Gold bulls return again
Gold resumes its upward trend: Geopolitical risks + tariff upgrades help gold prices break through
Market drivers:
Gold broke through the shock range this week, mainly catalyzed by two major events:
Trump's tariff policy upgrade - the United States announced tariffs on some goods over the weekend, triggering market risk aversion;
Geopolitical tensions - the situation in the Middle East has heated up again, and safe-haven buying has poured into gold.
Technical breakthrough confirmation:
4-hour cycle: Gold prices successfully broke through the downward trend line suppression and stood firm at the key resistance of 3325, marking the restart of the main upward wave;
Top and bottom conversion support: The previous resistance of 3325 turned into support, and the next key support area moved up to 3340-3350;
Upward target: If it stands firm at 3350, bulls will further challenge the 3370-3400 area.
Trading strategy:
Short-term: If the price falls back to 3340-3350 and stabilizes, long orders can be arranged, with a stop loss below 3325 and a target of 3370-3400;
Mid-term: After breaking through 3400, the upward space will be further opened, and the next target will be 3450-3480.
For short positions, short positions can be tried based on the previous high of 3365 in the 4-hour period, and attention should be paid to the resonance in the current trend structure. If the long position stabilizes at 3370, the stop loss should be strictly enforced.
Conclusion: Gold has entered a strong stage driven by both technical and fundamental factors. After short-term adjustments, it is still mainly low-long, and attention should be paid to the geopolitical situation and the trend of the US dollar.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Today's gold target: 3400+Today's gold target: 3400+
Gold intraday trading strategy: (updated after hitting a new high of 3392)
The daily and 4-hour charts maintain strong bulls, short-term target range: 3400-3420.
Key support: 3360-65 (strength and weakness dividing line between Asia and Europe), 3347-52 (daily bull defense position).
Repression area: 3395-3400 (psychological barrier), 3420 (previous high extension target).
Specific operation suggestions
1. Aggressive long orders (follow up after retracement)
Entry area: 3360-3365 (light position to try to go long)
Additional position area: 3347-3352 (additional position after stabilization)
Stop loss: uniformly set below 3340 (to prevent false breakthroughs)
Target: 3385โ3395โ3400 (take profits in batches)
2. Steady long orders (deep adjustment opportunities)
Conditions: If the Asian and European sessions pull back to 3347-3352, and there is a stabilization signal (for example, a long lower shadow line appears on the 4-hour K-line)
Stop loss: 3335 (reserve buffer space)
Target: Break above 3400, break through positions to see 3420
3. Cautious shorting (limited to key suppression levels)
Risk events:
Pay attention to the trend of the US dollar index and sudden geopolitical news, and be wary of rapid reversals at high levels.
xauusd gold 15 mThis chart shows a technical analysis of the Gold Spot price (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
---
Chart Summary
Current Price: ~3,356.410
Timeframe: 15-minute candles
Trend: Recent strong bullish move followed by a potential reversal signal
---
Zones & Levels
1. Register Zone (Resistance Area)
Price Range: ~3,356 to 3,371
Highlighted in red
This is where price faced resistance and may reverse
2. 1st Level (Support / Break Confirmation)
Level: ~3,336.632
Price would need to break below this to confirm further downside potential
3. Target Point (Support Zone)
Level: ~3,304.749
Green zone suggests a strong support area or potential bearish target
---
Price Action Implication
If the price fails to break above the red resistance zone and breaks below the yellow trendline, then:
Short signal is triggered
First bearish target: 3,336.632
Final target point: 3,304.749
If the price holds the trendline or moves above 3,371, this bearish outlook may be invalidated.
---
Conclusion
This chart suggests a potential short setup forming if price fails at resistance and breaks below key support levels. Watch for:
Confirmation candle below the trendline
Price rejection in the red "register zone"
Would you like help building a trade plan based on this chart?
