XAUUSDK trade ideas
Trap Above? Reversal Brewing or Just a Pullback?Gold (XAUUSD) continues to play mind games near a strong intraday resistance zone. Price formed a nice bullish channel and just tapped into the reversal zone near 3335, aligning with past supply and liquidity sweep potential.
⚔️ After a Ch.o.C (Change of Character) broke minor structure, it’s likely we see:
A deeper reversal toward support at 3323.450
Or a full breakdown heading into the FVG zone near 3308–3310
If we get a selling confirmation breakout, expect a flush back into imbalance & maybe beyond 👇
📉 Technical Bias: Bearish Rejection Setup
🧠 Sentiment: Watching for sell signals post-liquidation
📍 Key Zone: 3330–3335 = SELL Interest
🔔 Trigger: Watch 3323.450 for clean confirmation
💬 Note for traders: This could be the “trap” before NY liquidity kicks in — manage risk tight!
Gold Steady, Dollar Wobbles — Here’s Why🧠 Midweek Market Snapshot | DXY, XAUUSD, BTCUSD
This week’s market action is being shaped by easing geopolitical tensions, Fed rate cut speculation, and safe-haven flows.
🔻 The US Dollar (DXY) continues to weaken as talk of interest rate cuts builds and Middle East tensions cool off.
🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) remains firm, supported by central bank buying and dollar softness.
₿ Bitcoin (BTCUSD) shows strength, holding above $100K after bouncing back from geopolitical dips.
📊 Key drivers:
• Fed rate expectations
• US inflation & job data
• Ceasefire talks between Israel & Iran
• Central bank gold demand
🎥 Catch the quick breakdown on YouTube
📌 Follow for weekly updates, trade ideas, and price insights.
#DXY #XAUUSD #BTCUSD #MarketUpdate #TradingView #MidweekMarketReview #Crypto #Forex #Gold #Bitcoin
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)We've seen s sharp move back up overnight which is no surprise considering we are at the start of a new month & quarter. Markets will be spiking to both sides for monthly liquidity, before moving in the direction of the trend.
We're still holding below our yellow support zone & below 'Minor Wave 2'. If this continues to hold, then it'll be a good sign for sellers.
XAU / USD 2 Hour ChartHello traders. We had a nice push up during the overnight sessions. I would think that we will be pushing back down at some point. I marked my area of interest. Many times the NY session will undo what happened overnight. So I expect a nice push down. We may poke up a bit more, but for me, I am looking for scalp sells if the set up comes to fruition. This is just my speculation and idea but not advice to go clicking the buy or sell button. I will wait half the week to take one trade. BIg G gets my thanks. Let's see how things play out. Pre NY volume start coming in about 20 minutes from this writing. ( 7:20am est) Thanks for checking out my chart. Remember I said we may push up a bit more but I am looking for gold to potentially move down to correct the move up and take out anyone in Long positions in profit. Let's see if my analysis is on point today.
Xauusd market update today This 2-hour chart of CFDs on Gold (TVC: XAU/USD) shows a bullish reversal pattern with price currently at 3,346.197, up +43.277 (+1.31%). Here's a breakdown:
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
Support Zone (~3,240): The price reversed from a strong demand zone around 3,240, forming a "V"-shaped recovery.
Breakout of Previous Resistance (~3,320–3,340): Price broke above recent consolidation, indicating bullish momentum.
Next Resistance Levels (Marked by Yellow Boxes):
Near-Term: ~3,360
Mid-Term: ~3,400
Extended Target: ~3,440 (top supply zone)
🔁 Two Possible Scenarios (Marked by Dotted Arrows):
1. Bullish Continuation: Price targets higher zones around 3,360 → 3,400 → 3,440.
2. Bearish Rejection: If price fails to hold above 3,340, a retracement back to 3,240 support is possible.
📊 Current Momentum:
Strong bullish candles suggest continued upside pressure.
If the momentum holds above 3,340, bulls may drive it toward 3,360 and beyond.
Let me know if you'd like entry/exit strategies or confirmation with RSI/Fibonacci levels.
