XAUUSDK trade ideas
I think GOLD is ready for new ATHMy main reason is that last week candle close shows a bullish movement.
TP 1 @ 3350
Risk carefully, it is still early Monday, dont over trade
GOLD next moveContinuation buy is likely from that entry point to target those highs. Trade with Prm
XAUUSD Gold Trade Setup – Buy & Sell Zones | 2H Chart AnalysisThis XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) 2-hour chart analysis outlines a short-term swing trading plan using key supply and demand zones. Price has reacted from the Buy Zone (3197–3216) and is showing signs of bullish reversal. The target is the Sell Zone (3347–3363).
✅ Trade Plan:
🔽 Buy Entry:
Zone: 3,197 – 3,216 USD
Trigger: Bullish candle breakout above the falling trendline
Confirmation: Retest of breakout with bullish price action
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 3,302 (mid-range level)
TP2: 3,347 (Sell Zone bottom)
TP3: 3,363 (Sell Zone top)
🛑 Stop Loss:
Below 3,190 or latest swing low
🔼 Sell Setup (optional):
Zone: 3,347 – 3,363 USD
Look for bearish reversal patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, double top)
Target retrace back to 3,302 or 3,260 area
XAUUSD SIGNAL READ THE CAPTAINxauusd signal technical analysis satup 👇🏼
(xauusd) buy zone
( TRADE SATUP)
ENTRY POINT (3331) to (3333) 📊
FIRST TP (3340)📊
2ND TARGET (3350) 📊
LAST TARGET (3356) 📊
STOP LOOS (3323)❌
FALLOW RISK MANAGEMENT
XAUUSD | Bullish | Fib RetracementGold has given yet another breakout after a brief accumulation.It has made a good bullish engulfing candle as well at breakout.Mpreover Fib retracement tool is also indicating its bullish run.
XAUUSD Macro & Equity Market Overview:
Global equities are showing signs of fragility following a strong rally, with the S&P 500 down 0.8%, the Nasdaq 100 off 0.9%, and the Dow Jones losing nearly 390 points. Weakness was broad, with Russell 2000 (-1.1%) underperforming, indicating rising risk aversion toward small caps. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) spiked 4.7% to 24.76, reinforcing the shift to defensive positioning.
Key drivers include renewed concerns over Trump’s tariff rhetoric, which hit pharma and trade-sensitive sectors, and an apparent stall in momentum after a multi-session rebound. Fed rate expectations remain a key overhang — traders are waiting for the Federal Reserve’s next move while the U.S. 10Y yield holds above 4.31%, showing sticky long-term inflation expectations. Germany’s political instability adds to risk-off sentiment in Europe.
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Oil (WTI/Brent) – Day Trading Outlook:
Crude oil (WTI) is trading around $58.67, having bounced 4% from recent multi-year lows triggered by OPEC+ supply announcements and economic concerns. The U.S. shale outlook has turned structurally bearish, as noted earlier, with capital expenditure and rig count cuts signaling a near-term production rollover. This underpins a medium-term bullish case.
For intraday traders, today's move matters because oil has recovered above the psychological $58 level, with Brent back at $62.59. Volatility is elevated, and the price action suggests a reversal from oversold conditions. Energy sector ETFs (XLE) were flat despite market-wide weakness, signaling possible rotation back into oil stocks. Watch for upside continuation above $59.50 WTI, with a likely target zone around $61.20–61.80 intraday if risk appetite stabilizes.
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S&P 500 – Day Trading Outlook: Technically Heavy, Breadth Deteriorating
The S&P 500 closed at 5,606, down 43 points, with negative breadth across almost every major sector. The only strength came from Utilities (XLU +1.2%), underscoring a defensive rotation, while Technology (XLK -0.8%), Financials (XLF -0.6%), and Health Care (XLV -2.8%) led to the downside.
Market internals suggest further downside is likely unless bond yields soften or volatility retreats. The S&P 500 is struggling at 5,600–5,640, and intraday resistance sits at 5,630–5,650. A break below 5,585 opens downside toward 5,545–5,500 in the short term.
Key bearish indicators:
High-yield credit (HYG) is flat to negative.
Small-cap underperformance.
U.S. equity factors: value, core, and growth all showing -0.8% to -0.9% performance in every size bucket.
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XAU didnt change from weekend.
The U.S. 10Y and 30Y yields remain above 4.3% and 4.7% respectively, capping gold’s upside, but risk-off sentiment and volatility (VIX > 24) are providing strong tailwinds.
Gold if..What if Gold get rejected from this trend line again this week? that might be a bearish sign.
GOLD China’s massive gold purchases carry significant geopolitical implications that reshape global economic and financial power dynamics:
1. Dedollarization and Reduced US Dollar Dominance
China’s aggressive gold accumulation is a core part of its strategy to reduce dependence on the US dollar amid rising geopolitical tensions and economic decoupling. By increasing gold reserves-while sharply cutting US Treasury holdings-China aims to insulate itself from dollar-related risks such as sanctions or asset freezes, as highlighted by the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict experience. This shift undermines the dollar’s global reserve currency status and supports the emergence of a more multipolar currency system.
2. Enhanced Sovereignty and Financial Security
Gold provides China with a tangible, sovereign asset that cannot be frozen or devalued by foreign powers. This strengthens China’s economic autonomy and resilience against external pressures, especially amid ongoing US-China trade conflicts and Taiwan tensions. Physical gold reserves bolster confidence in China’s currency (yuan) and financial system, helping to back efforts to internationalize the yuan and reduce reliance on Western financial infrastructure.
3. Geopolitical Influence and Economic Restructuring
China’s gold market dominance is part of a broader “economic divorce” from the West, reflecting deglobalization trends and the formation of alternative trading and financial systems led by BRICS and allied nations. By controlling significant gold supplies and refining capacity, China gains leverage in global commodity markets and strengthens its geopolitical influence, challenging US-led economic order.
4. Impact on Global Financial Markets and US Economy
China’s gold buying fuels a “virtuous cycle” for itself but a “vicious cycle” for the US: rising gold prices in dollar terms signal dollar weakness, prompting further diversification away from dollar assets, reducing demand for US Treasuries, pushing US bond yields higher, and increasing US borrowing costs. This dynamic pressures US fiscal stability and economic growth.
5. Strategic Resource Control and Long-Term Planning
The recent discovery of a massive gold deposit in China’s Hunan province (over 1,100 tonnes) further strengthens China’s position, potentially boosting reserves by 44% and reducing reliance on imports. This strategic resource control enhances China’s ability to influence global gold supply and pricing, reinforcing its geopolitical and economic ambitions.
Gold Swing Short Trade Setup**Gold Market Analysis: Potential Reversal Formation**
Gold is finally showing strong signs of a potential top formation after an extended bullish run. After weeks of anticipation, yesterday's price action delivered a significant rejection candle at the psychologically important 3500 level, which could indicate the reversal signal we've been waiting for.
It's essential to recognize that in a robust bullish rally, tops can take longer to form than initially expected, as we've observed recently. The market often exhibits both time and price extensions in such conditions. Nevertheless, the rejection at 3500 in conjunction with the current technical setup suggests that we may be seeing a reversal pattern taking shape.
**Trading Perspective:**
From a trading standpoint, I am currently awaiting a confirmation candle (a follow-up to yesterday's rejection) to validate that the top is in place. If we witness follow-through selling pressure today or tomorrow, it could present an excellent swing short opportunity, with the following targets established:
- **Target 1 (TP1):** 3295
- **Target 2 (TP2):** 3250
- **Target 3 (TP3):** 3200
- **Target 4 (TP4):** 3170
- **Target 5 (TP5):** 3070 (psychological support level)
Stay vigilant and ready for potential short opportunities as the market unfolds. Let’s see if the signals align for a successful trade. Happy trading! OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
From Tulips to Tech: The Evolution of Financial Bubbles 🎯 Introduction:
financial/economic bubbles are a recurring theme in economic history, this is often when a particular financial asset goes to unrealistic price levels often making money for early investors but usually these high price levels do not match their fundamental value this is then followed by a large public participation who also want a piece of the pie eventually with the price collapsing or sharply declining blowing or living investors in a large financial loss..
From 17th-century tulip gardens to 21st-century crypto manias, one thing has remained constant: Humans never learn.
Every generation thinks this time is different — but the pattern of bubbles keeps repeating.
Here's the crash course in 400 years of financial euphoria, panic, and pain.
🧠 Section 1: 1637 — Tulip Mania 🌷
The original bubble.
In the Netherlands, rare tulip bulbs were worth more than houses.
Prices exploded... then collapsed 90% in a matter of weeks.
Lesson: Speculation + FOMO is not new. Humans were flipping flowers before they flipped crypto.
Mini Nerd Tip:
"When people stop caring about value and only care about price rising, watch out."
🧠 Section 2: 1720 — South Sea Bubble 📜
Britain’s South Sea Company promised massive profits trading with South America (but barely did any business).
Politicians and aristocrats pumped the stock price.
Collapsed spectacularly → ruined many fortunes (including Isaac Newton himself:
"I can calculate the motion of heavenly bodies, but not the madness of men.")
Mini Nerd Tip:
"If a bubble needs government help to stay alive, it's already dying."
🧠 Section 3: 1929 — Wall Street Crash 🏛️
Roaring 20s: endless optimism, cheap margin loans, "stocks only go up!"
1929: Stock market crashed, triggering the Great Depression.
People were buying stocks with 10% down and gambling recklessly.
Mini Nerd Tip:
"When leverage is everywhere, the smallest panic causes waterfalls."
🧠 Section 4: 2000 — Dotcom Bubble 💻
Everyone thought the internet would change everything (it did — but slower and differently).
Companies with no profits were valued in billions.
"Eyeballs" were treated as real revenue.
NASDAQ lost 78% from top to bottom.
Mini Nerd Tip:
"Innovation creates real value... but hype inflates fake value faster."
🧠 Section 5: 2008 — Housing Bubble 🏡
Banks handed out mortgages to anyone.
Financial engineering (CDOs, synthetic MBS) created the illusion of safety.
US housing prices collapsed → global financial crisis.
"Too Big to Fail" became the famous phrase.
Mini Nerd Tip:
"If everyone is getting rich easily, someone is lying or blind."
🧠 Section 6: 2017/2021 — Crypto & Meme Stocks 🚀
Gamestop, Dogecoin, NFTs, Shiba Inu — the wildest "everyone’s a genius" market since the 1920s.
Social media + free apps = amplified bubble speed.
Massive rises, insane collapses.
Mini Nerd Tip:
"Technology changes, human emotion doesn’t."
🧠 Final Section: Why Bubbles Will Never End
Greed, fear, and FOMO are timeless.
Every era dresses up bubbles in new clothes (flowers, sea companies, internet, crypto).
Smart traders understand this pattern — and use it to survive and thrive.
"**Bubbles don't pop because of bad assets. They pop because confidence disappears
put together by : Pako Phutietsile as @currencynerd
courtesy of : @TradingView
GOLD - Is this the end of the Bull Run?Gold has once again followed my previous analysis — turning bearish right at key levels! 🚩 After an incredible bull run where price kept making new highs, signs are now pointing to a possible top. We could be entering a short-term bearish phase here, with potential for a deeper correction if momentum builds.
Right now, I’m holding a bearish bias. I’ll be watching for solid sell setups, especially around those well-defined resistance zones. There’s also an unfilled gap below that could attract price action — keep an eye on that level (chart shows the zone clearly 🔎).
I’ll be looking for confirmation through structure breaks and clean retests before entering shorts.
What’s your take — are we seeing a reversal brewing, or is this just a dip before the next leg up? Drop your thoughts below!
If this analysis helps, a boost or follow would mean a lot — and keeps you in the loop for the next moves! 🚀
Gold longTrying to execute a long position.
A nice wedge formation has been created.
Let us wait for the 3235$ region and then i am going to enter a long position
XAUUSDthe BEARS are back in control with the bull having tested and resoected the trendline, sweeped the NY high and the M15 closed below the SUPPLY.
bullish reject support 4H?Gold is currently sitting right at a major 4H demand zone (2627–2611), which also aligns with the third touch of a descending channel support — a classic potential reversal signal. Bulls may look for confirmation here, but if this zone fails, we could head lower toward the next demand zone
Gold BOS retest!Currently on a trade holding longs. It seems like we might have a short retracement upside to test that structure shift.. My hunch is that the gold will be making new HL soon and then finally LH on bigger tf, 1D. Too overbought, and now that the bull runs over, market makers will be jumping in to manipulate soon, so it will be wise to trade gold only for long term investments instead of day trading. Swing and long term short hold will be the best imo. I think that as high as gold will go for few months.. but please do your own analysis and keep a bias.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts with our analysis playing out perfectly.
After completing our bearish target yesterday, we stated that we would now look for a test at 3344 to complete our Bullish target and then a cross and lock will open the level above or failure to lock above will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturns.
- This played out perfectly. We got the 3344 target hit, as analysed, followed with no cross and lock above 3344 confirming the rejection into the lower Goldturns just like we stated.
3306 Goldturn provided the support and bounce and if this levels holds, we will see a retest above or a further cross and lock below will open the lower Goldturns.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3344 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3367
POTENTIALLY 3390
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
POTENTIALLY
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3285 - DONE
3259
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3259 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3233
3201
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3159 - 3112
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD-SELL strategy 3 Hourly chart GANN SQGOLD may have a possible S/H/S pattern, and neckline break was @ $ 3,290 area. This translates to a possible objective $ 3,030. The GANN SQ also shows potential for further weakness in the near-term.
Strategy SELL @ $ 3,250-3,275 and take profit near $ 3,137 on first move down.
XAU/USD Breakdown: Bears in Command
Current Bias: Bearish
Market Structure: Lower highs and lower lows forming post recent peak near $3268.05.
Price Action: Gold recently broke below a key support zone around $3268.05,
Trade Setups
📉 Bearish Setup (Primary Bias)
Entry: On rejection at $3256.24 or a break/retest of $3268.05
Stop Loss: $3272.67
Take Profit:
TP1: $3193.97
TP2: $3102.09
TP3: $3047.62
capital: $50
risk: $46(-96%)
reward: $380(+250%)
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
The range continues! We've been playing this range now for nearly a trading week and although it's giving us the scalps, it's not making the move that we want at the moment. Day before yesterday, we said we would stick with the plan, and it's worked again, however, this time, if we approach that key level 3335, we're not going to suggest attempting that short again.
Having said the above, even though it's frustrating, we're going to stick with the plan at the moment. Most of our bearish targets are completing together with KOG's bias of the day, so lets see if we can break below that 3300 level and hold! As it stands, nothing to lose unless we get taken at BE again.
Circled are the key levels to look out for, bias still stands for now. NFP around the corner, it's going to make it even more of a whipsaw.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Final Leg of Wave 4 Before Wave 5 RallyGold (XAUUSD) is forming a textbook impulsive Elliott Wave structure on the 1-hour chart.
Wave 3 peaked around 3,131 USD, followed by a corrective Wave 4 currently in progress.
Substructure shows wave (iii) ending at 3,150.57 and an expected wave (iv) bounce capped near 3,228–3,198 USD, followed by a final dip.
The projected Wave 4 termination zone lies within the confluence of:
A key demand area: 3,110–3,000 USD
Rising channel support
1.618 Fib extension of Wave A ≈ 2,982.93 USD
A bullish breakout from this zone would mark the beginning of Wave 5, aiming for new highs above 3,360+ USD.
📉 Short-term Bias:
Expect one more drop to complete Wave 4 within the gray demand zone.
📈 Medium-term Outlook:
Anticipating a strong Wave 5 rally once support holds and price breaks the descending resistance trendline.
🔻 Invalidation:
A break below 2,982 USD would invalidate this count and suggest deeper correction.
#XAUUSD #Gold #ElliottWave #Wave4 #Wave5 #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #Forex #ICMarkets #PriceAction #1HourChart #FibLevels #BullishOutlook
