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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

GOLD SHORTSWHY I AM LOOKING FOR SHORTS There is a mitigated supply zone on the left, causing a price decline and leaving an unmitigated supply area. Liquidity has built up below this zone. After the Asian session, the price swept the highs of the Asian range and tapped into the supply area. A strong rejection suggests that the price is likely to continue downward toward the Asian lows. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS On U.S. election day, gold prices can experience volatility due to political uncertainty and market reactions. If there's significant uncertainty over the election outcome, gold often rises as investors seek safe-haven assets. A clear result, especially one that signals stability, could lead to a dip in gold prices as risk appetite increases.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MARKLISO
Gold is going to $3,000 as the market faces a tectonicAccording to the pricing experts, industry leaders, financial analysts, and big banks, there are several factors that could affect gold prices in 2024. These include: US/Global recession The Fed stops rate hikes Geopolitical tensions High Demand by Central Banks US dollar weakening India and China retail gold demand stabilizes US political risks Banking failures You can prepare a buy position every time the market goes down (Buy On Dip), Strong support area $2.602/toz Disclaimer: This only informative. The information & recommendations provided are not always complete & accurate, so customers need to verify personally. Trading futures is a costly activity and brings not only profits but also losses
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Njjeha
Gold rebounds ahead of U.S. elections, market cautious on Fed.Gold prices have halted their adjustment from the record high of $2,790 set on Friday, as the U.S. dollar faces strong selling pressure. The gap opened lower following the latest poll results regarding the U.S. elections, which showed Kamala Harris surpassing Donald Trump in Iowa, marking a significant shift. The presidential race between the two candidates is intensifying, with Americans set to vote on Tuesday. Additionally, U.S. Treasury yields are also declining due to market caution and expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, which has supported non-yielding gold prices. Personal opinion: Gold prices are heavily influenced by the U.S. elections and the economic situation. Kamala Harris leading in the polls might make investors feel more optimistic. The drop in bond yields also indicates that people are looking for safe places to invest, increasing gold's appeal during this uncertain time. Pay attention to price levels: Buy zone: 2727 - 2725 SL: 2720 Sell Zone: 2747 - 2749 SL: 2754 Sell Zone: 2760 - 2762 SL: 2767
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
Continue to go short today, with detailed market analysisThe gold trend indicator MA5 and MA10 tend to be in a state of adhesion. Although it closed below the moving average, from the overall shape, because there is no sustained decline, it is still a high-level sideways correction. Continue to pay attention to the break direction of the 2720/2750 range adjustment. Gold continues to be weak. Gold rebounded in the past few days and was short. It also won repeatedly. Gold bulls have no rebound power. The rebound in the Asian session continues to be short. Gold is weak, and the short-term short trend will continue. Go with the trend, and the rebound is an opportunity to go short. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross downward and diverge. The gold moving average resistance now moves down to around 2745. After the rebound, gold continues to fall weakly. Bulls basically have no counterattack power. Gold rebounds near the moving average resistance of 2745 in the Asian session and continues to go short. First support: 2730, second support: 2718, third support: 2700 First resistance: 2748, second resistance: 2763, third resistance: 2775 Trading strategy: 2720-2750 range, sell high and buy low according to resistance and support
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
GOLD has conditions to increase with expectations of recoveryOn Thursday (October 31), some traders chose to take profits, causing gold prices to fall again, falling 2% and reaching a low of 2,731 USD/oz. As of the time of writing, Friday, November 1, gold has recovered to 2,746 USD/oz. Safe-haven demand ahead of the US presidential election has pushed gold prices up for the fourth consecutive month, and gold prices have increased about 4% in the past month. Previously, strong economic data released by the US increased market expectations that the Federal Reserve could cautiously cut interest rates in the coming months. Meanwhile, PCE data showed PCE inflation at 2.1% year-on-year, the lowest since early 2021 and slightly above the central bank's 2% target inflation rate. Before the taper, gold prices had risen by more than a third this year due to central bank buying and safe-haven demand due to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine. Uncertainty about the US presidential election has also highlighted the value of gold as a safe-haven asset. In 2024, gold's gains are driven by economic uncertainty, central bank buying and geopolitical risks, especially in the Middle East. Gold prices are now entering a historic year as expected interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and central bank demand will further support gold prices. Therefore, do not worry about price drops because in terms of fundamental long-term trends, gold is still strongly supported. During this trading day, traders need to pay attention to the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and October Unemployment Rate data. Surveys predict 108,000 new jobs will be added, compared with 254,000 last month. The Nonfarm payrolls measure the change in the number of people employed during the previous month, excluding agriculture. Job creation is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of economic activity. Figures that are much higher than expected or equal to the previous period will be considered a positive signal for the USD and continue to add pressure to the gold downtrend. Meanwhile, data at or below is expected to support gold's return to the bullish cycle and the continuation of its long-term uptrend, ending the ongoing bearish correction. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, yesterday's correction caused gold to swing below the short-term rising price channel noted by the price channel on the chart. However, gold is also approaching a notable support level sent to readers in yesterday's edition at $2,725 when gold has the conditions for a correction. Although the price dropped significantly, the mid- and long-term trend is still bullish with specific conditions such as stable price activity in the price channel, stable activity above the EMA21 level. During the day, if gold can hold above the 0.236% Fibonacci level, it will have the potential to increase further with a short-term target of about 2,768USD, the price point is the confluence of the lower edge of the channel © and the 0.382% Fibonacci level. The expectation for the intraday trend is a recovery with a target level of around 2,768 USD, along with which notable price points will be listed as follows. Support: 2,745 – 2,725USD Resistance: 2,768USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2765 - 2763⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2769 →Take Profit 1 2758 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2753 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2714 - 2716⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2710 →Take Profit 1 2721 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2726
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
XAU/USD 05 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal. Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high. We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As highlighted in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 04 November 2024, I mentioned that price was expected to continue targeting the weak internal low. Price followed this expectation, reaching the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. Subsequently, price has printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Internal structure has also been confirmed. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to react at either premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold trading strategy analysis for next weekFundamental analysis 1: Gold prices fell on Friday, weighed down by a stronger dollar and higher bond yields, but weak job growth data in the world's largest economy prompted analysts to increase bets on a Fed rate cut, limiting some of the losses. Conclusion: I personally think there is a 100% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week 2: The upcoming US election this week is also seen as one of the key factors affecting gold's trend Conclusion: I personally think that next week's interest rate meeting is scheduled just after the US election, so the gold market may use the results of the US election to reach new highs. 3: The market has different views on the future trend of gold prices, but in the long run, gold's position as a safe-haven asset and reserve currency remains solid. Especially in the current context of increasing global economic uncertainty and intensified geopolitical risks, the attractiveness of the gold market will be further enhanced. Conclusion: There may be short-term fluctuations this week, but the long-term outlook remains optimistic Technical analysis In the context of macroeconomics, we still need to undergo rational technical analysis and accurately categorize and sort out the gold trend chart. Combined with the market's volume and price sentiment, we can draw the following conclusions: 1: The short-term trend of gold has developed to the end of the graph, and it is bound to have a big market next week. 2: The current key price consolidation range is: 2730-2735. From this, we can judge the next direction, bull market? Bear market? Or oscillating trend? 3: The current high probability price oscillation range is: 2712-2760 4: Long strategy: 2730 is used as an important trend support point reference 5: Short strategy: Continue our analysis last week and use 2760 as an important pressure point. 6: The important signal of the bull market breakthrough is the breakthrough of 2760. If it can be broken, it is likely to continue to rise 7: The important signal of the bear market breakthrough is the breakthrough of 2710. If it can be broken, it is likely to continue to fall Next, I will continue to organize and share the corresponding trading signals for you, and investors should also grasp the rhythm. Thank you for your attention.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxTradingPioneer
XAUUSD - Gold Awaiting US ElectionsGold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. In today's analysis, I have drawn trade scenarios for you based on various confirmations In each circle we look for one-hour timeframe candles to confirm the expected trend. After a grueling and controversial campaign season, the US election will be held this week. Although many experts believe a clear winner is unlikely to be announced on Wednesday, much of the uncertainty surrounding the US political landscape is expected to ease next week, which may not bode well for gold. This precious metal had significant momentum last month due to the election fluctuations. Market analysts pointed out that the improvement of former US President Donald Trump's chances of victory and the creation of a potential "red wave" (a Republican victory) in Congress raised concerns about the continued unabated increase in government spending. In recent weeks, that fear has extended to either party's control of the White House and both houses of Congress. However, there is a famous saying in the financial markets for times like this: "Buy the rumor and sell the news." Last week, gold prices hit an all-time high above $2,800 an ounce as investors weighed in on rumors surrounding the US election. Dennis Gartman, a noted commodity investor, said he has become more cautious about gold as it draws more attention from investors. However, he added that despite any near-term weakness, gold's long-term fundamentals are well supportive of prices. "The main trend is still bullish," he said. Aside from the geopolitical turmoil created by this election cycle, gold remains well-supported by the sluggish US economy and labor market. In October, the US economy added just 12,000 jobs, well below expectations for 100,000 jobs. Some of the weakness can be attributed to fluctuations caused by cyclone devastation in southern states. However, looking beyond this volatility, sharp downward revisions in August and September suggest that the labor market is cooling. At the same time, this week we also saw that inflation is continuously increasing. The main measure of personal consumption expenditures, the U.S. central bank's preferred measure of inflation, showed that consumer prices held steady at 2.7% over the past three months. The Fed is stuck and will continue to cut interest rates as the labor market weakens. While interest rate cuts may not be as aggressive as they would like, higher inflation means lower real interest rates, which will hurt the US dollar and support gold prices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Ali_PSND
GOLD_115 2024.11.01 06:55:04 Trading Signal BUYFrankPro Signal for GOLD_115 Type: Screen Signal: BUY TP: 2795.02 SL: 2743.21 Entry Price: 2752.63 Analysis for GOLD Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Probably Down LT= Strong Up Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Up ST=Up LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, I will provide separate short-term and long-term forecasts for the price of XAUUSD (Gold). **Short-term Forecast (next few days to a week)** * The double-top formation at $2,790 may limit further gains for gold, indicating a potential pullback. * Technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, and ADX suggest a buy signal, but the STOCHRSI and Williams %R indicate overbought conditions, which may lead to a correction. * Upcoming election uncertainty and geopolitical factors could influence gold prices in the near term, potentially causing volatility. * Support levels at $2,718.33 and $2,716.94 may be tested if the price pulls back. **Expected Price Movement:** Down ( potential pullback to test support levels) **Long-term Forecast (next few weeks to months)** * Despite potential short-term pullbacks, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, with traders expecting gold to continue its upward trend. * A stronger EUR/USD is bullish for gold, and the metal's rebound in response to market sentiments suggests a positive long-term outlook. * The potential impact of a new BRICS currency on gold prices is still being discussed, but it may not have a significant effect on the price in the long term. **Expected Price Movement:** Up ( continuation of the long-term upward trend) Please note that these forecasts are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new information becomes available. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(1) Based on the analysis of the provided data, here is my assessment of the expected price movement of XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar) for October 31, 2024: **Short-term Analysis (next 10 days)** * The technical analysis suggests a bullish sentiment, with the price above both the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages. * The 14-day RSI is at 61.21, indicating neutral conditions but with a general bullish outlook. * The forecast predicts a potential rise in price to around $2,737.47 in the next 10 days. * Positive drivers, such as a stronger EUR/USD and the overall inflation rate in the United States, support the bullish sentiment. **Expected Price Movement (Short-term): UP** **Long-term Analysis** * The overall trend and sentiment suggest a bullish outlook for gold, with traders remaining bullish despite various influencing factors. * The resilience of gold prices in the face of election uncertainty and economic data releases indicates a strong underlying demand. * However, potential increases in U.S. interest rates and a weak U.S. consumer discretionary sector could impact gold prices negatively in the long term. **Expected Price Movement (Long-term): UP, but with potential volatility and pullbacks** In summary, based on the analysis, I expect the price of XAUUSD to go up in the short term, with a potential rise to around $2,737.47 in the next 10 days. In the long term, I also expect the price to go up, but with potential volatility and pullbacks due to various market drivers and influencing factors. Result: ST=Up LT=Up Analysis Method(2) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for XAU/USD (gold) in both the short-term and long-term: **Short-term (next few days to a week):** * Expected price movement: Down * Reasoning: The technical indicators suggest a strong buy signal, but the Stochastic RSI and Williams %R indicate that the market is overbought. This suggests that a bearish price correction is likely in the short-term to test the support levels near $2,715.82, $2,716.94, and $2,718.33. * Potential price target: $2,715-$2,720 **Long-term (next few weeks to months):** * Expected price movement: Up * Reasoning: Despite the expected short-term correction, the overall sentiment is bullish, and the technical indicators (RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, and MACD) suggest a strong buy signal. Additionally, a stronger EUR/USD is seen as bullish for gold, which could support a long-term uptrend. * Potential price target: $2,850-$2,900 Please note that these predictions are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new data becomes available. It's always important to monitor market conditions and adjust trading strategies accordingly. Result: ST=Down LT=Up
TVC:GOLDLong
by orbborisson
GOLD possible retrace?Hi guys, Gold, XAU USD is currently at a possible area where we may find strong resistance and selling opportunity. The pink box just above price is that zone. This zone is the 2.0 retracement of the massive base that gold created between 2011 and 2020. This zone is also significant retraces of all the high to lows on the daily from a few months ago. Price has been travelling in the bearish channel , and is now again at the very top of this channel. RSI is in overbought and clear divergence on the daily timeframe. All in all solid confluence to suggest sell setups may appear around this area. Lower timeframe entries using BOS CHOCH, trendline breaks ,chart patterns etc could lead to nice risk/ reward trades. Safe Trading all.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by elyask120
XAUUSD MONDAY 4.11 - LONGI am looking to enter a long position around 2747 with target prices TP1: 2754 and TP2: 2760. 🚀 First, we must see the market's reaction at open, observe volume, watch for a trendline break, and gauge overall sentiment. 📊 On Monday, we have no impact news, allowing us to focus on technical levels. Upon entry, I will further confirm if the trade is truly valid. 📅 Macroeconomic Context With upcoming U.S. elections, I anticipate a Trump victory, which could boost USD/DAX prices and push gold prices down. Larger market players ("Big Boys") will likely aim for short positions, pushing the price up first to secure optimal entries. 🕵️ Key Zones and Money Flow We are in a strong support area with substantial money flow. I will carefully monitor reactions at key zones, especially for potential manipulation in DAX prices. 🔍 📐 Key Level 2760 - Golden Fibonacci Zone At 2760, we find a “golden Fibonacci” zone, which has previously acted as respected resistance. I plan to partially close the trade in this area. If this zone is broken, I will hold part of the position further and update on new targets. My final target would be around 2767, but only if the 2760 zone is broken.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by michal_divitae
1
Gold Prices Drop Sharply After Peaking – Will Recovery Return?Hello everyone, Today, November 1, 2024, the global gold price has unexpectedly reversed sharply from an all-time high and is currently trading around 2,745 USD/ounce. The main reason for this decline is the release of U.S. economic data indicating signs of stability and recovery. This diminishes the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset, while U.S. government bond yields rise and the U.S. dollar continues to strengthen. In the short term, gold prices may remain under pressure if U.S. economic data continues to improve, especially if employment and inflation reports show a positive outlook. However, other risk factors such as geopolitical conflicts or global financial instability could support gold prices. If signs emerge that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will slow the pace of monetary tightening, this could provide momentum for gold prices to rise again.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Ademha
GOLD Market Analysis: Trade Setup & Risk Management🌟 GOLD Analysis & Risk Management 🌟 📈 Market Insight : Gold has reached last week's support line, and we anticipate a bounce back into the gold zone area and supply zone on the 30-minute timeframe . This setup presents an opportunity for potential upside movement. ⚡ 📝 Risk Management for GOLD Setup : 🔹 Position Size : Keep your position size aligned with your risk tolerance (e.g., 1-2% of your total capital). This helps manage potential losses effectively. 📊 🔹 Stop Loss (SL) : Commit to your SL at 2727 as your protective barrier to limit significant losses. 🛑 🔹 Take Profit (TP) Strategy : Secure gains by taking profit at these strategic levels: - TP1 : 2742 🥇 - TP2 : 2746 🥈 - TP3 : 2750 🥉 - TP4 : 2753 🚀 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio (RR) : Ensure the trade maintains an RR of at least 1:1.5 . This balances potential gains against risk effectively. 💰⚖️ 🔹 Plan & Discipline : Stay true to your trading plan and avoid emotional reactions. Trust your analysis and strategy for a consistent approach. 🧘‍♂️ 🔹 Capital Preservation : Your first priority is protecting your capital; profit should come second. A sustainable strategy ensures long-term success in trading. 🛡️ --- Trade with confidence and stick to your risk management plan! 🤝✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InvoTrading