12 April - Still BullishMovement is still very bullish, and there is no reason price will not continue going up. I do see the need for a retracement. This is not a prediction, but technical analysis possibility.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
GOLD Trade Plan 14/04/2025Dear Traders,
Gold hit the resistance level of 3230 and I expect it to move back to the resistance area after a correction from the 3140-3160 areas.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Closing another re-Sell orderGold delivered aggressive upside sequence due Fundamentally Bullish bias where Price-action delivered almost #110-point upside extension. I have calculated that #3,082.80 - #3,092.80 should be local Top's for the sequence and engaged Selling order on #3,084.80 which hit my Stop-loss of #3,092.80 minutes after. However I have engaged another re-Sell order on #3,093.80 and closed my Selling order on #3,057.80 with excellent Profit.
My position: Gold is Trading below record High's values after #3,127.80 - #3,132.80 local High's rejected the Price-action. I see no alternative than waiting for CPI announcement and how Gold will digest it and will continue Trading in mentioned direction. I will continue Trading my setups one by one as my re-Sell and re-Buy levels appear.
XAUUSD Gold in Overdrive: Awaiting a Critical Pullback for a BuyDaily Chart Analysis
On the daily chart, XAUUSD has surged to new highs, signaling an overextended market as gold rallies far above previous price swings. The price is now trading at a premium, which indicates that much of the bullish momentum may already be priced in. As a result, there is potential for a pullback toward a more attractive entry area. Specifically, a retracement into a discounted zone—ideally below the 50% level of the previous swing—may offer a better long opportunity rather than entering at these extended levels. 📈⚠️
4-Hour Chart Analysis
Examining the 4-hour timeframe reveals more granular price action that aligns with the daily trend. Here, gold displays signs of potential exhaustion with the recent impulsive moves. The market structure hints at the possibility of a short-term setup if the price begins to reverse, aligning with basic Wyckoff theory principles. This suggests that while there might be an interim short play if the reversal is confirmed, the expectation remains that a healthy pullback will eventually pave the way for a new long opportunity once the price finds support. 🔻🤔
Integrating Price Action, Market Structure & Wyckoff Theory
Using elements of Wyckoff theory, it's clear that the current rally has pushed the market into an overbought state.
• The price action indicates a likely initiation of a distribution phase, where selling pressure might temporarily take over.
• A pullback into the discounted zone (particularly under the 50% retracement of the prior range) would be an ideal opportunity to look for a buying setup.
• On the flip side, if the shorter-term setup solidifies, a conservative short play could be considered until signs of accumulation emerge.
This dual perspective underscores the importance of disciplined risk management and monitoring short-term reversals while keeping an eye on the broader trend. 🔍📉💡
Summary of Key Takeaways
XAUUSD is currently overextended with a strong rally to new highs. While the momentum is robust, the premium pricing compared to previous swings suggests caution. A pullback into a discounted zone, specifically below the 50% retracement level, could provide a more enticing entry point for those looking to go long. Concurrently, the 4-hour chart offers potential setups for a short play should price action indicate a reversal. Coupling these observations with Wyckoff theory fundamentals can allow for a balanced, dynamic trading strategy. 🔄
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Just taking a look at the 4 hour chart and I have marked my areas of interest for potential trade set ups. It is only Monday, so I am in no hurry to force or rush a trade. I am waiting for some lower time frames to line up and for some definitive support and resistance to form as we get closer to the Pre NY volume starting in a few hours or so. Let's see how things play out. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend. Happy Monday!!!
Gold roller coaster market washoutThe 4-hour Bollinger Bands also closed, forming a head and shoulders bottom pattern at 2955 and 2970. Today, we will focus on the gains and losses of the double top at 3055, and then see whether it can form a unilateral surge. If the European session cannot break through 3055, you can go short in the 3050-3052 area below 3055. For gold today, it is still viewed as a shock. The support below is at the 3000 mark, and the pressure above is at 3052-3055, with strong pressure at the 3055 line. If it is still sideways and oscillating like yesterday, then be careful not to repeat yesterday's trend and turn down at night. On the whole, it is recommended to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds in the short-term operation of gold. The upper short-term focus is on the 3035-3045 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2975-2970 line of support.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy: Short gold rebounds near 3050-3052 in batches. Stop loss 6 points, target near 3030-3010, break to see 3000 line;
Long order strategy: Long gold pullback near 2998-3000 in batches, stop loss 6 points, target near 3025-3040, break to see 3050 line;
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 3232.2
Sl - 3244.7
Tp - 3208.5
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD SELL OPPORTUNITYGOLD SELL OPPORTUNITY
GOLD has touched QML and the price
began to fall.
Therefore, try to sell gold when the price
pull back around 3025-3030
Entry: 3025-3030
SL: 3055
TP#1: 2985
TP#2:2950
Gold retreats to support level! Bulls remain strongOn the hourly chart, after the gold price surged to $3245.42/oz in the morning, it was suppressed by short-term profit-taking and showed signs of decline. The relative strength index (RSI) shows that the market is at risk of overbought in the short term, but it has not reached an extreme level, indicating that the pullback is more of a technical adjustment rather than a trend reversal. In terms of the moving average system, the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average continue to maintain a golden cross state, indicating that short-term momentum is still bullish.
Investment strategy: Gold more than 3200, stop loss 3190, target 3266
Gold Bearish ReversalPattern: Bearish Harmonic Butterfly
Entry: ~$3,238
Stop Loss: Above $3,330
Take Profit Target: $3,020 (next major support level)
• Price action is stalling near the PRZ of the pattern.
• The next logical support level is around $3,020, making it a compelling downside target.
Caveats:
• Strong macro tailwinds or news shocks could push price through the stop zone.
• Keep an eye on USD strength, real yields, and the tariff news.
Gold will rebound strongly if it does not break 3200The technical aspects of the gold market remain strong during the day. The weekly line closed positively for consecutive days, and the daily line remained intact for four consecutive positive lines, and the medium-term upward trend remained unchanged. At present, we need to pay attention to the possible technical correction at the beginning of the week, but as long as there is no single negative swallowing positive or continuous negative pattern, the trend direction is still bullish. The key support level is at 3200, of which 3180 is the short-term long-short watershed. If it is effectively broken, the upward momentum will be weakened; 3150 is the critical point of the medium-term trend, and a break may trigger a deeper adjustment.
H4 cycle shows that the price stabilized after falling back to the 10-day moving average near 3200, and this position became the focus of intraday long-short game. Operation strategy suggestion: If the price falls back to the 3200-3205 area without breaking, you can choose to go long, and the target is the 3245-3255 resistance zone. After breaking through, you can follow the trend. Be careful that if the 3200 support is lost, you need to adjust the strategy and pay attention to the 3180 line. Overall, keep the idea of going long on the pullback, and pay attention to controlling the position to prevent short-term volatility risks.
Gold suggestion for the evening: Go long on the 3210-3205 area, stop loss 3200, target 3235
XAUUSD Market Update – April 14, 2025🟡 XAUUSD Market Update – April 14, 2025 (End of NY)
🔍 Market Structure Overview
Trend (HTF): Still bullish on H4 with a strong impulsive leg from 3120 → 3248. Current pullback is testing premium zone around 3205–3215.
LTF Structure: M15-H1 shows a textbook liquidity sweep + internal CHoCH, followed by BOS. Price is currently in a reaccumulation phase between 3205 and 3215.
Range: Price is bouncing between the weak high @ 3247 and key support zone @ 3172–3180. Volume thinning out during late NY.
🧠 Key Observations
Fakeout sweep @ 3215: Clear internal liquidity grab followed by CHoCH on M5–M15, triggering short-term upside.
3209 Entry Zone Rejected: Price swept that level without reaction — confirms liquidity engineering.
Premium Distribution Active: H4 OB + FVG zone between 3233–3247 still unmitigated — price may revisit before broader move.
