Gold Price Analysis :Bullish Breakout Anticipated After fakeout.This 30-minute chart for Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) shows a strong consolidation followed by a sharp upward movement. After testing multiple support levels, price bounced strongly from the 3,325 zone and is currently trading at around 3,360.775.
The green zones represent key demand and support areas, where buyers have historically stepped in. Resistance is seen near the 3,400 level. The blue arrow indicates a bullish projection toward the 3,400 resistance zone.
Fakeout & Trap Explanation: A notable fakeout is visible just before the price bounced—this occurred when the price briefly broke below a support level (around 3,345), which may have triggered stop-losses and short entries. However, this move quickly reversed, trapping bears and forcing them to cover their positions, creating a bear trap.
This type of liquidity grab is often engineered by larger market participants to accumulate long positions at better prices. The swift recovery and momentum suggest a bullish continuation toward the next resistance zone near 3,400, as indicated by the arrow.
Conclusion: If the price holds above the mid-level support (~3,345–3,350), we may see further bullish momentum. Watch for a breakout and close above the recent highs for confirmation of trend continuation.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAU / USD 30 Minute ChartHello traders. Just a quick post to show what I am looking at this morning. We have the NY session starting in a bit. Let's see if the move up from the overnight sessions gets corrected. I am not taking any trades today as it is only Monday. This chart is just me keeping tabs on gold and waiting for a good set up. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend.
GOLD (4H) — Explosive Start to the Week, Bullish Projection🏪 1. Market Structure
Gold has reignited its bullish momentum this week.
- Clean breakout of the bearish trendline that had been capping prices for several sessions.
- Rally followed a retest of a 1H IFVG and the OTE zone (retested last week) + POI.
📍 2. Key Technical Zone
- Price is now approaching a crucial Supply Zone around $3,360–$3,380, which represents the next resistance barrier.
🧠 3. Sentiment & Behavior
- The structure resembles an Accumulation → Clear Breakout → Retest → Expansion sequence.
- The 4H RSI is climbing without being overbought, suggesting continuation potential.
🎯 4. Probable Scenario
- As long as price stays above $3,320, the bullish scenario remains intact. 🚀
- If the Supply Zone is cleared, the next target lies near $3,450–$3,500, with potential extension to a fresh ATH. 🏆
✅ Conclusion
Gold has regained short-term control. The structural breakout + intraday bullish momentum support a northward push.
🔔 Remain vigilant for macro catalysts (US inflation data, geopolitical tensions) that could propel gold even higher this week. 🌍
gold on sell retrace#XAUUSD price have been bullish since tension increases, now price is trying to correct before any further movement.
Firstly we await price to fall below 3341 to sell, Target 3331-3317. Stop loss 3357
Any further breakout above the 3366 will form a strong bullish which will reach 3390-3420
Safe-Haven Demand May Drive Gold Prices Higher✅ Today’s ADP report came in bullish for gold,
✅ Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book reveals:
A slight slowdown in economic activity
Increased policy uncertainty and price pressures for businesses and consumers
An overall pessimistic economic outlook
📌 Combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions, this creates a supportive backdrop for safe-haven buying in gold.
🔍 Technical Outlook (1D Chart):
Gold is still facing a bearish divergence on the daily chart. For this to resolve, the market must choose between:
1️⃣ A strong breakout with volume, pushing toward 3430–3450
2️⃣ A pullback to repair structure, including filling the gap below 3300, which may later fuel a rally toward 3500+ if bullish catalysts arise
📅 Key Events to Watch This Week:
Thursday: Initial Jobless Claims
Friday: NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls)
⚠️ Also monitor developments on trade tariffs, which may affect market sentiment
📊 Short-Term Trade Plan (Range Strategy):
🎯 Key levels to watch:
Resistance: around 3400
Support: near 3366
📌 Consider range trading between 3408–3358, selling highs and buying dips with strict risk control.
