5/26 Gold Trading SignalsGood afternoon everyone!
I just returned from a weekend trip and apologize for the late update today — thank you all for your patience and continued support!
Gold has shown mild downward movement in a one-sided consolidation pattern today. This is a technical pullback after reaching a key resistance zone, reflecting selling pressure at higher levels. Today is Memorial Day in the U.S., which explains the low volatility and reduced trading volume.
🔎 Technical Outlook:
Once gold reached around 3360, it entered a significant resistance zone. If bulls intend to maintain the current uptrend, then the support around 3272 will be a critical level during this pullback. Before that, we should also keep an eye on 3322, 3318, and 3298.
On the 2-hour chart, a bearish divergence has formed, which needs to be resolved, possibly through sideways consolidation or a further pullback.
🗞 Fundamental Outlook:
The news is relatively quiet today, but important economic data and speeches will begin tomorrow, which may trigger larger market moves.
📈 Today’s Trading Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3352–3368 zone (resistance area)
📈 Buy in the 3292–3272 zone (support zone)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels to watch:
3348 / 3332 / 3323 / 3312 / 3305 / 3296
Stay flexible and manage risk accordingly. If you have any questions or want to discuss your trading strategy, feel free to reach out. Wishing everyone a smooth and profitable session!
XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAUUSD Making Lower HighsGood day,
The overall trend of XAUUSD on the 4-hour timeframe currently appears bearish. This is supported by recent price action where gold is pushing up toward previous day highs, likely setting up for a bearish pullback to test resistance levels.
Key Price Levels and Targets
Resistance and Pullback Setup: The price is approaching resistance near recent highs, a supply area that may trigger a bearish pullback if the upside momentum weakens.
Estimated Price Targets:
Immediate targets on the downside are 3,195.896 and 3,130.847, which align with intermediate support levels.
A more extended bearish bias targets 3,010.225, potentially reaching as low as 2,942.672, which corresponds to deeper support zones.
Fundamental Highlights:
The recent easing of tariff tensions and a stronger US dollar have reduced safe-haven demand for gold, contributing to the bearish outlook.
The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rates and inflation risks adds complexity; while hawkish signals can pressure gold prices, any potential rate cuts later in 2025 could provide support.
Geopolitical risks remain a wildcard: escalation could boost gold’s safe-haven appeal, while easing tensions may further weigh on prices.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.
5/30 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Yesterday, we successfully executed short at 3290 and long at 3250, and also entered the 3316–3328 short zone near the close. All signals were hit, and profits were solid ✅.
📉 Technical Outlook:
The 1-hour chart remains in a clear bearish trend, indicating that this pullback is not yet complete.
Initial support at 3296 is very likely to break
Focus shifts to 3278 support, though it appears technically weak
If price hits 3278, a minor bounce is expected, but it's likely just a retracement, not a reversal
🗞 Fundamental Watch:
The U.S. Consumer Confidence Index will be released during the U.S. session today.
Market reaction is expected to be similar to yesterday’s initial jobless claims — possibly triggering short-term moves, but not changing the broader trend.
📈 Trade Plan for Today:
📉 Sell in the 3316–3328 zone (key resistance)
📈 Buy in the 3238–3221 zone (key support area)
🔁 Scalp/flexible trading zones:
3303 / 3288 / 3276 / 3265 / 3252 / 3238
Stick to proper risk management, and stay alert during U.S. data releases.
Trade with the trend and close the week strong!
Additionally, on the 30-minute chart, gold appears to be forming a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern. If this pattern completes and breaks the neckline successfully, the price may surge toward the 3336–3352 area, or even up to 3360.
For those considering short positions, it’s crucial to control position size and avoid entering too early. Try to wait for price action to reach higher resistance levels before making a move. Don’t worry about missing a perfect entry — even if one trade is missed, it won’t affect your overall profitability for the week.
The market always offers opportunities. Stay calm, stick to your strategy, and remember: consistency and patience lead to long-term success.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD H1 30/05/2025
🔍 Wave Structure Update
As of now, price has broken above the X wave high and is undergoing a retracement. This is a positive signal, suggesting that Wave 1 (black) of the larger green impulsive wave may have completed. Currently, price is likely in Wave 2 (black) – offering a good opportunity to position for the upcoming Wave iii (green).
