Gold is overextended, a pullback is possibleHarmonic patterns also support this idea where we see a Crab pattern forming.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold might fall or bounce up Current gold market is showing bearish and might fall hard prior NFP or during. The chances of bouncing up are also there and we can see new higher prices.
XAUUSD Bullish (H2 Timeframe)CAPITALCOM:GOLD traders here's my New idea, what you think on it share your thoughts in comment section In My Personal Analysis Of 2-hour Time Frame Price Movement of gold
Gold 2876 has reached its strongest level but there is still an upward trend he is constantly breaking his barrier and the MA cross is also giving us an upward signal
We can only consider buying XAUUSD if it touches 2854
XAUUSD Buy Entry Point: 2854
Target: 2900
Target: 2925
Stop loss: 2835
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) - H1The 1-hour XAU/USD chart shows a strong uptrend, key Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, liquidity voids, and trend channels. Let’s break it down step by step.
1. Trend Analysis
Overall Trend: Bullish – Gold has been making higher highs and higher lows, respecting an upward trendline.
Current Position: Price is near 2,861 USD, approaching key Fibonacci extensions and resistance zones.
Trendline Support: The price remains above the main ascending trendline, confirming continued bullish strength.
2. Fibonacci Levels & Key Price Zones
The Fibonacci retracement tool has been applied from a previous swing low to a swing high, highlighting key levels of support and resistance:
Fibonacci Retracement Levels (Support)
0.236 – 2,690.67 USD
0.382 – 2,708.96 USD (Liquidity void)
0.5 – 2,723.74 USD
0.618 – 2,748.79 USD
0.786 – 2,759.57 USD
1.0 – 2,786.37 USD (Key level for trend continuation)
These levels indicate where price may find support if a pullback occurs.
Fibonacci Extension Levels (Resistance)
1.272 – 2,820.45 USD (Recently broken)
1.414 – 2,838.23 USD (Next immediate resistance)
1.618 – 2,863.78 USD (Major resistance level – currently being tested)
If price sustains above 2,863 USD, the next upside targets could be 2,880 USD and 2,900 USD.
3. Liquidity & Volume Analysis
Liquidity Voids: These are areas where price moved quickly, leaving inefficiencies that the market may revisit.
Volume Delta: The chart shows significant buy-side pressure, with notable buy orders absorbing sell-side liquidity.
Sell Clusters: Some sell orders are present near 2,820 USD and 2,838 USD, indicating potential resistance.
4. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support Zones:
2,820 USD – Previous resistance, now acting as support.
2,786 USD – Fibonacci 1.0 level and trendline support.
2,748-2,759 USD – Strong retracement zone.
Resistance Zones:
2,863 USD – Fibonacci 1.618 extension (currently tested).
2,880-2,900 USD – Next major psychological resistance.
5. Potential Trade Scenarios
Bullish Case (Breakout Above 2,863 USD)
If price breaks and sustains above 2,863 USD, it could rally toward 2,880-2,900 USD.
Buy entry above 2,864 USD, with stop-loss below 2,850 USD.
Bearish Case (Pullback to Support)
If price fails at 2,863 USD, a retracement to 2,820-2,786 USD is likely.
A break below 2,786 USD could accelerate selling toward 2,759 USD.
Conclusion
Gold is in a strong uptrend, but 2,863 USD is a key resistance.
A breakout above 2,863 USD could push prices to 2,880-2,900 USD.
A pullback to 2,820-2,786 USD would provide a buying opportunity.
Would you like a trade setup suggestion based on this? 🚀
XAU/USD (Gold Spot) Trade Setup – 1-Hour Chart
Since Gold is in a strong uptrend, we will focus on two potential trade setups:
1️⃣ Bullish Trade Setup (Breakout Above 2,863 USD)
📌 Entry: Above 2,864 USD (after confirmation of breakout)
🎯 Target 1: 2,880 USD
🎯 Target 2: 2,900 USD
🛑 Stop-Loss: Below 2,850 USD (recent support level)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or higher
🔹 Reasoning: If price breaks and sustains above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (2,863 USD), it will likely push higher toward the next psychological resistance levels at 2,880-2,900 USD.
2️⃣ Bearish Trade Setup (Pullback to Support for Buy Opportunity)
📌 Entry: Around 2,820-2,786 USD (key support levels)
🎯 Target 1: 2,850 USD
🎯 Target 2: 2,863 USD
🛑 Stop-Loss: Below 2,775 USD (below trendline support)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or better
🔹 Reasoning: If price rejects 2,863 USD and pulls back, buyers are likely to step in around 2,820-2,786 USD (previous resistance turned support & Fibonacci level). This offers a great buy-the-dip opportunity.
Bonus Tip
📉 If price closes below 2,775 USD, the bullish setup is invalid, and we may see a deeper retracement toward 2,750-2,723 USD.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 2/5/2025Gold indeed rose and touched 2844 as predicted. My weekly target of 2857 is not yet reached. Moreover, daily candle is still in green color. I am still expecting it to continue its bullish trend.
For today's strategy, I will buy from 2830 and target is 2857.
Gold Skyrockets to New Heights – Is $3,000 the Next Stop?🚀 Gold Breaks Records Again – Is $3,000 Next? 🚀
Gold has done it again! A new all-time high (ATH) has been set, proving once more that the market’s hunger for safe-haven assets is at an all-time high. With rising geopolitical tensions, inflationary fears, and economic uncertainty, investors are pouring into gold, looking for stability amidst the chaos. But is this just the beginning?
🔥 Gold’s Unstoppable Surge – What’s Driving It?
🔹 The USD’s Strength Can’t Stop Gold – Despite a strong dollar, gold continues to push higher, signaling extreme demand from institutions and retail investors alike.
🔹 Geopolitical Uncertainty & Trade Wars – Trump’s latest tariff policies on Canada, Mexico, and China have spooked global markets, fueling demand for safe-haven assets.
🔹 Stock Market Volatility & Crypto Struggles – The S&P 500 and Bitcoin are facing major resistance, while gold is thriving. This shift in capital flows suggests that gold is currently the #1 preferred asset for wealth preservation.
📈 What’s Next for Gold?
💡 Shorting Gold Right Now is Dangerous!
The FOMO effect is in full swing, and the technical structure remains bullish. Even traditional indicators like Elliott Wave, Fib Extensions, and RSI overbought levels are being ignored as price surges past resistance levels with ease.
Is there a correction ahead? Of course, markets never move in a straight line. However, until we see a true breakdown in structure, every dip remains a buying opportunity.
💰 How to Trade This Market
🔹 Manage Your Risk – Extreme volatility means trading without stop-losses is reckless.
🔹 Follow the Momentum – Don’t fight the trend. Gold is moving higher for a reason.
🔹 Stay Updated – The macroeconomic landscape is shifting fast. Follow along to stay ahead!
💬 What’s Your Prediction?
👉 Will gold smash through $3,000 in the coming weeks, or are we in for a sharp correction? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
💛 Follow for daily insights & real-time trade strategies! 🚀
XAU/USD Analysis - Bullish OutlookGold breaks through the critical resistance level of 2817, signaling strong upward momentum and potential for further growth.
After successfully breaching the key psychological level of 2817, gold confirms a valid breakout, supported by robust fundamentals such as high inflation, global economic uncertainty, and a growing demand for safe-haven assets.
The previous resistance at 2817 now serves as a strong support level, indicating that prices are poised to climb toward new all-time highs. Market sentiment remains bullish, with investors favoring gold as a hedge against volatile monetary policies and geopolitical risks.
The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rate adjustments continues to enhance gold’s appeal. Moreover, recent pullbacks have been shallow, highlighting strong buying interest.
XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Outlook
Gold appears bullish today, but key levels will determine the next move:
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If price breaks the Equal Low (EL) at 2812.8, we could see a decline toward 2800 – 2794.
🔹 Bullish Scenario: If Gold fails to break 2812.8, a rebound toward 2830 is likely.
📌 Trading Strategy:
✅ Wait for confirmation signals before entering short positions.
✅ Implement strict risk management to protect capital.
✅ Stay updated with price action & fundamentals to adapt quickly.
Trade wisely & stay disciplined! 📉📈
XAUUSD H4 NEW OUT LOOK XAUUSSD NEW OUTLOOK
according to H4 analysis market market running in both sides from last two day
waiting for good opportunity lets wait for market move it is best opportunity to go long from support level be careful TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK
REGARD ALBERT
XAUUSD on 2830 mark!!!As the opening drop which was certain because of Tarrifs war again each other and we were on bullish rally from 2770.
What possible scenario we have?
Market is at consolidation zone of 2790-2800. if 2800 truns invalidated its going to retest 2818 in first attempt and 2830 is my optimal intraday target. i already open my buy trades at 2795&2800 and it gives 150 pips.
For now we're in buys market will retest again on ATH where we have to react accordingly.
On the other hand, 2790 will be the last point for buyers upto ATH 2818 if 2790 invalidated and H4 closes below 2775 on mark again.
Gold Monthly and Weekly Summary and Forecast 2/2/2025
As pointed out in my previous week's forecast, gold did retrace to 2730.5 and went up all the way to 2817. It did close the monthly with ATH and broke the previous resistance at 2790.
Since the previous ATH was broken, we could see another pump up in the coming week. Looking at the weekly chart, bullish momentum is still strong. I am expecting very minimal retrace next week. First target could be 2859. My long term ultimate target is 2946, which could be achieved by the next few months.
Anyway, for the next week's trading strategy, it is simply buy buy buy.
NONFARM SHOCK – GOLD FACES LIQUIDITY TEST BELOW! NONFARM SHOCK – GOLD FACES LIQUIDITY TEST BELOW!
🔥 NONFARM SHOCK – GOLD FACES LIQUIDITY TEST BELOW! 🔥
📊 Massive Sell-off on NFP & Key Liquidity Zones Ahead!
Gold closed the week with a sharp rejection as expected, following the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release and Asia’s Golden Day. Price was driven higher during the Asian & European sessions, hitting key resistance at 2881, before experiencing a strong dump in the US session.
🚨 Key Observations for Next Week’s Market Plan:
The daily candle formed a 20-pip rejection wick, signaling strong selling pressure at the top.
H4 closed bearish, reinforcing the correction phase.
On H2 and H1, strong Marubozu bearish candles emerged, confirming that SELL orders dominated the 2881 resistance and prevented any breakout.
Price has now closed below VPOC (the high-liquidity zone), which previously acted as key support for buyers. Now that Gold has broken below this level, SELL setups become the optimal choice for next week.
📉 USD Strength & GOLD’s Liquidity Fill Zones!
After this strong rejection, USD shows signs of a potential recovery next week, adding more pressure to Gold.
We will now focus on liquidity voids below to determine where price may fill before a possible bullish continuation.
🔍 Key Liquidity Zones to Watch:
✅ First FVG zone (already tested): 2850 - 2842
✅ Major FVG zone (high probability liquidity fill): 2835 - 2828
✅ Final FVG zone (critical support before deeper correction): 2810 - 2800
📌 If 2810 - 2800 fails to hold, Gold could enter a deeper bearish correction, confirming a trend shift.
🚀 Next Steps:
Monitor these key liquidity zones and watch for price reaction.
Expect high volatility & potential liquidity sweeps before a trend decision!
Weekly plan & trading setups will be updated tomorrow and early next week!
📩 Follow KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade for expert market updates & precise trade setups! 🚀
💬 What’s your view on Gold next week? More downside or a liquidity-driven bounce? Share your thoughts below! 🔥
XAUUSD Monday targetSo this is our Sell target for Monday, guys, don't forget to look at it carefully.
Gold Market Sees High Volatility Amid Safe-Haven DemandLast night, the international gold market experienced significant volatility. At one point, gold prices surged by $35, rising from $2,851 to $2,886 per ounce.
However, at this level, profit-taking activities emerged, leading to a pullback. As a result, gold prices declined and closed at $2,861 per ounce early on February 8, still up $5 compared to the previous day's level of $2,856.
Analysts suggest that global gold prices continue to heat up due to persistent safe-haven demand. Investors remain anxious about rapid policy shifts in the U.S., fueling a continuous flight to precious metals.
Another contributing factor was the sell-off in the stock market overnight, driven by growing concerns over economic instability. As a result, many investors shifted their capital into gold, making its strong rally unsurprising.
BUY GOLD NOW!!!Gold took out the buyside liquidity with a complete retest and price made a nice sweep of liquidity from the buy side liquidity am in now on buys targeting 2870,2880 and lastly new highs in regarding to NFP today
JOIN AND ENJOY.....
Finding the First Phase: Using Consolidations to Capture Moves!This week, we're focusing on how consolidations set up the biggest moves in the market.
Next week, we’ll track consolidations on a hand-drawn intraday chart—either 1H, 2H, or 4H (still deciding on the best fit).
Key Observations from the Study
- 87.5 percent of consolidations (7 out of 8) showed manipulation at one end before expanding in the opposite direction
- Average consolidation duration: 18.6 hours
- Many consolidations form at key daily levels, where price reacts and builds orders before expanding
- Consolidations act as magnets—high-volume areas where price often returns before the breakout
Why This Matters
- Expansion equals opportunity—but consolidation sets it up
- Liquidity grabs equal high-probability trade locations
- Daily key levels plus intraday consolidations refine execution
Execution Plan
- Use daily key levels to frame trade locations
- Find and mark consolidations on intraday charts before expansion
- Identify liquidity grabs (springs and upthrusts) for entry
- Scale into positions before the expansion leg
Objective
The goal remains the same—catch as much of the weekly range as possible.
By refining the process of identifying consolidations before expansions, we can position early and capitalize on the largest moves of the week.
Let’s track how consolidations set up the biggest market moves and refine execution throughout the month.
Do you track consolidations before expansion How do you approach them in your trading?
Sell Limit LoadingGod First
Minimum Risk Maximum Reward
Action Backed Believe
# faith, strategy, and execution all in one #
Gold is overbought.GOLD is in an upward channel.
The indicators hint to overbought.
The chart has created a harmonic pattern.
We foresee a correction.
-------------------
Share your thoughts in the comments section, and show your support by like the proposal. Thank you for your support!
