Trade UpdateGold’s strong bullish momentum has extended from the London session into the US session, invalidating our previous expectations. Our outlook has now shifted decisively to the upside for the yellow metal.
We are targeting an initial move to $3,500, with the potential for a new all-time high beyond that level.
However, we anticipate a short-term pullback to retest the falling trendline — now acting as support — before resuming its upward trajectory.
From the Trading Desk of InvestmentLive
XAUUSDK trade ideas
A MASSIVE BREAKDOWN FOR XAU/USD📊 Chart Overview:
Instrument: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1H (Heikin Ashi candles)
Indicators:
RSI (middle panel): Showing sideways movement with a slight bullish tilt.
MACD-like oscillator (bottom panel): Includes histogram, signal lines, and red/green dot markers, suggesting potential overbought/oversold conditions or momentum shifts.
🔍 Key Technical Features:
Harmonic Patterns & Fib Levels:
Multiple harmonic-like retracements (potential ABCD or Bat/Gartley structures).
Key Fibonacci retracements drawn: 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786 from multiple swing highs and lows.
Zones of confluence shown in orange rectangles, suggesting strong S/R levels.
Triangle Formation:
Price is nearing the apex of a symmetrical triangle.
Breakout or breakdown imminent — strong directional move likely soon.
Trade Setup (Bearish Bias):
Red zone indicates potential short entry area (~$3,323).
Target shown near $3,060, aligned with previous major support and measured move projections.
Risk appears defined just above triangle resistance, suggesting tight stop-loss above $3,323.
📉 Bearish Scenario Bias:
Breakdown from triangle could validate the short idea.
Large harmonic projections (1:2 extensions) point toward deeper corrective targets.
Bearish divergence may be forming (price making lower highs while oscillator rises).
📈 Bullish Invalidation:
Break and close above $3,323 and triangle resistance would invalidate the bear thesis and could imply resumption of uptrend toward $3,435–$3,500.
There remains significant overhead resistance.The gold price declined on Friday while the US dollar rose. The market has digested the latest development of the tariff issue, and a relatively weak inflation report has kept the hope of a US interest rate cut alive. Spot gold was quoted at $3,290.40 per ounce, down 0.82%, with a weekly decline of over 2%. After the federal appellate court temporarily restored Trump's tariffs on Thursday, the tariff issue is likely to regain its influence on the market next week. Additionally, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will deliver the opening remarks at an event next Tuesday, which will be his first speech since his meeting with Trump this week. Meanwhile, several Federal Reserve officials will also speak next week. Therefore, the rebound of gold will be under pressure next week. It is advisable to sell gold on rallies below $3,310. The outlook is bearish, with a downward correction expected. The target price is between $3,270 and $3,260. When the price pulls back to the vicinity of $3,270 - $3,260, investors can consider going long.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
sell@3295-3305
TP:3265-3275
Strong Dollar, Shaky Gold: Is It Time to Buy?Gold has returned to a weaker stance, trading around $3,309 during the U.S. session. The U.S. dollar gained some positive momentum as markets leaned toward the possibility that the Federal Reserve will keep its policy unchanged in July following the May report, causing XAU/USD to drop lower into the weekend.
Additionally, U.S. economic data released on the same day continued to show signs of cooling. Specifically, weekly jobless claims came in higher than both the forecast and the previous week's figures, while the U.S. trade deficit narrowed significantly in May.
The index measuring the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies remained nearly unchanged. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose, and real yields climbed by 2 basis points, putting downward pressure on gold prices.
Nevertheless, gold still maintains its long-term uptrend. This correction is seen as a better buying opportunity.
Gold brokeout my structure and target 3300 (Mon 9 Jun 25)Gold brokeout my structure on Friday 06 Jun 25 it drop down target 3300, so it looks like my analysed on Friday. This is my analyse for on Monday next week, it looks want to pull back to 3320, we can buy with below shortly.
Entry Price: $3300 - $3305
Stop-Loss: $3295 - $3290
Take Profit: $3320
Risk Ratio: 1:2
Key zone price is $3300
I saw the smal pull back, , if 1H timeframe close and the price still below $3300, it mean will drop more to $3270 target, but if 1H timeframe close and the price above $3300, it mean will pullback to $3380 first.
let monitor on Monday.
Becareful of this type of trade trade was based on 4h fvg and htf bullish trend .. forming opposite market structure and evaporated all the profit. forced idea above 3400 with impulsive bullish price movement.
This is how market can ruin your profitable journey. some times forcing market to move in your favor can slap you hardly.
As long as gold falls, you can continue to buyNow we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 3353-60. Today, we focus on the important support position of 3338-45. The trend is still mainly to do more after stepping back. We must operate under the premise of following the general trend. Only in this way can we achieve stable operation. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. You are welcome to communicate with me!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below focuses on the 3354-62 line. The daily level stabilizes at this position and continues to see the strong upward rhythm of bulls. Focus on the support of 3338-45. Pay attention to the suppression of 3395-3400. Keep the main tone of low-multiple participation around this range during the day. In the middle position, watch more and move less and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy when gold falls back to 3353-3362, and buy when it falls back to 3340-45, stop loss at 3336, target at 3395-3400;
Phenomenal session yesterdayAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Current sequence is suitable for Scalping only and Scalpers are getting the most returns out of current Price-action. I am Buying every Low's aggressively since Monday's session and will continue to do so as long as #3,327.80 - #3,335.80 Support zone holds."
I have Bought (Scalp) firstly #3,345.80 entry point (many more Scalp orders below on #3,343.80 as well) and closed all on #3,356.80 with excellent Profit. I have Sold #3,373.80 and layered it with #3,382.80 entry point / ultimately closing all orders on #3,368.80 last night / Asian session. Was indeed phenomenal session.
Technical analysis: Gold has made an important Bullish step towards full scale Hourly 4 chart’s reversal as it almost recovered the #3,384.80 pressure point. That makes Hourly 4 chart practically Bullish but leaning on the Neutral side since hard Resistance zone is above / however well Supported within #3,370’s belt, which has held on multiple occasions so far. As mentioned throughout my remarks, Hourly 4 chart is still Bullish as said, but invalidated Descending Channel has expanded giving me Buying signs that Gold may test #3,400.80 psychological benchmark on current Fundamental mix and remember my notes regarding #3,377.80 Resistance (now Support line) importance (I mentioned that if #3,377.80 gets invalidated, Gold can kick-start aggressive upswing towards #3,382.80 first, posing as an strong Resistance then #3,392.80 and #3,400.80 benchmark ahead). Gold was mainly correlated with DX during first #5 Months of the Year (January-May) as there was no shift and probability that June will also be DX Month is #91.99% since Bond Yields were on downtrend, taking strong hammering and broke all Support zones, and Gold was also on Short-term decline which confirms my Gold - DX correlation so look for pointers there. Remember, when you are unsure of the Medium-term direction on Gold always look for clues on DX and Trade accordingly.
My position: As mentioned throughout yesterday's session, I give more probabilities to the upside and will continue with my aggressive Scalping orders / Buying every dip on Gold. #3,377.80, #3,362.80 and #3,352.80 benchmark are valid Support lines. #3,392.80 keeps Gold from testing #3,400.80 benchmark. Trade accordingly.
XAU/USD(20250604) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Logan: We should focus on achieving the 2% inflation target, rather than trying to make up for past inflation shortfalls; Bostic: We still think there may be a rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3359
Support and resistance levels
3417
3395
3381
3337
3322
3301
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3359, consider buying, the first target price is 3381
If the price breaks through 3337, consider selling, the first target price is 3322
GOLD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,373.30 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,383.29.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold fluctuates. It is expected to retreat.Gold continued its strong performance on Monday in the early trading yesterday and reached a high of around 3391 before starting to fall all the way. It was weak and downward in the European trading. The US trading quickly fell back to around 3335 and then rose again. However, it touched the 3372 line again in the morning and continued to fall, forming a large range of fluctuations.
Affected by the ADP data, although the positive impact is large, it is very likely to be just an illusion given to the market, not to achieve a strong effect. The key pressure position above is maintained at around 3360, which may play the role of a watershed between long and short positions, and the strong pressure above will also be maintained at 3365; the support position below is around 3340. Once this position is broken, the room for decline may be expanded in the later period.
Although the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages have the intention of forming a golden cross, they have not completely released the energy of the bulls, making the market more unpredictable for the bears. In the correction of the bulls' strong upward movement, there was no further effort. Perhaps this is one of the signs of bull exhaustion. The current channel position formed from 3391 also gives the bulls enough pressure. Only by breaking through this position again can a strong upward trend be achieved.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3360, stop loss 3370, profit range 3345-3330.
Chart Analysis Explanation1️⃣ Overall Context:
This is a 15-minute chart, showing short-term price movements and structure on Gold (XAUUSD). This timeframe is helpful for scalping or short-term trades.
2️⃣ Key Annotations and Terms:
ob liquidity: Stands for “Order Block Liquidity” — an area where there’s a cluster of buy/sell orders from previous price action, often acting as a supply or demand zone.
bos: "Break of Structure" — price breaks a previous high or low, showing a shift in the trend.
coch: "Change of Character" — a shift from bullish to bearish or vice versa, signaling potential trend reversal.
head & shoulder breck: Head and Shoulders pattern break — a reversal pattern that signals a potential move in the opposite direction after the break.
tp: Take Profit — the target level where you plan to exit the trade.
support: A horizontal zone marked as a potential strong price floor.
3️⃣ The Chart Structure:
🔸 Left Side (Charts 1 and 2):
Price was in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
OB Liquidity zone shows where sellers might be stacked above the recent highs.
Break of Structure (bos) occurs when price breaks the last lower high — indicates bullish momentum.
Coch marks a reversal after price breaks the upward trendline.
The chart suggests price might retest the broken trendline and then drop from there.
🔸 Right Side (Charts 3 and 4):
Head and Shoulders Pattern is illustrated on the right — a classic bearish reversal pattern.
The right shoulder completes and price breaks down through the neckline (head & shoulder breck).
The expected move is a bearish drop toward the tp level at around 3,325 USD.
4️⃣ Trade Idea:
Sell Trade:
Enter short after price retests the trendline or the red supply zone (previous structure).
Target is set at tp zone near 3,325 USD.
Stop Loss:
Typically placed above the recent high near the order block liquidity zone to manage risk.
🔑 Summary:
Your analysis suggests that after breaking the upward trendline and forming a Head & Shoulders pattern, price will likely move downward. The strategy involves waiting for a pullback to the supply zone (red area), then entering a sell trade aiming for a target near 3,325 USD.
XAUUSD – Trade War Rhetoric Returns: Why Gold May Rally Again Steel. Aluminum. Tariffs doubled.
Whenever we enter a phase of tariff war talk and geopolitical friction, the market reacts in a very predictable way:
More tariffs = more uncertainty = weaker USD = stronger GOLD
Less tariffs = stability = stronger USD = weaker GOLD
It's not about politics. It’s about market psychology.
And right now, that psychology favors gold upside.
We’re seeing a return to protectionist rhetoric.
China-U.S. tensions are getting media oxygen again.
Tariff headlines are back on the front page.
This is historically a bullish trigger for gold, especially if the dollar starts to weaken on risk-off flows or rate speculation cools.
I’m keeping an eye on dollar softness + any follow-through on these trade war headlines.
If we get the right technical trigger, I’ll ride gold long ; this narrative can push it higher.