XAUUSD potential scenarioTake away points :
- XAUUSD has been in a good uptrend for the last couple of months, mainly driven by Central banks demand for Gold.
- We had a break of structure to the upside on the left followed by a trendline bullish break, which indicate strength to the upside.
- Price is currently retesting a minor H4 zone, monitor this area for bearish exhaustion and wait for bullish candlestick formation.
Here is my trade idea, it's not a financial advice, just for entertainment purpose.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
Gold Roadmap: Next Stop $3,325 After Ascending Channel Break?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) failed to touch the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) in the previous idea , and I took the position at $3,351 = Risk-free.
Gold is moving in the Resistance zone($3,366-$3,394) and has managed to break the lower line of the ascending channel .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , with the break of the lower line of the ascending channel, it seems that gold has completed the Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Gold to trend downward in the coming hours and succeed in breaking the Support zone($3,350-$3,325) and attacking the Support line again , and probably succeeding in breaking this line this time.
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,396
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Major resistance ahead?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the overlap support.
Pivot: 3,343.09
1st Support: 3,307.61
1st Resistance: 3,363.76
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
check the trendIt is expected that a trend change will form within the current support area and we will witness the beginning of the upward trend.
If the price breaks through the support zone, the continuation of the correction is likely.
If the price breaks through the support levels, the continuation of the downtrend is likely.
Gold on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on gold, the price recently swept liquidity around $3,250 and displayed strong signals indicating a potential upward movement. The next target could be around $3,400."
If you need further clarification or have more details to discuss, feel free to share!
GOLD (XAU/USD) MA Breakout – High-Probability Long Setup!💰🚨 GOLD HEIST ALERT! XAU/USD MASTER PLAN (Thief Trading Style) 🎯
🔥 Steal Pips Like a Pro – High-Probability Gold Breakout Strategy! 🔥
🎯 Thief Trading’s GOLD Heist Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) �💸
👋 Hey there, Market Pirates & Profit Snatchers! 🌍✨
Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 analysis, we’re plotting a major heist on XAU/USD (GOLD). The plan? Buy the breakout, escape before the cops (resistance) arrive! 🚔💨
📈 ENTRY ZONE: The Heist Begins!
🚀 "Wait for the MA Breakout (3400) – Then Strike!"
Bullish Confirmation: Enter on a 15M/30M pullback after MA breakout.
Thief’s Trick: Use Buy Stop above MA or Buy Limit near swing lows for best risk-reward.
DCA/Layering Strategy: Deploy multiple limit orders to maximize gains.
🔔 Set an ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout – thieves move fast! ⏳
🛑 STOP LOSS: Protect Your Loot!
📍 Thief’s SL Placement: 3330.00 (4H Swing Low) – Adjust based on your risk & lot size.
⚠️ WARNING: If using Buy Stop, DO NOT set SL until after breakout – unless you love unnecessary losses! 🔥
🎯 TARGET: Escape with the Gold!
🏴☠️ Take Profit Zone: 3460.00 (or Exit Early if Bears Show Up!)
Scalpers: Only trade LONG side – use trailing SL to lock in profits.
Swing Traders: Ride the wave but watch for resistance traps!
📰 MARKET CONTEXT: Why This Heist?
Neutral Trend (But Bullish Potential! 🐂)
Key Factors: Geopolitics, COT Data, Macro Trends, Sentiment Shift
🚨 News Alert: Avoid new trades during high-impact news – trailing SL saves profits!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! (Like & Share for More Pips!)
💖 Hit the 👍 Boost Button to strengthen our Thief Trading Crew!
🚀 More Heist Plans Coming Soon – Stay Tuned!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER (Stay Safe, Thieves!)
This is NOT financial advice. Do your own analysis & manage risk.
Markets change fast! Adapt or get caught.
🎯 Happy Trading, Pirates! Let’s Steal Some Gold! 🏴☠️💛
XAUUSD (Gold) Buy Setup✅ Entry: As marked on chart
🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): Highlighted on chart
🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): Highlighted on chart
🎯 Take Profit 3 (TP3): Highlighted on chart
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Defined below recent swing low
📊 Technical Insight (Dow Theory):
Gold is currently in a primary uptrend, confirmed by a series of higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart.
Recent price action shows a secondary retracement that has respected the previous swing low, maintaining structural integrity.
A bullish reversal has emerged at a key demand zone, signaling potential continuation of the primary trend.
Momentum indicators align with the trend, and volume analysis suggests accumulation, supporting bullish bias.
📍 As long as price remains above the stop loss level, we anticipate a drive towards TP1 and potentially TP2, TP3 as the next leg of the uptrend unfolds.
🚨 Conservative traders may wait for a confirmed breakout above the last minor high for further validation.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 22, 2025
🔍 Momentum Overview
• D1 timeframe: Momentum has entered the overbought zone, signaling a potential reversal within the next 1–2 sessions. That said, the current bullish leg may still extend — it’s important to wait for tomorrow’s D1 candle close for confirmation. Entering overbought territory is a warning that upside momentum is weakening.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining. Unless a strong bullish candle closes above 3391 to trigger a reversal, the price is likely to continue moving sideways or downward today.
• H1 timeframe: There are signs of a bullish reversal. If the price holds above 3385 and posts a strong breakout candle above 3391, it could present a short-term buying opportunity.
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update
• Price is consolidating within the 3390 – 3402 range — a key zone to monitor closely.
• The 3380 level is a critical threshold, aligned with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of Wave (3). A daily close below this level would raise the possibility that the move is part of a correction rather than Wave 4.
• A flat ABC correction is currently unfolding, with the 1.618 extension of Wave A already reached at 3385.
• If price breaks below 3360, it would overlap with the previous Wave 1, invalidating the current impulsive wave count. In that case, we should consider the potential continuation of a larger abcde triangle correction.
🔗 Momentum & Wave Structure Combined
• H1 is showing early signs of a bullish reversal, but H4 momentum remains bearish. Without a strong breakout candle above 3391, price is likely to drift sideways or lower until H4 reaches the oversold zone.
• Conservative approach: Wait for H4 to enter oversold territory before considering any long positions.
• The ideal buy setup would be a bullish reaction from the 3382 – 3380 zone.
📈 Trade Setup
• Buy Zone: 3382 – 3380
• Stop Loss: 3372
• Take Profit 1: 3402
• Take Profit 2: 3412
• Take Profit 3: 3428
Gold continues to rise.The gold hourly line fell slightly to 3346 this morning and stabilized. It bottomed out and pulled up again to stand on the middle track of the hourly line, which means that the short-term stabilized and the overnight 3361 suppression adjustment ended. Looking at the second pull-up, this should have happened in the US market last Friday, but it was delayed until today. Finally, it successfully reached the 3366 target and hit the 3370 line;So today's Asian market rose, the European market continued to break high, and the US market still had a second pull-up; but because it is in a period of shock, wait patiently for a wave of stabilization before taking action. The reference point to choose is to pay attention to the 3382 split support, that is, 3361-60, which happens to be the top and bottom conversion support point, followed by 3358-56, 50 split support and the middle track, the limit is here, and then the starting point of 3350 cannot and should not break, otherwise it will encounter shocks and washes back and forth; the upper resistance level is concentrated at 3390-3395. It is expected that 3390 will not be able to break through in one breath for the time being. You can try to see a decline when you approach it for the first time;
Gold Could Extend Rally if Breaks 3,400📊 Market Overview
Gold is currently trading around 3,400 USD/oz, up approximately +1.41% over the past 24 hours.
The upward momentum is supported by a weakening US Dollar following dovish-leaning remarks from the Fed, along with growing demand for safe-haven assets amid trade uncertainties.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: ~3,400–3,405 USD (psychological zone; a break above could open the path for further gains).
• Nearest Support: ~3,370–3,375 USD, followed by 3,345–3,350 USD, which marks today’s low.
• EMA 09/20: Price is currently trading above both EMA 9 and EMA 20, confirming a short-term uptrend.
• Momentum / Oscillators: RSI is in the overbought zone; MACD and ADX still show a “buy” signal → bullish trend continues, but watch for possible technical pullbacks.
📌 Opinion
The price may continue to rise if it breaks above the 3,400 USD/oz level, especially if the USD remains weak and safe-haven flows continue to support gold. However, if there’s short-term selling pressure or a USD rebound, gold may pull back toward the 3,370–3,375 USD support zone.
💡 Trade Setup
SELL XAU/USD at: 3,400–3,405 USD
🎯 TP: 3,380 USD
❌ SL: 3,410 USD
BUY XAU/USD at: 3,370–3,375 USD
🎯 TP: 3,390–3,395 USD
❌ SL: 3,360 USD
Gold rallies to 4-week high as dollar and yields tumbleHello traders, what are your thoughts on gold today?
Gold prices are heating up again in the global market as the US dollar weakens and Treasury yields drop. At the time of writing, gold has surged by 50 dollars, reaching 3,390 USD per ounce — its highest level in four weeks.
The sharp decline in the US dollar is one of the main drivers behind gold’s impressive rally. The USD Index, which had risen significantly last week, lost momentum and fell sharply in overnight trading. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds has dropped to around 4.3%, down from recent highs, increasing gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset.
Market sentiment is also being shaped by broader macroeconomic factors. Crude oil futures have dipped slightly, trading around 67 USD per barrel, reflecting investor caution amid global economic uncertainty. These combined forces have created a favorable environment for gold's strong upward movement.
If the dollar continues to weaken and bond yields remain low, gold could sustain its bullish trend. However, traders should remain alert to potential volatility driven by upcoming US Federal Reserve policy moves and key economic data releases, such as inflation reports and GDP growth figures, which may impact gold's trajectory.
GOLD DISTRIBUTION TYPEHello folks. its been a while I am posting. Been dealing with this idea last week.
wait for a rally to 3344, if it breaks above 3351 then we still waiting below our main Entry 3280-3289 zone. less stoploss below the friday low.
Trade it swing if we see monday rally. then wait our entry.
Goodluck and have fun trading,
If trading is a lifestyle this is it.
this is your lifestyle.
waiting here is boring.
thats why we need to be more patience.
xiaaaaooo.
XAUUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 3392.84, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 3377.57, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 3411.50, which is a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD Continues Bullish Structure With Key Retracement OpportunTechnical Outlook – 22/07/2025
On the 1-hour chart, XAUUSD is maintaining a clear bullish market structure with a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The projected price path drawn on the chart suggests a potential retracement before a continuation toward the 3,420 USD region. Let’s break down the key technical zones and strategies for today:
Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Resistance: 3,390 – 3,400 USD
This is the recent high. A breakout above this area could trigger momentum toward the projected 3,420 USD extension.
Support Zone: 3,345 – 3,350 USD
This zone aligns with the potential pullback as illustrated on the chart, offering a high-probability buy-the-dip opportunity. It coincides with previous structure resistance now turned support.
Trendline Support: The ascending yellow trendline has been respected multiple times and should act as dynamic support on any intraday retracements.
Indicators & Tools Used
EMA: Price is currently trading above the short-term EMA (not shown), suggesting intraday bullish bias remains intact.
RSI (Recommended Use): Look for RSI near 40–50 on the pullback for confluence at support.
Fibonacci Tool (suggested): If measuring from the swing low near 3,320 to the high of 3,390, the 0.618 Fib lies close to 3,345 – an ideal area to look for long entries.
Suggested Trading Strategies
🔹 Buy the Dip Strategy:
Wait for a corrective move into the 3,345–3,350 area. Confirm with bullish reversal candles or RSI support, then enter long targeting 3,400–3,420. Stop-loss ideally below 3,335 (structure break).
🔹 Breakout Continuation Strategy:
If price breaks cleanly above 3,390 with volume, a momentum trade toward 3,410–3,420 is viable. Use tight trailing stops to protect gains.
🔹 Avoid chasing highs – Patience at support zones or confirmation above resistance will offer better reward/risk setups.
Conclusion
Gold is respecting bullish market behavior on the 1H chart, and while a short-term correction is expected, the broader trend favors upside continuation. The 3,345–3,350 area will be critical for today's trading decisions.
Remember to follow for more updates and strategy insights. Save this post if you find it useful.
If you’d like, I can also add a version using RSI or Fib levels directly plotted. Let me know.
