Thinking and practical skills for winning in the 3360-3400 rangeAffected by the news, gold fell sharply at the opening. Successfully won. According to the trading strategy, we gave gold a wide range of fluctuations in the 3360-3400 range, which will not change much. It can be operated within the range during the day. The trading strategy analysis is accurate, and the key points are accurately grasped to enter the market, which brought us good returns during the day. The short-term rhythm is accurately grasped! Brothers who followed the trading plan should have also made very good profits. 🍻🍻🍻
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold's decline under pressure is in line with expectations!From the perspective of the gold hourly line, the morning closed with a full sun, effectively breaking through the resistance of yesterday's 3360-3397 box. Therefore, it is definitely necessary to try to confirm the continued bullish trend after a pullback. The continuous diving in the afternoon refreshed the intraday low, which can only mean that the market is washing out, and all the long and short positions are driven out, and then brewing again; If the European session remains weak below 3350, there may be some room for further decline tonight, but the continuity may not be great, and it is easy to stabilize and bottom out and pull up; the current support is 3320, 3315, and 3305. If a stabilization signal is touched around 22:00, it is bullish. I personally think that there is limited space below 3300, and resistance is 3360, 3365, and 3370. If a pressure signal is touched around 20:00, it will fall back first; if it returns to above 3370, the trend will gradually become stronger, and it will be treated as a wide range of fluctuations for the time being;
On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3370-3375 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3280-3290 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3365-3370, stop loss 10 points, target around 3330-3305, and look at 3290 if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3285-3290, stop loss 10 points, target around 3310-3330, and look at 3350 if it breaks;
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 4h chart route map today after 2 days of smashing targets on the 1h chart idea.
Once again another great day on the markets today. We got our Bearish 3282 and our Bullish 3343 targets hit. No cross and lock on either level, so we are seeing tennis between both Goldturns.
We will look for a ema5 cross and lock on either level to determine the next move. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3343 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3282 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3224
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3190 - 3138
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3138 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3088 - 3046
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Is the rise in gold a rebound or a restart of the upward trend?News Interpretation: US President Trump announced on Sunday that he plans to impose a 100% tariff on films produced overseas, marking the first time that his restrictive trade policy on US imports has been extended to the entertainment industry. This has once again ignited investors' concerns about the potential consequences of a global trade war. On Monday, local time, Trump signed an order on biomedical research, hoping to take the opportunity to promote the US pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. Trump also announced that tariff measures on pharmaceutical products will be announced in the next two weeks. Gold is often seen as a safe haven tool in uncertainty and performs well in a low interest rate environment. Gold prices have soared 26.3% so far this year and have set new historical highs many times.
Gold trend analysis: Gold rose strongly yesterday, and the Asian session pulled up slightly and then fluctuated slowly upward. The European session gold price broke through the support and suppression conversion position we analyzed, and broke through the two key defense positions of 3300 and 3330 in succession. Today, the gold price opened with a single positive rise to around 3385 and was blocked. It is currently falling back at a high level. As of the time of posting, the price is around 3366. Our original idea was to focus on the support near 3162, the 618 position, of the last upward correction of gold prices before 3500. However, the rally on Monday broke through our defense level and our bearish view failed. Now that gold prices have returned to an upward trend, the structure needs to be re-analyzed.
In general, the gold price has risen in the past two days, and our spot market has maintained a steady rhythm. 3386 is a short-term suppression level. If it breaks below 3350 in the Asian session, the steady idea is to wait for a rebound and then short to see the downward trend. Focus on the support of 3272 below.
Circular short selling is still the main themeGold has no power to rebound in the Asian session, and it keeps fluctuating and falling. The highest rebound was 3292, but it fell back under pressure, and the lowest touched 3217. The fluctuation and decline are still dominant, so we only need to short on the rebound. It is still difficult to fill the gap at the opening today, so don't have hope. Just keep shorting on the rebound. The weekend article also analyzes the bearish opening this week. After all, the international situation of India and Pakistan's comprehensive ceasefire and Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations are mainly bearish for gold. Coupled with the technical shorts, it is reasonable for gold to jump short. Today, we will treat gold as rebound shorting. In terms of operation, we will mainly short on rebound and be a steady trader. Judging from the current trend of gold, the main short rhythm of the pullback will continue to remain unchanged before the daily level breaks through and stands at this position.
