XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold – Bullish Structure Still Intact, but Bears are Knocking📉 What happened yesterday?
As expected, XAUUSD made another leg down, breaking even below my buy zone (3330–3335) and hitting a low at 3320. From there, we’re now seeing a modest rebound, with gold trading around 3333 at the time of writing.
📌 Current position:
I'm currently holding a long position. It hovers around break-even – fluctuating between small gains and small losses. Nothing solid yet.
❓ Key question:
Was this just a deep pullback within a bullish structure… or the beginning of a deeper trend reversal?
🔍 Why bulls still have a case:
• Price prints higher lows – bullish structure technically remains intact
• A clean break above 3350 would show short-term strength
• A confirmed break above 3375 would activate a bullish ascending triangle → targeting the 3450 zone
⚠️ But here's the concern:
• Yesterday’s dip to 3330 happened during the New York session (strong volume)
• The bounce from 3320 has been weak, with no follow-through
• Daily candle closed near the lows, showing a long upper wick → a classic bearish signal
• The confluence support now lies at 3310–3320. A red daily candle closing in this area could mean the medium-term trend is flipping
🎯 My trading plan:
Although I'm still holding my buy, if bulls don’t recover 3350 quickly, I will consider closing early. The break of 3310 would shift my bias bearish.
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion:
We’re in a critical zone. The bullish structure isn’t broken yet, but yesterday’s action was not encouraging. If buyers fail to reclaim control soon, the market may be preparing for a deeper correction. Stay sharp. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
3400 has been reached, wait patiently for a pullback to go longGold opened on Monday with a volatile rise. After breaking through the 3360-65 area, the bulls turned strong. After breaking through the 3375~80 area in the evening, the bulls accelerated their rise, reaching the highest point of 3402. It fluctuated sideways in the late trading, and the daily line closed at around 3397 with a big positive line! Gold temporarily broke the small range oscillation pattern, but the bulls were not strong, and it still fluctuated upward.
From the perspective of the intraday cycle, after yesterday's rapid rise, the market fell into a serious overbought state; however, yesterday's $60 big positive line supported the bulls, and it is expected that the market will fluctuate; the next focus is still the 3400 mark area. The pressure in the 3400~05 area was dense last night, and adjustments may be made at any time before the breakthrough; and since the rise of 3282, it has just touched the upper edge of the parallel channel. The big sweep will continue, but the range is constantly changing!
So although gold broke the recent volatility yesterday and hit the 3400 mark with a big positive line; however, if it cannot stand above it, then it will continue to fall; recently we have repeatedly and many times emphasized the importance of the 3400 mark. If it stands here, the market will gradually rise to 3420~25 and break through to the 3450 area before looking for a decline.
Today we will continue to focus on the 3400 mark area. First, we will rush to the high altitude, with the goal of retracement to the 3375 and 3356 regional support platforms, and then pay attention to long opportunities; if the bulls stand above the 3400 mark, they will further bullishly impact 3420~25 and break through the 3450 area before falling back.
OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 15-Minute Timeframe
Date: July 22, 2025
The chart shows a bullish setup for Gold after a recent market structure shift. The price created a Break of Structure (BOS) followed by a Change of Character (CHoCH) indicating potential bullish momentum.
Currently, price is reacting from a demand zone (highlighted in purple) after a BOS on the lower side, suggesting a possible reversal.
Entry Zone:
Around 3382–3384
Stop Loss (SL):
Below the demand zone at 3376
Target:
3400 (previous swing high / weak high level)
Key Resistance Levels:
3390.32
3395.55
3400.22 (Target zone)
Bias: Bullish
If the price holds above the 3380 support and respects the demand zone, a bullish move toward the 3400 target is expected.
Daily gold analysisDaily gold analysis
A long position with the target and stop loss as shown in the chart
The trend is up, we may see more upside
All the best, I hope for your participation in the analysis, and for any inquiries, please send in the comments.
