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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

XAUUSD 1M1. Elliott Wave Analysis Wave 5 Completion at 1.618 Extension (2,747.14): The chart shows Wave 5 peaking at $2,747.14, corresponding to a 1.618 Fibonacci extension. This level is typically a significant reversal point, suggesting potential for a corrective move downwards. ABC Corrective Pattern Projection: After the completion of Wave 5, an A-B-C correction is projected. The expected trajectory shows a downward movement to the liquidity void zone, followed by a potential retracement up in a Wave B before a final decline in Wave C. 2. Wyckoff Distribution and Accumulation Phases Phase B (Accumulation - $1,046.23 to $1,920.80): This region marks the accumulation phase with a Sign of Weakness (SOW) in Phase B, where price forms a base before starting the upward trend. Notably, price action within this phase shows consolidation, preparing for a breakout. Phase C (Mark-Up): After the accumulation, price enters the mark-up phase, breaking past resistance and forming new highs. This phase is highlighted by significant upward momentum, taking the price into higher Wyckoff distribution phases. Distribution Pattern in Recent Highs: The recent highs around $2,747.14 align with Upthrust (UT) and Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD) signals, suggesting the end of the mark-up phase and a shift towards potential distribution. 3. Key Fibonacci Levels and Extensions 1.236 Extension (2,744.68): This level is another Fibonacci extension associated with Wave 5, acting as a point of possible reversal. Volume divergence at this level further indicates potential weakness in upward momentum. 0.618 Retracement (Inducement Wave 4): A 0.618 retracement from the previous lows serves as a key support level. If price retraces here during the corrective phase, it may offer a possible entry for continuation trades. 4. Liquidity Zones and Order Blocks Liquidity Void (3M): There’s a liquidity void in the three-month time frame, which price might revisit during the corrective move. This void represents an inefficiency where price could fill gaps created by the upward trend, making it an area of interest for re-entries. Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): The Buy-Side Liquidity area near the recent highs includes stop losses and limit orders, making it a zone where institutional players might target liquidity. 5. Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Line - BC Distribution (1,920.80): This level acts as a strong resistance line in the accumulation phase. If price revisits this area, it may encounter selling pressure. Support Line - AR Distribution (1,525.84): The support around $1,525.84 represents the Automatic Rally (AR) point in the Wyckoff structure, marking a potential level of demand if price retraces to this level. 6. Break of Structure (BOS) BOS in Wave 3 (12M): The Break of Structure in Wave 3 on the 12-month chart indicates a potential shift in the trend’s momentum, suggesting possible trend continuation or reversal. BOS within Phase B (3M): Another BOS is marked in Phase B, highlighting a structural shift in sentiment. This often leads to an uptrend or a change in market direction as the BOS level confirms a key pivot point. 7. Dealing Ranges and Key Points of Control (POC) Dealing Range (12M-3M): This range, spanning the recent swing highs and lows, establishes boundaries within which price is expected to fluctuate. The Point of Control (POC) within this range often corresponds with areas of high volume, which could act as pivotal zones for price movement. Current Trend (Dealing Range for Wave 4): The range defined for Wave 4 provides insight into ongoing price action. Watching for breakouts or breakdowns within this range could indicate the next potential trend direction. 8. Proposed Trading Plan for Upcoming Weeks Short-Term Correction Expected: With Wave 5 likely completed, a corrective A-B-C structure appears probable. This suggests a short-term downtrend toward lower support zones. Target Zones: Downside: Potential retracements to $1,920.80 and $1,525.84 are key areas to monitor. These support levels could act as potential bounce points or re-entry zones if the price holds. Upside Resistance: If price revisits the recent highs near $2,747.14, look for bearish setups, as this level may act as strong resistance in the corrective phase. Volume and Divergence: Watch for volume divergence or signs of weakness at the 1.618 and 1.236 extensions to gauge the potential for continued reversal. This can provide additional confirmation for trend reversal setups. Summary of Key Observations Wave 5 completion at $2,747.14 suggests corrective phase ahead. Wyckoff Distribution structure signals potential downside with liquidity voids targeted. Key Support and Resistance zones at $1,920.80 and $1,525.84. Expected A-B-C Correction aligns with price filling previous gaps and testing support.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by spacedevil