The bull market is too fierce. How to solve the short position?📰 News information：
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
📈 Technical Analysis：
The conflict between Iran and Israel has stopped for a while, but there is a possibility of it breaking out again. There is a possibility of triggering risk aversion in the short term. From a technical perspective, the 4H MACD indicator shows a golden cross, and the moving average and other indicators are also radiating upward, with a strong bullish signal. The 1H chart Bollinger Bands open upward, and the short-term pressure position is at 3340-3345. The short-term data indicators are seriously overbought, and there may be a profit correction in the short term. Therefore, if you want to short in the short term, you can only consider the 3340-3350 range. In the short term, gold will not usher in a large retracement, and the short-term target is only suitable for looking at 3320-3310. As for the long trading point, it is expected to wait for the European and American trading hours.
🎯 Trading Points：
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3320-3310
BUY 3325-3315
TP 3335-3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
GOLD SHORT TRADE IDEA ! Gold Looking For Sell On Order Block Zone 3331/3334 Target Will Be 3300
Gold Sell Second Zone Bearish Engulfing + Fresh Supply Target Will Be 3275
Gold Sell First Zone OB H1 (3331/3335
Stoploss - 3345
Tp Levels - 3325,3320,3310,3300
Gold Sell Second Zone Bearish EG + Fresh Supply (3338/3344)
Stoploss - 3350
TP levels : 3330; 3322; 3314; 3330, 3290
GOLD 45MINTHE month of july 1 Key Economic Outlook ;
Central Bank Speeches
(1)The bank of England head (BOE) Gov Bailey might speak in context on BOE 4.25% rate cut ,uk inflation about 3.45% is still above limit and the goal is 2%.my focus will be on his rhetoric's ,if he sounds dovish or Hawkish tones, then GBP will react to the sentiment.
(2)Bank of japan (BOJ) Gov Ueda will center on rate held steady at 0.5% and core inflation remains above 2%,market will watch the sentiment because its likely he will address yield -curve control adjustments or hawkish signals , which will potentially boost JPY AND JP10Y
the head of united states Fed reserve Chair, sir! Powell will speak and it comes with red folder ,the last monetary policy meeting kept Fed funds rate at 4.25–4.50% ,Powell recently emphasized patience on rate cuts based on cautious wait and see approach
Key Messages Expected:
Tariff-driven inflation risks require vigilance.
Rate cuts unlikely until September unless inflation cools markedly.
"No urgency" to ease policy amid solid labor market.
US Economic Data Releases
Final Manufacturing PMI 52.0 52.0 Neutral if unchanged; USD positive if >52.0.
ISM Manufacturing PMI 48.8 48.5 Contractionary (<50); USD negative if <48.5.
JOLTS Job Openings 7.32M 7.39M USD negative if <7.32M (labor cooling).
ISM Manufacturing Prices 69.6 69.4 USD positive if >69.6 (inflationary pressure).
Construction Spending -0.2% -0.4% Limited impact unless significantly below forecast.
Market Implications
USD: Powell’s tone is critical. Hawkish remarks (delayed cuts) could lift DXY; dovish hints may weaken it. Data surprises (especially ISM/JOLTS) could amplify volatility.
GBP/JPY: Bailey/Ueda speeches may drive cross-pairs. BOJ hawkishness could weaken EUR/JPY carry trades.
Risk Assets: Weak ISM/JOLTS data may pressure equities (US30) and boost bonds (↓US10Y).
Summary of Key Risks
Powell Speech: Reiteration of "no imminent cuts" likely. Watch for tariff-inflation warnings.
ISM/JOLTS: Sustained manufacturing contraction or softer labor demand could fuel recession fears.
Carry Trades: JPY strength (Ueda) may pressure EUR/JPY/AUD if BOJ signals policy shift.
#gold #fx
XAUUSD Analysis – June Monthly CloseGold starts the week with a weak bounce attempt after a strong bearish momentum on Friday, which pushed the market below the key 3254 support. The downtrend structure remains valid with a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows on the 4H chart.
At the moment, price is trapped inside the 3254–3295 range. Despite the strong bearish pressure, we have yet to see a meaningful correction after the sharp drop on June 28th. This opens the door for a potential intraday pullback to test minor supply and moving average resistance near 3291–3297.
However, today is monthly candle close, which means increased volatility and possible false breakouts—especially during US sessions. Traders should be cautious with breakout traps, especially around 3305–3310, where stop hunting might occur.
