Hanzo / Gold 15 min - 0 draw down tactical Reversal Entrys🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish Reversal : 3347.5
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish Reversal : 3350
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish Reversal : 3373.5
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
GOLD GOES 'PREPARING FOR SCORCHING-HOT JULY'. UPSHOT OF 1H 2025Gold market shines bright in first half of 2025, with nearly 25 percent year-to-date gain, which becomes one of the best start of the year in history ever following 1H 2016 (became a launching pad for Gold to more than Triple in price over next decade) and 1H 1973 (where Gold bugs sharply skyrocketed to infinity and beyond, printed more than 10x over next decade).
The gold spot market in July 2025 is shaped by both fundamental and technical factors supporting a cautiously bullish outlook.
Fundamental perspectives
Were you ready or not, Gold prices have surged significantly in 2025, driven by persistent global uncertainties including geopolitical conflicts (e.g., Middle East tensions), trade disputes, and inflation concerns.
Central banks, notably the Federal Reserve, are expected to cut interest rates later in 2025, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, a non-yielding asset. This monetary easing alongside continued inflation worries and safe-haven demand underpins strong gold fundamentals.
Major financial institutions like J.P. Morgan and UBS forecast gold prices averaging around $3,500–$3,675 per ounce in late 2025, with potential to reach $4,000/oz by mid-2026.
Central bank gold purchases and diversification away from US dollar assets also support demand.
Technical perspectives
Technically, gold has experienced volatile but mostly sideways trading in a roughly $300 range around $3,200–$3,500 since mid-2025, reflecting consolidation after a strong rally earlier in the year.
Key support lies near $3,000 and $3,200 levels (125-Day, or 6-Month SMA), with resistance around $3,500 to $3,800. Indicators such as moving averages and RSI suggest an upward trend with possible short-term corrections.
A breakout above $3,500 could trigger further gains toward $3,800, while a drop below $3,200 may lead to testing $3,000 support.
Overall, July is expected to see continued range-bound trading amid new external uncertainties, with bullish momentum intact.
In summary, gold’s fundamentals remain robust due to macroeconomic and geopolitical drivers, while technicals point to consolidation with potential for renewed upward moves in the July 2025 spot market.
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Best #GODL wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
GOLD Outlook: Bullish Above 3379, Correction Likely BelowGOLD – Technical Overview
Gold maintains bullish momentum, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which are increasing safe-haven demand.
The price is approaching the pivot level at 3379. A confirmed 1-hour close above this level would likely extend the bullish trend toward 3393 and 3404.
However, if the price remains below 3379, we may see a short-term bearish correction toward 3364, potentially dipping as low as 3339 before resuming the upward trend.
Key Levels
• Pivot: 3379
• Resistance: 3393, 3404
• Support: 3364, 3339
XAUUSD long on market priceHere is the technical analysis for XAUUSD (gold).
Top down analysis show upward momentum:
Also on daily is bounced close to daily support-
On chart in the beginning it's visible that on 4H price has bounce from 4H support.
Market price: 3320
SL: 3280
TP1: 3360
TP2: 3400
Tp3: 3440
Gold Prices Retreat, Short-term Bearish Trend PrevailsOn Friday, gold prices rebounded to $3,328 at the start of Asian trading but were resisted, followed by a sustained decline. Influenced by the U.S. May PCE price index data during the U.S. session, prices hit a low of $3,255 and closed at around $3,274, forming a large bearish candlestick with a long lower shadow on the daily chart.
Influencing Factors: Optimistic expectations on trade agreements boosted market risk appetite, weakening gold's safe-haven appeal.
Technical Analysis:
- Daily chart: Gold has broken below the 5-day moving average, with short-term moving averages in a bearish arrangement.
- 4-hour chart: The Bollinger Bands have widened, and prices are trending lower along the lower band. The key resistance level at $3,310 is critical—failure to reclaim this level may intensify short-term selling pressure.
