What Happens Next? Has the up move started !?In line with my previous analysis, the price rose back above the lower trend line. Now looking at the detail of the bearish waves, it is possible that an up move could take the price to at least around 3440. That is my expectation. Keep in mind that this is a forecast as a result of an analysis.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long XAUUSDCentral banks are still buying gold and we got risk off sentiment from Israel/Iran war. Demand for gold is still high. We are on a pullback since it is a very crowded trade+ Trump giving Iran 2 weeks for a deal + the Fed not cutting rate since they are waiting on inflation data to see if those numbers rise.
A few investment banks see gold hitting 3500 before year end.
Technically (which is 20% of the reason why I am looking at gold long) we got last leg 78.6 fib+ 50 Daily MA + H4 200 MA + bigger time frame 38.2 fib
3325 will be the zone I will look to get in... if we get there.
Trump might just attack Iran during the weekend and we get a market open gap on gold... who knows..
Good luck and happy trading!
June 24, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Iran agreeing to a ceasefire is fundamentally bearish for gold.
From a technical perspective, price is still consolidating within the 3340–3400 range.
A break below 3340 could signal increased bearish momentum.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3400 – Psychological resistance
• 3396 – Resistance
• 3380 – Resistance
• 3365 – Key resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint (bull-bear line)
• 3340 – Critical intraday support
• 3328 – Support
• 3315 – Support
• 3300 – Psychological support
📉 Intraday Strategy:
SELL if price breaks below 3340 → target 3328, then 3319, 3310, 3300
BUY if price holds above 3350 → target 3356, then 3365, 3370, 3375
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there's interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Trade with caution and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD – Gold Forming Higher Lows with Range Bound CeilingGold remains bullish on the higher timeframes, holding a long-term ascending trendline from the daily.
However, price action has respected a clear horizontal resistance zone around 3392, forming a multi-tap ceiling.
On lower timeframes, we’re seeing a series of higher lows, suggesting buyers are still stepping in — but without clean breakouts, the market remains range-bound between 3345 and 3392.
⸻
🧠 Bias:
Neutral-Bullish
– Price is coiling into the triangle
– A breakout above 3392 could open doors toward 3450
– But if we fail to hold the rising trendline, a deeper pullback toward 3294 is likely
⸻
🎯 Trade Ideas:
📌 Break & Retest above 3392 = bullish continuation
📌 Break below trendline = short toward 3345 / 3294
⸻
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance: 3392 → 3450
• Support: 3345 → 3294
• Daily Trendline Support (in play)
⸻
💡 Gold is compressing — breakout incoming. Watch the reaction at 3392 for directional clarity.
H4 Outlook – Between Flip and Trap👋 Hey Gold minds, welcome to another sniper-level breakdown. We're mid-range between major sweep zones and watching carefully how price reacts around the current compression under key EMAs and FVG. Let’s break it down:
🔸 MACRO + FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
USD drivers this week:
🔹 Monday–Tuesday: Multiple FOMC Members speaking
🔹 Wednesday: Powell Testimony
🔹 Thursday: Final GDP + Unemployment Claims
🔹 Friday: Core PCE and UoM Inflation Expectations
Macro sentiment:
FOMC speakers remain hawkish while inflation is sticky. Gold reacts defensively as markets price in Powell’s tone. Liquidity traps on both sides still active. Gold consolidates below key liquidity at 3405, potentially setting up for either expansion or sweep rejection.
🔸 H4 STRUCTURE + BIAS
Market structure:
Price formed a Lower High (3452) and confirmed bearish intent with a break of structure to the downside (CHoCH & BOS).
Currently compressing under H4 Fair Value Gap and retesting an internal OB + EQ zone around 3360–3370, showing signs of rejection.
EMA Cluster:
Price is compressing between EMA 21 / 50 / 100, failing to reclaim EMA100.
EMA5 is crossing under EMA21 – short-term bearish bias holds.
