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GOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILOGOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

GOLD / US DOLLAR KILO

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XAUUSDK trade ideas

Will the Fed or Trade Talks Move the Needle?🔎 GOLD WEEKLY SETUP – Will the Fed or Trade Talks Move the Needle? As we head into a pivotal week, gold finds itself boxed between macro pressures and structural indecision. After bouncing between 3,204 and 3,277 last week, all eyes are now on what could be the two biggest catalysts in months: the FOMC decision and renewed trade signals from Washington and Beijing. 🧭 The Bigger Picture 🇨🇳 China’s surprise SGX:40B tariff waiver suggests de-escalation and improving sentiment. 🇺🇸 US Nonfarm Payrolls came in stronger than expected — adding to hawkish Fed pressure. 💵 DXY & Bond Yields remain strong. As long as the USD holds above 105, upside for gold may remain limited. 🔔 This Week’s Macro Triggers 📆 FOMC Meeting & Powell’s Press Conference ➤ A dovish shift = bullish for gold ➤ Status quo or hawkish tone = room for further downside 📉 US–China Trade Headlines ➤ Continued easing = bearish pressure on gold ➤ New tensions = potential safe-haven bid 📊 Technical Landscape (H4/D1 Chart Focus) Price action is forming a clear descending wedge, with major support still intact around the 3,204 – 3,224 zone. Previous highs at 3,277 capped last week’s rally and now act as the first barrier to reclaim. We’re likely to see breakout potential increase mid-week as volatility kicks in post-FOMC. 🎯 Trade Plan – Week of May 6th 🔵 BUY ZONE A: Entry: 3,204 – 3,202 SL: 3,198 TPs: 3,208 → 3,212 → 3,216 → 3,220 → 3,225 → 3,230 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3,276 – 3,278 SL: 3,282 TPs: 3,272 → 3,268 → 3,264 → 3,260 → 3,250 → 3,240 ⚠️ Risk Watchlist 🏛 Fed’s tone on rates 📉 DXY approaching 106.5 🌍 Surprise geopolitical or tariff-related news 🧠 Final Thoughts: This is not a week to predict. It’s a week to respond. Gold is coiling. Structure is clear. Discipline over bias — wait for confirmation, execute with precision. 📌 Follow for midweek intraday updates and real-time FOMC response plans.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
3
Bullish or bearish market(Deep correction, not a bear market)Description Hiii traders I think that in general, given the upward momentum that occurred in the price from $3,000 to $3,500, the trend is bullish and this price drop to $3,200 or ultimately the support zone of $3,170-3,140. The price at 3170 is both a strong support and a Fibo level of 0.38. I expect a rally from around here or eventually 3170. The important level is marked on the chart and I think we have reached the right price for a buy. A break of the 3260-3285 price zone paves the way to 3350. I think we were in a deep correction and not a bearish market. Possible positions this week A:Suitable prices for BUY positions 1)3210-3200 2)3174-3150 B:Suitable prices for SELL positions 1)3285 This is just an analysis and everyone is responsible for their own work. Hoping for a good and profitable week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AliAsghariii
2
Gold - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH4 - We have a clean bullish trend with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure. This strong bullish momentum is followed by a pullback. Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VladimirRibakov
4
Heading into pullback resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 3,275.29 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 23.6% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 3,350.60 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 3,168.44 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
XAUUSDThis 4-hour chart of Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) presents a bearish outlook based on the following technical analysis: Key Highlights: EMA Indicators: EMA(9) is shown in blue and EMA(21) in orange. Price is trading below both EMAs, suggesting bearish momentum. Trendline & Price Action: A descending trendline is respected with multiple rejections. Price failed to break above this trendline, signaling continued downward pressure. Fibonacci Retracements: Key fib levels from the previous swing high to low: 0.382 at ~$3,271.91 0.5 at ~$3,260.83 0.618 at ~$3,250.13 Price is hovering between 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels, which often act as reversal zones. Support & Resistance Zones: Daily Resistance: Around $3,290.20 Daily Support: Around $3,222.94 Multiple lower demand zones are marked: $3,201.96 (minor) $3,124.01 (1.618 fib extension) $2,997.87 (2.618 fib extension) $2,969.96 (major daily demand) Projected Move: The blue arrows suggest a break below $3,201.96 could lead to a drop toward: $3,124.01 (1.618 extension), then A potential pullback before resuming bearish trend Ultimately targeting ~$2,997.87 and $2,969.96 (major demand) Summary: The chart suggests a short bias unless price breaks convincingly above $3,271–$3,290. The next bearish targets are $3,124 and $2,997, supported by the trendline, EMA resistance, and fib extensions.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Dailypaperfx888
