Gold price suddenly accelerates, approaching the 3,300 USD/ounceAfter two consecutive weeks of decline, the world gold price is showing strong signs of recovery when it skyrocketed to 3,266 USD/ounce - an increase of 25 USD in just one session. Although still quite far from the peak of 3,500 USD/ounce, the increase this morning shows that investor sentiment has begun to change direction.
The increase occurred at the beginning of the session despite previous negative forecasts, reflecting the sensitivity of gold to geopolitical and economic information such as US-China trade negotiations or the strength of the USD. The daily chart shows that gold has bounced strongly from the EMA34 support zone and returned to the resistance zone around 3,320–3,340 USD, opening up an opportunity to retest the 3,400 USD mark if the current increase is maintained.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAAUSD GOLD (MY ANALAYS) 2025/5/11I've identified a double top pattern forming on the daily time frame for gold. If the price breaks below the neckline, there’s a key support level around 3200, where I expect a potential bounce. From there, the price could retest the neckline area (around 3235–3250), which would now act as resistance. If the price gets rejected at that level and resumes its downward move, and especially if 3200 support breaks, that would be a prime entry point for a swing trade.
I plan to enter after the break and retest of 3200 and aim to hold the position until the price reaches my target at 2980.
This setup aligns with the idea that 80% of trading is waiting so I’m staying patient and ready to act when the opportunity comes.
GOLDhe image you provided is a technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute timeframe from TradingView. It clearly reflects a bearish (short) outlook for the coming weeks, potentially lasting until the end of May 2025. Here's a detailed breakdown:
🔍 Technical Context
Gold reached a high around 3,500, followed by a correction that revisited the 3,421 level, creating a strong resistance zone (likely due to liquidity grabs and profit-taking).
From there, the chart shows a potential reversal structure, with expectations of a downward move.
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Short)
The final target for this bearish move is in the 3,124–3,078 area, which represents a key liquidity zone (highlighted with dashed lines and orange horizontal levels).
Before reaching that, the price might test several intermediate support zones:
3,288
3,241
3,124
The current pattern suggests that after a strong upward impulse, the market is now likely taking a breather, possibly influenced by strength in the equity markets, which reduces gold's appeal as a safe haven in the short term.
📅 Expected Timeframe
This downward move is expected to unfold by the end of May 2025, as indicated by the vertical time markers on the chart (one marking May 15th).
📈 Additional Observations
There's a red-green box on the chart indicating the risk/reward zone for the short entry.
The previous bullish trend is marked by clear impulse and correction waves, but the current price action shows loss of momentum and possible reversal signs.
Will gold prices rise again this week?As the US dollar is approaching the key middle track of the daily line, it is not far away. In the next two days, it is expected to end the rebound correction and continue to start a weak trend decline. Therefore, gold may also have a short-term bottom at any time in the next two days. The next step is to wait for a wave of pullback. At least the bottom low point of the previous convergence triangle of 3260-3270 will be tested and confirmed. After the test, if it cannot stand under pressure, there may be a second bottom test, a secondary low point or a double bottom, and then finally start a unilateral rise all the way; of course, if 3200 is not the low point of tonight, and the lower shadow of the daily closing is short, then it may be necessary to test the last 3175 position before determining the short-term bottom;
Gold: Multi-cycle Liquidity & The Silent ResetThe Grand-Scale Consolidation – The Market Reckoning
The exaggerated price hike has already priced in all major factors—interest rates, geopolitics, economic shifts, and institutional positioning. Fear drove the market upwards, but now, it’s time for a long-term balance that reflects real demand, not opportunistic hype.
Right now, gold demand is opportunistic. Wealthy investors and institutions jumped in early, securing "first come, first serve" pricing at the cheap side. But the over-inflated FOMO has pushed speculative pricing beyond its actual value.
Liquidity Trap at the Top—Now What?
Liquidity is locked in a high-stakes trap, forcing major players into a cycle of cashing out and recollecting liquidity pools to break even. The initial investment isn’t profitable unless liquidity gets redistributed.
Only big players can push price higher, but now they are risking their own liquidity—they underestimated retail traders, whose excitement keeps fueling the cycle.
The Grand Consolidation Range
This trick works on a global scale—economic policies, geopolitical moves, and institutional trade positioning are primed for consolidation. If price action confirms this range-bound phase, we could be looking at a multi-cycle balancing period before the market corrects to its true value.
Swing High : 3,403 - 3,500 – The extended liquidity trap zone where institutional players exit positions.
Swing Low : 3,215 - 3,134 / 2,970 – The deeper retracement zones where liquidity pools reset before the next expansion move.
Early Warning – The Consolidation is Setting Up
This isn’t just a minor retracement—this is the early warning of an extended consolidation phase, where liquidity must cycle multiple times before any true trend shift occurs. For traders, this means selling high and buying low, but only with near-term confirmation signals to avoid liquidity traps. Key areas to watch:
Volume shifts – Exhaustion vs continuation signs.
