XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAUUSD H4 It seems that gold will be able to close the week with a clear positive, so we look forward to buying from the 2630 level.
The stop is the closing of the 4-hour candle below the 2615 levels.
First target: 2700
Second target: 2716
Third target: 2762
Fourth target: 2793
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
This is the monthly chart idea for our long term/range analysis, which we shared in September. We have now completed two bull targets and stated both months left a big detachment to ema5 which needed a well overdue correction.
This monthly chart detachment is now complete, as highlighted by the circle on the chart. This now provided the support and bounce allowing us to buy dips inline with our plans.
Our 1H and 4h Charts have completed all bearish targets and now broken through all support. However with the breakout below, each of our weighted levels gave the 30 to 40 pip bounces just like we said.
This area is a strong level of support with ema5 providing dynamic support now for a bounce. Each of the lower Goldturn levels below are likely to give re-actional bounces just like our shorter time frame ideas.
However, we will keep in mind the channel top that may require a support test and will use all support structures across all our multi time frame chart ideas to buy dips also keeping in mind our long term gap above. Short term we may look bearish but looking at the monthly chart allows you to see the bigger picture the overall long term Bullish trend.
We will update our Multi timeframe route map with updated levels on Sunday.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 18 - Nov 22]This week, international gold prices fell sharply, from 2,686 USD/oz to 2,536 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,563 USD/oz. Thus, from the peak of 2,790 USD/oz, up to now the international gold price has decreased by more than 250 USD per ounce, equivalent to about 9%.
The reason why international gold prices have dropped sharply in recent days is because the market expects newly elected President Donald Trump to soon resolve geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East, the Korean Peninsula..., causing shelter demand. in gold fell sharply. Besides, Mr. Trump's tariff policy will cause inflation to rise, forcing the FED to raise interest rates again, pushing up the USD. In addition, recently announced US economic indicators, such as retail sales in October increased by 0.4% over the previous month; Consumer confidence recovered strongly;... In particular, FED Chairman Powell said the US economy did not give any signal that the FED should rush to continue sharply reducing interest rates.
Short-term gold prices next week may not end their correction due to the impact of policy expectations under Donald Trump's second term.
📌From a technical perspective, on the weekly chart, if this is an adjustment for this chart, the gold price will at least fall around the 2,400 USD/oz mark. On the H4 chart, the gold price has completed a shoulder pattern. head and shoulders as commented last week when the 2640 support zone was broken. Next week, it is possible that the gold price will increase and adjust again. If the support level of 2526 does not hold, gold is at risk of continuing to be sold off, causing the price to fall further below the 2400 mark.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,548 – 2,536 – 2,528USD
Resistance: 2,581 – 2,588 – 2,600USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2626 - 2624⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2630
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2432 - 2434⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2428
The Secret of Market Price Movement What is SMC (Smart Money Concepts)? – A Deep Dive into Market Logic
Have you ever wondered why the market reverses just when it looks like it’s trending? Or why your stop-loss always seems to get hit before the market moves in your favor? If these questions resonate with you, SMC (Smart Money Concepts) might hold the answers.
1. What is SMC?
SMC is a trading methodology based on the idea that financial markets are not purely driven by supply and demand. Instead, they are manipulated by Smart Money—banks, institutions, and hedge funds—who control price action by targeting liquidity in the market.
These institutions capitalize on retail traders’ mistakes, such as poorly placed stop-losses or impulsive trades. By understanding SMC, you learn to align yourself with the movements of Smart Money instead of falling victim to their traps.
2. Core Principles of SMC
• Markets Are Not Random
Markets are influenced by the IPDA (Interbank Price Delivery Algorithm), which engineers price movement to create liquidity and drive market cycles. This algorithm exploits traders’ emotions—fear and greed—to guide price action.
3. How Does SMC Benefit Traders?
By mastering SMC, you can:
1. Identify Smart Money’s Liquidity Targets
• Look for areas like previous highs/lows, order blocks, and inefficiencies where price is likely to react.
2. Avoid Being a Liquidity Target
• Learn how Smart Money hunts stop-loss orders and how to place entries and exits strategically.
4. Why Choose SMC Over Traditional Analysis?
Unlike conventional technical analysis, which relies on patterns and indicators, SMC focuses on the manipulative nature of markets. It helps traders understand the “why” behind price movements and positions them to trade alongside the institutions, not against them.
5. Where Can SMC Be Applied?
SMC is versatile and applicable across all markets—forex, stocks, commodities, and even cryptocurrencies. It focuses on the logic of price action, making it adaptable to any instrument with measurable price movement.
SMC is not just a strategy; it’s a mindset shift. It teaches traders to move from a retail perspective to an institutional perspective by analyzing price action and liquidity.
Align yourself with Smart Money instead of being their target.
Gold price has reached 2650, but the bullish recovery is not comGold price has reached 2650, but the bullish recovery is not complete
This is the idea of Elliott wave pattern and Hamonic pattern. The picture is truly beautiful.
Gold could rise above 2700 and then fall sharply again.
Cruel sell-off week, GOLD down more than 4%OANDA:XAUUSD This week suffered an extremely brutal sell-off, falling more than 4%, the largest decline since September 2023.
Trump is the biggest overall reason for OANDA:XAUUSD plummet
Gold had a pretty good month in October, rising along with the US Dollar which was supported by expectations of a possible victory for Donald Trump.
Gold prices had previously even extended their gains despite a clear recovery in US Treasury yields across all maturities.
However, things have changed significantly since Trump was elected US president
The main concerns surround the possibility that the Trump administration will again use tariff measures. These measures will likely spur inflation again and could eventually prompt the Fed to reverse its ongoing easing cycle.
The main factor behind gold's surge earlier this year was ongoing geopolitical tensions, especially the escalating conflict between Israel and Hamas and the protracted war in Ukraine.
Whenever there is new news about the worsening conflict situation, investors flock to safe-haven assets such as gold. However, recently since Trump's victory, the geopolitical situation and conflicts are showing positive signs, which will create the basis for further gold selling pressure.
The Fed is also creating pressure on OANDA:XAUUSD
Slightly hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell last week boosted the dollar and dampened interest in gold.
Powell said Thursday that the central bank is in no hurry to reduce borrowing costs while the economy continues to be strong, the labor market is solid and inflation is above its 2% target.
After Powell's speech, investors lowered the likelihood of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at its December meeting, from 72% to 61.9%, according to CME Group's FedWatch data.
In addition to Powell's comments, Boston Fed President Susan Collins said the Fed is in no hurry to cut interest rates. Finally, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee left open the possibility of a December Fed meeting, adding, "The debate over neutral interest rates could slow the pace of rate cuts."
However, at the end of last Friday's trading session, despite positive US data, the Dollar was still under pressure as market participants took profits before the weekend. That limited gold's decline after falling to a 2-month low of $2,536/oz.
Highlights this week
This week, gold traders will pay attention to data from the Federal Reserve, unemployment claims and the release of the S&P Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI).
Overall, this week will be a week with quite a few notable data and events, other than unexpected events such as "Trump is sick and Trump threatens to fire Jerome Powell".
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Although gold recovered very slightly this past weekend, it still ended the week with 6 consecutive days of decline.
Gold's recovery keeps it above the 1% Fibonacci level at $2,548 but there is still plenty of room ahead as the most recent pressures from the lower edge of the price channel and horizontal resistance at $2,588 join the Fibonacci level. A 0.786% retracement will still prevent the recovery of gold prices.
On the other hand, it still has a technical trend that is completely tilted towards a bearish outlook with the price channel being the main trend in the short term. In addition, the Relative Strength Index is still pointing down without reaching the oversold area, showing that there is still room for price decline ahead.
Looking ahead, as long as gold remains within the price channel and below the $2,600 raw price, price increases should only be considered short-term technical corrections without affecting the current primary trend to the downside.
The downtrend in gold prices will be noticed again by the positions listed below.