Daily FVG below: Unmitigated bullish gap around 3172–3180, aligning with M30-H1 demand and FIB 61.8 retracement.
🔵 Mitigated Zones
🔹 3205–3210 (EQ zone from earlier CHoCH): Fully mitigated.
🔹 3188 (micro OB): Mitigated and invalidated — no longer valid.
🔹 3215 (fakeout + sweep): Fully played.
🔴 Unmitigated Zones
🔸 3233–3247 (H1–H4 OB + Premium + FVG): 🔥 Active supply area.
🔸 3172–3180 (Daily Imbalance + H1 demand): Strong bounce candidate.
🔸 3120–3130 (Deep discount + demand): Only if a deeper correction forms.
🧭 Current Bias
Short-term bullish into potential rejections near 3225–3233.
Overall market still bullish, but a correction toward 3172–3180 is healthy before continuation.
⚠️ What to Watch
3233–3247: If price spikes into this supply area and shows M5/M15 CHoCH → potential reversal.
3215–3220: Micro liquidity zone may induce late buyers → be cautious.
3172–3180: Strong bounce or continuation zone — RSI confluence and clean M30 imbalance.
🧾 Summary
XAUUSD is currently consolidating between key supply (3233–3247) and demand (3172–3180). Price is sweeping intraday liquidity, hinting at another attempt toward the upper zone before a deeper correction. Patience is key — sniper entries only around the unmitigated OBs with clear M5 confirmation.
Stay sharp, stay selective. Don’t chase, let price come to your zone.
🔔 Like this style of analysis? Drop a comment, follow and subscribe, or share your views with the community. Let’s grow together. 🫱🏽🫲🏽
#GoldMinds #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #FVG #SniperEntry
Bull market hides falling crisis!Gold rose sharply to around 3170 in the short term. Gold is in an obvious bull market. I think we should not be too optimistic! Don't blindly chase gold in trading!!!
Although it is only one step away from the previous high, it not only faces the psychological resistance of 3200, but also multiple integer resistance. After the fundamental positive factors are exhausted, it is difficult for gold to have enough power to continue to rise and break through the heavy resistance.
So the sharp rise of gold is likely to be a bull market trap, in order to confuse more people to chase gold, and large institutional funds take the opportunity to sell! So in terms of short-term trading, I still will not vigorously chase long gold, I will start to short gold gradually in batches! The faster gold rises, the faster it may collapse!
Bros, I am not afraid of shorting gold now. I think short trading can also bring me huge profits. The retracement target first focuses on the area around 3135.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Gold Price Analysis April 10D1 candle confirms that the buyers have returned to the market with an increase of more than 100 prices. The retest points are considered buying opportunities to break ATH
3100 is a notable point for the Buy signal in this European trading session. Today's trading strategy is quite simple when a strong uptrend has just formed, we will wait for the retest points to 3100-3080-3056 for the BUY signal to break ATH. On the other hand, if gold does not test before, we can Sell Scalp around 3133 again, when it breaks, do not SELL anymore but wait for the retest of 3133 to buy up to 3162.
Have a nice day everyone
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Entry Plan – April 10, 2025 Multi-Timeframe Analysis (D1, H4, H1, M15)
D1: Bullish overall with higher highs and higher lows, price testing resistance near the 3100 area.
H4: Bullish continuation with clear market structure, price still finding support at lower levels.
H1: Structure showing a potential breakout to the upside but also needs confirmation from rejection at supply zones.
M15: Currently in a retracement, testing critical order block zones that could dictate the next big move.
Macroeconomic Context
Fed Rate & NFP: The Fed's dovish stance and recent NFP data support the continuation of bullish sentiment in gold.
CPI & ISM: Inflationary pressures remain, supporting demand for gold, and driving market uncertainty that adds to gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Trend Bias
Bullish Bias: The market is overall bullish, but be cautious around key resistance zones. Look for confirmation of breakouts or pullbacks before entering.
