Gold is coiling for a breakout... All eyes on the next move!📉 Gold is currently moving within a minor descending channel.
In yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out the potential for a drop. Now, after a period of range-bound movement, I expect a breakout from this channel and a return to the main trend.
🎯 The first target on a reversal would be the top of the minor channel.
Keep a close eye on price action here — this zone could be key for the next move
OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Market next target 🟥 Disrupted (Bearish or Cautious) Analysis:
1. Failed Bullish Attempt Risk
While a bounce from the support zone (~3,260 USD) is visible, the momentum lacks strong bullish confirmation. The rejection from the support area could be a dead-cat bounce, especially since the overall trend leading into this zone was sharply downward.
2. Volume Divergence
The volume spike on the large red candle suggests heavy selling pressure, not accumulation. The weak follow-up volume on the minor green recovery bars indicates a lack of buyer confidence.
3. False Breakout Possibility
If price does push toward the “Target” or even the “Resistance” zone (3,290–3,310), it might be a bull trap, luring late buyers in before a reversal back downward.
4. Bearish Continuation Scenario
Price may retest the support zone (3,260) again.
If this support breaks decisively, it could trigger a strong sell-off, with potential to test lower zones around 3,240 or even 3,200.
GOLD Core PCE Price Index (month-over-month): rose by 0.2%, above the forecast of 0.1% and the previous 0.1% reading. This indicates a slight acceleration in the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, with the annual core PCE inflation rising to about 2.7% year-over-year, above expectations of 2.6%.
Personal Income (month-over-month): declined by 0.4%, worse than the forecasted 0.3% increase and down from the previous 0.8% rise. This drop suggests a weakening in household income growth.
Market and Policy Implications:
The uptick in core PCE inflation signals that underlying price pressures remain somewhat persistent, complicating the Fed’s path toward its 2% inflation target.
The decline in personal income could weigh on consumer spending going forward, potentially slowing economic growth.
The US Dollar Index reacted by edging lower, reflecting market caution amid mixed inflation and income data.
Fed officials, including Chair Powell, have emphasized a cautious approach, suggesting no immediate rate cuts until inflation dynamics become clearer.
Summary:
Core inflation is ticking up slightly, reinforcing inflation concerns, while personal income weakness points to potential softening in consumer demand. This mixed data supports a Fed stance of patience, with markets pricing in a moderate chance of rate cuts later in 2025 but expecting continued vigilance..
China Hong Kong gold vault hints at a geopolitical shift, as the Shanghai Gold Exchange's expansion, aims to enhance China's gold trading infrastructure and challenge Western dominance, potentially impacting demand and supply of physical gold need.
#GOLD
Catching the Perfect Rebound on XAUUSD!Hi traders! , Currently analyzing GOLD (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe.
Price has dropped aggressively but is now reacting strongly from a key support zone around 3,271.00, where buyers are stepping in. This area has previously shown significant bullish reactions.
I'm now buying from 3,271.00, expecting a bullish correction towards my target.
Take Profit: 3,377.00
Stop Loss: 3,165.00
RSI is in oversold, indicating potential exhaustion of sellers.
Price may have created a fake breakout below the trendline, trapping liquidity before bouncing back.
Currently managing the trade, watching how price develops around this key area.
Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. This is my personal analysis shared for educational purposes only.
Gold sell ideaGold is rebounding after sweeping Friday's low liquidity, driven by a weak dollar. Despite the upside move, the 1-hour structure remains bearish. We anticipate a potential false breakout above $3,307.00 followed by a sell-off back to the $3,271.00 lows. If the bulls can regain control, gold may bounce back and resume its growth. However, failure to do so could lead to a decline towards the $3,245 support level
GOLD China Hong Kong gold vault hints at a geopolitical shift, as the Shanghai Gold Exchange's expansion, aims to enhance China's gold trading infrastructure and challenge Western dominance, potentially impacting demand and supply of physical gold need.
3380-3385 triggered but be cautious
wait at 3350-3355 as next demand zone for 70pips or more
Gold Trade Plan 27/06/2025Dear Traders,
📉 XAUUSD Technical Analysis – June 27, 2025
On the 4-hour chart, Gold has faced selling pressure after testing the resistance at 3359, and is now correcting down toward the key support zone at 3250–3280.
