GOLD-SELL strategy 3 hourly chartGOLD has been positive due to crypto buoyant state of mind. These are very overbought, even though we see each day a higher price, it only means the correction will become very severe, is my person al viewpoint.
Gold techs are starting to become negative, and I feel we should move lower towards $ 3,300 > 3,240 area over-time.
Strategy SELL @ $ 3,385-3,425 and take profit in stages near $ 3,325 - $ 3,247 for now.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold Market Technical Analysis and Trading StrategiesGold Market Technical Analysis and Trading Strategies
Current Trend Analysis
Gold prices entered a technical rebound after testing key support at $3,300 and are currently trading in a narrow range between $3,315 and $3,320. This area constitutes a key bull-bear dividing line, acting as both upper resistance at the hourly chart's descending channel and technical resistance from a previous low. Since retreating from the April high of $3,500, gold prices have fallen 5.7%, primarily due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and a stronger dollar.
Key Price Analysis
Resistance Zone: 3,320-3,325 (upper channel edge + Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level)
Support Level: 3,300, a psychological barrier; a break below could see prices fall to 3,280-3,260.
Bull-Bear Divide: A break above 3,320 could see prices rise to 3,340-3,353; a break below 3,310 would signal a continuation of the trend.
Market Sentiment and Momentum
COMEX net long positions have fallen to a year-to-date low, reflecting subdued market sentiment. The MACD hourly chart shows a bottoming divergence, indicating weakening short-term downward momentum, but shrinking trading volume raises doubts about the sustainability of the rebound. A doji candlestick appears after consecutive negative closes on the daily chart, reflecting a temporary equilibrium between bulls and bears.
Trading Strategy Recommendations
Primary Strategy: Set up short positions on dips under pressure between 3320-3325, with a stop-loss above 3332. Targets are 3310-3305. A break below targets 3280.
Secondary Strategy: Try a small buy position if the price stabilizes at 3315, with a strict stop-loss below 3310 and a target of 3330-3340.
Position Management: Limit risk per trade to 1-2%, with a stop-loss of $6-8.
Risk Warning: Focus on a breakout above the 3315-3320 area. Performance in the European session may indicate the direction of the US market. Be wary of volatility risks arising from changes in US economic data and Fed policy expectations. The medium- to long-term downward trend remains unchanged; strict stop-loss orders are recommended for short-term trading.
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 29 July 2025Hello Traders, Welcome to new day
we have US JOLTS high impact news today, for market sustains above 3300 psychological level
if market successfully break 3280 level then it will move towards 3280 or even 3270
if market crosses 3330 level successfully then it will move towards 3345 or even 3360
All eyes on FOMC & NFP news for the week
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
XAUUSD could potentially drop down to 3120XAUUSD has broken its most recent descending trendline on the Weekly chart, signaling a possible short-term reversal. It’s now approaching a higher-timeframe descending trendline, which could act as resistance. The next key demand zone is around 3246; if that fails, the more significant demand lies at 3120. Despite this pullback, the macro trend remains bullish. Notably, institutional traders increased their net long positions by over 40,000 contracts last week, bringing the total to more than 253,000, reflecting a potential shift in sentiment.
XAU/USD (Gold) – Smart Money Reversal Setup | 1H Breakdown🔹 Current Price: $3,423.98
🔹 Session Range: Day High $3,433.85 | Day Low $3,384.99
🔍 Smart Money Narrative:
Clean bullish impulse followed by CHoCH + Fair Value Gap (FVG) creation
Price forming Ending Diagonal / Rising Wedge (5-wave structure) into weak high
Expecting liquidity sweep above the weak high followed by bearish reversal
📐 Key Technical Highlights:
🟣 CHoCH confirms potential reversal
🟩 FVG + OB Zone acting as mitigation base
🔻 Day Low + 1H OB marked as key bearish target
🔺 Day High = weak liquidity likely to be swept before drop
📈 Trade Idea (Bearish Plan):
Let price complete wave (5) and sweep the weak high
Look for confirmation (MSS, FVG, lower TF BOS)
Short entry target: OB near $3,385 (Day Low zone)
Optional swing target = $3,360–3,345 POI zone
⚠️ Risk Note:
This is a smart money concept-based idea focused on liquidity, CHoCH, and mitigation logic. Use lower timeframe confirmations before entry. Manage risk wisely.
#XAUUSD #SmartMoney #ICT #LiquiditySweep #CHoCH #FVG #MarketStructure #ForexGold #ReversalSetup
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Quick follow-up on yesterday’s 1H chart update
After hitting 3353, we did not see an EMA5 cross and lock above this level. That lack of confirmation was key and it validated a rejection right at 3353, leading to another drop into the retracement zone.
As per plan, that retracement provided yet another clean bounce, perfectly in line with our dip buying strategy.
We are once again looking toward 3353, and just like before, we will be closely watching for an EMA5 cross and lock confirmation to validate any continuation.
This kind of movement continues to confirm the power of patience, structure, and disciplined execution. No chasing just clean planned executions with high probability setups based on our EMA5 methodology.
We’re also still watching the 3381 gap a key magnet above, and a level we’ve been tracking since the Monday outlook. The roadmap remains unchanged. We’re trading the structure, managing risk, and letting confirmations guide the execution.
Updated Reminder of Key Levels:
BULLISH TARGET
3381
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3381 opens
3416
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3416 opens
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3353 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3353 opens
3328 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3328 opens
3305
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3305 opens Swing Range:
3288
3259
As always, we’ll continue monitoring and sharing updates, as price reacts around these zones. Thank you all for the continued support, your likes, comments, and follows are genuinely appreciated!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
3325 accurate long position, gold rose as expectedToday, gold rebounded as expected. We arranged long orders in advance near 3325, which was completely based on the technical repair logic after the previous continuous decline and the accurate judgment of the key support area. From the rhythm point of view, the opening price quickly fell but did not break the previous low. The technical side showed a bottom stabilization signal, and the panic release on the emotional side was the core basis for our decisive long position. At present, gold has risen to around 3344, and we have made a big profit again, perfectly fulfilling the opening strategy and successfully starting this week. This wave of long orders not only has considerable space, but also reflects our grasp of rhythm and control of risks, and truly realizes predictable returns and controllable risks.
What to look at next?
Currently, gold is approaching the 3345-3355 periodic resistance area, and there is limited room for short-term gains. It is recommended to pay close attention to the competition for this position. If there is a lack of strength to rise or signs of stagflation, it is not ruled out that the market will fall into adjustment again. You can focus on the brewing of short-term opportunities.
Brothers can operate according to the plan. More strategies are updated in real time. Welcome to continue to pay attention!
XAUUSD – 4H Short Setup AnalysisGold (XAUUSD) has broken below the dynamic support zone of the Keltner Channel structure and is currently trading beneath the 200 EMA zone, signaling bearish momentum. Price has rejected the upper resistance band near 3385, forming a lower high and triggering a short entry at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement zone.
📉 Trade Idea (Short Bias)
Entry: Around 3360
TP1: 3317 (key support zone)
TP2: 3275 (38.2% Fib ext)
TP3: 3208 (100% extension target)
SL: 3385 (61.8% Fib retracement)
Confluences:
Price rejection from upper channel
200 EMA trend resistance
Clean bearish structure with momentum confirmation
Fib confluence adds precision to entry and target levels
If momentum sustains below 3360, further downside is likely toward the 3200 zone.
XAUUSD Update - Continuation to Break the Bermuda triangle ?on the last week, we could see that triangle pattern has been breakout.
This week, it will continuation to break more higher ?
Let the chart answer it...if 3380's level could be touch, it's a first symptom of reversal to upside movement.
At the bottom side of triangle, we could see that it still respect to the bottom trend line.
Have a blessing week a head !
Gold - Week of 21st July (updated)Market Outlook Update
Following up on Sunday evening’s analysis — honestly, I didn’t expect the move to unfold this quickly. We’ve still got questions on the table: will the market call Trump’s bluff, or just shrug it off? The Euro certainly didn’t ignore the developments, as we saw with that strong bullish London session yesterday.
Will we see one or two more retracements? Or is the market gearing up for a favourable month-end close? Either way, I hope you’re kicking off the week with high energy — because XAUUSD is primed for fireworks. With Powell speaking tomorrow, expect increased volatility and some fakeouts. Stay sharp, stay focused — it’s all about reading the true structure and keeping it 100% sniper.
Key Intraday Zones
🔻 Main Sell Zone: 3440–3452
This is our strongest supply area for now. Last touch saw aggressive selling. If price revisits this zone, look for a clear rejection: wick rejections, bearish engulfing, or BOS on M5/M15.
⚠️ No FOMO — only short if the market shows real weakness.
🔁 Flip/Sell Zone: 3412–3427
This is the "chameleon" zone — flips between support and resistance. Price often hunts liquidity here. Watch for a sweep or a sharp rejection before entering.
✅ Look for confirmation: clean rejection or a break back below.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3360–3372
Last strong base of buyers. If price drops into this range, wait for a solid bullish response: long wicks, bullish engulfing candles, or a CHOCH.
🚫 Don't catch a falling knife — wait for buyers to show up.
🟩 3345–3350 (Main H1 Demand / Flip Zone)
Why it matters: Strong structural flip — former resistance turned demand + previous session low. A deeper pullback here offers a solid swing re-entry.
📌 Enter only on confirmation: strong wick, CHOCH, or clear reversal pattern.
🎯 Swing Target Zone: 3380–3420
🔸 Decision Zone: 3395–3405
Keep an eye here — this zone may dictate the short-term direction.
Disclaimer: For educational context only.
Gold Trade plan 22/07/2025Dear Traders,
The price is currently moving towards the upper boundary of the channel. The areas where it could potentially rise again are the 3360 zone and the 3320 zone, which is the lower boundary of the upward channel. The first area I have in mind is the 3360 zone, and the second area, 3325-3330, which is more attractive for buying. In the first area, there is a high likelihood that the price will react, but the risk-to-reward ratio is better in the second area.
Regards,
Alireza!
GOLD: Bullish Reversal Pattern Activated! 21/07/2025THE GOLDEN SETUP: Triple Bottom Masterpiece :
🟢 BULLISH BREAKOUT SETUP
🎯 BUY ZONE: $3,324 (Neckline Break)
🚀 TP1: $3,377
🚀 TP2: $3,393
🚀 LAST TP : $3,408
Stop Loss: $3,312 (Below recent low) 🚨
🌟 Before You Trade:
✅Wait for neckline break ($3,325+)🔥
✅Confirm with volume surge
✅Set stop loss below pattern ($3,312)
✅Calculate position size (max 2% risk)
--------------- N O T E ----------------
🚨 RISK MANAGEMENT 💡DYOR
Follow for more high-probability setups! 📊✨
XAU/USD (1H) – Smart Money Bearish SetupPrice is currently breaking below the Breaker Block and showing rejection from the FVG zone, confirming bearish strength. Market structure has shifted after BOS, with momentum favoring a move toward the POI demand zone.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔻 Breaker Block + FVG rejection confirms supply pressure.
🔵 Bearish Bias active below $3,382.50
🎯 Targeting POI zone: $3,345–$3,355
RSI & MACD indicators confirm bearish momentum.
🚩 Market Structure Flow:
BOS confirmed → Breaker Block retest → Continuation
Day High ($3,438) protected by strong BSL
Lower highs and FVG break confirm institutional selloff.
📚 Bias: Strong Bearish
🧠 Confluence: SMC + Breaker Block + Fair Value Gap + Liquidity Sweep
⚠️ Note: Wait for clean POI reaction before considering countertrend plays.
XAUUSD Update July 2025 - PLAN B - Bulls RejectionAfter Hard fall from 3439 ( 3450 rejection ), Gold will retest 3310 support.
If bounce from here, it will move upside and retest 3373 resistance.
If any hard rejection from 3373 resistance area, its a sign that price will move to make a lower low.
Becarefull in this accumulation zone.
Bearish movement still hiding before it break 3120 support.
Have a blessing day !
Gold technical outlook – Signs of exhaustion at channel topOANDA:XAUUSD is climbing within a well-defined ascending channel, and price is now brushing up against the upper boundary, a dynamic resistance zone that has historically triggered pullbacks. If price gets rejected here, we may see a healthy correction toward the key support at 3,350, offering a potential reload point for bulls.
Should buyers step in and defend this level, the bullish structure remains intact, setting the stage for a renewed push higher. On the other hand, a clean break below 3,350 could open the door for a deeper retracement toward the lower edge of the channel, where more significant demand may lie.
All eyes should be on price action and volume in this regio, watch for reversal patterns like bullish pin bars or engulfing candles to confirm entries. As always, risk management comes first. Don't trade assumptions, trade confirmations.
What’s your take on this setup? Drop your thoughts below and let’s discuss!