Gold price moves sideways above 3320⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices advanced during the North American session, gaining 0.78%, supported by headlines suggesting US President Donald Trump had discussed firing Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell. Although Trump later denied the reports, calling it “highly unlikely” unless fraud was involved, the speculation lifted demand for the precious metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,348, after briefly reaching a daily high of $3,377 following Trump-related headlines.
According to Bloomberg, Trump floated the idea during a meeting with GOP lawmakers focused on cryptocurrency regulation, noting that most attendees reportedly supported Powell’s removal.
Beyond political drama, softer US economic data and ongoing geopolitical tensions also underpinned gold’s gains. The latest US Producer Price Index (PPI) came in below expectations but remained above the Fed’s 2% inflation target. Meanwhile, Israeli airstrikes in Syria helped limit downside pressure on bullion, though Gold’s upside remained capped below the $3,400 level following the recent US consumer inflation report.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price moves sideways in the price range of 3306 - 3380, accumulating and waiting for information on US tariffs and interest rates
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3381- 3379 SL 3386
TP1: $3370
TP2: $3360
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3306-$3304 SL $3299
TP1: $3318
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3343
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold is getting exhausted from sprinting.📉 XAUUSD – Why Gold Could Retrace Back to the 3367 Support Area 📉
After a sharp and impulsive rally in XAUUSD, we're starting to see signs of exhaustion and technical imbalance forming on the chart. While the recent bullish momentum has been aggressive, it has left behind key structural inefficiencies in price—specifically a large imbalance zone and untapped liquidity to the downside.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Imbalance Created: The rally was sharp and one-sided, lacking healthy pullbacks or consolidation. This created a visible imbalance, or what many traders refer to as a “fair value gap,” where price moved too far, too fast, without sufficient volume or time spent in that range. Markets tend to revert to such areas to find equilibrium.
Liquidity Below: There's an excessive build-up of sell-side liquidity sitting just below recent swing lows. Smart money and institutional traders often target these zones to fuel larger moves, triggering stop-loss clusters and collecting orders. This is a classic liquidity grab setup.
Support Around 3367: The 3367 level marks a critical support zone where price previously consolidated before the breakout. It also aligns with the imbalance zone and possible demand area. A retracement to this level would not only rebalance the market but offer a cleaner structure for future bullish continuation, if fundamentals support it.
Market Psychology: Retail sentiment is heavily skewed long after the rally, and when the majority is on one side, institutions often move the opposite way to trap weak hands. A retracement flush would clear that sentiment out.
📌 What This Means:
Price is likely to retrace to the 3367 region to fill the imbalance and grab liquidity before any further bullish continuation or trend change. This makes it a key level to watch—not only as a possible buy zone, but also as a signal for deeper market intent.
Follow me for more, here and on X. Hella Love!
XU price touch the resistance level of the symmetrical triangle Price just approached the resistance level of symmetrical triangle that’s currently forming on the daily timeframe. We’re yet to ascertain the next possible direction of price from the daily timeframe but for the meantime, I’d expect a correction in price. Therefore I’d be expecting price to drop in correction of the already made impulse move
Gold Bull Charge- XAU/USD Clears July Opening-RangeGold is attempting to breach resistance today at the 61.8% retracement of the April decline / record high-day close (HDC) at 3355/80- watch the close.
The advance marks a breakout of the July opening-range and a topside breach here exposes the record high-close at 3432 and the record highs at 3500.
Initial support now back at 3355 with bullish invalidation steady at the objective monthly open at 3303.
-MB
Gold Market Opens 4th Week of July with Bullish Continuation Gold market opens the 4th week of July maintaining a bullish trajectory, with price action looking to continue toward 3370’s through 3390’s. Market sentiment remains firm as bullish structure builds momentum.
Eyes on the upcoming levels for potential reaction and continuation signals. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish SetupGold is maintaining its bullish momentum, with price action respecting key support levels. The chart highlights three target levels (TP1, TP2, TP3) marked with green lines, indicating potential zones for profit-taking as the uptrend progresses. A stop-loss is defined below the recent swing low, marked with a red line, to manage downside risk. This setup aligns with the prevailing trend and favors continuation traders.