Outlook for Next Week: Events such as the global central bank governors' meeting, non-farm payroll data release, and discussions on Powell's potential resignation will disrupt the market. Gold is expected to fluctuate sharply around $3,270, with caution advised for a secondary bottoming.
Comprehensive Judgment: The bearish probability is high:
- Upper Resistance: Focus on the $3,310–$3,300 range, a key bull-bear dividing line. A breakthrough here could reverse the trend.
- Lower Support: Watch the $3,250 level—breaking below it may open further downside.
Indicator Signals:
- MACD: Bearish crossover below the zero line with expanding green bars, indicating accelerating downward momentum.
- RSI: At 39 in the oversold zone, showing potential for a short-term bottom, but bearish momentum remains dominant.
XAUUSD
sell@3290~3280
sl:3310
tp:3260~3250
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold: waiting the U.S. decisionGold was traded in a relaxed manner during the previous week, as investors are anticipating the final decision of the U.S. Administration, regarding their involvement in the Middle East conflict. On the other hand, the Fed held interest rates unchanged at the FOMC meeting during the previous week. The price of gold reached its highest weekly level at the start of the week, at $3.446 and for the rest of the week was traded in a modestly negative sentiment, ending the week at $3.368.
The RSI continues to move between levels of 60 and 53. This shows that investors are still not certain which side to trade. The indicator is still holding more close toward the overbought market side. There is still no change with MA 50 and MA 200 lines as they continue to move in parallel with an uptrend. Still, charts are showing that the price of gold found a supporting line with MA50, since April this year.
Analysts are noting that central banks continue to be one of major gold buyers. Considering high geopolitical and economic uncertainties, the price of gold has the potential to go even higher from current levels. However, for the week ahead, charts are showing that some further corrections might be possible, at least till the level of $3,2K. Some stronger corrections should not be expected. The price of gold also has equal opportunities for a move toward the upside, where the level of $3.430 might be tested for one more time. There is also the potential for higher grounds, but it is unclear whether it will occur in the week ahead or probably at a longer time frame.
Gold Is Set to Bottom Out and Rebound This WeekAt today’s open, gold once again dipped into the 3258–3248 buy zone, then rebounded toward 3270. From a structural perspective, gold has clearly entered a downward trend, but this decline is unlikely to be one-directional—short-term rebounds and consolidations are expected along the way.
Based on my experience, below 3250 remains a favorable area for initiating long positions. Whether the price rebounds directly or continues lower before building a stronger base to challenge 3300 again, the broader outlook remains bullish as long as the 3200 support holds. A bottoming reversal this week is still the more probable scenario.
As such, the focus early this week should be on buying near the lows, with short opportunities on rebounds as a secondary strategy. Monitor key support levels for signs of strength.
This week is also packed with important data—including PMI, Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), and the unemployment rate, in addition to regular economic releases. Given the current macroeconomic backdrop, significant market volatility is expected—bringing both risk and opportunity. Manage your exposure carefully and stay adaptable.
Gold Extends Decline Amid Easing Safe-Haven DemandGold continues its downward trajectory as safe-haven sentiment weakens. Geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel appear to be easing following a ceasefire agreement, reducing the perceived need for defensive assets such as gold.
At the same time, the market is reassessing its expectations regarding U.S. monetary policy. With the Federal Reserve unlikely to cut interest rates in the near term—and concerns about inflation resurfacing due to potential tax policy changes under former President Donald Trump—gold is facing a dual source of short-term pressure.
Investor sentiment is currently shifting toward riskier assets, as capital flows increasingly favor equities over gold. This risk-on environment has further eroded demand for traditional safe havens.
From a technical perspective, gold failed to break above the $3,350 level, signaling waning bullish momentum. This may indicate the onset of a short-term corrective phase.
On the political front, recent remarks by Donald Trump—including the possibility of a long-term diplomatic solution with Iran and discussions around replacing Fed Chair Jerome Powell—have introduced additional volatility into global financial markets.