📌 Key Support Zone: 3250 – 3280
📌 Major Resistance: 3359
🔹 The price is currently testing the lower edge of this support zone. If we see bullish reversal candles (such as a hammer or bullish engulfing) in this area, we may expect a bounce back toward the rising trendline or even a retest of the 3359 level.
🔻 However, if the 3250 support fails to hold, a deeper drop toward 3200 or lower could follow.
🛑 The U.S.–China agreement news could have a direct impact on gold’s corrective trend. Caution is advised when entering trades.
Expected reversal/resistance zone price may react here with sellChart Overview:
Instrument: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 4-hour
Price at time of screenshot: 3,321.910 USD
🔍
Key Zones & Labels:
🟡
Supply Zone
(Top - Yellow Area):
Around 3,440 – 3,460
Expected reversal/resistance zone; price may react here with selling pressure.
🟩
Strong Support
(Green Area):
Near 3,390 – 3,400
Former support zone that may act as resistance on retracement (support-turned-resistance).
🟧
Demand Zone
(Bottom - Pink Area):
Around 3,280 – 3,310
Strong buying interest shown; price likely to reverse or consolidate in this zone.
🧠
Annotated Insights:
BOS (Break of Structure):
Indicates a bearish structure shift before price tapped into the demand zone.
Liquidity Sweep:
The note says:
“They sweep the Liquidity right now it’s going to bullish”
Suggests stop-losses below demand were taken out (liquidity grab), hinting at a potential bullish reversal.
Projection (Gray Arrows):
Shows two possible price paths:
Rejection at strong support and continuation to supply zone.
Direct move from demand to supply zone.
📌
Purpose of Chart:
This chart is likely used for Smart Money Concept (SMC) or Institutional Order Flow analysis, showing:
Liquidity zones
Structure breaks
Probable bullish reversal
High Probability BUY Zone at The Edge📍 XAUUSD – High Probability BUY Zone at The Edge
Gold is currently reacting at a high probability BUY area, supported by multiple technical confluences:
✅ $3,300 Round Number: Psychological level and historical reaction zone
✅ Completion of 2nd Bearish Leg: A classic two-leg correction often signals exhaustion
✅ Retest of Uptrend Boundary: Long-term ascending trendline that has supported price since March
📌 Entry: Current price zone
🎯 TP1: Local highs ($3,353)
🎯 TP2: Mid-channel or upper resistance zone ($3,398)
❌ SL: 3263
This is a textbook trend continuation setup — the structure remains bullish unless proven otherwise.
Wait for confirmation or manage your risk accordingly.
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#XAUUSD #Gold #ForexTrading #MJTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BuyZone #SwingTrade #SupportZone #TrendlineSupport #SmartMoney #PriceAction #ForexSignals #CommodityTrading #MarketStructure #RiskReward #ChartSetup #ForexCommunity
GOLD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,295.36 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold in a Pause – Pullback or Opportunity?Hey traders!
What’s your take on gold today?
Gold is currently in a pullback phase after its recent rally, hovering around $3,278 with the $3,300 level acting as short-term resistance.
On Friday, the US dollar gained momentum while Treasury yields climbed across the curve, putting pressure on the yellow metal. In addition, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have eased following a ceasefire between Israel and Iran — further reducing gold’s safe-haven appeal.
📊 On the chart, bearish momentum seems to be in control for now, with $3,300 emerging as a key zone. For sellers, it could be a solid entry on a retest. For buyers, it might serve as a perfect bounce zone if bullish momentum returns.
So, which side are you on?
Drop your thoughts below — and as always, happy trading!
XAUUSD – Smart Money Flow & Weekly OutlookGold reacted precisely at the key OB zone near 3270. Following a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the H4, Smart Money may be redistributing positions.
🔍 Main scenario:
Price is expected to retrace to the 3349–3360 OB zone, where strong sell-side reactions may occur.
If that fails, the next likely move is a drop toward the high-liquidity demand zone at 3215, where buyers could re-enter.
