Gold pullback continues to see bulls
In my first article today, I reminded everyone to be careful that gold will stand above the 3300 mark again.
And I also told you to rely on 3255-50 to do more, looking at the upper 3280 and 3300 positions.
Sure enough, after the opening of the European session, gold has made rapid progress, and the highest has reached above 3300 so far.
I also notified the real-time students to enter the market and do more near 3255 during the Asian session, and directly gave the target position of 3300.
At present, the target position of 3300 has been perfectly reached, and I also made a profit of more than 55 US dollars.
From the current 4-hour chart:
It can be found that gold is now completely above the trend line.
The only suppression position above is currently around 3350.
The support below is currently located at 3275-85.
If gold does not retreat, then the upper side will directly test the suppression near 3350.
On the contrary, if gold chooses to retreat next, then just focus on 3275-85.
As long as gold retreats and stabilizes in the 3275-85 range, you can directly enter the market and go long.
Continue to look at 3350 from above. If it breaks through and stabilizes above 3350 in the future, you will see the 3380-3420 range.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Momentum Shift: Gold Holds Strong Amid Mounting Dollar PressureHello,
🪙 Gold Market Outlook – May 8, 2025
📈 Current Price Snapshot
Spot Gold (XAU/USD): $3,302/oz
Gold is holding firm above key support levels, signaling sustained bullish momentum. The $3,300 level has now been clearly breached and is acting as short-term support. If this level continues to hold, further upside continuation is expected, with a possible target of $3,500.
🧭 Technical Outlook
4H Major Support: $3,274.637
1D Floor Support: $3,265.328
1W Pivot Point (PP): $3,265.203
1M Pivot Point (PP): $3,248.445
"A test of the weekly/monthly pivot points is possible but uncertain, as current sentiment favors risk-on for gold, while the USD faces risk-off pressure."
A pullback to support is possible, but it’s unlikely under the current macro and technical context.
💬 Macro Fundamentals
Gold prices fell earlier today due to optimism surrounding a potential Trump–UK trade deal and easing geopolitical tensions. However, the market remains cautious as US-China officials are scheduled to meet in Switzerland. Meanwhile, China's central bank approved foreign exchange purchases by commercial banks, further boosting gold imports and supporting physical demand.
"Such measures are likely to keep supporting bullion demand."
— Han Tan, Exinity Group
🌍 Geopolitical Risk Factor
India-Pakistan tensions have escalated, with Pakistan downing 12 Indian drones, which is contributing to increased safe-haven demand in the region.
"Potentially leading to an unquantifiable level of safe-haven demand."
— Ole Hansen, Saxo Bank
Target: $3,500.
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
Bullish or bearish? (Read description). As of May 7, 2025, the XAU/USD (gold) market is experiencing fluctuations influenced by a combination of geopolitical developments, economic indicators, and central bank policies. 
⸻
📉 Recent Market Movements
Gold prices recently declined by 1.3% to $3,383.88 per ounce, retreating after nearly a 3% rise the previous day. This drop comes amid growing optimism over U.S.-China trade negotiations, diminishing the appeal of safe-haven assets like gold. Additionally, markets are focused on the Federal Reserve’s policy decision expected later in the day, with the central bank likely to hold interest rates steady while maintaining flexibility due to uncertainties from the trade war. 
⸻
🔮 Outlook for XAU/USD
Despite the recent pullback, the long-term outlook for gold remains bullish. Goldman Sachs projects that gold will continue to outperform silver due to sustained central bank demand, which has structurally elevated the gold-silver price ratio. Currently, the ratio stands at approximately 102, up from 84.7 a year ago. Factors such as slowing Chinese solar production, high recession risks, and robust bullion purchases by central banks contribute to gold’s stronger performance. Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish outlook on gold, forecasting a base price of $3,700 per ounce by year-end and $4,000 by mid-2026. 
⸻
📊 Technical Analysis
A key resistance level is observed at $2,660, with support around $2,600. A breach below this support could lead to further downside towards
$2,500.  
⸻
⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor
• Federal Reserve’s Policy Decisions: Anticipated rate cuts could influence gold’s appeal.
• Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing conflicts may drive demand for safe-haven assets.
⸻
✅ Conclusion
While short-term fluctuations are expected, the long-term prospects for XAU/USD remain positive, supported by strong demand from central banks and geopolitical uncertainties. Investors should monitor key economic indicators and central bank policies for potential impacts on gold prices.  
⸻
Fibonacci Confluence Fuels Gold’s Next Rally: Wave (Y) InsightThis 4-hour chart of XAU/USD is showcasing a WXY corrective pattern, a classic double zigzag (W)-(X)-(Y) correction after a strong impulsive move
Wave (W) has topped, marking the end of the first corrective leg.
A deep correction into the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level occurred with wave (X), forming a potential higher low within the red demand zone.
Now, wave (Y) is anticipated, which typically mirrors or slightly exceeds the length of wave (W) but in a more corrective format.
Target 1: 3291.460
Target 2: 3371.282
Stop loss: 3224.711
Gold: Bearish Trend Continues as Prices Retreat from HighsIn the gold market today, there has been a certain rebound, which is stronger compared to before. However, after the price soars, it quickly falls back, further confirming the overall bearish tone. During the US trading session, we decisively placed a short order at the price of 3360, and subsequently, the market plummeted as expected. Judging from the current trend, gold is still in a bearish trend of pulling back from a high level. If there is a rebound in the future, we can still seize the opportunity to go short.
Technically, the moving average of the one-hour level of gold has started to turn downward. During the US trading session, after gold soared, it immediately entered a mode of significant decline, and the trend highly coincides with expectations.
Nevertheless, there are two possibilities for the subsequent market: if there is a substantial rebound in gold, then the market is likely to maintain a pattern of large-range fluctuations; but if the rebound fails to break through the level of 3320, it is sufficient to indicate that the bullish momentum is weak, and at that time, gold is very likely to completely enter a unilateral bearish trend.
Therefore, in the subsequent US trading session, we should focus on the pressure-bearing situation when gold rebounds to the level of 3320. Once it is blocked here, we can place a short order at a high price and grasp the profit-making opportunity under the bearish trend.
XAUUSD
sell@3320-3325
tp:3300-3280
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XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3275.86, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3222.63, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 3314.24, a swing high resistance.
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It's a shame that gold will continue to fallGold Weekly Forecast
Gold closed last week below the previous weekly lows at 3,260, confirming bearish intent. Price has now left behind multiple imbalances from the bullish leg that started at the 3,000 level.
We could first see a retracement to the small imbalance zone around 3,300, followed by a bearish continuation back to the main support/imbalance zone near 3,000.
Sideways price action is likely early in the week — but unless bulls reclaim 3,300+, momentum favors a retest of the base.
Bias: Bearish
Key Zones:
• Resistance / Rebalance: 3,300
• Support / Imbalance Target: 3,000
—
Weekly forecast by Sphinx Trading
Drop your view in the comments.
#Gold #XAUUSD #GoldForecast #LiquidityVoids #TechnicalAnalysis #SphinxWeekly #SmartMoney #FVG #3kLevel
Gold fluctuates before Fed decisionFrom a technical perspective, the international gold price encountered strong resistance at the 3500 integer psychological barrier on a daily basis and then started a technical correction. However, the first two trading days of this week were closed with long positive candlesticks, forming a strong rebound pattern, basically recovering the previous retracement space, indicating that bullish momentum continued to accumulate. It is worth noting that the moving average system presents a bullish arrangement: the 5-day and 10-day moving averages are bonded together to form a golden cross pattern, the upward slope of the medium-term moving average group is steeper, and the resonance of technical indicators shows that the upward momentum is repaired.