The bigger picture still favors the bears unless gold manages to break and hold above the descending trendline and the EMA cluster.
📌 Trade Setup (Short Bias – Intraday Correction)
SELL zone: 3291 – 3297
SL: 3303 (Above supply & EMA test zone)
TP1: 3278
TP2: 3255
TP3: 3215
This is not a high-conviction swing setup but a tactical short based on potential rejection from previous supply and dynamic resistance. Small lot size is recommended due to the wider stop-loss and low R/R reward unless high volatility plays in our favor.
📊 Key Intraday Levels
R3: 3342
R2: 3322
R1: 3295
Pivot: 3254
S1: 3214
S2: 3180
S3: 3123
GOLD GOLD ,different broker different candle close on different time frame, this is dishonesty and it will affect the structure of the market.
GOLD GOLD ,different broker different candle close on different time frame, this is dishonesty and it will affect the structure of the market.
Gold short from 3314Gold projection for the next week.
First a long up until 3300 region then from there i will be lookibg for shorts.
Gold Continues to Fall Below $3,300As the week comes to a close, gold is on track for a decline of more than 1.5% during the latest trading session. So far, the bearish bias remains firmly in place in the movements of the precious metal, as demand for safe-haven assets continues to fade, mainly due to the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East conflict, which has helped restore market confidence. Since gold is a classic safe-haven asset, demand has steadily weakened in recent sessions, and as long as this situation holds, selling pressure on gold may continue to intensify.
Uptrend Breaks:
Recent selling activity has played a crucial role, as it has led to a bearish breakout below the short-term trendline, which had been consistently holding on the chart. This breakdown has now opened the door for a lateral channel to form, suggesting that market sentiment has entered a more neutral zone in the short term. If bearish pressure continues, it could pave the way for a more dominant downtrend to take shape in the sessions ahead.
Indicators:
RSI: The RSI line has started oscillating steadily below the 50 level, signaling that downward momentum is beginning to dominate. If the line continues to move away from the neutral 50 level, we could expect more consistent bearish pressure on the chart.
MACD: A similar setup is emerging on the MACD. The indicator's histogram has dropped below the neutral line at zero and is showing persistent negative readings. This signals that selling momentum remains dominant, based on the average strength of the moving averages. If this continues, it would confirm a clear bearish bias.
Key Levels to Watch:
$3,300 – Current barrier: This level aligns with the midpoint of the short-term lateral channel. Price action around this area could reinforce the neutral outlook in the near term.
$3,400 – Key resistance zone: This level marks the historical highs of the gold market. A return to this level would revive the recently abandoned bullish trend and could reestablish a more optimistic outlook.
$3,200 – Critical support: This marks the lower boundary of the short-term channel. A breakdown below this level could trigger a fresh selling trend in the coming sessions.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
The data is negative. Will the price rebound from the bottom?Gold prices have continued to fall since the high near 3450. This trading day started the downward mode near 3328, and the European session continued to fall, breaking a new low. The negative PCE data also continued the downward mode. So far, it has rebounded after hitting the lowest level near 3255. However, the rebound is small, and the upper pressure is still very strong.
From the 4-hour chart, short-term resistance focuses on the vicinity of 3295-3300, followed by important pressure near 3315. The short-term support below focuses on the vicinity of 3265-3270. The overall strategy of shorting at high positions remains unchanged based on this range.
Operation strategy:
Short at the price rebound near 3295, short covering at the high point of 3315, stop loss 3325, profit range 3370-3360.
At present, the price fluctuates greatly. If you want to try scalping transactions, you can trade with a light position and float up and down 5 points to stop loss or profit in time.
This is the last trading day of this week. I hope you all will gain something and have a happy weekend with your family.
XauusdWill work may be. There is break of structure in smaller time frame so will go up to touch previous highs.
Gold fluctuated and fell, and the rebound was directly short
📣Gold News
Due to the easing of the situation in the Middle East, gold has fallen in the past few days, and the market has been eagerly looking forward to the interest rate cut, because the tariffs in the Trump era may push up inflation, but it has not come yet. "
On Thursday, the U.S. Department of Labor and Commerce issued key economic data, including initial jobless claims and the final value of real GDP in the first quarter. The number of initial jobless claims was 236,000, a decrease of 9,000 from 245,000 in the previous week, better than the market expectation of 245,000. At the same time, as of June 14, the number of continued unemployment claims in the week increased by 37,000 to 1.974 million, a new high since November 2021. Gold stopped below the moving average today. Gold did not continue the small positive line rise, and the decline continued during the U.S. trading period.
