XAU/USD) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe, projecting further downside after rejection from a resistance zone aligned with a descending trendline.
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Analysis Summary
Trend Bias: Bearish
Current Price: ~$3,301.96
Structure: Price is respecting a descending channel, with multiple rejections from the upper boundary and key resistance zone.
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Key Technical Insights
1. Resistance Zone & Downtrend Line:
Price was rejected from a resistance block near the EMA 200 (~$3,331) and descending trendline.
This level has repeatedly triggered strong downside moves (highlighted with red arrows).
2. EMA 200 Reaction:
The EMA 200 at $3,331.10 is acting as dynamic resistance.
Each time price reaches or crosses above this line, selling pressure increases.
3. Bearish Price Projection:
After recent rejection, the chart anticipates a pullback to the support zone between $3,248.26 and $3,245.71.
A deeper drop toward $3,159.13 is projected as a next major target, consistent with previous price moves.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI at 40.24 suggests bearish momentum is still in play but not yet oversold—indicating room for more downside.
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Bearish Trade Idea
Element Level / Description
Entry Zone Below resistance: $3,310–$3,320
Target 1 $3,248.26–$3,245.71 (support zone)
Target 2 $3,159.13 (channel base / next support)
Stop-Loss Above $3,335 (above resistance zone)
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Risk Considerations
Fundamental catalysts: Gold is sensitive to USD strength, interest rate decisions, and macroeconomic data.
Invalidation: A strong breakout and close above the descending trendline and EMA 200 would negate the bearish outlook.
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Summary
This analysis outlines a bearish setup for XAU/USD, supported by trendline resistance, EMA rejection, and RSI momentum. If current structure holds, a move toward the $3,245 and $3,159 levels is likely.
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XAUUSDK trade ideas
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Absolutely beautiful to see our 1h chart idea playing out perfectly. After completing the bearish targets earlier this week, we had the ema5 cross and lock below 3306 opening the swing range.
- This played out perfectly hitting the first swing range level and doing exactly what it say son the tin giving the full swing into 3306 just like we highlighted.
We will now look for ema5 lock above 3306 for a continuation into the bullish targets above or failure to lock will see rejections into the lower Goldturns for suport and bounce.
If it continues to fail breakout above, into the first Bullish target, then we are likely to see the full swing range tested on the rejections.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3358
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3283 - DONE
3254
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal 3378 Zone
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual- Entry Intel
Zone Activated: Deep Analysis
➕ 4 wicks connected at 3378
➕ 7 wicks connected at 3385
➕ Body Close at 3370
➕ Body Close at 3385
➕ Liquidity at 3380
GOLD → Correction for confirmation before growthFX:XAUUSD is recovering due to increased demand as a safe-haven asset. After breaking through local trend resistance, an upward channel is beginning to form on the chart.
On Monday, gold tested the 3295-3300 zone (liquidity zone) and, against the backdrop of incoming economic data, is buying back the decline, forming a rather interesting pattern that could lead to continued growth, but there is a but!
Investors are reacting to President Trump's threats to impose tariffs on imports from a dozen countries starting August 1. In addition, the main question is the Fed's interest rate decision. The regulator is likely to leave the rate unchanged due to inflation risks.
Uncertainty surrounding tariffs is supporting interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. The market is awaiting further news and the publication of the Fed minutes on Wednesday.
Resistance levels: 3345, 3357, 3396
Support levels: 3320, 3311, 3295
A correction to support is forming. If the bulls hold their ground within the upward channel and above the key areas of interest, the focus will shift to 3345, a resistance level that could hold the market back from a possible rise. A breakout of this zone would trigger a rise to 3357-3396.
Best regards, R. Linda!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
That was a difficult move to capture! I would not blame anyone for getting frustrated and FOMO'ing. Thankfully, we stuck to our guns, price was manipulated but our targets are completed as is the move we highlighted on Sundays KOG Report. I even say here and thought what on earth are they doing, but, we gave a level of 3318 as the line in the sand, we bounced before that and BOOM, all Excalibur targets completed in one go.
Now, we have support below at the 3340-45 level which is where they may settle for the session, above 3340 we're still likely to see a retest of the level, however, we said there is a curveball this week, and look at what is happening. Can't remember the last time I saw price action this bad!
Price: 3337
RED BOXES:
Break above 3350 for 3355✅, 3362✅, 3370✅ and 3376✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3335 for 3330✅, 3322✅, 3320✅ and 3314 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe
KOG
XUA/USD) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) analysis on the 3-hour
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Gold (XAU/USD) 3H Technical Analysis Summary
Market Structure: Bullish breakout
Price has successfully broken above both the downtrend line and the support zone (highlighted in yellow), signaling a shift in structure from bearish to bullish.
Key Support Zone:
The yellow zone (~3,335–3,355) was previously a resistance area. After the breakout, it is acting as a strong support level and has been retested.
Trendlines:
Downtrend line: Broken and retested.
Uptrend line: Guiding current price action, supporting higher lows and forming an ascending channel.
200 EMA (blue line):
Price is trading above the EMA 200 (~3,331), confirming bullish bias and providing dynamic support.
Momentum (RSI 14):
RSI is around 67.85, showing strong bullish momentum.
Nearing overbought, so a minor pullback or consolidation could occur before continuation.
Volume:
Increase in buying volume near breakout area suggests institutional interest or strong buyer conviction.
Mr SMC trading point
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Conclusion:
Price has shifted into a bullish continuation pattern.
A successful break and retest of structure and trendlines increases the likelihood of further upside.
As long as price holds above the yellow support zone and the uptrend line, bullish momentum is favored.
Short-term pullbacks may offer new long opportunities.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Classic Breakout Trading📈GOLD has surpassed and closed above a significant intraday resistance level.
After retesting this level, the price created a small ascending triangle on the hourly chart, and we've observed a confirmed breakout of its neckline.
I plan to go long on the pair during the retest, anticipating further growth, with the next resistance target at 3327.
XAUUSD on mini rangeGold is currently holding Rangebound 3330-3345.
Break of this range will give proper next move.
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️if the H4 candle flips Above 3345 then keep buy set targets at 3365 then 3375.
Additional TIP:
Below 3330 I will Activate my resell and hold till 3315 then 3305.
All the entries should be taken if all the rules are applied
#XAUUSD
Gold price surge, today will have a decline✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD The recovery of the D1 candle and the closing candle above 3313 means that the market's downtrend has almost been broken.
The reaction at the current trendline 3284 is still very strong. The price is strongly supported by the buyers, causing gold to return to trading in a wide range.
The 3328 zone will be important in the near future. If it does not break, there will be a decline to the Gap price zone this morning. Trading according to the top-bottom method is suitable for the current market.
Support: 3312-3295-3279
Resistance: 3328-3339-3349-3363
Sell trigger: rejection from 3328–3,340 resistance block
Target: 3295 Support zone, followed by 3279 lower zone
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
GOLD Last move down Next Target after this Breakout?Gold edged higher on Tuesday ahead of key U.S. inflation data, which is expected to provide clearer insight into the Federal Reserve’s future interest rate decisions. Market participants are watching closely for any signals that could influence the dollar and yields, thereby impacting gold prices.
Technical Outlook:
Gold has entered a potential buy zone, showing signs of bullish support Price recently retested the 3353 level, forming a long squeeze setup and now aiming to challenge the resistance at 3373. A successful breakout above 3373 could open the path toward the 3400 and 3432 long-term targets.
On the downside, a retest of the key 3345 level is also possible. This zone between 3345 – 3353 is seen as strong support, and as long as bulls defend it, upward momentum remains likely.
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Gold Bullish Above 3342 – Watching 3365 BreakoutGold Futures Rise on Trade & Geopolitical Tensions
Gold continues to gain as renewed tariff threats from the U.S. and rising geopolitical risks weigh on market sentiment.
While markets have become somewhat desensitized to Trump’s recurring trade rhetoric, concerns remain that resolutions may be delayed.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the price holds above 3342, the bullish trend is likely to continue toward 3355 and 3365.
A stable close above 3365 would open the way to 3395.
However, a 1H close below 3342 may trigger a pullback to 3329.
Pivot: 3342
Resistance: 3355, 3365, 3395
Support: 3329, 3319, 3309
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Consolidation Within UptrendOANDA:XAUUSD market remain trapped in volatile sideways action within a broad consolidation range, following the recent strong rally. Despite the current noisy price behavior, the underlying longer-term bullish momentum remains intact.
Higher timeframe reveals critical technical levels, with gold testing the resistance zone around after breaking above the upward channel. The triangle pattern breakout suggests potential for higher targets, though the market is currently experiencing a corrective pullback near the $3,300 support level. The presence of multiple resistance tests indicates strong institutional interest at these elevated levels.
The 4H chart provides broader context, showing the A-B-C corrective structure from the June highs. The market appears to be forming a potential ascending triangle pattern, with the June high serving as key resistance. The current consolidation between the June high and low suggests accumulation before the next directional move.
Key levels to watch include the $3,300 support zone and the $3,400 resistance area. A decisive break above resistance could trigger another leg higher toward $3,500, while failure to hold support might see a retest of the $3,200 level. The overall structure suggests this consolidation is part of a larger bullish continuation pattern.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
XUA/USD) Bearish Analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown
Technical Analysis Summary
1. Descending Channel:
The price is moving within a clear descending channel, indicating a bearish market structure.
Recent price action rejected the upper boundary of the channel, strengthening the downtrend bias.
2. Resistance Rejection:
A key resistance level around 3,340–3,345 was retested (marked with a red arrow) and rejected.
Price has already shown early bearish candles post-rejection, suggesting weakness at that level.
3. 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
Price is currently hovering around the 200 EMA, and a clean break below it could accelerate the bearish move.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 46, below neutral 50, showing bearish momentum is building but not yet oversold.
No divergence is present, supporting the idea of continuation.
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Bearish Playbook
Entry Idea: After the rejection at the resistance zone and confirmation of lower highs.
Target: 3,313 – 3,310 zone (marked as the “key support level” and “target point”).
Risk Management: A stop loss above 3,345 (above the resistance zone) would be a prudent protection level.
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Confluences Supporting the Short Setup:
Rejection at horizontal resistance.
Alignment with the descending trendline/channel.
Price trading near or below the 200 EMA.
RSI slightly bearish.
Caution:
Watch out for any macroeconomic news or high-impact events (highlighted with the economic event icons) that could inject volatility.
A strong break back above the resistance could invalidate this bearish setup.
Mr SMC Trading point
Conclusion:
This setup anticipates a bearish continuation targeting the 3,310 support zone. Ideal for short-term traders looking for downside opportunities, provided price respects the trend and fails to reclaim the resistance.
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Gold continues to test resistance levels for a breakoutThe global trend is bullish, with gold undergoing a local correction. The price is attempting to avoid the liquidation zones located below.
The fourth retest of the trend resistance over the past two weeks is forming.
Regarding the current situation, gold is consolidating near the resistance level of 3329, a break of which could trigger growth.
Buyers are interested in gold due to the current geopolitical circumstances...
Scenario : If the bullish pattern remains intact and gold stays within the 3329-3315 range and continues to move towards resistance, another retest of 3329-3330 could lead to a breakout and growth.
XAUUSD Gold price moves closer to three-week peak amid modest USD downtick
Gold price regains positive traction amid a modest USD pullback from a multi-week high. Persistent trade-related uncertainties also lend support to the safe-haven precious metal. Reduced Fed rate cut bets might cap the commodity ahead of the critical US CPI repo
Fundamental Overview
Amid US President Donald Trump’s fresh tariff threats announced late Monday and his latest criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, Gold traders resorted to profit-taking after the bright metal hit a three-week high of $3,375 while bracing for the US inflation report for June.
Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Russia if President Vladimir Putin does not agree to a deal to end his invasion of Ukraine in 50 days, per Bloomberg.
Meanwhile, the US President renewed his attacks on Powell, noting that “interest rates should be at 1% or lower, rather than the 4.25% to 4.50% range the Fed has kept the key rate at so far this year.”
Markets now price in 50 basis points of Fed interest rate cuts by year-end, with the first reduction foreseen in September.
However, it remains to be seen if these expectations hold ground following the US CPI data publication.
Economists are expecting the US annual CPI and core CPI to accelerate 2.7% and 3% in June, reflecting the tariff impact feeding through prices. Meanwhile, the monthly CPI and core CPI inflation figures are set to rise to 0.3% in the same period.
Hotter-than-expected US CPI monthly or annual readings could reinforce the Fed’s patient outlook, pushing back against expectations of two Fed rate cuts this year.
This scenario could help the US Dollar (USD) extend its recovery at the expense of the non-yielding Gold price.
Alternatively, if the data come in below forecasts, it could provide a fresh tailwind to the Gold price on renewed bets that the Fed will remain on track for two rate cuts.
BAY TP
TP 1 3,371
TP 2 3,391
TP 3 3,412
SELL PT
TP 1 3,337
TP 2 3,311
TP 3 3,286
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Break : 3305
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
DeGRAM | GOLD forming head and shoulders📊 Technical Analysis
● A double rejection at 3 358—confluence of the May-July descending trend-line and the long-term channel roof—has carved successive lower highs; the break of the inner up-trend (circled) shifts structure bearish.
● Price is now slipping out of a contracting pennant; sustained trade beneath 3 246 (pattern base / April pivot) exposes the mid-channel magnet at 3 202, with the outer rail projecting 3 121.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Surprise rise in NY Fed 1-yr inflation expectations and Daly’s “no urgency to cut” remarks lifted 2-yr real yields and the DXY, while ETFs saw a fifth straight day of outflows, signalling fading bullion demand.
✨ Summary
Sell 3 300–3 320; break below 3 246 targets 3 202 → 3 121. Short view void on a 4 h close above 3 358.
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XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has broken above its descending trendline and completed a successful pullback to the breakout level. Now, the price appears ready to resume its upward move, but it's still facing resistance near the $3375 level.
We expect another attempt to break through the $3375 resistance zone.
A confirmed breakout above this area would open the path toward higher targets and potentially trigger strong bullish momentum.
As long as price holds above the broken trendline and key support zone, the overall bias remains bullish.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold is set to rise to a new all-time high!Gold has successfully broken above its descending trendline, signaling a potential shift in market structure and growing bullish momentum.
A pullback toward the broken trendline is now likely, as price may retest the breakout zone.
Once the pullback is completed, we anticipate a bullish continuation and a move toward higher levels.
As long as price holds above the identified support zone, the bullish outlook remains valid.
Will gold resume its rally after the pullback?
GOLD: A Short-Term Trading Setup - High RiskGOLD: A Short-Term Trading Setup - High Risk
Since July 9, GOLD has been in an uptrend, rising to 3375 as its current high.
The market focus is solely on the Fed’s interest rate cut and when it might happen. Today we have the US CPI data in about 30 minutes. The market expects the CPI to be 2.7% vs. 2.4%.
The market is expecting a bullish data, which increases the odds that the Fed will not cut rates anytime soon and should reduce the odds of an interest rate cut at the July meeting.
From a technical perspective, the price is already facing a strong zone and the chances of a decline are high. However, this trade carries a higher than normal risk, as we can never know how the market may interpret inflation data and its impact on future interest rate cuts.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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