THE KOG REPORT - Update End of day update from us here at KOG:
Nice move early session giving us the low we wanted for an entry long into the target region. We activated higher on Excalibur which also completed and the red box indicator gave us a wonderful performance across all the pairs we took profit on today.
Now we have support at the 3320 region with resistance sitting up at 3350 which will need to break to go higher. We've giving the potential range unless the levels are broken and there is a late session move. Either way, it's been another good week on the markets in Camelot and we'll see you on Sunday for the KOG Report and our view for the week ahead.
Wishing you all a great weekend, please don't forget to hit the boost button for us!
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSDK trade ideas
GOLD - Price can bounce up to $3475 points, exiting from pennantHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price traded inside flat, where it two times broke $3045 levels and then made impulse up.
Price exited from flat and continued to grow inside a pennant pattern, where it later reached $3320 level.
Then Gold broke this level and rose to resistance line of a pennant, and then made a correction to support level, and then broke it.
After this, the price declined to the support line of the pennant, after which it turned around and bounced up.
Gold broke $3320 level and rose to resisance line of pennant, but recently it made correction to this level.
So, now I expect that price can bounce up from this level to $3475, thereby exiting from pennant pattern.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Gold may break out of the range and rise to 3450GOLD is rising and testing the resistance of the trading range. The important prerequisite is no drop after false breakout. Accordingly, buyers are building up and a close above 3367 may give a chance for a rise
The fundamental situation is changing, Trump is imposing new duties. In addition, gold is reacting to the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. The metal continues to be a magnet for money
Scenario: A break of range resistance and consolidation above 3367 activates buying. The target of 3407 is 3444
#XAUUSD: Gold to continue rising,$4000 by end of the year targetGold has unexpectedly declined to 3335 in response to the anticipated price increase following the unfolding conflict in Asia. Currently, two regions exhibit price reversals.
The XAUUSD price is progressing in accordance with our previous analysis. Both analyses have successfully reached the take-profit target, and we anticipate further bullish momentum in the near future. However, price movement is subject to potential reversals in two areas. Both targets are long-term oriented, indicating potential swing moves that may take time to complete. Stop-loss, intraday target, and position decisions should be based on individual analysis and overall market assessment. Strong fundamentals are essential for price to reach the designated target area.
We acknowledge our bias in this analysis, but it does not guarantee the realisation of the described outcome.
Upon trade activation, you can establish two targets. You have the flexibility to select your own take-profit based on your analysis and trade management strategies.
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Gold's Bearish Momentum Builds from PRZ-Short SetupGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to decline exactly from PRZ (previous idea) as I expected in my previous idea . And with the loss of the Support zone($3,387-$3,357) we can expect further decline.
Gold is currently moving near the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357 ) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From the Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to have completed a five-wave impuls e and we should expect corrective waves . Since the momentum of the second decline that broke the Support zone($3,387-$3,357) is high , the correction is expected to continue and Gold appears to be completing a pullback .
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The US Unemployment Claims Index was also released a few minutes ago, and let's take a look and examine the possible impact on Gold .
This better-than-expected data confirms a stronger U.S. labor market , reducing the urgency for the Fed to cut rates anytime soon .
Impact on Gold :
A resilient job market supports the hawkish stance of the Fed , which could keep downward pressure on Gold in the short term as yields and the dollar remain firm.
However, traders should remain cautious and watch for upcoming data and Fed commentary, which could shift the tone.
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I expect Gold to start falling from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) to the targets I have indicated on the chart. The first target could be around $3,319 .
Note: If Gold touches $3,401(the worst Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect the resistance lines to break and gold to rise further.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3400.Colleagues, I've redrawn the waves a bit, because it looks like the correction should be over.
I believe that the upward movement will resume soon.
I expect two variants of events:
1) the price will reach the support area 3162, form wave “4” and after that we will see an upward movement - this is a variant of entering a position with pending limit orders.
2) Price has already formed wave “4” and then we will see only upward movement. This is a variant of market entry.
