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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | February 7, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure (H1 Timeframe) Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is moving sharply and steeply—this suggests the formation of a 5-wave impulsive structure. Specifically: - Waves 1, 2, and 3 (green) appear to have completed. - Currently, wave 4 is forming as a 3-wave corrective structure (abc in black). - Once wave 4 completes, we anticipate the next upward move as wave 5, which will complete the full 5-wave cycle (green). 🎯 Potential Price Targets for Wave 4 Based on the structure of the abc correction and support zones, we identify two key target areas: + Target 1: 3324 + Target 2: 3311 When the price breaks above the top of wave b (black), it will serve as a strong confirmation that wave 4 has ended and wave 5 is beginning. 📈 Momentum Analysis Daily (D1): Momentum is still rising and likely needs 2–3 more days to enter the overbought zone, supporting the continuation of the uptrend. H4: Momentum is about to turn upward, signaling wave 4 may be nearing completion. H1: Momentum is also preparing to turn up, suggesting the price is approaching the end of the wave 4 correction zone. 💼 Trading Plan BUY ZONE: 3325 – 3322 STOP LOSS: 3215 TAKE PROFIT 1: 3345 TAKE PROFIT 2: 3368 TAKE PROFIT 3: 3395 📌 Wait for H1–H4 momentum alignment before triggering a BUY entry for wave 5.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD – Bullish Flag Breakout After Demand Zone Test Price pulled back into the major demand zone (blue area), rejected with a strong wick, and formed a bullish flag structure. The breakout above the flag channel suggests continuation toward recent highs. Trade Plan: ✅ Entry: Above 3344 (breakout confirmation) ✅ Stop Loss: Below 3332 (last swing low) ✅ Target: 3357–3360 (previous resistance zone) Context: • Demand zone respected • EMA support aligning • Clear breakout candle with volume Risk Management: Max risk per trade: 1% Zoom in M5: #Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #MJTrading #ForexSignals #CommodityTrading
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by MJElahifx
1
"Gold at Critical Zone – Parabolic Curve Support or Breakdown? 📈 Gold Parabolic Structure | Base 4 Breakout Setup | $4,000 Target Sharing my analysis on Gold’s ongoing parabolic trend, which has followed a textbook progression of Base 1 → Base 4 since mid-2022. The price has respected a structural curved trendline, and we are currently in Base 4 consolidation — often the final pause before a blow-off rally. Current Setup: Gold is consolidating between $3,200 – $3,400, forming Base 4. There is weekly bearish divergence, indicating momentum loss, but this is normal in late-stage parabolas. I expect a retest of the $3,200 zone, near the parabolic curve support, possibly with a fakeout wick below — a common shakeout before the final rally. Seasonality suggests the first week of July is typically bearish, which aligns with this potential retest. Trade Plan (If Setup Confirms): Watch for a strong bullish reversal candle near $3,200 (parabolic curve support). Entry above the high of that bullish candle. Stop loss just below the candle’s low. Target: $4,000+, which aligns with typical blow-off potential (+20–25% from Base 4 breakout). If Gold breaks and holds above $3,400, it could begin the vertical phase of the move. Parabolic Move Concept Recap: Base 1: Accumulation Base 2: Confirmation Base 3: Acceleration Base 4: Final pause before blow-off After Base 4, price often rallies sharply before forming a major top. This is a high-reward but high-risk phase. Manage risk and don’t chase late entries once the move begins. Would love to hear your thoughts and variations on this setup. #Gold #XAUUSD #ParabolicTrend #TechnicalAnalysis #BlowOffTop #Base4
TVC:GOLDLong
by Capitalgrowthtv
XAUUSD maintaining the falling pattern H4 Timeframe Analysis Gold is currently holding the falling wedge pattern on H1 & H4 and Market has to lift up at range of 3380-3285. What's possible scanarios we have? As we have seen h4 candle closes above 3280-3285 then keep buying and eyes at 3305 then 3320 milestone also I'm holding my buy positions. On the otherhand if The H4 candle closes below 3280-3275 then buying will be limited and market will join the 3250 zone.i will sell accordingly . Additional TIP: Above 3280-3285 keep buy Below 3275 keep sell #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
6.27 Risk aversion dissipates and gold prices adjust! The range As the Middle East war came to an end, the risk aversion sentiment in the global financial market subsided, the risk aversion funds dissipated, and the three major bullish markets of gold, crude oil, and silver all fell downward; at the same time, the US dollar index broke a new low ! Fundamentals: 1: The Middle East war has been temporarily paused, and both sides have entered the adjustment phase; however, irreconcilable contradictions may become the starting point of the next war at any time; although it has ended for now, we must not slack off. Once the two sides are on the verge of a war again, risk aversion will sweep the world again; this is not impossible; This Middle East war came suddenly and ended suddenly; it was like a child's play washing the global financial market; therefore, the possibility of a resumption of war cannot be ruled out in the future; At present, in the overall market: 1: In the short cycle, the gold price fluctuates downward, so in the short term, the short-term decline is seen, and the fluctuation is downward; 2: In terms of trend, the range is temporarily contracted, the BOLL of the daily K is contracted, the speed slows down, and the overall range is back to the range of fluctuations; there is no obvious long and short trend, and it returns to the range of fluctuations; Today's technical trend chart: 1: In 4 hours, the stochastic indicator crosses downward, which is a main empty signal; in terms of form, it is temporarily under pressure from the central axis track of the 4-hour BOLL, and the empty trend continues downward, and the form tends to continue to oscillate downward; therefore, it is recommended to choose the high-altitude approach for 4 hours; 2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to cross downward, which is a empty signal; in terms of form, it is temporarily a broken Yin and Yang pattern, with no obvious trend; BOLL forms a contraction, the range of 3417-3277, the range is mainly in an oscillating trend, and the strong and weak dividing point is near 3347; Comprehensive: The daily K is mainly in an oscillating trend, so it is recommended to deal with it according to the oscillating trend, choose to buy low and sell high; the reference pressure position is near 3347, the support position is near 3295 and 3278; the second pressure position is 3390-3400 pressure position; continue to choose the oscillating approach, and play a oscillating treatment of buying low and selling high;
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold may need to retreat to around 3300 againYesterday, the gold rebound stopped at around 3358, and then began to retreat. After that, it even failed to stand above 3350 during the rebound process, which to a certain extent hit the confidence of the bulls; At present, gold has retreated to the area near 3330 again. Although gold has fallen slowly, the center of gravity of gold is still shifting downward in the short term, and the trading volume of gold is gradually increasing when it is falling, so I think the short position may not be over, and the 3330 area may be broken at any time; and the support area that really deserves our attention is first the 3320-3315 area, followed by the 3300-3295 area; From the current gold structure, I think gold may still test the area near 3300 again before rising. Only after gold retreats to the area near 3300, it is possible to build an A-B-C head and shoulders bottom structure at the technical level (as shown in the figure), which can also help gold build a complete and effective rising structure, so gold has the need to retreat to the area near 3300 to build a right shoulder structure. Therefore, I think shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading at present; you can consider shorting gold in the 3335-3355 area, looking at the target area of ​​3320-3310-3300.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
As expected, it will fall and form a head and shoulders bottom📰 News information： 1. ADP data, for reference of tomorrow's NFP data 2. Interest rate cuts and Powell's dovish comments 3. Geopolitical impact on the gold market 📈 Technical Analysis： Yesterday we expected gold to retreat to the 3330-3320 area. Today, gold hit a low of around 3328 during the Asian session, which is in line with our judgment of the market trend. In the short term, gold may still fall. First, it may test the 3323 support line. If it falls back to this position during the day, you can try to go long. In the short term, focus on the 3315-3305 long-short dividing line below. If gold gets effective support below, it is expected to form a head and shoulders bottom pattern. The short-term decline will accumulate momentum for the future rise. Pay attention to the ADP data during the NY period 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3323-3315-3305 TP 3340-3350-3360-3375 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is reacting off the resistance which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 3,344.54 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 3,389.14 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Take prpofit: 3,294.89 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
Exclusive operation suggestions for future market trends！！！Gold bottomed out and rebounded on Monday, so wait patiently for room for future gains. Technically, from the current hourly chart, the gold entity has always been above 3278, and it only pierced through 3275 and then began to rebound. If the retracement does not break the 618 position, there will inevitably be a high point in the future. So next, we should focus on the vicinity of 3280. If gold always closes above 3280, then the high point of 3297 on Monday is likely to be refreshed. Secondly, from the perspective of 123 seeking 4, if it goes up again, it is very likely to touch around 3310. 3310 is exactly around 618. And it is also the top position of this hourly chart range. Therefore, gold should be shorted above 3280 with caution, and the probability of touching above 3300 is very high. In terms of operation, it is recommended to directly enter the market to go long near 3280, and look at 3310-3320. If you want to short, you must wait at least for 3310-3320 before you can enter the market to short once.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by JoyLouise53
Continue to short gold below 3300Continue to short gold below 3300 Gold prices fell to a four-week low, but rebounded slightly Spot gold: Today's lowest hit $3247/oz (the lowest since May 29), and then rebounded to $3296/oz. Risk aversion cooled, trade easing suppressed gold prices US-China trade easing: China and the United States reached an agreement on rare earth exports, boosting the stock market (S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new highs), weakening the safe-haven demand for gold. G7 tax agreement: Reduce global policy uncertainty, further suppress gold prices. Trump terminated trade negotiations with Canada and threatened to impose tariffs, which temporarily boosted risk aversion. Expectations of a Fed rate cut have increased, but short-term hawkish remarks have brought pressure The market expects a 92.5% probability of a rate cut in September (65-75 basis points for the whole year), but Powell said that the impact of tariffs needs to be waited and see, and the probability of a rate cut in July is only 20%. Trump said he would appoint a Fed chair who is "willing to cut rates," adding to policy uncertainty. Geopolitical risks remain Iran situation: Trump's threat to "bomb Iran again" and abandon sanctions relief has temporarily supported gold prices. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict continues, but the market has partially digested the risk. Key technical support and resistance levels Support: $3,250 ( $3,200 (if broken, it may fall to $3,120) Resistance: $3,280-3,290 (4-hour chart head and shoulders neckline). $3,306-3,322 (if broken, it may rebound further). Downside risks: Trade optimism (US-China trade war, G7 agreement) may continue to suppress safe-haven demand. If non-farm payrolls are strong this week (released on Thursday), it may push up the dollar and further suppress gold prices. Upside support: Geopolitical risks (Iran, Russia-Ukraine conflict) may trigger safe-haven buying. Fed rate cut expectations still provide long-term support for gold. Key variables: July 9 The deadline for US tariff negotiations is on July 15. If no consensus is reached, it may trigger risk aversion in the market. Fed policy signal: If economic data is weak, expectations of rate cuts may drive gold prices back up. Technical pattern: If gold prices hold $3,250, it may rebound to $3,330-3,350. If it falls below $3,250/3,200, it may fall to $3,120. Short-term traders: Pay attention to the breakthrough of the $3245-3280 range. If it rebounds to around $3,300, you can consider shorting on rallies. If it falls below $3,245, it may accelerate downward.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by louisa111222
GOLD 4H: not all that glitters is bullish...The 4H chart shows a clean descending triangle breakdown. Price failed to reclaim the trendline and was rejected under both MA50 and MA200. The bounce into 3325–3340 was absorbed — classic liquidity sweep and fade. Volume confirms bearish control. Technically, the breakdown below 3320 opens the way toward $3293 (1.0 Fibo), $3250 (1.272 extension), and final target at $3195 (1.618), where buyers might step in. RSI supports the continuation without signs of reversal. Structure broke — and the market is telling us where it's heading. Tactical plan: — Entry at market or on a retest of $3325–3335 — Targets: $3293 → $3250 → $3195 — Stop: above $3340 (above MA50 and broken trendline) When gold looks shiny, smart traders look deeper. This breakout isn’t golden — it’s a trap for late bulls.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold: Market analysis and strategy for June 27Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance level 3350, support level 3250 4-hour chart resistance level 3340, support level 3245 1-hour chart resistance level 3300, support level 3280 Technical indicators show that the 4-hour moving average system shows a dead cross arrangement, and the MACD indicator dead cross continues. The gold price has fallen below the lower track support of the Bollinger Band, and the Bollinger Channel is narrowing. The short-term price is in a low-level weak consolidation pattern. The 1-hour chart price broke the previous low of 3295, but the price is oversold and may rebound in the short term. The short-term support level below is around 3280. If it falls below, continue to look at the 3271-3245 range; the important pressure level is around 3300! If there is a short-term rebound before the NY market, wait until the rebound before continuing to sell! The current minimum is 3279. After the short-term stabilization, refer to the resistance of 3300/3310 to sell. Sell: 3300near Sell: 3310near
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