My #2,800.80 Medium-term Target approachingTechnical analysis: Gold has formed one narrow and one wider Ascending Channel on the Hourly 4 and Daily chart. Since Price-action broke above the #2,772.80 first Resistance with force (and comfortably Trading above it), the Hourly 4 chart’s reversal crossed into a Bullish territory, and with DX easing Overbought levels near #5-Week High's (struggling to make Bullish comeback for more than #2-session horizon), Buyers re-appeared as Gold entered the Bullish formation, with #2,792.80 - #2,800.80 as an Target extension zone. On the other hand, Selling response was expected regardless as Price-action broken the upper Bollinger bands line (last time such scenario occurred is on the September #23 fractal) and even though Technically Gold should stage serious correction already near #2,772.80, Gold is fulled by Fundamentals as I turned to Short-term Buying besides Medium-term also. As such any #10-point pullback towards nearby Support and apparent rejection remains an additional Buying opportunity. Unless the strong Support breaks (#2,772.80), Bullish sentiment remains intact however personally, break of Support could arise Sellers which could fill #2,752.80 psychological barrier on the way down, however Buying extension is far from over where #2,800.80 test remains Intra-day possibility. My position: I am Highly satisfied with my both Medium-term Buying orders (#2.0 and #3.0 Volume), both engaged on #2,712.80 with #2,800.80 benchmark as an optimal Target (this will be #3rd time to book #100-point Profit on same two orders since #2,500's). I also turned to Buying from #2,772.80 as I keep my Buying order with Stop on breakeven until #2,800.80 is realized. Do not Sell Gold at all costs even though Technically Gold is strong Sell option as sequence is solely trapping more and more Sellers on Daily basis.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
Gold soared amid U.S. election instability and geopolitical riskSpot gold prices surpassed $2,770 on Wednesday as market participants sought safety ahead of significant data releases and the upcoming U.S. elections. The precious metal gained momentum before Wall Street opened, accelerating after the release of U.S. data. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index rose to 108.7 in October, up from 99.2 in September. The present situation index increased to 138.0, while the expectations index surged to 89.1, well above the 80 threshold that typically signals an impending recession. Personal opinion: XAU/USD has pulled back slightly from a new high but is still holding most of its gains for the day, trading around $2,766. The technical indicators on the daily chart still suggest that a further bullish trend could continue, indicating the possibility of another price increase in the near future. Pay attention to the price range: Buy Zone: 2746 - 2744 SL: 2739 Buy Zone: 2760 - 2758 SL: 2753 Sell Zone: 2794 - 2796 SL: 2801
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
1
XAUUSD: Preparing for a bullish reversal.Gold is about to go from neutral to bearish on its 4H timeframe (RSI = 45.410, MACD = -2.540, ADX = 22.042) as after breaking under its 4H MA50, it has failed to cross it on two attempts. This pullback is part of the techical bearish wave of the 3 month Channel Up and it is the 3rd in total. The two waves before that found a bottom near the 0.382 Fibonacci level and we are already just over that level. We expect some more sideways movement and ideally when the 4H RSI hits 35.000, begin the bullish reversal. Our aim is a minimum of +7.00% rise (TP = 2,900) for the next HH. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by InvestingScope
Mastering the Risk/Reward Ratio: A Key to Trading ProfitabilityMastering the Risk/Reward Ratio: A Key to Trading Profitability In the world of trading, achieving success isn't merely about selecting the right stocks or making spot-on predictions. True profitability lies in managing risk effectively, a skill that can be the difference between sustained growth and heavy losses. A primary tool for this is the risk/reward ratio—a fundamental element in a trader’s toolkit. This metric helps traders maintain discipline and clarity, ensuring each trade has a strong potential for profit while keeping possible losses in check. Whether you’re new to trading or have years of experience, understanding and using the risk/reward ratio can transform your approach. It’s not about maximizing the number of wins but ensuring that the rewards consistently outweigh the risks. Here, we’ll explore how this ratio impacts trading strategy and why it’s critical for long-term success. Understanding the Risk/Reward Ratio The risk/reward ratio is a straightforward formula that compares the profit potential of a trade to its possible loss. Essentially, it answers the question: How much can I gain for every dollar I risk? For example, if you're willing to risk $100 for a possible $300 gain, your risk/reward ratio is 1:3, meaning you could make $3 for every $1 at risk. Example of a 1:3 risk-reward