XAUUSDK trade ideas
Completion of rising wedge Gold is currently still holding rising channel along with the swing moves we were on buy at 3410 and my optimal target was 3425-3430 which is achieved now I'm expecting the reversal move!!
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️I'm looking for sell opportunity from 3430-3435 area by following our structural strategy, also we have previous moves on Rising channel, market always respect its prevoius BOS and my Selling trade target will be 3405 then 3395 in extension.
▪️if H4 candle closing above 3435-3438 this Parallel moves will be invalid.
XAUUSD Last hope for buyers Gold is currently still holding rising channel last hope for buyers the bottom trendine .
Below 3335 buyers will be liquidate
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️I'm gonna take buy trade from 3340-3338 area by following our rising Trend along with structural liquidity sweeps strategy, my target will be 3357 then 3368 in extension.
▪️if H4 candle closing below 3335 this Parallel moves will be invalid and don't look for buy till confirmation
XAUUSD Expecting bullish Movement Buy Zone
Watch the 3310 to 3320 zone for potential bullish entries. This zone has acted as strong support in the past and could offer a solid risk-reward opportunity for buyers.
Target Levels
First Target 3375
Second Target 3390
Two scenarios are in play:
A direct breakout continuation to 3375 and then 3390.
A retracement towards the support zone before a bullish reversal.
Traders should monitor price action closely in the support zone for confirmation before entering trades
Gold scalp buying opportunity before final dropGold has broken above the mini bull flag formation and is currently sustaining above the structure. The strategy is to patiently await a pullback into the highlighted buy-back zone, where a favorable entry opportunity may present itself. Focus remains on the projected flag targets, as the ongoing momentum suggests promising upside potential. Monitor price action closely.
XAU/USD – Likely Wave ⑤ Top In – ABC Correction in Progress!OANDA:XAUUSD
✅ We’ve most likely completed our (Circle) Wave ⑤, and are now entering the first corrective wave of an ABC pattern (marked in 🟡 yellow brackets).
🔹 The (A) wave unfolded as a clean white ABC correction – textbook structure, worked out perfectly.
🔹 From (A) to (B) we saw an impulsive move (likely a 1-2-3-4-5, though not labeled).
🔻 From (B), a strong bearish move broke right through our 🔴 ascending trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal.
👉 We’ve likely completed wave 1 of the new downtrend and are now in a corrective move upward, forming yellow wave 2:
🟡 (A) – (B) – (C), with the (B) once again forming an internal ABC structure.
🎯 We’re now watching for the completion of wave C – this will complete yellow wave 2.
📐 The target zone (TP) lies in the yellow Fibonacci retracement area, with a key level at the 78.6% retracement (marked in white).
🛑 Stop Loss should be placed above the 4-month zone, or just above wave (B).
📊 The Take Profit will be more precise once the top of wave C is confirmed – but expect it to align closely with the 🔵 Fibonacci extension zone.
Gold price analysis July 25Gold Analysis – D1 Uptrend Still Maintains, But Needs New Momentum
Yesterday’s trading session recorded a D1 candle closing above the Breakout 3363 zone, indicating that buying power in the US session is still dominant. This implies that the uptrend is still being maintained, although the market may need a short-term technical correction.
In today’s Tokyo and London sessions, there is a possibility of liquidity sweeps to the support zone below before Gold recovers and increases again in the New York session.
Important to note:
The uptrend will only be broken if Gold closes below the 3345 zone on the D1 chart.
In this case, the 3320 level will be the next support zone to observe the price reaction and consider buying points.
For the bullish wave to continue expanding towards the historical peak (ATH) at 3500, the market needs stronger supporting factors, which can come from economic data or geopolitical developments.
📌 Support zone: 3345 – 3320
📌 Resistance zone: 3373 – 3418
🎯 Potential buy zone:
3345 (prioritize price reaction in this zone)
3320 (in case of breaking through 3345)
🎯 Target: 3417
XAUUSD swing is ready Gold is currently still holding rising channel we were on sell throughout today and achieved with 180 PIPs TP Hit now I'm going to take Buy trade at 3350-3340 zone
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️I'm gonna take buy trade from 3340-3350 area by following our rising Trend along with structural liquidity sweeps strategy, my target will be 3365 then 3378 in extension.
▪️if H4 candle closing below 3335 this Parallel moves will be invalid and don't look for buy till confirmation
Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H Time Frame Trade Idea📈MJTrading:
Gold is currently testing support at the main ascending trend line on the 4-hour chart. Price action suggests a potential bounce, but the setup remains probabilistic—ideal for traders who operate on higher time frames and manage risk with discipline.
🔹 Trade Setup
Entry: 3340
Stop Loss: 3309
Take Profit 1: 3368
Take Profit 2: 3400
🔍 Technical Context
Price is respecting the long-standing trend line, hinting at bullish continuation.
Risk-reward ratio is favorable, especially for swing traders.
A break below the trend line invalidates the setup—hence the tight SL.
⚠️ Note: While the trend supports upside potential, failure to hold the trend line could trigger deeper retracement. Trade the probabilities, not the certainties.
In case it's not shown properly on your monitor because of different resolutions:
Psychology Always Maters:
#MJTrading #Gold #XAUUSD #Trend #Trendline #Forex #Chart #ChartAnalysis #Buy #Long
Continued price increase - gold increased to 3450⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices climbed for a second straight session on Tuesday, gaining over 0.9% as sliding US Treasury yields continued to weigh on the US Dollar. Investors remained cautious amid lingering uncertainty over upcoming US trade agreements. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,427, having rebounded from an intraday low of $3,383.
Yields on US government bonds have now declined for five consecutive days, pressuring the Greenback—reflected in the softer US Dollar Index (DXY). Heightened speculation that the US and European Union (EU) may fail to secure a trade agreement before the looming August 1 deadline has intensified demand for safe-haven assets. As a result, gold surged to a five-week high of $3,433.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to increase, FOMO from the market is good and positive. Heading towards 3450
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3449- 3451 SL 3456
TP1: $3435
TP2: $3422
TP3: $3405
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3380-$3378 SL $3373
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3400
TP3: $3415
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Current Gold Short tradeI'm currently trading gold short from 3430. I have taken partials and my SL are at BE.
Here we have 2 scenarios at Support.
Heavy volume selloff means there’s fuel for more downside.
If price consolidates here and keeps making lower highs, or retests 3,376 from below and rejects, that’s a short re-entry/continuation signal.
Odds:
Much higher at the moment. The last impulse was violent, and buyers have not stepped up yet.
If 3,372 breaks—look to short the retest (classic SR flip) for a move to 3,348 and below.
If you see a slow grind sideways (chop), walk away and wait for the breakout from this zone.
3,376–3,372 Do not long unless reversal candle forms High risk to knife-catch
<3,372 Look for shorts on retest Downside opens up fast
3,389+ Bullish confirmation only Only chase if true reversal
GOLD continues to correct down, good news from trade situationOANDA:XAUUSD has fallen sharply again, currently trading around $3,360/oz, reflecting the easing of global trade tensions, affecting demand for safe-haven assets. The US Dollar and US Treasury yields have also increased, affecting gold prices.
The US Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ), which tracks the greenback against six other currencies, rose to 97.56.
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note US10Y rose to 4.386%. The US real yield, calculated by subtracting inflation expectations from nominal interest rates, rose nearly 3.5 basis points to 2.046%.
Markets are increasingly optimistic about such deals after the United States and Japan reached a trade deal, and the European Union could be next. In addition, rising stock markets and low volatility have kept gold's gains in check.
The United States and the European Union are moving toward a potential trade deal that would include a 15% tariff on EU goods and zero tariffs on some items.
The European Commission said Thursday that a negotiated trade solution with the United States is within reach.
“Our focus is on reaching a negotiated outcome with the United States,” a European Commission spokesperson told reporters about the EU-U.S. tariff talks. “We believe that such an outcome is achievable.” The European Commission has repeatedly said that its current priority is to reach a deal with the United States to avoid the 30% tariffs that U.S. President Trump has proposed to impose on EU products starting August 1.
On the economic data front, initial jobless claims in the United States unexpectedly fell last week, suggesting the job market remains solid.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Thursday that initial jobless claims fell to 217,000 in the week ended July 19, below expectations of 227,000 and down from 221,000 the previous week.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold is heading for its third consecutive day of decline since hitting the bullish target level sent to readers in the weekly edition on Sunday at $3,430.
Despite the sharp decline, gold still has enough technical conditions for an uptrend given its current position and structure.
Specifically, gold is still above the EMA21, which is considered the nearest support at the moment. Along with that, the uptrend price channel is the short-term trend. However, for gold to qualify for a short-term bullish cycle, it needs to be confirmed by price action above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target is $3,400 in the short term, more than $3,430.
On the other hand, RSI is still holding above 50, and 50 in this case acts as momentum support. Therefore, gold still has room to rise.
In case gold is sold below EMA21, it may suffer a further decline with the next target around $3,310 in the short term, more than $3,300 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level. And if gold loses the support at the 0.382% Fibonacci level, it will qualify for a bearish cycle.
Intraday, the current position of gold price is still tilted towards the upside, and the notable price points will be listed as follows.
Support: $3,350 – $3,310 – $3,300
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,430
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3410
→Take Profit 1 3398
↨
→Take Profit 2 3392
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3329 - 3331⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3326
→Take Profit 1 3337
↨
→Take Profit 2 3343
GOLD → Retest of consolidation resistance. Chances of a breakoutFX:XAUUSD bounces off support at 3312, forming a false breakdown at 3320. The price is heading towards consolidation resistance. The chances of continued growth are increasing...
Gold rebounded from its low amid statements by Fed member Waller about a possible rate cut in July. However, strong US sales and labor market data strengthened the dollar and held back XAU/USD growth. Despite statements by some Fed members about maintaining a tight policy, traders continue to expect rate cuts before the end of the year. The focus is on new economic data that could affect the dollar and gold prices.
Technically, consolidation is narrowing, which could lead to distribution. Gold is feeling market support, and after retesting resistance at 3365, we need to watch the price reaction to the level. A pullback and quick retest could increase the chances of a breakout and growth to 3400.
Resistance levels: 3365, 3375
Support levels: 3332, 3320, 3312
There is a high probability that there will be an attempt to break through the consolidation resistance amid expectations of a rate cut. This phase may be accompanied by either a correction to retest and return for a breakout, or a breakout and consolidation of the price above the level. Today, Friday, I expect a retest and correction, as there may not be enough local potential for a breakout of this level, and the price has already lost some of its momentum since the opening of the session...
Best regards, Linda!
Gold is ready for the 5th wave!Hello! If you're following gold, here's some exciting news. The triangle correction phase that began in April is almost over. It's been a long journey, but we're almost there.
And guess what? The final phase is expected to reach around $4,300. But wait, there's more! The price is holding above the top of a long-term channel. This isn't just a random move; it could be a strong signal that the price could rise even higher than the $4,300 mark.
So, if you're following the gold market, keep your eyes peeled. Big moves could be just around the corner!
Perfect Long Opportunity on Gold? Fibonacci & Price Action AlignThis is a 15-minute chart of Gold (XAU/USD) from TradingView (via Capital.com) with Fibonacci retracement levels and a long trade setup.
Chart Summary:
Timeframe: 15-minute
Instrument: Gold (XAU/USD)
Current Price: $3,390.01
Trade Type: Long (Buy) position
Technical Setup:
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
0.382 at $3,390.44
0.5 at $3,388.69
0.618 at $3,386.95
0.786 at $3,384.46
Entry Area: Around 0.5 to 0.618 levels (~$3,388–$3,386)
Stop-Loss: Below 1.0 level (~$3,381.30)
Target: Just below the 0 Fibonacci level (~$3,396.09)
This setup suggests a potential retracement-based bounce after a significant drop. The trader is betting on a reversal from the Fibonacci support zone with a tight stop below $3,381 and aiming for a recovery up to $3,396.
From 3,430 USD GOLD falls below 3,400 USD on optimistic newsOANDA:XAUUSD has suffered a sharp sell-off after rising sharply earlier in the week. Media reports said the United States and the European Union were getting closer to reaching a tariff deal, and the news weighed on safe-haven demand.
OANDA:XAUUSD fell below $3,400 an ounce on Wednesday, down more than 1.2%, following news that the United States and the European Union were close to signing a deal similar to the one Washington and Tokyo signed on Tuesday. It is now trading below that key base point.
The European Union and the United States are moving toward a trade deal that could see more EU goods hit with a 15 percent U.S. import tariff, two diplomats said. Earlier, U.S. President Donald Trump reached a trade deal with Japan that would cut auto tariffs to 15 percent.
Optimism about an imminent U.S.-EU trade deal overshadowed a decline in the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.05 percent on the day to 97.160.
U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 4.396%. U.S. real yields, calculated by subtracting inflation expectations from nominal yields, rose nearly 4 basis points to 1.994%.
Gold tends to gain in value during times of uncertainty and low-interest-rate environments because gold itself does not generate interest, and in low-interest-rate environments, the opportunity cost of holding gold is relatively low.
U.S., EU near trade deal
The Financial Times reported on Wednesday that the European Union and the United States are close to reaching a trade deal that would impose a 15% tariff on imports from Europe, similar to the one reached between US President Donald Trump and Japan this week.
The Financial Times reported that Brussels is likely to agree to so-called “reciprocal tariffs” to avoid tariffs that Trump has threatened to impose on EU goods of up to 30% from August 1.
“The agreement reached with Japan is clearly extortionate in terms. Most member states are swallowing their anger and are likely to accept the deal,” an EU diplomat said.
The two sides will exempt some products, including aircraft, spirits and medical equipment, from tariffs.
The agreement between the US and Japan has also left Brussels reluctant to accept higher reciprocal tariffs to avoid a damaging trade war, according to the Financial Times.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold reached its target at $3,430, it failed to break above this important resistance level and fell slightly. The decline brought gold back to test the support confluence area, which is the location of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement with the lower edge of the price channel. And with the current position, gold still technically has enough conditions for a possible increase in price.
Specifically, gold is still in/above the supports from the short-term price channel, the long-term rising price channel and the support from the EMA21, as long as gold is still trading above the EMA21, it still has a bullish outlook in the short term. On the other hand, the short-term target is still at 3,430 USD, while once the 3,430 USD level is broken, it will provide the possibility of further upside with the next target at around 3,450 USD in the short term, more than the all-time high.
RSI remains above 50, far from the 80 – 100 area (overbought area). Showing that there is still a lot of room for upside ahead.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices continues to favor upside and notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,371 – 3,350 USD
Resistance: 3,400 – 3,430 – 3,450 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3421 - 3419⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3425
→Take Profit 1 3413
↨
→Take Profit 2 3407
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3354 - 3356⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3350
→Take Profit 1 3362
↨
→Take Profit 2 3368
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Friday. Taking a look at the 4 hour chart, I have marked my current area of interest for potential scalp buy / sell trade set ups for gold today. We are curretnly retesting / revisiting the area where gold originally broke out from. Let's see if we move back up to take out any short positions in profit, or do we keep pushing down and break past the bottom of the channel. Trade the trend and never try to force or rush a trade. Shout out to Big G. Let's see how things play out over the next hour or so. If I take a trade, I will post a chart or update this one. Otherwise, have a great weekend. Be well and trade the trend.
Gold: ascending triangle sets up big opportunityGold has traded sideways for 93 days, but breakout traders should take note. A clear ascending triangle is forming, offering a high reward-to-risk setup. I walk through the key levels, breakout zone, and why this could lead to a 6x return. Bulls may be frustrated, but momentum is building. Are you ready?
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