Within Wave 2, we expect classic corrective structures such as zigzag or flat to form. Based on current price action, a short-term bounce followed by another leg down is anticipated to complete the corrective phase.
🎯 Potential Wave 2 Target Zones
• Target 1: 3290
• Target 2: 3272
❗ If price drops further to 3245, the assumption that Wave 2 has ended may be invalid. In that case, the broader correction could continue toward 3215 (Wave Y target).
📈 Momentum Outlook
D1 Chart: Momentum shows signs of reversal to the upside – supporting a bullish bias for the coming week.
H4 Chart: Momentum is weakening, suggesting price may move sideways or pull back today as part of Wave 2 development.
H1 Chart: Currently oversold, indicating a likely short-term bounce or sideways movement to maintain this oversold condition until H4 also reaches oversold.
🧭 Trading Plan
🔹 Scalp Buy
• Entry: 3291 – 3289
• SL: 3286
• TP1: 3306
• TP2: 3324
• TP3: 3346
🔹 Main Buy Zone
• Entry: 3272 – 3269
• SL: 3262
• TP1: 3290
• TP2: 3324
• TP3: 3373
XAUUAD BUY CHARTThe chart you've shared is a 30-minute candlestick chart of CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ), with key elements marked for a potential trade setup. Here's a breakdown of the key points:
Chart Analysis:
1. Highlighted Zones (Yellow Boxes):
Bottom Yellow Zone (~3,270): Likely a demand/support zone. Price previously reversed upward from here.
Top Yellow Zone (~3,300): Likely a supply/resistance zone. This is the potential target area.
2. Blue Arrows:
The initial downward arrow shows a strong bearish move.
The subsequent upward arrow represents a bullish recovery, suggesting a potential long trade setup.
3. Trade Setup:
Entry: Around 3,284 (current price level).
Take Profit (TP): 3,300.325 — aligned with the top yellow resistance zone.
Stop Loss (SL): Just below the lower yellow zone (~3,273.597).
4. Risk-Reward Ratio:
The trade appears to have a favorable risk-reward ratio of roughly 2:1 or better, given the size of the green (profit) vs. red (loss) zones.
5. Volume: Somewhat elevated during the reversal and buildup phases, indicating decent participation on the bullish side.
---
Possible Trade Interpretation:
This looks like a bullish continuation/reversal setup, possibly based on a demand zone bounce with a target near previous resistance. The trader may be betting on continued bullish momentum.
Would you like a more detailed technical analysis or help calculating exact RR, pip difference, or backtesting the strategy?
Gold (4H) – Still in Accumulation
🔍 Price Action
– Failed to make a higher high after retracing into the 4H OTE zone around 3 265-3 285.
– Closed back at 3 325, right at resistance, signaling indecision.
🎯 Key Scenarios
🚀 Bullish Trigger : Hold above 3 325 → builds energy for a breakout up through the supply zone toward 3 365-3 380.
⏳ Further Pullback : Rejection at 3 325 → deeper retrace toward the OTE low (~3 260) before resuming the uptrend.
🌐 Macro Watch
– US inflation prints & Fed speakers this week.
– Geopolitical tensions remain elevated, which could keep safe-haven bids under gold.
✅ Takeaway
Gold is coiling-watch 3 325 as the pivot: failure there means a deeper shakeout; hold means a powerful leg higher !
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for May 30Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance level 3350, support level below 3260
Four-hour chart resistance level 3350, support level below 3280
One-hour chart resistance level 3325, support level below 3290
1-hour chart Bollinger Bands open downward, 4-hour chart RSI (50) neutral, ADX (35) trend momentum weakened, below $3280 will accelerate downward. MACD green column shrinks, RSI (45) neutral to weak, if it fails to break through $3305, the bearish trend will continue. The first target is around 3280.
NY time announced the annual rate of the US core PCE price index in April. Pay attention to the 3280~3320 range, sell high and buy low. After the news data is released, if the data exceeds expectations, the gold price will fall below the 3280 support, or fall to 3250-3245 US dollars, and you can follow the trend to short; if the data is weak, it may hit 3330-3345 US dollars after breaking through 3320.
SELL: 3320near SL: 3325
BUY: 3280near SL: 3275
[20250526] Gold - True Bull or Liquidity Trap This Week?Key Dynamic Levels Guide: Previous Grey/Black, Green/Magenta, and Red/Blue dynamic levels mark important zones where Smart Money (SM) has positioned itself. These levels are crucial liquidity pools, as support and resistance (S/R) frequently revisit these zones. Check their values by hovering your mouse for guidance before proceeding.
4H key-level confluence can be refer in published Idea titled: Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated? refer the related post --->
📊 Weekly Market Intent – Gold Analysis
Gold has recently tested the 3360+ zone, showing renewed bullish momentum. However, system-based structure mapping suggests that this move might still be part of a broader setup—rather than a confirmed breakout.
📌 Market Structure & Key Levels
A possible ABCDE triangle structure remains in play, where price is either concluding Wave-C or initiating Wave-D. If this formation holds, a pullback toward 3044–2950 could materialize before Wave-E completes and resumes the larger bullish trend.
The market also aligns with a potential 3-Drive bearish trap, where recent highs attract late buyers before deeper liquidity moves unfold.
🔹 Key Dynamic Levels (4H Confluence):
Bull VAH (Grey Line): 3317.52 – Key retracement level in a bullish environment.
Bull POC (Light Green): 3313.55 – Defines bullish sentiment zone.
Blue Line (Bull Bias Limit): 3254.26 – A breach would indicate deeper pullback risk.
Red Line (Bear Bias Limit): 3369.81 – A decisive break suggests bullish continuation.
Liquidity Levels: 3401.21 (upper target) | 3212.57 (lower target).
🧐 Market Sentiment & Next Move
Current sentiment indicates bullish bias with bear presence, as the market attempts lower support levels before a bullish continuation.
Bullish Continuation: Price moving past 3366 could signal a breakout, with unconfirmed top resistance levels remaining untested before further upside.
Bearish Presence: Below 3313.55, sell-side pressure could intensify. Below the bull bias limit (3254.26), deeper downside traction suggests a short-cycle bearish move until a rebound occurs above the newly formed dynamic bear bias limit.
🧠 Reversal / Invalidation Conditions
Bullish Strength Holds: Trading above 3253.57, with unsuccessful bear attempts, suggests bullish sentiment remains intact.
Bearish Shift: A failed support at 3290 and successful retest reinforce downside pressure. Momentum and volume remain key for validating the shift.
📌 System-Based Order Limits
Daily Order Limits
Buy: 3350.95 | SL: 3281.20 | TP: 3399.82
Sell: 3302.39 | SL: 3372.14 | TP: 3253.52
Weekly Order Limits
Buy: 3335.02 | SL: 3192.49 | TP: 3434.89
Sell: 3235.80 | SL: 3378.33 | TP: 3135.93
Monthly Order Limits
Buy: 3374.47 | SL: 3097.33 | TP: 3568.65
Sell: 3181.54 | SL: 3458.68 | TP: 2987.36
📌 Final Insight
Market intent unfolds dynamically, and structure-driven decision-making ensures anticipation zones remain valuable references.
📢 Gawai Festival Notice: As I’ll be away for the season’s harvest festival, I may not provide further updates on next shifts. However, this weekly confluence bias should guide traders in navigating market ranges effectively.
Stay disciplined, wait for liquidity validation, and let Smart Money footprints lead the way.
Wishing all traders a profitable week ahead! See you next week. 🚀
Gold expectation 1H (For next week)Respected main support, means we seeing the start of a new up trend and recovery. Setting up for a bullish movement to destination 2? could be...false breakout means theres a testing of the trend line, with a possibility of it breakibg out soon. Wait for the bounce off the main support again to see if we in for a bullish move. Lets wait see. #ToTheMoonTogether
GOLD Gold Directional Bias and Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis (May 30, 2025)
Gold (XAU/USD) Directional Bias
Cautious Bearish Correction: Gold faces immediate resistance at $3,305–$3,338 (20-day moving average and recent highs) .
A break above $3,435 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal toward $3,500 .
Failure to hold $3,056 (key medium-term support) risks a drop to $2,955–$2,833 .
Bullish Potential: Stagflation risks (weak growth + high inflation) and Fed rate cut expectations support gold as a hedge .
A sustained break above $3,500 could target $4,000+ .
Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook
Bearish Momentum: DXY is in a multi-month downtrend
Drivers:
Fed rate cut bets and weaker US economic data (e.g., soft jobless claims) pressure the dollar .
Trade tensions (e.g., Trump’s tariff threats) inject volatility but may revive safe-haven USD demand .
Gold-DXY Correlation
Short-Term Inverse Link: Recent dollar strength (DXY↑) contributed to gold’s 1% drop to $3,301 .
Long-Term Divergence: Since 2008, gold has risen 150% while DXY gained 45%, showing no consistent inverse relationship over decades .
Current Dynamics:
A weaker DXY (below 98.4) would support gold’s rebound .
Stagflation fears could decouple gold from DXY, favoring gold as an inflation hedge .
Conclusion
Gold: Short-term bearish pressure persists, but medium-term bullish drivers (stagflation, Fed cuts) remain intact.
DXY: Bearish Elliott Wave structure suggests further declines unless it breaks above 101.99.
Trade Strategy:
Sell gold rallies toward $3,305–$3,338 with tight stops .
A DXY breakdown below 98.4 could signal gold’s bullish revival .
Monitor US PCE inflation data (May 30) and Fed rhetoric for near-term catalysts .
Analysis and layout of gold on May 30
Focus on key breakthroughs after violent fluctuations in gold
Yesterday, gold staged a "V-shaped" reversal. In the early trading, affected by the US International Court of Justice's overturning of tariff policies, it plummeted from 3295 to 3245; then, due to Trump's request for the Supreme Court to veto the ruling, the price rebounded strongly to 3330, and the daily line closed with a big positive line. Despite frequent disturbances on the news side, there are obvious signs of control by the main funds, and the market is still in a wide range of fluctuations.
Technical analysis
Daily level
The positive line of the bottoming line stands above the 3300 mark, which is strong in the short term, but the moving average is entangled with the middle track (3300-3310), and no unilateral trend has been formed.
Key resistance: 3371 (neckline of the head and shoulders bottom pattern); support: 3280, 3265-3250.
4-hour level
MACD is golden near the zero axis, but the Bollinger band is narrowed, and the oscillation characteristics are significant.
Short pressure: 3325 (up to 3337 if broken); short support: 3291 (down to 3280-3268 if broken).
Hourly line
Bollinger band narrowed, MACD turned dead cross at high level, continued to fall in Asian session, pay attention to the direction of European session.
Trading strategy
Short order: 3300-3305 light position short, stop loss 3315, target 3285-3290.
Long order: 3278-3264 batch layout, stop loss 10 US dollars, target 3290-3300.
Breakthrough strategy: If the European session stands at 3325, step back to 3320 and follow the long, target 3337; otherwise, 3337 can be shorted.
Risk warning
The recent market has been repeatedly swept, strict risk control, avoid chasing up and selling down.
The end of the triple cycle faces a big test of data
Today is the closing of the monthly, weekly and daily lines, and the PCE data will be released, so the market volatility may increase. Looking at the four-hour level of gold, the downward trend line remains intact. As time goes by, the suppression level has also come to around 3345. In view of the fact that the rebound of 3245 at 3330 is blocked and moves downward, today's Asia-Europe session strategy focuses on the continuation of the downward trend; at the hourly level, the last high point of 3365 has been trading below the trend line since the decline. Yesterday's high broke the trend line, but today's opening fell below 3308, so the short-term trend has returned to the short position again. Therefore, today is still bearish, short-selling ideas.
The specific operation is to intervene in short positions below 3310, with a short-term target of around 3278; wait for a rebound near 3288 and short again to look at the target of 3245; mid-term operations can directly focus on the 3245 position, followed by the 3200 mark.
The latest gold trend analysis strategy on June 2
Core influencing factors
Dollar trend: The rebound of the US dollar index suppresses gold prices, but if the PCE data is lower than expected, the US dollar may fall back and provide support for gold.
Fed policy expectations: The market's expectations of interest rate cuts this year (currently priced at about 2 times) may limit the downward space of gold prices, but we need to be wary of hawkish rhetoric disturbances.
Risk aversion: Trade situation and geopolitical uncertainty may intermittently boost gold demand.
Technical key positions: $3300-3310 is a strong resistance zone, and $3260-3250 is short-term support.
Market outlook
Bearish signal:
The daily level failed to stand firm at the 3300 mark, and the 1-hour moving average turned downward, with short-term momentum biased to the bearish side.
If the US dollar continues to rebound or the PCE data is stronger than expected, the gold price may fall to the 3260-3250 support range.
Bullish signal:
If PCE data is weak or risk aversion heats up, gold prices may test the 3300-3315 resistance zone again.
Under the wide range of fluctuations at the monthly level, the buying support below 3260 may be strong.
Operation strategy
Short-term trading:
Short-term opportunity: When the rebound to the 3305-3315 range is under pressure, short with a light position, stop loss above 3320, target 3280-3265.
Long order opportunities: If it pulls back to the 3260-3250 area and stabilizes (such as the K-line shrinks or a hammer line appears), you can try long orders with a stop loss of 3240 and a target of 3280-3300.
Mid-term layout:
If it effectively falls below 3250 at the beginning of next week, it may open up the downward space to 3220-3200; on the contrary, if it stands firm at 3315, it will look up to 3340-3360.
Risk warning:
Market volatility may increase after Friday's PCE data, so be alert to rapid reversals.
Avoid chasing ups and downs, and pay attention to changes in volume near key positions.
Key points
Resistance: 3305-3315 (strong if broken), 3340 (previous high)
Support: 3280 (intraday), 3260-3250 (strong and weak boundary), 3220 (medium term)
Summary: Gold is short-term technically bearish, but fundamental support is still there. It is recommended to treat it with a volatile mindset, focus on the breakthrough direction of the 3300-3260 range, and be cautious in holding positions before and after the data.
GOLD LONG FROM SUPPORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,281.17
Target Level: 3,348.67
Stop Loss: 3,236.17
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 7h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAU/USD Buy Setup Explanation (Using Fibonacci Levels)This chart presents a bullish trading setup on gold (XAU/USD) based on a Fibonacci retracement strategy. It suggests a buy opportunity after a pullback.
✅ Fibonacci Levels:
> 0.0% (Top): $3,331 – recent swing high (used as reference)
> 23.6%: $3,312 – minor resistance zone
> 38.2%: $3,297 – initial pullback area
> 50.0%: $3,290 – psychological mid-level
> 61.8% (Golden Ratio): $3,280 – key Fibonacci support
> 78.6%: $3,266 – deeper retracement support
> 100% (Bottom): $3,249 – recent swing low
🟪 Buy Zone (Between 50% and 61.8%):
The marked BUY ZONE is between $3,290 and $3,280, aligning with the Fibonacci golden pocket.
This is a high-probability reversal area, as it combines:
Strong Fibonacci confluence (50%–61.8%)
Prior price reaction zones (structure-based support)
: TP1: $3,320 – aligns with previous structure zone and 23.6% retracement.
: Final Target: $3,350 – a retest of the major resistance and previous high.
📌 Conclusion:
This is a classic Fibonacci retracement long setup:
Wait for a bullish reversal pattern (e.g., pin bar, engulfing) in the buy zone.
As long as the price holds above $3,266, the bullish structure remains valid.
Ideal for swing traders looking to catch a bounce off the golden ratio support.
XAUUSD H1 Refined Buy Setup
📈 **#XAUUSD H1 Refined Buy Setup**
🎯 **Buy Activation Level:**
Wait for a **bullish H1 candle closing above 3308.50–3309** to trigger the buy.
🛡️ **Stoploss:** 3295–3293
🎯 **Safer Target:** 3323–3324
🎯 **Final Target:** 3340
📌 **Flip Side Scenario:**
If price drops instead, the **last major support zone lies between 3265–3245**.
We may see **strong rejection** from this area — so watch it closely for a possible reversal opportunity.
🚨 Wait for proper confirmation before executing any trade — always follow disciplined risk management.