Support: 2,548 – 2,536 – 2,528USD
Resistance: 2,600USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2606 - 2604⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2610
→Take Profit 1 2599
↨
→Take Profit 2 2594
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2519 - 2521⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2515
→Take Profit 1 2526
↨
→Take Profit 2 2531
GOLD TRADING POINT MAP UPDATE GO > READ THA >CAPTAINBuddy'S dear friend 👋
Gold trading analysis map 🗾 Gold test results from resistance level 2704 big resistance level pullback dow👇 trend 📉 technical analysis setup gold if closed above ground 2720 Next target we'll see 2800$ more update 👇👇
Gold 4H Time Frame 🖼️ candle close below 👇 2687 more
drop 💧 2608. Break some pullback up 2678 back down 👇 2543 back up trand 2581 again down 👇 2509
SMC Gold trading point
S upport ✨ My hard analysis Setup like And Following Me 🤝 that star ✨ game 🎮
Gold: Structure change ... The focus is the speech of the FedHello, dear friends, Ben here
Gold prices are surging strongly after breaking through the resistance channel at 2650, as investors turn to this safe haven amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty due to escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions.
It’s evident that geopolitical tensions have heightened interest in safe havens, including the yellow metal. However, this inverse correlation has resurfaced in recent weeks, and the strength of the dollar is likely to hinder gold's momentum moving forward.
All eyes are on several Fed officials scheduled to deliver speeches this week. Market expectations for a December rate cut have dropped significantly, with current odds at 55.7%, down from 82.5% just a week ago.
From a technical perspective, gold has confirmed a trend and shifted sentiment, giving us a major movement to follow in shaping our trading decisions. A false breakout around the local resistance level at 2643 is forming. Price consolidation above this area could trigger further bullish momentum. However, I haven’t ruled out the possibility of a fake move around 2622 to accumulate before a stronger rally.
What are your thoughts on this?
GOLDGold is currently in a strong bullish trend, driven by a weakening U.S. dollar, rising inflation concerns, and increased demand for safe-haven assets amid global economic uncertainty. Technical indicators show a breakout above key resistance levels, signaling further upward momentum. This makes it an opportune time to consider buying gold
XAU-USD BUY OPPOTUNITY .
Description
A POTENTIAL PULL BACK TRADE !
This trade is not aligned with overall daily or 4hr bearish momentum as seen on last week but however a potential of pull back is seen for this week.
As of early morning today the 4hr candle has broken a fractal zone , signaling us a probability of CHoCH , ( change of character ).
It is also on very strong demand zone on Weekly TF.
The idea is to go with the probability of the trade , trade will be monitored as there the overall swing is still bearish in 4hr it can very much retrace from any of supply zone , so trade should be monitored throughout if it is active.
Manage risk !
XAUUSD Trade Update: Opportunities Ahead!Hey Guys, here's the latest update on XAUUSD.
We've had a solid run with gold recently, although we faced a small loss yesterday. Don't worry, though—there are plenty of opportunities coming up!
Update :
XAUUSD has broken through the channel and is currently testing the resistance level.
Trend :
In the short term, the bearish momentum is weak. However, the long-term trend remains strong, so we shouldn't go against the overall market direction.
Scenario :
At the moment, XAUUSD is testing the 2643 midrange as resistance. If it breaks back above this level, as indicated by the arrows on the chart, I’ll re-enter the trade and go long. My first target will be 2710, and the second target will be the higher range at 2790.
First Target: 2710
Second Target: 2790
Stay tuned for more updates and follow along for the next moves!
XAUUST M15 OUTLOOKXAUUSD POSIBLE MOVE
gold is not reached at dollar and hawkish fed rate statment market is possible to falling down 15% to 20% percent then market will high fly so be carefull traders
in this chart i give you idea buy from 2711 my 2ND LAYER is 2707 and STOP LOSS AT 2702
if this idea not work I will post new idea
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for today 22/11Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2750, support 2650
Four-hour resistance 2750, support 2650
Gold operation suggestions: Gold started to rise at the opening of the Asian session today. As of now, gold has reached the highest level of 27000. As the situation in Russia and Ukraine ferments, there is still momentum for rising. Today's idea is still to buy more after stepping back. The 2685 line of pressure is also easily broken, and there is no sign of weakness in the bulls. The recent rise in gold is directly related to the escalation of the situation in Russia and Ukraine. Today is Friday, and we also need to prevent the black swan waterfall from falling in the European and American sessions, so any order needs to be strictly loss-making, and risk control is the first priority.