ratio in EUR/USD This concept encourages traders to evaluate the potential downside of a trade before jumping in, moving away from focusing solely on potential gains. By keeping a balanced view of risk and reward, traders can avoid seemingly attractive trades that may carry excessive risk, enabling them to approach the market with a disciplined, long-term mindset. Why Risk/Reward Matters Every trade involves risk, and the ability to manage it effectively often differentiates successful traders from those who struggle. Using the risk/reward ratio ensures that each trade is structured with a clear plan, protecting capital while allowing for potential profits. Without this focus on risk, traders may chase high returns without properly assessing the downside, leading to costly mistakes. Combined with tools like stop-loss orders and position sizing, the risk/reward ratio becomes part of a broader risk management strategy. These components work together to balance profit potential with loss control, which is essential for traders aiming to sustain profitability over time. Here you can find a comprehensive article on stop-loss strategies. Risk/Reward Ratio vs. Win Rate A common misconception among novice traders is that trading success depends on winning more trades than losing ones. Experienced traders know that profitability has more to do with how risk is managed in losses than how many wins you achieve. The risk/reward ratio addresses this, making it possible to be profitable even if a trader wins less than half of their trades, as long as the wins are substantial enough to offset the losses. For example, if a trader wins only 40% of the time but maintains a 1:3 risk/reward ratio, the profits from winning trades can cover losses from losing trades while still yielding an overall profit. Here is a comprehensive table comparing risk/reward ratios to win rate profitability. Advantages of a Disciplined Risk/Reward Approach One of the most valuable benefits of using the risk/reward ratio is the structure it brings to trading. It helps traders stay rational and minimizes emotionally driven decisions, such as holding onto losing positions with the hope of a reversal. By maintaining a favorable risk/reward ratio, traders enter each trade with a defined plan, reducing the chance of impulsive, loss-heavy decisions. Furthermore, applying a risk/reward framework ensures that trades are entered only when the reward justifies the risk. Over time, this disciplined approach fosters consistency and sets the stage for more predictable results. Steps to Calculate Risk/Reward Ratio Calculating the risk/reward ratio is a simple yet impactful process that enhances trade planning. Here’s a step-by-step guide: 1- Determine Your Risk: Define the amount you’re willing to lose if the trade moves against you, which is the difference between your entry price and stop-loss level. 2- Define Your Reward: Establish the potential profit if the trade goes in your favor, measured from the entry price to your target profit level. 3- Calculate the Ratio: Divide the potential reward by the potential risk to get your risk/reward ratio. For instance, if you’re buying a stock at $100 with a stop-loss at $95, your risk is $5. If you aim to sell at $115, your reward is $15, giving you a 1:3 risk/reward ratio. Choosing an Ideal Risk/Reward Ratio The ideal risk/reward ratio can vary based on trading style and goals, though many traders aim for a minimum of 1:2 or 1:3. Higher ratios like 1:3 allow for a more forgiving approach to losses, where a trader doesn’t need a high win rate to be profitable. However, shorter-term traders might use lower ratios (e.g., 1:1.5) while aiming for a higher win rate to balance profitability. Ultimately, the best ratio depends on factors like trading frequency, volatility, and risk tolerance. Day traders may prefer a 1:2 ratio, allowing for quicker exits with decent returns. Swing traders, on the other hand, might look for a 1:3 ratio or higher to justify holding positions longer despite potential market fluctuations. Managing Risk with the Right Tools Achieving long-term profitability requires more than just a favorable risk/reward ratio; it also demands effective risk management. Stop-loss orders, for instance, are invaluable for capping potential losses. Placing stops at logical price points, such as below support levels or above resistance levels, helps protect positions without risking premature exits. Similarly, maintaining discipline by skipping trades that don’t meet your risk/reward criteria can prevent excessive losses. Proper position sizing and a detailed trading plan round out this approach, ensuring that each trade aligns with your overall strategy and risk tolerance. Here is a comprehensive guide about the Risk Management Final Thoughts: The Power of the Risk/Reward Ratio in Trading The risk/reward ratio is more than a calculation—it’s a mindset that can lead to stronger, more disciplined trading decisions. By assessing potential risks and rewards before each trade, you can avoid impulsive choices and safeguard your capital. This approach brings clarity and control to trading, even amid market unpredictability. While the risk/reward ratio may be a straightforward tool, its impact is profound. Focusing on balancing risk with reward enables traders to protect themselves from major losses while pursuing worthwhile gains. The next time you plan a trade, remember to ask: “Does this meet my risk/reward criteria?” If not, stepping back could be the wisest move. Risk management is essential for lasting success, and the risk/reward ratio serves as a constant guide. Consistently applying this ratio fosters discipline, confidence, and, ultimately, greater profitability in your trading journey. ✅ Please share your thoughts about this article in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my post. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by FOREXN1
1
XAUUSD 4H Key Considerations for the 2024 U.S. Election High-Level Observations and Zones Dealing Range (12M-3M) and PMH: This range, marked at the top, represents a high timeframe dealing range and a recent swing high (PMH). The upper boundary, around 2,790, coincides with the inducement wave, suggesting that a strong resistance or potential reversal point could be located near this level if the price reaches it. Inducement and Buy Side BSL: Similar to the previous chart, this inducement level suggests a point where liquidity can be captured, potentially triggering a short-term reversal as retail traders get trapped. The Buy Side BSL (Buy Stop Liquidity) above this range marks where buy-side liquidity rests, which could fuel further upside if price breaks through convincingly. Low Resistance Liquidity Run (LRLR): This zone, around 2,745.95, indicates a low-resistance liquidity area where price may move smoothly, suggesting that any breach here could lead to a rapid price movement until encountering the next major liquidity pool. Psychological Level (PSY): This area likely serves as a psychological threshold where traders' sentiment may shift, offering potential support or resistance. Here, it’s positioned near the lower boundary of the recent range. Point of Control (POC) and Volume Profile Analysis: The POC at 2,731.95 represents the price level with the most traded volume in this range, acting as a significant support or resistance. The volume profile shows a high concentration of trading activity around this level, suggesting it’s a key point for institutional interest. Market Structure and Wave Counts Corrective Structure (Elliott Wave): The chart illustrates an ongoing corrective structure with multiple subwaves labeled (w), (x), (y), etc., suggesting a potential W-X-Y correction. The recent downward movement aligns with this corrective wave, pointing to an extended consolidation phase within a larger bullish setup. Projection of the Motive Phase: After the corrective wave completes, the projected structure on the right shows a potential 5-wave upward sequence (i, ii, iii, iv, v). This projected path, indicated by the labeled wave counts, implies that once the corrective wave completes, a motive phase might drive the price upwards to new highs within the current dealing range. Motive Phase Label: The lower right part of the chart points to a "Motive Phase" which suggests that if the corrective structure plays out and holds above the invalidation point, a bullish impulse might start. This phase typically indicates stronger, trend-aligned moves as opposed to corrective, choppy price action. Key Levels and Fibonacci Zones Discount and Premium Zones: The equilibrium (0.5 Fib) is marked at 2,733.89, a midpoint for potential reversion within this corrective structure. The chart labels a “Discount” zone above this equilibrium level, suggesting a favorable buying opportunity for bulls as long as price remains above key support. 0.382 Fibonacci Level (2,731.95): This level acts as a significant retracement target within the corrective wave structure. Positioned close to the POC, it reinforces this level as a critical area for potential buy-side interest if price revisits it. Premium and Invalidation Levels: The premium area is below the 0 level (2,724.70), which aligns with the invalidation point. A drop below this point would negate the bullish setup and signal potential downside continuation, making it a key reference for managing risk. Strategic Levels for Trading Decisions Bullish Entry Zone: The POC and 0.382 level serve as attractive points for entering long positions, with tight risk management below the invalidation level. These levels, backed by volume and Fibonacci retracement, provide a favorable risk-reward setup. Upside Targets: The primary target for bullish continuation is the Buy Side BSL and Dealing Range high at 2,790.08. If this level is broken, further upside toward the psychological level around 2,803.68 (near the top of the chart) could be expected. Potential Triggers for Reversals: If price hits the inducement level near 2,790 and shows signs of rejection, a short-term reversal could occur. This would provide an