In both cases I expect the price to come to the target in the resistance area of 3400. This is a pretty strong level from which there could be a strong correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAU/USD...gold 15m time frame chart pattern..### **Gold Trade Setup (Buy Now)**
- **Entry Price**: 3280
- **Target Price**: 3432 (**+152 points potential profit**)
- **Stop Loss**: 3360 (**-80 points risk**)
### **Key Points:**
1. **Risk-Reward Ratio**:
- **1:1.9** (Reward is nearly twice the risk, which is favorable).
2. **Trade Management**:
- If price moves favorably, consider **trailing the stop loss** to lock in profits.
- Watch for **trend line breaks or resistance tests** near the target.
3. **Confirmation Needed**:
- Ensure the trend line is validated (at least **2-3 touches** for reliability).
- Check for supporting indicators (e.g., **RSI bullish divergence, moving averages**).
4. **Potential Concerns**:
- Stop loss (3360) is **above entry (3280)**, suggesting this might be a **sell-triggered stop loss** (verify if direction is **long/short**).
- If this is a **sell trade**, adjust interpretation accordingly.
### **Actionable Advice**:
✅ **Execute if**: Trend confirms bullish (higher lows, breakout).
❌ **Avoid if**: Price breaks below the trend line before entry.
Let me know if you'd like help refining the setup! 🚀
Gold Bear Flag in Play – More Downside Ahead?Last week was a strong one for Gold bears, with price dropping sharply and reaching a low near the 3200 mark.
A normal recovery followed, but the bounce is now facing pressure below the 3270 level – a former support that has now turned into resistance.
Current price action is forming a bear flag, a classic continuation pattern. If we get a break back below 3250, this could trigger a new leg down, targeting the 3170 support zone.
My outlook remains bearish, and I’m continuing to sell rallies into resistance, expecting this bear flag to resolve to the downside.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3300 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold - This is still clearly not over!Gold - TVC:GOLD - just needs a moment to breathe:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is just incredible how Gold has been rallying lately. Just over the past 1.5 years, Gold is up another +80% and is creating new all time highs every month. Since these strong rallies continue a lot longer than most people think, Gold still has significant upside potential.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold (XAU/USD) - Bullish Reversal Pattern in Play Hello guys!
Let's analyze Gold!
Gold has recently broken out of a descending wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal, with confirmation coming from a clear bullish divergence near the $3,200 zone. After reaching the target of the descending pattern, the price rebounded sharply and is now forming an ascending channel.
Currently, the price is approaching a key resistance zone around $3,280–$3,290. If bulls manage to push through this level, we could see a rally toward the next major resistance around $3,320 and beyond.
🔍 Key Points:
✅ Descending wedge breakout confirmed
✅ Bullish divergence near the bottom signals a momentum shift
✅ Price respecting ascending channel structure
📈target of long position: $3,290–$3,320
📉 target of short position and the entry for long: $3,240 zone
Outlook: Bullish bias remains valid as long as the price is above the $3,240–$3,250 support area. Watch for a breakout above resistance for further upside continuation.
HelenP. I Gold will drop to trend line, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price has recently formed a narrowing wedge structure after a strong impulsive rally. The price reached a significant peak and then started consolidating, forming lower highs with fading bullish pressure. What we now see is a classic sign of price compression within a pennant pattern. Currently, the market is testing the key resistance zone between 3360 - 3380 points. This area aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge, and the price has already reacted to it multiple times. Buyers were unable to break through convincingly, indicating a potential exhaustion of momentum. Meanwhile, the lower boundary is represented by a dynamic trend line. Given this structure, I expect Gold can decline toward the support trend line and possibly reach 3300 points, my goal. The combination of horizontal resistance, trend weakening, and pattern tightening supports a short bias. Given the recent lower high, the rejection near resistance, and the wedge formation, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Tariff War Easing Signals: Gold Trend Analysis for Next WeekSince the issue of tariffs broke out, the development of the situation has not been in line with the expectations of the US government. In the face of the escalating trade frictions, the senior officials of the United States have released signals of easing through multiple channels and repeatedly expressed their willingness to hold negotiations with China on issues such as tariffs. After a prudent assessment, China, proceeding from the overall situation of maintaining the stability of bilateral economic and trade relations and promoting the healthy development of the global economy, has decided to engage with the United States.
In fact, there are no real winners in the ongoing standoff of the tariff war. As the world's two largest economies, only by reaching a relatively appropriate solution through negotiation can the fundamental interests of both China and the United States be met. This positive development is bound to significantly reduce the market's risk aversion sentiment. As a traditional safe-haven asset, the price of gold will also be under downward pressure accordingly.
From the perspective of technical analysis, the weekly chart of gold shows that although there was a strong upward pull at the beginning of this week, the daily chart has formed a "big yang front resistance line" pattern. This classic technical pattern indicates that the bullish momentum is close to exhaustion, and the subsequent downside risks have intensified. It is expected that the price of gold will further decline next week. The first support level should be focused on around $3,270. If this level is broken, the price of gold may continue to decline and seek support at the $3,200 level. Investors need to closely monitor the progress of the China-US negotiations and the dynamics of the gold market and adjust their investment strategies rationally.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly MARKET Analysis: CONSOLIDATION PhaseOANDA:XAUUSD has made a positive move but faced resistance at $3,430, with strong support established at $3,250. The market is likely to trade sideways or experience a deeper correction in the near term. A major resistance barrier appears to be forming overhead, making further upside difficult without significant catalysts.
These temporary pullbacks may prove beneficial within what appears to be a longer-term uptrend. It is natural for markets to move sideways and form consolidation patterns after the bullish momentum we've witnessed since the beginning of this year. Therefore, sideways consolidation currently represents the healthiest market reaction.
Last year, we observed similar price action where the market made a bullish move from February through April before consolidating for two months. Current price action suggests we may see consolidation in the form of a triangle pattern before a major catalyst fuels the next market move. Overall, I expect the market to continue moving sideways within the April trading range, with the possibility of a deeper correction.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Gold Bounces After Fake Break — More Upside AheadGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) fell to the Support zone($3,280-$3,240) as I posted yesterday ( Full Target) .
Gold started to rise again after making a Fake Break below the Support lines .
Gold is trading above the Resistance zone($3,330-$3,320) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin completed the main wave C with the help of the Ending Diagonal .
Educational note : The Ending Diagonal in Classic Technical Analysis is the Falling Wedge Pattern .
I expect Gold to resume its bullish trend, at least for the short term , and to at least $3,356 .
Note: If Gold breaks the Support lines with high volume, we can expect further declines.
Note: Worst Stop Loss(SL) = $3,031
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAU/USD: Bullish Momentum Builds Near Breakout Zone, Key SupportGold (XAU/USD) is gaining strength after rebounding from trendline support, forming a sharp impulsive move and now hovering near a potential breakout zone. Momentum remains bullish, as the price reclaims previous highs and eyes the upper resistance boundary around 3,495.000.
The structure favors trend continuation as long as price remains above the key support zone at 3,345.000, where trendline and previous day’s high converge. A sustained move above 3,400 could confirm a breakout, but the risk of a false breakout remains.
Currently, the price is consolidating above a critical intersection of trendline and horizontal support near 3,300. This level must hold for bulls to retain control. A bounce from this zone would support a move toward the upper resistance, with the next target at 3,495.000. However, a break below 3,345.000 may invalidate the setup and lead to deeper correction
Gold: Short-Term Elliott Wave OutlookGold: Short-Term Elliott Wave Outlook
Gold is currently displaying a classic Elliott wave pattern, specifically an ABC correction. In this case, the C wave appears to be overextended.
Looking closer, the C wave has completed a five-wave sequence, which often signals the end of the correction. This suggests that Gold could be ready to resume its bullish trend.
In strong trends, these wave patterns create deep pullbacks before the price continues moving in the main direction.
Key price levels to watch:
3356
3405
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
XAU/USD: Gold will fall ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that on Friday, after the price rose to $3248, it once again faced a correction and eventually closed at $3326. I expect that with the market opening, we’ll see further correction from gold, and the first potential target will likely be the $3213–$3216 area.
