6.26 Gold intraday operation strategy, rebound 42-48 line shortFrom the 4-hour analysis, the upper resistance is around 3342-48. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. The short-term support below is around 3314-3316 integers. The upper pressure is around 3342-48. The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. The short-term long-short watershed is 3370. It is difficult to say that it is strong before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so please pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short the gold rebound at 3345-48, stop loss at 3356, target 3317-3325, and continue to hold if it breaks;
XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAU/USD: Long-Short Battle at $3,300 ThresholdAccurate Verification of Middle East Situation Analysis
Yesterday's morning strategy focused on analyzing the authenticity of the Middle East ceasefire agreement. By deconstructing the policy logic and strategic intent behind Trump's statement, we accurately predicted that the "Israel-Iran ceasefire" had not reached an official consensus. Although logical analysis confirmed doubts about the news, gold prices still broke below the psychological integer threshold of $3,300 driven by market sentiment, highlighting the irrational feature of "emotion dominating facts" in the current market.
Escalating Trade War Risks Intensify Market Volatility
While the Middle East conflict remains unresolved, the EU issued an official statement last night, clearly stating it will launch retaliatory tariffs to force the U.S. to reach more favorable trade agreements. This move marks a further escalation of transatlantic trade friction, and market concerns about global economic growth may resurface.
Three Key Events to Monitor Closely
Gold prices are currently in a long-short stalemate at the $3,300 threshold, with the following events set to determine the short-term trend:
1.Signals of Fed Policy Pivot
Focus on the degree of rate cut expectations released in Powell's speech. A dovish signal will strengthen gold's safe-haven appeal.
2.Progress of EU-U.S. Tariff Game
Whether the EU substantially initiates counter-tariffs directly affects market assessments of global trade system stability.
3.The Legislative Process of the One Big Beautiful Bill
If the act passes smoothly this week, it may reconstruct North American trade rules—be vigilant against sudden policy shocks.
Short-Term Market Outlook
Before the above events materialize, gold is likely to oscillate within the range of $3,280-$3,350. Traders are advised to adopt a "buy low, sell high" range strategy:
- Light short positions can be taken at the upper resistance of $3,350 with a stop-loss at $3,370.
- Long positions can be initiated at the lower support of $3,280, targeting $3,320.
Note: The current market is significantly driven by news. All operations must strictly set stop-loss orders, with position sizes controlled within 15%.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Excellent start of E.U. sessionAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will take early weekend break, not catching a Falling knife."
I have monitored the Price-action from sidelines throughout Friday's session as explained above however mid E.U. session I have engaged two #100 Lot Buying orders on #3,278.80 few moments ago and closed both of my Scalps on #3,285.80 with excellent Profit.
Quick update: No Swing orders today, only aggressive Scalps similar to Scalp orders I mentioned above from my key re-Buy points. If #3,300.80 is recovered, newly formed Bullish structure will push for #3,313.80 and #3,327.80 test. If #3,300.80 benchmark is preserved, I will still keep Buying (Scalp only however). I will have Gold's major move revealed after today's session.
Watching Gold Tap Liquidity Before the Next DropGold is still clearly in a bearish structure on the 1 hour chart. We’ve seen a solid break of structure to the downside and price is now retracing.
What stands out is how price is pushing back up into multiple areas of interest. There’s liquidity resting just above this minor high along with a fair value gap and the underside of a bearish trendline. This cluster makes it a likely spot for sellers to step back in.
If price fills the imbalance around that FVG, it could set up the next leg lower. I’ll be watching closely for signs of rejection in this zone to see if the market is ready to continue the move down.
No reason to rush in early. Let price come to the levels that matter and confirm with a reaction. Staying patient pays.
The rebound short-selling trend remains unchangedFrom the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is around 3297-3301, and the pressure at 3315-3316 is paid attention to. The pressure at 3324 is focused on. In terms of operation, the rebound continues to be the main short and the trend is downward. The short-term support below is around 3250-3255. The overall main tone of high-altitude participation remains unchanged relying on this range.
Gold continues to be weak, but be careful about operations
📣Gold prices fell 2% last Friday, hitting a near one-month low. Optimistic trade-related agreements boosted risk appetite and weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. This week, the market will usher in a group meeting of major central bank governors around the world (Fed Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong). The market will also usher in non-agricultural data. In addition, Powell's remarks on whether to resign may ignite the market this week. Gold prices may fluctuate more around the lower track of the Bollinger Band at $3,270/ounce this week.
Technical analysis:
Last Friday, the K-line had a lower shadow, and the Bollinger Band did not diverge. It is not easy to go short directly in operation, but wait for the rebound to confirm 3295 and the key resistance of ma5 to be short.
💰 Operation strategy: Rebound to 3280-3283 to go short, target 3270-3265, stop loss 3288-3290
Gold Drops Sharply as Risk Appetite ReturnsGlobal gold prices extended their sharp decline into the final trading session of the week, sliding more than 1.5% and pausing around $3,274/oz as safe-haven sentiment continues to erode.
📰 What’s driving the sell-off?
The primary trigger is the official signing of a trade agreement between the US and China, marking the end of a prolonged trade standoff. US Commerce Secretary confirmed that more agreements will follow before the July 9 deadline, including a commitment by China to supply rare earths to the US. This announcement sparked broad optimism across global markets, significantly reducing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Geopolitics also turned more constructive. Iran has expressed diplomatic goodwill, with its UN representative stating the country is ready to negotiate a regional nuclear coalition if a deal with Washington is reached. Meanwhile, Al Arabiya reported that the Israel–Gaza conflict may conclude within two weeks, further lowering geopolitical tensions.
On the data front, US economic indicators continue to surprise to the upside. Core PCE rose 2.7% YoY in May, beating forecasts, while durable goods orders and jobless claims both reflected strength in the US economy. Still, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari reiterated that two rate cuts are likely in 2025, suggesting the Fed remains open to easing once inflation cools further.
🔍 Technical outlook
Gold has broken below the key $3,330 support, confirming a short-term bearish structure. If the correction continues, the next levels to watch are $3,245, and more critically, the $3,200 zone.
In the short term, gold faces downside risk due to improving global economic sentiment and easing geopolitical threats. However, over the medium to long term, Fed policy shifts and unforeseen geopolitical events could still reverse the current trend.
Stay alert, watch the charts, and trade smart.
Have a great weekend, everyone! 🌍📊
Gold trend next week: shorts are dominant, longs are secondaryGold trend next week: shorts are dominant, longs are secondary
(June 29, 2025)
Analysis of current market situation and key price levels:
The gold market has completely entered the short-dominated stage, and the technical pattern shows a typical step-down trend.
This week, the market rebounded to only $3,321 before continuing to fall, breaking through the 3,300 psychological barrier, the 3,280 technical support level and the daily level trend line, forming a standard downward channel.
The current price is testing the key support area of 3,250-3,270.
Moving average system: The 50-day moving average (3,325) and the 200-day moving average (3,288) formed a death cross, and the price continued to fall below all major moving averages.
Trading volume characteristics: When COMEX gold futures fell below 3,300 points, the trading volume increased to 180% of the daily average, indicating an increase in short positions.
Position structure: CFTC data showed that speculative net long positions fell to the lowest level in 12 months.
A single buy order of more than 5,000 lots (about 160 million US dollars) appeared in the 3270 area.
Operation strategy for next week:
Scenario 1: 3270 support level is effective (probability 40%)
Rebound target: 3295 points (intraday) → 3313 points (intraweek)
Operation suggestion:
Radicals can try to go long with a light position at 3268-3272 points. (Stop loss 3258)
Conservatives wait for a breakout of 3285, then fall back to 3278 for follow-up
All long orders are closed in batches above 3310
Scenario 2: Direct break down (probability 55%)
Downward target: 3250→3232 (April low)→3200 psychological barrier
Operation strategy:
Current price short orders can be held to 3250 to close half of the position
Rebound to 3285-3290 to increase short positions (stop loss 3303)
After breaking 3250, be cautious in chasing shorts (to prevent short-term short covering)
Scenario 3: Range oscillation (probability 5%)
Volatility range: 3270-3295
Event-driven strategy:
Focus on July 1 ISM manufacturing PMI (North 22:00 Beijing time)
Fed officials' speeches (especially Williams' speech at 09:30 on July 2)
Institutional order flow analysis:
There are stop-loss orders worth about $320 million below 3270
Above 3300, there are about $280 million of sell orders (mainly from CTA strategies)
Special tips for risk control
Liquidity risk: Market liquidity may drop sharply before the July 4th Independence Day holiday in the United States
Risk of sudden policy changes: There may be changes in the ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine
Technical traps:
Beware of the "false breakthrough" that may appear in the 3270 area
Note the weakening of the short-term correlation between US Treasury yields and gold
In the current market environment, it is recommended to adopt the "main short and secondary long" trading strategy.
For short-term traders, the rebound opportunity in the 3270 area is worth participating in with a light position;
Mid-term investors should remain patient and wait for clearer reversal signals or lower safety margins.
A panoramic analysis of the gold market in June: an in-depth interpretation of geopolitics, monetary policy and price trends.
The current gold market is at a critical turning point, with multiple factors interweaving to affect the short-term fluctuations and long-term trends of gold prices.
As of June 29, 2025, the international gold price has experienced violent fluctuations, falling from the high point at the beginning of the month to a low point in the past four weeks, and market sentiment has shifted from optimism to caution.
This article will comprehensively sort out the latest gold market dynamics, deeply analyze the impact of geopolitical risks, the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, the global economic situation and technical factors on gold prices, and look forward to the possible trend of the gold market in the future, providing investors with a comprehensive market perspective and strategic recommendations.
The latest gold price trends and market overview:
In June 2025, the international gold market experienced significant price fluctuations, showing a trend of "first rise and then fall". As of the close of June 28, the spot gold price was $3273.11/ounce, down 1.64% from the previous trading day, hitting the lowest level since December 2024;
The multiple factors that led to the plunge in gold prices include:
The strengthening of the Federal Reserve's hawkish signals, the easing of geopolitical risks, and the intensification of technical selling.
The US core PCE price index released on June 27 rose 2.8% year-on-year, higher than market expectations. Several Fed officials publicly stated that "interest rates may be raised by another 50 basis points this year", causing the US dollar index to soar to 107.5, which strongly suppressed gold.
At the same time, the two sides of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict reached a phased ceasefire agreement on June 25, and the market's risk aversion demand dropped sharply, and the gold ETF holdings decreased by 42 tons in a single week.
Technically, the gold price fell below the key point of $3,400, triggering a large-scale liquidation of algorithmic trading. The trading volume of gold futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (COMEX) surged to three times the usual day, further exacerbating the downward momentum.
From the perspective of market structure, the current gold market shows obvious differentiation characteristics:
On the one hand, institutional investors such as hedge fund giant Bridgewater Fund were exposed to reduce their holdings of gold ETF shares by more than 30% and increase their holdings of US Treasury bonds;
On the other hand, Goldman Sachs lowered its three-month gold target price from $3,600 to $3,100 on the grounds that "the upward cycle of real interest rates has not ended." This shift in institutional behavior reflects the market's pessimistic expectations for gold's short-term prospects.
It is worth noting that despite the short-term weakness, long-term support factors for gold still exist.
Global central bank demand for gold purchases increased by 18% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025. Central banks in emerging markets such as China and India continued to increase their holdings of gold to diversify foreign exchange reserve risks.
In terms of physical demand, the China-India wedding season (June-August) and the expected "October" consumption peak season, gold jewelry demand accounted for more than 45% of global total demand, and China's gold consumption in 2025 may exceed 1,200 tons (an increase of 8% year-on-year).
This resilience of supply and demand fundamentals provides potential support for gold prices.
The impact of geopolitical risks on the gold market
Geopolitical factors have always been an important variable affecting gold prices. Changes in the global geopolitical pattern in June 2025 have had a significant impact on the gold market.
The sharp fluctuations in gold prices this month are closely related to the evolution of geopolitical events such as the situation in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine conflict. These events directly affect the demand intensity of gold as a "safe haven asset" by changing the market's risk aversion sentiment.
The situation in the Middle East has experienced a transition from tension to relaxation this month, becoming a key driver of the rise and fall of gold prices.
In early June, concerns about the escalation of the conflict between Israel and Iran pushed the price of gold to $3,415 per ounce.
Market data shows that for every 10 points increase in the historical geo-risk index, the price of gold has risen by an average of 2.3%.
However, as Israel revised the hostage negotiation plan, direct conflict between Iran and Israel was temporarily suspended, and tensions in the Middle East showed obvious signs of easing.
In late June, Trump publicly declared that "the Israel-Iran conflict is over", further weakening the market's risk aversion demand.
The fading of this geo-risk premium directly led to a decline in the attractiveness of gold as a safe haven asset, becoming one of the important factors for the decline in gold prices.
The development of the Russia-Ukraine conflict also had a significant impact on the gold market.
On June 25, Russia and Ukraine reached a phased ceasefire agreement. This breakthrough has significantly boosted market risk appetite and further weakened the safe-haven demand for gold.
Prior to this, the market had generally worried that if the ceasefire negotiations broke down or the scope of the conflict expanded, it might push up the volatility of gold prices. The conclusion of the ceasefire agreement eliminated this uncertainty, resulting in a 42-ton decrease in gold ETF holdings in a single week, reflecting the rapid cooling of investors' risk aversion.
It is worth noting that although geopolitical risks have eased recently, potential risk factors still exist.
The "proxy war" in the Middle East (such as the attack on Red Sea merchant ships by the Houthi armed forces in Yemen) is still ongoing, and the security risks of global energy transportation channels (such as the Suez Canal) have not been completely eliminated.
In addition, geopolitical variables such as the 2025 US election (November) and the expected winter offensive of the Russia-Ukraine conflict may still push up safe-haven demand in the future. The "safe-haven attribute" of gold as an important safety cushion for its price has not completely disappeared.
From historical experience, the impact of geopolitical events on gold often presents the characteristics of "buy expectations, sell facts".
When a geopolitical crisis first appears or escalates, the price of gold usually rises rapidly; once the situation eases or the solution becomes clear, the price of gold will fall back.
The market performance in June 2025 once again verified this rule.
However, our team believes that the current easing of the geopolitical situation may only be temporary, and the structural contradictions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe have not been fundamentally resolved. New conflicts may still break out in the future, which will provide potential support for gold prices.
In terms of the interactive relationship between geopolitics and gold prices, the market needs to pay attention to several key nodes: First, whether the situation in the Middle East will be repeated, especially the direction of relations between Iran and the United States and Israel;
Second, whether the ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine can continue, and whether large-scale military operations will be restarted in winter;
Third, the uncertainty of geopolitical policies in the US election year, especially the policy statements on key regions such as the Middle East and Asia-Pacific.
These factors may rekindle the market's risk aversion in the future and drive the gold price to rebound.
Analysis of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the trend of the US dollar:
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy trends and the trend of the US dollar have always been the core factors affecting the price of gold. The changes in the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve's policies in June 2025 directly led to the sharp fluctuations in the price of gold. As an interest-free asset, the price of gold is negatively correlated with the actual interest rate level, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy has a profound impact on the trend of the US dollar index and global capital flows, which makes the Federal Reserve's every move affect the nerves of the gold market.
In June, the Federal Reserve's policy stance showed a clear hawkish turn, which put heavy pressure on the gold market.
The US core PCE price index released on June 27 rose 2.8% year-on-year, higher than market expectations. This data strengthened the reason for the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates.
Several Federal Reserve officials subsequently publicly stated that "another 50 basis points of interest rate hikes may be made this year", causing the US dollar index to soar to 107.5, a recent high.
According to the CME "Fed Watch" tool, as of June 27, traders bet on a 79.3% probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in July, and only 20.7% expected a single rate cut of 25 basis points; in the forecast for September, the probability of cumulative rate cuts of 25 or 50 basis points reached 74.9% and 19.1%, respectively.
This change in interest rate expectations directly pushed up the US dollar and suppressed the price of gold denominated in US dollars.
There are obvious differences within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on the timing of rate cuts, and this policy uncertainty has exacerbated the volatility of the gold market.
Some officials emphasized the resilience of the job market and the potential upside risks of inflation, and believed that it was necessary to wait for more economic data observations after the implementation of tariff policies;
Other views tended to take preventive easing measures in the fall.
In his speech after the June interest rate meeting, Fed Chairman Powell emphasized that "there is no rush to cut interest rates", further dampening the market's expectations for a shift in monetary policy in the short term.
This inconsistency in policy signals has caused gold investors to wait and see, and some funds have chosen to temporarily withdraw from the gold market.
The strong rebound of the US dollar index is a direct factor suppressing gold prices.
As the market's expectations for the Fed to maintain high interest rates heat up, the US dollar index has rebounded significantly from its annual low and has broken through the 107 mark as of June 28.
The strengthening of the US dollar makes gold denominated in US dollars more expensive for holders of other currencies, suppressing international demand.
Technical analysis shows that the cyclical (monthly) turning point of the US dollar index is coming. Due to its recent obvious downward trend, the impact of this turning point is obviously biased towards the US dollar, which may further suppress gold prices.
It is worth noting that there is a dual mechanism for the impact of the Fed's policy on gold.
In the short term, the hawkish stance pushes up the US dollar and real interest rates, directly suppressing gold prices; but in the medium and long term, maintaining high interest rates may increase the risk of economic recession, which may enhance the safe-haven appeal of gold in the future.
The current market is in a stage of game between these two forces, which is also an important reason for the intensified volatility of gold prices.
The Fed's balance between suppressing inflation and avoiding a hard landing of the economy will determine the future direction of gold.
In the coming period, the market needs to pay close attention to several key data points to judge the direction of the Fed's policy:
First, the change in inflation data around the deadline for tariff suspension on July 9;
Second, employment and GDP data before the Fed's interest rate meeting in September;
Third, the impact of global supply chain conditions on core inflation.
These factors will jointly determine the Fed's policy path, and thus affect the medium-term trend of gold prices.
If the US economic data shows obvious signs of slowing down, it may restart the market's expectations for interest rate cuts, which will provide upward momentum for gold;
On the contrary, if the economy remains resilient and inflation remains high, gold may continue to be under pressure.
Analysis of the global economic situation and gold demand:
Changes in the global macroeconomic environment have a profound impact on the gold market. The complex situation of the global economy in June 2025 has created a structural differentiation in gold demand.
On the one hand, trade policy uncertainty and concerns about slowing growth support the safe-haven demand for gold;
On the other hand, the inhibitory effect of high gold prices on physical consumption and the adjustment of the pace of gold purchases by some central banks put pressure on gold prices. This interweaving of long and short factors puts the gold market in a delicate balance.
The uncertainty of tariff policy has become an important variable affecting the gold market.
The US government has made it clear that it will not extend the suspension period of import tariffs, which will expire on July 9. This decision will directly affect the global supply chain costs and inflation levels.
Although the specific adjustment plan has not yet been announced, the market is generally worried that if the new tariff measures are implemented, it may push up the price pressure on the production side, thereby indirectly supporting the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
At present, the United States has not reached an agreement framework with its major trading partners (including the European Union), and policy uncertainty may continue to provide support for gold prices.
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Here's an update from my video analysis yesterday. Gold buyers climbed up towards our sell zone of $3,350 last night, where we closed out our intra-day buy's at £2,500 profit.
Gold sellers so far have rejected that resistance zone & dropped down 400 PIPS! If price can hold steady below this zone we can see much more downside to come. But a break above that zone could push price back up towards $3,400 again.
XAU/USD Bullish Reversal from Key SupportXAU/USD Bullish Reversal from Key Support 📈🟢
📊 Chart Analysis:
Rounded Bottom Structure ⬆️
The price has formed a rounded bottom pattern, indicating potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
Multiple bounces (🟠 circles) from the curved support trendline confirm the validity of this structure.
Support Zone Rejection ✅
Price recently rejected from a major horizontal support zone (around 3,303.796 USD) with a strong bullish wick.
This zone has acted as a springboard for prior upward moves.