📰 Key macro drivers:
Final GDP and PCE data show slight economic cooling in the US, reinforcing expectations that the Fed will maintain higher-for-longer rates.
Trump’s recent comments stir political uncertainty, increasing safe-haven demand for gold.
🎯 Strategy:
Look for confirmed short setups near 3349–3360.
Consider longs at 3215 if strong bullish reaction forms.
Gold Price Analysis June 25The Daily Candle shows a strong selling force breaking out of the 3-day accumulation zone. Gold hits the support zone of 3296 and bounces towards the resistance zone of 3342. Today, there is unlikely to be a rebound, there is a possibility of an increase in the Asian session and the European session, and the US session will return to the Selling force.
The recovery from 3296 towards 3342, some selling force may appear around 3342, forming a strong bearish structure. The Bearish Wave Structure will weaken if it breaks 3342. The 3363 area is still noteworthy for SELL signals.
The market closed above 3363, confirming the break of the downtrend and heading towards the resistance zone of 3388. The bottom support of 3302 will help prevent a temporary decline before heading towards the target of 3278.
XAUUSD – Short-Term Decline, Long-Term Bullish AccumulationAfter a sharp drop of over 1,250 pips yesterday, gold reacted at the key demand zone around 3,300, where initial buying pressure has emerged. The chart still shows a valid short-term downtrend, but this area also aligns with the lower boundary of a long-term channel—previously a launch point for significant upward moves.
Currently, XAUUSD is consolidating below multiple unfilled Fair Value Gaps, awaiting a confirmed breakout toward the 3,361.500 region to potentially reverse the trend.
In terms of news, tensions in the Middle East escalated as the U.S. launched airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, triggering strong volatility in gold. Upcoming key U.S. economic data—including quarterly GDP and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, Core PCE—will play a crucial role in determining whether gold has the momentum to break out or remains in consolidation.
For now, the short-term bias remains bearish, but buyers are quietly accumulating strength for a potential long-term rally.
Gold Targets $3,390 as Bullish Momentum BuildsOANDA:XAUUSD is gaining traction after forming a bullish cup pattern on the H2 chart. Prices are approaching the key resistance at $3,390 — a level that previously triggered strong sell-offs.
A breakout above this zone could confirm bullish continuation, while short-term pullbacks toward $3,300–$3,285 may offer re-entry opportunities. The market is currently supported by a weaker USD and improved risk sentiment.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Scalping Strategy Using BOS & OB | Gold Spot | by Mohsen MozafarDescription:
> This is a 30-minute scalping setup on Gold Spot (XAU/USD), based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) — focusing on Break of Structure (BOS) and Order Blocks (OB).
Analysis and strategy are prepared by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad.
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📊 Market Context:
Current Structure: Bearish
Short-Term Market Structure: MSU (Market Structure Up)
Efficiency: Confirmed (clean price action & response zones)
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🧠 Technical Highlights:
1. Double BOS confirms recent shifts in momentum
2. TLQ (Top Liquidity Quest) formed after HH (Higher High) and liquidity sweep
3. Key Demand OB identified (labeled A) — valid based on BOS confirmation
4. Expecting a bounce from OB (A) towards (B) as a reaction to unfilled imbalance
5. Potential drop from TLQ zone (B) to (C) if liquidity is fully absorbed
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🎯 Scalping Plan:
Entry Zone:
Order Block at (A), waiting for CHoCH or bullish price action confirmation
(preferably on lower timeframe like M5)
Stop Loss:
Just below OB (around 3327)
Take Profits:
TP1: Near TLQ / Extreme zone (B)
TP2: Further liquidity grab or possible continuation above previous HH
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❗ Alternative Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold at OB (A) and breaks below 3327 with BOS,
→ short opportunity opens toward new lows at 3314–3310 (labeled C).
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✅ Summary:
This is a clean scalping setup following SMC principles:
BOS → OB → Liquidity → Reaction
Focus on structure, precision, and quick confirmation signals.
Prepared by:
📌 Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
Gold expectation 1HGold should retest this price support line (in green) in its route to rejoining the channel for its destination. It broke out of structure due to news that came out, but buyers are making it return to its original path. Some nice strong buys are expected, so please watch for confimations as we go. #BuyTheBull