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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

Bearish direction remains unchanged, wait patiently Since the sharp drop in gold last Monday (June 16), except for the correction of closing the cross positive line last Tuesday, the daily level has closed five consecutive negative lines since last Wednesday until now, fully demonstrating the weak characteristics of gold prices in recent trading. From the technical indicators, the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average have formed a dead cross, which is an important signal of the weakening of the short-term market trend. The current gold price continues to run below these two moving averages, further verifying the current market situation where the shorts dominate. There is still no big fluctuation in the intraday, short positions are patiently waiting, and the operation still maintains our target of 3310-3305 unchanged.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by jiqeu1
Eyes on Powell testimony H4 Timeframe Analysis Gold is currently holding the falling wedge pattern on H1 & H4 now market is range of 3290-3335 structural support. What's possible scanarios we have? As we have seen market rejected multiple times today at 3335 and still on downside. if H4 remains belo6 3330-3335 then keep your eyes at 3305 then 3290 milestone. On the otherhand if The H4 candle closes above 3335 buyying will be rapture and market will tap the Volume Gap at 3365 then 3380. Additional TIP: Above 3335 keep buy Below 3325 keep sell #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
Extra infoGeopolitical Gold Risk: EU Alarmed Over U.S. Custodianship Rising geopolitical volatility and former President Trump’s escalating rhetoric against the U.S. Federal Reserve have sparked renewed European concerns over national gold reserves stored in the U.S., especially in Germany and Italy. Both nations hold the second and third-largest gold reserves globally (3,352 and 2,452 tonnes respectively), with a significant portion—over $245 billion in total—custodied at the New York Fed. Lawmakers and public advocacy groups across the political spectrum in both countries are urging repatriation of gold to domestic vaults, citing Trump’s erratic policy stances and potential interference with central bank independence. The Bundesbank continues to defend New York's strategic value, while Italy remains silent. A growing number of central banks globally are reportedly shifting or planning to shift gold home as a precautionary move. Japan’s Political Shifts: LDP Faces Voter Blowback Over Inflation Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) suffered a historic electoral defeat in Tokyo’s local assembly elections, signaling growing voter discontent over surging food prices and stagnant wages. The LDP lost 8 of its 30 seats, surrendering its top position to Governor Yuriko Koike’s regional party, Tomin First. With upper house elections on July 20, this loss raises risks of further political fragmentation. The populist right-wing Sanseito party gained seats for the first time, showcasing a shift toward fringe movements. PM Ishiba’s government also faces diplomatic and economic pressure as Trump threatens tariffs on Japanese imports. Tokyo’s results act as a warning sign that inflation and trade anxieties are materially influencing voter behavior. U.S.-Korea Defence Diplomacy: Rolls-Royce Eyes GE Replacement As South Korea reassesses its KF-21 fighter jet engine partner, UK officials are lobbying aggressively for Rolls-Royce to replace GE Aerospace, citing U.S. export restrictions that limit Seoul’s ability to sell jets internationally. The KF-21’s export prospects to Indonesia and the UAE are reportedly at risk due to American national security clauses. Rolls-Royce proposes a joint development model to de-risk the engine program. However, entrenched U.S.–Korea defense ties, including Hanwha’s integration with U.S. military platforms, complicate this pivot. The U.K. seeks not only defense industrial collaboration but strategic geopolitical alignment with Seoul as a hedge against U.S. protectionism. Energy Sector on Edge: Majors Withdraw Staff Amid Escalation Risks European energy giants BP, TotalEnergies, and Eni have begun evacuating foreign staff from Iraqi fields, citing risk of Iranian retaliation after U.S. strikes on Tehran’s nuclear facilities. Operations remain intact, but local authorities confirm precautionary withdrawals, with Total reportedly pulling 60% of its expats. Rumaila, Zubair, and southern Iraqi fields are proximate to Iranian territory and vulnerable to missile or proxy militia attacks. Analysts caution that Iran could exploit asymmetric tactics via regional militias, threatening key infrastructure without directly engaging U.S. forces. Shell, also present via Basra Gas, declined comment. The withdrawal underscores the fragile security