Falling Wedge Breakout 💥
A falling wedge (bullish pattern) has formed and is breaking to the upside.
Breakout confirmation is underway, indicating momentum shift.
Target Projection 🎯
The projected move from the breakout suggests a potential target at 3,385.820 USD.
This aligns with previous resistance areas.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3,385.820 USD (target) and 3,425–3,450 USD (major resistance zone)
Support: 3,303.796 USD (short-term), followed by 3,225–3,250 USD zone
🔔 Conclusion:
Price action suggests a bullish bias with a possible upward continuation if it sustains above the wedge breakout.
Confirmation above 3,330 USD with volume can fuel a rally toward the 3,385–3,400 USD target zone.
📌 Risk Management Tip: Watch for fakeouts near wedge resistance or a re-test of 3,303 USD for better entries.
GOLD Massive Bullish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price just
Made a massive bullish
Breakout of the falling
Resistance line and the
Breakout is confirmed
So after a potential pullback
We will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
XAUUSD - Breakdown: - RISK OFF - Gold BearsGOLD has reached my previous analysis target ✅
Now seeing a pullback wave before potential continuation to the downside, keep in mind it is End of Month.
🎯 Pullback Zones:
1️⃣ 3340
2️⃣ Extended: 3350–3356
📉 If no new bullish fundamentals:
Next targets: 3293–3280
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #Commodities #TradingLevels #MarketOutlook
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youThe current gold price stands at $3,288. The gold market was volatile in the early session: after the opening, prices plunged all the way, hitting a low of $3,247 at one point. However, it quickly rebounded, climbing back above $3,280. It was quite a roller-coaster ride, full of thrills.
**Influencing Factors**
- **Geopolitical Situation**: While the Middle East (situation) had eased earlier—such as the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, which weakened gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset (COMEX gold futures fell over 2% on the day the ceasefire was reached)—Trump stated today that he would consider bombing Iran again and abandon plans to lift sanctions. This reignited market safe-haven sentiment, attracting some bargain-hunting buying to support gold prices.
- **Monetary Policy**: Market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts have been fluctuating. The CME FedWatch Tool shows an 81.9% probability of rates remaining unchanged in July, and a 76% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut by September. The previously released U.S. PCE data exceeded expectations, and coupled with the impact of tariff policies on the pace of rate cuts, these factors are swaying gold’s trend.
- **Capital Flows**: Global gold ETF demand turned negative in May, with funds in North America and Asia leading the outflows. This put pressure on the gold market—it’s like the water flowing into the gold market has dwindled, or even started to flow out, pulling prices downward.
**Technical Analysis**
Last week, gold’s overall trend leaned toward a pullback, with the lowest price touching around $3,255, and the weekly chart closing with two consecutive. Gold even breached $3,250 last Friday, but rebounded slightly at the start of this week supported by that level. However, there is significant pressure in the $3,300–$3,310 range above. If gold can stand firmly above $3,300 this week, the short-term trend may shift. But if it continues to trade below $3,300, it will likely keep falling, possibly testing around $3,200.
Moreover, the non-farm payroll data will be released this Thursday (due to the U.S. market closure on Friday, the data is being released early). This timing quirk could also trigger unusual volatility in market sentiment this week.
On the daily chart, moving averages are in a bearish alignment; the MACD lines are below the zero axis with a death cross formed, and the green energy bars are expanding—indicating that bearish momentum is dominant. However, the RSI is around 39, near the oversold zone, suggesting a potential short-term rebound for a correction.
*Trading Strategy**
Wait for gold to rebound to the $3,310–$3,305 range to short. This level is a key resistance zone mentioned earlier; if prices can reach here, it will signal persistent bearish pressure. Set a stop-loss around $3,320 to guard against a breakout above resistance and a sustained rally. The initial target can be the $3,290–$3,280 range, where you can gradually close positions for profits based on price movements and market sentiment. If prices continue to fall, adjust the target accordingly—for example, toward around $3,250.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD sell@3310~3305
SL:3320
TP:3290~3280
XAUUSD Has Ascending channel breakdown selling strong now🔔 XAUUSD Update – 4H Breakdown Alert!
Gold (XAUUSD) has officially broken down from the ascending channel, signaling strong bearish momentum starting from 3322.
📉 Technical Targets Ahead: 1️⃣ 3280 – First demand zone
2️⃣ 3240 – Next key demand zone
3️⃣ 3160 – Major support level
We're seeing solid selling pressure, and the 4H timeframe confirms the structure shift. Keep an eye on price action around these zones for potential reaction or continuation.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments!
👍 Like | 🔁 Share | ✅ Follow for live insights and real-time market updates.
Join the team for more smart trades & updates 💼
— Livia 😜
Gold - The final resistance breakout!Gold - TVC:GOLD - prepares a final rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past 12 months, Gold rallied more than +70%. However the past three months clearly rejected a major horizontal resistance. But price action on the smaller timeframe remains incredibly bullish. Therefore an all time high breakout will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $3.500
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold Pullback to Resistance – Bearish Setup in PlayOANDA:XAUUSD is staging a modest technical rebound after a strong breakdown, currently retesting the confluence zone of resistance and EMA on the 1H chart. This area around 3,351 USD marks a key selling region where bearish momentum may resume.
On the macro front, traders are eyeing the upcoming Core PCE data — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. A higher-than-expected reading could boost the US dollar and reinforce downward pressure on gold prices.
Technically, the recent breakdown followed by a retest of structure suggests bearish continuation. If gold fails to break above resistance, it may drop first toward the 3,304 USD zone (TP1) and potentially extend to the key support near 3,250 USD (TP2).
All eyes should be on how price reacts to resistance. A confirmed rejection could offer a high-probability short opportunity.
XAUUSD – Gold at a Key AreaGold is now in a crucial zone with short potential.
If the market provides a valid bearish signal, I’ll take the short.
But if this zone breaks and confirms with a pullback, I’ll switch bias and go long.
💡 Remember:
We don’t control the market — we just try to profit using structure, setups, and solid risk management.
📌 Always risk max 1% per trade.
If the market goes against your bias, you only lose 1% — not your whole account.
🧠 One trade won’t make you rich,
But one reckless trade can destroy everything.
No gambling.
Just discipline, structure, and smart execution.
XAUUSD - Breakdown: - RISK ON/Gold Pullback to Continue ?✅ All 3 pullback zones tagged:
1️⃣ 3295
2️⃣ 3301
3️⃣ 3310
Next:
🔁 If price sustains above 3300, next key sell zone = 3320
🔼 Hold above that? Likely move into 3340s
Still eyeing 3319–3340 Fib zone for next play
#XAUUSD #Gold #Trump #DXY #Optimism #GoldLevels #Commodities
As long as chaos reigns in the Middle East, buy gold!As long as this Middle East ceasefire nonsense holds, gold prices are gonna keep slumping. But, oh, there’s this cursed support at $3,200 that’ll probably shove prices back up like an annoying boomerang. If tensions flare up, gold’s gonna soar even higher. And if it blasts past $3,500, well, I’m outta here—bidding you farewell. May your soul rest in peace and your memory be a treasure.
GOLD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bearish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 3,300$
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish continuation
Sell!
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Suppression remains unchanged, the latest layout of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. Powell's testimony
2. Geopolitical impact
📈 Market analysis:
The short-term rebound of gold is the release of energy for the accumulated bulls. From the current market trend, 3340 above is the key point of the short-term watershed between bulls and bears. The short-term resistance above is around 3342-3348, and the short-term support below is around 33220-3315. If it falls below this, it will continue to look towards yesterday's low of 3290-3280. The daily level is under pressure and continues to see a decline and adjustment. If it touches 3340-3350 above, you can try to short. After it retreats to 3320-3315 and obtains effective support, you can consider going long.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3330-3320-3315
BUY 3320-3315
TP 3330-3340-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAU / USD 2 Hour Chart Hello traders. I decided to take a small Sell position marked by the red line on the chart. My stop loss is also set. I am using a micro lot size so nothing crazy in case is does not go my way. Let's see if the NY open corrects the overnight's move up. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and thanks for checking out my trade.