Bearish Bias: If price fails to break above key resistance, a correction could occur, targeting the identified sell zones.
Liquidity Zones & Imbalances
The zones at 3,035-3,040 and 3,066-3,068.50 represent significant demand and order block areas where price has previously reacted. These are prime for buy entries.
Keep an eye on 3,125-3,139 as the potential sell zone, where price has shown previous rejection.
💰 Key Zones
🟩 Buy Zones (Potential Bounce Zones):
🛒 3,066–3,068.50: Sweet spot for a bullish bounce! 📉
🛒 3,035–3,040: Deep value zone! If we get a bounce here, it’s gold! ✨
🟥 Sell Zones (Potential Reversal Zones):
🚫 3,125–3,139: Major resistance, could trap bulls! ⛔
🚫 3,095–3,108: Intraday fade; short potential here! 💥
🎯 Sniper Entries
🟩 Buy Scenario 1 – “Reclaim the Bounce”
📍 Entry: 3,066–3,068.50
💡 SL: Below 3,055
🎯 TP: 3,089 | 3,113.50 | 3,127
🧠 Trigger: Look for CHoCH or Bullish Engulfing on M1/M5 for confirmation.
🟩 Buy Scenario 2 – “Deep Value Pullback”
📍 Entry: 3,035–3,040
💡 SL: Below 3,025
🎯 TP: 3,080 | 3,095 | 3,110
⚡ Tip: Wait for a strong bullish reaction on M5/M15.
🟥 Sell Scenario 1 – “Double Top Trap”
📍 Entry: 3,125–3,139
💡 SL: Above 3,145
🎯 TP: 3,105 | 3,080 | 3,055
⚠️ Tip: Look for a rejection on M5 or M15, with a bearish engulfing.
🟥 Sell Scenario 2 – “Intraday Fade”
📍 Entry: 3,095–3,108
💡 SL: Above 3,110
🎯 TP: 3,080 | 3,060 | 3,040
⚡ Tip: Move SL to breakeven once TP1 hits quickly! 🏃♂️💨
⚠️ Trend Bias
📉 Bearish Short-Term: Watch for rejections at resistance. If the price pushes above 3,139, we may reconsider the bias. 💡
💥 Key Tips & Reminders:
🎯 Patience is Key: Wait for confirmation before entering any trades — no confirmation, no entry! 🕰️
🚀 Risk Management: Keep your SL tight, and only enter when you feel the setup is perfect! 🔥
💡 Be Smart, Trade Smart: Always manage your risk and stick to your plan. 🌟
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Stay sharp, stay kind, and let’s trade with precision! 💛
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan - Sniper EntriesXAUUSD Daily Trading Plan - Sniper Entries 🚀
🔹 Price Action Overview:
Trend: Bullish (H1, H4, M15)
Current Price: ~3,217
Market Sentiment: Positive, with strong bullish momentum, consolidating after breaking recent highs.
Key News: Core PPI (m/m) and Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment due today, watch for volatility during the New York session.
🚨 Potential Sniper Entry Zones:
1st Buy Entry Zone 📈
Price Range: 3,172 – 3,175
Why: Strong Order Block (OB) on M15 & M5, CHoCH confirming trend reversal with a clear liquidity grab.
Confirmation: Expect a bounce from support as price retraces into the zone, offering favorable risk/reward for a buy continuation.
Stop Loss (SL): 3,160 (tight risk management)
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3,200
TP2: 3,220
TP3: 3,240
2nd Buy Entry Zone 🛒
Price Range: 3,200 – 3,205
Why: Minor support with the market showing consistent bullish action around this zone.
Confirmation: Watch for market structure to hold; this will be a second-tier entry in case of shallow retracements.
Stop Loss (SL): 3,190
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3,220
TP2: 3,240
TP3: 3,260
1st Sell Entry Zone 🔻
Price Range: 3,220 – 3,230
Why: Possible Premium zone as the price tests recent highs, near overbought conditions. Look for rejections here.
Confirmation: Watch for FVG & Price Action rejection signals.
Stop Loss (SL): 3,240
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3,200
TP2: 3,180
TP3: 3,150
2nd Sell Entry Zone 🔻
Price Range: 3,240 – 3,250
Why: Testing the Premium area near previous highs; watch for signs of a strong reversal.
Confirmation: Look for Bearish Divergence or Order Block Rejections.
Stop Loss (SL): 3,260
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3,220
TP2: 3,200
TP3: 3,180
⏰ Key Trading Hours:
New York Session (14:30 – 22:00 UTC+2): Pay attention to Core PPI data and Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment for volatility. Watch for price reaction during these times to align with the entry zones.
🔑 Summary & Final Notes:
Buy Bias is dominant in this market given the recent strong bullish momentum. However, be mindful of resistance zones as price approaches key levels.
Ensure Risk-to-Reward is always favorable before entering.
Monitor key news events around 3:30 PM UTC for potential market reactions.
💬 Let's trade smart! Drop a comment below if you like the setup! 🔥 Follow and subscribe for more analysis!
Trade tensions escalate, GOLD receives support to break $3,200As trade tensions escalated, market risk sentiment suddenly spiked, with spot OANDA:XAUUSD surging above $3,200.
Data released on Thursday in the United States showed that the consumer price index (CPI) unexpectedly fell in March.
Data showed that the US CPI fell 0.1% month-on-month in March, the first decline in nearly five years, compared to expectations of 0.1% and the previous reading of 0.2%.
In addition, the US CPI rose 2.4% year-on-year in March, lower than the expected 2.5% and the previous reading of 2.8%; the US core CPI rose 2.8% year-on-year in March, lower than the expected 3% and the previous reading of 3.1%.
After the US CPI data was released, traders bet that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again in June, potentially totaling 100 basis points of rate cuts by the end of the year. Low interest rates are generally beneficial for gold because the metal does not pay interest.
Gold prices continued to rise above $3,200 an ounce in early trading in Asia on Friday, breaking the record set in the previous trading day.
Gold prices hit a new high as investors turned to safe-haven assets amid concerns about the impact of tariffs on the global economy, Bloomberg reported on Friday.
Gold’s safe-haven status has been hit again this week, Bloomberg reported. US President Trump’s erratic rhetoric on his tariff agenda has sparked a sell-off in stocks, bonds and the US dollar, as concerns about a global recession spread across Wall Street.
Even after Trump announced a 90-day pause on tariffs on dozens of trading partners, risks and uncertainties remain, with tariffs on all imports from China now at a rate of at least 145%.
The White House clarified to CNBC at noon ET on Thursday that the Trump administration's tariffs on China under the name of reciprocal tariffs are 125%, but this does not include the 20% tariffs that the United States imposed on China twice in early February and early March of this year due to the fentanyl crisis.
Therefore, during Trump's second term, the cumulative tariffs that the United States has applied to all Chinese goods exported to the United States have reached 145%.
The CNBC report also emphasized that the 145% tariff does not include the US tariffs on China before Trump's second term as US president, including various tariffs imposed on China during Trump's first term and the Biden administration.
Given the current market environment, gold is still going to continue to rise strongly. As a wise man at a coffee shop in Vietnam (TLTV) predicted, this war must be 500% to negotiate. If so, we could soon see gold approaching the $3,500 mark.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has surged above the $3,200 base, and at its current position, it is likely to continue its upward move with the nearest target being the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level of $3,223. Whereas, once the $3,223 level is broken, gold will be in a position to continue its upward move with the next target around $3,295 in the short term.
On the technical front, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sloping upwards without any weakness as it approaches the overbought zone, indicating strong demand in the market and sending a positive signal for the bullish trend.
