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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

Long Gold Impulsive wave. (4H)# XAU Trading Plan (4H Chart) ## Entry - Buy at completion of wave 4 correction - Must coincide with 0.50 Fib retracement - Confirm with impulse candle breaking wave 4 high ## Wave Structure - potentialy 5 wave up - Wave 3 cannot be shortest impulse - Wave 4 must not overlap wave 1 ## Risk - Stop loss below wave 4 low - Risk 1-3% of capital ## Targets -Wave 5 at 3434.45 or the next resistance -Floating profit ## Exit Rules - break support 3250 area
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by aryoTraderX
Gold prices remain volatile, where is the profit range? 💢 Driving factors Gold prices plunged nearly 2% yesterday, mainly due to the strengthening of the US dollar and the optimism brought about by the upcoming trade talks between the United States and China. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, but pointed out that the risks of rising inflation and unemployment increased, which further clouded the economic outlook as the Fed struggled to assess the impact of Trump's tariff policy. When the US dollar strengthens, it means that gold is relatively expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies. But despite the decline in gold prices, it is still supported by global geopolitical risks and central bank buying. 📊 Commentary Analysis Gold basically fluctuated in the 3400-3360 range today, which is a typical fluctuation. But for high-level fluctuations, we must worry about the breakthrough after the platform is sorted out, and we must also worry about the stagflation retracement, which depends on the time cycle. Therefore, the current trend, people who like fluctuations feel very good, and those who look at one-sidedness feel uncomfortable. Today's early trading operations are still temporarily carried out in the 3400-3360 range, and new layouts will be made after the break! 💰Strategy Package The Asian session is expected to remain volatile, and both long and short positions have opportunities. You only need to operate at the right time. Go long when the short-term retracement reaches 3370 support, and go short when the upper resistance reaches 3410. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
XAUUSDThe Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%–4.50% for the third consecutive meeting underscores a cautious stance in light of rising economic uncertainties. While the U.S. labor market remains strong—evidenced by robust non-farm payroll figures in April—the Fed has pivoted its tone. Policymakers now highlight increasing risks of both higher inflation and higher unemployment, largely driven by the Trump administration’s expansive tariff threats. As stated by the FOMC, “uncertainty about the economic outlook has increased further.” This warning reflects not only concern over direct cost pressures from tariffs but also the broader economic impact on business investment and consumer confidence. The gold market (XAUUSD) is currently reflecting investor anxiety and hedging behavior. With a current price of $3,382.91, despite a slight daily decline of –$46.00 (–1.3%), gold is up a remarkable +28.90% year-to-date, making it the best-performing major asset shown in the dashboard. This performance aligns with expectations during periods of rising inflation concerns and geopolitical tension, both of which are now compounded by uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy. The Federal Reserve’s dovish shift—combined with falling real interest rates and weaker equity sentiment—continues to support the appeal of gold as a hedge. Unless we see an unexpected acceleration in Fed tightening or a dramatic de-escalation in global risks, gold is likely to remain elevated and could potentially test new highs over the coming months, especially if inflation prints come in above expectations. Conversely, the U.S. equity market—particularly the S&P 500 (SPX)—is showing signs of stress. As of now, the S&P 500 sits at 5,605.67, down –13.41 points (–0.2%) on the day, and –4.69% year-to-date. The broader equity picture reflects caution, with high-growth sectors like Technology (XLK –0.12%) and Communications (XLC –0.52%) dragging down the Nasdaq 100, which is down –6.19% YTD. Investors appear to be rotating into more defensive sectors, such as Real Estate (XLRE +3.14%) and Financials (XLF +2.75%), which tend to perform better when interest rates stabilize and volatility rises. With the Volatility Index (VIX) at 24.72, market participants are bracing for more turbulence ahead. Given the Fed’s policy pause and corporate earnings risks tied to unpredictable tariff policies, we are likely to see continued choppiness in the equity markets. The S&P 500 may struggle to gain significant traction unless there is a material policy shift or strong upside surprises in earnings. The U.S. dollar is showing short-term resilience but is under structural pressure. The USD/JPY pair is trading at 143.7235, up +1.3215 (+0.9%), indicating near-term strength. However, the broader context points to a potential weakening trend. U.S. Treasury yields are declining—2-year at 3.76%, 10-year at 4.292%, and 30-year at 4.785%—which signals markets are pricing in slower growth and a higher probability of rate cuts later in the year. The Fed’s dovish tone and concerns about future inflation have also led to increased demand for inflation-protected assets, as shown by the modest gain in TIPs (TIP ETF at 109.33, +0.05%). Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar is slipping against other major currencies like the euro (EUR/USD at 1.1326, –0.0044) and the pound (GBP/USD at 1.3306, –0.0062). These dynamics suggest that the dollar may face renewed weakness over the next several months, particularly if the Fed signals a pivot to rate cuts or if geopolitical tensions ease, diminishing safe-haven demand. Market sentiment overall remains fragile. The commodity space is softening, with Crude Oil (CL1) down –1.6% to $81.02, and Brent Crude (CO1) off –1.5% to $61.13, reflecting cooling global demand expectations. On the equity factors front, growth stocks are underperforming across all size classes, while value and core stocks are faring better—a classic defensive setup as investors prepare for a lower-growth regime. Outlook for the Next Few Months: Looking ahead, we can expect gold to remain well-supported, potentially pushing toward new highs if inflation data accelerates or geopolitical risks persist. Its performance will also benefit from any further softening in the dollar or Fed rate cut signals. For the S&P 500, the outlook is neutral to bearish in the near term. Without clear resolution on trade policy or a shift in Fed strategy, earnings uncertainty and cautious sentiment are likely to weigh on equity valuations. Defensive sectors may outperform, while growth sectors could continue to lag. As for the U.S. dollar, while it could see short-term support from relatively higher yields compared to Europe or Japan, the broader direction over the coming months is likely to tilt downward, especially if the Fed becomes more openly accommodative.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Buranku
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Accumulation Before ExpansionPrice is currently consolidating in a tight range following a strong bullish move, indicating a classic accumulation phase. Below the range, we’ve identified a manipulation zone where liquidity has been swept—potentially trapping sellers and collecting orders for smart money. This setup aligns with Wyckoff theory: Accumulation is taking place within a tight range. Manipulation (Spring) has occurred beneath the range to grab liquidity. Anticipating a bullish breakout towards the distribution zone, with targets near 3522. 📌 Key Levels: Accumulation Range: 3,370–3,390 Manipulation Zone: 3,308–3,286 Target (Distribution): 3,440–3,522 🎯 Waiting for a confirmed breakout with a strong bullish candle and volume surge. Monitoring lower timeframes (M5–M15) for optimal entries.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Ttrade-With-Logic
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeHere's a detailed technical breakdown of the Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD), 1H timeframe chart using Volume Profile, Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), and ADX: 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 3395.88 Value Area Low (VAL): 3311.18 Point of Control (POC): 3381.67 (recent) / 3311.18 (previous) High-volume nodes: Concentrated around 3380–3390 and earlier at 3300–3320, suggesting strong buyer interest. Low-volume gaps: Between 3350–3370, indicating weak resistance and potential for swift price movement. b) Liquidity Zones: Stop Clusters: Around 3400 (recent swing high), and 3310 (swing low/POC) — potential liquidity sweep zones. Order Absorption: Strong delta buildup near 3380–3390 indicates heavy buying pressure and potential large-position accumulation. c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Swing High (Volume Spike): 3395.88 – recent high with strong breakout volume. Swing Low (Volume Spike): 3311.18 – confirmed reversal point with heavy absorption. d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Uptrend (confirmed by multiple bullish CVD bars and higher highs). ADX Strength: ADX > 20 with DI+ > DI- ⇒ Confirmed uptrend. CVD Confirmation: Rising CVD with bullish price action = Strong demand confirmation. Market is led by aggressive buyers. 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: VAL: 3311.18 POC: 3381.67 Swing Low with Absorption: 3310 Resistance: VAH: 3395.88 Swing High: 3400–3410 zone b) Gann-Based Levels: Gann Swing Low: 3311 Gann Swing High: 3395 Key Retracements (From 3311 to 3395): 1/2 level: 3353 1/3 level: 3339 2/3 level: 3367 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Bullish Supported by rising price structure, channel breakout, and rising CVD. b) Notable Patterns: Bullish channel forming (highlighted in purple). Breakout above previous consolidation range (POC breakout). Retest of POC at 3381.67 acting as support now. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (Confirmed by CVD + ADX): Entry Zone: 3381–3385 (retest of POC/support). Targets: T1: 3410 T2: 3440 Stop-Loss (SL): Below swing low at 3350 RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (Wait for breakdown of trend): Entry Zone: 3310 (if price breaks below support). Target: T1: 3275 Stop-Loss (SL): Above 3350 (last high-volume rejection) RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by ProspireWealth
A larger corrective pattern is formingIn the previous analysis, a specific range was determined for the price to reverse, after reaching that price range, the price jumped upwards and the price grew by 1700 pips. However, considering that the structure of wave-c is not an impulse, the zigzag was not confirmed and it seems that a larger corrective pattern is forming. It seems that the reverse contracting triangle pattern is forming, which is currently in wave-d of the triangle. With the completion of wave-d, we can better find the end point of wave-e.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NEoWave-Chart
XAUUSD: Strong Bullish (Intraday & Swing)Gold closed Friday with indecision, rejecting both 3230.00 and 3274.00 as NFP remained muted. That led to an explosive 936 pip candle yesterday, ripping straight through 3274.00 and closing just shy of the major 3333.00 level. Today, price has already pushed 400 pips higher and is currently hovering around 3365 on the 4H chart. Key Buy Setups: Break above 3380 → Target 3428 Pullback & successful retest of 3333 as support → Target 3428 Pip Range Opportunity: 500 – 900 pips depending on the entry Summary: Bullish bias remains intact on all timeframes. I’m watching for a clean break of 3380 to ride the next leg up, or a healthy pullback to 3333 before continuation.
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Thetraderscollective
Gold is rising strongly. What is the reason?Analysis of today's market in Asian session: Last week, the price of gold rebounded to above 3240, the lows were constantly rising, and the highs were broken; such a rebound is tempting traders to short. In the morning of Asian session, the price of gold rose rapidly from 3320 to 3385 US dollars. In just two days, the price of gold recovered the decline during the Asian holiday. In the current market situation, it is not far away to rush back to the high point. The key to the price increase in the morning of Asian session may also support the European session and the US session. You can use a long strategy during this period. However, you must pay attention to the continuity of the gold price. If there is an attack in the market transaction, there must be a defense; the downward or upward resistance level must be clear after the breakthrough position, how to operate to maximize the benefits and minimize the losses. Quaid believes that if gold pulls back, its support point needs to focus on the 3340-3350 range, and the defense position is 3320; the position of the Asian morning rise should be paid attention to. If it falls below this position, you need to adjust the strategy in time. Quaid believes that the upward trend is currently focused on $3380-3400.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
GOLD - Bullish - Fundamentals safe haven for inflationary times.The trend is long on the weekly, daily, and 4hr charts. -Dly 21 held as support. -Fundamentals - USD inflation may increase. Gold is a haven when or if risk-off occurs. -Look to buy at Tokyo from the 1st area, then if we fail to make a HH, then price may make a deeper pullback to the 2nd area that I have indicated. Targets are calculated using Fibonacci extensions depending on where price holds and extends from. This is just what I am doing and not financial advice!
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by gillianpatrice
How to plan when gold’s rise encounters resistance🗞News side: 1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts 2. Be wary of DXY trends 3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict 4.Trump imposes 100% tariff on non-US films 📈Technical aspects: Compared with today's market, the morning rise happened to be a sideways price, breaking through the previous high point. In a volatile rise, it doesn't matter. It is very likely that in the later trend, the price will return to the starting point or even lower, but it can continue to rise. This is a feature of the shock. At the same time, the current market is not extremely strong, and it is still in a volatile rise. Therefore, do not chase long, but retrace as much support as possible. 🎁SELL 3315-3325 🎁TP 3280-3270 🎁BUY 3270-3280 🎁TP 3300-3310 If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
Golden Opportunity: XAU/USD’s Bull & Bear Heist Strategy!Hello Money Makers & Market Bandits! 🤑💰✈️ Get ready to raid the XAU/USD Gold Market with our cunning Thief Trading Style, blending sharp technicals and deep fundamental insights! 📊🔥 Our plan? Strike with precision on both bullish and bearish moves, grabbing profits before the market turns. Let’s outwit the charts and stack that gold! 🏆💸 📈 The Gold Heist Plan Entry Points 🚪: 🏴‍☠️ Bullish Move: Wait for a pullback to the Institutional Hidden Buy Zone at 3080—your signal to jump in for bullish gains! 🏴‍☠️ Bearish Move: Watch for a breakout below the neutral level at 3200—time to ride the bearish wave! Tip: Set alerts to catch these key levels! 🔔 Stop Loss (SL) 🛑: Bullish Trade: Place SL at 2960 (4H swing low, Institutional Hidden Buy Zone). Bearish Trade: Set SL at 3360 (4H swing high). Adjust SL based on your risk, lot size, and number of orders. Stay sharp—this is your shield! ⚠️ Take Profit (TP) 🎯: Bullish Robbers: Aim for 3660 or exit early if momentum fades. Bearish Robbers: Target 3080 or slip out before the market flips. Escape Plan: Watch for overbought/oversold signals to avoid traps! 🚨 📡 Why XAU/USD? The Gold Market is in a bearish trend 🐻, driven by: Fundamentals: USD strength from Fed policy, US growth, and tariffs. Macroeconomics: US resilience vs. global economic weakness. COT Data: Bearish speculative bets favor USD. Intermarket: Rising US yields and equities boost USD, pressuring gold. Quantitative: RSI and Fibonacci confirm bearish momentum. 🧠 Sentiment Outlook (May 12, 2025) Retail Traders: 🟢 Bullish: 42% 😊 (Hoping for gold rebound on trade war fears) 🔴 Bearish: 45% 😟 (USD strength and improved US-China relations weigh) ⚪ Neutral: 13% 🤔 Source: Social sentiment & trading platform polls Institutional Traders: 🟢 Bullish: 30% 💼 (Safe-haven demand amid geopolitical uncertainty) 🔴 Bearish: 60% ⚠️ (USD rally and higher concrete 5/12/2025) 🟢 Bullish: 30% 💼 (Safe-haven demand amid geopolitical uncertainty) 🔴 Bearish: 60% ⚠️ (USD rally and higher yields suppress gold) ⚪ Neutral: 10% 🧐 Source: COT reports & institutional flows ⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Risk Management 📰 News can shake the market like a storm! Protect your loot: Skip new trades during major news releases. Use trailing stop-loss to lock in profits and limit losses. Stay vigilant—volatility is our playground, but only with a plan! 💪 Ride with the Thief Trading Team! Hit the Boost Button to power up our Thief Trading Style and make this heist epic! 🚀 Each boost fuels our squad, helping us plunder profits daily. Let’s conquer the XAU/USD market together! 🤝 Stay tuned for the next heist! 🐱‍👤 Keep your charts ready, alerts on, and trading vibe high. Catch you in the profits, bandits! 🤑🎉 #ThiefTrading #XAUUSD #GoldHeist #TradingView #StackTheGold
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by Thief_Trader
XAUUSD - Is Gold Going Down?!Gold is trading in its descending channel on the four-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. A downward correction in gold will open up buying opportunities from the demand areas. Investors in the precious metals market witnessed another week of gold’s strong performance. Although overall optimism about a potential reduction in trade tariffs slightly slowed gold’s momentum, robust demand from Asia and other global regions provided solid support, preventing any major market correction. At the beginning of the week, gold prices fell by over 1% on Monday as news of a trade agreement between the U.S. and China prompted investors to shift toward riskier assets. This drop occurred alongside easing geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan, which also contributed to a calmer market atmosphere. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamison Greer announced that the two nations had reached an agreement during negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland. The deal, which is expected to be released as a joint statement, signals a reduction in trade tensions that had escalated in recent weeks with tariffs reaching as high as 145% on Chinese imports. As part of the agreement, the U.S. and China plan to establish a joint economic and trade consultation mechanism to continue discussions on tariffs. President Donald Trump hinted last week at a potential reduction in tariffs to 80%, although the official details of the deal have yet to be disclosed. Adam Button, Chief Currency Strategist at Forexlive.com, commented that in the current market environment, it is difficult not to be bullish on gold. However, he warned that any de-escalation in U.S.-China tensions could dampen the strength of gold’s rally. He added, “Even though a 50% reduction in tariffs wouldn’t be the final chapter, if implemented, it would represent fairly rapid progress and a positive sign for both parties.” In addition to trade developments, the easing of tensions in Kashmir and a ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan have also reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. The ceasefire, brokered by the United States, remained largely intact over the weekend. Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management, stated that his outlook on gold remains unchanged. He explained, “Rising concerns over a potential U.S. recession, coupled with cautious optimism about easing trade tensions—especially between Washington and Beijing—could exert pressure on gold. However, gold’s notable resilience against price declines indicates underlying demand that has not yet fully entered the market.” Meanwhile, Darin Newsom, Senior Market Analyst at Barchart.com, firmly maintained a bullish view on precious metals. He said, “If I had to write one analytical sentence on the market board, it would be: Precious metals must rally. I emphasize ‘must’ because nothing is certain in the markets. My bearish call last week was wrong, and it’s clear that technical analysis has become almost obsolete—especially in today’s world where algorithm-driven trading dominates.” After a week largely influenced by the Federal Reserve’s meeting and tariff-related headlines, market focus now shifts to a data-heavy week featuring a broad range of U.S. economic indicators. The action kicks off Tuesday with the release of the April Consumer Price Index (CPI), a report that could offer insights into whether the Fed might cut interest rates in its June meeting. The real highlight, however, is expected on Thursday, when key reports are scheduled to be published, including the Producer Price Index (PPI), retail sales figures, jobless claims data, and two major regional indices—the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey and the Empire State manufacturing index. Amidst this flood of information, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is also set to deliver a speech in Washington, which could serve as a major catalyst for market movement. To wrap up the week, markets await Friday’s release of the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May—a report often viewed as a psychological gauge of American consumer behavior.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND