XAUUSDK trade ideas
HelenP. I Gold may continue to fall to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. The trend line on this price chart has been acting as a clear descending dynamic resistance. Every attempt to break above it resulted in a rejection, which confirmed the sellers' dominance in this area. After several touches and a breakout through the trend line, the price managed to climb higher but failed to hold above the key resistance zone around 3360 - 3375 points. A visible price gap formed during this rise, followed by another gap closer to the resistance zone, which could now act as magnets for retracement. Currently, the market is pulling back after reaching that resistance area, and the short-term structure still shows signs of weakness. The price is forming lower highs, and bullish attempts are being met with selling pressure. Given the historical respect for the trend line and the reaction near the resistance zone, I expect a short-lived rise, followed by a continuation of the downward move. My goal is the 3205 support level, which aligns with the lower boundary of the current price structure and fills the imbalance left behind by previous gaps. That’s why I remain bearish and set my goal at this level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD📌 Current Bias:
Short-term Bias: Bearish retracement in progress.
Medium-term Bias: Still bullish, unless price breaks below the 0.5–0.618 zone and forms a CHoCH with continuation.
✅ Trading Opportunities:
1. Bullish Continuation
-Entry: Between 3,260–3,270 (demand + 0.382 zone)
-Confirmation: I-CHoCH or bullish BOS on lower timeframes (e.g., 1H)
-Target: 3,338–3,350 (supply), then HH zone
2. Bearish Rejection
-Entry: If price retests 3,338–3,340 and forms a bearish CHoCH again
-Target: 3,250 (imbalance) and 3,200 (0.618 Fib)
XAUUSD Rejection from Fib + OB Combo | Bearish Continuation?XAUUSD | Premium Smart Money Short Setup 🎯
This GOLD setup is a straight-up institutional-grade bearish continuation. Let’s break down why this is a high-probability short for Smart Money Traders.
🔍 1. Market Context
Price is trending inside a clear descending channel, tapping into the lower boundary and now pulling back.
We just had a reaction from the mid-supply zone, and price is now rebalancing into the Order Block (OB) aligned with:
🔻 79% Fibonacci Retracement
🔻 Previous Structure Break
🔻 OB + imbalance fill zone
🧱 2. Bearish Confluences
📉 Descending Channel = bearish structure
🟣 Order Block Zone = high-value area for institutional entries
📐 Fibonacci Levels = 61.8%, 70.5%, and 79% all stacked
💥 OB + 79% = high-prob sniper short
🕳 Imbalance + Liquidity Sweep = likely short continuation
🎯 3. Trade Idea
Entry: 3282.00–3290.00 (OB + 79% Fib)
Stop Loss: 3294.00 (above OB wick)
Take Profit: 3245.00 zone (channel bottom)
Perfect RR setup 👇
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
💰 Entry: ~3285
🔒 SL: ~3294
📍 TP: ~3245
✅ RRR ≈ 1:4.3 = sniper level swing short 🎯
🧠 5. Smart Money Logic
Liquidity Sweep above minor high before short = engineered trap
OB reaction at fib premium zone = smart entry
Continuation expected unless price closes above 3295
📌 Save this chart — this is Smart Money flow in action
💬 Drop “Gold OB SMC 🔥” in comments if you saw this coming
🔁 Repost to help fellow traders master fib+OB sniper entries
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/30/2025Gold indeed behaved as predicted. It went down to 3245 and reversed above 3280 and continued until touching 3330. As shown in the chart, the trendline was broken and I am looking for buying opportunity from the retest of the trendline. If 3330 is broken, my 1st target will be 3345 and ultimate target for today is 3365.
forecast 02/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.
GOLD Consolidation not over but long term still bullish.Gold / XAUUSD hasn't changed it's long term trend, which remains bullish inside a Channel Up since October 2023.
However, it is more likely than not, to extend the consolidation it is having since April 21st, which is no different than the 3 previous consolidation phases this Channel Up had.
After they got completed, strong rallies followed, the less strong of which was +18.51%.
Stay bullish, target 3700.
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XAUUSD GOLD Possible Move 26 May 2026Gold is currently retracing into a key demand zone between 3323–3326, aligning with two strong technical confirmations:
Horizontal Support Zone:
Price previously reacted strongly from this area, establishing a visible support level now being retested.
Ascending Trendline Support:
A well-respected trendline, connecting multiple higher lows, coincides perfectly with the current retracement, adding structural strength to the zone.
Additionally, price action shows signs of liquidity sweep and internal bullish structure, suggesting a possible reversal after stop-hunting weak longs.
Expecting a bullish reaction from this confluence zone targeting the next intraday resistance.
📈 Trade Signal – XAUUSD Buy
Entry Zone: 3323 – 3326
Stop Loss: Below 3317.89 (below the trendline and liquidity sweep zone)
Take Profits: 3336/40/45 (recent supply / minor resistance)
Trade Idea:
Buy from demand zone + trendline support with clear invalidation. Looking for price to bounce and revisit recent highs. Clean intraday opportunity with minimal drawdown expected.