Price reactions at swing levels – Validating liquidity absorption.
Institutional positioning – Tracking big player activity in price action.
Speculation vs Reality – Time Will Tell
While the current market behavior signals consolidation, only time will confirm whether this phase will fully materialize. There’s no absolute certainty, but the conditions are aligning toward a grand-scale liquidity rotation that could define gold’s trajectory for the foreseeable future.
I’m putting this out there first—before the rest of the market catches on. Gold is primed for grand-scale consolidation, but as always, we shall see .
Gold (XAUUSD) - Bullish Breakout from Bearish Pennant | 4H ChartTechnical Analysis: On the 4-hour chart, Gold has completed a bullish breakout from a Bearish Pennant formation, defying its typical continuation pattern to the downside. This breakout is supported by a strong bullish candlestick close above both the pennant's upper boundary and the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating a potential trend reversal and shift in momentum.
Key Highlights:
Pattern: Bearish Pennant invalidated with bullish breakout.
Breakout Confirmation: Price closed above the upper resistance trendline and Ichimoku cloud.
Next Resistance Zone: Targeting 3,362 – 3,381 based on the measured move and price structure.
Support : Immediate support at 3,286 in case of a pullback.
Fundamental Context: Gold prices are rebounding amid renewed geopolitical concerns, weaker U.S. dollar performance, and increased central bank gold buying activity. This aligns with a short-term bullish narrative despite recent corrections. Any dovish signals from the Federal Reserve or weaker macroeconomic data could further fuel upward momentum.
Trend Outlook: Short-to-mid term trend is bullish following the breakout. Traders should look for bullish continuation signals and volume confirmation. A sustained move above 3,340 would further validate upside potential.
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Note: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
"Gold Under Pressure: Bearish Continuation Toward $3,200 Zone XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – 1H Chart
📊 Technical Analysis:
Chart Pattern:
The chart shows a clear bearish market structure, with successive lower highs and lower lows forming.
A bear flag or corrective structure broke to the downside, confirming bearish continuation.
There's a clear liquidity sweep near the resistance zone (red area) followed by a rejection, indicating strong seller presence.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 3330–3345 (highlighted in red) – previous support turned resistance (confirmed by blue arrows).
Support Zone: 3202–3223 (highlighted in green) – price is projected to test this demand zone again.
Price Action:
Sharp rejection from the resistance zone with bearish engulfing candles suggests continued selling pressure.
A lower high was recently formed, hinting at a possible final push down to the green zone.
Short-Term Bias: Bearish
Entry: Around 3330–3340
Target: 3220–3205 zone
Stop Loss: Above 3345 (last swing high)
🌍 Fundamental Analysis:
US Economic Data:
Strong recent US employment numbers or hawkish Fed commentary could be strengthening the USD, pressuring gold.
Expectations of higher-for-longer interest rates weigh on non-yielding assets like gold.
Geopolitical Landscape:
Any cooling in geopolitical tensions or a shift away from safe-haven assets can cause further gold weakness.
Inflation Trends:
If inflation shows signs of easing in the US, Fed rate hike expectations decline—currently not the case, maintaining bearish pressure on gold.
DXY Correlation:
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) likely remains strong, which inversely affects gold’s value.
Gold in a Range — Caution for BuyersHey traders and investors!
On the daily timeframe, gold remains in a sideways range (marked by black lines).
The seller's initiative is still active and hasn't reached its target yet.
A seller zone has formed — highlighted by a red rectangle on the chart.
It’s better to look for buy setups around 3260 and 3201-3167.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
GOLD 15MINGOLD 15MIN break of structure came for retest and we see a sharp drop in the yellow metal from 3403 to 3384-3385 as anticipated based on 15min break of yesterday consolidated supply roof .if 3384 holds buyers will challenge current all time high ,and if they fail selling will be watched on the break and retest of the 4hr demand floor.
GOLD - Sell Setup📉 GOLD - Sell Setup
🔹 Date: 07 May 2025
🔹 Pattern: Double Top + Break of Trendline
🔹 Entry Zone: 3387 - 3397 (Strong Resistance Rejection)
🔹 Confirmation: Clear rejection from previous supply area (highlighted in red), with break below ascending trendline.
🔹 Target 1: 3350
🔹 Target 2: 3337
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 3400
🔹 Risk/Reward: Solid setup with favorable RRR.
Gold. Long-term Elliott Wave Structure.I'm showing this beautiful weekly chart since 1971 when president Richard Nixon ended the international convertibility of the US dollar to gold. The path followed by gold since that time, is a text-book Elliott wave structure where long term wave 3 has ended. Wave 4 resides at 900 dollars per ounce.
GOLD UNDER PRESSURE – Is a Massive Drop Coming?Gold (XAU/USD) has just tapped into a major supply zone around the $3,390 - $3,450 level and is showing signs of rejection with a sharp 1.16% drop.
Key Highlights:
Price: $3,391.220
Bearish Rejection observed at the supply zone (marked in blue), indicating potential downside.
Volume Profile shows heavy distribution in this zone, suggesting strong institutional selling.
First Major Support sits around $3,200, which aligns with historical structure and demand interest.
If broken, expect further decline towards $3,043, and possibly $2,626 in an extended correction.
What To Watch:
Red Arrows indicate possible drop zones if supply dominance continues.
Price needs to hold above $3,390 to regain bullish strength, otherwise, we’re looking at a correction.
Keep an eye on U.S. economic news (marked with flag) that could add volatility.
My Take:
We are in a potential distribution phase. If momentum fails to break above the current supply zone, gold could retrace deeply. The $3,200 level is critical — break it, and the bears will feast.
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Drop your thoughts below — Is gold going back to $3,000? Or will the bulls surprise us again?
0507 Watch out! Gold is cooling down for the news of..Hello traders,,
The resumption of china-us economic and trade talks is imminent, and the risk aversion in the gold market has cooled.
Gold stop rising and opened with a gap on Wednesday Asia morning !
On 4H chart, this strong bearish red candle is a strong reversal signal!
Looking for a new ABC swing trend for GOLD .
3267 is a recent breaking through level which now become a support for gold .
The next support would be 3202 where gold stop dropping since 1 day before NFP.
For a short-time 4H swing trader, could take a chance to follow this new swing down to those two levels.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
GOLD Will Go Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,388.78.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,436.70 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 1H
🏛 1. Current Market Structure
📈 During the Asian session open, gold showed a strong bullish reaction, confirming a resumption of upward momentum.
📐 The breakout of the trendline and reclaim of prior levels indicate a clear exit from consolidation.
🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
🚀 This bullish impulse could now push gold towards new all-time highs, with targets above $3,500.
🗓 On Wednesday, Jerome Powell will speak – a potential rate cut is on the table, which could weaken the dollar, but might also hurt gold short-term if markets anticipate a rebound in growth.
🔍 3. Key Technical Observations
🟩 FVG 1H & OTE: Recently tapped, offering short-term support.
🟦 FVG 4H: A broader liquidity zone that has now been broken through.
🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations
📉 A pullback to the 1H OTE may occur to grab liquidity before continuation.
📈 If Asian market flows remain strong, gold could continue its momentum towards $3,500 and beyond ahead of the FED speech.
🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts
🕰 Powell’s speech on Wednesday: High-impact event.
💸 Interest rate decision: If a cut is confirmed, gold may temporarily retrace despite a bullish longer-term outlook.
🌍 Asian session flows: Still favorable to gold, with visible liquidity spikes at session open.
✅ Conclusion
👉 The bullish recovery is now technically confirmed, with a clean structure and strong reactions at key zones.
📍 Levels to watch:
OTE + FVG 1H
The $3,500 mark
Powell’s speech as a primary macro catalyst
🔎 For now, gold remains well-supported during Asian hours, reflecting continued investor interest in uncertain times.
Swing Trading/XAUUSDband trading strategy points out. XAUUSD can be bought on the left side, TP3330-3350.
Aggressive traders can buy at the current price. Conservative traders can wait until the price retreats to around 3300 or below before buying.
The Swing Trading Strategy Center continues to announce trading opportunities. Stay tuned.
Gold Buy AnalysisIn my last article i gave bearish areas and market respected those resistance ares and it dropped. Now market is down back to its supporting area and from this area a pump is highly expected. the target that i have set is 3320.
The supporting area that i have set area 3200 and 3220 while the resistance areas before our target area 3271 and 3281 that market has to break.
Gold price right now 3223
Resistance area 3271 and 3281
Supporting areas are 3220 and 3200
XAU/USD – May 12, 2025📊XAU/USD – May 12, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,277.10
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌Key Supply Zones:
🔴 3356–3368 – Higher-timeframe supply (strong rejection zone)
🔴 Mid-level untested supply zone near 3,300 (minor reaction observed)
📌Key Demand Zones:
🟢 3257–3269 – Current support zone; holding price for now
🟢 3222.9–3226 – HTF demand base (critical if breakdown continues)
📉Bearish Bias:
Price remains in a clear downtrend with lower highs and lower lows. Currently reacting from the 3257–3269 demand. If this zone fails, expect deeper selloff toward 3222.
📈Bullish Setup (If Confirmed):
Only a strong bounce and BOS from 3269 can open short-term longs toward 3300+. Watch for reaction and engulfing on lower timeframes.
⚠️Execution Tip:
✅ Don’t trade blindly into zones – wait for confirmation
✅ Focus on RR setups only when structure shifts
✅ Use 5M/15M BOS to align with direction
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