GOLD SELL ZONE The $3271:$3272 sell zone for gold might be due to several factors: - *Resistance Level*: This price range could be acting as a resistance level, where gold prices face selling pressure or struggle to break through. - *Profit-Taking*: Investors might be selling gold at this price range to secure profits, especially if they've seen significant gains recently. - *Technical Analysis*: Traders may be using technical indicators, such as moving averages or Relative Strength Index (RSI), to identify $3271:$3272 as a selling opportunity. - *Market Sentiment*: Shifts in market sentiment, driven by news or economic data, could lead to increased selling pressure around $3271:$3272.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jordan-Fx6
Gold Price Analysis – XAU/USD 4H Chart | Supply Zone Rejection +Gold is currently trading at $3,259, showing signs of rejection from a major supply zone around $3,271 - $3,259, highlighted by LuxAlgo's Visible Range. The price tapped into the high-volume area and faced rejection, signaling potential downside. Key Levels: Resistance (Supply Zone): $3,259 – $3,271 Current Price: $3,259 First Support: $3,200 – price previously reacted here. Second Support: $2,998 – a significant former resistance turned support. Major Demand Zone: $2,576 – strong institutional buying area. Bearish Bias If: Price fails to reclaim the $3,259-$3,271 zone. Break and close below $3,200 could trigger a move toward $2,998. Momentum below $2,998 opens a path toward $2,576, especially if macroeconomic data favors USD strength. Watch For: Reaction near $3,200 (potential bounce or continuation). NFP or major U.S. economic data (highlighted on the chart) that could spike volatility. Trade Idea: Short-term traders may look for short opportunities if the current supply zone holds. Confirmation would be a bearish candlestick close below $3,200. Risk Management: Use tight stops above $3,271 to limit exposure. Monitor macro events closely. --- What do you think – will Gold hold the $3,200 support or break lower? Drop your analysis below! #Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #LuxAlgo #Forex #Commodities #TradingStrategy #ChartAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Incoming🔍 Chart Analysis Summary 1. Key Zones Resistance Zone: ~$3,340 – $3,360 Price has been rejected multiple times from this area, showing strong selling pressure. Support Zone: ~$3,200 – $3,240 Strong historical support level, previously held during a pullback after the last rally. 2. Moving Averages EMA 50 (Red): Currently at ~$3,340 Price is fluctuating around it, indicating short-term indecision or a possible retest. EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at ~$3,300 Acting as a mid-term support level. Price previously bounced from this region. 3. Pattern and Price Action Fakeout Potential: The chart suggests a possible false breakout above the resistance followed by a sharp drop—highlighted by the arrow. This is a common bull trap setup. Bearish Outlook Indicated: The projected path suggests a rejection from resistance and a drop to the support zone (~$3,200). This would create a lower high, a bearish sign. 4. Trading Bias Bearish Setup if: Price fails to hold above $3,340 (EMA50). Price gets rejected from the resistance zone and breaks below $3,300 (EMA200). Bullish Invalidated if: Price closes convincingly above the $3,360 resistance with volume, flipping it into support. 📉 Potential Trade Idea Short Entry: Around $3,350–$3,355 Stop Loss: Above $3,365 (above resistance zone) Target: $3,220–$3,230 (support zone)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
13
How should gold be positioned after the ADP data is released?Although the current ADP data is positive, and the US GDP in the first quarter is sluggish, the risk of US recession has increased, but gold has not risen sharply, and the 1H moving average is still radiating downward. At present, it can only be regarded as a short-term correction to the oversold area. If the upper 3300-3310 does not break, you can go short. Brothers who have made profits now can exit the transaction in time. We are patiently waiting for entry opportunities. If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
Gold Outlook: After Breaking 3,260 — Is 3,000 the Magnet?Gold Weekly Forecast Gold closed last week below the previous weekly lows at 3,260, confirming bearish intent. Price has now left behind multiple imbalances from the bullish leg that started at the 3,000 level. We could first see a retracement to the small imbalance zone around 3,300, followed by a bearish continuation back to the main support/imbalance zone near 3,000. Sideways price action is likely early in the week — but unless bulls reclaim 3,300+, momentum favors a retest of the base. Bias: Bearish Key Zones: • Resistance / Rebalance: 3,300 • Support / Imbalance Target: 3,000 — Weekly forecast by Sphinx Trading Drop your view in the comments. #Gold #XAUUSD #GoldForecast #LiquidityVoids #TechnicalAnalysis #SphinxWeekly #SmartMoney #FVG #3kLevel
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Sphinx_Trading
Analysis of Gold's Trend and Trading Suggestions for Next WeekAfter the release of the non-farm payrolls data, the market reacted quickly but showed a divergent trend, bringing a short-term boost to market confidence. However, the downward revision of historical data and external uncertainties still keep investors cautious. In the short term, risky assets may still have some room for growth, but in the medium to long term, downward risks are gradually accumulating. From a technical perspective, in the 1-hour K-line chart of gold, the moving average system shows an obvious bearish arrangement with a death cross pointing downward, and each moving average continues to diverge downward, indicating that the short-term bearish force is dominant. Currently, the gold price is falling back under the pressure at the level of 3,270. Judging from the subsequent trend, around 3,270 will become a key turning point in the battle between bulls and bears for gold next week. Although there has been a rebound in the price of gold, the rebound range is relatively limited compared to the previous decline, which further shows that the bullish force has not fully taken the upper hand. If the gold price continues to be under pressure at the level of 3,270 and fails to break through effectively next week, the market is likely to continue in a range-bound pattern. In the short term, it will be difficult for the bulls in the gold market to achieve a trend reversal. Investors need to pay close attention to the breakthrough situation of this key price level and the changes in trading volume to grasp the subsequent market trend. XAUUSD sell@3255-3265 tp:3240-3220 Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by VolatilityWise
HelenP. I Gold can correct to trend line and continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After the recent drop and partial gap-fill, the price seems to be forming a solid foundation for a potential continuation to the upside. The price previously rebounded from the lower levels near 2955 and established a strong bullish trend, respecting the ascending trend line multiple times. Each touch acted as a signal for buyers to step in, pushing the price toward higher zones. Eventually, the market broke through a major resistance area, which has now turned into a support zone between 3265 and 3295 points. This area is also reinforced by the trend line, which has been tested again recently. Importantly, the price left a gap during the impulsive move up, and after the correction, the gap was filled, and buyers immediately reacted. Now, Gold is trading slightly above the support zone, showing a clear bounce from both the trend line and horizontal structure. This confluence increases the probability of further bullish momentum. Given the price behavior, market structure, and technical context, I expect that XAUUSD will continue rising toward the 3425 points, that’s why it is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
4
Gold Market Outlook – Upcoming FED Decision & Trading StrategyAs we head into the upcoming week, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which is a major catalyst for gold. This event could significantly influence gold’s direction — either fueling the ongoing bullish trend or triggering a pullback. 🔎 Current Technical Outlook: Gold is currently showing strong bullish momentum across higher timeframes. Liquidity targets remain above, with key zones likely to be breached via wicks or trendline taps. Given the uncertainty around the news and macro factors, we’ll execute trades only on confirmed setups from lower timeframe's confirmation. 📌 Trade Plan: Open 50% of the position at $3160, an inevitable level which is a critical level backed by technical confluence. Enter remaining positions based on lower timeframe confirmation. 📝 Supporting Fundamentals: COT (Commitment of Traders) Report indicates an increase in net long positions on gold. $3160 is highly probable — we anticipate price to tap this zone. The U.S. has significantly increased gold imports, reflecting strategic accumulation. Smart money has taken partial profits, but large bullish positions are still being held. Expectation: A sweep of major liquidity levels, followed by a continuation of the bullish trend. Stay sharp and disciplined. Wait for confirmation before adding full exposure.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Earn_withHassaan
Analysis of gold market trend in the future.Gold continued to rebound at the opening, and the daily line has gone down for three consecutive days. The probability of correction is relatively high, and the decline is bound to be not that large. The position of choosing short positions cannot be too low, and the support below is 3230-3227! According to the ADP data, it is likely to be bullish for gold. Under the influence of the tariff war, the employment data may not be too good, and the economic situation will only get worse. There is no doubt about this. Comprehensive analysis, I think the probability of big non-agricultural and unemployment rate bullish is relatively high. Therefore, shorting is limited to intraday, and the focus is on the bottoming out and rebound cycle.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BlairClara