XAU/USD 02 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserveโs sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trumpโs recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD | Premium Zone Hit โ Is Gold Ready to Nuke?XAUUSD | 30-Min Bearish Setup โ OB Tap + Liquidity Engineering
Letโs break this down ninja-style โ๏ธ
๐ 1. Market Context:
Gold has retraced into a premium pricing zone after a significant sell-off and is now:
Respecting a refined bearish Order Block
Sitting at 61.8โ70.5% Fibonacci retracement (textbook premium)
Below a strong high (liquidity magnet)
This is classic smart money engineering:
โก๏ธ Pull back
โก๏ธ Lure in breakout buyers
โก๏ธ Raid the high
โก๏ธ Dump toward liquidity
๐ง 2. Key Levels:
๐ Strong High: 3,324.880
๐ช Order Block Zone: ~3,316.745 to 3,324.880
๐ป Current Price: ~3,307.000
๐ต Weak Low: 3,270.000
๐ฉธ Sell Side Liquidity: 3,245.560
Weโre watching for a possible rejection from the OB and a drive down into the Sell Side Liquidity zone.
๐ 3. Entry Plan (Confirmation-Based):
Wait for a bearish M5โM15 BOS from OB
Look for FVG entry or last mitigation
Target weak low & SSL
Maintain 1:2 to 1:4 RRR depending on entry precision
Ideal RR Target:
๐ฏ TP: 3,245.560
๐ SL: Just above 3,324.880
๐ RR ~ 1:3+
๐ 4. SMC Story:
๐งฉ Price swept internal liquidity and tapped into premium zone
๐ OB + Fib confluence = high-probability reaction area
๐งฒ Weak low is unprotected = juicy target for sell-off
๐ค This move could create displacement and fuel next bearish leg
Smart Money is looking to trap late longs before hitting the liquidity pool.
๐ฏ 5. Bonus Tip:
If youโre on M1 or M5, scale into partials as the move confirms via:
Bearish engulfing
BOS + FVG combo
Lower timeframe mitigation plays
Stay reactive, not predictive. Let the market confirm the trap. โ ๏ธ
๐ฌ Drop โGold Trap Setup ๐โ in the comments if you see the same thing
๐ Save this to track the next move
๐ฏ Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily sniper setups!
XAU?
Hi
From this pic/ chart
From what I can see
Down trendline not yet break ( so sticking to Sells )
Possibility of continuation of this 4H-8H trendline to downside
If it breaks higher , we talk upside
okayyy
ONLY trade when you see/ recognize a favorable pattern/ familiar pattern to your initial plan.
If none. so be it ( then it is not worth my ride )
All the best
Not a guru
BULLISH STRONG FROM KEY SUPPORT BULLISH FVG FILL OANDA:XAUUSD Trade Setup โ Bullish Play in Action! ๐จ
Gold (XAU/USD) showing strong bullish momentum from key support at 3345, respecting the Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 30-minute timeframe. ๐
โ
Structure confirms a solid bounce
โ
Momentum building from demand zone
๐ฏ Targeting 3400 short-term
This is one to watch closely ๐
๐ฒ Like, Follow & Comment to stay in sync with every move.
๐ซถ Join us for more real-time updates & setups!
โ Livia ๐โจ
XAUUSD Bearish Setup! OB Rejection + FVG + 61.8% Fib PremiumGold (XAUUSD) | 4H Chart โ High-Probability Bearish Setup
XAUUSD is setting up for a bearish move as price taps into a premium zone confluence, including an Order Block (OB), Fair Value Gap (FVG), and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) traders will recognize this setup as a textbook scenario for a bearish continuation toward a Weak Low target.
๐ SMC Breakdown:
Market Structure:
The market has shifted bearish after breaking the previous low and forming a lower high. The internal structure confirms bearish order flow, giving us confidence in continuation to the downside.
Liquidity & Inefficiency Play:
Recent sweep of buy-side liquidity above minor highs.
Rejection at premium pricing indicates Smart Money has triggered sell programs.
Internal liquidity pools were engineered and swept, confirming manipulation.
Entry Confluence Zone (Kill Zone):
๐ด Order Block (OB):
3,372 โ 3,380 โ bearish OB formed before strong impulse move.
๐ฃ Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Perfect overlap with the OB, leaving a gap that price has now rebalanced into.
๐ Fibonacci Levels from Swing Low to High:
61.8% = 3,373
70.5% = 3,377
79% = 3,380
This entire zone aligns with institutional premium pricing โ the high-probability reversal range.
๐ Bearish Projection:
Expecting price to reject from OB/FVG zone and move toward the discount zone, targeting unmitigated lows and imbalance fills.
Key Downside Targets:
50% = 3,368
Full Extension = 3,333 (Aligned with Weak Low)
This level also sits near the 0.00% Fib level โ a clean liquidity magnet.