He gave a signal from the strongest areas of entry, special recommendations, with a success rate of 95%, for any inquiry or request for analysis, contact me
Gold’s Rapid Surge: A Trap Before the Drop?Gold finally showed signs of retreat. We are still holding a short position near 3400. So far, we have made a profit of 50 pips. However, I will still hold it to see if gold can fall back to the 3385-3375 area as expected. We have completed 2 transactions today, and there is still 1 transaction left to hold.
1. First, we bought gold near 3345 and ended the transaction by hitting TP: 3370, making a profit of 250 pips, with a profit of more than $12K;
2. We shorted gold near 3385 and ended the transaction by hitting SL: 3395, with a loss of 100 pips, a loss of nearly $5K;
3. We are still holding a short gold transaction order near 3400, with a current floating profit of 60 pips and a floating profit of nearly $4K;
The above is the detailed transaction situation today. To be honest, today's rebound strength far exceeded my expectations, and after our first long position hit TP, the market never gave any chance to go long on gold after a pullback, but accelerated to around 3401. But obviously, the accelerated rise of gold is suspected of catching up with the top, and in the short term it faces resistance in the 3405-3410 area, and secondly pressure in the 3420-3425 area. So I don't advocate chasing gold at the moment. On the contrary, I am still actively trying to short gold around 3400, first expecting gold to pull back to the 3385-3375-3365 area.
And I think if gold wants to continue to test the 3405-3415 area, or even sprint to the area around 3425, gold must go through a pullback to increase liquidity to accumulate upward momentum. I think it will at least pull back to the 3385-3375 area.
XAU/USD WEEK SCENARIO 🕳️ Possible Liquidity Sweep Below 3282 → Looking for Move Above 3400 🚀
On the 4H chart, a potential liquidity grab setup is forming just below the 3282 swing low — an area where many stop-loss orders are likely stacked.
🔎 I anticipate a stop hunt move beneath this level, triggering short positions and shaking out early buyers.
⚡ If price reacts strongly after this sweep, it could confirm a bullish reversal, signaling momentum shift.
🎯 Next target: A move above 3400, where we could see a liquidity cluster and possible resistance.
📅 Watching closely in the upcoming sessions for confirmation.
Mean Reversion Risk & Short Trap ?Analysis :: XAU/USD – July 21, 2025
🧩 Scenario Expansion – Mean Reversion Risk & Short Trap Variant
🧠 FLOW STATUS (Reassessment for MR scenario):
Order book shows replenishment at 3401.50–3403.00, forming a liquidity ceiling.
CVD diverging slightly on 1M–5M as price presses upward—distribution signal rising.
VWAP bands stretched: price outside 1.5x STD (mean reversion trigger zone).
🕳️ Low effort on buyer continuation despite printing highs.
📉 ALTERNATE SIGNAL: 🔃 MEAN REVERSION TO VWAP
🔹 Confidence Band: CONSERVATIVE → CONFIRMED if 3393 fails
📍 Break Trigger Zone:
Breach of 3393.00 on delta + seller reclaim → validates reversal logic
Watch for bid collapse or sustained negative delta below 3391
📉 Expected Pullback Targets:
TP1: 3387.80–3386.20 = VWAP + 1 STD reversion
TP2: 3383.00 = HLQ + CVD shelf
🛡️ Stop Zone for Mean Reversion Entry:
Above 3397.20 or on full absorption at 3395.50 (failure = trap scenario invalid)
🧮 Probability Estimate – Mean Reversion:
46–55% over next 6–12 hours
↑ Strengthens to 65–70% if price fails to reclaim 3394.50 after sweep + delta shift
📈 Trap Reversal Setup (Short trap flipped into long):
If price fakes below 3391.00 then spikes back above 3393.50 with aggressive tape → strong trap confirmation
In that case:
✅ Re-entry LONG with confirmation
📍 Entry: 3393.40–3394.20
🎯 TP: New highs at 3402.50+, then 3406.00
📚 NARRATIVE (Alt Scenario):
Market extended into premium zone without strong continuation. Liquidity overhead, delta divergence, and VWAP stretch suggest potential for correction. If bulls fail to defend 3393–3391, price likely seeks VWAP center and HLQ for rebalancing. Conversely, any reclaim of broken bids post-sweep flips scenario into a reactive long on trap fuel.