XAUUSD 30M CHART PATTRNThis chart shows a long (buy) trade setup for Gold (CFDs on Gold in USD per ounce) on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what’s depicted:
Chart Analysis:
Current Price: ~3361.66
Buy Entry Zone: Indicated by the green circle near current price level.
Take Profit: Marked at a significantly higher price level.
Stop Loss: Set below the current price level.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Visually favorable, suggesting a high potential reward relative to the risk.
Interpretation:
The trader expects the current down-move to reverse, hence the suggested long entry.
The chart assumes that price will bounce off this level (possibly support), then move up to the take-profit target.
This setup appears to be based on trend continuation or support bounce logic.
Key Considerations:
Look for confirmation such as candlestick reversal patterns, volume increase, or RSI divergence before entering the trade.
Be mindful of news/events that might affect gold prices—those red icons below the chart could indicate upcoming economic events.
Would you like help analyzing whether this trade setup is strong based on technical indicators or news?
Gold in down trend (correction wave )Sell gold 3305-3309, stop loss at 3315 (4-hour candle close above), targeting 3245 (600 pips), risking 100 pips.
Price is currently in wave Z of a WXYXZ correction. Invalidation level for this correction is 3345. Confirmation of downtrend continuation is a close below 3270.
Currently holding the short position. Watching price action around 3270 for confirmation of further downside. A break below would strengthen the bearish outlook and pave the way towards the 3245 targets. Will monitor for any signs of bullish reversal but maintaining the stop loss at 3315 for now. Invalidation level at 3345 remains the key level to watch for a potential trend change.
Is the positive news fading? The latest analysis of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine breaks out again, exacerbating the uncertainty of the situation
2. The tension in the Middle East continues, Iran claims to be ready to defend its airspace at any time, and the Houthi armed forces attack Israeli airports
3. May PMI data released
📈 Market analysis:
As geopolitical conflicts between Russia and Ukraine and the Middle East broke out again over the weekend, gold jumped higher today. From a technical perspective, the 1H chart shows a bullish arrangement, but the gold price is in a downward channel at the daily level. The gold price is currently near the middle track of the Bollinger Band and is obviously suppressed by the downward channel. The 4H level Bollinger Bands narrowed, the moving averages adhered, the long and short positions were in a stalemate, and the MACD indicator hovered around the 0 axis. 3330 - 3335 above is the key resistance area. If it breaks through 3340, it is expected to continue to see new highs. At the same time, there is short-term support in the 3285-3280 range below. 3270 - 3265 becomes the key important support. If it falls below, it may fall to 3245. For short-term operations in the Asian and European sessions today, if the resistance area of 3325-3335 cannot be effectively broken through, you can consider shorting and look towards 3310-3290 in the short term.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3325-3335
TP 3310-3290
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The latest gold market trend analysis strategy on June 5:
ADP data impact: The US "small non-farm" data in May was significantly lower than expected (37,000 new vs. 110,000 expected), strengthening the market's bet on the Fed's interest rate cut, the US dollar was under pressure (falling below the 99 mark), US Treasury yields fell, and gold was supported as a safe-haven asset.
Technical signal: The bottoming pattern of gold daily line was confirmed, and the low point gradually moved up (3344→3350). The short-term bulls were strong, but attention should be paid to the breakthrough of the previous high of 3392 pressure level.
Non-farm outlook: If the non-farm data continues to be weak on Friday, gold may accelerate its rise; if it rebounds beyond expectations, the US dollar may rebound in the short term, and gold faces the risk of a correction.
Technical analysis
Key price
Support: 3344-3350 (intraday low and early long order entry, long defense line)
Resistance: 3385-3392 (Wednesday high and early week suppression, breakthrough opens up upside)
Bull-bear watershed: If gold price stands above 3392, the target is 3420-3450; if it loses 3344, the risk of short-term correction increases.
Form and momentum
15-minute chart: The big positive line rises with large volume, showing strong bullish momentum, but be wary of the decline in the latter part of the US market (3384→3360).
