GOLD → Borders are shrinking. Consolidation continues...FX:XAUUSD is adjusting amid controversial CPI data and confirming the local bearish market structure. The PPI is ahead, and gold is consolidating, with its boundaries continuing to narrow...
Gold is recovering slightly but remains under pressure amid rising bond yields and a stronger US dollar. Higher inflation in the US reduces the chances of a quick Fed rate cut. Traders are cautious ahead of the PPI data release. If producer inflation exceeds forecasts, the dollar may rise again, putting further pressure on gold
Technically, we see consolidation in a symmetrical triangle pattern. Trading within the consolidation has a negative side - low volatility and unpredictable movements. The purpose of such movements is accumulation. However, decisions can be made based on relatively strong levels. In the current situation, we are seeing a rebound from 0.5 Fibonacci (I do not rule out a retest of the 0.7 zone before correction). The price may head towards the liquidity zone of 3322 before rising to the upper boundary of the consolidation and the zone of interest of 3350-3360.
Resistance levels: 3345, 3353, 3369
Support levels: 3322, 3312, 3287
The problem is that the price is in a consolidation phase. That is, technically, it is standing still and moving between local levels. You can trade relative to the indicated levels. Focus on PPI data. At the moment, gold is in the middle of a triangle and is likely to continue trading within the boundaries of a narrowing channel due to uncertainty...
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSDK trade ideas
BUY GOLD i am so humble to publish this idea on GOLD i recmmend individuals to set buy limit orders with repsect to the stoplevels including take profits and stoploss ..
after. a very longdown fall of the gold , from he butifully set up hat we had last week , price now retraces to he demand zone with fully potential for buyers to tk over the control ...
i have refined this move with fully aces of technical view , ICT and SMC
Godluck and use proper risk management , Gold is highly volatile and its not recommended for young crying babies hence use proper risk management tips
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,880 (UPDATE)As Gold has pushed up towards our $3,416 zone which I said would happen on Monday, I have re-analysed the charts & put in a new yellow 'supply zone' of where sellers should hold price & start declining.
Gold is still holding below our Wave 2 high ($3,451) which is a good sign. But, if Wave 2 high is taken then bearish structure is invalidated & we can start looking at buy trades.
Gold: dropped on trade deals The safe-haven asset had its ups and downs during the previous week. The week started with an uptrend, where the price of gold reached its highest weekly level at $3.430, on trade tariff tensions. However, the deal made between the US and Japan, pushed the price toward lower grounds, ending the week at $3.340. In addition, Friday's drop was supported by announced tariffs negotiations between the US and EU in Scotland during the weekend.
The RSI dropped below the level of 50 on Friday, ending the week at the level of 48. The MA50 slowed down its divergence from MA200, however, the potential cross is still far away. Still, weekly lows of the price of gold found support at MA50 levels.
The week ahead brings several currently very important US macro data, including JOLTs, PCE, NFP and Unemployment data. In addition, the FOMC meeting will be held where the market will receive the latest Fed's view on economic developments in the country and future expectations. Also, further news on trade tariff agreements, especially regarding ongoing negotiations between the EU and the US in Scotland, might make an impact on investors sentiment for safe-haven assets. As per current charts, the price of gold might revert a bit to the upside, after a drop during the last three days of the previous week. In this sense, the resistance level at $3,4K might be tested. On the opposite side, the situation on charts is a little bit tricky. Namely, there is a line which perfectly connects all lows from February this year. Friday's closing was exactly at this line, which again adds to the probability of a short reversal. However, if, in any case, the price of gold breaks this longer term trend, then it will indicate that the longer path to the downside is in store for gold.
Gold – Bear-to-Bull Transition in Motion?🧠 MJTrading:
TVC:GOLD – 8H Chart: Bulls, It’s Your Move.
📸 Viewing Tip:
🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size.
🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here:
The impulsive move from 3000 to 3500 wasn’t just a trend — it was a statement of strength.