๐ง Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
๐น Entry: 3,373 โ 3,380 (OB + FVG + Fib Premium)
๐ป Stop Loss: Above 3,381 (invalidate OB)
๐ Take Profit: 3,333 (Weak Low + Fib Completion)
โ RRR: ~1:4+ โ high-confluence sniper setup
๐ฌ Ninja Wisdom:
You're not trading random candles โ you're trading intentional liquidity shifts.
This setup screams Smart Money footprint: OB rejection + inefficiency fill + premium pricing.
Be the sniper โ not the trigger-happy retail trader. ๐ฅท๐ฏ
๐ Save this setup before it plays out โ backtest and learn from it!
๐ Drop your analysis below โ agree or see it differently?
๐ฃ Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily institutional-grade setups on Gold & more!
What Happens Next? Going short is logical?It seems, we have finished a 5 wave impulse and an ABC zigzag type correction. In wave theory, A-B-C correction which is a Zig-zag type correction takes back the %61.8 lenght of the previous impulse. Please check where the price closed today. EXACTLY 0,618 (%61.8) fibo retracement level of the previous impulse. Therefore, it is not a good idea to go for short if there is not a price close below 3305 in 4hrs chart on Monday.
Elliott Wave Analysis โ Trade Plan for June 6, 2025
๐ Current Wave Structure
Yesterday's sharp and impulsive drop suggests a completed 5-wave structure for wave c (red) within a larger flat correction (abc red).
However, this morning's bullish move lacks momentum โ candles are overlapping and price has failed to break above the 3383 level. This casts doubt on the current wave being the beginning of a new impulsive trend.
๐ Scenario 1 โ Beginning of a New Impulsive Wave
The current bullish leg may be wave 1, forming as a leading diagonal due to overlapping candles.
Projected target for wave 1: 3380. A pullback from this level could form wave 2, offering a potential long entry around 3347โ3344.
โ ๏ธ Scenario 2 โ Continuation of a Larger Wave 2 Correction
If price drops back toward 3324, this would invalidate the current impulsive wave count as wave 4 would overlap wave 1 (black) โ A larger corrective structure is still unfolding.
The current bounce may then be interpreted as wave a of a larger abc corrective move, suggesting a further decline to come.
๐ฏ Trading Strategy (Confluence of Both Scenarios)
Sell Zone: 3380โ3383 โ short-term selling opportunity based on potential wave 1 peak or wave b top.
Buy Zone: 3347โ3344 โ potential entry if wave 2 completes here (Scenario 1) or wave b ends here (Scenario 2).
๐ Momentum Outlook
Daily (D1): Momentum is fading but a confirmed bearish close today is needed. If confirmed, at least 4 more bearish daily candles may follow.
H4: Momentum is rising, suggesting more upside or sideways consolidation in the short term.
H1: Momentum is about to turn bearish. Ideally, we wait for it to dip into oversold territory and reverse upward โ that would be our signal to go long.
๐ Trade Setup
BUY ZONE: 3347 โ 3344
๐ฏ SL: 3337
๐ฏ TP1: 3365
๐ฏ TP2: 3380
๐ฏ TP3: 3404 (if bullish scenario plays out)
SELL ZONE: 3383 โ 3386
๐ฏ SL: 3393
๐ฏ TP1: 3365
๐ฏ TP2: 3347
XAUUSD on consolidation Market is in sideways creating rangbound 3350-3380
What possible scenario we have?
im expectingย that market will consolidate till ny session withthe range 3350-3380 then BreakOut on one side. I'm watching gold on bullish momentum 3335 is again the good entry point if its fall.
Additionally: if gold breaks through 3380- 3385 we will continue to buy and look at 3400 above (3415-3440).
We have previous Neutral zone 3280-3330 ,if market break below 3330 then we'll again have 3280-3330 zone.
#XAUUSD
Gold points to 3400, madness before data release.Market analysis:
Gold fell slightly to around 3361 in early trading on Wednesday. After falling to around 3346, it quickly rose to around 3372, then was blocked and fluctuated and fell. It fell to 3344 in the European session and then rebounded. It rose strongly to 3384 in the US session and fluctuated above 3370 in the late trading.
