XAUUSDK trade ideas
Start buying goldTechnical aspects:
Gold has bottomed out and rebounded after a rapid decline today. It has now stood above 3330. When gold breaks above 3330, it has to some extent broken away from the technical repair structure and began to tend to a bullish pattern in terms of form. Although gold is currently under pressure in the 3350-3360 area, as the center of gravity of gold moves up, the support below has gradually moved up to the 3325-3315 area. So I think there is still room for gold to rise, and it may continue to rebound to the 3345-3365 area.
Trading strategy: Consider going long on gold in the 3330-3320 area, TP: 3345-3365
Gold news dominates the market
The gold market has experienced dramatic fluctuations recently, and the market is completely dominated by news. Last Friday (May 10), after gold stopped falling and rebounded from 3202, it soared by $236 to a high of 3438 in the first two days of the week, stimulated by Trump's escalation of tariff policy. However, as market sentiment changed, it opened high and fell on Wednesday, and plummeted by $126 in a single day on Thursday. It directly broke through the 3300 mark in early trading on Friday, reaching a low of 3270, giving up nearly $200 in gains in just a few days.
Analysis of market driving factors:
Tariff policy has become the core variable that dominates the trend of gold. When Trump proposed to increase tariffs, the market was worried about the escalation of the global trade war, and safe-haven funds poured into gold crazily; and once the news showed signs of easing, bulls immediately took profits, causing the gold price to retreat sharply. In contrast, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and ongoing geopolitical conflicts have taken a back seat, reflecting the current market's extreme sensitivity to policy risks.
From a technical perspective, gold has entered a large shock pattern of fierce competition between bulls and bears. The daily level shows that the long upper shadow middle Yin line closed on Thursday confirmed the short-term top, and the MACD indicator showed a second dead cross, indicating further callback risks. The key resistance is at 3315 (MA10 and the middle track overlap) and 3345 (MA5), and the important support below is at 3237 (MA30) and 3192 (lower track). On the 4-hour chart, the MACD dead cross continues to increase in volume, the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the MA60 moving average 3310 constitutes a key resistance. The hourly line forms a row of top suppression at 3323-24, and 3310-15 becomes an important resistance area for short-term rebound.
Trading strategy suggestions:
In the current market environment, it is recommended to adopt a strategy that combines trend trading with key position game. On the short side, short with a light position near 3340-3350, stop loss 3360, target 3300-3270;
On the long side, focus on the 3270-65 support area. After stabilization, you can try short-term long, stop loss 3260, target 3300-3320;
If it further pulls back to the 3230-40 area (daily MA30), you can consider the layout of medium-term long orders, stop loss 3220, target 3280-3300.
It is particularly important to be vigilant that once it falls below the 3200 mark, it means that the medium-term trend turns bearish, and you need to stop loss immediately and wait and see.
Looking ahead, gold may continue to fluctuate greatly. Investors need to focus on three major focuses: first, the trend of Trump's tariff policy, which is still the core factor affecting gold prices; second, the need for technical correction. After a continuous plunge, there may be a rebound, but attention should be paid to the strong pressure zone of 3345-3370; finally, the change in market sentiment. If the demand for risk aversion continues to cool, the gold price may further test the 3200 mark.
Key operation tips:
Intraday trading uses 3330 as the long-short watershed. Keep a short-term thinking below, with a target of 3270-3240; if it breaks through 3330, it will switch to a short-term long strategy, with a target of 3345-3370. Mid-term investors can arrange long orders in batches in the 3200-3230 area to bet on the rising opportunities brought about by the policy shift again. It should be emphasized that the current market is volatile, and all transactions should strictly set stop losses to prevent sudden risks.
Gold technical analysis and trading strategy
Affected by the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve and the strengthening of the US dollar, gold has been under pressure and fluctuated recently, but geopolitical risks and the news of Trump's upcoming "major trade agreement" have made market sentiment cautious. Some bulls chose to take profits in the Asian session, and the price fell from the highs, showing a long-short tug-of-war pattern on the technical side.
Technical structure analysis
Although the daily level has a top and bottom structure of long-short transformation, the price still holds steady at 3300, indicating that the medium-term trend has not weakened. The current price is running near the key neckline support, and the 3320-3300 area will become an important defense line for bulls, and the upper 3380-3400 constitutes short-term resistance. The hourly chart shows that the price fell below the lower edge of the previous trading day's oscillation box at 3370, the moving average system is arranged in a short position, and the MACD runs below the zero axis, and the short-term trend is weak. The European and American sessions need to focus on the breakthrough direction of the 3310-3365 range.
Operation strategy suggestions
Short-term trading:
If the price falls back to 3310-3315, try to buy with a light position, stop loss below 3299, target 3340-3350
Rebound to 3360-3365, short under pressure, stop loss above 3375, target 3330-3320
Trend layout:
If the price falls below 3300, short orders can be followed up to 3280-3260
If the price breaks through 3380 resistance, it is expected to restart the upward trend and test above 3400
Risk warning
Focus on the content of Trump's press conference in the evening. Any unexpected details of the trade agreement may cause drastic market fluctuations. It is recommended that traders strictly control their positions and do a good job of stop loss protection. The current market sentiment is sensitive, and the game between technical and news aspects is intensifying, so we need to remain flexible.
Will gold's decline continue?A big negative line closed, covering the previous positive lines, and broke the support of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. This wave may continue to fall to the Bollinger middle rail near 3300, but if it is a high-level shock, the Bollinger middle rail is not broken, and it may rise again to 3430. Therefore, gold has experienced big ups and downs in this cycle, and now it is possible to rise or fall. In the short cycle, pay attention to the support effect of 3355 under weakness. If it does not break, you can continue to be bullish. Investment strategy: Gold 3350 long, stop loss 3338, target 3450
With the Federal Reserve on hold, gold is ushering in a new engi
At 2 pm yesterday, the Federal Reserve announced that it would keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, in line with market expectations, and remained unchanged for the third consecutive meeting. After the announcement of the Fed's interest rate decision, the market continued to believe that the Fed would cut interest rates before July, and still expected three rate cuts this year.
Then Fed Chairman Powell downplayed any impression that the central bank would use interest rate cuts to ease the economic weakness caused by Trump's tariff policy at a press conference in the early morning.
Powell used the word "wait" 22 times to emphasize that the Fed is not in a hurry. He said: "We think the cost of waiting is quite low, so we are doing it."
Powell said: "In this case, we can't take the initiative because we don't actually know what the correct response to the data is until we see more data."
Powell hinted that the Fed will only cut interest rates after seeing evidence of a significant slowdown in the economy, and it may cut interest rates soon.
Returning to the market, first of all, from the gold daily chart, it can be seen that the current trend of gold is basically similar to that of the first half of the month.
There was a sharp retracement last week, and then the bottom daily line closed with a cross star, followed by a sharp rebound.
The current market is basically copying the previous market. If nothing unexpected happens, if it goes up in this trend, 3500 is very likely not the high point, and it is only a matter of time before a new high is reached.
In addition, from the 4-hour chart, yesterday, the bottom 3360 was tested many times, but it failed to break down. Today, the opening was stretched from 3360 to above 3400.
3360 is a intensive trading area suppression position in the early stage. After breaking through 3360 on Tuesday, it has not fallen below this position so far.
So, we can currently regard 3360 as an important support position.
So we can regard 3360 as the 618 support position, so as to infer the high point position.
As you can see in the picture, I have also marked the point, which is about 3450-60.
Finally, let's look at the hourly chart. You can see that from 3360 to the morning high of 3415, the Fibonacci position 50% position and 382 position are about 3390-85.
It is also about the lowest position of the callback.
In terms of future operations, you can basically rely on 3390-85 to enter the market and do more.
The upper target can basically see the 3440-60 range.
X1: GOLD/XAUUSD Buy Risking1% to make 3.63X1:
Risking 1% to make 3.63%
GOLD/XAUUSD Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 3.63%
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
XAUUSD – 30m Precision Buy from 79% Fib + Liquidity Grab📈 GOLD LONG CONTINUATION – May 7, 2025 | Smart Money Masterclass
Here’s a 🔥 textbook entry on XAUUSD, showing exactly how Smart Money engineered liquidity, tapped into the Fair Value Gap, and launched the price from deep Fib levels.