That rally carved the ATH, then left behind weeks of digestion and structural compression.
Now, the market may be setting up for its next decision.
Notice how each bearish leg has been shrinking — a classic behavioral signal that sellers are losing momentum — possibly a shift in control underway.
We’re also pressing above the downtrend line from the ATH (3500), while the uptrend from 3000 remains clean and respected.
We’re now testing the 3400 zone — a key battleground.
📍 If bulls want to reclaim the momentum and show dominance, this is the moment to act.
🔹 1st Support: 3363–3377
🔹 2nd Support: Rising trendline
🎯 Target Zone: 3455–3500+ (Liquidity Pool & ATH proximity)
⚠️ Break back inside the triangle could delay the breakout narrative.
⚠️ If momentum fails to increase from here, and bulls can’t break out with conviction, the market is likely to remain range-bound for longer — extending the sideways phase between 3250–3500.
💭 If you’re watching for a new ATH… stay sharp, stay structured — the market rewards patience and readiness.
“If the structure speaks to you, let it echo, boost it.”
📐 MJTrading 🚀
What do you think?
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #MarketStructure #LiquiditySweep #AnythingCanHappen
#MJTrading
#ChartDesigner
Psychology Always Matters:
Click on them for the caption...
15-minute timeframe for XAU/USDKey Elements and Observations:
Price Action:
The price initially shows a downtrend, breaking below a previous low, indicated by "BMS" (likely "Break in Market Structure" or "Break of Market Structure").
Following the break, the price consolidates and then shows a strong upward movement, breaking above a resistance level, again marked by "BMS." This suggests a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Order Blocks (OB):
5 Min OB (Blue Box, Top Left): There's a "5 Min OB" marked at a higher price level earlier in the chart. This represents a bearish order block, where significant selling pressure was previously observed.
15 Min OB (Teal Box, Bottom Right): A "15 Min OB" is identified at a lower price level (around 3326.00 - 3330.00). This is likely a bullish order block, indicating an area where institutions or large players placed buy orders, leading to a bounce in price.
Break in Market Structure (BMS):
Two "BMS" labels are visible:
The first BMS (red dashed line below 3330.00) indicates a break of a support level during the downtrend.
The second BMS (red dashed line above 3330.00) indicates a break of a resistance level during the subsequent uptrend, confirming a potential shift in market bias to bullish.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit (Trade Setup):
Entry (Green Line): The suggested entry point for a long (buy) position is at approximately 3339.50. This entry aligns with a retest of a previous resistance level that has now turned into support, or potentially the lower boundary of a small bullish order block or fair value gap.
Stop Loss (Red Line/Red Box): The stop loss is set at 3335.50. This is placed below a recent low or significant support level, specifically within a red-shaded area that likely represents a "Supply/Demand" zone or an area where the trade would be invalidated.
Take Profit (Green Line/Green Box): The take profit target is 3354.00, resulting in a "Profit" of 3354.00. This target is placed at a significant resistance level or an area where price might reverse. The white shaded box above the entry, extending to the take profit, highlights the potential profit zone.
Risk-Reward Ratio: While not explicitly calculated, the visual representation suggests a favorable risk-reward, with the potential profit (green box) appearing larger than the potential loss (red box).
Pivot Point (P):
A "P (3345.227)" is marked on the chart, likely indicating a pivot point, which can act as a dynamic support or resistance level. The current price is trading above this pivot point, further supporting a bullish bias.
"BMS: 61.36%" (Bottom Right):
This percentage likely refers to a "Break in Market Structure" metric or a specific trading indicator that quantifies the strength or probability of the market structure shift. 61.36% suggests a reasonably strong confirmation.
Implied Trading Strategy:
The chart depicts a bullish reversal strategy, likely based on "Smart Money Concepts" or "ICT" (Inner Circle Trader) principles. The strategy involves:
Identifying a shift in market structure: Price breaking highs after breaking lows, signaling a change from bearish to bullish.
Utilizing Order Blocks: Using the 15 Min OB as a foundational support level and potentially looking for entry confirmations around it.
Waiting for a Retest/Pullback: The entry around 3339.50 suggests waiting for a pullback after the initial bullish impulse. This could be a retest of a broken resistance level, a fair value gap (FVG), or a small bullish order block within the larger 15 Min OB.
Placing Stop Loss Strategically: Below a significant low or invalidation point.
Targeting Previous Highs/Resistance: Setting the take profit at a logical resistance level where previous selling pressure was observed.
Gold Next Move Possible Hello Traders, Today I’m back with another idea.
As you know gold has changed the trend from bullish to the bearish.
The gold has fallen from the area 3438 to 3351. Now the current price is 3358.
I’m looking for the sell zone, In my view gold will drop till 3310.
I’m monitoring the sell zone 3364-3371, when the market touches the zone, I will add sell and my target will be 3310. Keep in bear my first target is 3351, second target is 3337 and the last target is 3310.
In the case if price breaks the 3377 area then we will have to wait until confirmation for another setup.
Stay Tune for every update.
Kindly share your ideas and leave positive comments. Thanks Everybody.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 7/24/2025Yesterday in lower TF, gold was testing the resistance line for a couple of times but failed to maintain it. It quickly dropped back into the line and closed the day under 3400. Daily, it still looks bullish but in lower TF, it is still bearish.
Therefore, I will be cautious in placing buying orders today. As long as 3373 still holds, I am still bullish in gold. I will look for set up around this level and my 1st target will be around 3415. Final target for today is 3450.
XAUUSD Monthly Technical OutlookMarket Structure Overview:
• The chart reveals consistent Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside, confirming a strong bullish market trend.
• Price has successfully reclaimed and retested the strong resistance zone (~3390–3400), which now acts as new support.
• A series of higher highs and higher lows show clear bullish intent, supported by sustained bullish momentum after each correction.
⸻
📈 Volume & Price Action:
• The Volume Profile (VRVP) on the left shows strong historical accumulation near the current breakout zone.
• After the breakout from resistance, the price retested this zone—validating it as support—and is expected to continue its bullish leg toward $3,500, the next psychological and technical target.
⸻
📍 Key Levels:
• Support Zone: $3,375 – $3,390 (previous resistance turned support)
• Immediate Resistance: $3,425
• Target Level: $3,500 (Monthly High Projection)
⸻
📘 Educational Note:
• This setup aligns with classic market structure theory: BOS + Retest + Continuation.
• The pullback into the breakout zone is a textbook bullish continuation signal often used in institutional trading strategies.
• Traders watching this pattern should combine it with confirmation entries such as bullish engulfing candles, FVGs, or order block rejections for safer entries.
⸻
🎯 Projection:
• As long as the price holds above $3,375, the bullish scenario toward $3,500 remains valid.
• Expect possible consolidation or minor pullbacks before continuation.
⸻
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before entering the market.
Gold price maintained above 3400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices surged over 1% on Monday as both the US Dollar and Treasury yields declined sharply, driven by ongoing uncertainty surrounding trade negotiations, despite a generally positive risk tone in broader markets. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $3,397, having rebounded from daily lows of $3,338.
While risk sentiment has improved ahead of upcoming US corporate earnings releases, anxiety lingers as the August 1 tariff deadline set by the White House approaches. Investors remain cautious about potential trade disruptions between the US and its key partners—the European Union (EU), Canada, and Mexico.
Meanwhile, reports from Bloomberg indicate that EU officials are preparing to convene this week to finalize a retaliation strategy, should trade talks with President Trump collapse. This backdrop of trade tension continues to support gold’s safe-haven appeal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to increase before FED's statement, market's expectation of early interest rate cut, setting new ATH in Q4/2025
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3450- 3452 SL 3457
TP1: $3435
TP2: $3422
TP3: $3405
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3332-$3330 SL $3325
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3358
TP3: $3370
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
From 3,430 USD GOLD falls below 3,400 USD on optimistic newsOANDA:XAUUSD has suffered a sharp sell-off after rising sharply earlier in the week. Media reports said the United States and the European Union were getting closer to reaching a tariff deal, and the news weighed on safe-haven demand.
OANDA:XAUUSD fell below $3,400 an ounce on Wednesday, down more than 1.2%, following news that the United States and the European Union were close to signing a deal similar to the one Washington and Tokyo signed on Tuesday. It is now trading below that key base point.
The European Union and the United States are moving toward a trade deal that could see more EU goods hit with a 15 percent U.S. import tariff, two diplomats said. Earlier, U.S. President Donald Trump reached a trade deal with Japan that would cut auto tariffs to 15 percent.
Optimism about an imminent U.S.-EU trade deal overshadowed a decline in the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.05 percent on the day to 97.160.
U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 4.396%. U.S. real yields, calculated by subtracting inflation expectations from nominal yields, rose nearly 4 basis points to 1.994%.
Gold tends to gain in value during times of uncertainty and low-interest-rate environments because gold itself does not generate interest, and in low-interest-rate environments, the opportunity cost of holding gold is relatively low.
U.S., EU near trade deal
The Financial Times reported on Wednesday that the European Union and the United States are close to reaching a trade deal that would impose a 15% tariff on imports from Europe, similar to the one reached between US President Donald Trump and Japan this week.
The Financial Times reported that Brussels is likely to agree to so-called “reciprocal tariffs” to avoid tariffs that Trump has threatened to impose on EU goods of up to 30% from August 1.
“The agreement reached with Japan is clearly extortionate in terms. Most member states are swallowing their anger and are likely to accept the deal,” an EU diplomat said.
The two sides will exempt some products, including aircraft, spirits and medical equipment, from tariffs.
The agreement between the US and Japan has also left Brussels reluctant to accept higher reciprocal tariffs to avoid a damaging trade war, according to the Financial Times.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold reached its target at $3,430, it failed to break above this important resistance level and fell slightly. The decline brought gold back to test the support confluence area, which is the location of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement with the lower edge of the price channel. And with the current position, gold still technically has enough conditions for a possible increase in price.
Specifically, gold is still in/above the supports from the short-term price channel, the long-term rising price channel and the support from the EMA21, as long as gold is still trading above the EMA21, it still has a bullish outlook in the short term. On the other hand, the short-term target is still at 3,430 USD, while once the 3,430 USD level is broken, it will provide the possibility of further upside with the next target at around 3,450 USD in the short term, more than the all-time high.
RSI remains above 50, far from the 80 – 100 area (overbought area). Showing that there is still a lot of room for upside ahead.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices continues to favor upside and notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,371 – 3,350 USD
Resistance: 3,400 – 3,430 – 3,450 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3421 - 3419⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3425
→Take Profit 1 3413
↨
→Take Profit 2 3407
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3354 - 3356⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3350
→Take Profit 1 3362
↨
→Take Profit 2 3368
Gold Maintains Strong Momentum, Eyes 3435+📊 Market Drivers:
• Gold prices surged as the USD weakened further and U.S. bond yields dropped.
• Investors are increasingly betting that the Fed may cut interest rates in 2025, boosting demand for gold.
• Ongoing trade tensions and expectations of comments from Fed officials are adding to bullish momentum.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 3435 – 3440
• Nearest Support: 3410 – 3415
• EMA09: Price is above the EMA09 → confirms short-term uptrend
• Pattern & Momentum: Clean breakout from the 3383–3390 range with strong volume, bullish momentum continues
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue rising in the short term if it holds above 3415. A pullback could offer a chance to re-enter long positions near new support levels.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 3415 – 3418 (on pullback)
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: 3412
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 3435 – 3438 (key resistance)
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: 3442
XAU/USD – Current Wave Count & Potential ScenariosOANDA:XAUUSD
We are currently moving from (white) wave 3 to (white) wave 4.