Gold Mirage Trap: The Ultimate Liquidity Heist-[12May2025]What Retail Traders Don’t See in Today’s Gold Moves Institutional Liquidity Manipulation – A Step Ahead of Illusion Analysis
My view is rooted in fact and data—no noise, no distraction, no rush. X-Plus, the system I designed, precisely maps liquidity and movement. A smart trader remains independent, confident, and waits for confirmation before acting.
Introducing X-Plus: The Ultimate Precision System for Liquidity Mapping The market thrives on deception—misdirection, false breakouts, engineered liquidity traps. X-Plus exposes the illusion, pinpoints institutional execution layers, and keeps traders ahead of liquidity hunts instead of becoming their victims.
Before reading further, here is my take: This sequence represents the real institutional mechanics being set up for today’s move:
First up —a deceptive liquidity sweep above $3,379, creating false bullish momentum. Then down —a sharp selloff, breaking below $3,265, targeting deeper liquidity around $3,169. Finally, a sharp up —a fast recovery, engineered to trap bears, before surging toward the next 3-drive pattern peak of wave D.
Let's see how it will play out, yeah?
Retail traders will think they understand the trend, but institutions are controlling every step of the trap—this is a pure liquidity engineering play.
The inducement phase isn't just clearing liquidity—institutions are layering orders in dark pools while pushing a false trend onto visible exchanges. The pre-bell setup isn't about creating FOMO for retailers—it's actually about internal clearing for institutional portfolios that need rebalancing ahead of NYSE.
Macro Price Engineering Beyond SMC Narratives
Retail traders believe the pre-bell liquidity sweep is setting trend direction, but in reality, it’s engineering spread control for futures market execution. Volatility spikes aren’t retail-driven—they’re forced by institutional hedging adjustments in the fixed-income derivatives market, which most traders don’t factor into gold moves.
The Hidden Psychological Manipulation Behind Today’s Price Action
The illusion of market control isn't just baiting traders into stop-hunts—it’s actually resetting sentiment indicators that institutions use to fine-tune algorithmic executions later in the session. The price structure you're seeing isn't about accumulation or distribution—it's about forcing incorrect risk-reward calculations on retail traders so they mismanage their sizing, setting up deeper liquidity for NYSE execution.
The Real Execution Plan – Not Just a Reflection of Speculation
Liquidity sweeps aren't designed for direct stops today—they're actually pre-loading supply zones before derivative contract adjustments trigger auto-liquidation mechanisms. The predicted downside move isn't incorrect, but the true reversal won't happen where retail traders think—it'll be forced at a miscalculated low to trap institutions into forward-roll risk positions. NYSE won’t just sweep the bears before climbing—it’ll use forced dealer hedging activities to inflate volume before rejecting most breakout traders who take the upside move too early.
Gold Price Action Breakdown 📍 Current Market Levels Front Month Gold Contract: $3,326.30 (Last Settlement Price)
Resistance Zones: $3,360-$3,365, $3,400 (Psychological Barrier) Support Zones: $3,265-$3,264, $3,223-$3,222 (Next Downside Target)
⏳ Key Timing for Institutional Moves
Asian Pre-Bell (Next 2-3 Hours): Expect high-frequency stop-hunts targeting retail traders entering positions too early.
London Session Open (Critical Pivot Point): This will be the moment institutions flush liquidity out before positioning for the true move.
NYSE Session (True Move Unfolds): Gold renounces sharply, sweeping bears before the next 3-drive pattern peak of wave D.
🚀 Institutional Execution Strategy
Synthetic liquidity mirage—volume spikes will appear, but they’re not real demand, just engineered liquidity traps. Dark pool positioning—institutions will offload positions in hidden exchanges, making the real move invisible until execution. Delayed execution trap—the true reversal won’t happen immediately, forcing traders to hold onto losing positions longer than they should.
Conclusion: The Illusion Will Break—But Only for Those Who See It
Markets are designed to deceive—price action isn’t just movement, it’s manipulation. Today’s liquidity engineering is a masterclass in institutional deception, and only traders who understand where the true execution layers lie will emerge unscathed.