Let’s break this down like a true Chart Ninja:
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES IN THIS SETUP:
🧠 FVG Respect: Perfect reaction from the imbalance zone (gray box)
💰 Liquidity Sweep: Triple low fake-out → "Buy-side Engineered Liquidity" ($ symbols)
📉 Descending Trendline Break: Acting as a final bear trap
🧲 Fib Retracement: Entry from deep golden pocket zone (between 70.5% and 79%)
📊 50% EQ Magnet Above: Price reacting towards premium inefficiency
🚀 Risk-Reward Setup: ~1:6 RR targeting imbalance fill around $3435
🏗️ Structure: Price built a base with multiple accumulation candles before break
📈 Trade Details:
🟢 Entry Zone: $3,388 – $3,393 (limit filled within FVG + Fib zone)
❌ SL: Just below 79% zone at $3,386
✅ TP: $3,435 (0% Fib level / top of the range + inefficiency)
📈 RRR: ~1:6 sniper level precision
⚙️ Execution Strategy:
Confirmation entry after inducement wick
FVG + Fib overlap = High probability zone
Optional scaling in across zone: 70.5%, 75%, 79%
First partials around $3,412, full TP at $3,435 zone
💬 Chart Ninja Quote of the Day:
"The best trades don’t chase price—they wait for price to chase them."
🔒 SETUP SUMMARY:
Timeframe: 30m
Bias: Bullish
Entry Type: Limit
Confluences: FVG + Fib + Liquidity Sweep
Trade Type: Reversal from Demand
Confirmation: Structure shift + Clean W bottom
💾 Save this setup and study it frame-by-frame.
📲 Share it with your trading crew who still think breakouts are reliable 😉
XAUUSD - Buy - A Shape Recovery - Gap fill - Strength
A Shape Recovery
Return to Previous Level imminent
Profit taking at NZ open from the massive run-up yesterday.
COT data didn’t show any buying of longs on Monday It could have driven down lower, but instead, they drove it up.
First, it should fill the gap, then continue on to 4,000… then 7,000 over time, of course.
The USA is still in hot water — Trump has ruffled a lot of feathers.
No one trusts him, no one likes him — a snake in the grass.
China is hunkering down until he’s gone.
Xi Jinping will not tolerate Trump’s snide remarks or his constant demeaning of him and China.
So, the USD will likely face 145% tariffs for quite some time.
It’s the perfect tool to help destroy Americas economy and they did it to themselves.
Weak Dollar. Strong Gold.
"China has stated it will not engage until the U.S. cancels its 145% tariffs, a condition the U.S. has not met. Despite hints of openness from both sides and China evaluating U.S. approaches, no formal agreement has been confirmed, and conflicting statements suggest the situation remains fluid. The lack of a signed deal, combined with China’s retaliatory 125% tariffs and its focus on diversifying trade partners, casts doubt on an imminent resolution"
XAUUSDHi ,
The market has consistently been rising as indicated in my yesterdays Analysis , The formation of series of HIGHER HIGHS $ HIGHER LOWS from 2nd May - 5Th May. This supports yesterdays idea on testing $3372 and infact went further up to $3380
If the fast EMA (8) is above the SLOW EMA (21) it then further supports the BULLISH COURSE.
If the RSI is hovering above 70 , this indicates the asset been OVERBROUGHT signaling a potential PULLBACK.
The PRICE consolidated before breaking out UPWARD , which indicates a CONTINUATION OF THE BULLISH TREND.
The current WAVES exhibits smooth pullbacks without DEEP CORRECTIONS , signaling STRONG BUYING PRESSURE.
The sudden SURGE in PRICE indicate INCREASING BULLISH MOMENTUM or a possible EXHAUSTION.
OVERALL we should hit $3372-85 and if the price breaks the zone and moves a little further it will signal further BUYS. If the PRICE breaks $3252 going down that should be your FALL CONFIRMATION.
Meanwhile i have a few buy positions active and waiting for further confirmation.
Gold Rejection at Channel Resistance – Bearish Setup in Play"
🔍 Analysis Summary
Current Price: \~\$3,266
Indicators:
EMA 50 (Red): \~\$3,277 – price is slightly below this level
EMA 200 (Blue): \~\$3,180 – acts as a dynamic support
Trend Structure:
Previous Uptrend: Sharp bullish move within a rising wedge (now broken)
Current Pattern: Descending channel or flag-like consolidation after the strong bullish trend
Support Level: \~\$3,175–\$3,180 (highlighted zone with green arrows showing bounce)
Resistance Level (Target 1): \~\$3,277–\$3,300
Target Point: \~\$3,356
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Price bounced off strong support (around EMA 200 + horizontal level).
If price breaks above the descending channel and retests resistance, it could aim for **Target 1 (\~3,300) and possibly reach **Target Point (\~3,356)**.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break above descending channel resistance could lead to a retest of the support zone.
If support breaks, the next possible stop could be below the EMA 200, triggering deeper correction.
🧠 Trading Idea
Buy Entry: On confirmed breakout above descending channel.
Target 1: \~3,300
Target 2: \~3,356
Stop Loss: Below \~3,175 support
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyToday, all the trading signals finally yielded profits! Check it!👉👉👉
Today, gold has strongly rallied, breaking through the range-bound trading pattern. It climbed to as high as the level of 3,328 at its peak. However, there has been basically no retracement in the price of gold. Thus, it is highly probable that the safe-haven sentiment will be directly released, after which gold will commence its adjustment. Therefore, it is not appropriate to chase the upward trend at this position. Instead, it is advisable to patiently wait for the opportunity of a pullback from the high level. When there is a rebound to a high position, directly go short on gold!
Trading Strategy:
sell@3330-3320
TP:3300-3280
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
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XAUUSD TAKE RESISTANCE FROM TRADE LINEHere I Created This XAUUSD Chart Analysis
Pair : XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframe: 1- Hour
Pattern: Resistance Level
Momentum: Bearish/ SELL
Entry Level : SELL 3327
Resistance zone : 3335
Target Will Be : 3300 / 3272
Disclaimer : This signal is based on personal analysis for learning purposes. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
Gold (XAUUSD) Elliott Wave + AO Analysis (1H Chart) – 10 May 20Overview:
This 1-hour chart on XAUUSD highlights a clear 5-wave Elliott impulse, confirmed with Fibonacci extensions and the Awesome Oscillator (AO). Current structure suggests Wave (5) is in play, offering a high-probability short opportunity from the Wave (4) retracement zone.
🧠 Elliott Wave Count:
Wave (1): Initial bearish leg
Wave (2): Minor corrective pullback
Wave (3): Strong impulse confirmed by AO convergence
Wave (4): Corrective structure that respects the top of Wave (1) — valid Elliott structure
Wave (5): Now in progress, supported by AO divergence → momentum weakening
📌 Note: Wave 1 and Wave 3 are commonly measured using AO convergence, validating the strength of the impulse waves. Conversely, Wave 5 is often identified by AO divergence, signaling trend exhaustion.
📐 Fibonacci Extension Targets (Measured from Wave 4):
Expected zone for Wave (5) termination:
1.618 Fib: $3,312.17
2.618 Fib: $3,280.25 (most common)
4.236 Fib: $3,255.05
4.886 Fib: $3,241.30 (extreme extension)
📉 Wave (5) often terminates at 2.618 or 4.236 Fibonacci levels, especially when supported by AO divergence.
📊 AO (Awesome Oscillator) Insights:
✅ Wave (1) to (3): Clear convergence validates impulse
🚨 Wave (5): AO showing divergence = weakening sell momentum
Confirms Wave (5) status and end-stage trend behavior
🛠️ 🔴 Short-Only Strategy: Trade Wave (5) From Wave (4)
Entry Criteria:
Short initiated near the Wave (4) zone (~$3,330–$3,347)
Strong rejection candle (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) or breakdown confirmation
AO turning from green to red or histogram weakening
Stop Loss:
Above Wave (4) high = ~$3,347
Take Profit Levels:
🎯 TP1: $3,312 (1.618 Fib)
🎯 TP2: $3,280 (2.618 Fib)
🎯 TP3: $3,255 (4.236 Fib)
🎯 TP4 (optional final target): $3,241 (4.886 Fib)
Risk Management Tip: Adjust position sizing to align with stop above Wave (4) and TP zones at Fib targets.
🧩 Final Thoughts:
✅ High-probability bearish structure from Wave (4)
🚫 No bullish setups considered — focus is only on shorting Wave (5)
🔍 AO confirms both impulse strength and trend exhaustion via convergence/divergence
📐 Fibs align with standard Wave (5) projections
📈 Chart Context:
Gold (XAUUSD) – 1H timeframe
Indicators: Elliott Wave, AO, Fibonacci
Analysis Date: 10 May 2025
Bias: Bearish only
XAUUSD As indicated Yest , we were expecting a meltdown which started and didn't finish.