Today, focus on the continuation of short positions, comprehensive Labaron believes that gold is bearish today. For today's operation, consider rebound shorting as the main, and low long as the auxiliary.
📣 Pay attention to the resistance of 3330-3345 US dollars above
📣 Pay attention to the support of 3300-3280 US dollars below
💰 Go long near 3295-3285, target 3310-3320
💰 Go short near 3330-3340, target 3000-3290
If you have just entered the market, you are confused about the market of gold, oil and silver, and you always do the opposite operation direction and the entry price is unstable. I hope Labaron's article will help you.
XAU/USD POTENTIAL BULLISH SHARK
This is my view on Gold, and as such it is not a recommendation for you to buy or sell XAUUSD, but this is what I'm expecting to happen on Gold in the next couple of days.
GOLD THE GOLD ,MARKET STRUCTURE +SMA+EMA =100 % accuracy without fundamental news out break.
but with news doesn't work best.
gold lower level buy at 3314 -3318 is valid based on 3hr structure.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart Analysis4-hour chart from OANDA shows the recent performance of Gold Spot priced in U.S. Dollars (XAU/USD), with the current price at $3,313.650, reflecting a decrease of $9.800 (-0.29%). The chart highlights a recent upward trend followed by a pullback, with a support zone around $3,301.186 to $3,313.650 and a resistance level near $3,380.030. The inset provides a zoomed-in view of the price action, indicating potential volatility with a lightning bolt symbol and U.S. flags, suggesting significant market movements or news
GOLD UPDATE Looking for buying opportunities in case the support still holds
Follow for daily updates
GOLD (XAU/USD), cycle top made?Has the price of gold made its final high point in a bullish cycle, while the geopolitical situation in the Middle East seems to be beginning to ease? The answer to this question cannot be a simple yes, as there are so many fundamental factors influencing gold's trend on the commodities market.
But it is true that, in terms of technical analysis, signals of the end of a bullish cycle (the one that began at the start of 2024, when the price made a bullish technical break of its former all-time high at $2075 an ounce of gold) are gradually appearing, in particular bearish divergences.
1) GOLD, medium/long-term bearish technical divergences are gradually appearing
First of all, let's begin our analysis with the technical aspect for medium/long-term time horizons. The two charts below show signs that the underlying uptrend is running out of steam, with a bearish price/momentum divergence in weekly data. As for the monthly chart, it shows that the theoretical targets of bullish wave number 5 (the last bullish impulse in the Elliott wave cycle) have been made. This doesn't mean with 100% probability that the final high point has been made, but it does highlight that the bullish cycle is well matured and that less buoyant fundamentals may trigger a price breath at the current stage.
Chart showing Japanese candles in monthly gold price data (XAU/USD)
Chart showing Japanese candles in weekly gold price data (XAU/USD)
2) On the other hand, we must remain cautious, as the geopolitical situation is still very tense, and the fundamental factors influencing gold are many and varied
The fundamentals that have underpinned GOLD's fundamental uptrend are numerous and go far beyond the geopolitical framework. While geopolitics is calming down in the Middle East, it remains very complicated in Ukraine. But despite everything, the ceasefire between Israel and Iran is taking bullish support away from the GOLD.
But keep in mind that other factors are at work, notably physical demand for gold in China and financial demand for gold via ETFs in particular. The latter is directly linked to interest rates, the US dollar and therefore the FED's monetary policy outlook.
Therefore, mere appeasement in the Middle East is NOT a sufficient argument for the end of GOLD's bullish cycle in fundamental terms.
3) The bullish technical signal we highlighted for you on XPT/USD
In an analysis of precious metals on June 10, we highlighted a bullish technical signal on the platinum price (XPT/USD), with an outperformance signal given against gold. This analysis can be viewed again by clicking on the link/image below.
Based on the monthly technical analysis, the platinum price is approaching the overbought zone, so don't hesitate to accompany the movement with a trailing protective stop, as sooner or later there will be a market breather.
Chart showing monthly Japanese candlesticks for platinum (XPT/USD)
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