Retail sentiment will chase breakouts, stop-hunts will lure in emotional entries, and miscalculations will force premature exits. But behind the illusion lies the real institutional mechanics—the precise sequence of moves that will dictate today’s liquidity flow.
Gold Mirage Trap: The Ultimate Liquidity Heist is unfolding. Let’s see who escapes the trap and who falls into it.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on systematic liquidity mapping through X-Plus and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions are subject to manipulation, engineered liquidity events, and institutional strategies beyond the scope of retail trading. Traders are responsible for their own risk management, execution, and decision-making. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GOLD may enter accumulation when the market lacks impact Spot OANDA:XAUUSD prices were broadly steady in Asian trade on Friday (April 25) after a sharp rise in the previous trading day. The current price of gold is around $3,341/ounce, down from the $3,371 price target that readers noted in yesterday's edition. Spot gold prices jumped on Thursday, snapping a nearly 3% decline the previous day, helped by a weaker US dollar and bargain-hunting as investors kept a close eye on the latest news on tariff negotiations.
Market Highlights
Gold prices rebounded on Thursday after their biggest drop this year as bargain hunters entered the market, Bloomberg reported.
China's official broadcaster CCTV reported Thursday that the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump is considering a plan to impose tiered tariffs on China, and White House press secretary Levitt said Trump's stance on tariffs on China "has not softened."
"This is all fake news. As far as I know, China and the United States have never consulted or negotiated on tariffs, let alone reached an agreement. This tariff war was initiated by the United States, and China's attitude is consistent and clear: if you want to fight, we will fight to the end; if you want to negotiate, the door is open. Dialogue and negotiation must be equal, respectful and mutually beneficial," said Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Guo Jiakun.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack made it clear in an interview on Thursday that the Fed has essentially ruled out a rate cut in May. But she also delivered a key message, saying that if there is clear evidence of the economy’s direction, there will be room for policy action in June.
When asked if a rate cut was possible in June, Hammack said: “If we get clear and compelling data in June, then I think the committee will act, assuming we have a clear understanding of the right path for policy at that point.” Markets reacted quickly after Hammack’s remarks, with interest rate swaps indicating the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June rising to around 65%.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After achieving the target increase twice, which readers should pay attention to in the previous day's publication at 3,371 USD, the price point of the Fibonacci retracement of 0.236%, the recovery momentum of gold is being controlled and limited.
In the short term, gold is likely to enter a sideways accumulation phase, waiting for more fundamental breakthroughs. The expected accumulation area is around 3,371 - 3,292 USD, which are the positions of the Fibonacci retracement of 0.236% and 0.382%.
However, with the current position, the main outlook is still bullish in the long term with the trend from the price channel as the main trend and support from the EMA21 as the main support.
During the day, the expectation of short-term accumulation in the main uptrend will be noted by the following levels.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3411 - 3409⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3415
→Take Profit 1 3403
↨
→Take Profit 2 3397
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3204 - 3206⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3200
→Take Profit 1 3212
↨
→Take Profit 2 3218
Bullish Breakout Defies Trade Uncertainty and Global TensionsOANDA:XAUUSD Gold remains firm near $3,333, holding a bullish structure after a breakout above multi-year resistance. While short-term pullbacks persist, geopolitical tensions and a Fed pause continue to support safe-haven demand. Trump's refusal to ease China tariffs dampens trade optimism, further boosting gold's appeal. Key support lies around $3,333 and $3.273.
Resistance : $3,414 , $3,474
Support : $3,333 , $ 3,273
Gold update Chart Analysis
Trend: The market is currently in an uptrend with a pullback happening within a bullish flag or channel.
Current Price: Around 3,390.13
Support Zone: Near 3,322.725
Potential Entry: At or just below the current price level after a small dip (as shown by the blue arrow).
Bullish Bias: Based on the continuation pattern and price respecting the upward trendline.
📈 Trade Setup (Buy Position)
Entry: Around 3,390
Stop Loss (SL): Below the recent swing low or channel support → around 3,361
Take Profit (TP): Targeting the projected measured move → around 3,450 - 3,460
This setup gives a decent Risk:Reward ratio, approximately 1:2 or better, depending on the exact entry.
🔁 Summary
Entry: 3,390
SL: 3,361
TP: 3,450 to 3,460
Bias: Bullish continuation after a healthy pullback
Gold Head & Shoulder PatternThe completion of a head and shoulders pattern in the gold market suggests the potential commencement of an upward trend.