✅ Confluences:
Strong support retest
Trendline touch
Liquidity sweep behavior
Bullish reaction expected from demand
change trendwe have a break of first support at 3252 signaling an impulsive downtrend followed by news of US court blocking Trump's tariffs, says president exceeded his authority and this is a main bearish news for gold, the projection is widening based on dashed trendline and lower hights with lower lows, if price holds lower than 3252$ we have to lookout for next liquidity areas at lq 1-2-3
Technical Analysis on XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) – Bullish Reversal📊 Chart Overview:
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on a lower timeframe shows a potential bullish reversal setup. The price action has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, but now a bullish momentum is building up, suggesting a possible breakout to the upside.
🔍 Key Observations:
🟠 Swing Points Identified:
The orange circles mark significant swing highs and lows, clearly outlining a recent downtrend.
The latest swing low (bottom-right) shows a strong rejection with a bullish engulfing candle forming, indicating buyer interest.
📦 Demand Zone (Support Area):
The grey rectangle near the lower region marks a demand zone where buyers have stepped in before.
Price has reacted strongly from this zone again, validating it as a key support level.
📉 Resistance Turned Potential Breakout Zone:
The red line (~3,291.416) represents a resistance level that was previously support.
Price has broken above it and now appears to be retesting it, indicating a possible retest-confirmation for a bullish continuation.
🎯 Target & Risk Management:
✅ Entry: Confirmed breakout and retest around 3,291.
📈 Target: 3,364.819 (green zone above), based on previous resistance.
❌ Stop Loss: Below 3,267.772, the recent swing low.
The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
🧭 Projection Path:
The white arrowed path illustrates a likely pullback before continuation upward, suggesting a bullish structure if confirmed.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of a bullish reversal from a well-defined demand zone, with a potential rally toward the 3,365 area. A successful retest of the broken resistance as new support would strengthen the bullish bias.
📌 Watch closely for confirmation candles on the retest before entering.
Gold analysis in the daily time form4. Trading Strategy :
Long Setup :
Entry : If the price retests 3,350,000 as support (with strong volume).
Take Profit : 3,700,000.
Stop Loss : 3,300,000.
Short Setup :
Entry : If the price breaks down below 3,350,000 and reaches 3,241,372 (Fibonacci 0.5).
Take Profit : 3,150,000.
Stop Loss : 3,400,000.
5. Key Notes :
Volume at key levels (e.g., 3,350,000) must confirm the breakout or breakdown.
The asset symbol (labeled as USD ) is unclear, but it could represent a stock index or cryptocurrency .
Always use risk management tools (e.g., stop-loss) to limit losses.
Summary :
A strong bullish trend is confirmed after breaking above the consolidation zone.
3,350,000 is a critical level — a breakdown could reverse the trend.
3,700,000 is the long-term target for buyers.
XAUUSD 4H | Symmetrical Squeeze Breakout Incoming – Bearish Bias📉 Description:
Gold is currently consolidating at the apex of a descending triangle / symmetrical squeeze, hovering between dynamic resistance from the EMA 20 and a confluence of horizontal supply + trendline.
We’re seeing repeated rejections near $3,300, and price is now sitting below both the 20 EMA and the 68 EMA, showing a shift in short-term momentum.
I’m watching for a clean break and close below $3,285, which could trigger a sharp move toward the next demand zone around $3,203. That zone also aligns with the lower white trendline support, offering a possible bounce or continuation target.
⸻
🔧 Confluences:
• Trendline resistance + horizontal supply
• EMA 20 and 68 compressing price
• Lower highs forming with no bullish momentum
• Bearish engulfing candle rejection near $3,300
• Symmetrical wedge breakout setup
⸻
📍Bias: Bearish
📉 Entry Trigger: Break + close below wedge + MA zone
🎯 Target: $3,203
📛 Invalidation: Clean break back above $3,300 structure
Gold Holding Pattern – Key Resistance AheadHey, friends
On the 4-hour time frame, TVC:XAU is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, but we haven’t seen any breakout yet, we’re still trading inside the triangle.
If we look at the LTF, we’re currently at the 0.236 FIB level, which isn’t a very strong buying zone, but technically, we’ve broken out of a falling wedge and are now retesting it.
That looks pretty good, and if this setup plays out well, we could see an upward move toward $3,470.
However, there’s a strong resistance around $3,350 to $3,370 that we need to break first. If we break that, it will also confirm the breakout of the symmetrical triangle from the 4-hour chart.
So keep an eye on those areas!
#GOLD #forextrading
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Reversal Setup – Inverse Head & ShoulderDescription (Safe for TradingView):
Gold on the 15-minute chart is forming a classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The structure is well-formed with the Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder clearly visible.
✅ Key Technical Highlights:
Neckline breakout occurred around the 3303.165 level.
Price is currently retesting the neckline as support.
Volume confirms breakout strength.
Potential for upward movement toward the 3340–3350 zone if support holds.
🔵 Support Zone: 3302–3303
🔴 Risk Management: Stop below recent swing low (near 3288)
🟢 Target Zone: 3340+
📊 Always follow your risk management rules. This is a potential opportunity, not financial advice.
XAUUSD: Is the Downtrend Likely to Continue?OANDA:XAUUSD is a classic case of a market continuing its downtrend after rejecting resistance within a clearly defined descending channel. This move indicates that sellers are stepping in and maintaining the bearish structure inside the channel.
If the downward momentum persists, we could see a move toward the 3,250 level , which aligns with a significant internal support area within the channel. This zone could serve as a short-term target. A decisive break below this level may open the door to further declines. However, failure to sustain this bearish move could result in a retest of the upper channel boundary.
Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as lower highs forming below the recent supply zone or strong bearish candles near resistance before considering short setups.
If you agree with this outlook or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
Gold price recovers with PCE news?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices rebounded from weekly lows near $3,245 and surged past the $3,300 mark on Thursday, buoyed by a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report and optimism following a U.S. court ruling that halted President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,318, up 0.94% on the day.
The rally was fueled by data from the U.S. Department of Labor showing that jobless claims rose more than forecast, surpassing both market expectations and the previous week’s figures—an indication of potential softening in the labor market that weighed on the U.S. Dollar and boosted demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Price zone 3300, gold price accumulated in the past 2 weeks. waiting for fluctuations from tariffs
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3363- 3365 SL 3370
TP1: $3352
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3328
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3280- $3282 SL $3275
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3310
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD - Potential Bearish SetupWe're currently reacting off a mid-range POI after a CHoCH and BOS confirmation from the upside.
Price tapped into an internal POI and showed minor bullish structure.
Expecting a deeper pullback into a secondary POI area (gray box) before continuation down.
Short-term liquidity sweep is possible before major move.
Clean target levels marked based on imbalance and previous structure.
Extrem POI: Last push before drop – high probability supply.
High Prob POI: Origin of last BOS – could react again.
Target: LTF liquidity and imbalance fill zone.
📉 Bias: Bearish
🕐 Timeframe: 30m
⚠️ Wait for confirmation entry near the upper POI zone.
Trade Setup – May 28, 2025After reviewing today’s price action, I realized I missed the bigger move earlier due to lack of focus. The big setup was there — but we took the small one, and luckily it still gave a nice retest entry. ✅
Now here’s the main idea:
🔹 Price is approaching a major supply zone around 3320–3323 (marked with 💰).
🔹 This level lines up with:
- Asia session high
- A clean internal liquidity pocket
- Trendline resistance and minor FVG
🧠 Plan: I’ll be watching for a liquidity sweep above 3320, then look for bearish confirmation (like rejection or engulfing). If it reacts, I’m in for the short.
🎯 Targeting a drop toward the 3290–3295 zone
🛑 SL above the sweep (tight and efficient risk)
Let’s see how it plays out — execution depends on how price behaves at the zone.
Gold back within my Neutral RectangleTechnical analysis: Gold maintains Selling sentiment (remember the cycle I mentioned regarding #14-day symmetry for aggressive takedown / Traders are witnessing it) from yesterday’s session Hourly 4 chart’s first Support break, however the pace has slowed down as Gold is already near #3,288.80 - #3,292.80 well known Support zone due Hourly 4 chart on critically Overbought condition near #3,327.80 local High's. Gold is isolated within Descending Channel formation and if there wasn’t DX on parallel decline, Gold would be significantly Lower under the circumstances. I highlighted that only catalyst which can revive the Price-action and kick-start the relief rally is on Fundamental side. The Hourly 4 chart’s indicators were showcasing that Gold was Overbought and most of my Intra-day pointers were about to make a Bearish roll-over as I believed that I should start preparing ourselves for a slight pullback (Short-term trend stays Bearish though however there will be Bull spikes certainly towards #3,327.80 - #3,332.80 local Resistance zone). Next Resistance is priced at #3,312.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,327.80 Resistance in extension. Gold has invalidated solid Ascending Channel on Hourly 4 chart and if you recall, delivered #2 additional Higher High’s (my chart’s explanation that Gold always delivers #3 Lower Low extensions ahead of full scale reversal, so practically I have one more Higher High’s to expect according to the cycle).
My position: My break-out zones are intact as in withih my previous remarks as I will keep operating within #3,288.80 - #3,227.80 Neutral Rectangle as long as it lasts. If #3,288.80 - #3,275.80 gives away, #3,262.80 - #3,268.80 is zone to monitor.
Gold XAUUSD Move 29 May 2025Price Action: The price recently approached the 3,320-3,325 resistance zone (highlighted by horizontal lines) and rejected it, forming a bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., shooting star / doji). This suggests strong selling pressure at this level.
Trendline: The trendline from the recent high shows a potential double top or head-and-shoulders pattern, reinforcing the likelihood of a reversal.
Support Levels: Immediate support lies around 3290/80 (previous consolidation zone).
Volume (implied): A spike in selling volume at 3,320-3,325 could confirm the rejection.
Analysis: The rejection at 3,320-3,325, combined with the trendline break, indicates a potential sell-off. The market may be shifting from bullish to bearish momentum, especially if the price closes below the recent low.
Signal: Sell at 3,320-3,325 if the price rejects again with a bearish candle confirmation. Target 3,200-3,250, stop loss above 3,335.