Gold Price Update – Testing Key ResistanceGold is currently trading around 3367, showing strong bullish momentum as it continues to form higher lows, which indicates an ongoing uptrend. The market structure is developing inside a rising wedge pattern, with the price consistently respecting both the ascending support and resistance lines.
Gold is now testing a key resistance zone between 3376 and 3450, an area that previously acted as a major supply zone and caused sharp rejections. A successful breakout and close above 3450 will likely confirm a bullish continuation and may open the door for a rally toward 3500 and possibly 3580. However, if gold fails to break this level, it could retrace back to the 3300 or 3250 support zones, especially if a rejection candle forms in the daily timeframe.
📊 Key Technical Highlights:
- Price has approached the upper resistance boundary of the wedge.
- Daily candle is bullish, indicating strong buying momentum.
- However, unless price closes above 3,376–3,450, there’s still a risk of rejection from the top channel and a pullback toward 3,300–3,250.
🔑 Key levels to watch:
- Gold is currently trading around $3,367, just below a crucial horizontal resistance at $3,376
- A strong breakout above $3,376, and especially above $3,450, could open the door for further bullish movement toward the $3,500–$3,600 range, following the upper trendline of the ascending channel.
- On the downside, if price fails to hold the higher low at $3,252, a drop toward $3,200 or even $3,100 is possible aligning with the downward red trendline.
- The structure remains bullish overall, as price is still making higher lows and staying within the rising channel
📊 Weekly Gold Chart Analysis
Gold is currently trading around $3,368, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern on the weekly timeframe. This pattern typically indicates a period of consolidation before a potential breakout in either direction. The price is getting squeezed between lower highs and higher lows, which is a sign of decreasing volatility and approaching breakout.
🔑 Key Technical Insights:
- ✅ Current Structure: Price has been consolidating within a triangle since April 2025 after a strong upward move. It is now near the apex of the triangle, suggesting a breakout is imminent—most likely in the next 1–2 weeks.
🔼 Bullish Breakout:
- If gold breaks above the triangle resistance (~$3,385–$3,393), it could trigger a sharp rally.
- Upside targets post-breakout: $3,450, $3,500, $3,600+ (if momentum continues)
🔽 Bearish Breakdown:
- A break below the triangle support (~$3,335–$3,325) may lead to a deeper correction.
- Downside targets post-breakdown: $3,285, $3,200
- Possibly $3,100–$3,050 if bearish sentiment intensifies
📉 Volume Drop:
As typical with triangles, volume has likely decreased, signaling indecision. Once volume returns, it will likely confirm the breakout direction.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSDK trade ideas
GOLD Long After Lower Dip - Catching PullbackOANDA:XAUUSD / TVC:GOLD Long Trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple tp, here price will pullback up.
Price will bounce in this zone.
I kept SL slight big to be safe because TP levels are good so I don't want to get pushed out because of tight SL.
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – July 28, 2025📊
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🔍 Momentum Analysis:
• D1 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the oversold zone. This strongly suggests a potential bullish reversal today, which could lead to a rally or sideways movement lasting around 4–5 days.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum is reversing upward. This indicates a likely bullish or sideways move in the short term, at least until momentum reaches the overbought zone (estimated within the next 2 H4 candles).
• H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently overbought, so we may first see a pullback or sideways movement until a clearer reversal signal appears.
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🌀 Wave Structure Analysis:
• On the H4 chart, as noted in previous plans, the assumption that price is forming a contracting triangle (abcde) is still valid. Price is currently in the final leg (wave e) of this triangle.
• On the H1 chart, we can observe a channel structure, within which an abc corrective pattern is unfolding.
• The lower boundary of the triangle (marked by the green trendline) combined with support zones will be critical areas to monitor for the end of wave e.
🔺 Note: Wave e does not necessarily end precisely at the triangle boundary – it can slightly overshoot. Hence, we’ll rely on smaller wave structures to identify potential reversal zones.
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🎯 Key Price Zones to Watch:
• Target 1: 3329
• Target 2: 3309
• Target 3: 3290
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🔎 Lower Timeframe Structure (M10):
From the current price action (as shown in the chart), we can see a leading diagonal triangle structure forming. This is a pattern commonly seen in wave 1. If this pattern is confirmed, a sharp and steep decline toward the 3329 zone is likely.
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⚖️ Combining Momentum & Wave Structure:
• D1: Signals a potential reversal → favors Buy setups.
• H4: Momentum is rising, but price hasn’t confirmed a new bullish trend → need to stay alert and tighten Stop Loss.
• H1: Overbought + possible leading diagonal → Expecting a pullback for wave 2 toward 3329 → this would be the optimal Buy zone.
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🧭 Trade Plan:
• For experienced traders:
→ Wait for price to reach key levels and watch for reversal signals before entering.
• For beginners:
→ Use the following Limit Buy setup:
✅ Setup 1:
• Buy zone: 3330 – 3328
• Stop Loss: 3320
• TP1: 3351
• TP2: 3370
• TP3: 3385
✅ Setup 2:
• Buy zone: 3310 – 3308
• Stop Loss: 3300
• TP1: 3328
• TP2: 3351
• TP3: 3370
Smart Money Concepts (SMC)Positive aspects of the analysis:
1. Clear structural change (BOS and CHoCH):
A breakout of the previous bearish structure (Break of Structure) and a change in character (CHoCH) are evident, indicating an intention to change the trend.
2. Fake Out Identified:
The "fake out" toward the resistance zone is typical of liquidity traps designed to catch buyers before the actual decline. This provides institutional confluence for the short.
3. 15M block order + resistance zone:
Entry from a 15-minute OB, within a broader resistance zone. This strengthens the entry points, as there is a high probability of a bearish reaction there.
4. Mitigation of the previous 1H FVG:
The market has already mitigated the 1H Fair Value Gap, which generally indicates that the price no longer needs to rise further to balance this inefficiency.
5. Target in a logical zone (3,317):
Take profit placed just before a lower support zone. This is prudent, as many traders seek to close partial positions or exits before major support.
Gold is under pressure, shorts aim at 3310Gold is under pressure, shorts aim at 3310
Gold technical analysis and trading strategy: key support faces test, weak rebound, beware of breakout risk
Fundamental driving factors
The stabilization of the US dollar index suppresses gold prices: recent US economic data (such as retail sales, initial jobless claims) show resilience, the market's expectations for the Fed's rate cuts have been postponed, and US Treasury yields have rebounded, weakening the attractiveness of interest-free assets such as gold.
Risk aversion cools down: The situation in the Middle East has not escalated yet, and the rebound in US stocks has weakened the safe-haven demand for gold.
Fund flow: ETF holdings data show that institutional investors have continued to reduce their holdings of gold recently, reflecting that market sentiment is cautious.
Key technical signals
1. 4-hour cycle: oscillating bearish structure
Clear suppression: The overnight rebound high of 3375 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement level) constitutes a short-term strong and weak boundary, and the price has failed to stand firm here, indicating that bullish momentum is insufficient.
Support overlap: The 3340-35 area is the resonance area of the 4-hour trend line support and the Fibonacci downward target (3335-40). If it is lost, the downward space will be opened to 3320-3300.
Indicator divergence: The MACD histogram is shrinking and the fast and slow lines are close to the zero axis, and the RSI is hovering below 50, suggesting that the rebound momentum is exhausted.
2. 1-hour cycle: short-term technical structure is formed
Descending channel: Thursday's high of 3395 and the current high of 3377 form a secondary high point. Connecting the low point of the hourly chart can draw a descending channel, and the price runs along the lower track of the channel.
Key watershed: 3350 (61.8% retracement level) is a short-term long and short battle point. After breaking it, it will accelerate the test of 3340-35.
Today's trading strategy
Direction: Rebound high and empty mainly, and follow up after breaking the support.
Entry:
Aggressive short order: 3368-3373 light position short test, stop loss above 3380, target 3345-3340.
Steady short order: If the price rebounds to 3375-3380 under pressure, add short position, stop loss 3385, target unchanged.
Take profit and risk control:
Partial reduction of position near the first target 3340, the remaining position observes the support strength of 3340-35.