Current market conditions indicate that we are presently situated within the right shoulder formation of this pattern, an observation that warrants careful monitoring for confirmation of the bullish reversal and subsequent price appreciation.
GOLD FOMC Interest Rate Decision (May 7, 2025)
The Federal Reserve held rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%, maintaining its stance since December 2024. The decision reflects heightened uncertainty from escalating U.S.-China trade tensions and mixed economic signals, including stagflation risks (rising unemployment and inflation). Chair Jerome Powell emphasized vigilance toward trade policy impacts but avoided signaling imminent rate cuts, despite market expectations for easing later in 2025.
Geopolitical Conflicts Affecting Gold Prices
U.S.-China Trade War Escalation
New tariffs and retaliatory measures have intensified safe-haven demand for gold. Prices hit record highs in April 2025 (NT$3,518/gram in Taiwan) as investors sought protection from market volatility.
Renewed trade talks (e.g., U.S.-China meetings in Switzerland) caused a brief 1.3% gold price dip on optimism, but analysts project prices to rebound to $3,500–$4,000/oz by late 2025 amid unresolved tensions.
Central Bank Gold Accumulation
Central banks, led by China and Russia, are aggressively stockpiling gold to diversify from USD assets and hedge against sanctions.
Prolonged military tensions continue to drive gold’s role as a crisis hedge. Escalation could push prices higher, while de-escalation might temporarily reduce demand.
Middle East Instability
Conflicts between Iran and Saudi Arabia disrupt global supply chains and energy markets, amplifying gold’s appeal as a safe haven during periods of heightened risk.
Dollar Weakness and Inflation Risks
A declining U.S. Dollar Index (-0.3% on May 7) and tariff-driven inflation fears have bolstered gold’s attractiveness. The Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts reinforces gold’s appeal in a negative real yield environment.
Gold Price Outlook
Short-term: Prices may face volatility from trade talk progress or Fed policy shifts but remain supported by geopolitical risks and central bank buying.
Long-term: Analysts (e.g., UBS, Bank of America) forecast gold reaching $3,500–$4,000/oz in 2025 due to structural demand, tariff impacts, and unresolved global conflicts.
In summary, gold’s trajectory hinges on geopolitical stability, central bank actions, and Fed policy, with bullish momentum likely to persist amid fragmented global trade and economic uncertainty.
XAUUSD- Signal to go down - 24/04/2025- With any macro economy problem, Gold & BTC are always the key asset to to shelter cash flow.
- From Gold H1 chart, It showed strong selling pressure recently. A short plan is reasonable with Gold. Of course, any plan can be wrong, but as a trader & value investor, we have to have the plans to deal with it and prepare to buy more good stocks, assets
- Explain the chart as - NCI system:
1. Strong momentum comes to down key level of H1
2. Big money comes in, Key level has not broken yet. But high probability Gold will go down.
3. Zone & Trend are shown on chart. Please refer on it for more detail
This analyzation is my personal view as a trader - investor, it's not a recommended deal.
Analysis of gold for next weekThis week, the price range of gold was $200. It finally closed as a positive candlestick with an upper shadow, and the length of the shadow was comparable to that of the real body. This indicates that the bulls and bears were evenly matched. Overall, it showed a pattern of wide-range oscillation. In the short term, it maintained an oscillation at a high level, adopting a corrective method of exchanging time for space, which is favorable for the bulls. The fundamental factors supporting the bulls have not changed at present, so it can't be said that there is a trend reversal. Since it has risen a lot, it just needs a new round of accumulation of upward momentum, and there will be an oscillating process. This is in terms of the long-term cycle. There will be news over the weekend, which is bound to impact the market next week. The price of gold will temporarily continue to fluctuate violently, and it is expected that this will be the norm throughout May. As time goes by, the 10-week moving average (MA10) will gradually move upward, and this position should be closely watched in the later stage. In the past, the biggest pullbacks all relied on this support to move upward, and whenever there is a significant downward adjustment, it is an opportunity to go long.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
GOLD The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has resumed buying and strengthened recently due to several key factors:
Widening Interest Rate Differential and Economic Outperformance
The U.S. economy is growing faster than many other major economies, projected at around 2.7% in 2025, while Europe and Japan face weaker growth and deeper rate cuts by their central banks.
This growth divergence has widened the gap between U.S. 10-year Treasury yields and those of key trading partners to the highest level since 1994, making the dollar more attractive to investors seeking yield.
Delayed Fed Rate Cuts Due to Tariff-Driven Inflation
U.S. tariffs, especially on Chinese goods, are expected to keep inflation elevated, delaying the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut cycle. Higher U.S. interest rates relative to other countries support dollar strength.
The Fed’s cautious stance after the May 7 meeting, holding rates steady and signaling a wait-and-see approach, reinforces the dollar’s yield advantage.
Safe-Haven Demand Amid Geopolitical and Trade Uncertainty
Ongoing geopolitical tensions, trade war fears, and tariff uncertainties drive investors toward the dollar as a safe haven during periods of global uncertainty.
Positive Carry Trades and Positioning
The dollar benefits from carry trades where investors borrow in lower-yielding currencies (yen, euro) to invest in higher-yielding U.S. assets. Long-dollar positioning is not yet saturated, leaving room for further gains.
Technical Support and Market Sentiment
The DXY has found strong technical support near key levels with bullish price action and momentum building, suggesting continued upside potential in the near term.
Summary Table
Widened interest rate differential Higher U.S. yields draw investors
Tariff-driven inflation delays Fed cuts Sustains dollar yield advantage
Safe-haven demand amid uncertainty Boosts dollar as global risk-off asset
Positive carry trades Encourages long-dollar positioning
Technical support near key levels Reinforces bullish momentum
In essence:
The DXY’s resumed buying reflects a combination of strong U.S. economic fundamentals, delayed Fed easing due to tariff inflation, safe-haven flows amid geopolitical risks, and technical factors supporting the dollar’s near-term rally. This momentum is expected to continue into mid-2025 unless global growth stabilizes or the Fed signals more aggressive easing.
XAU/USD..1h chart pattern..**short trade on gold (XAU/USD) from 3272 with a target of 3200**—a **75-point drop**. Let’s break this down:
---
### **Trade Analysis: Sell Gold @ 3275 → Target 3200**
1. **Potential Profit**:
- **72 points** (3272 – 3200).
- If trading 1 lot (100 oz), this is **$720 profit**.
2. **Key Levels**:
- **Entry**: 3275
- **Target**: 3200 (support level)
- **Stop-Loss (SL)**: Should be above a recent swing high (e.g., 3300–3320).
3. **Risk-Reward Ratio**:
- If SL = 3320 (48 points risk), Reward = 72 points → **1:1.5 ratio** (acceptable).
4. **Technical Justification**:
- **Bearish Scenario**: Gold fails to break 3300 resistance, pulls back to 3200.
- **Support at 3200**: A break below could lead to 3150 or lower.
- **Confirmation Needed**: Look for rejection at 3272 (bearish candlestick patterns, RSI divergence).
5. **Fundamental Factors**:
- **Strong USD** → Gold weakens.
- **Fed Hawkishness** (rate hikes) → Negative for gold.
- **Geopolitical Calm** → Less safe-haven demand.
---
### **Trade Execution Plan**
- **Entry**: Sell at **3275** (or wait for rejection confirmation).
- **Stop-Loss**: **3300–3320** (adjust based on volatility).
- **Take Profit**: **3200** (first target), then trail if momentum continues.
- **Alternative**: Partial profit at 3225, move SL to breakeven.
---
### **Caution**
- Gold is volatile—unexpected news (war, Fed pivot) could spike prices.
- If 3200 holds as support, consider closing the trade or tightening stops.
Would you like a chart reference or an update on current gold trends? 🚀
XAUUSD GOLD Suggestion Bearish TrendGold (XAUUSD) is showing bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart.
The recent 1% drop was triggered by President Trump's announcement of a U.K. trade deal, which sparked optimism for more trade agreements.
we waiting for a solid breakout confirmation to the downside, suggesting a sell-side bias.
Resistance level to watch 3335/ 40
Support Levels 3300 / 3270
Keep eye these factors lets we could see how the price will Plays out.
Would you like me to check the latest chart and technical Setup keep Support pour work Thanks investors.