It’s the right time to short goldThe daily gold line presents a three-top gathering pattern. The historical trend shows that the 3290-3280 area has triggered technical pullbacks many times, all of which rebounded to around 3350. The current 4-hour chart trend line suppression level coincides with the Fibonacci 0.618 pullback resistance from the previous high of 3450 to 3300 in the 3350-3360 range. This area constitutes the core pressure zone. If the price fails to effectively break through and stand above 3360 when it probes this area again, it is highly likely to replicate the previous two resistance and fall patterns. At that time, short orders will be arranged based on the 3350 first-line resistance area, with the goal of breaking the key support of 3300 and further looking down at the 3280 and 3260 levels. The overall bearish tendency is maintained, and the resistance to rebound is a signal to enter the market and sell short.
Gold recommendation: Gold is short around 3345-3352, target 3330-3320
XAUUSDK trade ideas
GOLD, back at higher base. BUY at 3250 enroute to ath 3500 / 4k.GOLD had a wonderful run this past few seasons grinding up a series of ATH taps every higher baselines since 1500.
After goin to a new parabolic highs of 3500 ATH, GOLD did hibernate a bit and got trimmed back to 3240 levels -- a precise 61.8 FIB tap. This is where most buyers converge, and position themselves on the next run up.
The next ascend series will be far more generous eyeing new higher numbers never before seen. Ideal seeding zone is at the current price range of 3250.
Current higher lows on momentum metrics has been spotted conveying intense upside pressure as it moves forward.
Spotted at 3250
Interim target at 3500 ATH
Long term: 4000
TAYOR.
Trade safely. Market will be market.
Not financial advice.
GOLD The US 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.29%-4.37%
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 97.877, showing relative stability with minor fluctuations
Impact on Markets Today
The slight decline in the 10-year yield suggests modest easing of bond market pressure, possibly reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing fiscal concerns and expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year.
The DXY near 97.9 indicates a moderately strong dollar, though recent trends show some weakening due to fiscal worries and softer economic data.
Together, a stable-to-slightly weaker dollar and a modestly lower 10-year yield can support safe-haven assets like gold, though elevated yields still pose a headwind. But despite the dips of both the 10 year us government bond yield and the dollar index ,GOLD lost over 500pips from Asian session to Newyork session trading on cease fire deal between Israel and Iran by united states of America.
In brief: The US 10-year yield’s slight dip combined with a steady DXY reflects a market balancing inflation, fiscal concerns, and Fed policy outlook. This environment supports cautious risk-taking with safe-haven demand still relevant.
follow zone of buy and sell for educational purpose only.
#gold #dollar
XAUUSD: Trend changed to bearish. Significant downside potentialGold turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.253, MACD = 18.142, ADX = 16.679) as it crossed below both the 4H MA200 and 1D MA50. The two form a Bearish Cross. Technically a Channel Down has emerged, no different than those that emerged after rejections on the R1 Zone (like now). As long as the 4H MA50 acts as a Resistance and holds, we will be bearish, aiming at the S1 level (TP = 3,245).
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XAUUSD 1H–Power of 3, Liquidity Grab, FVG Fill & Bullish TargetThis is a classic Smart Money Concept (ICT) setup XAUUSD 1H – Power of 3, Liquidity Grab, FVG Fill & Bullish Targeting OB + Major Pool.
Accumulation at the bottom
Liquidity grab below SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity)
Expecting bullish expansion toward:
FVG fills
Break of BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity)
Tap or break of OB (Order Block)
Final target: Major Liquidity Pool ~3380–3390
🧠
Trade Plan:
Entry: After SSL sweep + bullish confirmation (FVG or MSB)
TP1: FVG fill
TP2: BSL break
TP3: OB or final pool zone
SL: Below manipulation wick.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Just a quick update on my trade. I thought on the last 30 min. candle I was going to get taken out. Normally I would close half the trade to minimize loss but I am using a microlot size and I am going to let it ride. Let's see if we start pushing down or if my Stop Loss get hit. I am optimistic and looking for that push down to correct the move from the overnight sessions. Let's see how it plays out. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade safe.