Garnish Pattern Formed in today's CHART indicating probability flying a little bit high,to confirm the flight we should look at $3325 once this level is broken with BULLISH MOMENTUM then we should target the next level @ $3435.
However if we were to confirm our FALL (MELTDOWN) then we should inspect level $3196-99 once this level is broken , then we should wait for a retest and have our ENTRIES and Target $2968 as our TAKE PROFIT zone.
Rising Wedge which we identified on 5/9 09:45. This pattern is still in the process of forming. Possible bullish price movement towards the resistance 3,333.85 within the next 1 hour.
The Bullish momentum seems to be increasing in bits.
Overall we are somehow BULLISH today , until proven otherwise , will be back with further updates as the market continue unfolding.
5.9 Gold is difficult to break through the top5.9 Gold is difficult to break through the top
Due to the increasing tension in the international situation, the overall trend and direction of gold will not change. However, due to the recent news from all sides, the price of gold has fluctuated greatly, which confuses many people and makes it difficult to judge whether the market is bullish or bearish. We must know that the market is changing rapidly and trading requires flexibility. We must remember to control positions, set stop losses strictly, do not resist orders, and wait patiently for opportunities.
The market has now fallen to the downward channel (A) and may continue to fall. However, the weekend is coming, some short positions may be closed, and the market may also enter the parallel channel (B).
Currently bearish, not bullish, the upper resistance level is 3330/3360. It is difficult to break through 3360 to form a new top in the short term.
SELL: 3320
SL: 3330
TP: 3290-3260
Thank you for your attention, I hope my analysis can help you.
XAUUSD Take ProfitThe gold trade I just shared delivered great profit and helped me hit my daily profit target in a single trade :)
So, gold ended up being both the first and last trade of the day.
Tomorrow is the weekend and the FX market will be closed, but as always, the crypto market stays open.
Hopefully, BTC will offer some good opportunities tomorrow :))
Wishing everyone a great weekend!
Bullish Airlines Cleared for Altitude!After squinting at the 4H chart like Sherlock with a caffeine addiction, I’ve confirmed: our price broke out of a flag pattern like it was tired of napping. It even did the polite thing—came back to retest—like, “Excuse me, just checking if I actually broke out. Yep. Cool.”
Now it’s back on its bullish treadmill, charging uphill like a gym bro after pre-workout.
As long as we’re above 3200, this beast might just pump harder than Bitcoin on caffeine and hopium.
🎯 Final destination? 161.80% Fib extension at 3580.22—aka “Mount Take Profit.”
Pack snacks. It’s a climb.
Breaking news is coming! How to trade XAUUSD/GOLD?XAUUSD/GOLD continued to fluctuate and rise in the New York market yesterday. It closed at around 3430, and today the Asian market opened at a high of 3438.75. For those who followed the buying yesterday, this profit is quite generous. The interest rate decision is about to be announced, how should we trade?
Two key points need to be paid attention to, namely: the continued fermentation of geopolitics, and the Federal Reserve interest rate decision in the New York time period.
The geopolitical fermentation has eased since the Asian market began, and there is no greater news to provide momentum for the rise, so there has been a sharp drop after the opening, and the lowest reached around 3359. The decline is about 80 US dollars/ounce. The subsequent shock rebounded slightly, and the current quotation is 3387. From the trend observation, there is still an opportunity to buy on the left side of the swing trading.
The interest rate decision mentioned yesterday can be further divided into two results: unchanged interest rate and interest rate cut. The result of unchanged interest rate is that the US dollar index still maintains its value, and there is a suppression on XAUUSD/GOLD. At this time, we need to pay attention to which has a greater impact on geopolitics and the preservation of the US dollar index. The former is good for the rise of XAUUSD/GOLD. The latter has an impact on the decline of xauusd/gold. Secondly, the interest rate cut is good for xauusd/gold. If it is the latter, then it is better to do more at the same frequency.
Therefore, the trading logic is still mainly based on low-level longs. Members with larger funds can choose to buy near the current price of 3392. Members with smaller funds can pay attention to buying opportunities below 3375.
Pay attention to risk control when trading.