4-hour chart: MACD golden cross continues, RSI is close to the overbought zone, there may be short-term fluctuations, but the trend is still bullish.
Operation strategy suggestions:
Day trading (June 5)
Long strategy
Entry point: Long with a light position when the price falls back to 3355-3360, and those who are conservative will wait for the area around 3345 to increase their positions.
Stop loss: below 3340 (to prevent false breakthroughs).
Target: 3380-3385 (reduce half position), and look at 3400-3420 after breaking through 3392.
Short strategy (cautious)
Entry point: Try short with a light position when the price first touches 3390-3392 (needs a quick fall signal).
Stop loss: above 3395.
Target: 3375-3365 (short-term speculation callback).
Mid-term layout: If the gold price stabilizes at 3400 after the non-agricultural data, you can arrange long orders with the target at 3450-3480.
Market sentiment and risk warning
Disagreement among retail investors: Some traders bet on continued weakness in non-agricultural data and arrange long orders in advance; other funds are waiting for the direction to be confirmed after the data is released.
Institutional trends: Pay attention to the policy signals before the Fed's June interest rate meeting. If the employment data continues to weaken, the probability of a rate cut in September may rise to more than 50%.
Risk events:
Non-agricultural data deviates from expectations (especially the unemployment rate and wage growth rate).
Geopolitics or unexpected hawkish remarks by Fed officials may disturb the market.
Summary
Gold's short-term technical and fundamental aspects are bullish, but we need to be wary of profit-taking before non-agricultural data. Trading discipline: Strictly stop loss, stop profit in batches, and avoid heavy bets on data. If the Asian and European sessions maintain a consolidation above 3360, the US session can choose to follow up with breakthrough long orders.
Key question to think about: If the non-agricultural data is stronger than expected, where is the limit of gold's correction?
Potential answer: 3300-3320 area (previous platform support + daily level trend line), then you can observe the stabilization signal and re-arrange long positions.
Trading strategy in US sessionGold price in the short term of the US session. The pulling of the h1 candle's wick creates an important liquidity zone of 3373. When h1 closes above this zone, it confirms that the US session will be a bullish session and can reach 3398 at the end of the session. If it closes below 3373, the BUY zone will be noticed at the support reaction in the European session around 3362.
XAUUSDThe trend of XAUUSD is fluctuating.
Wednesday: XAUUSD in the Asian market rose sharply to 3372 and then quickly dropped to 3348. The current quotation is 3360.
It is a good trading opportunity for traders who bought low yesterday. The lowest yesterday fell to 3333. The operating space fluctuates by about $40/ounce. Many people have no idea. The profit of trading 1 lot of buy orders is 4. The profit of trading 5 lots is 20k.
This week is the monthly data news week. Including ADP. ECB interest rate decision, big non-agricultural data that have a significant impact on the economy.
Trend observation. There is still an intention to continue to rise. In terms of operation, you can focus on buying at low levels.
Pressure range: 3400-3390
Support range: 3340-3350
Under the influence of news. Many trends will be distorted due to the influence of data news. So I have been reminding you not to trade alone. If you want to follow good swing trading instructions to make reasonable trades and expand your profits, please leave us a message.
6.4 Gold Market6.4 Gold Market
The Trump administration's "steel tariffs" caused gold to surge to around 3390. Yesterday's bottom of the correction touched around 3330. The current trend analysis shows that there are bullish protection actions at 3340 points. Today, you can go long based on 3344 as the support point.
The ADP data will be released tonight. The 4-hour US dollar fell and went out of the five-wave decline. The typical five-wave decline may have to rebound. If the US dollar surges, the gold 3340 support level may not be able to protect.
Today's strategy is still mainly long. However, if it fails to break through 3370 and falls below 3340, then you must pay attention to stop loss.
BUY: around 3350
SL: 3340
TP: 3370-3400
Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can help you.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Well, I was waiting for a break out of the zone marked on the chart. Now that we have broken out, I will wait for the Pre NY volume to come in about 3.5 hours from now. Sometimes the first few days of the week, gold carves out it's potential paths. I say this because now that we moved up, we may see a correction with the NY open today. Let's see how things play out. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend. Happy Monday!!