So far, I am leaning towards the white count where the waves labeled (A), (B), (C) form a larger corrective wave A, which leads to wave B, and then to (white) wave 4.
Up to now, we have only completed (A) and (B).
Now, in the yellow bracket, we can interpret a 1-2-3-4-5 structure leading to (white) wave C 🟡.
Alternatively, one could interpret a triangle pattern (pink count):
Waves A, B, C, D, E, which would then form our wave 4.
In that case, we would expect bullish targets afterwards 🚀.
We need to watch closely if the price reverses or breaks through our yellow Fibonacci zone 🟡.
For now, we are primarily looking for upside potential 🔼.
From our yellow wave 2, we saw a downward push, which could theoretically be our yellow wave 1 leading into yellow wave 2 and the yellow Fibonacci zone — essentially a five-wave move from wave 2 to wave 3.
XAUUSD BEARISH SETUP DEVEL0PING CHART PAATTERNXAUUSD – Bearish Setup Developing Below Resistance
Gold is currently trading near 3320, facing a strong resistance zone at 3350. Price action is showing signs of exhaustion as it approaches this key level.
🔻 Bearish Setup Overview:
Resistance: 3350 – watching for rejection or bearish confirmation candles.
First Entry Zone: 3290 – potential setup area once bearish momentum is confirmed.
Final Target: 3250 – despite the label, price action suggests a move even lower based on the arrow projection.
📉 This setup aligns with a possible trend continuation move to the downside, offering a clean risk-to-reward opportunity if resistance holds
🛡 Risk Management is Key – Wait for confirmation signals and manage your position size accordingly
Gold: holding flat grounds Gold was traded relatively flat during the previous week, moving within a range of $3.370 and $3.313. The safe-haven asset was holding relatively steady on eased geopolitical and economic tensions. The US Dollar gained a bit last week on better than expected inflation and jobs data posted during the week. Analysts are in agreement that current concerns related to the U.S. debt growth and further trade tariffs updates will certainly support the price of gold in the near future period.
The RSI was holding relatively steady modestly above the level of 50. This indicates that investors are still not ready to take the move toward the oversold market side. The MA50 modestly slowed down its divergence from MA200, however, two lines are still holding a higher distance between them, in which sense, cross is certainly not in store for some time in the future.
Charts are indicating that the price of gold continues to be well supported around current levels. There is some potential for a small move toward the down side, till the levels around $3.310. Also, the $3.3K support line might be tested. On the opposite side, any news related to geopolitical or economic tensions might swiftly push the safe-haven asset toward the upside, at least till the level of $3.370.
XAUUSD Analysis TodayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis
Gold Trade Plan 25/07/2025Dear Trader,
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently in a corrective phase, reaching near the support zone at around 3,340. The price is testing the trendline, and we may see a potential bounce towards the resistance level at 3,400-3,420. If the price breaks below this support, we could expect a further drop towards the next support levels near 3,325-3,310. The market will likely consolidate in this range until we see a breakout in either direction. The key levels to watch are 3,340 (support) and 3,400-3,420 (resistance). Monitor the price action closely as a reversal or continuation can occur here.
Regards,
Alireza!
Wait for 3330 to buy the bottom and reduce unnecessary operation#XAUUSD
We have made good profits from short selling yesterday. Currently, gold has fallen to 3350📎. The 4HMACD death cross has increased in volume and is expected to continue to decline. Consider going long near 3330📈. I don’t think it is prudent to bottom out at 3340. Move forward steadily on Friday and reduce unnecessary operations⚖️.
🚀 BUY 3335-3330
🚀 TP 3345-3362
Gold energy buildup supported at 3308The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3387 – initial resistance
3400 – psychological and structural level
3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3290 – minor support
3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.