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XAUUSDK trade ideas

6/24 Gold Analysis and Trading OutlookGood morning, everyone! Gold closed yesterday with a T-shaped candlestick. Although there was an intraday recovery after briefly breaching the MA20, the closing price remained below the MA5, indicating continued pressure on the upside. Today’s opening saw a direct drop in price, suggesting a potential break below key support. Two important levels to monitor today: Whether the closing price stays above 3355 Whether the intraday support at 3328 holds If 3328 breaks down, the 3300 level may become the next major battleground between bulls and bears. Driven by geopolitical news, gold has shown sharp volatility over the past two days. While this increases trading risk, it also presents more opportunities. From a technical perspective, today’s strategy should prioritize selling on rebounds, with buying at lower levels as a secondary approach. As always, stay disciplined and manage risk effectively.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold’s Future: Contrary to Expectations?With rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, many analysts and global financial institutions have begun betting on a potential increase in gold prices. Some major banks have even raised their forecasts for gold to as high as $4,000 per ounce, raising a critical question: Will gold prices truly rise as expected, or are the markets heading toward a different outcome, one that sees gold’s future moving contrary to expectations? Recent history has taught us much about gold’s behavior during times of crisis. Investors often turn to gold during heightened turmoil be it political, economic, or even health-related, because it is considered one of the most prominent safe havens and a key hedge against inflation. Regarding the latest political tensions, gold has shown short-term positive reactions, often spiking in response to unfolding events. However, once markets absorb the impact, prices typically stabilize or partially retreat awaiting new developments or an escalation that could reignite momentum. This scenario played out in recent weeks during Middle East tensions, specifically on June 13, 2025, when gold rose by about 1.92% in a single day, only to drop 2.99% shortly after increasing all its gains. When comparing the current situation to past events, a familiar pattern emerges. For instance, during the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, gold prices initially surged but then started to disregard the ongoing war. A similar reaction occurred with trade tariff decisions imposed by the U.S. president where gold responded briefly to each new headline, only to retreat thereafter. In summary, gold responded to the latest Middle East developments with a slight uptick but soon absorbed the tension and returned to a more stable state awaiting a potentially more severe escalation. Technical Outlook for Gold Prices: Gold is currently trading in a downward trend on the daily chart, forming lower lows consistently. The current zone near 3366.804 is technically significant, acting as a strong resistance level that could push gold to continue its descent toward the 3225 mark. This bearish scenario would only be invalidated if the price breaks above 3451.130 and closes a daily candle above that level, signaling a possible reversal in the current trend.
CFI:XAUUSD
by CFI
XAUUSD Update 29th JUNE 2025Last week, pullback has reached 62% fibonaci. It have an opportunity to continue the correction in to 3205 support or more lower at 3190 level support. So we need to becarefull on next week and we looking for a reversal / rejection signal from the market as a confirmation. We need to give our attention to a fundamental data also. If there is a big news on war / geopolitical or global economic in July, we could be more convidence about gold price direction. If 3155 lose...it would be more deep, but it would be unlikely. Have a good luck ! P.S : If you agree, Boost it
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RogueXXX
Hanzo / Gold 15 min - 0 draw down tactical Reversal Entrys🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) ⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble. 👌Bullish Reversal : 3347.5 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bullish Reversal : 3350 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish Reversal : 3373.5 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them. 🦸‍♂️ Tactical Note: The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
11
GOLD Outlook: Bullish Above 3379, Correction Likely BelowGOLD – Technical Overview Gold maintains bullish momentum, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which are increasing safe-haven demand. The price is approaching the pivot level at 3379. A confirmed 1-hour close above this level would likely extend the bullish trend toward 3393 and 3404. However, if the price remains below 3379, we may see a short-term bearish correction toward 3364, potentially dipping as low as 3339 before resuming the upward trend. Key Levels • Pivot: 3379 • Resistance: 3393, 3404 • Support: 3364, 3339
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
2
Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy: Interpreting Bowman's Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy: Interpreting Bowman's Rate Cut Signal I. How Did Bowman's Speech "Fuel" Gold's Rally? Fed Governor Bowman dropped a key statement today: "If price growth stabilizes, I would support a July rate cut." This is like a gas station attendant telling a driver, "Prices will drop soon—fill up less for now." After fixating on inflation last year, her sudden pivot has markets convinced the Fed may finally "let off the gas." Why is this bullish for gold? Think of it this way: When the Fed cuts rates, borrowing costs fall, and the dollar "goes on sale." Since gold is priced in dollars, a cheaper dollar makes gold more attractive. While markets aren’t fully convinced of a July cut (CME data shows only 8.3% probability), Bowman’s words as a Fed "insider" are like a supermarket’s pre-sale discount announcement—some will always stock up early. II. Why Is Gold Acting Like It Hit the Brakes but Wants to Accelerate? (1) Where Is the "Brake Pad" Support? Gold prices have hit the brakes near $3,347 (June 20 low), and Bowman’s speech could trigger a rebound to $3,390—like hitting a speed bump then gradually accelerating. Technically, the $3,350-$3,370 range acts as "anti-skid lines" on the road—if this holds, gold may resume its upward drive. (2) Where Is the "Speed Limit" Resistance? The major roadblock ahead is $3,413 (June 16 high), like a highway speed limit sign. If Bowman’s remarks convince more investors of an impending rate cut, gold could break this limit to test $3,450 or higher. But beware: If Middle East tensions ease suddenly (e.g., Iran halts strait blockade threats), gold may "hit the brakes" and pull back. (3) Is the Middle East "Gas Pedal" Still Depressed? With Israel and Iran exchanging missile strikes (Iran launched a new round on June 19), it’s like a constant traffic accident on the road, driving investors into gold’s "safe haven." Current dynamics—potential Fed rate cuts (dollar discount) + Middle East conflict (hedge demand)—are jointly pressing gold’s "gas pedal," but market hesitation over whether the Fed will actually cut rates is causing volatility. **Trading Strategy Recommendations:** - **Long on Dips**: Buy near $3,350-$3,370 with stop-loss below $3,340, targeting $3,390 initially. - **Breakout Play**: Add to positions above $3,413, with profit targets at $3,450 and $3,480. - **Hedging Against False Moves**: Allocate 10% of position to inverse gold ETFs (e.g., GLL) if Middle East tensions suddenly defuse. **Key Monitor Points**: - Track real-time CME FedWatch Tool for rate cut probability shifts. - Monitor Strait of Hormuz shipping updates via Bloomberg Maritime. - Follow Fed Governor Bowman’s subsequent public remarks for policy clarity. In this tug-of-war between monetary policy signals and geopolitical risks, gold’s next move hinges on whether the "gas pedal" of rate cut expectations overrides the "brakes" of market skepticism. Maintain flexibility and align positions with confirmed breakouts rather than speculative narratives. Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you XAUUSD buy@3360~3370 SL:3350 TP：3380~3390
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by David_Wilson1
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. A you can see traders the pre-event price action started yesterday with the hourly now playing between the MA’s and waiting for FOMC for a potential breakout. As usual, we have highlighted the key levels and added the red boxes for all of you to help navigate the movement should this not be priced in. Also remember, there is a press conference after the release, this is usually the time the market will react to anything Powell says about future plans for the economy. Now, looking at the 4H, we have support at the 3370-65 level and below that 3355. If these are attacked and give a RIP, opportunity for the long trade may be available into the 3395 red box which price will need to break to go higher. If we can break above this red box, we can then look to attempt higher price with the levels 3430, 3445 and above that 3455-60 on the horizon. It’s that red box sitting higher up around the 3470-75 region which needs to be watched if we do get up there as an opportunity to attempt the reverse trade may present itself from there depending on the volume. So in summary, we have 3 key levels in play, ideally a move upside and rejection from the 3400-6 level giving a further dip would suit buyers to get better pricing. KOG’s RED BOX TARGETS: BREAK ABOVE 3395 for 3404, 3406, 3410, 3420, 3430, 3435 and 3459 in extension of the move BREAK BELOW 3380 FOR 3375, 3364, 3351, 3342, 3333 AND 3327 IN EXTENSION OF THE MOVE LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
23
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youGold Price Surges Then Pulls Back Amid Middle East Tensions This morning, gold opened like it hit the "fast-forward" button. Tensions suddenly flared in the Middle East—after Iran threatened to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, the price surged above $3,990 at the opening. However, as Iran didn’t immediately enforce the blockade and Israel launched counterattacks, markets judged the conflict might not spiral out of control immediately. Gold prices then gradually retreated, now hovering around $3,360—about $30 below the morning’s peak. From a price trend perspective, $3,350 is a critical support level, like a wall propping up the market. As long as the price doesn’t break below this "wall," it indicates strong buying support below, leaving gold poised for a rebound. Technically, the price action also shows signs of bottoming out, serving as a bullish signal for long positions. Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you XAUUSD buy@3350~3360 SL:3340 TP：3370~3380