📦 MODULE TRACE (Alt Path):
🧠 Disciplined Entry Logic: Rule 3 (bias must adjust if liquidity contradicts setup)
💧 HLQ under VWAP (~3384–3387) aligned with pullback
🔄 Delta divergence + DOM ceiling = soft rejection
📦 Shadowcode ST3/ST5 if price forms mirror wick rejection
🧠 Trap Narrative Active only after flush + reclaim with flow shift
NordKern - XAUUSD InsightNordKern | Simplified Insight OANDA:XAUUSD Short Opportunity Ahead
Gold saw a sharp surge in price today, primarily driven by political headlines that temporarily shook market sentiment. To be specific:
📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 16:56 CET
CBS Reports: Trump asked Republican lawmakers whether he should fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell. This headline alone triggered an intraday spike of +$52/oz in gold as markets priced in increased macro and institutional risk.
As previously stated "Context Matters."
While the President cannot remove the Fed Chair without cause, even the suggestion introduces uncertainty and undermines confidence in the Fed’s independence especially ahead of a high-stakes election cycle.
However, further developments quickly followed: 📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 17:58 CET
Trump: “Firing Powell is highly unlikely.” 📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 18:06 CET
Trump: “Reports on me firing Powell are not true.” With this clarification, the initial rally appears overstretched and sentiment-driven, leaving room for a corrective pullback as the market digests the full picture.
Trade Setup - Short Bias
Parameters:
Entry: 3356.40
Stop Loss: 3690.30
Take Profit: 3322.00
Key Notes:
- The spike was headline-driven and not supported by policy shift or macro data.
- Trump’s denial removes much of the political risk premium that had been briefly priced in.
- Watch for momentum fading near resistance and confirmation via intraday structure.
This remains a tactically driven setup. Manage risk appropriately and stay alert for any renewed political developments.
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – Full Structure & Macro | July 21, 2025Hello, GoldMinds! 💙
After a volatile week, gold remains caught in a wide H4 range, ping-ponging between structural supply and demand. Let’s break down the current picture so you can navigate the next big moves with confidence.
🌍 Macro & Bias
Macro context:
Last week’s US CPI print triggered a temporary rally, but gold failed to hold above resistance and quickly reversed as the dollar strengthened. Next week brings Fed Chair Powell’s testimony, global PMI numbers, and jobless claims—all catalysts for new volatility.
Bias:
Neutral on H4:
Gold is consolidating inside a broad sideways range.
The market is waiting for a catalyst to break above 3375 or below 3310 before showing a real trend.
🔸 Structural Key Supply Zones (Above Price)
1️⃣ 3357–3375 | Main H4 Supply
Why it matters:
Aggressive NY and CPI rallies have been sold off here; price rejected every attempt to close above 3375. OB, liquidity cluster, inducement—this is the first real ceiling above price.
Trade logic:
Watch for M15/H1 reversal or exhaustion. No clean break = supply remains active.
2️⃣ 3384–3400 | Macro Supply
Why it matters:
All failed breakouts from early summer were stopped in this block. Liquidity pool and macro OB; every test led to sharp pullbacks.
Trade logic:
Avoid FOMO—only short with confirmation of rejection.
3️⃣ 3410–3425 | Extreme Supply
Why it matters:
The final upper ceiling for now. Any spike here is likely to see big profit-taking and volatility.
🔹 Structural Key Demand Zones (Below Price)
1️⃣ 3330–3310 | Main H4 Demand
Why it matters:
All major dips last week bounced here—bulls are active in this OB. It’s the base of the current “micro-range,” with clear LTF inducement and high volume.
Trade logic:
Look for bullish reversal (M15/H1) before trusting any long from here.
2️⃣ 3295–3275 | Swing Demand / Discount Zone
Why it matters:
The main structure support for July. Strong OB, historic liquidity sweeps—each deep flush has brought responsive buyers.
Trade logic:
Watch for reaction, but don’t knife-catch without a clear structure break.
3️⃣ 3250–3225 | Extreme Demand / HTF Liquidity Pool
Why it matters:
The “final line” for bulls. This zone has absorbed all major liquidations and created swing reversals since early spring.
📊 H4 Structure Logic
Current play:
Gold is stuck in a structural cage between 3375 and 3310.
Until price closes outside these edges, every spike is likely a liquidity hunt.
Pro move:
Only react to confirmation in these zones—don’t force trades in the mid-range!
🧠 Game Plan
Set alerts at each supply & demand zone.
Wait for confirmation: M15/H1 CHoCH, BOS, wicks, or volume.
Let the news come to you: Powell & PMI will likely force a test of an edge; be patient.
💬 What’s your bias for the week? Drop it below and tag a friend!
🚀🚀🚀 and Follow GoldFxMinds for sniper-level gold planning and deep-dive SMC education.
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— GoldFxMinds 💙
Gold holds steady near resistance – Is a breakout coming?Hello everyone, let’s explore today’s gold market together!
Overall, during the Asian session on Monday, gold traded cautiously, consolidating just below the nearest resistance level at $3,360, with minimal price movement. The uptrend remains strong, primarily driven by a sharp momentum shift last Friday following key news, as the weakening USD reignited investor interest in gold.
Current market sentiment suggests that major institutional funds and retail traders alike are showing renewed attention. As long as the previous support level around $3,330 holds firm, the next move could be a break above the $3,360 resistance, which would likely open the door for further upside expansion.
However, if price breaks below that support zone, I would consider the bullish setup invalid and shift to a wait-and-see approach until clearer signals emerge.
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments — your perspective could contribute tremendous value to the global TradingView community!
Gold Strategy: Long in 3320-3330 & TargetsDuring Friday’s (July 18th) US trading session, spot gold traded in a narrow range with a downward bias 😔, currently hovering around 3350.05. Thursday saw spot gold stage a heart-stopping "deep V" move 😲! Driven by the dual catalysts of the US June retail sales surging 0.6% (beating expectations) and initial jobless claims dropping to 221,000, the US Dollar Index once spiked to a monthly high of 98.95, instantly slamming spot gold to an intraday low of 3309.82. Surprisingly, however, gold prices then staged a strong rebound, closing at 3338.86 with a mere 0.25% decline.
This "fake dip" pattern reveals a deep-seated contradiction in the current market – while economic data temporarily supports dollar strength, investors’ inflation concerns triggered by tariffs are forming an "invisible buying force" for gold 💪. The concurrent rise in the dollar and US Treasury yields has indeed weighed on gold prices, yet robust buying interest emerges at every dip window. Behind this phenomenon lies shrewd capital quietly positioning itself. When the 10-year US Treasury yield climbed to a monthly high of 4.495%, gold refused to fall further – this divergence signals significant market 分歧 over the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory 😕.
Gold Trend Analysis:
Gold remains in a bullish trend 👍. From the daily chart perspective, gold continued its strong upward momentum today, closing with a positive candle. Technically, the MACD bullish energy bars have started to expand, and the KDJ is in a golden cross heading upward, indicating that the overall price is in a strong phase. As long as gold doesn’t break below 3320, the market is expected to continue its upward trajectory, potentially targeting 3375-3400. If it fails to break through, gold may see a minor short-term pullback. If the pullback doesn’t break 3330, gold is likely to gather momentum again to attack 3375; a break below would shift focus to the 3310 support level. As long as 3310 holds, gold remains in a bullish rebound structure. Next week’s broad range is expected to be 3375-3310.