From the current 4-hour gold trend, the upper important pressure is the 2750 line, the lower short-term support is the 2670 line, and the lower support is the 2650 line. In terms of operation, we use the step-back buying operation. The aggressive strategy is to buy directly and wait patiently for the key points to enter the market.
BUY:2672near
BUY:2685near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
XAUUSD Buy 2630 to 2660 confirm Gold price builds on Monday's gains and rises toward $2,630 as risk-aversion grips markets amid intensifying geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield is down more than 1% on the day, further supporting XAU/USD.
GOLD Buy NOW 2630
TP 2635
TP 2640
TP 2645
TP 2650
TP. 2660
SL 2610
100% CONFIRM SIGNAL
Use Proper Money
Management. Consistency is
GOLD continues to be supported by BidenOANDA:XAUUSD rallied sharply towards a second day of gains after six consecutive days of decline as the dollar's price momentum slowed and growing uncertainty over conflicts in Russia and Ukraine sparked safe-haven demand.
As of the time of writing, spot gold has increased continuously the previous trading day to 2,622 USD/ounce, escaping the lowest level in 2 months last Thursday.
OANDA:XAUUSD considered a safe investment in times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, suffered its biggest weekly decline in more than three years last week because of Trump's tariff-leaning policy. Trump's nomination is seen as a potential cause of inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to slow down on interest rate cuts.
Recent US support for Ukraine has increased tensions and affected safe-haven assets
Part of the reason is that US President Biden announced that he will provide long-range missiles to Ukraine so that the country can attack deeper into Russian territory. This will make the war much more complicated, it should be seen as a step closer to direct confrontation between Russia and the US.
Previously, Reuters reported that US President Joe Biden's administration on Sunday allowed Ukraine to use US-made weapons to attack deep into Russian territory, a major reversal of Washington's policy. about the conflict between Ukraine and Russia.
Sources said Ukraine plans to launch its first long-range strike in the coming days but declined to reveal details due to security concerns about the operation.
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates for a third time in December, although recent data suggests inflation's recovery toward its 2% target has stalled. About seven Fed officials will speak this week.
Rising interest rates could put further pressure on gold by making non-yielding assets like gold less attractive.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Although gold has recovered to break the falling price channel in the short term, in the medium term it still tends to lean towards the downside with the price channel as the trend and the main pressure from the EMA21 level.
On the other hand, the uptrend RSI is also close to reaching the 50 level. The 50 level is considered a resistance or support point depending on the condition of the RSI above or below this level.
However, gold may still increase a bit more with the 2,640USD position sent to readers in yesterday's publication, this is the position of the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level.
As long as gold remains within the price channel and below the EMA21 level, the technical outlook is tilted to the downside, and the day's highlights are listed below.
Support: 2,600 – 2,588USD
Resistance: 2,640USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2647 - 2645⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2651
→Take Profit 1 2640
↨
→Take Profit 2 2635
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2589 - 2591⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2585
→Take Profit 1 2596
↨
→Take Profit 2 2601
GOLD--> Buyers stop believing in gold. Are the bears coming?OANDA:XAUUSD rose, but remained below $2,600 early on Monday, snapping a six-day losing streak. Geopolitical risks favored the safe-haven metal amid reduced demand for the US Dollar.
However, expectations of a less aggressive Fed rate cut and rising US Treasury yields are likely to limit further gains for XAU.
Attention is now focused on the upcoming speech by Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, as there are no major economic releases due on Monday. Geopolitical developments will also be closely watched to see if they have any significant impact on the safe-haven asset.
Technically, Gold is forming a smooth and calm move towards new highs after a false breakout near $2,575. Notably, an uptrend is emerging on the H1 timeframe.
A pullback to the imbalance zone or local resistance level may form before the news as traders try to recover losses. However, I predict that after this correction, the price will likely continue its downtrend.
Gold price continues to recoverLast week, gold posted an impressive gain of over $150 per ounce, recovering strongly across all trading sessions. This remarkable performance highlights the unwavering confidence of investors in the precious metal, particularly during times of economic and geopolitical turmoil.
From a personal perspective, gold's upward momentum is expected to remain supported by safe-haven demand as geopolitical tensions continue to escalate. Additionally, the "buy-the-dip" activity during minor corrections has helped sustain gold prices at elevated levels.
In the short term, if gold holds above the critical $2,700/ounce mark, the likelihood of it advancing to $2,800/ounce increases significantly. Moreover, optimistic forecasts suggest that gold could reach $3,000/ounce by next year, despite the challenges posed by a strong US Dollar and rising US bond yields.
Gold continues to solidify its role as a "safe harbor" during uncertain times. With its current upward trajectory, the precious metal remains a highly attractive asset, drawing robust interest from investors across the globe.
GOLD H1 CHART Here we can see strong bullish pattern which support 2720 then we can see breakout to bearish momentum towards 2680 and much more
GOLD Is Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 2,634.92.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 2,574.59 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
DeGRAM | GOLD went down in the channelGOLD is in a descending channel below the trend lines.
The chart is above the support level.
The price has not yet reached the lower boundary of the channel.
We expect a bounce in the channel.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
short xauusd with chatgpt1. Trend Analysis
Multi-Timeframe Observations:
Short Timeframes (M5, M15): Bearish signals indicate short-term selling pressure.
Mid/High Timeframes (H1, H4): Bullish momentum is still active, suggesting the possibility of a pullback to resume upward trends.
Daily Timeframe: Bearish signals show the overall long-term trend may be turning downwards, requiring caution with long positions.
2. Key Levels Identification
Support Levels:
$2,685: Immediate minor support zone visible on the chart.
$2,680: Strong institutional demand zone aligning with previous swing lows.
Resistance Levels:
$2,700–$2,710: Strong rejection zone recently tested, with selling pressure evident.
3. Liquidity Zones and FU Candles
Liquidity:
A liquidity cluster exists below $2,685, likely targeting retail stop-loss orders.
FU Candles:
On lower timeframes, bearish FU candles near $2,700 signal potential exhaustion of buyers in this region.
Updated Entry, Stop-Loss (SL), and Take-Profit (TP) Strategy
Scenario: Given the short-term bearish signals, a short position is recommended until clear bullish confirmation appears.
Entry:
Short near $2,693, following rejection from the resistance zone.
Stop-Loss (SL):
Place SL at $2,702, slightly above recent swing highs and the upper resistance zone.
Take-Profit (TP):
First TP at $2,685, targeting minor support.
Second TP at $2,680, aligning with the institutional demand zone.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
1:2, with ~9 pips of risk (SL: $2,702) and ~18 pips of reward (TP1: $2,685).
Additional Considerations
Confirmation for Entry: Wait for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing candles or a breakdown below $2,690) before entering.
Market Context: Monitor gold-related news or events that may influence price momentum
Go long gold: TP: 2675-2680Brothers, gold has failed to fall below 2660 many times, so as I said in my last article, I closed the short position near 2664, and immediately went long on gold near 2664, and manually closed the long position near 2770.
At present, gold has fallen back to near 2660 again and has not fallen below, so I have gone long on gold near 2664 again. Although gold has fallen back locally, it has not fallen below the short-term support of 2655, and has not even fallen below 2660, so the gold bull energy still has the advantage, so the gold fall is an opportunity to go long on gold. And according to the current structure, gold still has the possibility of continuing to rise and touching the 2675-2680 area, and may even touch 2690.
So the trading strategy: go long on gold in batches in the 2665-2655 area, TP: 2675-2680