Excellent start of E.U. sessionAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will take early weekend break, not catching a Falling knife."
I have monitored the Price-action from sidelines throughout Friday's session as explained above however mid E.U. session I have engaged two #100 Lot Buying orders on #3,278.80 few moments ago and closed both of my Scalps on #3,285.80 with excellent Profit.
Quick update: No Swing orders today, only aggressive Scalps similar to Scalp orders I mentioned above from my key re-Buy points. If #3,300.80 is recovered, newly formed Bullish structure will push for #3,313.80 and #3,327.80 test. If #3,300.80 benchmark is preserved, I will still keep Buying (Scalp only however). I will have Gold's major move revealed after today's session.
Xauusd market update The chart you’ve shared is a 2-hour timeframe for Gold (XAU/USD), showing price action with multiple support and resistance zones along with potential scenarios marked by dotted lines.
Key Technical Observations:
1. Current Price:
$3,294.36, down 1.00%.
2. Support Zones (Blue Boxes):
Major support around $3,230–$3,250 — currently being tested.
This level held previously (mid-June), suggesting it could act as a strong base.
3. Resistance Zones:
Minor resistance near $3,350.
Strong resistance around $3,430–$3,450, marking a previous swing high.
4. Price Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If current support holds, price could bounce toward the $3,350 resistance.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below current support may lead price toward $3,200, the next major demand zone.
5. Volume Profile Zones (Pink & Blue Highlighted Ranges):
Indicate areas of previous high interest (accumulation/distribution).
Current action near a high-volume node, suggesting potential for either reversal or strong continuation.
---
Summary:
Neutral to Bearish bias unless strong reversal signals appear from the current support.
Watch for bullish confirmation near $3,250–$3,270 to consider long setups.
Breakdown of this zone could trigger a slide to $3,200.
Let me know if you’d like a trading plan or entry/exit levels for either scenario.
Gold has shown signs of recovery DowntrendXAUUSD Gold Technical Outlook – June 30
Gold has shown signs of recovery at the start of the session, largely supported by a weaker U.S. dollar. However, the upside remains uncertain as long as the price stays below key resistance zones.
Gold is still in a downtrend Price action suggests a potential correction phase Key resistance area lies between 3294 – 3312 Failure to break this zone keeps the bearish pressure intact.
If the price fails to hold above 3272, further downside targets are
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3294 / 3305 / 3312
Support: 3272 / 3255 / 3245
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis share with you.
GOLD Expected Bearish TrendXAUUSD Gold Bearish Trend Outlook
Gold remains in a bearish trend, with technical weakness confirmed as support was tested on Friday. The metal continues to trade under pressure, driven by investor caution ahead of the upcoming U.S. Core PCE Index — a key inflation gauge.
If the data comes in higher than expected, it could delay Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, further weighing on gold prices. However, if the Core PCE data disappoints to the downside, rate cut hopes in July may resurface, providing a potential support base for gold.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support: 3365
Major Support Zone: 3350
Resistance: 3295 / 3305
Keep Eye on all data share your idea about this analysis we need support from you Guys.
Gold: Resistance Validated, Short at 3340-3350 Tomorrow📈 Gold Trading Recap & Tomorrow's Strategy: Resistance Holds, Short Opportunities Persist
💎 Today's newly updated live short strategy hit the TP target successfully! As mentioned earlier, when gold failed to break the support level, we anticipated it to range around 3330—today's trades were precisely centered on this logic. The 3350 resistance was also validated firmly during the session.
💎 Expect further upside in tomorrow's Asian session—recommend continuing short positions within the 3340-3350 range 🚀
🚀 Sell@3350 - 3345
🚀 TP 3335 - 3325 - 3315
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Excellent Scalp opportunities As discussed throughout my yesterday’s session commentary: “My position: I assume no new orders as I will await where Gold will turn next / reveal major move. Either #3,327.80 - #3,332.80 break-out towards #3,352.80 benchmark or big Sell towards #3,300.80 benchmark first, then if #3,292.80 gives away, #3,252.80 benchmark. Trade accordingly.”
I have engaged firstly #3,328.80 aggressive Scalp Sell order and closed it on #3,316.80. As I expected DX to touch #52-Week Low’s, I Bought Gold multiple times first from #3,314.80 twice towards #3,319.80 and #3,321.80, also had Swing order (Lower Volume order) on #3,312.80 which was closed on #3,324.80 as I was confident that Gold will stage relief rally due DX taking strong hits. Another excellent session.
Technical analysis: The Price-action is basically consolidating again on Hourly 1 chart back within well known range of #3,322.80 - #3,327.80 - #3,342.80 giving Scalpers excellent opportunities for Intra-day Profit as Scalpers are getting most of the returns of current Price-action. Hourly 1 chart is an healthy Ascending Channel already and as weekend break is approaching I may be getting a break-out (the pattern usually breaks to the upside). I am currently on the sidelines, earlier simply holding whatever I have Bought Lower and Sold Higher. I need to state for the record (again) that when I mention pull backs on my analysis I am not suggesting Traders to Short right away, always await my confirmation. We are on a overall Bull market and I have stated since the start of the Year that my strategy is to be Buying (and accumulating) on pull-backs. Those who've been following me for Years are well aware that there was a time for Shorting back when Gold was below #2,000.80 benchmark. Keep in mind that I anticipated that DX could test #52-Week Low’s (currently delivered) and that’s why I have aggressively Bought Gold yesterday.
My position: Gold is Trading on relief rally and it is now whether #3,352.80 benchmark will break to the upside and extend the relief rally or reversal there and another decline. I personally lean more to the Bullish side with DX chart as main pointer for Gold on current session.
XAUUSD (GOLD/USD) Breakdown
🔴 1. UT in Phase B (Upthrust = Trap)
This move above the previous high was likely a liquidity grab, not a real breakout.
Price action showed rejection without follow-through — classic Wyckoff distribution behavior.
→ 📉 Smart money sells into retail buying.
🔴 2. SOW (Sign of Weakness)
After the UT, price dumped aggressively and broke short-term support.
This creates lower confidence in bullish continuation.
→ 📉 Weak hands shaken, structure looks heavy.
🔴 3. Bearish Structure (Waves i–ii–iii setting up)
Wave I = first drop after the UT.
Wave II = current bounce — looks corrective, not impulsive.
Expecting Wave III = the next strong sell leg.
→ 🎯 Target: revisit 3,072 → 3,040 → PML (3,010) → even 2,955.
🔴 4. Volume Profile Confirmation
Price is failing to hold the high-volume node (3,303–3,327).
Below this = thin volume zone, which price tends to drop through quickly.
→ 🚨 Liquidity vacuum below.
🔴 5. Resistance Cluster Above
Multiple key levels between 3,500–3,563 = heavy resistance.
Also aligns with the invalidation zone for the bearish count.
→ ❌ If price moves above here with strength = bias invalidated.
#3,300.80 tested as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I will Sell every High’s on Gold especially if #3,352.80 benchmark is not recovered waiting for #3,300.80 benchmark test."
I have announced #3,300.80 test throughout yesterday's session commentary with engaging excellent Selling orders (mostly aggressive Scalps) until #3,300.80 benchmark isn't achieved.