If it quickly breaks below 3340, short can be chased to 3325-3320 (previous low of daily line).
Alternative plan:
If the price unexpectedly breaks through 3380 and stabilizes, short position needs to be exited, wait and see the 3390-3400 pressure zone and then choose the opportunity to layout.
Key Tips
Don’t blindly buy the bottom: The current technical structure has not shown a bottom signal. Although the 3340-35 area is support, if it is accompanied by a large negative line break, it may trigger long stop-loss orders.
Data risk: Pay attention to the US PMI data in the evening. If it is stronger than expected, it may strengthen the dollar to suppress gold prices.
Gold – 25 July: Watching M15 Demand for Bullish Reversal📍 Gold – 25 July Outlook
Early Signs of Reversal from H4 OB Zone – Wait for Clear Continuation
🔍 Market Recap & Context:
Yesterday, the H4 Order Block zone (3359–3345) was retested and showed signs of holding. A visible M15 structure shift (ChoCH) suggests the market may be preparing to resume the uptrend.
However, the M15 Break of Structure (BoS) has not yet occurred — so this is not a confirmed reversal .
📍 Current Zone to Watch:
M15 Demand Zone: 3359.5 – 3351.5
Price is retracing into this zone. If respected, it could be the base for the next bullish leg.
📌 Trade Setup Possibility:
If price holds the M15 demand zone and M1 gives confirmation (e.g., micro-ChoCH + micro-BoS , a long trade could be considered.
But keep in mind — this would be an aggressive entry , because the M15 BoS is still pending.
This setup would rely on:
• Candlestick behavior
• Volume spikes or reaction
• Price action psychology
✅ Strategy Note:
Wait for signals like:
– Bullish engulfing on M1 or M5
– Micro ChoCH + demand hold
– Volume absorption or imbalance reaction
Only act if the market shows strength — not just a zone tap.
📝 Summary:
• Bias: Early bullish reversal watch
• Zone in Play: 3359.5–3351.5 (M15 demand)
• Confirmation: M1 LTF shift + strong candlesticks
• Caution: No M15 BoS yet — be precise and patient
• Risk Management: 1:3 RR — 40 pip SL / 120 pip TP
Let the chart speak first — observe with stillness, execute with precision.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
GOLD (XAUUSD) Analysis : Major Break + Bullish Setup + Target🟩 Today’s GOLD Analysis based on Volume Behavior, Smart Money Traps & Market Structure (MMC)
🔍 Chart Breakdown and MMC Concepts Explained:
1. Preceding Downtrend – Smart Money Trap Initiated
The chart begins with an extended downtrend, marking significant bearish pressure. However, deeper into the move, we notice price entering a Volume Absorption (VA) Zone — a key MMC signal where institutional orders quietly absorb aggressive retail selling.
This Volume Absorption Zone is highlighted on the left of the chart.
Smart money quietly positions longs here while inducing panic-selling from retail traders.
Wicks and indecision candles show early signs of sell exhaustion.
2. QFL Breakdown & Liquidity Sweep
The breakdown from the QFL (Quick Flip Level) is another hallmark of MMC behavior. The market intentionally breaks previous lows to trigger stop-loss clusters — known as a liquidity sweep or stop-hunt.
Price aggressively drops to a well-marked demand zone.
Massive bullish reaction from this zone confirms that smart money has completed accumulation.
The QFL move is not a true breakout, but a trap, designed to mislead retail into chasing shorts.
3. Demand Zone Reaction – Shift in Momentum
Price finds support at the demand zone (highlighted in green) and starts forming higher lows. This transition from lower lows to higher lows is a structural confirmation of market reversal.
Buyers have regained control.
Large bullish candles and wick rejections at key levels signal institutional entry.
4. SR Interchange Zone – Key MMC Confirmation
One of the most important zones on this chart is the SR Interchange area.
This level was previously resistance and is now acting as support — a concept known as support-resistance flip.
MMC teaches us that this is where smart money re-tests the breakout zone to trap late sellers and confirm the trend.