On the 4-hour chart, the KDJ indicator, after being oversold, has started to turn upward and is now in a golden cross. Notably, this upward move has been accompanied by clear medium bullish candles, making KDJ a more reliable indicator here – the potential for continued bullish candles remains high 😃. The MACD fast line is turning upward at a high level, on the verge of another golden cross, with green energy bars continuing to contract and poised to turn red by inertia. Overall, gold’s current trend is either consolidating or rising. Given the clear bullish bias, we can consider firmly going long first, and only observe the possibility of shorting when KDJ approaches the upper 100 level and the MACD fast/slow lines are about to cross.
Focus on buying on pullbacks. The short-term support levels lie at 3330-3320 – as long as these levels hold, they present buying opportunities. If gold rises during the US session, watch whether 3365 and 3375 are broken; a failure to break through could bring pullback space, offering opportunities for short-term short positions.
Gold Trading Strategy 😎: Go long decisively once on the first pullback to the 3320-3330 range 😏, with targets looking at the 3350-3360 range – just wait for profits to roll in 💰!
🚀 Buy @3320 - 3330
🚀 TP 3340 - 3350
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Quick follow up on our 1H chart idea
We had a nice push up on the chart at the start of the week, coming close but just short of the 3381 gap. Still, it was a solid catch that respected our levels beautifully.
Following that, we cleared our 3353 Bearish Target, which also triggered the EMA5 cross and lock, confirming the move toward our 3328 retracement range, a level we hit perfectly.
As expected, we're now seeing a reaction in this 3328 zone, which remains key. We are watching this closely for a potential bounce. However, if price crosses and locks below 3328, the swing range will open, setting up the potential for a larger swing bounce from deeper levels.
We’ll continue using dips and key support zones for scalps and intraday bounces, aiming for 20–40 pips per level. The structure remains valid, and as mentioned before, our back-tested levels have consistently shown strong reaction zones over the past 24 months.
Updated Reminder of Key Levels:
BULLISH TARGET
3381
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3381 opens
3416
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3416 opens
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3353 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3353 opens
3328 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3328 opens
3305
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3305 opens Swing Range:
3288
3259
As always, we’ll continue monitoring and sharing updates, as price reacts around these zones. Thank you all for the continued support, your likes, comments, and follows are genuinely appreciated!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
QUIET START TO THE WEEK, WATCH OUT FOR KEY RESISTANCE!🔔 GOLD PLAN 21/07 – QUIET START TO THE WEEK, WATCH OUT FOR KEY RESISTANCE!
🌍 Market Overview
Gold has bounced back strongly following a brief pullback late last week. The move comes as geopolitical tensions and global conflicts continue to escalate.
While this week may not feature high-impact economic data, macroeconomic risks and global uncertainty remain the primary drivers of price action.
📊 Technical Outlook
Price is currently approaching a strong resistance zone between 3377–3380, which aligns with a Buy Side Liquidity region.
💡 Sellers may step in here to push the price lower, aiming to fill FVG zones (Fair Value Gaps) left behind during the previous bullish rally.
⚠️ Entering SELL positions at this level is risky — only act upon confirmed reversal signals (candlestick rejection or volume-based confirmation).
🎯 Trade Setup
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3331 – 3329
Stop Loss: 3325
Take Profits:
3335 → 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3358 → 3364 → 3370
🔴 SELL ZONE (confirmation required): 3377 – 3379
Stop Loss: 3383
Take Profits:
3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350
📌 Key Notes
The 3347 zone acts as short-term support for bulls. If this level breaks, a move toward lower FVG liquidity zones becomes more likely.
Keep an eye on EU session volume for clearer short-term direction and better trade timing.
✅ Final Thoughts
Discipline is key. Stick to your TP/SL strategy to manage risk effectively during early-week volatility.
🛡️ Wishing everyone a successful start to the week. Stay patient, stay focused.
GOD BLESS ALL!
XAUUSD Analysis Today Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.