Bias: 🔻 Bearish to neutral
As long as price stays under 3380, supply remains in control. Only a break and close above 3405–3415 would flip bias bullish short term.
🧭 Sniper Zones – H4 Precision Map
🔷 Type 📍 Price Zone 📌 Justification
🔵 Buy Zone #1 3315 – 3340 Valid OB , previous HL structure, FVG reaction support
🔵 Buy Zone #2 3280 – 3302 Deeper demand pocket, untapped imbalance
🟠 Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 FVG + internal OB + EMA compression = key battle zone
🔴 Sell Zone #1 3405 – 3415 Internal OB + unmitigated premium zone under LH
🔴 Sell Trap Zone 3440 – 3460 Extreme rejection zone — 3452 HH sweep logic + OB
🔸 Price Action Expectations (PA)
If price rejects 3360–3380, expect a clean push back to 3320, with possible deeper draw to 3300–3285.
A clean break and close above 3380 (not just a wick) may open the door for a sweep of 3405, where sellers are expected.
Only an aggressive news-driven breakout above 3415 would unlock the final trap zone toward 3450+ – lower probability unless Powell surprises.
✅ Conclusion & Execution Plan
🎯 Watch how price behaves around the Flip Zone — this is the decision point.
📉 Main bearish confirmation = strong rejection at Flip Zone or 3405.
📈 Bullish continuation only above 3415 with volume and closing strength.
💎 Best RR zones:
Sell 3405–3420 → targeting 3360 / 3340
Buy 3315–3340 → targeting 3360 / 3380
🔥 If this breakdown helped sharpen your edge, drop a 🚀 in the comments and like the post!
🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for more real-time, structure-based sniper plans.
🧠 Precision isn't optional. It's the edge.
🔹 Disclosure: As part of Trade Nation’s Influencer Program, we receive monthly compensation for using their charts.
GoldFxMinds
Hold on to the high point and go short decisively!Gold closed the weekly line today, maintaining the idea of oscillating downward. The 4H consecutive negatives tested the support of the lower Bollinger track. Although it was roundabout and saw-sawed, every decline would be accompanied by a new low. Therefore, hold the high point to see the bottom break and accelerate. The lower side will gradually look to 3338 and 3315. Among them, 3315 is a strong support for the weekly line. If it is not broken, you can consider going long; the upper rebound pressure is 3361 and 3375. In terms of operation, short according to the rebound strength, and the specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
Operation suggestion: Short gold in batches near 3361-3375, with a target of 3350-3340.
Geopolitical Landscape: Gold on a Powder Keg Geopolitical Landscape: Gold on a Powder Keg
1.1 Escalating U.S.-Iran Conflict Ignites Gold's Safe-Haven Demand
Trump claimed the U.S. had successfully destroyed three Iranian nuclear facilities, but Iran swiftly responded that it had evacuated the sites in advance, suffering no major losses. This incident has fueled market fears of further Middle East tensions. Iran has even vowed to target U.S. forces and citizens as legitimate objectives, launching large-scale retaliatory strikes against Israel.
Currently, the U.S. has deployed three carrier strike groups in the Middle East—the Nimitz, Carl Vinson, and Ford—forming a formidable military deterrence. Meanwhile, Iran has demonstrated its missile capabilities by firing multiple rounds of ballistic missiles at Israel, including at least one armed with a cluster bomb warhead, significantly raising the threat level.
Such tense geopolitics provide strong safe-haven support for gold. Historical experience shows that gold often becomes investors' top safe-haven asset when military conflict risks emerge in the Middle East. However, the market is divided on the conflict's actual impact: while some fear escalation driving funds into gold, others hope diplomatic talks will ease tensions, potentially prompting partial capital withdrawal for wait-and-see.