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by David_Wilson1
Short-term opportunities are imminent.Gold prices have continued to rebound recently and have reached around 3358, but there is a lack of effective retracement during the rise, and the risk of short-term chasing has increased significantly. From a technical perspective, the US dollar index has a demand for a corrective rebound after a rapid decline, and it is expected to form a significant suppression on gold in the short term, limiting the rebound space of gold prices. From a capital perspective, the previous high-level long chips have gradually been untied and started to leave the market with profits, and selling pressure has gradually emerged; short positions may be re-arranged after completing concentrated stop losses, and the market structure is quietly changing. Based on the above factors, it is recommended that traders remain patient and continue to hold short positions, focusing on the support of the 3335-3325 area. Be sure to control your position during the operation, strictly set stop losses, and avoid the high risks brought by chasing the rise. The core of trading is to follow the trend, respect the market rhythm, and wait for the adjustment to be confirmed before intervening. Steady trading can only make long-term profits. Welcome everyone to share and communicate to improve the operation level together.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
XAUUSD Bearish Setup | Support Levels in SightGold has broken down from the ascending channel, indicating a potential shift in market structure toward bearish momentum. 🔎 Technical Highlights: Clear breakdown from the ascending channel Price currently facing resistance near $3,323 Two key support zones: 🟩 First Support: $3,295 – potential bounce area 🟩 Second Support: $3,258 – deeper downside target 📊 Short-Term Outlook: Expecting a minor pullback before continuation lower toward the $3,295 support. If that level fails to hold, the next target becomes $3,258. 💡 Trade Idea: Watch for rejection below $3,323 for a possible short opportunity targeting $3,295 and $3,258. Keep an eye on momentum and volume. 🔔 Note: Always use proper risk management. This setup is based on current price action and may change with market dynamics.
TVC:GOLDShort
by James-Pipstr
The bearish trend is confirmed, it’s time to participate.Gold overnight short orders have been stopped at a loss, because it broke through the key pressure of 3325. However, we must grasp the trend of the market, adhere to the idea of ​​technical analysis as the main and news as the auxiliary, and make a comprehensive judgment. Don't be at a loss about the market analysis because of the stop loss. There is nothing wrong with waiting for the market to step back and do more, but the market does not give opportunities, but forces you to chase the rise. Of course, from the perspective of risk ratio, high altitude is definitely more stable than chasing more. From the current gold trend analysis, the focus on the upper side is the 3340-3350 line of pressure, the short-term support on the lower side is around 3310-3320, and the key support on the 3295-3301 line is focused. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, it is recommended to wait and see, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Operation strategy 1: Short gold near 3340-3350, target 3325-3315. Operation strategy 2: Go long on gold around 3310-3320, target 3330-3340.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3500 (Wave 3).Colleagues, the correction did take place and was quite deep, as I wrote earlier. However, I am leaving my target unchanged—the resistance area and the maximum of wave “3” of the higher order at 3500. The waves remain in their previous places, because none of the rules of wave analysis have been violated. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
32
XAUUSD Hello traders. There’s currently a great opportunity for a potential short setup on the XAUUSD pair. We just need a bit of patience. For that reason, this trade will be placed as a Sell Limit. In the coming days, I expect a moderate pullback in gold. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has reached a new all-time high, which is quite notable. If the index begins to correct from these levels, we could potentially see a strong rally in gold. Of course, this is just my personal opinion based on current market dynamics. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1) ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3.20 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell Limit ✔️ Entry Price: 3294.70 ✔️ Take Profit Targets: 3245.78 / 3207.00 / 3154.00 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3315.36 🕒 If momentum weakens or price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll manually close it—whether in profit or loss—based on how price action evolves. 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Nurlan_PT