opportunity for traders to either exit long positions or potentially enter shorts with stops above recent highs. Additional Notes Volume and Market Sentiment: The volume bars show higher activity at key reversal points, especially during wave transitions, highlighting areas of potential institutional interest. Structural Patterns: The corrective nature of the current price action, combined with the projection for a motive phase, indicates that the market is consolidating within a bullish trend, awaiting a breakout. In summary, this chart outlines a bullish structure with corrective waves currently in play. Traders may look for long entries around the POC (2,731.95) or upon the breakout of key liquidity zones (2,790.08), targeting the dealing range highs. However, the invalidation level at 2,724.70 must hold to maintain this bullish outlook.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by spacedevil
1
Strong gold will continue to challenge the 2800 mark Gold prices continued to rise today, and have hit a record high of $2,790 per ounce so far, with the technical upward trend remaining intact. The technical signal is clear, that is, bulls are dominant and the trend is long. We had already intervened and followed up before the price broke through the previous high yesterday. After profit-taking, we continued to follow up and look bullish today. The US election is getting closer, and the uncertainty before and after it is bound to increase the market's risk aversion sentiment. At this stage, the time has not yet arrived for the shorts to fully release their momentum, and even if there is a retracement, the trend cannot be reversed. Moreover, we can also see from recent economic data that the Fed's expectations for interest rate cuts have not decreased, and the probability of subsequent interest rate cuts and large interest rate cuts is still there, that is, there are factors supporting the further rise in gold prices. During the rise in gold prices, the world's largest gold ETF saw a reduction in holdings yesterday (-1.72 tons), and the silver ETF saw a reduction in holdings on the 28th (-19.85 tons). This data is only for reference and is not the only basis for judging the trend of gold and silver. Today, Wednesday, the U.S. October ADP employment (small non-farm) and third quarter GDP data will be released in the evening. If the data is higher than expected, it will theoretically have a negative impact on the price of gold, otherwise it will push it up. According to the "Multi-cycle Super Trend Indicator", the upper pressure in the short term is around $2,785, which has been broken through, and further extension can be seen at $2,800 and $2,805. The first support below is $2,772, and then $2,764. Especially in the current month-end period, there is always a time when the power of gold prices is exhausted in the slow rise, so it is necessary to pay attention to the sharp decline after the price approaches or breaks through the $2,800 mark. Last Wednesday, the price of gold hit a new high, and then it was under pressure to consolidate. The sharp dive in the evening swallowed up all the gains during the day, and the single-day decline was as high as $50. Today is also Wednesday, and the past trend may not be completely repeated, but we have to be vigilant.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Yuliya1l11
Could the Gold bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance level. Pivot: 2,722.29 1st Support: 2,685.29 1st Resistance: 2,758.83 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ICmarkets
11.4 Gold daily line support high position is not guaranteedIn terms of gold, the overall gold price fell last Friday. The highest price rose to 2762.08 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 2733.08, closing at 2734.94. Looking back at the details of the gold market performance last Friday, the price stopped rising in the short term after the opening of the morning session, and then maintained a state of fluctuating rise during the day. At the same time, during the US session, the price rose and fell with the help of data, and then the price continued to fall weakly, and finally ended in a big negative state on the daily line. Today, Monday morning, it opened directly with a gap down. From the low point, the 2731-2734 range is the long-short watershed position at the daily level. Pay attention to the downhill performance of this area in the future. Once it breaks down, the band is expected to be further under pressure in the future. At the same time, from the four-hour level, pay attention to the resistance of the 2755-2756 range for the time being, and wait for the subsequent price to step back and then go short. As long as the price does not temporarily break the high point of last Friday, it will be treated as short first. There are signs of correction in the short term in the one-hour chart. At the same time, the price is in the key support area of ​​the daily chart, so we will wait for the price to fall back and then go short. Once the price breaks below the 2731-2734 area, it is expected to be under further pressure.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by David_strategy
1
Waiting to buy from 2715-2710 zone.Gold price omticially decreased - legallzed adjustment with the US presidential election. The US economy will have a new breeze- boosting the economy and other investment areas. Gold will wait for the next interest rate information. Personally- Gold is still Bullish and we can expect Bull Move till 2747-57.. SET UP TO TRADE💞✨ SELL GOLD zone: $2757 - $2759 SL 2763 TP 2750 TP 2740 TP 2735 SELL GOLD zone: $2771 - $2773 SL 2778 TP1 2765 TP2 2750 TP3 2740 BUY GOLD zone $2715 -2710 SL 2706 TP1 2725 TP2 2732 TP3 2740 ALSO do your own Analysis..On All Time Frames 💞Have a Profitable Weekend
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Brain_Trades
NOVEMBER 2024 OUTLOOKTechnical Analysis At a local high of $2,736, the gold markets demonstrates a robust upward trend with key technical indicators reflecting bullish momentum. Immediate resistance levels are anticipated near the psychological markers of $2,750 and $2,800. These round numbers often attract significant trading interest and can act as natural resistance levels as traders look to lock in profits. If we manage to surpass these levels, the next possible resistance zone may be around $2,850, where the market might encounter another wave of selling interest. On the support side, the nearest level is around $2,700, which could serve as a safety net if the price experiences a short-term pullback. Should gold dip further, the $2,650 level may offer additional support, aligning with zones where buyers have historically shown interest. This current uptrend is further confirmed by the positioning of the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, both well below the current price. The 50-day MA, likely near $2,600, serves as a dynamic support level in the short term, while the 200-day MA around $2,500 supports the long-term bullish structure. Indicators reinforce this trend, with the RSI likely approaching or exceeding 70, suggesting that the asset may be in overbought territory. This level indicates a strong bullish presence but also warns of potential profit-taking or consolidation in the near term. Meanwhile, the MACD remains positive, confirming strong upward momentum. However, declining histogram bars could hint at slowing momentum, signaling that the asset might enter a consolidation phase before deciding on its next direction. Fundamental Analysis The current elevated price level of gold reflects ongoing concerns around inflation, global economic stability, and demand for safe-haven assets. Inflation remains a driving force in the gold market, as investors often turn to gold as a hedge against rising prices, preserving purchasing power during inflationary periods. Should inflationary pressures persist, they are likely to sustain demand for gold, supporting its price at higher levels. Additionally, central bank policies play a crucial role in influencing gold prices. If the Federal Reserve or other major central banks signal a more dovish stance—such as a pause or reduction in interest rate hikes—gold could attract even more buyers, as lower rates tend to reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Global market instability is another significant factor, with geopolitical tensions and slowing economic growth driving investors toward safer assets. With concerns over potential economic downturns, gold becomes more attractive as a reliable store of value. Currency dynamics, particularly the strength of the US dollar, also play a pivotal role. Gold prices and the dollar generally have an inverse relationship; thus, any weakness in the dollar can support gold’s upward trajectory. As the dollar faces potential depreciation amidst global uncertainties, this relationship could further bolster the gold markets. Finally, seasonal trends also come into play. Historically, November can see increased volatility in gold as markets adjust positions ahead of the year-end. Demand for safe-haven assets often rises during this period, providing additional support for gold prices. This combination of inflation concerns, central bank policy shifts, economic uncertainties, and seasonal influences is likely to maintain high demand for gold through November, with room for additional gains if these factors persist. Long Term Projections Bullish Scenario: If XAU/USD maintains support above $2,700 and demand remains strong, a push toward $2,850 and possibly $2,900 could occur, particularly if global uncertainty rises or inflation expectations grow. Bearish Scenario: If the price falls below $2,700, a pullback toward $2,650 or even $2,600 could ensue. Bearish momentum may pick up if the dollar strengthens unexpectedly or if economic stability improves. Consolidation: Given the high RSI, consolidation between $2,700 and $2,750 may occur if traders take profits and wait for new catalysts before pushing prices higher.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingsFX_official