Daily chart gapThis gap will be closed in a week or two. I am gonna hold buy from now. At least set TP at 3400. We'll see if it goes as planned.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 28
✅ Fundamental Analysis:
🔹 The United States and the European Union have reached a significant trade agreement, setting a unified tariff rate at 15% (previously threatened at 30%). The EU has also pledged to invest an additional $600 billion in the U.S. and to purchase $750 billion worth of American energy and military equipment.
🔹 This agreement has significantly eased trade tensions between the U.S. and EU, boosting market risk appetite and sending U.S. stock markets to new record highs. As a result, capital has shifted away from safe-haven assets like gold, causing gold prices to drop to the $3320 level during the Asian session.
✅ Technical Analysis:
🔸 4-Hour Chart:
Since retreating from the 3438.77 high, gold has formed a clear descending channel. While the current candlestick shows some signs of stabilization near the lower Bollinger Band, the rebound has been weak and has yet to touch the middle band, suggesting the downtrend remains intact.
Moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with the MA5 crossing below the MA10, and price continues to trade below both—indicating ongoing bearish control.
If the price fails to reclaim the MA10 level around 3347, the structure will likely remain bearish, with further downside potential targeting the 3316 and 3309 support levels.
On the upside, the 3365–3380 zone represents key resistance. For the bulls to gain meaningful control, the price must break and hold above this area.
🔸 1-Hour Chart:
The overall trend remains bearish within a weak consolidation phase, with price hovering near the lower Bollinger Band.
Despite several attempts to rebound, gold has repeatedly failed to break above the 3350 level, which now acts as a key resistance line.
The Bollinger Bands have begun to flatten slightly, and if the price cannot hold above the 3345–3350 area, the risk of a renewed drop remains. Focus on the 3320–3317 support zone in the near term.
Overall, recent rebounds appear to be corrective in nature, and the 1-hour bearish structure remains unchanged.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3345–3350 / 3365–3370
🟢 Support Levels: 3330–3325 / 3316–3309
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔻 Short Position Strategy:
🔰Consider entering short positions in batches if gold rebounds to the 3350-3355 area. Target: 3330-3310；If support breaks, the move may extend to 3280.
🔺 Long Position Strategy:
🔰Consider entering long positions in batches if gold pulls back to the 3333-3338 area. Target: 3345-3355；If resistance breaks, the move may extend to 3365.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
GOLD (XAUUSD)GOLD Market Outlook........
📍 Price broke daily trendline and is now retesting it.
📍 You marked a Break of Structure (BOS) — suggesting a shift in direction.
📍 Price is in a consolidation zone (range) with possible accumulation.
What to Expect:
- If price breaks above the range, expect a bullish push upward to the next supply level.
- If it rejects the upper box, it may return to fill imbalance or test previous lows again.
What You Should Do:
1. Wait for breakout confirmation from the consolidation zone.
2. For buys: Enter on a clear break and retest of the upper range box.
3. For sells: If price rejects the top and breaks back below, look for short entries toward support.
Long XAUUSD 2RXAUUSD finish doing the correction now looking toward long. I will consider taking Long on XAUUSD. Vamos !
XAUUSD REBOUNDED FROM CURRENT TRENDLINE. WHAT'S NEXT?XAUUSD REBOUNDED FROM CURRENT TRENDLINE. WHAT'S NEXT?
Gold had successfully rebounded from the trendline, still showing mid-term bullish trend despite recent news on U.S. - E.U. and U.S. - Japan trade deals. Currently price is attempting to hold above the EMA20 on 1-h chart timeframe.
If this occurs and the asset develops another short-term bullish impulse, we may expect the price to reach 3,360.00 resistance level with further possible impulse towards 3,400.00 level.
XAUUSDPrice action trading is a methodology where traders make decisions based on the interpretation of actual price movements on a chart, rather than relying primarily on lagging indicators. It involves observing and analyzing candlestick patterns, trend lines, support and resistance levels, and volume to identify potential trading opportunities and manage risk. The focus is on understanding the story the market is telling through its price behavior.
XAUUSD - Scalping ideaPrice is stuck in a range between 3348.90 and 3324.87.
📌 Looking for a clean breakout to take action:
Buy above 3348.90 → Targeting 3354.09
Sell below 3324.87 → Targeting 3319.15
Not interested in any trades inside the range only jumping in once we break out and close outside either level. Waiting for confirmation to avoid getting chopped up.
Let’s see where it goes. 📉📈
No rush, just reacting.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 28th July 2025)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Notes:
- Price gap down and filled up the gap
- Looking for price to tap 0.618 fib level
- Potential BUY if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
KEMANA GOLD KEDEPAN NYA ?📊 Technical Analysis – XAUUSD (July 28, 2025)
Elliott Wave Structure – Triangle (ABCDE):
The chart clearly shows a contracting triangle pattern (ABCDE), which commonly appears during corrective waves (usually Wave 4 or Wave B in a larger degree).
Currently, price seems to have just completed Wave E, and it's showing early signs of a bounce from the triangle's lower support.
If this wave count is valid, we could expect a bullish breakout soon, continuing the previous trend (most likely upward if this is part of Wave (5)).
🧭 Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Triangle Support (Wave E area):
Around $3,325 – $3,336 (price is currently testing this zone)
Potential Bullish Targets (if breakout occurs):
🎯 $3,374
🎯 $3,414
🎯 $3,498 – $3,500 (major resistance zone / Wave 5 target)
🧠 Fundamental Outlook Supporting Gold (Forward-Looking)
✅ Bullish Drivers:
Fed Rate Cut Expectations (Late 2025):
Slowing inflation → Rate cuts expected → Positive for gold.
Weaker US Dollar:
A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for international buyers → Bullish.
Global Geopolitical Tensions:
Rising uncertainty supports gold as a safe haven asset.
⚠️ Bearish Risks:
Strong US economic data (e.g., NFP beats or rising inflation) could lead to the Fed staying hawkish → Negative for gold.
If price breaks below triangle support ($3,325), the triangle structure would be invalidated and a larger correction could unfold.
📝 Summary & Trading Strategy:
Direction Entry Area Stop Loss TP 1 TP 2 TP 3
✅ Buy (preferred) $3,330 – $3,336 Below $3,310 $3,374 $3,414 $3,498–$3,500
❌ Sell (if breakdown) Below $3,320 Above $3,340 $3,265 $3,245 $3,118
XAUUSD about to trade downwardsToo many tries on the higher high created by Gold that have failed , now the price has broken a treblndline from months back signalling a bearish move down to 3000 with few breaks to lead it there if the dollar doent slip, which the decline might take up to November according to how I see the pattern formations
Gold – Range Break Incoming?Gold is still locked in a broad range, but recent price action suggests a possible breakdown. A break below the double bottom opens the door for a move toward the range midpoint.
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 7/27/2025My last week's weekly post is still valid at this moment.
I was expecting heavy drop for gold last week. However, the market doesn't follow my instruction. Rather we have to react to whatever it provides. Gold rose at the first few days and gave a false break. It quickly dropped back down below 3365 and closed the week with a red candle.
This false break signals a strong momentum towards downside. I am still expecting price to touch at least 3255 this month or even 3180.
Next week my main strategy is selling. Let's see what the market will give us next week.
Gold is weak. Will it explode next week?Gold prices failed to stabilize above $3,400 after a bullish breakout this week. The technical outlook highlights the recent indecision of gold bulls.
In the first two trading days of this week, spot gold prices rose by 2.4%, but the cumulative decline in the last three trading days of this week reached nearly 3%. The sharp fluctuations this week were due to the positive progress in Trump's trade negotiations, and the rebound in market risk appetite, which hit the safe-haven demand for gold.
Looking at next week, the economic calendar will provide several high-impact data releases. The Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision after the policy meeting on July 29-30; the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July employment report; and some important news such as the US-China trade negotiations may trigger the next major move for gold.
From a technical perspective, the current market short-term technical outlook highlights the hesitation of gold buyers. The daily chart shows that the RSI is still slightly below 50, and gold prices have difficulty staying away from the 20-day and 50-day MAs after breaking through these two levels earlier this week.
On the upside, 3450 constitutes the first resistance for gold prices. If it breaks through this resistance, gold prices will most likely hit the 3400 integer mark again.
On the downside, if gold prices remain below 3340, technical sellers may still be interested. In this case, 3310 can serve as the first support level, followed by the second support level near 3285.
A new week is about to begin, and I wish all traders good luck.
Daily Time frame Structure setAs you can see gold is moving in a channel in daily time frame so according to me next move will be till protected order block i.e 3382-3388 and after that big fall expected and if any candle close above 3384 then 3451 is the next target for gold.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish & Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Accurate Bullish Reversal : 3380
🩸 Accurate Bearish Reversal : 3314.5
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
gold on third pattern breakout#XAUUSD have multiple test the third pattern, now price forming needs to breakout the 3308 before any further movement.
Buy entry 3301.4, TP 3308-3323.
Below 3291 holds a very strong bearish continuation, if breakout price will fall till 3269
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 1, 2025
Yesterday's trading session, gold prices recovered to the 3315 area and then continued to decrease to the 3281 area. Currently, gold prices are fluctuating quite unpredictably due to the impact of tariff news and investor confidence.
Basic news: The Federal Reserve FED continues to maintain the federal funds benchmark interest rate in the range of 4.25% - 4.50%, in line with policy since 2025. Chairman Powell did not give any signal about the next interest rate cut on September 16 - 17.
Technical analysis: After falling sharply to the 3269 area, gold prices are showing signs of recovery. In the current downtrend channel, there has been a higher bottom than the bottom at H1. We can see that if the bullish pattern at H1 is confirmed, combined with the reversal candlestick appearing at H4, the possibility of gold bouncing back to reach the resistance area of 3330, even 3350 is completely possible. In the weekend trading session, we will wait at the support zones to trade.
Important price zones today: 3280 - 3285 and 3269 - 3274.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3283 - 3285
SL 3280
TP 3288 - 3300 - 3310 - 3330.
Plan 2: BUY XAUSD zone 3269 - 3271
SL 3266
TP 3274 - 3284 - 3300 - 3320.
Wish you a safe, favorable and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
XAU/USD 01 August 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Technical Analysis of Gold Chart (XAU/USD) – 4-Hour TimeframeTechnical Analysis of Gold Chart (XAU/USD) – 4-Hour Timeframe
Following the heavy selling pressure seen in recent days, the price of gold has now reached a zone that has repeatedly shown reactions in the past. This green-colored support area can currently play a decisive role in the market’s next move.
Price Movement Outlook:
Scenario 1 – Bullish Correction Move:
If buyers manage to take control of the market in this zone, it is expected that gold will gradually pass through intermediate resistance levels and first enter the medium-term resistance area. If momentum is maintained, the price could then move toward higher highs. This move can be interpreted as a technical correction against the recent bearish wave and may attract short-term traders until reaching strong supply zones.
Scenario 2 – Continuation of the Downtrend:
Conversely, a confirmed break of this support with high volume and strong bearish candles could lead to a further decline in price toward previous lows. In this case, the blue-colored area at the lowest part of the chart would serve as the next demand zone.
Key Point:
The market is currently in a decision-making phase. Confirmation of reactions at this support area is extremely important in determining the market’s future direction. Therefore, entering the market prematurely without waiting for confirmation of price behavior could involve high risk.
Gold: final pullback or bull trap?On the 1H chart, gold (GOLD) is forming a bullish flag after a sharp decline, which may just be a corrective move within a broader downtrend. The price is now approaching the key resistance zone around $3313–$3317 - this area holds the POC, broken trendline, and the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci retracement from the last drop. This is the decision-making zone.
If bulls fail to push above it, we expect a move down toward $3268 - the next strong support and potential buy zone, also confirmed by Fibonacci and local demand. Stochastic divergence and slowing volume suggest a possible rebound from that level. However, if the price breaks and holds above $3317, this would indicate a local trend reversal, with targets at $3333 and $3374.
Watch the $3317 zone closely - bulls have yet to prove this is more than just a bounce.
Interest rates unchanged, sticking to my bearish idea.Look at my other posts and you''ll understand as to why, I was telling everyone to sell. There was a small sellers trap, we pushed up, at that moment I already had closed my positions. Now we go down to the other key levels. I'm done till the end of August. Will still post my setups, but won't take any trades. Stay safe and keep your funds safe. Hella Love!
GOLD (XAUUSD) Wave analysis Weekly - 30/7/2025 (Scenario 1)GOLD (XAUUSD) Wave analysis Weekly - 30/7/2025 (Scenario 1)