balance as military posturing continues to escalate. Oil Markets Volatile: Trump Demands Surge in U.S. Production Following Brent crude’s spike to $81.40 and a subsequent intraday fall to $76.90, President Trump urged the Department of Energy to “DRILL, BABY, DRILL!!!” to stabilize prices. His public messaging emphasizes a fear that elevated oil costs play into enemy strategies, pressuring energy firms and OPEC+ to expand output. So far, Middle East supply has not been disrupted, and no damage to the Strait of Hormuz—which handles 21 million barrels/day—has been recorded. However, analysts from S&P, SEB, and RBC warn of continued upside risk if Iran or its proxies target tankers, refineries, or pipelines. Several tankers have already changed course or anchored to avoid chokepoints, signaling preemptive market caution. Financial Markets and Central Bank Tensions Trump’s repeated interventions into Fed policy, combined with tariff-driven inflation concerns, have created a highly politicized environment for monetary policy. He has publicly demanded immediate rate cuts to 1–2%, pressuring Powell amid signs of internal division among Fed governors. With inflation nearing the Fed's 2% target but geopolitical risks rising, Powell must testify to Congress this week and defend the institution's independence. A shift in Fed leadership post-2026 under a Trump administration may fundamentally reshape U.S. monetary credibility if dovish, politically loyal appointees take over. European Fixed Income Competition: Vanguard Cuts Fees As competition heats up in Europe’s bond ETF market, Vanguard has slashed fees on 7 of its 15 European fixed income ETFs. The changes reduce average expense ratios to 0.11%, part of a broader push to gain share from leaders like BlackRock and State Street. This move aligns with Vanguard’s U.S. fee overhaul earlier this year, aimed at democratizing access to fixed income. European investors increasingly demand lower-cost bond solutions as the bond market now exceeds equities in size, yet remains more opaque and less efficient. The fee cut should help catalyze inflows from cost-sensit
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
Gold remains weak and is expected to fall below 3,300 Gold fell today due to the news of a comprehensive ceasefire in the Iran-Israel conflict. In addition, as Fed officials claimed that there was no need to cut interest rates at present, expectations of interest rate cuts fell, the dollar strengthened, and gold was under pressure. In the short term, it may continue to fall and further test 3291 to 3285. Therefore, today we should continue to operate short, pay attention to 3336-38 to suppress shorts, defend 3346, and look at 3300/3285 support. Gold short-term trading: short near 3336, stop loss 3346, take profit 3300
TVC:GOLDShort
by jiqeu1
Gold is bouncing from support.. Time frame m30🔍 1. Trend Analysis Past Trend: From June 10 to around June 14, the price was in a strong uptrend, moving within an ascending channel (highlighted in red and blue). After mid-June, the trend reversed into a downtrend within a descending channel (also shown in blue). Current Position: Price is now breaking out of the descending channel, potentially signaling a trend reversal or short-term recovery. --- 📈 Support and Resistance Levels Key Resistance Levels: 3,347.944 – Intermediate resistance. 3,373.423 – Major short-term resistance and target zone. Key Support Levels: 3,306.252 – Immediate support below current price. 3,275.459 – Strong support zone (highlighted in red), price bounced here multiple times. --- 📉 Pattern Observations Reversal Pattern: The recent bounce from 3,275–3,280 region, with rounded bottoms and breakout from the falling channel, suggests a potential bullish reversal. Fibonacci Retracement: A retracement level around 0.8279 appears on the chart, indicating that the price has retraced deeply from a recent swing high—another bullish indicator. --- 📊 Projection and Trading Outlook Bullish Scenario (as shown by the arrows on the chart): If the price holds above 3,306.252, it may move toward: Target 1: 3,347.944 Target 2: 3,373.423 These are marked in blue boxes on the chart. Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold above 3,306.252 and breaks down again: Next support is at 3,275.459 (major demand zone). A breakdown below this zone could signal further downside. --- 🧠 Market Sentiment & Cues Multiple Touchpoints (Orange Circles): Suggest validity of both uptrend and downtrend channels. Volume Missing: No volume data is present, which would help confirm the breakout’s strength. Risk Events (Flag icons): These may indicate upcoming US economic events, which could bring volatility. --- ✅ Conclusion Neutral-to-Bullish Bias short term, especially if price holds above 3,306. Watch for confirmation above 3,347 for further upside. Risk increases if price drops back into the red demand zone (< 3,275).
TVC:GOLD
by Olivia_Magnam44
XAU / USD 2 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Tuesday. I got up in the middle of the night and as I take a look at gold's progress with the overnight sessions, I have marked my current area of interest for potential scalp trades in either direction. I will be waiting for Pre NY volume to come in to see if we correct any moves made during the Asian and London sessions. Big G gets all my thanks. Let's see how the next current 2 hour and 4 hour candle's close. Be well and trade the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
Gold prices are gathering momentumThe key position of the four-hour gold chart dominates the short-term rhythm. At present, the 3300 resistance has completed the transformation to support, and the price remains stable above this position to maintain a short-term bullish pattern. The hourly chart shows that after a strong overnight close, the previous high has been broken in the morning session today. The gold price is expected to continue the offensive and test the core resistance area of ​​3360 at the daily level. The operation strategy is mainly to do more on the callback, focusing on the pressure performance after the price is above 3360. If a reversal K-line pattern appears, a short position can be arranged. Losing the 3300 support indicates the risk of a trend reversal. Focus on the two-way breakthrough signal of the 3300 support band and the 3360 resistance range during the day
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by JoyLouise53
XAU/USD 01 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD Bulls Winning ! 560 Pips and Still Aiming for +2500 Pips ! 📊 GOLD XAU/USD — Trendline Play in Action! My plan from yesterday played out perfectly: price bounced from $3274 to $3334 — that’s +560 Pips banked so far! 💙 But this is only the start of the bigger move — I’m still targeting a 2500 Pips upside on this bullish leg. ✅ Technical Bias: Price is respecting the main ascending trendline perfectly. Demand zone at 3220 – 3270 held as expected. Next resistances: 3385, 3433, 3500, then 3553 as extended target. ✅ Fundamental Bias: The market is still pricing in more Fed rate cuts, which keeps the upside for gold alive. 📢 If you like clear setups that deliver: Like 👍 | Comment 💬 | Share 📤 | Follow 🔔 me for real-time technical & fundamental updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Aser_Hosary
Byt setup tiqgpt MARKET NARRATIVE: Analyzing the provided charts for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent uptrend from the 1D to the 1m timeframe. The 1D chart shows a recent bullish candle following a series of indecisive movements, indicating potential accumulation by institutions. The 4H and 1H charts display a clear impulsive move upwards, suggesting strong buying pressure. The 15m, 5m, and 1m charts further confirm this momentum with successive bullish candles and minimal retracement, indicating ongoing demand and limited supply. INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in an accumulation phase, driving the price upwards through consistent buying. The lack of significant pullbacks across lower timeframes suggests a strong institutional commitment to higher prices, likely targeting liquidity above recent highs. LEARNING POINT: The consistent bullish momentum across all timeframes without significant retracement indicates a strong institutional presence and a potential continuation of the uptrend. SIGNAL: WAIT SYMBOL: XAUUSD ENTRY PRICE: $3,330.50 STOP LOSS: $3,325.00 (just below the recent minor pullback on the 1m chart, which can act as a short-term liquidity area) TARGET PRICE: $3,340.00 (just below the next psychological round number, providing a reasonable target for institutional profit-taking) CONDITION: Buy on a slight retracement to $3,330.50, confirming continued demand. RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.7 (Risk=$5.50, Reward=$9.50) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters. STRATEGIES USED: Multi-timeframe momentum trading, targeting minor pullbacks for entry. URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% (based on the alignment of bullish signals across multiple timeframes) RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$5.50, Reward=$9.50, Ratio=1:1.7 (Below 2:1 minimum) Risk = Entry Price - Stop Loss = $3,330.50 - $3,325.00 = $5.50 Reward = Target Price - Entry Price = $3,340.00 - $3,330.50 = $9.50 Ratio = Reward ÷ Risk = $9.50 ÷ $5.50 ≈ 1.73 Given that the risk/reward ratio is less than 2:1, the recommendation is to WAIT for a better entry point or adjust the target/stop to improve the ratio.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Mistermoriarty
Gold Breaks Key Resistance — Bullish Spike in FormationGold dropped to the 61% Fibonacci retracement level, aligning with the long-term ascending trendline, where it showed a strong bullish rejection. Currently, price is breaking out of the descending channel and the 200 SMA, and is beginning to form a potential bullish spike formation. If this pattern completes and breaks to the upside, we would have three confluencing technical signals pointing to a possible target area around $3,425.881. 📌 I’ll wait for a confirmed breakout of the bullish spike to look for long entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by didacbague46
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 1st July 2024)Bias: Bullish USD News(Red Folder): -Fed Chair Powell Speaks -ISM Manufacturing PMI -JOLTS Job Openings Notes: - Strong bullish momentum with strong daily rejection -Looking continuation buy to target level - Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe - Pivot point: 3270 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by HM_fxtrading
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. I just wanted to follow up on this chart. I have changed nothing since the last post. I just wanted to show the trade set up was on point. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend. I find the first few days of the week gold carves out its potential paths both up and down. Wednesday, many times the weekly will be right in the middle of the moves from the previous few days. Not sure if that makes sense, but I just ripped a bongload of Gorilla Glue and I am not proof reading this or checking for typos.. my bad. Be well and trade the trend. Let's see how the overnight sessions play out. Thanks for checking out my chart.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
Gold Wave Analysis – 30 June 2025 - Gold reversed from support level 3250.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 3400.00 Gold recently reversed up from the support level 3250.00 (which stopped wave (b) at the end of May, as can be seen from the daily Gold chart below) intersecting with the lower daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from May. The support level 3250.00 was further strengthened by the upward-sloping support trendline from February. Given the clear daily uptrend, Gold can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 3400.00, which stopped the previous short-term correction ii.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by FxProGlobal