XAUUSD: Gold setting up for small buy opportunities 15 min TFHello,
XAUUSD is currently setting up for a potential short-term buying opportunity. Despite elevated volatility in recent sessions, we expect this trend to persist as the new U.S. administration continues rolling out its policies. While Trump has softened his tone on tariffs, he remains firm on maintaining them until the U.S. secures fairer trade agreements—consistent with his broader economic agenda.
Given the prevailing uncertainty, we still see limited but promising opportunities for gold buyers. Technically, gold appears to have completed a corrective phase and is positioning for a fresh rally. Our near-term target is set at \$3,500. Additionally, the MACD is approaching a zero-line crossover, signaling a possible shift in momentum that supports a cautious bullish stance.
The FED rate decision later today could be the catalyst for the small move.
Good luck.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold Technical Analysis.The image you uploaded is a technical analysis chart for XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe, published on TradingView. Here’s a breakdown of the chart:
1. Trend and Pattern:
The chart shows a bullish trend with two ascending channels (marked in green) that recently broke to the downside.
The price reached a resistance zone (marked with a black rectangle) and reversed sharply.
2. Price Action:
The current price is approximately 3,370.94, showing a decrease of 1.91%.
After breaking the ascending channel, the price is showing bearish momentum.
3. Prediction/Target:
The chart suggests a potential continuation of the downward move, with a target around the 3,340 level (marked in blue).
A consolidation or small pullback is indicated before continuing downward.
4. Key Zones:
Resistance Zone: Around 3,400 - 3,440.
Support Zone/Target: Around 3,340.
The chart analysis indicates a bearish bias with the possibility of a price drop toward the target zone. Would you like insights on trading strategies based on this analysis?
Gold - Bearish continuation towards a strong support!Gold has been in a strong and consistent uptrend, supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and a favorable risk environment. However, on the lower timeframes, price action is showing signs of temporary weakness following a sharp sell-off a few days ago.
Currently, on the 4h chart, Gold appears to be forming a bearish continuation pattern, specifically a pennant. This type of consolidation after a fast drop often suggests potential for further downside. If the pennant breaks to the downside, the projected target aligns with the golden pocket of the latest bullish move, between $3,165 and $3,147. Notably, this level also coincides with a strong support zone, making it a high-interest area for potential long setups.
Despite the bearish pennant, the broader trend remains bullish, which means a break to the upside is still possible. However, given the current 4h structure, I'm leaning cautiously bearish in the short term and will be watching closely for signs of strength at the key support.
My plan is to look for long opportunities near the golden pocket, but only if certain criteria are met, primarily, signs of downside exhaustion such as a bullish candlestick formation on the lower timeframes. It's critical not to "catch a falling knife"; confirmation is essential before entering any long trade.
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XAUUSD:It is the right time to go short at high levels.The price of gold has strongly surged to around $3,315, forming a key resistance level. Analyzing from both the technical perspective and market sentiment, the selling pressure above this price level is remarkable, and the risk of a short-term pullback has intensified. The current market structure indicates that placing short positions at this high level may effectively capture the profit-taking space during the price correction, which can be regarded as a sensible trading strategy.
XAUUSD
sell@3315-3320
tp:3300-3280
The price of gold has strongly surged to around $3,315, forming a key resistance level. Analyzing from both the technical perspective and market sentiment, the selling pressure above this price level is remarkable, and the risk of a short-term pullback has intensified. The current market structure indicates that placing short positions at this high level may effectively capture the profit-taking space during the price correction, which can be regarded as a sensible trading strategy.
The Fed's decision looks at the trend of gold!From the 1-hour chart, we can see that the gold price is always running below the middle track of the Bollinger Band. As long as the price can effectively stabilize above the middle track support level of 3350, it shows that the bulls are still dominant and the price may restart the upward trend at any time. If the price remains above the 3350 level, the bullish view will continue to be maintained, and the resistance performance of the 3380-3410 area should be closely watched. If the price successfully breaks through this area, it can be regarded as a staged upward target.
XAU/USD 12-16 May 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025.
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line.
The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH.
This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments.
Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
Gold Market Analysis – Weekly Outlook 10-05-2025Wondering where gold is heading next? Don’t worry, we’ve got you covered.
Our technical analysis indicates that gold has once again entered bearish territory on the 4-hour chart as of Friday’s close. This marks the second time in two weeks that gold has shifted into a bearish trend, further supporting our current outlook.
We have maintained a bearish bias on gold for several weeks, and the latest movement in the moving averages continues to validate this view, at least in the short term. Our team is actively monitoring the market for sell opportunities on lower timeframes, aiming to maximize profitability.
Stay tuned for further updates from the InvestmentLive trading desk.
Gold Short-Term Outlook: Potential Rebound Toward Resistance Be The price is currently trading around the 3353 level, after bouncing from a key support zone at 3329 dollars.
In the first scenario, if the price continues to rise, it’s expected to reach the 3398 level — a very strong resistance area, as it aligns with a descending trendline and multiple previous highs. This zone could trigger a strong pullback, and we expect a new decline back toward the 3329 and 3319 levels respectively.
The MACD is giving a bullish signal, and the Stochastic is also moving up from the oversold area, which suggests the possibility of a temporary upward move.
The Fed’s interest rate decision makes a grand debut
After gold quickly rose and fell today, gold basically began to fluctuate sideways. Of course, this is also to welcome the heavy data of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision; gold is likely to fluctuate like this before the data, so where will the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision go? And how to lay it out?
Judging from the recent market and data, there is a high probability that gold will keep interest rates unchanged, so gold as a whole will still maintain a volatile upward trend. The gold 1-hour moving average is still a bullish arrangement with a golden cross upward. The strength of the gold bulls is still there, and gold will continue to make more dips. Gold 3350 is still an important turning point for gold's long-short transition. After the gold Fed interest rate decision, then we will continue to go long on dips above 3350. After the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, gold will continue to buy on dips above 3350.
Gold's short-term trend is still a bullish arrangement. Gold will continue to buy on dips without breaking 3350. If the gold data unexpectedly falls below 3350, then re-arrange it at that time.
Operational ideas:
Gold more than 3350, stop loss 3340, target 3400-3420;
Gold H4 | Pullback support at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 3,343.88 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 3,270.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,431.43 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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GOLD PLAN UPDATE 07/05/2025H4 is showing a reversal signal, but it looks more like a retest of the broken resistance zone.
By the book + looking at the D1 chart, there’s a high chance gold pushes higher after this retest.
To me, this current rally feels a bit shaky.
My view: gold might retest or break the previous high, but I don’t see it running too far before pulling back again.
That’s my medium-term outlook—not a short-term call. Let’s wait and see 😄
Xauusd Expecting bullish movement A strong bullish trend is identified by the upward blue channel on the left side of the chart showing consistent higher highs and higher lows.
The price then broke out of the bullish channel and entered a consolidation phase marked by a red descending rectangle, indicating distribution or potential reversal.
Following the consolidation, a bearish breakdown occurred confirming the end of the bullish momentum.
Current Price Structure:
Price found support around the 3320 level, shown with a red horizontal box.
A bullish reversal pattern appears to be forming, with higher lows suggesting accumulation and potential for a move higher.
Forecast:
The projected path (blue arrow) anticipates a bullish reversal, with price expected to rally from current levels toward the target zone near 3380–3390 highlighted in blue.
The target zone aligns with previous support turned resistance, making it a logical profit-taking area
This is a bullish setup based on a break-and-retest pattern.
Entry is likely being considered around current support (3320–3325), with the target near 3385 and a stop-loss likely placed below the support zone to manage risk.
Gold Showing Signs of a Potential Top Gold has all the hallmarks of a potential top, with signs pointing to a possible slowdown in the uptrend. While some weakness could develop over the coming weeks, this does not necessarily signal a reversal. The momentum remains strong enough that any pullback or dip could attract buyers looking to capitalize on lower prices, keeping the overall bullish trend intact.
XAUUAD UPDATE: 9- 05-2025This chart is for Gold (XAU/USD) on a 45-minute timeframe and includes technical analysis. Here are the key details:
Chart Components:
1. Support and Resistance Zones:
Lower Yellow Zone (~3241.450): This is a support zone where price previously bounced.
Upper Yellow Zone (~3414.901): This is a resistance zone where price previously reversed.
2. Current Price:
Price is currently around 3307.260, slightly above a key support area.
3. Projected Movement (Blue Arrows):
The blue line indicates a possible short-term dip into the support zone.
Followed by a reversal and rise toward the resistance zone around 3415.
4. Volume Indicator:
Volume appears to spike during key movements, showing strong interest at support/resistance levels.
5. Risk-Reward Box (Red-Green Shading):
Red area: Risk zone for long positions (if price drops below the support).
Green area: Reward zone if the price follows the projected upward movement.
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bullish setup with an anticipated bounce from the support zone near 3241 and a target toward the resistance zone at 3415. This analysis assumes the support holds strong and buyers step in at that level.
Would you like a trading strategy or indicators to support this analysis?
XAUUSD /GOLD Trade Setup: Bullish (Buy)
Entry Price (Buy Limit):
Around $3,385 – This is near the retest zone (support) after the breakout and the top of the demand block from earlier.
Stop Loss:
Below the demand zone low, around $3,370 – This gives room in case of a liquidity sweep but protects against a structure break.
Take Profit (TP1 / Conservative):
Around $3,410 – This is below the upper supply zone to secure profits before potential reversal.
Take Profit (TP2 / Extended):
Around $3,425–3,430 – Closer to the full retest of the supply zone above for extended profits.