Trade Active
GOLD is in an upward channel between the trendlines.
The price is moving away from dynamic resistance and the channel's upper boundary.
The chart has created a harmonic pattern.
We expect XAUUSD to fall within the channel.
Gold is soaring, has it reached its all-time high?Gold still maintains the trend of bullish structure in the rising channel, and the daily line hits a new record high of 2882, ending the rising streak. The upward trend has expanded to $300 since 2582 on December 19.
From the technical perspective of gold, how much upward space is there in this round of upward trend? When will the trend change? First of all, the daily and weekly RSI indicators are both at a high level close to 80 values. After the weekly chart hit a record high, the price deviated from the MA10 daily moving average, and the price was above the upper track of the Bollinger band. From the weekly and daily charts, as the increase further expands, the upward space is gradually compressed. Pay attention to the high and low after the historical high and the turning of the indicator signal after overbought. Trading ideas: Buy at a low price in the callback, but hold short-term and do not chase high prices. Pay attention to the opportunity of long-term band short at the historical high!
The short-term structure is still relatively obvious, and the strong market is rising unilaterally. The bullish buyers of gold are almost out of control. Is 2900 no longer the target in February? This frequent rise may really reach an unprecedented high of 3,000 at the beginning of 2025!
The current trend of gold is relatively resistant to declines. Without news or data catalysis, the bulls will not take profits and enter the market again for the time being. If it falls today, it will give an opportunity to adjust the low-price buying entry. Today, it is still bullish with 2,850 as the defense point. February is destined to have a historical high. Today, continue yesterday's low-price buying idea!
Key points:
First support: 2860, second support: 2852, third support: 2840
First resistance: 2878, second resistance: 2886, third resistance: 2898
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2851-2854, SL: 2842, TP: 2880-2890;
SELL: 2895-2898, SL: 2907, TP: 2860-2850;
xauusd heading to 3000$?Fundamentals
Gold prices surged for the fifth consecutive day, reaching a historic high of US$2,877 on Wednesday.
The price increased by over 2.5% this week.
Key Drivers:
Weak U.S. Economic Data:
Strengthens the case for the Federal Reserve to consider another interest rate cut.
Trade Tariff Concerns:
Heightened tensions over increased tariffs with major trading partners have further driven gold prices.
Gold Demand Trends (World Gold Council):
Total Demand Growth: Expected to grow 1% YoY in 2024, reaching a record high of 4,974.5 tons.
Value of Demand: Estimated at US$382 billion due to high gold prices and investor interest in safe-haven assets.
Q4 Demand: Achieved a record value of US$111 billion.
Expert Insight:
Louise Street, Senior Market Analyst at the World Gold Council:
"Geopolitical uncertainty remains high, which will always be a factor supporting investment in gold."
Anticipates elevated uncertainties in 2025, with central banks viewing gold as a stable strategic asset.
Technical Analysis
Upcoming Market Movement:
As Chinese traders return from the Lunar New Year holiday, a catch-up rally is expected.
Brief declines or pullbacks may present buying opportunities.
Key Levels to Watch:
Pivot Point (Support):
First Support Level: US$2,831
Next Support Level: US$2,818
Below US$2,800:
US$2,785 (high from January 24)
Weekly Low: US$2,771
Resistance Levels:
First Resistance Level: US$2,869
Next Key Levels: US$2,880, US$2,900
Psychological Barrier: US$3,000
XAUUSD CONTINUATION BULLISHThe whales trap by create sell sentiment first and then push price falling down to shakeout retailers and then them buying the stock at lowest price after price falling down. Why i said the price falling for manipulation because when price falling down with high volume and then not continuing to falling in love and the they buying at the lowest price this reality because im from the futures 3050 years 😊
XAUUSD Gold Short Trade For Swing TradersEvery day, the market sets new highs. According to the study, we should expect a good corrective move in the next days.
We have SL in the last two transactions. We intend to execute a swing sell trade with a risk-reward ratio of 1-10; if this fails, we will proceed with a 1-12 risk-reward ratio.
The market is at a point where a correction should occur, but the outlook for gold remains favorable.
Because the market is already at an all-time high, preparing a long trade now may be riskier, thus in order to be active in long trades this month, we must wait for at least 70-100 points of price correction.
You are all respectfully requested to use proper risk management when following these assessments and executing the suggested trades.
Uptrend in XAUUSD✅ Important areas for today:
🟢 Green resistance lines
2919
2990
2880
2860
🔴 Red support lines
2821
2808
2793
2780
⚠️ Note: Currently, the price is above the blue area (2840) and the prevailing trend for us is currently bullish. The area between 2840 and 2830 is of great importance to us and if this area breaks down, we can see the formation of a downward trend in the price.
The yellow channel price areas (bottom, top and midline of the channel) are of great importance to us