Furthermore, according to market data I have reviewed, gold sales in the second quarter have shown signs of slowing. Buyers are becoming more cautious amid elevated price levels, while many investors are choosing to take profits, contributing to an increasingly two-sided market dynamic.
Despite this, I maintain a positive medium- to long-term outlook for gold. The U.S. dollar is currently at its weakest point in three and a half years, offering significant support. Notably, central banks managing over $5 trillion in assets are planning to increase their gold reserves within the next one to two years—a strong structural driver for gold’s long-term growth.
In summary, I believe gold is currently experiencing short-term corrective pressure due to a combination of geopolitical developments, interest rate expectations, and shifting investor sentiment. However, its long-term outlook remains solid, supported by a weaker dollar, global macroeconomic risks, and continued central bank accumulation.
GOLD UPCOMING WEEK ANALYSIS/SET UP On the M5 timeframe, a confirmed candle closure above 3283 would signal a shift toward short-term bullish momentum. In this scenario, the market is likely to attract buyers looking to capitalize on upward continuation. A logical strategy would be to wait for a pullback toward the 3264 or 3278 zone all depending upon price action ie swing lows, It's important to maintain a tight stop loss just below the pullback low, as the expected targets in this bullish leg are first 3291, followed by the psychological level of 3300. These levels may offer minor resistance, and partial profit-taking around them could be considered.
If buying pressure remains strong and the price closes decisively above 3303, this would confirm a continuation of bullish intent. At that point, the market is likely to push toward the unmitigated supply zone marked on the chart. This zone has not been fully tested and may act as a key inflection point where institutional selling could re-enter the market. we should watch price behavior closely in this area, as signs of rejection—such as a bearish engulfing candle or a failure to hold above 3323—would suggest exhaustion of bullish momentum.
If the market fails to hold above 3323 and instead closes below it, this would shift the bias to bearish. Such a rejection would present a high-probability sell opportunity, with the expectation of a move back toward this week’s low. This bearish move would likely be driven by a combination of profit-taking and reactivation of supply from the unmitigated zone, aligning well with smart money principles targeting liquidity beneath recent lows.
Note: Only for educational purpose not a financial advice
Possible MTR in Play (TBC)Gold has printed a textbook structure for a potential Major Trend Reversal (MTR) off the ATH zone, with a clean rejection and a shift in character. The descending trendline from the top aligns with lower highs, while the ascending base from April is now under pressure.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
3,280.0 – neckline of the potential MTR
3,250.00 – psychological magnet and structural support
3,000.00 – major downside target if the reversal confirms
🧠 “Markets top on euphoria, not logic.” If price breaks and retests the neckline with momentum, the MTR thesis gains traction. Until then — TBC.
#XAUUSD #Gold #MajorTrendReversal #MTR #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBears #ATHRejection #TrendShift #MJTrading
Gold has risen for 12 consecutive hours!
The recent war risk aversion has come to an end temporarily, but the hidden dangers of local conflicts are still there, and it is not ruled out that wars will continue to occur in the future; Looking back at this Middle East war: the first time Iran and Israel shot at each other, after both sides stopped, Israel turned around to clean up the surrounding armed forces; this time, after the two sides ended the 12-day war conflict, Israel turned around again to clean up the surrounding armed forces; these two short confrontations are more like a kind of military deterrence and military warning! Therefore, Qiu Mo believes that the possibility of continued war cannot be ruled out in the future;
From the 4-hour analysis of gold, the stochastic indicator golden cross is mainly bullish; the MACD indicator double-line adhesion upward, mainly bullish; the 4-hour bias continues to rise; the 4-hour downward trend channel is temporarily suppressed, the pressure position is near 3350, the only empty point today; the short-term support position is temporarily near 3320; buy when it pulls back.
You can try at 3310-3315, with a target of 3335-3345. If it stabilizes after breaking 3355, you can continue to hold it. If it fluctuates around 3355, you can take profits and start selling. The target is 3340-3330.