On the daily chart, the green bars of the MACD indicator have shortened for three consecutive days, suggesting bearish momentum is waning. These technical signals indicate gold may be accumulating rebound energy after a period of decline. Whether a successful rebound occurs, however, depends on effectively breaking through the resistance level of $3,390/oz.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it helps you
XAUUSD buy@3370~3380
SL:3350
TP:3390~3400
Gold:bullish wedge inside a rising channel-double trap for bearsInside the major upward channel, gold formed a falling wedge — and, of course, faked a breakdown. But the move reversed quickly: price reclaimed the wedge, surged on volume, and held above the key 3363–3368 area. This isn't just a bounce — it's a structural reclaim in line with the broader trend.
Price is now in the upper part of the rising channel and has broken a local downtrend line, reinforcing the bullish signal. Consolidation around 3380–3395 might be the last pause before acceleration. Above that lies a volume gap — no resistance until 3452.
MACD is flipping bullish, RSI turning upward, and volume confirms smart money presence. Classic: trap below, breakout above. As long as 3363 holds — longs remain in control.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youRecent geopolitical tensions remain high, particularly in the Middle East where conflicts between Israel and Iran continue to generate new developments. Earlier this week, Iran was hit by an Israeli airstrike, a piece of news that instantly triggered a sharp rally in gold prices, pushing the metal to an intraday high of $3,450 per ounce. However, subsequent news of peace talks eased market risk aversion, causing gold to retreat rapidly. By June 18th, the price had dropped to $3,380 per ounce, with a daily volatility exceeding 2.7%.
Generally, geopolitical conflicts influence gold prices for 3 to 15 days, and when tensions ease, 50% to 70% of the conflict-driven rally tends to retrace. For example, during the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks in October 2024, gold prices fell from $2,789 to $2,650 per ounce, a 5% retracement. Although the geopolitical situation has not further deteriorated, as long as tensions persist, gold remains susceptible to sudden price swings triggered by breaking news.
In the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, while the MACD indicator continues to operate below the zero axis in a bearish crossover, with green bars expanding—indicating a clear short-term bearish trend. Notably, the RSI indicator is currently in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for a price rebound. In terms of support and resistance levels, the lower support can be referenced at $3,340 per ounce, while the upper resistance focuses on $3,380 per ounce. A break above $3,380 may trigger a rebound, whereas a drop below $3,340 could lead to further declines.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD sell@3370~3380
SL:3390
TP:3360~3350
GOLD Bullish Breakout from Falling Channel | Retest Entry Plan 📊 Analysis Summary:
Gold (XAUUSD) has broken out of a falling channel on the 1H timeframe with strong bullish momentum. After the breakout, price retested a minor bullish order block, providing a solid confirmation for potential continuation to the upside.
🔍 Technical Confluences:
Falling channel breakout
Bullish engulfing breakout candle
Retest of minor bullish order block (acting as support)
Clear bullish Break of Structure (BOS)
📌 Trade Plan:
Entry: 3365 (OB retest zone)
Stop Loss: 3345 (20 points below OB zone)
Take Profit 1: 3399 (Key intraday resistance)
Take Profit 2: 3451 (Swing high target)
📈 Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:4
📌 Expectation:
If the order block support holds, we can expect a bullish continuation toward 3400+ and possibly 3450 in the coming sessions.
XAU/USD) Back support level Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar) – 2H Timeframe:
---
XAU/USD Bearish Rejection from Resistance – Short-Term Sell Setup
Key Observations:
1. Rejection from Upper Channel & Resistance Zone:
Price was rejected sharply after touching the upper boundary of the ascending channel and the newly established resistance zone (~3400–3420).
A strong bearish candle confirms selling pressure at the top.
2. Support Retest in Progress:
The price is currently descending toward the EMA 200 and the KYY support zone (approximately 3343–3348).
The previous bounce originated from this level, making it a significant retest zone.
3. EMA 200 as Confluence:
The 200 EMA (currently at 3346.92) aligns with the support zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce or at least temporary pause in bearish momentum.