GOLD Final GDP q/q Actual: -0.5% Forecast: -0.2% Previous: -0.2% The US economy contracted by 0.5% in the first quarter, worse than the expected 0.2% decline, indicating a sharper slowdown than anticipated. 2. Unemployment Claims (Week ending June 21) Initial Claims: 236,000 Forecast: 244,000 Previous: 245,000 Initial jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 236,000, lower than forecast and near historically low levels, suggesting that layoffs remain relatively subdued despite economic challenges. 3. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m (May 2025) Actual: +0.5% Forecast: +0.1% Previous: +0.2% Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation, rose 0.5% month-over-month, beating expectations and signaling some resilience in business investment. 4. Durable Goods Orders m/m (May 2025) Actual: +16.4% Forecast: +8.6% Previous: -6.3% Total durable goods orders surged 16.4%, a strong rebound following a prior decline, indicating a pickup in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods. 5. Final GDP Price Index q/q (Q1 2025) Actual: 3.7% This measure of inflation in the GDP deflator remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the economy. Summary of Market Implications: The larger-than-expected GDP contraction signals economic weakness, which could increase expectations for accommodative Fed policy. The drop in initial jobless claims supports the view that layoffs are limited, but rising continuing claims suggest some labor market softness ahead. Strong durable goods orders point to underlying business investment strength, providing a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook. Elevated inflation as shown by the GDP price index keeps inflation concerns alive. Overall, the data presents a complex picture of a slowing economy with pockets of resilience and ongoing inflationary pressures the interest rate remains 4.24%-4.5% ,the bond market remain weak on fiscal policy challenges and pending rate outlook. the 10 year bond yield is trading around 4.291% -4.25% and edge lower from fundamental outlook. gold on ascending trendline connecting April till June and found support at 3312-3314. buyers during newyork session will build momentum on technical to bridge 3350 supply .
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAU/USD – Smart Money Building Toward $3360? |26 June 2025Gold (XAU/USD) is pushing into fresh highs around $3337, and we may be approaching a key inflection point. But beneath the surface of candles and wicks lies the real story — one written by liquidity, displacement, and smart money positioning. This outlook breaks down gold’s price action using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), price structure, and Fibonacci confluence, to help identify the most probable high-value trade zones for both swing and intraday traders. 4H Outlook – Institutional Flow & Structure Market Structure Gold recently broke above the $3310–$3320 resistance, confirming a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). This keeps the market in a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, validating continued bullish pressure. Smart Money Insights BOS: Clean break above $3320 signals strength. CHoCH: None yet — trend remains bullish. Liquidity Sweep: Sell stops below $3295 have already been taken. Buy-Side Liquidity: Sits above $3350 — price may gravitate there next. FVG: Unfilled Fair Value Gap between $3314–$3322 — possible retracement zone. Bullish OB: Identified between $3300–$3310, aligned with FVG and BOS level. Equilibrium: Using $3275 (swing low) and $3342 (swing high), the midpoint sits near $3308, acting as fair re-entry value. Key Zones Buy Zone (Demand): $3295–$3310 — OB + FVG + Fib confluence. Sell Zone (Supply): $3350–$3360 — next likely liquidity target. Bias Summary As long as price remains above $3295, the bullish structure stays valid. Watch for a retracement into $3308–$3316 for potential continuation toward $3350–$3360. Price may briefly dip below $3310 to trigger liquidity before moving higher. 1H View – Precision Entries Structure Following the high at $3342, price has pulled back slightly and is forming what appears to be a bullish flag — often a continuation pattern. Smart Money Zones (1H) FVG: $3315–$3322 — potential short-term reaction zone. Order Block: $3305–$3312 — 1H bullish OB aligned with 4H bias. Sell-side Liquidity: Swept at $3295 earlier this week — supports continuation. Trade Setups Long Setup #1 – Optimal Entry Entry: $3308–$3315 Stop: Below $3295 TP: $3342 (partial), $3350–$3360 (full) Why: Strong zone combining FVG, OB, and Fib support. Long Setup #2 – Aggressive Entry Entry: $3316–$3320 Stop: $3300 TP: $3340–$3350 Why: Quicker entry inside the imbalance — riskier but valid. Short Setup – Countertrend (Low Conviction) Only valid on a clear break below $3310 + CHoCH Entry: Below $3310 (confirmed) Target: $3295 Note: Lower confidence unless 1H structure turns bearish. Final Notes The bias remains bullish above $3301–$3308. This is a high-probability area to look for long setups on retracement. Avoid shorts unless we see a confirmed structural shift with a CHoCH and OB breakdown. Expect the market to potentially hunt stops below $3310, then aim for liquidity sitting above $3350–$3360.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
1
Gold (XAUUSD) Signals Bullish Trend ResumptionGold (XAUUSD) has exhibited a robust rally since its low on May 15, 2025. The metal formed a five-swing motive sequence that culminated in wave 1 at 3452.50 on June 16, 2025. This five-swing structure, characteristic of an impulsive Elliott Wave pattern, signals potential for further upside. The subsequent pullback in wave 2 appears to have completed at 3246.15, as illustrated in the accompanying 1-hour chart. The internal structure of wave 2 unfolded as a double-three Elliott Wave corrective pattern. Specifically, from the wave 1 peak, wave ((w)) declined to 3340.18. A corrective rally in wave ((x)) followed to 3398.35. The final leg, wave ((y)), concluded at 3246.15, marking the completion of wave 2 in the higher-degree structure. Gold has since resumed its upward trajectory in wave 3. However, to confirm the bullish outlook and eliminate the possibility of a double correction, the price must decisively break above the wave 1 high at 3452.50. From the wave 2 low, wave (i) advanced to 3296.85. A shallow pullback in wave (ii) followed to 3274.41. Wave (iii) then propelled the metal to 3358.02. Based on the current structure, gold is expected to rally further in wave (v) to complete wave ((i)). Subsequently, a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)), likely unfolding in a 3, 7, or 11-swing structure, is anticipated from the June 30 low before the metal resumes its upward trend. In the near term, as long as the pivot low at 3246.15 remains intact, gold is poised to extend higher, supported by the impulsive momentum of the ongoing wave 3.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook — July 1, 2025In the world of financial markets, few assets capture global attention like gold. A timeless store of value, gold continues to act as both a hedge against uncertainty and a battleground for technical traders seeking high-probability setups. As of today, gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $3328, a level that places it just beneath the most recent multi-month high at $3345. The recent surge in price is underpinned by both macroeconomic factors and bullish technical structure. However, as any seasoned trader knows, trends rarely move in straight lines — and gold is now approaching a technically sensitive juncture. I. Gold’s Structural Landscape on the 4-Hour Chart The four-hour chart reveals a textbook bullish trend. Beginning with a significant impulse from the $3194 base, gold has climbed steadily, printing higher highs and higher lows. The most recent break of structure (BOS) above $3312 confirmed the continuation of bullish intent, while the market remains firmly above key swing lows — signaling that the bullish regime has not yet been invalidated. Price action shows clean, impulsive expansions followed by short consolidations, with buyers continuing to absorb supply at every retracement. Despite that strength, gold has now reached a potential exhaustion point, with the price reacting to overhead supply at $3345–3355, forming what could be an early-stage distribution zone. Key Market Structure Developments: BOS at $3312: confirms uptrend No CHoCH (Change of Character) yet — no confirmed bearish reversal Clean liquidity grab above $3345, followed by rejection — hinting at short-term profit-taking or internal bearish intent II. The Fibonacci Grid: Retracement and Extension Zones Applying Fibonacci retracement from the $3194 swing low to the $3345 high offers crucial levels of interest. The golden ratio at 61.8% ($3253) aligns perfectly with prior demand and a 4-hour bullish order block. Similarly, the 38.2% level at $3285 corresponds with a minor liquidity pool and potential reaccumulation base. Fibonacci Level Price 23.6% $3308 38.2% $3285 50.0% $3269 61.8% $3253 78.6% $3228 On the extension side, should gold resume its rally beyond $3345, projected Fibonacci targets sit at $3372 (127.2%) and $3410 (161.8%), with both acting as measured projections for trend continuation. III. Supply and Demand: Mapping Institutional Footprints Institutional activity is best observed through unmitigated supply and demand zones — areas where large orders caused rapid price displacement. Gold currently trades between two such zones: Demand Zone: $3250–$3260 — a sharp bullish rejection occurred here on the last visit, indicating strong buy-side interest and likely pending buy orders Supply Zone: $3345–$3355 — where a sell-side liquidity grab recently occurred, followed by a strong rejection candle These two zones bracket the market and serve as the highest probability areas for future reactions. IV. The Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Framework SMC theory revolves around observing the footprints of large market participants — often labeled “smart money.” In gold’s current structure, SMC tools provide a clearer roadmap than standard indicators. Current Observations: Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed at $3312 (bullish continuation) Change of Character (CHoCH): Absent (bull trend intact) Buy-Side Liquidity Grab: Above $3345 — trapped breakout buyers likely fuel for reversal Sell-Side Liquidity Pool: Uncollected beneath $3280 — probable magnet for a liquidity sweep Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between $3260 and $3280 — price inefficiency offering high-probability reentry for smart money Bullish Order Block (OB): At $3250–$3260 — final down candle before explosive up move, unmitigated All these elements point to a high-probability pullback, rather than a full-blown reversal. Until structure is broken with a CHoCH, the base case remains bullish. V. High-Probability Levels for 4-Hour-Based Opportunities From this framework, we identify the following key price levels: The highest-probability reaction is expected at $3250–$3260, where smart money is likely to re-engage if price retraces. VI. Refinement on the 1-Hour Chart: Intraday Trade Setups Zooming into the 1-hour chart allows us to fine-tune our execution strategy. Gold is consolidating just below $3330, forming what appears to be an ascending triangle — a common bullish continuation structure — but within the broader context of a possible short-term pullback. Intraday Trade Idea #1 — High-Conviction Long Entry: $3260 Stop-Loss: $3245 Take-Profit 1: $3308 Take-Profit 2: $3340 Risk–Reward: ~1:4 Rationale: Aligned with 4H demand, fair value gap, OB, and golden ratio retracement. Structure remains bullish. Intraday Trade Idea #2 — Speculative Short (Low Conviction) Entry: $3340–$3350 Stop-Loss: $3362 TP1: $3305 TP2: $3285 Risk–Reward: ~1:2.5 Rationale: Countertrend, only viable if bearish rejection candle forms. Not aligned with dominant 4H structure. VII. The Golden Setup: Long from Demand + FVG Confluence Among all technical configurations, the long setup at $3260 emerges as the most compelling. It is supported by: An unmitigated bullish order block A clear fair value gap 61.8% Fibonacci retracement Untouched sell-side liquidity below Directional alignment with trend Institutional demand pattern This setup offers both superior risk-to-reward and a technical foundation that aligns with Smart Money’s modus operandi. It represents a low-risk, high-reward opportunity for traders who wait for price to re-enter the value zone and confirm with bullish order flow (e.g., a bullish engulfing or BOS on 15m). VIII. Final Thoughts and Tactical Summary As of July 1, 2025, the gold market reflects strong bullish momentum, albeit entering a corrective phase that should not be mistaken for reversal. While intraday volatility and range compression may tempt countertrend trades, the smartest play remains to wait for a discounted reentry into a zone of value. Until structure shifts significantly, the dominant trading thesis remains: “Buy the dip into institutional zones”. Patience, not aggression, will separate the retail trader from the professional in today’s complex market structure.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Gold Trading Strategy for 500 Pips !Dear friends! The exit from the bearish channel has led to an impressive price increase. At the time of writing, the financial market is trading above the $3,300 mark. The uptrend is very strong as it consolidates at high levels with stable trading activity on the 2-hour time frame. Therefore, the upcoming reports on US employment and manufacturing are highly anticipated. This has contributed to the market being hotter than ever. The price increase is expected to reach $3,385, if the Fed signals monetary policy easing. What do you think about this? Do you agree with me?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LucasGlobal
XAU/USD: Range Trading Awaiting BreakoutCore Logic: 1.Macro Drivers: Powell's dovish remarks continue to reverberate, with U.S. Treasury yields declining, the U.S. Dollar Index breaking below 97, and the debt ceiling extended to July 24—safe-haven demand props up gold prices. 2.Technical Outlook: Currently trading in a $3,300–$3,350 range, with shrinking volume reflecting market caution. Trend Projection: - Likely to remain range-bound between $3,300–$3,350; a breakout will depend on progress in previously mentioned catalysts. - If data misses expectations or geopolitical risks (e.g., Iran tensions) escalate, gold may rally to $3,360; otherwise, it could test $3,300 support. Trading Strategies: - Long positions: Enter lightly at $3,300–$3,310, stop-loss at $3,290, target $3,340. - Short positions: Sell on rejection above $3,345, stop-loss at $3,360, target $3,320. - Risk management: Cap single-trade exposure ≤3% to mitigate data-driven volatility. I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
6/26 Gold Analysis and Trading ViewGood morning, everyone! Yesterday, gold rose to around 3336 before pulling back, then revisited the same level again. The buy-on-dip strategy performed well, delivering solid profits. At today’s open, prices have moved slightly higher but remain near resistance. Technically, there’s potential to test the 3350 area, and if the move is strong, a rally toward 3370 is also possible. If gold reaches this zone, it may present a favorable short-term selling opportunity. Therefore, today's trading strategy should focus on range-based trading between 3326-3368, selling near resistance and buying near support. Key levels to watch: Resistance: 3348–3352 Support: 3326–3318 Lastly, be mindful: if a trending move emerges, adjust your strategy accordingly and avoid counter-trend trades. Stay flexible and manage risk wisely.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang