No Bottom Yet: Gold’s Technical Targets Point LowerSince Monday, I’ve been saying that Gold hasn’t finished correcting, and the price action is now confirming that view. The drop continued with breaks below two key levels: the 3300 figure and the 3270 support, which was the recent low.
After some sideways action (a bit of a limbo), we finally got the clean breakdown. At the time of writing, price sits at 3248, having just bounced slightly from the 3240 support, which aligns with mid-April’s ATH.
Now comes the big question: Is Gold done correcting?
In my opinion, not yet – and here’s why:
Technical reasons for further downside:
1. The break below 3270 is significant and opens the door to deeper correction.
2. We now have two measured targets:
📉 Measured range target: ~1000 pips → puts price below 3200.
📉 First leg down: ~2500 pips → could push price closer to the 3000 zone.
Trading Plan:
The strategy remains unchanged: sell the rallies. As long as price stays below 3270-3290 zone, downside continuation is the base case.
A move towards at least 3200 looks very probable – and deeper levels can't be ruled out.
Don’t rush to call a bottom – let the market show when the correction is really done. Until then, the bias stays bearish. 🚀
P.S: Expect great volatility to remain
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold Rally Continues (Bullish)XAUUSD (GOLD) 4H chart breaking out from Wave (4) with a clean Elliott Wave structure
Targeting the 3,480+ zone for Wave (5) — Fibonacci + EMA confluence + breakout confirmation all lining up!
Entry zone was right near the 0.5–0.618 fib sweet spot 🟦
Now we ride the wave
Current trade idea: Long bias
🎯 Target: $3,480
🛑 Risk: Below $3,166
🔍 Strategy: Wave theory + EMA trend confirmation + structure break
Let me know if you're in this move too — and drop a 🔥 if you caught the setup!
XAUUSD: Intraday Bullish Move Up To $3400! The OANDA:XAUUSD price has shown strong bullish momentum, indicating it will likely continue to rise above $3400. However, the price is currently volatile and is likely to remain so.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
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Lingrid | GOLD Market COMPRESSION: Coiling Up Before BREAKOUTOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a potential triangle pattern after bouncing from support near 3,220, where multiple key levels converge. The price is holding above the short-term upward trend-line, showing signs of compression. If buyers defend this area again, we could see a breakout toward the 3,380 resistance. Until then, the pair remains in a consolidation phase.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3,280 – 3,290
Buy trigger: bounce from trend-line
Target: 3,380
Sell trigger: break below 3,280 with confirmation
💡 Risks
Gold remains sensitive to USD news — strong data can limit upside.
A sudden break of the triangle base may shift bias to bearish.
Volatility expected ahead of key macro releases this week.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
XAU/USD: Weak Support and Potential Reversal in FocusKey Features of the Chart:
Volume Profile Analysis:
The highlighted volume profile on the left shows concentrated trading activity around the 1D POC (Point of Control) at $3,272.200. This suggests the POC is a critical pivot level for the market.
Support Insights:
The horizontal yellow line labeled "Weak Support Because It Has Been Hit So Many Times" at $3,272.200 indicates a crucial support level. However, repeated tests of this level may weaken it, making it susceptible to a breakdown.
Market Sentiment:
The blue arrow suggests a potential upward movement from the current price. This could indicate a bullish bias if buyers defend the support at $3,272.200.
Current Price Action:
The price seems to hover near the weak support, showcasing market indecision. Traders are likely waiting for a clearer breakout or bounce signal.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Case:
If buyers manage to defend the weak support at $3,272.200, a potential rebound could occur.
Traders might consider long positions targeting resistance areas near $3,300 or higher.
Use a stop-loss just below the $3,270 level to manage risks.
Bearish Case:
If the price breaks below the weak support of $3,272.200, expect a bearish continuation toward lower levels, such as $3,250 or $3,200.
Short positions could be considered here, with a stop-loss above the POC.
Closing Thoughts: This chart provides a clear focus on critical support and volume zones. Traders should monitor price action around the 1D POC and weak support level for reliable signals.
Remember: Consistency | Discipline | Perseverance are the keys to staying ahead.
Analysis of gold operation strategy next week
The latest April non-farm payrolls report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has attracted much attention from the market. The report shows that the U.S. economy added 177,000 jobs that month, higher than the market expectation of 130,000, indicating that the U.S. labor market still shows strong resilience. At the same time, the unemployment rate remained at 4.2%, in line with market expectations, while the previously released March data was revised down from 228,000 to 185,000. This data adjustment is an official routine operation. In terms of wages, the average hourly wage increased slightly lower than the market expectation of 0.2% month-on-month, and fell short of the expected 0.3%; however, the year-on-year growth rate remained at 3.8%, higher than the current inflation level, suggesting that real income is still showing an upward trend.
After the release of the non-farm data, the market reacted quickly but the trend was divided. Spot gold fell about $9 to $3,250/ounce within a minute after the data was released, but then quickly rebounded to $3,255/ounce, with an intraday increase of 0.56%. In the short term, the two price levels of 3,260 and 3,265 have become the resistance levels of market attention. Overall, the unexpected performance of the non-farm payrolls in April has boosted the market's short-term confidence. However, the downward revision of historical data and external uncertainties still keep investors cautious. Risk assets may still have some room for growth in the short term, but in the medium and long term, downside risks are gradually accumulating.
After the release of the non-farm payrolls, the price of gold fell as expected, but then quickly bottomed out and rebounded, continuing to fluctuate. The impact of recent non-farm payrolls on the gold market seems to be gradually weakening, and its volatility is even less than usual. The gold 1-hour moving average crosses the downward short position arrangement, and eventually continues to diverge downward. Gold is now under pressure to fall back at the 3270 line, so next week, around 3270 will still be the key turning point for gold bulls and bears. Although gold has rebounded, the decline is not large. If gold is under pressure at 3270 next week and does not break, it will be a shock at most. Gold bulls will not reverse easily for the time being.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to short gold near 3260 next week, with a stop loss at 3270 and a target of 3240
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
Gold depends on GDP numbersTechnical analysis: Gold naturally found Buyers as Buying pressure is evident on the charts from DX on Selling sequence. It is important to note that #3,300.80 is new / old Resistance, which was near Weekly High’s as Price-action could find strong rejection there and deny the Buying response in extension. If broken, Price-action will be calling for #3,327.80 extension once again which represents local Top's for current fractal. I will engage my orders accordingly and wait for suitable entry even though I have closed my order ahead of the final push above the Resistance. However, Gold re-tested and was again rejected on the Hourly 4 chart’s Support keeping the Bullish bias alive. The Engulfing candle Bearish reversal candle on Hourly 1 chart succeeded at rejecting the Price-action and catching already the #32% Fibonacci level. I expect the last Daily chart’s candle to test again the #3,272.80 former Resistance now turned to Support when DX finds the Support zone and engages relief rally.
My position: As mentioned above, Gold is ranging and Scalpers are getting most of the returns out of this Price-action. I will await GDP numbers and only then make my move.
Gold Stuck in Limbo- Sell Rallies, Ride the DropAfter the explosive rally that pushed Gold up to the 3500 area, the market quickly reversed with a sharp sell-off on April 22–23, dropping almost 2500 pips.
Since then, price has entered a consolidation phase.
Initially, the range was between 3270 and 3370, but since yesterday, the range has started to tighten — a classic sign that a breakout is approaching.
Looking at the structure, we’re dealing with a blow-off top followed by a range with clear support and resistance levels. In this context, I lean toward a downside breakout.
The key support is now at 3300 — and a break below it would likely expose 3270 again.
However, I don’t expect the move to stop there. If 3300 is broken, a continuation toward the 3200 zone becomes very likely.
🔹 Trading Plan:
As long as price stays below the 3360–3370 resistance zone, the strategy is to sell rallies, especially when price approaches the upper boundary of the range. Entries can be taken on rejection candles or confirmation patterns near resistance, with stops just above 3370. If 3300 breaks, watch for continuation setups toward 3200.
Only a sustained breakout above 3370 with strong bullish momentum would invalidate the bearish scenario and call for a reassessment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Short: H&S and Wave 3 downOver here, I've labelled all the waves breakdown as well as drawing a tilted head-and-shoulders. I believe that we are going into a wave 3 (minute degree) that is supported by the formation of the right shoulder.
I expect the neckline to be broken which will then goes down to the first resistance provided by the lower blue trendline.
The next resistance in green will be our first TP target. This is where we can choose to reduce the position, or to adjust the stop loss down in order to ride the position. As the lower target cannot be seen without squeezing the chart and causing the waves breakdowns to be unclear, I will update again when that happens.
The stop loss is above the right shoulder.
Good luck!
Non-agricultural prospective data analysis Operation suggestions📌Fundamentals:
📊Technical aspects:
Technically, spot gold is in a downward trend in the short term, and there is a certain rebound or shock at the key support level. At the 4-hour level, the gold price is running above the lower track of the Bollinger Band, and the opening shows signs of contraction. The MACD indicator dead cross is gradually closing, and the RSI indicator is running in the 35-45 range, showing that the long and short forces are relatively balanced.
🎯Practical strategy:
3260-3270 light position short, target 3225-3200. When it reaches 3225-3200 and stabilizes, try to go long, target 3250-3270.
Today's rebound continues to be short!The logic behind the current rise and fall of gold has changed. The main factors for the previous crazy rise in gold and the decline at 3,500 were the tariff war, which has gradually turned from tension to relaxation. The latest news shows that the two sides are trying to contact each other to prepare for the next round of negotiations.
Later, we should focus on the Federal Reserve. Trump previously asked the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to reduce the impact of the tariff war on the economy. Powell's resistance once made Trump want to change the chairman of the Federal Reserve. The big non-agricultural data on Friday was better than expected, which means that the time for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates will be delayed, which is bad for the gold market. Therefore, gold may fall further at the beginning of next week.
On the other hand, after the world's largest gold ETF reduced its positions significantly since the peak of 3,500 on April 22, it has continued to reduce its positions slightly during this period, and there has been no obvious increase in positions, which reflects that gold has further bottoming out.
The daily line on Friday closed with a cross K, following three consecutive negatives. From a technical point of view, it is either a signal of continued decline or a reversal. Combined with the news data and the overall trend, the probability of continued decline is very high.
On the one hand, the rebound strength on the hourly and 4-hour charts is not strong, and the upward continuity is poor. The 100-day moving average is always under pressure to fall, and the trend is still bearish.
On the other hand, the adjustment on the daily and weekly lines has not yet ended, and the indicators show that there is still further decline. Next week, we should focus on the 618 golden section position of 3160. As for whether it can be the bottom position, in addition to the price point, it is also necessary to consider the K-line pattern comprehensively. We will talk about it next week.
Therefore, for gold on Monday, we can rely on the 3264-3268 line of pressure to continue shorting, and the limit of the pullback cannot exceed the 618 position of 3275, which is the watershed. The support below is 3222-3224, and if it breaks, it will hit the low point of 3201-3202, which may not be maintained.
XAUUSD DAILY PLAN & MARKET UPDATE — APRIL 30, 2025Not predictions. Structure. Logic. Execution.
📍 What Happened:
🔻 3315–3325 SELL → Perfect rejection → Drop of 200+ pips
🔁 Retest at 3314 → Confirmed OB rejection zone
❌ 3284–3288 BUY → Invalidated, BOS clean
✅ 3260–3270 BUY → Real reaction zone. OB + FVG + full discount → Delivered bounce
👁🗨 Eyes On (Into NY Session & May 1):
3315–3325 = Decision zone
→ Break = bullish reversal
→ Rejection = new short trigger
3260–3270 = Key support. If holds = bounce continuation
3252–3244 = Next strong buy zone if 3260 fails
3350 / 3385 = Targets only if bullish breakout occurs post-news
🧠 Current Bias:
🔸 HTF Trend: Consolidation under ATH → bearish-leaning
🔹 LTF Flow: Bearish structure unless 3315 flips
🎯 Bias: Neutral-bearish → shifting bullish only above 3325
📊 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
Zone Type Level(s) Commentary
🔻 Resistance 3385 HTF FVG zone / reversal risk
🔻 Resistance 3350 Clean target above breakout
🔻 Resistance 3325 Final barrier before shift
🔻 Flip Zone 3315–3320 Must flip to validate bulls
🔁 Retest 3308–3312 Last OB rejection
⚖️ Mid Zone 3286–3292 Retest structure, weak
✅ Support 3260–3270 Confirmed bounce zone
🟩 Demand 3252–3244 Next high-conviction buy zone
🟢 Discount 3220–3235 Long-term OB zone
🟢 Discount 3192–3205 Extreme discount + FVG
🗓️ MACRO FOR MAY 1:
🗣️ 15:30 Trump Speech
📉 15:30 Unemployment Claims (forecast: 224K)
🏭 15:45 Final Manufacturing PMI
🏭 17:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI + Prices
⚠️ Expect high volatility. Prepare for breakout setups only after structure confirms — not before.
🎯 Final Note:
If 3315–3325 breaks cleanly → we’re heading to 3350 / 3385.
If it holds → we hunt reentry shorts with sniper precision.
This is not a place to guess. It’s where real traders wait.
—
📌 Like plans built on logic, not luck?
Drop a 🧠 if this structure helped you.
🔥 Follow if you're done with signal-chasing and ready to trade like a sniper.
Gold shorts coming?
Gold broke through and fell sharply, hitting the lowest level of 3200, breaking the previous shock pattern.
Friday's non-agricultural data was unexpectedly negative, and the rebound was under pressure at the top and bottom conversion level of 3268. The daily line closed with a cross K, and the overall shock remained.
Driving logic changes, and the impact of the tariff war weakens
The tariff tension that pushed gold to 3500 in the early stage has gradually eased, and the market focus has shifted to the Fed's policy.
The Fed's interest rate cut expectations have been postponed, and the non-agricultural data is strong, which strengthens the Fed's position of maintaining high interest rates, and gold is under pressure in the short term.
ETF positions continue to decrease. The world's largest gold ETF has continued to reduce its positions since it peaked on April 22, reflecting the bearish sentiment in the market.
Technical analysis
The daily structure, the cross K followed by three consecutive negatives, is usually a signal of continued decline. Combined with the bearish fundamentals, the probability of downward movement is relatively high.
The adjustment is not over yet, and attention should be paid to whether 3160 (61.8% golden ratio) can form support.
Short-term trend
The hourly chart rebound is weak, and the 100-day moving average continues to be under pressure, and the trend is still bearish.
Key positions and operation strategies
Pressure level: 3268-3275 (top and bottom conversion position), the extreme pullback does not break the 3280 watershed.
Support level: 3222-3224 (short-term support), break down to the 3200 mark, further target 3160.
Strategy:
Short at the beginning of the week based on the 3275-3268 pressure level, stop loss above 3280, target 3220-3200.
If it falls below 3200, follow up with short orders to 3160; if it stabilizes, observe the reversal signal.
Summary
Gold is dominated by shorts in the short term, and the operation is mainly rebound shorting, focusing on the Fed's policy expectations and the performance of the key support of 3160.
How to Regain Your Trading MOJOEvery trader, no matter how experienced, eventually hits a rough patch — a period where trades don’t work out, motivation fades, and confidence slips away.
If you feel like you've lost your trading mojo, you're not alone. The key is not to quit but to rebuild it methodically.
Here’s how to get your trading energy back on track:
1. Accept That Slumps Are Normal
First, realize that losing your mojo is part of the trading journey.
Even the best traders experience drawdowns — emotionally and financially.
Acknowledging that this phase is temporary immediately removes some of the pressure and guilt.
Self-acceptance is your first weapon.
2. Reduce Risk and Slow Down
When your confidence is low, lower your position size.
Trade smaller. Risk less.
You don’t need to stop trading completely — you need to stop damaging yourself further.
Think of it as “active recovery,” much like athletes training lightly after an injury.
3. Go Back to Basics
Strip your trading plan down to the essentials:
- Focus on one setup you trust.
- Use clear entry and exit rules.
- Avoid complicated strategies or "revenge trading."
Simplicity restores clarity, and clarity brings confidence.
4. Reframe Losses Mentally
Instead of seeing losses as failures, view them as fees for learning.
Ask yourself after each trade:
- "Was this trade according to my plan?"
- "Did I respect my stop loss?"
If yes, you are winning — even if the trade loses money.
Consistency in good decision-making rebuilds emotional momentum.
5. Visualize the Trader You Want to Be
Take 5 minutes each day to visualize yourself executing perfect trades:
- Calmly analyzing.
- Patiently waiting.
- Executing your plan without emotion.
Your brain needs new emotional associations with trading — not fear and anxiety, but calm and focus.
6. Set Tiny Wins
Don't chase the big win right away.
Set micro-goals like:
- "I will follow my stop loss rules today."
- "I will not overtrade today."
- "I will wait for my setup."
Achieving small wins daily rebuilds your trader identity brick by brick.
Final Thoughts :
Regaining your trading mojo is less about finding a "magic moment" and more about stacking good habits and resetting your mind.
You don't need a new system, a new market, or a lucky break.
You need to reconnect with the disciplined, focused trader within you.
Stay patient, stay structured, and remember — your mojo isn’t lost forever. It’s just waiting for you to catch up. 🚀
XauUsd bullish outlook✅ Reasons for Entry:
✅ Third Touch on H4 Extreme Trendline confirms clean anchor & rejection
✅ Strong RBS zone at 3235 — previously supported upward impulsive move
✅ Visible demand rejection wicks on H1 and M15 — signs of buyer defense
✅ Bullish market structure still intact on D1 (trend continuation bias)
✅ Extreme Trendline + Structure + Rejection = High-probability setup
Auto Generated by Custom Smart Trading Chart AI
Bearish and bullish possibility The market created a 4h descending triangle and it broke out and retested but now it seems to be creating an ascending triangle pattern below, if the descending triangle plays out we could see the market reach within the weekly fvg at the 3185 area which will present buying opportunities and if the ascending triangle plays out we could reach the 3387 area, overall we just have to wait and react accordingly
XAUUSD Analysis: Make or break
Price is currently approaching a key Level.
Upside Scenario: If XAUUSD breaks above 3270 and holds, we may see a bullish move towards the 3310 target.
Downside Scenario: If price fails to break above and instead breaks below the trendline, it could trigger a downside move toward 3200.
Watch for confirmation before entering any position.
The latest trend of the gold market and operation suggestionsAt present, on the daily chart, gold closed with a medium-sized bearish candle. In the early trading session, it directly broke below the crucial defensive level of 3,370, thoroughly opening up the adjustment range. Meanwhile, it triggered the MACD indicator to form a death cross. Now that the gold price has reached a new low, the dominant strategy for the early trading session is still to sell on rallies.
On the 4-hour chart, in today's early trading session, the price directly broke down and smoothly pierced through the support area ranging from 3,270 to 3,260, realizing the transformation between the top and the bottom. At the 1-hour level, not only has it broken below the previous low of 3,260, but the moving averages have also formed a death cross, indicating strong bearish momentum. It is advisable to sell decisively when the gold price rebounds to around 3,270, which is the densely traded area at the lower part of the recent box consolidation. If the rebound fails to even reach the vicinity of 3,260, in an extremely bearish market situation, the downward space for the gold price will be further expanded.
Overall, for short-term trading of gold, the operation strategy should mainly focus on selling on rallies, supplemented by taking light long positions on pullbacks. Pay close attention to the resistance range from 3,235 to 3,245 on the upside, and closely monitor the support levels from 3,200 to 3,190 on the downside.
XAUUSD
sell@3225-3230
tp:3210-3200
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
Next Move PossibleAs of April 29, 2025, the XAU/USD (gold) market remains highly volatile, influenced by geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, and central bank policies. Here’s an overview of the current outlook and potential next moves for gold prices:
📈 Current Market Overview
• Record Highs: Gold prices recently reached a record high of nearly $3,500 per ounce, driven by concerns over U.S.-China trade tensions, inflation, and geopolitical instability. 
• Recent Pullback: Following the peak, gold experienced a slight retreat, trading around $3,350 per ounce. This pullback is attributed to easing trade tensions and reassurances from U.S. President Trump regarding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. 
🔮 Forecast and Key Levels
• Short-Term Support Levels: Analysts have identified key support levels at $3,145, $2,955, and $2,790, based on historical highs and Fibonacci retracement levels. 
• Resistance and Profit-Taking: The $3,500 region is seen as a potential profit-taking point if gold mounts a recovery. 
• Long-Term Outlook: JP Morgan forecasts that gold prices will surpass $4,000 per ounce by Q2 2026, driven by heightened recession risks amid escalating U.S. tariffs and a prolonged U.S.-China trade conflict. Goldman Sachs also revised its 2025 year-end gold price forecast to $3,700/oz, noting that in extreme scenarios, gold could approach $4,500/oz. 
⚠️ Risks and Considerations
• Potential Decline: Morningstar analyst Jon Mills predicts a 38% decline in gold prices over the next five years, potentially falling to $1,820 per ounce, due to increased gold production and waning interest from central banks and investors. 
• Market Volatility: Gold’s status as a safe-haven asset makes it susceptible to sharp price swings in response to economic data releases, central bank decisions, and geopolitical developments.
For more updates follow my profile and share your thoughts.
GOLD SELL ANALYSIS The $3266:$3267 sell zone for gold likely refers to a resistance level or a strategic price point where investors or traders are inclined to sell. Several factors could contribute to this sell zone:
- *Resistance Levels*: $3266:$3267 might be a key resistance area, where gold prices have historically faced selling pressure or struggled to break through.
- *Technical Analysis*: Traders may be using technical indicators, such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), or Bollinger Bands, to identify $3266:$3267 as a selling opportunity.
- *Market Sentiment*: Shifts in market sentiment, driven by news, economic data, or geopolitical events, could lead to increased selling pressure around $3266:$3267.
- *Profit-Taking*: Investors might be looking to take profits at $3266:$3267, especially if they've seen significant gains in gold