4. RSI Bearish Signal:
RSI has dropped below 50, confirming a momentum shift toward the downside.
Still above oversold territory, suggesting more downside room.
---
Trade Idea:
Bias: Bearish (Short-Term)
Entry Zone: Around 3390–3400 (confirmed rejection area)
Target Zone: 3348 – 3343 (KYY support + EMA 200)
Stop Loss: Above 3425 (just above resistance zone)
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary:
Gold has faced a clear rejection at a key resistance zone within an ascending channel, and is now targeting the EMA 200 and previous structural support. Short opportunities could be considered toward the 3343–3348 zone, with RSI and price action supporting the move.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
GOLD recovers market overview, key outlookOANDA:XAUUSD is under downward pressure, and ended last week's trading session with a decline. With tensions in the Middle East easing slightly and the Federal Reserve giving a hawkish signal, the safe-haven demand in the gold market tends to weaken, and investors' profit-taking intentions increase, these are the main reasons why gold recorded a significant correction this week.
Gold prices fell last week as safe-haven demand weakened as tensions in the Middle East temporarily eased. President Trump said he would decide on military action against Iran in the next two weeks, a concession that helped ease fears of an escalation. Although Iran continued to launch missiles at Israel, the situation has not spread. However, the Middle East conflict remains risky and is unlikely to end completely.
Gold prices are under pressure due to the Fed's hawkish tone. Although the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, Chairman Powell warned of inflation risks, especially from Trump's new tax policies. At the same time, Mr. Chris Waller's statement showed that the possibility of a July interest rate cut also depends on the inflation situation, causing market expectations to decrease and negatively affecting gold - a non-interest-bearing asset.
Central banks and institutions maintain bullish medium- and long-term expectations
Despite short-term pressures, most institutions maintain positive medium-term expectations for gold. Goldman Sachs reiterated its target of $4,000/oz by 2025, while Citigroup believes gold could fall below $3,000/oz by 2026.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has once again bounced from the EMA21 and reached its initial upside target at the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement of $3,371, as noted in previous editions. For now, for gold to qualify for its next upside target at the raw price of $3,400, it needs to sustain price action above the 0.236% Fibonacci level, which means the 0.236% Fibonacci level is also the closest resistance at present.
Once gold breaks above the raw price point of $3,400, it will be in a position to continue its short-term rally with a target of around $3,435, rather than the all-time high of $3,500.
In terms of overall structure, gold still has a bullish outlook with the price channel as the main trend and RSI remaining above 50 and well away from the overbought zone, suggesting that there is still plenty of upside ahead.
In the case of a sell-off, if gold is sold below the EMA21, it could test the $3,320 support in the short term, more so the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level converging with the lower edge of the price channel. Therefore, early long positions may be considered in terms of volume as well as protection of open positions.
Finally, technically, gold is still trending with an overall bullish outlook, with notable positions listed as follows.
Support: $3,350 – $3,320 – $3,300
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,435 – $3,500
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3410
→Take Profit 1 3398
↨
→Take Profit 2 3392
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3312 - 3314⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3308
→Take Profit 1 3320
↨
→Take Profit 2 3326
XAUUSD - 23 Jun to 28 Jun 2025#XAUUSD UPCOMING WEEK:
I’m bearish on M candle 🕯️ — potential for monthly flip.
🎯 DOL: 3393
🗓️ Expect Mon/Tue to sweep BSL first at 3387 / 3403 before SSL come into play
Judas swing scenario - Mon/Tue need to sweep major BSL , else invalid
#Forex #FXTrading #WeeklyOutlook
XAUUSD - Breakdown: Israel-Iran Conflict - RISK OFF Part III 🚨 Trump announces a ceasefire
This likely kills any chance for TVC:GOLD to retest higher sell zones.
No more upside, just continuation plays for the bears, watch for momentum to pick up on the downside. More market optimism means RISK ON - Gold Bearish , DXY Bounce, Stocks Rally.
Watching the markets today, It was like it wants optimism but the drama with escalations and uncertainty kept it where it was all day, I usually avoid Mondays, but now that this has been announced, we will see Market Optimistic and sentiment drive Gold Lower if there are no further escalations than what has already happened, which simply means the US or Iran would have to do more severe damage beyond what has already happened.
We will be back to Fundamentals driving Gold if there is no other major event!
#XAUUSD #Gold #Ceasefire #RiskOn #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Commodities
Buy gold first, and short on gold after filling the gapGold is currently continuing to retreat, and the lowest has reached around 3333. Gold is quite weak, and the bears have completely taken the upper hand. The overall center of gravity of gold is shifting downward, and the short-term support below is 3330-3325. Once gold falls below this support area, gold may continue to fall to 3300, or even 3280; since gold has fallen to the 3340-3330 area, we cannot rush to short gold in the operation, because there is a technical gap above that needs to be filled, so gold still has a rebound to 3360-3370 in the short term.
Therefore, before gold falls below the short-term support of 3300-3325, we can appropriately consider going long on gold; after gold rebounds technically and fills the gap above, we can consider continuing to try to short gold in the 3360-3370 area.
Will the gold bearish trend continue?
💡Message Strategy
The gold market is facing a complex game of long and short factors in the near future. On the one hand, US President Trump announced that Iran and Israel had reached a "comprehensive ceasefire", and the market's risk aversion demand plummeted, and gold was under obvious short-term pressure. However, according to Reuters, Israel still has small-scale military operations, which has led to differences in the market's optimism about the situation in the Middle East, and the downward space of gold is temporarily limited.
On the other hand, US economic data is mixed. In June, the S&P global manufacturing PMI remained unchanged at 52, the service industry PMI fell slightly to 53.1, and the composite PMI fell slightly to 52.8, suggesting that the momentum of economic expansion has slowed down marginally. More importantly, Fed officials have released dovish signals one after another. Fed Governor Bowman expressed concern about labor market risks and supported interest rate cuts this year, echoing Governor Waller's expectations of a rate cut in July. This adjustment in monetary policy expectations has led to a weakening of the US dollar, providing some support for gold prices.
📊Technical aspects
1. Pay attention to the defensive position at the weekly level. As time goes by, this position is now in the 3316-3315 area. After breaking 3333 at noon, it accelerated to reach here, so pay attention to the gains and losses here in the future, so as to prepare for the next space switch
2. The daily line has been defending the lifeline for nearly a month. The current lifeline position is 3355. No matter how it pierces in the previous process, the final closing line must return to the top of the lifeline, thus becoming a support area
This means that today's closing is very critical. It can be closed below the lifeline, and then switch space downward to enter the area from the lifeline to the lower track 3355-3280
3. The four-hour pattern opens downward. Yesterday, the resistance of the upper track of the pattern was determined twice, and then it began to fall continuously, fell back to the lifeline, and then fell below the lower track of the pattern. Now it is further down and breaking the low
Then, keeping high is the key, breaking low is the focus. The previous starting and falling acceleration points are 3357 area, 3370, and finally 3388-3390.
Today's high point is 3370 area. The resistance range of 3357 is determined at noon. The pattern opens downward. Keep high and break low to see acceleration. After breaking the high point, it returns to sweeping.
4. The double lines of the hourly chart are glued together to form a pressure area. The interval of 3355-3370 just coincides with the two resistances above. Use this as suppression to switch space downward.
5. The large channel cooperates with the small channel. The price falls below the lower track position of the large channel and begins to switch space further downward. The top and bottom conversion position is 3340, and the final acceleration starting point is 3348.
Use this as suppression, and look down to the weekly defense line area of 3316-3315.
If it falls below, the next support will focus on the 3300 mark. If it breaks 3300 again, the next position is 3280
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3348-3354,SL:3375,Target: 3300-3310
Long Position:3280-3290,SL:3260,Target: 3340