Technical analysis: Strong rejection from late yesterday's session local High’s on increased Volume indicating that Sellers are strongly positioned at that mark, which is Technically the Support fractal on the neckline of former Bullish structure / pattern over Neutral High’s / Low’s. However a strong Support presence is seen at current #3,292.80 - #3,302.80 levels where Gold rebounded on an Hourly 4 chart’s Doji Star Bullish reversal candle many times in near past. This decline is temporarily confusing the patterns but with a new Higher Low’s and as long as the Lower Low’s Upper zone stays intact, I will regardless remain Bearish awaiting retracement to test #3,300.80 psychological benchmark once again. One must be fast to adapt on market changes which are the case lately in order not to hold worthless positions. Bond Yields however climbed to fresh Annual High’s above (# +4.5%) while DX is following the sequence on parabolic downtrend delivering #3-session Selling spree on Gold. Price-action remains contained near Hourly 1 chart's #3,327.80 as my main point of interest.
My position: I assume no new orders as I will await where Gold will turn next / reveal major move. Either #3,327.80 - #3,332.80 break-out towards #3,352.80 benchmark or big Sell towards #3,300.80 benchmark first, then if #3,292.80 gives away, #3,252.80 benchmark. Trade accordingly.
Beware of gold, false rise and real fall
💡Message Strategy
The global economic uncertainty has intensified recently, and the gold market has performed well. On Monday, the price of gold rose by 0.87%, hitting a bottom of $3247.87 per ounce before rebounding strongly. The upward trend continued in early trading on Tuesday. In the second quarter, the price of gold rose by 5.5%, rising for two consecutive quarters.
The main reason for this round of gold price rise is the weakening of the US dollar. The US dollar index has recorded its worst performance in the first half of the year since the 1970s. Market concerns about the expansion of the US fiscal deficit and uncertainty in trade agreements have weakened the attractiveness of the US dollar.
At the same time, global trade and geopolitical fluctuations, such as the Sino-US rare earth agreement, the progress of US-EU trade negotiations, and the uncertainty of the tariff deadline on July 9, have strengthened the safe-haven properties of gold. This week's focus is on Thursday's US non-farm payrolls report for June. The market expects 110,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.3%, which will directly affect the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Although the Federal Reserve is cautious about cutting interest rates, the market generally expects that interest rate cuts will be resumed in September, and the annual interest rate cut may reach 66 basis points. Trump's pressure on the Federal Reserve has also increased policy uncertainty.
Gold is driven up by multiple factors, but its future trend still depends on employment, inflation and tariff policies. Investors need to pay close attention to data and policy developments.
📊Technical aspects
Gold hit bottom and rebounded during the early trading session on Monday, and the price stopped after touching the previous low. The price stopped after touching the four-hour resistance position before the European session. The European session was under pressure before breaking through the four-hour resistance. After that, the U.S. session had consecutive positive days, and the price did not fall. Instead, it further broke through the four-hour resistance position, which means that the price still has the performance of testing the daily level resistance area. We will continue to follow the key breakthrough of 3300 on Monday and pay attention to the 3350-3360 area and then look at the pressure.
According to the daily level, after the price broke through the daily support last week, the price continued to rely on the daily resistance to bear pressure. At present, the daily resistance is at the 3360 area resistance. Below this position, gold can continue to be short.
According to the four-hour level, the four-hour key position is the key to our emphasis on short-term trends. Yesterday, the price broke through the four-hour resistance and is expected to adjust further. The current four-hour support is in the 3300 area. The price is short-term bullish above this position. After the subsequent high, it is expected to fall further after breaking the four-hour support again.
From the one-hour level, yesterday's strong closing, today's early trading again directly broke through yesterday's high position, so today's early trading low became the key. The price above this position tends to continue to test the daily resistance of 3360, so we will first look at the rebound, and wait until the price touches the daily resistance of 3350-3360, and then pay attention to further anti-K signals to see pressure.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3350-3360,SL:3370,Target: 3315-3300
Gold on relief rallyAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: Quick update: No Swing orders today, only aggressive Scalps similar to Scalp orders I mentioned above from my key re-Buy points. If #3,300.80 is recovered, newly formed Bullish structure will push for #3,313.80 and #3,327.80 test. If #3,300.80 benchmark is preserved, I will still keep Buying (Scalp only however). I will have Gold's major move revealed after today's session."
Technical analysis: I have been aware that another failed attempt to invalidate #3,272.80 - #3,278.80 local Support zone will most likely result into firm rejection and yet another push towards #3,302.80 psychological benchmark and ultimately the #3,327.80 level which represents Short-term Resistance line which is now invalidated to the upside (as discussed above already). Keep in mind that the current Bullish Short-term set-up can offer a great opportunity for those who missed the last rally to enter at almost (# +1.00%) of the Price so many Sellers which were liquidated will now engage multiple Buying orders so Buying pressure will be significantly Higher. Gold is extending the Trade nicely inside the healthy Hourly 4 chart's Ascending Channel and after failed Support zone reversal. Price-action has even more probabilities now to test #3,352.80 psychological benchmark. Gold is Fundamentally Bullish as well due Tariffs announcement.
My position: I have engaged #4 Scalp orders throughout yesterday's session (all in Profit) and will continue to do so however on the other side (Buying) from my key entry points. Keep in mind that overall trend remains Bullish and Trade accordingly.
GOLD Bouncing from Trendline, Breakout Ahead?GOLD BOTTOM IS HERE 🔥
Gold has taken support from the rising trendline and is now close to breaking a key resistance. The chart is showing an ascending triangle, which usually means a big move is coming.
If price breaks above the resistance, we might see a strong rally of 13% or more.
The setup looks positive as long as the support stays strong.
Looks like Gold is ready to shine again!
Retweet if you're bullish.
Like and follow for more updates!
#GOLD TVC:XAU
XAU/USD Chart Analysis: Price Retreats to Monthly LowXAU/USD Chart Analysis: Price Retreats to Monthly Low
In mid-June 2025, demand for gold surged following reports of exchanged strikes between Israel and Iran, along with US bombings of Iran's nuclear facilities. As a so-called safe-haven asset, gold prices climbed towards $3,430.
However, by the final day of June, the XAU/USD chart shows that gold had retreated to around $3,250, marking the lowest level in a month.
Why Is the Gold Price Falling?
On one hand, this reflects easing tensions in the Middle East, as a ceasefire—albeit fragile—between Israel and Iran remains in place.
On the other hand, the risk of trade wars is also diminishing. According to media reports:
→ President Donald Trump announced last week that the United States had signed a trade agreement with China and hinted that a “very major” deal with India would follow soon.
→ The US is also close to concluding agreements with Mexico and Vietnam, while negotiations with Japan and many other countries are ongoing.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
Looking at the broader picture, it is worth noting that gold prices in 2025 continue to move within a long-term upward channel (shown in blue), with the following key observations:
→ The channel’s median line acted as resistance (indicated by arrow 1);
→ The line dividing the lower half of the channel in half also showed signs of resistance (indicated by arrow 2).
Now, gold is trading near the lower boundary of the channel – a key support level within the multi-month uptrend. Demand may begin to strengthen here, with long lower wicks on candles on the lower timeframes supporting this view.
A rebound from the lower boundary is possible in early July, but how strong might it be? Note that bears have taken control of the $3,345 level (which has now flipped from support to resistance), and there are signs of a triple top pattern (A-B-C) forming near the $3,430 resistance. This raises the risk of a bearish breakout from the ascending channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
$XAUUSD Holding Key Support, Bounce Incoming?Gold is still holding the key support zone around $3,285–$3,290, which aligns closely with the 0.5 Fib retracement level.
As long as this area holds, we could see a push toward $3,320, and if momentum follows through, $3,373 (Fib 0.236) is the next key level to watch.
The structure looks solid, and buyers are showing interest.
Keep an eye on a breakout above the descending trendline. 👀
DYOR, NFA
#XAUUSD #GOLD
GOLD(XAUUSD): Bearish Trend Will Resume SoonGOLD appears to be bearish on an intraday chart following the violation of a key support zone.
The broken structure and descending channel resistance line now indicate a tightening supply area.
A significant bearish movement is likely to follow. The next support level is at 3249.