue to pay attention to the suppression of the upper 3318-3325 line. If the rebound does not break, we will look for opportunities to short. I hope everyone can grasp the entry position and hold the profit. The rebound will first look at the previous break point of the 3325 line, and then short when the rebound is suppressed! If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me!
From the current analysis of gold trend, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the hourly top and bottom conversion position of 3318-3325. The intraday rebound relies on this position to go short once and look down. The lower short-term support focuses on 3280. The overall support relies on the 3280-3325 area to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the mid-line position, keep watching and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait for the opportunity to enter the market after the key points are in place.
Gold operation strategy: short gold rebounds near 3318-3325, target 3305-3295.
XAUUSD : Bull or Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continued its correction yesterday, dropping to as low as $3327. However, gold rebounded and is currently trading around the $3344 level.
The key condition for further bullish movement is a stable hold above $3338. If this level holds, the next potential upside targets are $3366 and $3399 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAU/USD) support level back bullish trend Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe, suggesting a long trade idea with a clearly defined support zone and target projection. Here's the detailed breakdown:
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Chart Breakdown (3H - XAU/USD)
1. Support Zone (Yellow Box):
Price reacted strongly to the 3,244–3,300 area, which is identified as a key support level.
This area has historically seen demand and is now acting as a base for potential bullish continuation.
2. Falling Wedge Breakout:
A falling wedge pattern has been broken to the upside, which is typically a bullish reversal signal.
The breakout indicates a shift from the previous bearish momentum into bullish strength.
3. EMA 200 Confirmation:
Price is now above the 200 EMA (3,333.347), supporting a bullish bias.
This can act as dynamic support going forward.
4. RSI Momentum:
RSI at 62.00, indicating growing bullish momentum without being overbought.
The RSI has also broken above a previous local high, confirming strength.
5. Target Projection:
The projected move (blue arrowed box) suggests a potential rally of +105.305 points (3.20%), targeting the 3,394.503 level.
This level aligns with previous price structure and acts as the next major resistance.
6. Anticipated Price Path (Black Zigzag Line):
Price is expected to pull back slightly, retesting the wedge breakout or support zone.
After this retest, a bullish continuation toward the target point is projected.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Pattern: Falling wedge breakout + support retest
Entry Zone: Around 3,300–3,320 on a retest
Target: 3,394.503
Invalidation: Strong break and close below 3,244.166
Confirmation: Bullish price action near support + sustained RSI strength
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
maintain bullish, break H1 trend⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) trade in the red near $3,330 during Tuesday’s Asian session, weighed down by a stronger US Dollar (USD). The precious metal loses ground amid easing trade tensions, following US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a tariff deadline extension and his openness to further negotiations.
Market anxiety subsided after Trump signaled flexibility around the August 1 tariff deadline, describing it as “not 100% firm” and suggesting room for continued adjustments. This renewed optimism over trade policy has strengthened the Greenback, thereby pressuring USD-denominated assets like Gold, which becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price accumulates waiting for news of new tariff information, breaking H1 trend. Good buying power
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3364- 3366 SL 3371
TP1: $3350
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3300-$3298 SL $3293
TP1: $3310
TP2: $3325
TP3: $3340
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
#XAUUSD: +2000 Swing Sell In Making! Get ReadyGold has dropped to the 3330 region but has now reversed and is currently trading at 3350. The next potential move could be at 3380, followed by 3400. Our sell entry is at 3400, where we believe the price will reverse. Our long-term view is that gold will head towards 3100, but our first target will be 3200. Please use accurate risk management when trading gold, as it can cause serious financial issues if not planned properly. This analysis does not guarantee any price movement.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx!
Gold To The Basement? Week Ahead with Bearish Bias by PhoenixFX🌟 Welcome to Phoenix FX’s Intraday Pulse! 🌟
Hello, Phoenix FX family! 👋 I’m thrilled you’ve joined us for today’s TradingView chart breakdown. Our focus? Intraday opportunities—spotting those high-probability setups you can enter, manage, and leave to run whilst you concentrate on the things you love doing.
Here’s what you’ll find in this analysis:
Key Levels & Zones: Support, resistance, and Fair Value Gaps that matter on the smaller timeframes.
Price-Action Clues: Exact candlestick patterns and momentum signals to watch for your next entry.
Trade Triggers & Targets: Clear criteria for when to get in, where to take profits, and how to manage your risk.
Whether you’re hunting quick scalps or tactical swing moves, our goal is simple: help you trade with confidence, clarity, and community support. Got a different view or a fresh idea? Drop it in the comments—after all, “each one, teach one.” 😉
Let’s dive into the charts and make today’s market moves count! 🚀📈
Donald Trump’s presidency continues to exert outsized influence on gold through three main channels: trade policy uncertainty, fiscal stimulus (and resulting deficits), and shifts in safe-haven demand. Here’s how each factor has played out—and what it could mean for gold going forward:
1. Trade-War Uncertainty
What’s Happening: The Trump administration’s aggressive use of tariffs—including recent 25% duties on goods from Japan and South Korea—has periodically roiled markets and driven investors into gold as a safe haven. On July 7, gold pared losses after tariff news, as traders sought refuge despite a firm dollar.