For the day, as long as gold remains above $3,167, it remains bullish in the short term, and any dip in the current scenario that does not take gold below the EMA21 should be viewed as a short-term correction rather than a trend, or as a buying opportunity.
The notable positions for the intraday uptrend will be listed again for readers as follows.
Support: $3,167
Resistance: $3,223
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3250 - 3248⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3068
→Take Profit 1 3056
↨
→Take Profit 2 3050
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3134 - 3136⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3130
→Take Profit 1 3142
↨
→Take Profit 2 3148
Gold Gathers Strength Amid Global UncertaintyRight now, gold is benefiting from a convergence of highly favorable conditions for a strong bullish trend. Growing concerns about a global trade war have triggered widespread risk-off sentiment, driving capital flows into safe-haven assets like gold. As a result, the precious metal has maintained an impressive upward momentum throughout the past week and is currently stabilizing around $3,235.
From my personal view, the U.S. dollar is showing clear signs of weakness — and that only adds fuel to gold’s rally. The $3,300 mark looks like the next logical milestone, with $3,500 as a longer-term target if the current trend holds. Recent corrections in gold have been shallow and brief, which reflects persistent buying pressure and no signs of a distribution phase at the top.
This week, we should pay close attention to major monetary policy events, including meetings from the Bank of Canada, the ECB, and a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. These events could bring increased volatility to the market. However, if central banks hold or cut rates as expected, it will provide even stronger psychological and technical support for gold.
Personally, I remain optimistic about the bullish outlook on XAUUSD — how about you?
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 4/10/2025Gold has found its support at 2970 yesterday and went all the way up, almost touching 3100. Ahead will be a strong resistance from 3105-3012. I am expecting it to respect the resistance and move towards 3025. If we see a red 4hrly candle, it will be downside confirmation. Let's monitor the price action closely.
Ranging? Not Really. The Big Guys’ Plan Is Already Set…Ever wondered what the crowd is really doing behind the candles?
This video breaks down how to read Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD)—
from retail behavior to sentiment charts, and why the market doesn’t always follow logic.
✅ When price moves one way but the crowd trades the other...
✅ When sideways markets aren’t as neutral as they look...
✅ When emotions take over—and how to spot it in advance.
We’re lifting the hood. The engine’s running. Let’s see what drives it.
BEARS ARE TRAPPED 〉3300 SOONAs illustrated, I'm trying to visualize a brief pull back next week making the low of the week early into Monday.
Potentially ASIA making the week's low on Monday's open.
I was able to visualize the path to 3200, and showed in a past idea how 3200 COULD HOLD as support ... so I wouldn't be surprised if price doesn't even get to 3100, although it could very well find a support there as it is a strong psychological + institutional price at which many central banks, brokers, hedge funds, etc could be dealing gold.
In other words, institutions willing to add long positions or even position themselves for the week, they'll do it a these key round numbers easy to deal big orders with... (3,200; 3150, 3100, etc).
That being said, we can't ignore or take out the fundamental aspect of gold which, as a matter of fact, it is its main driver until this day. That is: tariff war escalating, stock market on the edge of a cliff, geopolitical conflict very uncertain, ... and much more.
Not only investors are protecting their assets with gold, but CENTRAL BANKS keep purchasing gold... for a reason...
I've said it multiple times before: any dip is a buying opportunity. Every correction is a bear trap... to traders that think gold is like any other FOREX pair that responds to "divergence" or "stochastic crossovers" or some random indicator.
As these retail traders pile in with short trades, the trend continues to take them out and all of that liquidity is actually serving as more gas and power for gold to expand higher and higher... since for every buyer there must be a seller ...
"But it's so expensive". .. well... define "expensive". There is no historical point that defines today's price as "expensive" ... it's simply the new and actual price of gold.
THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND.
--
GOOD LUCK!
Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250410Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250410
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 4/14/2025Although gold is in highly bullish trend, it won't go up without retrace. In 8hrly TF, it is completing 5th wave, I am expecting it to go down today. 1st target 3182, 2nd target 3142.