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to youIn addition to tariffs and the Federal Reserve, some investors have turned their attention to a U.S. proposed measure that would crack down on companies from countries deemed to have "discriminatory" tax policies. "If the current bill takes effect, it would deter foreign investment in U.S. assets at a time when the U.S. is becoming increasingly dependent on foreign capital to finance its ballooning debt," wrote Elias Haddad, a strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman, in a note. "This is clearly negative for the U.S. dollar."
Although gold prices have corrected this week, the fundamental support remains intact. Fxempire analysis suggests that gold's fundamentals remain cautiously bullish unless the U.S. dollar strengthens significantly or inflation unexpectedly rises.
Technically, the primary trend for gold prices is upward, with the market deriving major support from the 52-week moving average at $2,745.45. Short-term support is at $3,166.46, and medium-term support is at $3,018.52. The six-week consolidation pattern indicates that traders are awaiting a catalyst to either push prices above the all-time high of $3,500.20 or test the 52-week moving average at $2,745.45.
The upward trend for gold prices remains intact. In the absence of new catalysts, spot prices are likely to trade sideways in the range of $3,250 to $3,300. For bears to regain control, they must push gold prices below $3,250, followed by the 50-day simple moving average at $3,221. If the latter is breached, the April 3 high of $3,167 would become a support level. Conversely, if bulls drive prices above $3,300, the next key resistance levels will be $3,350, $3,400, the May 7 swing high of $3,438, and the all-time high of $3,500.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD BUY@3270~3275
SL3260
TP1:3310~3320
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 02 - Jun 06]During the week, OANDA:XAUUSD fluctuated in the range of 3,245 - 3,331 USD/oz and closed the week at 3,289 USD/oz. The reason for the sideways gold price was due to the lack of strong information. The US Court of International Trade's ruling on blocking the Trump administration's tariff policy was postponed, while the US PCE index in April increased by only 2.5%, down from the previous month, not enough to influence the FED's policy in the context of prolonged trade instability.
If the Court continues to block the tariffs, President Trump can still use several laws to maintain the tariffs:
🔹Section 122 - Trade Act of 1974: Allows for a 15% across-the-board tariff for 150 days; then requires congressional approval to extend.
🔹Section 338 - Trade Act of 1930: Allows for tariffs of up to 50% on goods from countries deemed to discriminate against the United States.
🔹Section 232 - Trade Expansion Act of 1962: Allows for the expansion of tariffs from items such as aluminum, steel, and automobiles to other industries on national security grounds.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that US-China trade negotiations are still at a standstill due to many complicated issues, requiring direct intervention from the leaders of the two countries. Although the tariff war is still complicated, the most tense phase has passed. Therefore, in the short term, gold prices are unlikely to exceed the $3,500/oz mark and will likely continue to adjust and accumulate in the $3,100-$3,400/oz range.
Although gold prices are currently stuck in a range, the US economic data released next week, especially the May non-farm payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, could cause a sharp move. The NFP is forecast to come in at 130,000 jobs, down from 177,000 in April. If true, this could reinforce expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates to support the labor market, thereby supporting gold prices. Conversely, if the NFP is stronger than expected, especially higher than last month, the Fed could keep interest rates unchanged, putting downward pressure on gold prices.
📌Technically, on the H4 chart, gold prices are almost moving sideways in a narrowing range, the resistance level is established around 3325 while the support level is around 3245. Next week, gold prices are likely to increase slightly if economic and geopolitical factors continue to support, corresponding to the H1 technical chart, gold prices will increase to 3365-3415 if the price breaks through the Downtrend line and breaks the resistance zone of 3325. In case the gold price falls below the support zone of 3245, the gold price will reverse and decrease.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,250 – 3,228USD
Resistance: 3,300 – 3,371USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3327 - 3325⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3431
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3199