This zone is reinforced by:
Previous rejections
Retest with wicks
Alignment with ascending trendline support
5. Minor & Major Resistance Levels
Currently, price is attempting to break above a minor resistance at ~$3,330–3,332.
If it breaks, the next major target lies at the ~$3,340–3,345 level, marked on the chart.
This zone is crucial for short-term targets and may act as a profit-taking zone for early bulls.
Once this major resistance is cleared, the trendline projection suggests a continuation toward higher highs.
📐 Trendline Analysis
An ascending trendline is supporting price action. Each bounce off this line has led to higher lows — a clear sign of bullish intent.
Trendline + SR Interchange = Confluence zone
Traders should watch for bullish engulfing candles or strong wick rejections at this trendline area for re-entry or add-ons.
🧠 MMC Strategy Interpretation (Mirror Market Concepts)
This chart perfectly follows the MMC logic:
Trap retail sellers during the downtrend.
Absorb their volume at a key zone (Volume Absorp).
Sweep liquidity below QFL level.
Reverse structure with a shift to higher highs and higher lows.
Interchange SR zone to test buyers' strength.
Continue trend post-confirmation with breakout above resistance.
This is the classic "trap-to-trend" sequence smart money uses repeatedly in gold and other volatile markets.
✅ Trade Setup Summary:
Bias: Strongly Bullish (based on market structure shift)
Entry #1: Pullback into SR Interchange (ideal if price rejects 3,326–3,328)
Entry #2: Break and retest of Minor Resistance (3,332–3,334)
Targets:
TP1: 3,340 (Major Resistance)
TP2: 3,345–3,350 (Projection based on breakout path)
Invalidation: Clean break below trendline and demand zone (~3,318)
🧭 Final Words for Traders:
Gold is currently positioned at a critical junction where structure, volume, and institutional behavior all align. If you're following MMC strategies, this is a textbook scenario:
Trap ✅
Absorption ✅
Structure Shift ✅
Trendline Support ✅
SR Interchange ✅
Now, we wait for confirmation and execute with discipline.
Sell Analysis – 30M Smart Money Concept Sell Analysis – 30M Smart Money Concept
📊 Chart Context:
Timeframe: 30M
Market: Gold (XAUUSD)
Bias: Bearish – Scalp Sell
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🔍 Key Observations:
Premium Zone Rejection:
Price tapped into a premium supply zone formed after a clear break of structure (BoS) to the downside. This confirms seller dominance at higher pricing levels.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Fill:
The price filled a previous FVG imbalance and showed rejection without closing above the origin of the impulse. This shows liquidity grab behavior typical in smart money moves.
Bearish Order Block Confirmation:
A bearish OB was respected and reacted to. The latest candle shows strong rejection with a long upper wick and volume tapering — an early confirmation of potential entry trigger for scalp short.
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🧨 Entry Strategy (Scalp Sell):
Entry Zone:
Inside the reaction to the OB and FVG (just below the premium zone)
✅ 3325 ~3330
Stop Loss:
Just above the last high or FVG origin
✅ 3340
Take Profit:
TP1: Towards the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg
✅ 3300
TP2: Below the discount zone, targeting liquidity under recent lows
✅ 3280
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⚠️ Risk Note:
This is a scalping setup, not a swing trade. Higher timeframes still show mixed signals, so risk management is key. Avoid over-leveraging.
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🏁 Summary:
> A high-probability scalp sell setup confirmed by smart money concepts: BOS → FVG Fill → OB Rejection → Liquidity Grab → Bearish Continuation.
Gold-----sell near 3350, target 3320-3300Gold market analysis:
The gold weekly candlestick pattern is a tombstone. The previous strong trend has turned into a weak trend after the high and low. Has the weekly selling come out? In fact, the historical weekly line has hit the top and fallen back three times, and there has been no big drop or deep drop. The long-term trend is still buying. The short-term adjustment has not changed the long-term buying trend. The international situation is not very clear, and it is difficult for gold to fall deeply. We are just a short-term trader. We need to follow. This week's operation idea is to follow the selling, or rebound selling. In addition, this week is a super data week, and buying and selling games will be inevitable. This week there are non-agricultural employment data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting resolution, each of which can make the market magnificent. The daily K has entered its bottom support. Selling near 3300 needs to be avoided. These positions are all buying counterattack positions. In the rebound of the Asian session, we first focus on the suppression near 3350. This position is the K-intensive area of the bears, the K-line pattern suppression, and the daily moving average suppression position. Consider selling when the multi-layer suppression is close. I estimate that it will enter the repair at the beginning of this week, and wait for the data to bring direction later. Those who like to swipe back and forth can also find a good rhythm to sell long-term and buy short-term.
Support 3320, strong support 3306-3300, pressure 3350 and 3357, the watershed of strength and weakness of the market is 3350.
Fundamental analysis:
The latest news is that the United States and the European Union have reached a 15% tariff agreement, which overall supports the US dollar and suppresses gold. In addition, this week, pay attention to ADP employment data, non-agricultural employment data, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and speech.
Operational suggestions:
Gold-----sell near 3350, target 3320-3300
XAUUSD idea for upcoming weekThe chart presents a bearish outlook for gold based on a retracement and continuation pattern. Here's a detailed analysis:
🔍 Chart Summary:
Current Price: Around 3336
Bias: Bearish (after retracement)
Resistance Zone: 3370 – 3380
Sell Confirmation Area: Upon rejection from the 3370–3380 resistance zone
Target 1 (TP1): 3300
Target 2 (TP2): 3280
📈 Technical Structure:
Recent Trend:
The price has dropped sharply from its recent peak.
Now it's attempting a pullback to previous support, which has turned into a resistance zone (3370–3380).
Price Action Expectation:
A retracement is expected toward 3370–3380.
If the price gets rejected from this resistance block, the chart suggests the formation of a lower high.
After rejection, a bearish continuation is expected.
Projected Move:
Short entry around the resistance zone.
Targets:
TP1: 3300 (intermediate support)
TP2: 3280 (major support)
🧠 Trade Idea Logic:
The chart follows a classic bearish price action setup: impulse → retracement → continuation.
The consolidation and break area has flipped from support to resistance.
The retracement zone is clearly defined, making it a high-probability area for reversal if bearish signals (e.g., rejection candles) form.
⚠️ Key Considerations:
Wait for confirmation: Do not enter blindly at 3370–3380. Look for rejection patterns (like a bearish engulfing or pin bar).
Volume and fundamentals: Watch for economic data or geopolitical news that might invalidate the technical setup.
SL Suggestion: Above 3385 or 3390 to allow some room for wick spikes.
Gold Next Bullish Move.As we see the bullishness in Gold Market, so I am here to share with you the idea to capture the expected bullish move.
1) On Daily TF, market has taken out FVG as well as mitigated the OB.
2) On 4-Hour TF, market has taken out previously unmitigated FVG and sweeped and closed above the recent recent 4 Hour Candle low.
3) Market has given a CHoCH on 15 mins with a significant FVG, which I expect market to fill it.
So, with all above analysis I expect market to go bullish after filling FVG.
I hope to see your comments regarding my analysis and hope to see some of your ideas.
Thank You.
GOLD SETUP – BUY THE DIP OR SELL THE LIQUIDITY?Smart Money Playbook with Macroeconomic Context
📅 Date: July 31, 2025
🧠 Analyst: Clinton Scalper
🔍 Technical Breakdown (XAU/USD – H1/H4 Confluence)
Price is currently reacting within a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone and appears to be setting up a liquidity sweep on both sides before committing to a strong directional move.
🟢 BUY PLAN
Entry: 3,284
SL: 3,275
TP Targets:
▫️ TP1: 3,290
▫️ TP2: 3,300
▫️ TP3: 3,310
▫️ TP4: 3,320
▫️ TP5: 3,330
▫️ TP6: 3,340
▫️ TP7: 3,350
Key Support Zone: 3,276–3,284
→ Bullish OB + previous demand + potential BOS if price holds
🔴 SELL PLAN
Entry: 3,324
SL: 3,334
TP Targets:
▫️ TP1: 3,320
▫️ TP2: 3,310
▫️ TP3: 3,305
▫️ TP4: 3,300
Sell Zone: Inside FVG + liquidity inducement structure
→ Sell into imbalance after price fakes above recent swing highs
🔎 Smart Money Logic
Price is navigating a deep retracement inside a key FVG, targeting both sides of liquidity before trend continuation.
The BUY PLAN aligns with a classic "liquidity sweep → OB rejection → internal structure break".
The SELL PLAN is a short-term scalping idea inside the FVG liquidity zone, where institutional orders are often triggered before real bullish continuation.
🌍 Macroeconomic Context
US GDP data recently came in slightly below forecast → weaker USD outlook.
Gold demand remains supported due to:
Geopolitical risks (Ukraine, Taiwan tensions)
Market uncertainty over next Fed move (dovish bias increasing)
Real yields declining → bullish for precious metals
However, any hawkish Fed speak or sudden bond yield spikes can trigger intraday sell-offs into OB demand.
🎯 Trading Strategy Outlook
Buy if price sweeps below 3,284 and holds the demand zone. Target extended upside as macro supports gold.
Sell scalp at 3,324–3,330 zone if price shows rejection in FVG zone, but don’t overstay shorts.
⏳ Patience is key: Let price fill liquidity zones and follow smart money trail.
📌 Summary
🔸 Primary Bias: Bullish (Buy Plan favored due to macro + structure)
🔸 Secondary Bias: Bearish scalps from premium FVG
🔸 Watch for: USD volatility, yields, and institutional reaction in OB/FVG zones.
Gold Bulls Charging to 3305 But What’s Waiting There?Gold has recently taken support from the lower levels and has also shown a Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside. Currently, there is Imbalance and Internal Draw on Liquidity (IDM) resting around the 3305 level. The market appears to be moving upward to mitigate that imbalance. It's important to closely monitor this zone, as once the market reaches and fills this area, there is a high probability of a potential rejection or bearish move from that level
[ TimeLine ] Gold 31 July 2025📆 Today’s Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025
📌 Upcoming Signal Dates:
• July 31, 2025 (Thursday) — Single-candle setup
• July 31–August 1, 2025 (Thursday–Friday) — Two-candle combined range
🧠 Trading Outlook & Notes
✅ Gold has recently dropped sharply from 3439 to 3298, and current conditions suggest this bearish momentum may continue.
✅ I’ll be actively trading both the July 31 and July 31–August 1 setups as part of my ongoing strategy testing and live analysis.
✅ This method and timing structure can also be applied to other assets like BTC, the US Index, and various commodities.
⚠️ For those taking a more cautious approach, it’s absolutely okay to skip the single-candle setup on July 31 and wait for the more confirmed 2-day range setup (July 31–August 1).
📋 Execution Guidelines
🔹 Range Identification:
• Let the Hi-Lo range of the chosen candle(s) form completely.
• Purple lines will mark these ranges on the chart.
• After the daily close, charts will be updated to include a 60-pip buffer, Fibonacci zones, and relevant indicators.
🔹 Entry Conditions:
• Trades are triggered only if price breaks above/below the full range, including the buffer zone.
🔹 Risk Management – Recovery Logic:
• If the Stop Loss is triggered, the trade is exited or switched, and the next valid breakout setup will use a doubled lot size to attempt recovery.
📉📈 Chart Snapshot
🔗 Paste this in TradingView: TV/x/fykxBG6w/
📌 Stick to the plan, follow the system, and let the chart lead the way.
🛡️ Capital protection comes first — always manage your risk.
Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation📉 Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation
Posted earlier – trade progressing as planned.
As shared in the previous chart, a Sell scalp position was executed based on the trendline break followed by a pullback retest.
Three Take-Profit levels were marked and the price is moving in line with the forecast. ✅
🟢 TP1 Hit
🟢 TP2 Reached
🔵 TP3 in progress
📌 The setup remains valid, and as long as structure holds below the retested trendline, the bearish bias continues.
We will monitor price action near TP3 zone for final exit or trailing stop update.
> Analysis worked perfectly so far – let’s see if TP3 gets cleared soon. 🔍💥