MONTH START WITH STRONG BUY MOVE ALERT !Currently, price action on the 30-minute chart is showing signs of weakness as it hovers near a key support level at around 3328. The chart has been respecting an ascending trendline, but now we see price attempting to break below this trendline 📉.
🔸 Resistance Zone: 3338
🔸 Support Zone: 3328
🔸 Bearish Target Area: 3315–3300 region
🚨 If the price breaks below the support and the ascending trendline is invalidated, we may see further downside movement, with a potential target near the 3300 zone, which aligns with a previous demand area.
🛑 Watch for confirmation (bearish engulfing candle or retest rejection) before entering a short position.
💡 Bias: Bearish below 3328
📌 Next Key Support: 3290
Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 💬
📊 Trade safe and always manage your risk! 🛡️
Gold Loses Its Luster as Risk Appetite Takes ControlAlthough inflation in the US continues to rise, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data for May showed that the core PCE increased to 2.7%, exceeding forecasts, but the market still does not expect the Fed to cut interest rates soon.
The USD slightly decreased, bond yields remained stable, but gold prices failed to take advantage of these supporting factors. According to experts, market sentiment is leaning towards risky assets, as US stocks hit a peak and US-China trade relations have positive developments. This is the main reason for the decline in safe-haven demand for gold.
Currently, the gold market is in a tug-of-war state, waiting for stronger signals from inflation, geopolitical tensions or global economic instability to determine the next trend. If there are no major fluctuations in the near future, gold may continue to adjust in the short term, especially when the technical resistance zone has not been broken.
Personally, I see that the money flow is temporarily stopping in gold and gradually shifting to growth assets. And if there is no strong enough “push”, gold will continue to move in this short-term downtrend for a while longer.
Gold Breaks Trendline – Deeper Correction Ahead?Gold (XAUUSD) has just broken below its short-term ascending trendline formed since mid-May. The candle closed around $3,333, confirming a bearish engulfing pattern and highlighting growing selling pressure after multiple failed attempts to reclaim the $3,383–$3,399 resistance zone (Fibonacci 0.5–0.618).
Key Levels to Watch:
- Immediate Support: $3,315 (tested twice before)
- Main Resistance: $3,383–$3,399 (Fibonacci zone)
- Major Resistance: $3,435–$3,451 (May high zone)
If $3,315 fails to hold, gold could retest $3,285–$3,270, with deeper downside toward $3,222.
Technical Overview:
- The ascending trendline is now broken.
- Bearish engulfing candlestick confirms momentum shift.
- Price rejected sharply from Fibonacci 0.618 – $3,399.
Trade Setups to Consider:
Sell Opportunity: Short near $3,360–$3,383; stop loss above $3,400; targets at $3,315 and $3,270.
Speculative Buy: Watch for reversal patterns near $3,315; stop loss below $3,300; short-term target $3,350–$3,365.
Caution: This week brings major U.S. economic events (GDP, PCE, Fed speeches). Trade reactively, manage risk tightly, and avoid overleveraging.
the best time to make money### XAUUSD – 15m Game Plan (June 25)
**Context**
- London/NY overlap printed a sharp push into intraday supply @ **3329-3335**.
- Immediate rejection left a long upper wick, suggesting remaining sell-side liquidity up there.
- Key demand/OB sits @ **3300-3305** (round number + H1 bullish OB).
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#### Base scenario
I expect price to sweep liquidity around **3300-3305**, print a bullish rejection and then target
**3340-3345** (day-range extension & 4 h imbalance).
> **Buy zone:** 3300-3305
> **Invalidation:** clean close < 3295
> **First TP:** 3330-3335 (~100 pips)
> **Final TP:** 3340-3345
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#### Alternate (aggressive) scalp
Should price revisit **3329-3335** and show a clear rejection (15 m bearish engulf / long upper wick),
I’ll consider a short toward **3315 → 3305** with stops above **3336**.
Scalp only – will stand aside into major US data releases.
---
> 🚩 **Risk note:** Gold is extremely headline-sensitive this week – no position will be left open through tier-1 news. Always manage risk – max 1 % per trade.
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup – Strong Support Bounce & Potential Reversal
Timeframe: 4H
Gold recently bounced off a well-defined strong support zone near $3,263, forming a potential double bottom structure. The price is now showing early signs of reversal with bullish momentum building.
Key Levels:
Entry: ~ $3,294
Stop Loss: Below $3,263 (support zone)
Target 1: $3,349 (minor resistance)
Target 2: $3,413 (major resistance)
Technical Confluence:
Price respected historical support (highlighted by multiple bounces)
Bullish price action with a recovery structure
Opportunity for upside retracement toward previous supply zones
Fundamental Outlook:
Gold may see bullish pressure amid geopolitical uncertainty and potential central bank dovish pivot
Market awaiting key macroeconomic data – watch for volatility spikes
Bias: Bullish (Short-to-Medium Term)
A solid buy setup for traders looking to capitalize on price recovery from a strong support zone with clearly defined risk
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youFirst, geopolitical dynamics significantly impact gold prices. When Trump announced a comprehensive ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, tensions in the Middle East eased substantially, causing a rapid cooling of market risk aversion. As gold has long been a favored safe-haven asset, reduced market panic directly diminished demand for gold, triggering price declines. However, the Middle East situation remains highly volatile, and the ceasefire's sustainability is uncertain. If conflicts resume, risk aversion will surge, likely driving gold prices higher.
Secondly, Federal Reserve policy trends cannot be overlooked. Fed officials have signaled hawkishness, implying only two rate cuts totaling 50 basis points in 2025—some members even doubt any cuts will occur. This stance pushed the U.S. Dollar Index above 99.6. Since gold is priced in U.S. dollars, a stronger dollar exerts downward pressure on gold prices. Additionally, rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, prompting investors to favor interest-yielding assets over gold, further prices.
Technically, gold’s breakdown below the key $3,360 support level triggered stop-loss orders in programmatic trading, leading to a "long liquidation cascade" as panic selling accelerated declines. However, after consecutive drops, stabilizing signals have emerged at key levels. For instance, the daily chart shows critical psychological and technical support near $3,300. The 4-hour chart features a long lower shadow from a recent low and three consecutive green candles, indicating buying support at lower levels.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD sell@3350~3340
SL:3360
TP:3330~3320
XAUUSD 4H Analysis – Possible Break Below Key StructureStructure Overview:
After printing a multi-month high around 3,473, price has formed a clear rounded top followed by lower highs, showing weakening bullish momentum. Gold is now retesting a key structure zone near 3,270–3,275, which has acted as previous support several times.
📉 Key Technical Observations:
Trend: Short-term bearish within a broader consolidation
Support Zone: 3,270–3,250 (watch closely for a break)
Resistance Levels:
Minor: 3,340
Major: 3,390–3,400
📊 Scenario Outlook
🔻 Bearish Bias (Preferred Scenario)
If price closes below 3,270, expect:
Initial target: 3,210–3,220 zone (clean imbalance + previous resistance)
Secondary target: 3,130–3,150 (March structure break zone)
This would confirm a transition into a mid-term bearish leg unless a fakeout occurs.
🔺 Bullish Recovery (Alternative Scenario)
If price reclaims 3,305 with strength:
A move back toward 3,340–3,360 is possible
Needs volume + momentum confirmation, ideally with a bullish engulfing candle
⚠️ What to Watch
Daily candle close relative to 3,270
Reaction at 3,250–3,260 demand zone
Gold often sweeps key lows before reversing — watch for liquidity grab wicks
📌 Conclusion
Gold is sitting at a critical level — a confirmed close below 3,270 could open the doors for a deeper retracement toward March’s breakout levels. Until then, this remains a watch and react environment. Avoid chasing.