Looking Ahead: If further tariff escalations or retaliations emerge, expect renewed spikes in gold. Conversely, any de-escalation or trade-deal breakthroughs could sap that safe-haven bid.
2. Fiscal Stimulus & Deficits
What’s Happening: Senate Republicans recently passed a Trump-backed tax‐and‐spending package projected to add $3.3 trillion to the U.S. deficit. Larger deficits—especially when financed by the Fed—tend to stoke inflation expectations, which bolsters gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge.
Looking Ahead: Continued large-scale stimulus or fresh tax cuts without offsetting revenue measures could keep real yields low (or negative), a classic tailwind for gold.
3. Safe-Haven Flows & Investor Positioning
What’s Happening: Despite peaking at record highs earlier this year, gold remains up roughly 30% since November, driven largely by investor fears around Trump’s policy unpredictability and geopolitical tensions.
Looking Ahead: Should Trump-era uncertainty persist—whether around trade, foreign policy, or domestic turmoil—gold is likely to retain its status as a portfolio diversifier and crisis hedge. A sustained drop in U.S. real rates or fresh bouts of market volatility would reinforce that trend.
🎯 Outlook Summary
Bullish Drivers: Ongoing trade-war rhetoric, larger deficits, and any new geopolitical flashpoints.
Bearish Risks: Clear resolution of major trade disputes, a pivot by the Fed toward earlier rate cuts (reducing real‐rate support for gold), or diminished investor fear.
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PhoenixFX price action analysis based on the Daily time frame
🔴 Primary Resistance (Daily)
Zone: $3,348 – $3,400
Why It Matters:
Multiple daily closes have stalled here, leaving a clear Fair-Value Gap (dashed purple). Sellers are likely to defend this range until we see a decisive daily close above $3,400.
📉 Bearish Bias – Short Setups
Short at Resistance
Entry: Bearish daily reversal candle (engulfing, pin-bar) in $3,348–$3,400
Targets:
TP1: $3,290 (50% of Primary Buy Zone)
TP2: $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low)
TP3: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone high)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,420
Breakdown Short
Trigger: Daily close below $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low)
Entry: On the open of the next daily candle after close below $3,250
Targets:
TP1: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone)
TP2: $3,026 (Final Buy Zone 50% level)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,290
🔵 Potential Long Opportunities
Defensive Long (Aggressive)
Entry: Bullish daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290
Targets:
TP1: $3,348 (short-term resistance)
TP2: $3,400 (key resistance)
Stop-Loss: Below $3,230
Trend-Reversal Long (Ultra-Conservative)
Trigger: Daily close above $3,400
Entry: Open of the next daily candle after the close above $3,400
Targets:
TP1: $3,450
TP2: $3,500+
Stop-Loss: Below $3,360
📊 Week-Ahead Scenarios
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Price remains capped under $3,400.
Look for a bearish signal in $3,348–$3,400 to initiate shorts.
A break below $3,250 extends the move into deeper demand zones ($3,172 → $3,026).
Bullish Counter-Trend (Lower Probability):
Strong daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 could spark a relief rally.
Short-term longs can target $3,348 and $3,400—ideal for quick swing trades.
Only a sustained daily close above $3,400 shifts the bias back to the upside.
Just a Heads-Up:
This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮.
Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅
We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it. So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments!
Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈
Each one, teach one.
— Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅
Wednesday's Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsGold surged on Tuesday but then kept pulling back during the U.S. session, hitting a recent new low, with intense seesawing between bulls and bears currently. The fluctuating U.S. tariff policies have triggered volatility in risk-averse sentiment, while the over 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July has provided support to the U.S. dollar.
Technically, focus should be on the key support level around 3260 and the strong resistance range of 3320 above. The hourly chart shows short-term moving averages diverging downward, with candlesticks under pressure and showing short-term weakness, suggesting there is still a need for a pullback tomorrow. The current bull-bear watershed lies at the 3390 mark; if gold fails to break through and stabilize above 3315 effectively, any short-term rebound can be seen as a good opportunity to enter short positions.
The 4-hour chart indicates that gold found support near 3287 and slowly recovered losses, but it remains trapped in a consolidation pattern recently. Although the 3287 support is effective, the consolidation range has not been broken. The future direction depends on the actual defensive strength of the 3260 support level and the direction of the range breakout.
For Wednesday's trading, the main strategy is to go short on rebounds. Focus on the resistance zone of 3315-3320, where short positions can be established. The downside targets are 3270 and the key support level of 3260 in sequence. If 3260 is broken through effectively, it may open up more downward space.
XAUUSD
sell@3315-3320
tp:3300-3280-3260
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Don’t be too optimistic, gold may change its face at any time!Gold continued to rebound to around 3320, and it seems to have completely stood above 3300. The bulls are recovering. Should we chase gold in a big way? In fact, due to the disruption of news such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and tariffs, the gold market has clearly shown the characteristics of frequent switching between long and short positions and discontinuity between long and short positions. Therefore, even if gold rebounds to a certain extent, it is difficult for the market to stand unilaterally on the bull side.
In the short term, gold began to retreat from around 3366, reaching a minimum of around 3283, with a retracement of $83; and currently it has only rebounded from the low of 3283 to around 3320, and the rebound is even less than 50%. Gold bulls are not as strong as imagined; although gold continues to rebound, before regaining the 3325-3335 area, it can only be regarded as a technical repair of the sharp drop, and cannot be completely regarded as a reversal of the trend. So after the rebound of gold, gold bears may counterattack strongly at any time.
Therefore, in short-term trading, after gold rebounds, you can consider shorting gold with the 3325-3335 area as resistance, and the first entry area worth paying attention to is 3320-3330.
Will gold continue to rise if it accelerates its decline?Technically, we need to focus on the key support of 3260 and the strong resistance range of 3320 above. The hourly chart shows that the short-term moving average diverges downward, and the K-line is under pressure, showing short-term fatigue, suggesting that there is still a need for a correction. The current long-short watershed is at the 3390 mark. If the gold price cannot effectively break through and stand above 3315, the short-term rebound can be regarded as a good opportunity to enter a short position. The 4-hour chart shows that the gold price has received support after touching 3287 and slowly repaired the decline, but it is still in a volatile pattern in the near future. Although the 3287 support is effective, the oscillation range has not been broken. The future direction needs to pay attention to the actual defense strength of the 3260 support level and the direction of the range break. The operation suggestion on Wednesday is to rebound high as the dominant strategy. The upper resistance area focuses on the 3315-3320 range, where short positions can be arranged. The downward targets are 3270 and the key support level 3260. If 3260 is effectively broken, it may open up a larger downward space.
XAUUSD Update 06 July 2025Upside movement still held, and we will be waiting for wich support below will hold to bounce.
Just becareful on this week ...
Have a Good Luck !
Gold shorts may continue to 3280 or even 3255Gold started to fall from around 3342 in the Asian session, and currently hit a low of around 3305. This is completely consistent with my prediction: "Before gold stabilizes at 3340, it is still in a short trend. Gold shorts may counterattack at any time and look at the target area in turn: 3315-3305." Currently, gold has reached the target area as expected.
There is no doubt that gold is still in an obvious short arrangement at present, and gold shorts may have just begun. For the next short-term trading, we still focus on shorting gold, so what we are most concerned about now is where gold can rebound and where is the most suitable short entry? ! From the current structure of gold, gold is under pressure from the short-term head and shoulders technical structure. This resistance structure compresses the rebound limit in the short term to the 3335-3340 area; and the short-term resistance area is located in the 3320-3330 area; once gold is under pressure and falls again, I think it is very likely that gold will fall to the 3295-3285 area again, and may even extend to the 3365-3355 area.
Therefore, I think shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading; you can consider shorting gold in the 3320-3340 area, looking at the target area of 3290-3280-3270
GOLD Long Inside The Range! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is stuck in a local
Range while still trading
In a strong long-term uptrend
So we think that this is an
Accumulation before the
Next leg up and as we are
Bullish biased we will be
Expecting a retest and a
Rebound from the horizontal
Support below around 3259$
With the target of retesting
The horizontal resistance
Above around 3354$
Buy!
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4-Hour Chart Strategy: Sell High, Buy Low Within 3280-3325 RangeBased on the 4-hour analysis 😎, today's short-term resistance above focuses on the hourly top-bottom conversion level around 3318-3324 🚫. If there's an intraday rebound leaning on this zone, first go short to target a pullback ⬇️. The short-term support below is around 3280 🔍. Overall, rely on the 3280-3325 range to maintain the main strategy of "shorting at highs and buying at lows" in cycles ✅. For prices in the middle of the range, always watch more and act less 👀, be cautious of chasing orders 🚫, and wait patiently for key levels to enter positions 🕙
Strategy：
🚀 Buy @3280 - 3285
🚀 TP 3290 - 3295 - 3305
🚀 Sell @3320 - 3315
🚀 TP 3310 - 3305 - 3295
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
GOLD .. Alternative scenarios, long now??#GOLD.. market perfectly brokenhis today resistance that was at 3296-97
So now if market rholds above and sustains then bounce expected towards 3340 again..
Good luck
Trade wisely