Technically, gold showed a violent shock trend during the Asian session, which is in line with the technical characteristics of the recent overnight consolidation, but we need to be alert to the possibility of a deep retracement after a continuous mild upward trend. This pattern may indicate that the bullish buying power is weakening. If the key pressure level of 3404 is not effectively broken during the day, the probability of a short-term top will increase significantly. At the strategic level, it is recommended that you avoid chasing highs and focus on the transmission effect of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on the real interest rate curve and the US dollar index. If the policy tone is dovish, precious metals may continue to rebound technically; if the statement is hawkish, it is necessary to guard against the risk of a correction. The current upper pressure range focuses on the 3397-3407 area, and the lower support band is in the 3360-3350 range. It is recommended to take the buying on dips strategy as the main strategy, and cooperate with the rebound high point short selling operation as a risk hedge.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to go long in the 3366-3361 area for gold, with a stop loss at 3356 and a target of 3381-3411.
2. For gold, it is recommended to short in the 3415-3420 area, with a stop loss at 3427 and a target of 3355-3385.
Gold 1H Outlook - XAUUSD May 4th 2025🔥 XAUUSD – H1 Outlook | May 4, 2025
Bias: ⚠ Short-term neutral to bearish — price reacting from a weak CHoCH + premium rejection.
Flow: Intraday trapped between 3240 demand and 3280–3300 supply. Next move decides the breakout.
🔎 Market Structure:
❗ Clean CHoCH + BOS sequence from 3285 → confirms bearish LTF momentum
🟠 Current HL attempt rejected off imbalance around 3268–3275
🔹 Structure still building under H4 LH (3315), supply remains in control unless flipped
🗝 Key H1 Levels (with confluence):
🔵 3233–3244 → Micro OB + FVG Support
🔄 Key short-term HL zone
⚡ RSI oversold bounce last touch
EMA5/21 zone → bounce risk
🟡 3268–3275 → FVG + OB + Last CHoCH Zone
🚩 This is the first sell POI
💧 Liquidity just above (equal highs)
Ideal for LTF short scalp if price rejects again
🔺 3288–3302 → H1–H4 Confluence Supply
🔥 Strong bearish OB + liquidity sweep area
🧱 Reaction zone for swing shorts (supply locked)
Confluence with premium fib retracement
🔻 3190–3200 → Extreme Demand Zone
🧲 Weak low + imbalance + discount OB
🔑 Watch for possible NY reversal trap if price collapses
💡 Plan:
We’re in the battlefield between weak HLs and greedy supply zones.
If 3275 rejects again → scalp sells back to 3240.
If 3240 fails → 3200 could be the "trap long" to flip everything.
🧠 Final Note:
Patience beats precision. Let the chart show its cards — no need to guess when liquidity does the talking.
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📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
Gold 4H Outlook - XAUUSD May 4th🔍 XAUUSD – H4 Outlook (May 4, 2025)
Trend:
🔻 Bearish structure still intact after the lower high at 3533 (ATH) and CHoCH at 3420.
🔹 Price is now ranging below lower high, with weak demand attempts from 3200–3240 zone.
🔸 Order flow bearish unless major BOS above 3320.
🗝 Key H4 Levels & Confluences
🔵 3195–3220 → H4 Demand + EQ + FVG
🧲 Last strong reaction zone pre-rally
🔁 Untapped OB + minor gap
🔄 EMA21 dynamic support below it
🟣 FIBO 61.8% of swing leg (April move)
🔵 3280–3295 → H4 POI (Supply Flip Zone)
📉 Reaction to this zone previously rejected bullish continuation
🧱 Confluence with 4H OB + minor FVG + EQ
⚠ If broken → clean magnet toward 3320
🔺 3315–3325 → Major LH Zone + Liquidity Magnet
💧 Internal liquidity build-up
🟤 If flipped → could induce bullish CHoCH on HTF
🚨 Final decision zone before possible premium push
🔻 3050–3075 → Weekly OB + H4 FVG
⛔ Major HTF demand below current price
🔄 EMA100 crossover area
🧲 Long-term buy interest if macro risk spikes
⚠ Summary:
Gold remains in a bearish HTF context, but is holding at key demand near 3220.
Rejection from 3280–3295 could reinforce bearish continuation.
Break above 3325 flips structure bullish — until then, sellers still in control.
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📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
Gold Daily Outlook - XAUUSD May 4thXAUUSD Daily Outlook – May 5, 2025
Structure doesn’t lie. Gold is cooling off – but the real game might just be starting.
📊 Trend & Structure:
HTF Bias: Bullish (intact), but showing signs of exhaustion.
Daily Market Flow: Strong rejection from 3500 ATH → bearish correction underway.
Latest Daily Candle: Bearish with large upper wick – confirms aggressive selling after liquidity grab.
🔹 Key Daily Levels:
🔻 Premium Rejection Zone
Zone: 3475–3500
Confluence: Previous ATH + liquidity sweep + FVG + overextension
Note: Reversal confirmed. Sellers aggressively stepped in.
🔻 Active Imbalance Zone
Zone: 3375–3400
Context: Unmitigated bearish FVG formed after ATH rejection
What to expect: Intraday bounces possible, but mostly mitigation unless reclaimed.
🔹 Current Reaction Zone
Zone: 3220–3255
Structure: Micro CHoCH + fresh demand reaction + FVG fill
Note: Bulls defending here. Breakdown = lower retracement likely.
🔻 Key Mid-Term Support
Zone: 3050–3080
Reason: Daily demand + OB + prior BOS
Expectation: Strongest support if price breaks 3200 – ideal HTF reentry.
🔢 Fibonacci Extension Targets (if 3500 breaks)
Using impulse leg 2970 → 3500 with retrace to 3204.50:
Extension Level
Target Price
Commentary
1.0
3500
ATH (already hit)
1.12
3558
First extension zone, minor reaction possible
1.272
3610
Institutional TP1 zone
1.414
3660
Premium FVG / liquidity target
1.618
3730
Strong continuation target, reversal zone
1.786
3785
Final blow-off area, low probability without macro push
📊 Summary:
Gold reached a major milestone at 3500, swept liquidity, and is now in correction mode. As long as 3220–3255 holds, bulls may stage a short-term defense. However, failure to hold opens the door to 3050–3080, the next major structure zone.
Above 3500, use extension zones to track sentiment traps and profit-taking waves.
🧠 Final Thought:
From greed at 3500 to fear at 3200 — markets reset sentiment before the next move. Smart money isn’t emotional. Stay with structure, not ego.
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📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
Gold Weekly Outlook - XAUUSD May 5th- May 9th🌍 XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – “Gold’s Cooling Off… Or Just Reloading? 🔁💥”
📅 Week of May 5–9, 2025
After breaking records with a fiery move into 3533, Gold just blinked. But is this the start of a deeper pullback — or simply a power nap before another skyrocket? Let’s break it down.
🧱 Macro Structure:
🔹 Massive bullish expansion from sub-2000 to 3533 → clear weekly BOS & continuation
🔹 First real retracement candle after months of nonstop gains
🔹 Price now hovering around the 3240–3270 mid-range FVG zone
🔑 Key Weekly Levels + Real Confluence:
📍 Price Range Zone Type What’s Here & Why It Matters
3533 🔺 ATH / Weak High Top liquidity grab + Premium high — supply reaction confirmed
3480–3510 ⚠ Reversal OB zone Weekly OB + clean FVG + sell-off origin = potential rejection zone
3240–3270 🔵 Micro Demand Mid-imbalance fill + minor OB + current retest base
3050–3100 🟦 Weekly Demand Block Big boy OB + 50% FIB retrace + macro HL zone → sniper reentry magnet
2750–2850 🧠 Strong HTF Demand Long-term CHoCH zone + discount imbalance stack = last line of defense
🔎 Weekly Confluences:
✅ SMC: BOS confirmed, CHoCH flipped in 2023 = macro bullish bias holds
📐 FIBO: 3050–3100 = perfect golden pocket (50%) of last full impulse
📊 EMA 5/21: Full bullish lock, no signs of EMA cross down
🔥 Liquidity: Above 3533 = final weak highs, below 3050 = deep liquidity pool
🧭 Bias Summary:
Bullish overall, but watching for:
A trap sell into 3050–3100 (clean sniper reentry zone)
🧲 Liquidity grab near 3300+ that could fuel another leg up or fakeout
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
Gold is once again experiencing its extreme take-off trend!📌Fundamentals:
1. There are signs of escalation in the India-Pakistan conflict
2. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market
3. The international trade situation disturbs market sentiment
4. Market sentiment and capital flows
📊Technical aspects:
The 4-hour cycle still needs a wave of strength, and it needs to go out of a wave of big rises before it can open the Bollinger upper track to form an absolute unilateral strength. Therefore, although it is temporarily bullish, there is also a certain possibility of adjustment. The current 4-hour cycle support is around 3310, and the small cycle performance support is around 3350, so don't chase more.
🎯Practical strategy:
Gold pulls back to around 3365-3375 to go long, and the target is around 3400-3420.
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of news. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating. Focus on 3370 - 3269. Economic data is expected tomorrow, and gold is likely to trade within the consolidation range for several days.
Optimism about US trade talks with key partners boosted risk appetite and supported the dollar. The US Treasury Secretary reported progress with India, while President Trump softened his rhetoric on China, which also strengthened the dollar. At the same time, traders took a wait-and-see stance ahead of the release of US GDP data for the first quarter. If the figures turn out to be weak, gold could rise sharply as a safe-haven asset. Thus, the gold market remains sensitive to trade news and macro data, especially against the backdrop of rebalancing at the end of April.
At the moment, as part of the current momentum and correction, I expect prices to recover from the 0.5 - 0.7 Fibonacci zone. Gold may test 3323-3325 before resuming its correction within the consolidation.
Resistance levels: 3323, 3352, 3370
Support levels: 3290, 3270
Traders are waiting for a resolution in the tariff dispute as well as economic data due tomorrow. However, while the price is consolidating, I expect a rebound from support. BUT! If the price continues to squeeze towards any boundary, with priority to support, then the chances of a breakout from the consolidation base may increase.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD Today's Trend Analysis SignalGold has recently broken out of a falling wedge pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal signal, which is also confirmed by a clear bullish divergence near $3,200. After hitting the target level of the falling wedge pattern, the price rebounded sharply and is now forming an ascending channel.
Currently, the price is approaching a key resistance level near $3,280-3,290. If the bulls succeed in breaking through this level, we may see the price rebound to the next major resistance level of $3,320 and above.
Confirmation of Falling Wedge Breakout
Bullish divergence near the bottom indicates a shift in momentum
Price follows an ascending channel structure
Bullish Target: $3,290-3,320
Bearish Target and Long Entry Point: $3,240 Area
Outlook: The bullish bias remains valid as long as the price is above the $3,240-3,250 support level. Watch for the price to break through the resistance level to continue further upward momentum.
Gold range shock , Both long and short have a chance!📌Fundamentals:
1. There are signs of escalation in the India-Pakistan conflict
2. The US-Houthi ceasefire agreement
3. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market
4. The international trade situation disturbs market sentiment
5. Market sentiment and capital flows
📊Technical aspects:
The market came out in the Asian session. It stalled again later. We are used to seeing fluctuations of hundreds of points. A fluctuation of more than ten or twenty points a day is the same as no fluctuation. At present, the market is temporarily maintained in the range of 3400-3360, and there is not much fluctuation. At present, let's see where the market breaks through. If it retreats to around 3360, follow up with long orders. If it rebounds to around 3400, follow up with short orders.