The daily line of gold showed a trend of alternating yin and yang. But the overall trend was upward. The 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average formed a golden cross and extended upward, which provided moving average support for the gold price, allowing gold to maintain a strong and volatile trend. At present, the 5-day moving average is around 3352, and the 10-day moving average is around 3335. The first thing to pay attention to is the resistance of Tuesday's high of 3392. If the gold price can break through this resistance level, it is expected to continue the bullish trend.
In terms of points, first pay attention to the support near MA5/MAA10 below, and focus on the support of MA20 moving average. The downward exploration on Tuesday and Wednesday both defended the MA20 moving average position. Above this, it is treated as a strong shock. Secondly, pay attention to the support near 3335, which is the low point on Tuesday and the key to the short-term structure. Secondly, pay attention to the support near 3335, which is the low point on Tuesday and the key to the short-term structure. First pay attention to the resistance near 3395 above, and then pay attention to the resistance near 3415 and 3430, which are the previous high points.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3395, stop loss 3410, profit range 3380-3360
Long near 3360, stop loss 3350, profit range 3375-3380-3390-3400.
GOLD: Short Trade Explained
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3365.4
Stop Loss - 3372.6
Take Profit - 3352.8
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โค๏ธ Please, support our work with like & comment! โค๏ธ
XAU / USD 30 Minute ChartHello traders. We had news that was not good for the dollar but we are still in an area that I am not looking to trade in. I am waiting to see if we push up and out of this zone or move back down. Patience is key. I have taken zero trades thus far. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
BEST XAUUSD M30 SELL SETUPNFOR TODAY ๐ Gold Analysis Summary โ Bearish Setup Alert โ ๏ธ
Gold is currently showing signs of weakness after a strong bullish push. A Change of Character (CHOCH) has confirmed a potential shift in trend. Price is approaching a supply zone (highlighted in purple), and rejection from this level could trigger a downward move. ๐ The projected path suggests a potential lower high formation, followed by a drop towards the 3,348 and 3,331 key demand levels. ๐ง Watch for bearish confirmation near resistance before entering short positions. ๐๐ฅ
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD_10M_BuyAnas Gold Analysis
Elliott Wave Analysis Style
Short-term Time Frame and Scalping
Position Type from Buy to Sell
Main and Important Support Level $3355
Given the completion of 5 downwaves and the formation of the corner pattern, by maintaining the main support and breaking the pattern upwards, it can enter the upwave and move towards $3376 and $3382
If the announced resistance is crossed, the rise towards $3404 and $3414 will continue.
XAU/USD Price Action Analysis โ Bullish Breakout Setup XAU/USD Price Action Analysis โ Bullish Breakout Setup ๐
๐ Chart Overview:
This chart illustrates the price movement of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on a mid-term time frame, highlighting a potential bullish breakout scenario from a key resistance zone.
๐ฉ Key Levels:
Support Zone: ๐ก๏ธ
โค $3,140 โ $3,200
This zone has acted as a strong support multiple times, preventing further declines and serving as a springboard for bullish moves.
Breakout Zone (Current Level): โก
โค $3,340 โ $3,390
Price is currently testing this crucial resistance-turned-potential-breakout zone. A successful close above this level could confirm bullish continuation.
First Target: ๐ฏ
โค $3,435.87
This intermediate resistance aligns with a previously tested high. It may act as the first barrier after the breakout.
Second Target: ๐ฅ
โค $3,502.13
This is the major resistance zone. If bulls maintain momentum, this area will likely be tested.
๐งญ Market Structure & Bias:
Price is forming higher lows, signaling growing bullish strength.
The chart shows a bullish breakout of a sideways consolidation zone.
The upward arrows and curved projection suggest a potential pullback-retest scenario at the breakout level before rallying towards targets.
๐ง Trading Plan (Illustrated by Chart):
๐ Breakout Entry:
Wait for confirmation above $3,390 with strong bullish candles and volume.
๐ Retest Opportunity:
If price pulls back to the breakout zone ($3,340 โ $3,390), this may serve as a solid re-entry point for long positions.
๐ฏ Profit Targets:
TP1: $3,435
TP2: $3,502
๐ Invalidation:
A strong close back below $3,320 may invalidate the bullish bias.
๐ Conclusion:
The chart indicates a bullish continuation setup for XAU/USD with clearly defined breakout, retest, and target zones. Traders should monitor price action closely around the breakout area for confirmation before entering long positions. Risk management remains key. ๐งฎโ๏ธ