There are opportunities for both bulls and bears in gold!Gold fell back and closed lower yesterday. The daily line closed with a negative cross overnight. The overall market has not changed much. The short-term repeated tug-of-war is temporarily consolidating. Today is the closing of the weekly line, and we will continue to maintain the volatile thinking. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger Bands closed, temporarily exerting pressure on the middle track. After rebounding to 3350 yesterday, it failed to continue and remained in a weak shock pattern. Therefore, today's operation is mainly short and supplemented by long. The upper pressure is at 3328 and 3336. Short according to the rebound strength, pay attention to the rise and fall of 3310 below. A breakthrough may see the previous low of 3295. If the support is not broken, you can consider going long.🔔For more specific operation details and strategy updates, please pay attention to the notification 🌐 at the bottom.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold around 3328-3338, target 3315-3310.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
GOLD REVERSAL POINT [Bearish Bias]According to this analysis, today I'm expecting a sell opportunity. So here we're analyze 1H time frame, Price is currently moving near a strong order flow area, and has also SIBI is pending. If price faces clear rejection from this key levels, So there is a high probability that the market may decline from this level. Wait with patient and maintain discipline, confirmation is key.
Now let's see how our sell zone plays out.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#GOLD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Gold Hits PRZ with RD-! Time for Bears to Take Over?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance zone ($3,445-$3,406) once again, forming an Ending Diagonal at the top of the structure.
Although price reached the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , the presence of Regular Divergence (RD-) between the last two peaks could indicate the weakening of bullish momentum .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , we can clearly count a completed 5-wave structure , with an Ending Diagonal pattern . This supports the idea of a major correction starting soon .
I expect Gold to attack the lower lines of Ending Diagonal , and if it breaks, it could drop to at least $3,333 . The Second Target could be the Support zone ($3,451-$3,120) .
Do you think Gold will make a new All-Time High(ATH) again in this rally?!
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,463
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold reaches the lower support and makes a bold attemptWith the official ceasefire in the Middle East, risk aversion has returned to normal. Russia and Ukraine are now expected to return to the negotiation table. The situation that was in full swing last week has suddenly become calm. Then the focus of market attention has shifted again to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Federal Reserve Powell reiterated in his testimony to the Senate Committee on the semi-annual monetary policy report that there is no rush to act. The tariffs are unprecedented and it is difficult to predict the impact on inflation. Consumers may have to bear part of the tariffs. The trade agreement may make the Federal Reserve consider cutting interest rates, continuing its previous hawkish tone and suppressing the rebound in gold prices.
Gold hourly chart;
Short-term analysis of gold; The recent fluctuations of 1-200 US dollars have greatly increased the difficulty of trading for retail investors. It seems that there are many opportunities in a day, but in fact, the big market mainly appears in a few times. If you can't keep up in time, you can only watch the price jump up and down. The most feared thing is not to keep up with the market, but the price returns to the same point, but the principal is gradually reduced.
From the 4-hour analysis of gold, there are repeated resistances from the bulls before the downward break; once the downward break, the market will go further short, and pay attention to 3280 below. The upper short-term 3330-50 line is the key to suppression. Only by breaking the bulls can the rebound continue. In terms of operation, sell high and buy low, and pay attention to the breakthrough!
There are too many long orders at high levels of gold at present, and the market will not rise easily. The current international situation is so tense, and gold is still slowly declining. It is difficult to rebound sharply in this situation.
Gold prices are consolidating at a low level!International spot gold continued to fluctuate and fall. Looking back at the market performance on Thursday, gold prices maintained a narrow range of consolidation. Investors focused on the upcoming US inflation data to judge the direction of interest rate policy, while paying close attention to signs of easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The current gold market is facing the influence of multiple factors: in the short term, PCE inflation data will become a key variable in determining the trend of gold prices. If the data is lower than expected, the market will strengthen the Fed's expectations of rate cuts, thereby supporting the upward trend of gold prices; on the contrary, if the inflation data exceeds expectations, it may delay the Fed's pace of rate cuts, resulting in pressure on gold prices. From a medium- and long-term perspective, the low interest rate environment, continued geopolitical risks and the potential weakening trend of the US dollar jointly provide structural support for gold prices. In addition, it is necessary to focus on the capital diversion effect that may be caused by the rising heat of the platinum and palladium markets. It is recommended to closely track the changes in capital flows in the precious metals sector.
From the analysis of the gold 4-hour level chart, today's gold price showed a downward trend at the opening, and the lowest fell to around US$3289.25 and then temporarily stabilized at US$3298. Technical indicators show that the 4-hour moving average system shows a dead cross arrangement, the MACD indicator dead cross continues, the gold price has fallen below the lower track support of the Bollinger Band, and the Bollinger Channel shows a narrowing trend, and the short-term price is in a low-level weak consolidation pattern. In view of the fact that the weekly line is about to close this week and the volatility of the end-of-month market is intensifying, it is necessary to focus on preventing the risk of a second bottoming out of the price. Comprehensively judged, the current gold trend is bearish, and the operation strategy is recommended to focus on rebound shorting.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to short gold in the rebound area of 3311-3316, with a stop loss at 3324 and a target of 3300-3290
stable tariffs, gold price impact reduction✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/30/2025 - 07/04/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices plunged over 1.5% on Friday as risk appetite strengthened, fueled by a combination of positive geopolitical and economic developments. Easing tensions between Israel and Iran, the formal trade agreement between the United States and China, and continued efforts by Washington to strike new commercial deals with global partners lifted market sentiment—dampening demand for safe-haven assets like bullion.
At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,274, having pulled back from an earlier high of $3,328. On Thursday, the White House confirmed the signing of a long-awaited trade pact with China, marking an official end to the protracted trade war. US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick also indicated that additional agreements may be finalized ahead of the July 9 deadline
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Information on tariff negotiations is gradually becoming stable and favorable. Information on inflation showing signs of increasing, dxy increase is also a temporary pressure causing gold price to return to the 3200 mark.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3307, $3348, $3390
Support: $3248, $3202
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Price Analysis June 27Daily Trend Analysis:
The price has reacted strongly at the 3348 level, forming a clear and sustainable bearish structure. The 3296 zone is now a critical level — a confirmed breakout below this area could lead to a deeper decline, especially with limited potential for recovery on Friday.
Today, the bearish trend is likely to face less resistance compared to the bullish side. As such, a move toward the support zones at 3278 and 3255 is highly probable.
Any bullish retracement during the European session should be viewed as a good opportunity to look for SELL setups, targeting 3278 and 3255.
As previously analyzed, SELL zones are clustered around key resistance levels. Traders should closely watch price reactions in these areas for potential entry signals.
🔹 Breakout key level: 3296
🔹 Support zones: 3278 – 3255
🔹 Resistance zones: 3300 – 3312 – 3325 – 3336 – 3348 – 3363
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?XAU/USD is reacting off the support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,298.57
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,258.87
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,393.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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XAUUSD 30/6 – 4/7/2025: Selling Pressure Builds - In the past week, gold OANDA:XAUUSD has been under consistent selling pressure due to the following key macro factors:
- The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) TVC:DXY surged, raising the opportunity cost of holding gold and leading to widespread sell-offs.
- 10-year U.S. Treasury yields hovered around 4.30%–4.35% , reinforcing expectations that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer.
- Core PCE data for June indicated that inflation remains elevated, reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
- Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have temporarily eased, diminishing gold’s safe-haven appeal in the short term.
➤ As a result, these combined factors are applying downward pressure on XAUUSD, especially after price decisively broke the 3,300 USD support zone.
1. Technical Analysis of XAUUSD – Daily Timeframe
On the D1 chart:
- Price has broken below the key support zone 3,300 – 3,331 USD, confirming a short-term bearish structure.
- The Fibonacci retracement from the 3,399 peak to the 3,295 low has completed its pullback to the 0.5–0.618 zone (3,345 – 3,359 ) but was strongly rejected by sellers.
- Price is now trading below both EMA20 and EMA50, indicating strong bearish momentum.
- RSI has turned back under 50 and has not yet reached oversold territory, suggesting further downside potential exists.
2. Key Resistance and Support Zones for XAUUSD
Technical Role ( 3,345 – 3,359 )
- Major confluence resistance (Fibonacci 0.618 + supply) ( 3,295 – 3,300 )
- Immediate resistance zone (post-breakdown retest) ( 3,260 – 3,235 )
- Short-term support and potential buy interest ( 3,223 – 3,205 )
- Strong medium-term support (Fibonacci 1.0 + April lows)
3. Trading Strategy for XAUUSD This Week (30/6 – 4/7/2025)
Strategy 1 – Favor Short Positions Aligned with Bearish Momentum
Entry: Sell near 3,295 – 3,300 (anticipating resistance retest)
Stop Loss: 3,304
Take Profit 1: 3,290
Take Profit 2: 3,285
Take Profit 3: 3,275
Strategy 2 – Countertrend Buy at Key Support with Confirmation
Entry: Buy near 3,235 – 3,240 only if bullish reversal candles (pin bar or bullish engulfing) appear on H4 or D1
Stop Loss: 3,230
Take Profit 1: 3,245
Take Profit 2: 3,250
Take Profit 3: 3,260
Ps : XAUUSD is currently in a downward correction phase, with the next target zone lying between 3,235 – 3,260 USD. The inability to hold above 3,300 confirms that sellers remain in control. The most favorable approach this week is to sell on rallies, especially near former support-turned-resistance zones.
Stay vigilant, follow updated price action closely, and strictly manage risk to protect your capital.
Follow for more high-probability strategies throughout the week – and save this idea if you find it valuable to your trading journey.
Analysis by @Henrybillion
A new golden week, grasp it with the best condition
Good weekend everyone, this week's trading time is over, and next week's trading time will also enter the countdown. No matter how you grasp the market this week, whether happy or sad, Theo hopes that everyone will not bring your mood to the trading environment next week.
After all, next week is also a new beginning of the week. In the new week, everyone should be prepared for a new state. A good state should be persevered, and a bad state should be adjusted. With a good state to grasp the market trend of next week, I believe you can also be invincible and grasp the market better!
📊Technical aspects
Gold did not break through the upper pressure at midnight on Friday. Gold fell directly after opening in the morning on Friday. The bears broke through the previous 3295 support line, and the lowest level in the evening was 3255, closing at around 3274.
The daily line also closed in the form of a big negative line, with an obvious downward trend, and all the previous support will also turn into pressure. The short-term moving average system crossed downward to accumulate energy for the bears. Since the closing did not break through the upper 3300 pressure level, we will continue to rebound and short next week. After all, the technical side is still short, and only by following the trend can we keep up with the rhythm of eating meat.
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is around 3295-3301, with special attention paid to the suppression at 3316. In terms of operation, the rebound continues to be the main short and the trend looks down. The lower short-term support is around 3250-3255. The overall main tone of high-altitude participation remains unchanged relying on this range.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3290-3300,SL:3315,Target: 3240-3250
XAUUSD Weekly Analysis 30 June 4 July 2025Gold has formed a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the H4 timeframe. While the pattern is not perfectly symmetrical, it is still valid and clearly recognizable. The price has broken below the neckline, confirming a potential shift in market structure to the downside.
Analysis Insight:
The 3340–3350 area, previously a support zone, is now acting as resistance following the neckline break. A pullback to this zone may present a high-probability short opportunity for swing traders, especially if price shows rejection or bearish structure in that zone.
Trade Type: Swing
Trade Setup – Sell on Retracement:
Bias: Bearish on confirmation of retracement rejection
Entry Zone: 3340 – 3350
Stop Loss: 3376 (above right shoulder/high)
Take Profit: 3320/3300/3285/3260
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2
Kindly follow, share, like, support and comment.
Who will be the winner in the battle between bulls and bears?From the analysis point of view, the short-term resistance above is around 3295-3301, and the pressure at 3315-3316. Focus on the pressure at 3324, the long-short watershed. In terms of operation, the rebound will continue to be the main short and look for a decline. The short-term support below is around 3250-3255. Relying on this range, the main tone of high-altitude participation remains unchanged.
Below of last update of reverse head and shoulder post XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
🔸 **Instrument:** Gold / USD (XAU/USD)
🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min
🔸 **Methodology:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Liquidity + OB + Market Structure
🔸 **Focus:** New Monthly Open Setup
🔍 Market Context:
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. **Strong recovery** after clearing deep liquidity sweep (Head zone)
2. **Bullish BOS** structure confirmed on LTF → Multiple HH and HL formed
3. Price now testing **Key Supply/OB zone at 3300–3315**
4. Above this zone lies a **Strong High (SH) around 3,350**, a potential liquidity magnet
5. Overall bias is bullish unless strong rejection appears from upper OB
---
## 📌 Trade Plan:
| Position | Entry Confirmation Zone | Stop Loss (SL) | Take Profit (TP) |
|----------|--------------------------|----------------|------------------|
|
| Short (scalp only) | Bearish reaction from 3,345–3,350 | Above 3,353 | TP1: 3,310 / TP2: 3,290 |
---
## ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch:
- 🔺 High-impact USD news (July 1st releases: Manufacturing PMI / employment preview)
- 🔺 Overextension above supply zone without support → trap risk
- 🔺 Bull trap risk if price spikes above 3,340 then sharply reverses
---
## ✅ Summary:
> **Start of July** could fuel volatility and directional momentum.
> The structure is clearly bullish short-term, but upper liquidity zones remain **highly reactive**.
> Smart traders will wait for reaction at the 3,340–3,350 SH zone before overcommitting.
**Structure:** 🔴 bearish momentum
**Efficiency:** ✅ Clean
**Liquidity:** 🔺 Above SH & Below recent HL
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
This chart shows a Gold (XAU/USD) analysis on the 1-hour This chart shows a Gold Spot (XAU/USD) analysis on the 1-hour timeframe, with technical elements typically used in smart money concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of what's shown:
Key Chart Elements:
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
Two FVG zones are marked in pink rectangles, one around the mid-3,300s and another lower down.
These indicate imbalance zones where price moved rapidly and may return to fill the gap.
SSL (Sell-side Liquidity):
Marked below current price action, suggesting a possible liquidity sweep (stop-hunt) before a reversal.
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity):
Marked above current price (near 3,400), indicating potential target zone for a bullish move.
Price Projection Path:
A zig-zag black line illustrates a projected bullish move:
Dip below current price to sweep SSL.
Quick recovery into FVG.
Break of structure and move higher.
Final target near 3,400 (BSL).
Support & Resistance Zones:
Marked in pink rectangles, showing historical reaction levels and potential areas of interest.
News Event Symbol:
Appears at the bottom of the chart, likely signaling upcoming macroeconomic data that could influence volatility.
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bullish bias after a liquidity sweep below the recent lows (SSL), aiming for a rally toward 3,400 (BSL). The FVG zones may act as resistance-turned-support or retracement targets on the way up.
XAUUSD/GOLD Geopolitical conflicts have escalated again. Next week is a week of heavy news. How will the gold price focus next week? How to trade? Look at the news preview first.
1. Geopolitics, Russia-Ukraine conflict, Palestine-Israel conflict, Iran-Israel conflict.
2. ADP data, NFP data.
3. Tariff deadline.
The above three news are enough to cause drastic fluctuations in the gold price.
On Friday, the New York market followed my expectations. After rebounding around 3282, it fell back. Finally closed around 3274.
The impact of the weekend news is huge. From the news perspective, the opening price of next Monday will be higher than the closing price on Friday. In terms of operation, you can pay attention to buying at a low price after the market opens.
#XAU/USD SELL TRADE SETUP [SHORT]In this analysis we're focusing on 2H timeframe. As we know, Gold is moving in a strong bearish trend. The best selling zone is 3295 - 3305 key levels area. If gold encounters rejection from this zone, we can anticipate a potential decline in price towards its targeted levels.
Target 1:3260
Target 2:3250
Target 3:3240
Wait for a retracement to sell with strong confirmation and proper risk management.
#GOLD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
XAUUSD Nears Key Rejection ZoneHello all dear traders!
Currently, XAUUSD is still in a clear downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows – a characteristic of a market controlled by sellers. Now the price is rebounding to an important resistance zone – which was previously a demand zone but was broken. It coincides with the EMA cluster and falls right into a technical confluence area. This is a very typical "retest" before the price continues to fall.
If you have experience, you will know: there is nothing more dangerous than buying in a downtrend, just because the price is recovering.
On the macro side, the current context is not favorable for gold: Middle East tensions have temporarily subsided, the USD is recovering slightly, US bond yields are still high, and US inflation data is showing signs of cooling down. That is: gold is losing its role as a haven and a hedge against risks – money will gradually withdraw from gold if there are no more unexpected fluctuations.
Given the convergence of these technical and fundamental factors, I am leaning strongly towards a continuation of the downside, with the possibility of a further decline towards the lower boundary of the channel. Traders should wait for a clear price reaction at the resistance zone – if they see a strong rejection signal (e.g. pinbar, engulfing candle, or exhausted volume), it is a very good opportunity to enter a position.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Just a quick post with a revised area of interest on the 4 hour chart. I will check to see how the overnight charts do for gold's direction. I will post during the end of the London session or when the Pre NY volume comes in tomorrow morning. Be well and trade the trend. Big G gets a shout out and all my thanks. Thank you so much and don't get caught trading in the range, wait for a break and close and if the lower time frames match up, see if the set up plays out. DYOR and never try to force or rush a trade. I did all that years ago and just lost money and / or blew threw the account.