Gold Drops Sharply – Breaks Below the $3,300 Support📊 Market Overview: Gold has plunged to $3,290/oz, breaking the key psychological level of $3,300 as the US dollar strengthened and Treasury yields ticked higher. Market sentiment has turned defensive ahead of Friday’s US PCE inflation data, with expectations that the Fed may maintain its hawkish stance for longer. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,310 – $3,325 • Nearest Support: $3,285 – $3,272 • EMA09: Price is currently below the 9-period EMA, confirming short-term bearish momentum. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: o H1/H4 charts show a series of long bearish candles, with rising volume → strong selling signal. o RSI is approaching oversold levels (~28), MACD remains in a widening bearish divergence → downward pressure is still dominant. 📌 Outlook: Gold is in a clear downtrend and may extend its decline toward $3,285 – $3,272 unless a reversal is triggered by weaker-than-expected PCE data or renewed geopolitical tensions. In the near term, any technical rebound is likely to offer sell opportunities rather than a trend reversal. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD • Entry: $3,300 – $3,305 (on technical retracement) • 🎯 TP: $3,285 – $3,272 • 🛑 SL: $3,315 🔺 BUY XAU/USD (high risk) • Entry: $3,272 – $3,277 (short-term bottom catching) • 🎯 TP: $3,295 – $3,305 • 🛑 SL: $3,262
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
1
Opportunities only come to those who ambush in advanceAfter Trump announced that Israel and Iran had reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement, the market's risk aversion sentiment cooled significantly, and the price of gold once plummeted by more than $30. Although the stability of the ceasefire agreement is in doubt, the rebound in risk appetite dominates the market trend, with stock markets rebounding, oil prices falling, and demand for safe-haven assets falling. Powell will deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony, and the market is paying attention to his statement on the timing of the July rate cut. At present, the internal differences of the Federal Reserve on interest rate cuts have intensified. If Powell sends a signal that the number of interest rate cuts this year is limited, it may strengthen the rebound of the US dollar and suppress gold prices; on the contrary, if the stance is dovish, it may ease the downward pressure on gold prices. In the short term, the fading of geopolitical risks and the warming of risk appetite are the main reasons for the decline in gold prices, but the weakening of the US dollar and the potential dovish tendency of the Federal Reserve still provide support. In the medium and long term, global economic uncertainty, geopolitical risks and expectations of the Federal Reserve's loose policy still constitute structural support for gold. From a technical perspective, the gold daily moving average system is in an intertwined state, and the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced. The current short-term resistance above is around 3320-3333, which is an important psychological level. If an effective breakthrough is achieved or the upside space is opened, the support below will focus on the 3285-3295 line, which is the lower edge of the May oscillation platform. If it falls below, the pressure of the correction may increase. The loss of the middle track in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure and provides technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long on the pullback near 3285-3295. At present, gold continues to fall in line with the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Start going long on goldAlthough gold is under pressure and weak at present, gold still rebounded near 3295 under the influence of yesterday's major negative news, proving that there is still a large amount of buying funds below, limiting the retracement space of gold; and from 3295 to 3335, there is still a rebound space of $40, proving that gold is not extremely weak. Moreover, there is a gap left above, and there is a technical need to rebound to fill the gap; In addition, yesterday gold fell sharply due to news, and there should be many longs trapped in the market. If gold is relatively stable, there may be self-rescue behavior of the trapped longs, so gold longs still have the opportunity to rebound to 3340-3350. At present, the main focus is on the short-term support area of ​​3315-3305, and we can moderately consider going long on gold in this area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone, Great finish to the week across all our multi timeframe analysis. We updated our 1H chart throughout the week catching the buys from the dips using our levels and ema5 cross and lock allowed us to track the movement with confirmation. This is now an end of week update on our daily chart idea. This chart shows our perfect play into the channel top and then rejection for the movement down. We used our smaller timeframe charts to catch the bounces from this movement down. Following up on our previous analysis, price action has continued to respect our Goldturn channel beautifully. The key takeaway here is that the channel levels are being respected with precision, validating the strength and reliability of our Goldturn channel framework. We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11