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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Strong Bullish Move Expected XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Strong Bullish Move Expected from Support Zone Date: July 29, 2025 Chart Type: Price Action | Smart Money Concept (SMC) | Volume Profile 🧠 Educational Breakdown: 1. Strong Support Zone (Demand Area): Price has entered a clearly marked strong support zone around $3,270 - $3,292. This zone has previously acted as a major demand level, where buyers stepped in to reverse bearish pressure. High volume node from the Volume Profile on the left confirms significant historical interest in this price region. 2. BOS – Break of Structure: Multiple Break of Structures (BOS) throughout the uptrend confirm bullish market intent. The recent decline appears corrective, not impulsive, suggesting a potential bullish continuation. 3. Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG): A Bullish FVG is visible just above current price, acting as a magnet for price action. This imbalance is often targeted before further market movement, supporting the idea of an upcoming bullish move. 4. Liquidity Grab Setup: Price dipped into the support area likely to sweep liquidity (stop losses) before a reversal. This is a common Smart Money trap, where institutional players grab liquidity before moving the market in the intended direction. 5. Target Zone: A clear target is set around $3,418, aligning with previous highs and potential Buy-Side Liquidity. The projected move represents a clean higher high, following the higher low formed at the support zone. Confirmation: Wait for bullish engulfing or displacement candle on lower timeframe (M15-H1). Volume Support: Look for rising volume during the reversal to confirm smart money participation. 📘 Conclusion: Gold (XAUUSD) is showing a textbook bullish reversal setup from a high-demand zone. With strong structural support, fair value gap targeting, and buy-side liquidity above, the setup favors bullish continuation toward $3,418.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
Smart Money concepts (SMC) Positive points of the analysis: 1. Clarity in the market structure (CHoCH + BOS): It is clear that the market made a CHoCH and then confirmed it with a Break of Structure (BOS), which validates the downward trend change. 2. Well-identified fake out: The "fake out" just after the BOS and within the 1H-OB is typical institutional behavior. This bullish wick is a trap to induce liquidity before the fall. Excellent reading. 3. Confluence zone (1H-OB + 1H-FVG): The price rises to mitigate the 1H-FVG within the 1H-OB, providing a very good entry opportunity. Furthermore, this occurs within the resistance zone, which gives it even more weight. 4. Support zone and target at 3310: The TP is very well projected at 3310, just below the current support zone. If it breaks that zone, it is highly likely that it will reach the target.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Fonseca87
Gold’s Wild Ride: A Trader’s Take on What’s NextHey Fellow Traders! 👋 Gold’s been an absolute beast this week, smashing through both buyers and sellers like it’s playing a high-stakes game of market whack-a-mole! 😅 After Wednesday’s wild moves and today’s follow-up, Gold’s keeping us all guessing. Right now, I’m not locking in a long-term bias—Gold’s too unpredictable for that. But here’s the exciting part: I’m eyeing a short-term long opportunity. Why? The price just dipped into a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and tagged a Breaker, setting up a potential bounce. 📈 My plan? I’m expecting Gold to sweep up the highlighted liquidity and charge toward the 4H Inversion Fair Value Gap (IFVG). Once it hits that zone, I’ll be glued to the charts, watching for its reaction to decide the next move. 🧐 As always, trade smart! Set your stops, size your positions wisely, and don’t let Gold’s volatility catch you off guard. Protect your capital first—always! 💡 What’s your take on Gold right now? Are you jumping on this setup or waiting for more confirmation? Drop your thoughts in the comments below, give this post a like, and follow for more updates! 👇 Let’s keep the trading convo going! 🔥
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Mr_Masab
XAU/USD /IDEAGold continues its second consecutive aggressive bullish move, but the structure is beginning to show signs of a potential correction. During this rally, highs and liquidity were taken, and previously unfilled FVG zones from about a month ago have now been filled. I'm watching for a possible correction toward the discount zone around 3360, where the following are located: – A daily FVG – A 4H FVG – 1H Equal Lows, with clear liquidity resting below If price sweeps the liquidity below these equal lows and reacts around 3360, I will anticipate a continuation of the bullish trend. However, if a solid setup forms before that, I may enter a short position targeting 3360, where I’ll be looking to close the trade and potentially position for a reversal. No entry yet – watching closely and waiting for price confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by The_Gold_Syndicate
Gold on the Move – Major Resistance Levels to Watch AheadThe current price action looks strong, and if the bullish momentum continues, we have three main target levels in mind. The first target is $3,380. This is an important level we expect gold to reach soon if the trend continues upward. If the price breaks above $3,380, the next target is $3,433. This level is likely to act as a strong resistance, meaning the price might slow down or pull back here. But if gold can push through it with strength, that’s a strong signal of continued upside. After that, the third target is $3,495, which would mark a strong extension of the current bullish trend. As long as gold stays above key support levels, we believe the bullish outlook remains valid, and these targets are possible in the coming days or weeks.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FXTradingAnalysis
7
Still a chance for gold bulls? 💡Message Strategy The gold market was volatile this week, and gold prices ultimately closed lower for the week. Gold prices have failed to stabilize above $3,400 an ounce after a bullish breakout. The technical outlook highlights the recent indecision of gold bulls. Looking ahead to next week, the Fed's policy statement and US-China trade talks could trigger the next big move for gold. These important factors may trigger the market next week 1. The Fed will announce its monetary policy decision after its policy meeting on July 29-30. Before the Fed meeting, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its first estimate of annualized growth in gross domestic product (GDP) in the second quarter. 2. Next Friday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July employment report. If the non-farm payrolls (NFP) increase by more than 100,000, it may indicate that the labor market is in good enough condition for the Fed to prioritize controlling inflation and support the dollar when making policies. If the new non-farm payrolls data reaches or falls below 70,000, the dollar may find it difficult to find demand before the end of next week and help gold gain bullish momentum. 3. Market participants will be closely watching the headlines of the US-China negotiations. If the two sides make further progress in trade and economic relations, risk flows may dominate the actions of financial markets, making it difficult for gold to find demand. 📊Technical aspects The short-term technical outlook highlights the hesitation among gold buyers. The daily chart shows that the relative strength index (RSI) remains just below 50, and gold is struggling to move away from both the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 50-day SMA after breaking above both levels earlier this week. If the price of gold falls to the key support level of $3,310 and fails to break down (trend line support/Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level), it will force a large number of shorts to exit the market and may further test the $3,340 range (psychological level/Fibonacci 76.4% retracement level). Combined with the current trend, the downward momentum of gold has weakened, and it is seeking support to restart the long position 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3310-3320，SL：3290，Target: 3340
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheodoreSilas
Gold under pressure as USD strengthensGold is facing significant selling pressure as the US dollar regains momentum. Currently, XAU/USD is trading near $3,337, down over $31 from the session high, and pressing directly against the ascending trendline. The stronger USD is making gold—an asset that yields no interest—less attractive to investors. If this dollar strength continues, the likelihood of a trendline break and further downside is very high. On the economic front, U.S. jobless claims have fallen to their lowest level in three months, signaling a resilient labor market despite sluggish hiring. This stable jobs data is expected to support the Fed’s decision to hold interest rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in the upcoming policy meeting, even amid rising inflation pressure driven by President Donald Trump’s tariff policies. At this moment, sellers are in control. Traders should closely watch upcoming support zones and trading volume to spot reasonable entry points. Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
1
Correction in Play, Long-Term BUY Opportunity Ahead XAUUSD 24/07 – Correction in Play, Long-Term BUY Opportunity Ahead 🧭 Market Outlook Gold has dropped sharply from the 343x region, exactly as outlined in yesterday’s plan. Price has broken below the ascending trendline on the H1 chart and is now tapping into lower liquidity zones (FVG + OBS), signaling continuation of the short-term bearish move. Key context to watch: Traders are awaiting final decisions on US global trade policy agreements. Next week’s FOMC meeting may confirm expectations of an interest rate cut. Later today, markets will react to US PMI data and Jobless Claims, which could trigger volatility. 📊 Technical View While the higher timeframe trend (D1/H4) remains bullish, the short-term structure has broken, and the market is now exploring unfilled liquidity pools below. Once these are swept, we anticipate a strong long-term BUY opportunity. 🎯 Trading Plan for Today 📌 Short-Term Strategy: Look for short-term SELL setups on retracements toward resistance zones. Wait for clear rejection signals before entering. 📌 Mid/Long-Term Strategy: Prepare to BUY from major Key Levels once price taps into deep liquidity zones. Ensure confluence and good risk/reward before entering. 🔎 Key Levels to Watch 🔺 Upper Resistance Zones: 3393 – 3404 – 3414 – 3420 – 3428 🔻 Lower Support Zones: 3375 – 3366 – 3352 – 3345 – 3330 🔽 Trade Setups ✅ BUY ZONE: 3352 – 3350 SL: 3345 TP: 3356 → 3360 → 3364 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400 🔻 SELL ZONE: 3414 – 3416 SL: 3420 TP: 3410 → 3406 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380 ⚠️ Risk Reminder No major economic news is scheduled for today, but unexpected political statements or geopolitical tensions could cause price spikes. ✔️ Always follow your SL/TP strictly. ✔️ Avoid entering without solid confirmation. ✔️ Watch how price reacts to the levels above. 📣 Follow MMF on TradingView If this trading roadmap helps your strategy, 📌 Follow the MMF team on TradingView for daily actionable setups, real levels, and no-nonsense analysis based on real market conditions. 🎯 Real trades. Real zones. Real discipline.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold at Key Resistance – Bearish Pullback Ahead?Technical Analysis (2H Chart) 1. Trend Structure: Price is moving in a clear ascending channel (black trend lines). Currently testing the upper boundary of the channel, which may act as resistance. 2. Resistance Zones: $3,431–$3,450: Strong resistance zone. Horizontal resistance at $3,450.73 (marked in red). Price may form a lower high before reversal, as the black arrow suggests. 3. Support Zones: $3,374 – $3,360: Previous structure and demand zone (highlighted green). Strong potential bounce zone if price drops. 4. Price Action Expectation: Possible fakeout or retest near $3,450 → followed by a rejection and drop toward the $3,360 area. Bearish bias indicated by the projected path.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FXNEWSCLUB
Will The Emerging Uncertainties Support Gold Ahead?Macro approach: - XAUUSD advanced this week, supported by broad-based US dollar weakness and reviving safe-haven demand amid rising global trade tensions. The yellow metal briefly reached a five-week high as investors sought safety following headlines of escalating US tariffs and uncertainty over the Fed’s policy direction. - Gold may remain well-supported if risk aversion persists, with upcoming global PMIs and further US trade developments set to guide market direction. Additional Fed commentary and central bank actions could trigger new volatility for XAUUSD throughout the week. Technical approach: - XAUUSD remains above both the EMA21 and EMA78, reflecting ongoing bullish momentum. The recent price action shows consolidation below the resistance at 3430 after rejecting the swing high. In contrast, higher lows have formed above the ascending trendline and the support at 3285. - If XAUUSD stays above the support at 3560, it may extend towards the previous swing high at around 3430 and open for another record high. - On the contrary, if the price drops below the support at 3560 and the ascending trendline, it may retreat toward the following support at 3165. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by DatTong
GOLD continues to correct down, good news from trade situationOANDA:XAUUSD has fallen sharply again, currently trading around $3,360/oz, reflecting the easing of global trade tensions, affecting demand for safe-haven assets. The US Dollar and US Treasury yields have also increased, affecting gold prices. The US Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ), which tracks the greenback against six other currencies, rose to 97.56. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note US10Y rose to 4.386%. The US real yield, calculated by subtracting inflation expectations from nominal interest rates, rose nearly 3.5 basis points to 2.046%. Markets are increasingly optimistic about such deals after the United States and Japan reached a trade deal, and the European Union could be next. In addition, rising stock markets and low volatility have kept gold's gains in check. The United States and the European Union are moving toward a potential trade deal that would include a 15% tariff on EU goods and zero tariffs on some items. The European Commission said Thursday that a negotiated trade solution with the United States is within reach. “Our focus is on reaching a negotiated outcome with the United States,” a European Commission spokesperson told reporters about the EU-U.S. tariff talks. “We believe that such an outcome is achievable.” The European Commission has repeatedly said that its current priority is to reach a deal with the United States to avoid the 30% tariffs that U.S. President Trump has proposed to impose on EU products starting August 1. On the economic data front, initial jobless claims in the United States unexpectedly fell last week, suggesting the job market remains solid. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Thursday that initial jobless claims fell to 217,000 in the week ended July 19, below expectations of 227,000 and down from 221,000 the previous week. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is heading for its third consecutive day of decline since hitting the bullish target level sent to readers in the weekly edition on Sunday at $3,430. Despite the sharp decline, gold still has enough technical conditions for an uptrend given its current position and structure. Specifically, gold is still above the EMA21, which is considered the nearest support at the moment. Along with that, the uptrend price channel is the short-term trend. However, for gold to qualify for a short-term bullish cycle, it needs to be confirmed by price action above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target is $3,400 in the short term, more than $3,430. On the other hand, RSI is still holding above 50, and 50 in this case acts as momentum support. Therefore, gold still has room to rise. In case gold is sold below EMA21, it may suffer a further decline with the next target around $3,310 in the short term, more than $3,300 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level. And if gold loses the support at the 0.382% Fibonacci level, it will qualify for a bearish cycle. Intraday, the current position of gold price is still tilted towards the upside, and the notable price points will be listed as follows. Support: $3,350 – $3,310 – $3,300 Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,430 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3410 →Take Profit 1 3398 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3392 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3329 - 3331⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3326 →Take Profit 1 3337 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3343
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Gold dips on profit-taking, long-term outlook still bullishGold prices continued to decline this morning as investors locked in profits following the precious metal’s recent rally above $3,400. In the short term, further downside is possible if profit-taking persists and capital flows shift toward equities, especially as U.S. stock markets hover near record highs. However, gold remains a favored safe-haven asset for the long run amid ongoing global economic and geopolitical uncertainties. Markets are also turning their focus to the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting on July 29–30. While the Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady this time, many investors still anticipate a potential rate cut in September. A low interest rate environment typically supports non-yielding assets like gold.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
Gold stabilizes. Sets a new high?Gold continues to rise, with uncertainty in trade negotiations and the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting being key variables. If no agreement is reached before August 1, the high tariffs imposed by the United States on major trading partners may trigger greater risk aversion demand, pushing gold prices further up; if the negotiations make a breakthrough, the market risk appetite will rebound, and gold prices may face correction pressure. Gold has shown a strong upward trend recently. It closed with a small positive on Friday last week and closed with positive for two consecutive trading days this week, forming a three-day positive trend, with strong short-term momentum. In terms of indicators, the moving average diverges upward, with obvious bullish trend characteristics, and the support below needs to focus on the moving average performance. At present, the gold price has broken through the trend line formed by connecting the previous high points. The primary focus on the upside is near the previous high of 3452, which is an important short-term resistance level. The upper focus is on the previous high of 3452, which is an important short-term resistance level. The first support below is the 3390-3385 area, which is close to yesterday's low and is also an early trading intensive area. The second support focuses on the vicinity of 3360. In terms of operation, it is still mainly low-long, and short selling is not considered before the upward trend reaches 3450. Operation strategy: Short around 3450, stop loss 3460, profit range 3430-3310 Long around 3400, stop loss 3390, profit range 3420-3430
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jul 28 - Aug 01]This week, OANDA:XAUUSD prices had a positive start, rising sharply from 3,345 USD/oz to 3,439 USD/oz because investors were concerned about the risk of financial market instability when US President Donald Trump continuously pressured the FED Chairman to reduce interest rates, and there were even rumors of the Fed chairman resigning. However, the upward momentum in gold prices was not maintained when the US continuously reached trade agreements with partners such as Japan, Indonesia, Philippines..., cooling down the trade war. This caused gold prices to drop sharply for three consecutive trading sessions, at one point the gold price dropped to 3,325 USD/oz and closed at 3,336 USD/oz. Trade war worries are starting to subside. Therefore, we continue to witness a shift of investment capital flows from gold to risky assets such as stocks.. Notably, this week is the fourth time gold prices broke the $3,400 threshold but did not stay above this level. Next week, in addition to the FED meeting, the market will also receive information about US non-agricultural employment (NFP) data. If this index falls stronger than expected, it will further strengthen expectations that the FED will continue to keep interest rates at the current level in upcoming meetings, causing gold prices to drop even more sharply next week. 📌In terms of technical analysis, the three crows pattern (3 long red candles) appeared on the D1 chart, showing that sellers were still in control throughout the past 3 trading sessions without much buying power. This technical pattern often suggests that gold prices may be shifting from their recent upward trajectory into a more prolonged period of decline. This technical signal also quite coincides with the context of many fundamental factors, such as geopolitical conflicts, trade wars, low physical gold demand in the summer... no longer strongly supporting gold prices as before. However, according to many experts, if the gold price drops sharply, it will be a good opportunity to buy, because the gold price is forecast to still increase strongly in the long term. On the H4 chart, gold price may continue to adjust down below the 3,285 USD/oz mark, before recovering again. Meanwhile, the 3,450 USD/oz area is still a strong resistance level for gold prices next week. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3383 - 3381⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3387 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3316 - 3318⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3312
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
Gold prices are under pressure, focusing on the Fed stormGold prices are under pressure, focusing on the Fed storm Weekly gold price report: The rebound of the US dollar suppresses precious metals, and the market focuses on the Fed's policies and trade negotiations Market review On Friday (July 26), the international gold price was under pressure to fall, with spot gold falling 0.9% to $3,336.01/ounce, and COMEX gold futures closing down 1.1% to $3,335.6/ounce. The US dollar index rebounded from a low of more than two weeks, and the progress in US-EU trade negotiations weakened the demand for safe havens, which jointly suppressed the performance of precious metals. Analysis of core influencing factors The US dollar and trade situation The US-EU trade agreement negotiations have entered a critical stage. The EU said that "the agreement is just around the corner", but member states still approved the potential counter-tariff plan. US President Trump said that he will negotiate with the EU on Sunday, with a probability of 50%. If the agreement is implemented, it may further suppress the safe-haven properties of gold. The recent trade agreement between Japan and the United States also boosted market risk appetite, and funds flowed to risky assets. Fed policy expectations Despite the resilience of the US labor market (initial jobless claims fell to 217,000 last week, the sixth consecutive week of decline), the market generally expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged at its July meeting. Trump has recently pressured the Fed to cut interest rates and even made a rare visit to the Fed headquarters, sparking discussions on policy independence. Some analysts believe that if inflationary pressures ease, the Fed may release dovish signals in the second half of the year. Fund positions and central bank demand As of the week of July 22, hedge funds' net long positions in gold increased to 170,868 contracts, the highest level since April, reflecting the market's long-term concerns about trade tensions. Central bank gold purchase demand still provides structural support for gold prices. Geopolitical dynamics Israeli-Palestinian conflict: Hamas said that the ceasefire negotiations have made progress, but the US statement caused a surprise, and the progress of subsequent negotiations may affect market sentiment. Russia-Ukraine situation: Turkey coordinates all parties to hold a leaders' summit in Turkey. Russia and Ukraine have agreed in principle to meet, and potential peace plans may reduce the safe-haven premium. Outlook for the future Key short-term events: US/EU/China trade negotiations: If progress is optimistic, gold prices may fall to the support level of $3,300/ounce. Federal Reserve July resolution: Pay attention to the policy statement's hints on the path of interest rate cuts and the Fed's response to political pressure. US non-farm data: If the employment data is strong, it may strengthen the expectation of "higher for longer" interest rates. Technical aspect: Near $3,300/ounce may attract buying, but breaking through the previous high requires clearer signals of monetary policy shift. Risk warning: Repeated trade negotiations, escalating geopolitical conflicts or unexpectedly dovish Fed may reverse the decline in gold prices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Crypto_Sniper_btc
Gold (XAU/USD): Supply Zone Rejection & Bearish Breakdown Chart Breakdown: Supply zone rejection: Gold revisited the “supply zone” (light green/grey area) and failed to break above — a classic signal of seller dominance. Uptrend invalidated: A sharp rise (steep black trendline) ended with a peak marked by the green arrow, followed by a decisive breakdown. Ichimoku Cloud test: Prices slipped through the Ichimoku components, reinforcing the shift to bearish sentiment. Potential targets: The red/green risk‑reward box highlights a short position, targeting ~3,347 then ~3,318 levels (blue labels) as initial support zones. Strong supply base: The extensive grey zone below marks a "stronger supply zone" — this could cap any modest bounce and keep the downtrend intact. 🔍 Interpretation: Bias: Bearish — sellers have taken control after a failed breakout. Strategy: Short on rallies toward the mid‑green/red box (~3,373–3,380), targeting ~3,347 first and then ~3,319. Watch for support at the strong supply region (~3,292) for potential reversal or consolidation. Risk management: Keep stop above the red zone—above recent highs (~3,380+) to limit risk. 🚀 In a nutshell: After failing to break supply and losing its short‑term uptrend, gold appears poised for a pullback. The next key levels to watch are ~3,347 and ~3,319—where buyers might step back in, or the downtrend continues toward the deeper supply base.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader