XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold has continued its rally, breaking through the 3,416 resistance and pushing into the next upside zone.
Price is now trading around 3,421, just below the 3,440 resistance cluster.
The structure remains bullish with price holding firmly above both the 50MA and 200MA, which are acting as dynamic support.
A confirmed break and hold above 3,440 would open the path toward 3,458 and potentially the higher‑timeframe target at 3,478 if momentum extends.
If price fails to sustain above 3,416–3,440 and begins to fade, watch the initial pullback toward 3,400.
A deeper move below that would shift focus to 3,383 - 3,362 and then the Pullback Support Zone.
Failure to hold there could expose price to the lower Support Zone if bearish pressure builds.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ 3,440
‣ 3,458
‣ 3,478
Support:
‣ 3,416
‣ 3,400
‣ 3,383
‣ 3,362
‣ 3,336
🔎 Fundamental Focus
⚠️Not much on the calendar today. Still, manage your risk and stay prepared for any unexpected volatility.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4‑Hour Technical Analysis: July 23, 2025Gold continues to trade in a bullish structure on the 4‑hour timeframe, holding above $3,420 after a steady advance from early July lows. At the time of writing, XAU/USD stands at $3,423.8, confirmed by Investing.com. This analysis employs a comprehensive blend of globally‑recognized technical tools — ranging from price action and classical indicators to institutional concepts — to identify the most probable trading zones and a high‑conviction setup.
Current Price Structure and Trend
On the 4‑hour chart, gold maintains a clear bullish market structure, consistently printing higher highs and higher lows since early July. The current price action unfolds within a well‑defined rising channel, bounded approximately between $3,400 on the lower side and $3,450 on the upper. Twice in the past week, price has tested and respected the channel’s lower boundary, confirming its validity.
Support and resistance levels are evident: immediate support lies at $3,410, coinciding with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July impulse wave. Below that, $3,390–$3,395 offers secondary support at the channel’s base and a longer‑term Fibonacci cluster. Resistance is concentrated at $3,445–$3,450, aligning with the channel top, upper Bollinger Band, and prior swing highs, while a secondary ceiling may emerge near $3,468–$3,470, corresponding to an Elliott Wave 3 extension target.
Candlestick, Volume, and Momentum
Recent price action has been supported by bullish candlestick formations. Notably, a strong bullish engulfing bar formed at $3,410 earlier this week, affirming institutional demand at that level. Volume profile analysis shows the heaviest transaction cluster between $3,410–$3,420, confirming this area as a smart money accumulation zone.
Volume‑weighted average price (VWAP ) currently runs near $3,418, with price holding above it, reflecting institutional positioning in favor of the bulls. Momentum indicators support the trend: MACD on the 4‑hour has just crossed bullish, RSI prints at 60 — strong but not overbought — and ADX climbs to 24, indicating a trend strengthening phase.
Indicators, Patterns, and Institutional Concepts
Trend indicators reinforce the bullish view. The 50‑ and 100‑period exponential moving averages converge around $3,415–$3,420, providing dynamic support. Ichimoku analysis shows price well above the Kumo (cloud), with a bullish Tenkan‑Kijun configuration. Bollinger Bands are widening, and price is leaning toward the upper band — a classic signal of volatility expansion in trend direction.
Classical and harmonic patterns offer further evidence. The current consolidation resembles a bull flag, suggesting continuation. Elliott Wave analysis points to a third wave in progress, with an upside projection into the $3,448–$3,468 area. Smart money concepts confirm that the recent break above $3,420 constituted a bullish break of structure (BOS), with price now retracing into a favorable gap (FVG) and a 4‑hour bullish order block anchored around $3,410–$3,415.
Liquidity and stop‑clusters likely sit above $3,445 and $3,468, making these logical targets for bullish campaigns.
Market Context and Sentiment
Gold is benefiting from a softening US dollar and a drop in volatility indexes. Seasonal tendencies also lean bullish into late summer. Sentiment on professional platforms aligns with this view: TradingView top authors and FXStreet analysts favor buying pullbacks into $3,410–$3,415 and targeting $3,450–$3,468, which harmonizes with this analysis. No major divergence from consensus is noted, adding to confidence.
Identified Trading Zones
Two strong buy zones emerge on the 4‑hour chart. The most immediate and highest‑confidence zone is $3,410–$3,415, supported by channel support, Fibonacci retracement, VWAP, moving averages, and an order block. Below this lies a secondary buy zone at $3,390–$3,395, tied to deeper Fibonacci support and the rising channel’s lower boundary.
On the other hand, clear sell zones are defined at $3,445–$3,450, where upper channel resistance, Bollinger bands, and prior highs converge, and a secondary zone at $3,468–$3,470, aligned with wave targets and round‑number psychological resistance. These areas are likely to attract profit‑taking and potential reversals.
The Golden Setup
Among the findings, one trade stands out as the highest‑conviction setup:
A long position at $3,415, with a stop loss at $3,405 and a take profit at $3,450.
This trade is backed by strong confluence: price pulling back into a well‑defined demand zone ($3,410–$3,415) that features order block support, Fibonacci retracement, VWAP alignment, EMA cluster support, and a rising channel boundary. The target sits just below the first significant resistance band ($3,445–$3,450), offering a favorable risk‑to‑reward ratio. The confidence level on this setup is rated at 8/10, given the multi‑method alignment and consistent sentiment from professional sources.
Summary Table
Category Levels / Details
Buy Zones $3,410–$3,415, $3,390–$3,395
Sell Zones $3,445–$3,450, $3,468–$3,470
Golden Setup Long @ $3,415 / SL $3,405 / TP $3,450 (Confidence: 8/10)
In conclusion, gold maintains a constructive technical outlook on the 4‑hour timeframe. The prevailing bullish structure, reinforced by classical and institutional methodologies, supports a continuation toward the $3,450–$3,468 region. The suggested Golden Setup provides a disciplined, high‑probability entry at a key inflection zone, consistent with both technical evidence and prevailing market sentiment.
Gold is under pressure. Can it break through?Since the "W bottom" pattern was formed at the low of 3344 US dollars, the gold price broke through the neckline of 3380 and further stabilized at 3400 today, confirming the continuation of the medium-term upward trend. The moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, with the 5-day, 10-day and 20-day moving averages diverging upward in turn, and the support strength is stable.
The MACD indicator golden cross continues to expand, the upward momentum is enhanced, and no divergence occurs; the RSI indicator rises to around 76. Although it enters the overbought range, there is no obvious turn, indicating that the bullish momentum is still being released.
The current support level has risen to around 3390, and the support level has risen sharply. The resistance position needs to pay attention to 3430-3440. At present, several times have tested above 3430, but they have not stabilized above this position.
Operation suggestions:
3390-3400 light position to try more, stop loss 3360, profit range 3435-3445.
If it encounters resistance and falls back near 3435, you can consider short-term short orders with stop loss at 3445 and profit range at 3400-3380.
Although the upward momentum continues, some risk information still needs to be paid attention to; this week, we need to pay attention to the US June existing home sales data (July 23), the preliminary value of the second quarter GDP (July 25) and the core PCE price index (July 26). If the data is stronger than expected, it may trigger expectations of interest rate cuts.
Gold technical analysis and operation strategyGold technical analysis and operation strategy
Market review and current trend
Gold fell from $3402 as expected in the morning trading today. After the price rose in resonance in the evening, it chased more again at 3397.8. The current gold price has broken through the short-term acceleration line. The key resistance above is at $3420 (the pressure of the convergent triangle trend line). If it is touched for the first time, you can try shorting. The support below focuses on 3400-3405. After stabilization, it is still bullish. Breaking through 3420 is expected to challenge the previous high of 3452.
Key driving factors of fundamentals
Fed policy expectations: The market focuses on the speech of Fed Chairman Powell at 20:30 tonight. If he releases dovish signals (such as hinting at a rate cut), it may boost gold; if he maintains a hawkish stance, gold prices may be under pressure by 37.
Geopolitical and trade risks:
The escalation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has boosted safe-haven demand, and gold open interest has surged by 23%5.
As trade frictions between Europe and the United States intensify, the EU may impose retaliatory tariffs of $72 billion on the United States, exacerbating market volatility6.
US dollar and US Treasury yields: The US dollar index fell below 98, and the 10-year US Treasury yield fell back below 2%, reducing the cost of holding gold and supporting the gold price of 610.
Key points of technical analysis
Support level:
3400-3405 (short-term long-short watershed)
3385 (today's low, key defensive position)
3360-3350 (daily moving average support) 18
Resistance level:
3420 (convergent triangle upper track, short short for the first time)
3452 (previous high pressure, may accelerate upward after breaking through) 10
Operation strategy
Short-term short order: first touch 3430 light position short, stop loss 3438, target 3415-3410.
Pullback long: 3410-3405 stabilizes and then long, stop loss 3395, target 3430, break to see 3430-3452.
Breakout strategy: If it stands firm at 3420, you can follow up with long orders, with the target being 810 above 3450.
Risk warning
Powell's speech may cause violent fluctuations. It is recommended to control positions and avoid heavy positions in the data market.
If it falls below 3385, the short-term bullish structure may be destroyed, and we need to be vigilant about further corrections to 3360-3350.
Gold Bulls Back in Control as Trump Pressures Fed for Rate CutsHey Realistic Traders!
President Trump is ramping up pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates , saying the U.S. is falling behind countries with looser policies. As several Fed officials begin to shift their stance, expectations for rate cuts are growing. That’s putting pressure on the dollar and giving gold a fresh boost.
We’ll take a closer look at what this means for OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) through technical analysis and explore its upside potential.
Technical Analysis
On the 4-hour chart, Gold has moved above the EMA-200, signaling a shift in momentum to the upside. Price has also broken out of a Descending Broadening Wedge (DBW) pattern, which often indicates the start of a bullish trend.
The breakout was confirmed by a Bullish Marubozu candle, reflecting strong buying pressure. To add further confirmation, the MACD has formed a bullish crossover, reinforcing the upward momentum.
Looking ahead, the first target is seen at 3417. If reached, a minor pullback toward the historical resistance zone (green area) may occur, with a potential continuation toward the second target at 3500.
This bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the stop-loss level at 3271 . A break below this level would invalidate the setup and shift the outlook back to neutral.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on XAUUSD.
Don't chase the bullish trend,wait for the short position layout#XAUUSD
The tariff policy recently announced by the US government is undoubtedly the focus of the current gold market. Trump also tied the tariffs to the trial of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, adding to policy uncertainty. ⚖️
The implementation of the tariff policy may push up commodity prices, thereby exacerbating inflationary pressure, which is both an opportunity and a challenge for gold📊. On the one hand, rising inflation expectations may enhance the attractiveness of gold as an anti-inflation asset; on the other hand, the strengthening of the US dollar and US Treasury yields may offset this positive. 💡
At present, the lower support has moved up to the 3375-3365 area, where a top-bottom conversion position will be formed. The upper short-term resistance level is 3387-3393, the previous high. If the market touches this for the first time, you can try to see a double top fall.
🚀SELL 3385-3390
🚀TP 3365-3355
XAUUSD
XAUUSD Updated in 15M :
The gold signal is marked on the chart based on the latest price changes and the supply and demand in the market. These points include the entry point, stop loss, and take profit
7.22 London Gold Market Analysis and Operation SuggestionsFrom the market perspective, the trend suppression line from the historical high of 3500 to the secondary high of 3452 has moved over time and is now around 3420, which can be used as an important resistance level reference for this week; the previous resistance level of 3376 can be converted into support after breaking through. For intraday short-term operations, focus on this range of callbacks and go long, wait for the key resistance level to be touched before going short, or see if there is an opportunity to arrange a mid-term short order based on the real-time trend.
Specific intraday operation ideas:
①. When the gold price falls back to around 3380, participate in long orders and call, protect the position of 3374, and first look at the position of 3402, the high point on Monday;
②. After yesterday's high point breaks, wait for a correction to around 3395 to continue to participate in long orders and call, protect the position of 3388, and look at the key suppression level of 3420;
③. (Aggressive orders, for those who are afraid of missing out) If you are short or have enough positions, you can first participate in long orders with a light position at the current price of 3388, and wait for 3380 to increase your position, and the target is the same as above.
XAUUSD(GOLD) Triangle pattern formation I can see triangle pattern formation in gold. I am waiting for brakeout above the supportzone in Daily TF and 4H TF.
Can gold continue to fall slowly sideways? Focus on the 3375 wat
On Tuesday, spot gold fell back mildly after yesterday's surge. The current gold price is around $3,384/ounce. Spot gold prices surged more than 1% on Monday and hit a five-week high. The main reason was that the US dollar and US bond yields plummeted, and investors were uneasy about the approaching deadline for tariff negotiations on August 1. The market is facing various uncertainties, which does provide support for gold.
Views on today's gold trend!
After more than a month of volatile trends, gold once again broke through the integer mark of 3,400 on the first trading day of this week. Under the current bullish sentiment of creating a new high, the previous short-term downward trend ended. From the daily chart, gold is still in an upward trend in the long term. The previous market rebounded effectively after touching the downward trend line, and the rebound force was considerable. With the restart of the bullish force, the main idea can carry the trend and buy on dips.
From the 4-hour chart, the continuous rise of gold and the turning of the moving average have made the market bulls more aggressive, which means that the previous short-term downward trend has ended. At present, a new trend is opening up in the 4-hour chart. The rise of gold has also established an upward trend line. You can consider buying on dips against the 3375 watershed.
Gold: Buy near 3375, defend 65, and target 3405-3410!
Bearish ContinuationOn a daily Overview,buyside liquidity has been taken out and then structure broken to the downside, price has retraced back to the premium price
Survive first. Thrive later.🧠 Trading Psychology x Risk Management
"If you can't survive being wrong, you don't deserve to be right."
💬 A calm chart…
A ruthless truth.
Most traders obsess over being right.
But the market only rewards those who manage being wrong.
Risk control isn’t just technical — it’s emotional.
Survive first. Thrive later.
— MJTrading
Psychology Always Matters:
Click on them for notes in the caption...
#MJTrading #ChartDesigner #TradingPsychology #RiskManagement #MindfulTrading #CapitalPreservation #SmartMoney #XAUUSD #ForexDiscipline #15minChart #GoldAnalysis #MentalEdge #Gold
Gold 22 July 2025 updateGood afternoon, update to last week's post of 21 July on gold, which worked yesterday, new zone to buy, the chart shows everything in detail, so today with the message "brevity is the sister of talent"
#GOLD
BUY LIMIT ZONE 3365-3370
🎯 TP1: 3385
🎯 TP2: 3400
🎯 TP3: 3412
🎯 TP3: 3428
⛔️ Stop loss: 3355
Regards, Totoshka™
XAUUSD 15m trade possibilitty 7/21/25This is what I'm looking at for the short term after the recent rally.
I'm targeting the green area for buys because that was the last consolidation and breakout zone.
Leg 2 in Progress? | All Eyes on the Possible EDGE around 3400💡 GOLD 4H – MJTrading:
After forming a clean Leg 1 followed by a technical pullback into support, Gold has initiated Leg 2, pushing upward toward the next possible EDGE: 3400.
🟠 Why 3400 Matters
This zone is not just a round number:
It aligns with the long-term downtrend coming from the ATH (3500)
It’s the last reaction high before a deeper correction
There’s likely liquidity resting above — it’s where smart money may make decisions
This is where structure and psychology meet.
And end of 2 possible 2nd leg...
🔄 Possible Scenarios:
🟥 Scenario A – Rejection from the Edge (if could reach):
A reaction from this zone could lead to a pullback toward:
1st Support around 3340-3360
2nd Support near 3250 (also the uptrend line from 3000)
Use these zones to reassess momentum.
🟩 Scenario B – Breakout Above 3400:
A clean break above this structural edge opens the path for:
An “Edge to Edge” move back toward ATH (3500)
Possible higher timeframe trend shift — especially if retest holds
🧠 Our Strategy
We’re long-biased into the edge, not beyond it yet.
Let 3400 show its hand — we stay adaptive, not predictive.
🔍 This chart is intentionally detailed — it's built to educate, not just signal.
Focus on structure, sequence, and behavior — not just levels.
Lets Zoom in around the Breakout area...
And a Zoomout to Daily...
🧭 “If the structure speaks to you, let it echo.”
– MJTrading 🚀
📍#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartDesigner #MJTrading #MarketStructure #ForexIdeas #Edge
XAUUSD - BUY to SELL CONT.DI'm in on the BUY, waiting patiently to take the SELL only with confirmation
Gold----Sell near 3326, target 3300-3280Gold market analysis:
The recent gold daily line is still weak. It rebounded yesterday and fell again. It has touched the strong support of the weekly line. Today's idea is still bearish. Consider continuing to sell it if it rebounds. It is estimated that it will be repaired if there is support at 3300. The daily line was a cross star yesterday, and the upper shadow line was very long. The daily moving average suppression position was also around 3345, and the suppression position of the pattern was also around 3350. Today, the price is below 3345. We insist on being bearish. This week is a data week. The subsequent trend depends on the release of data. If the data is not strong and the weekly selling signal is added, it is very likely that gold will enter the 3200 era. After the weekly line breaks 3280, it basically opens up the weekly line's downward space, and will start a deep decline in the later period. In the Asian session of gold, we pay attention to the suppression of 3326. This position is the indicator suppression and the small suppression of the pattern. Consider selling it near this position. If it stands above 3326, don't sell it. The repair range will be 3345. Consider selling it at 3345. If the US market cannot break 3300, we should consider whether it will rebound. On the contrary, if it breaks 3300 directly in the Asian market, we should consider selling it directly.
Support 3300 and 3280, suppress 3326 and 3345, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3326.
Fundamental analysis:
This Monday and Tuesday are relatively quiet, and the big data will be released one by one starting from Wednesday.
Operation suggestion:
Gold----Sell near 3326, target 3300-3280
Gold setupGold us just broken to the downside from the previous uptrend and now we expect the prices to continue pushing towards the downside. the prices are likely to reject from the the current order block but if not, they will probably do on the smaller upper order block as you can see via the analysis
XAUUSD approaches a strong buy zoneGold is approaching a strong buy area. Aggressive traders set pending orders whereas cautious ones wait for some confirmation signals in the range of such zones. I expect buyers to push price back up for atleast half day today Follow risk management to enjoy your trading journey.
Target1 3374
BUY TRADE SETUP ON XAUUSDA Quick Trade setup on Gold for Gold traders who are crazy about Gold!
Swing Trade.
Check it out!
Gold analysis Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis
Date: July 28, 2025
Market Context
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $3,313.01, showing a modest gain of +0.32% on the day. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) perspective, price action is now positioned at a high-probability demand zone, presenting an attractive opportunity for long positions.
Key Technical Observations
Liquidity Grab at $3,308
Price has recently swept the liquidity resting below $3,308, indicating the possible completion of a stop-hunt move orchestrated by institutional players. This move created an ideal setup for a bullish reversal from a zone where weak longs have been shaken out.
Discounted Price Zone (89% Fibonacci)
The market has retraced deeply into a discounted region, reaching the 89% Fibonacci retracement level of the most recent bullish leg. This zone coincides with a previously identified demand block, enhancing the confluence for potential bullish continuation.
Market Structure & Order Blocks
The current structure shows a bullish intent with price revisiting a bullish order block that previously led to a strong rally. The reaction from this block is key—holding above $3,300 would confirm buyers stepping in with conviction.
Internal Liquidity Void (Imbalance)
A visible inefficiency (price imbalance) exists between $3,345 and $3,398, acting as a magnet for price in the short-to-mid term. This inefficiency aligns perfectly with SMC principles that favor price filling these voids.
Bullish Targets
If price holds and confirms bullish intent from the current zone, we expect a move toward the following key levels:
Target 1: $3,345
This is the midpoint of a previous consolidation range and also lies just above the 50% Fibonacci level.
It also aligns with a minor supply area and could serve as a first TP level.
Target 2: $3,398
This is the upper bound of a key supply zone that previously initiated a strong sell-off.
It coincides with the 0.00% Fib retracement, marking the origin of the most recent bearish leg.