The key demand zones are $3253–$3274 and the $3313 level.
The key supply zones are $3355–$3369 and $3395–$3408.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would stick with our plan and look to continue with the move downside. This worked well for us and also gave us the bounce we wanted pre-event for the long trade following the retracement. For NFP, we released the KOG Report again, suggesting a move downside into the key level, then a bounce for the long. We got the short, we then got the TAP AND BOUNCE for the long, although, after having protected and managing it we closed at break even with the minimal lot that was left on the table.
We ended the week with another stellar performance on the EA, the algo and the indicators, not only on Gold, but also the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
Simple one this week as it’s bank holiday. Expect thin volume during the London session with a potential burst of volume during the US session. We have pathed out the levels and what to look for, with the first resistance just above, which is ideally what we want to target and reject to give us a further move downside. There is a key level above, 3250-55, the bias will be bearish below for now, unless broken which will give us the extension of the move into 3270-75 which is where sellers may get another opportunity.
Red boxes:
Break above 3235 for 3243, 3245, 3247, 3252 and 3270 in extension of the move
Break below 3220 for 3210, 3206, 3196, 3188 and 3179 in extension of the move
Bank holiday in the UK so not sure if we’ll be around much but we’ll re-visit the charts on Tuesday.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD BUYGreetings traders this is my analysis on Gold and it is a Long shot for a Buy.
📊 Technical analysis of gold (XAU/USD) — 4h timeframe
🔺 Formation: Head & Shoulders
The pattern is now even more clearly presented with:
Left shoulder – a smaller consolidation move.
Head – a higher peak (higher high).
Right shoulder – a weaker attempt to recover, which confirms the loss of bullish strength.
Usually, such a pattern is followed by a corrective move downwards (which has already been partially seen).
🔄 Potential trend change zone
Highlighted support in the zone:
3,162 – 3,128 USD — very important for confirming the bullish scenario.
The shown "bounce zone" suggests a possible purchase if the price bounces from this area.
📈 Predicted path
Expected:
Fall to support (around 3,150–3,130).
Reversal and continuation of the uptrend.
Target zone: 3,503 – 3,505 USD.
✅ Conclusion and strategy:
Scenario 1 (main): Buy zone between 3,160–3,130 if price action signal is seen (pin bar, engulfing).
Target: 3,500+
Stop loss: below 3,120 (below support).
Scenario 2 (riskier): If price does not bounce from that zone — possible further deepening towards 3,080–3,000.
Dear Traders like,comment let me know what do you think
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3495.The design of the previous idea had an error in the table of contents and I decided to make a new one.
The price has reached the support area 3240 and at the moment I expect the price to start an upward movement in the wave “3” of the middle order - it will be a continuation of the wave “5” of the higher order.
The target is the same - the maximum of wave “3” 3495.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
DeGRAM | GOLD has reached the channel boundary📊 Technical Analysis
● Chart shows a bullish breakout from the falling wedge into a rising channel. Support near $3,300 held firm, and price is now above the $3,360 pivot, eyeing the $3,430–$3,500 resistance zone. Oscillators on daily chart remain positive, reinforcing the upward bias.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Global uncertainty is fueling safe-haven demand: tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East and renewed US-China trade fears are supporting gold.
● A softer US dollar and policy uncertainty also boost bullion; analysts note continued demand keeping prices elevated above $3,000.
● Bank of America highlights that US trade-policy uncertainty will “lend support” to gold prices.
✨ Summary
Upside momentum remains strong, with key support around $3,300–$3,360. Gold’s long bias points toward ~$3,500 in the short term, underpinned by geopolitical risks and a weak dollar.
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GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3260 and a gap below at 3217. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. EMA5 is lagging below 3306 so will need a close above and then below to confirm.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3260
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3260 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3308
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3340
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3382
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3382 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3217
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3217 WILL OPEN THE BEARISH TARGETS
3174
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3174 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3126
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3078 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3034 - 2979
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX