"XAU/USD Gold Heist Plan | Pullback Entry for Big Bullish Move"🔐💰“GOLD HEIST PLAN UNLOCKED: Thief Trader’s XAU/USD Breakout Blueprint”💰🔐
by The Market Robber a.k.a. Thief Trader – Stealing Pips, One Candle at a Time!
🌍 Hey Money Makers, Market Hustlers, Robbers, & Chart Crackers! 🌍
Bonjour! Hola! Marhaba! Hallo! Ola! What's poppin'?
Welcome to another exclusive robbery plan crafted in pure Thief Trading style—built off technicals, fundamentals, market psychology, and a bit of outlaw intuition. 💸⚔️
This one’s for the GOLD DIGGERS – literally. We’re targeting XAU/USD for a high-voltage bullish heist 🎯💥. Stick to the plan, follow the chart, and you might just make it out with a sack full of pips 💰🔥.
🔓 THE SETUP: GET READY TO ROB THE GOLD MARKET
We're eyeing a LONG ENTRY, with clear intent to break past the consolidation zone and avoid the trap laid by the "market police" at the ATR barricade zone 🚨. This level is where overbought drama and bear claws are strongest – we slip in, grab the profits, and bounce before they know what hit ‘em.
🧠 Use caution: This level is filled with liquidity traps, reversals, fakeouts and retail bait zones. Classic Thief style means we know where the guards are sleeping and where the cameras don't reach. 🎥🔕
💸 ENTRY PLAN:
🟢 Entry Zone: Watch for a pullback to 3320.00 or above. Don’t jump early.
💡 Tactics:
Use Buy Limit Orders (DCA / Layered Entry Style)
Drop them in on 15min/30min swing levels – catch price slipping into liquidity
Confirm with minor structure breaks / order block retests
🔔 Set those alerts – the real move happens when the breakout candle hits.
🛑 STOP LOSS STRATEGY:
🧠 Pro Rule: No stop-loss before breakout.
Once breakout confirms:
🔴 SL Zone: Recent swing low (approx. 3280.00) on the 4H chart
🎯 Adjust SL based on:
Lot size
Order count
Risk appetite
You know the game: manage your risk like a pro thief—quiet, calculated, and fast on the getaway. 💨
🎯 TARGET ZONE:
🏁 TP Zone: 3490.00
⚠️ Escape earlier if the pressure gets heavy – smart thieves never overstay the job.
🧲 SCALP MODE:
Only scalp LONG SIDE – don’t get caught chasing shorts unless you're rich enough to burn your drawdown 🔥
🔐 Use trailing SL to secure bags while climbing the ladder.
🧠 FUNDAMENTALS & MACRO EDGE:
The Gold market is currently in a BEAR structure with hints of bullish reversal potential. This heist isn’t just technical – it’s backed by:
🌍 Global Macro Flows
💼 COT Reports
📰 Sentiment & News Risk
💣 Geo-political Heat
📊 Intermarket Analysis (Dollar, Yields, Risk-On/Off correlations)
Dig deep for the full macro breakdown. Knowledge is leverage.
(Find full reports on reputable sources — you know where to look 👀)
🚨 RISK ALERT:
Before, During & After News Releases:
Avoid fresh entries 🔕
Use Trailing SLs to protect live trades
Watch spread spikes & low-liquidity traps
👉 Don't trade when the market's drunk.
💖 SHOW LOVE – BOOST THE PLAN:
💥Smash that Boost Button💥 if you want more precision heist strategies like this. Support the Thief Trading Style, and we’ll keep robbing the markets clean and teaching the crew how to get in & get out profit-heavy. 🏴☠️📈💰
🎭 I’ll be back with another chart crime scene soon. Until then, stay sneaky, stay profitable, and always move like the market’s watching (because it is). 😎
🔐 Thief Trader Out. Rob. Exit. Repeat. 🔁💸
XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAUUSD (GOLD): Wait For The BOS! FOMC and NFP Looms!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of July 28 - June 1st.
Gold is in the middle of a consolidation. Bas time to look for new entries!
FOMC on Wednesday and NFP on Friday. Potential news drivers to move price in a decisive direction!
Wait for a break of structure (BOS) either direction before entering a new trade.
Be mindful that the Monthly is bullish, and the Weekly is neutral.
The Daily is bearish, with 3 days of data indicating so. I am leaning towards this bias, as the draws on liquidity are near and obvious.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gold’s Next Move: Bounce or Breakdown?Gold is pulling back after breaking the 3,360 USD resistance on the 6-hour chart. Price is currently testing the nearest fair value gap (3,370–3,380), but upside momentum is stalling, partly due to unfilled supply zones above.
A retest of the lower FVG near 3,340 will be key. Holding above this level could trigger renewed buying, while a break below may invalidate the bullish structure.
Traders should closely monitor whether downside gaps continue to fill and how price behaves near support zones. Lack of strong liquidity could lead to a false breakout.
Gold will drop like rain till 3250.Hello IGT FOLLOWER'S
Here is my gold overview, According to me Gold is currently facing resistance around the 3290–3310 zone. This setup anticipates a rejection from this area, with bearish momentum expected to push price downward. A break above 3310 would invalidate the setup, so risk management is key.
Key points:
Entry point: 3290
1st target : 3275
2nd target: 3250
Follow me for more latest updates and signals
Gold price continues sharp declineHello everyone! Do you think gold will rise or fall? Let’s dive into the latest movements of this precious metal.
Just as we anticipated in yesterday’s strategy , gold has extended its downward move, with the bears firmly in control. The precious metal is currently trading around 3,290 USD, clearly signaling a short-term downtrend after breaking the ascending trendline that started in early July. Although there was a slight bounce, price remains capped below the key resistance zone of 3,333 – 3,350 USD, which coincides with the confluence of the 0.618 – 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the EMA 34/89 — adding even more downside pressure.
The main reason behind this recent drop lies in the easing of trade tensions following the US-EU tariff agreement, which has significantly weakened gold’s safe-haven appeal. At the same time, the FOMC meeting yesterday failed to provide any bullish catalyst for gold. Even though the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged, a single hawkish remark from Chair Powell was enough to intensify short-term selling pressure.
From a technical perspective, gold attempted to retest the broken trendline but failed, confirming the bearish structure. A new wave of correction could emerge soon, but the overall outlook remains tilted toward further downside.
My personal view:
Target 1 is at the 1.272 Fibonacci extension.
Target 2 lies at the 1.618 Fibonacci level — which could be the next destination.
And you — what do you think about this trendline break? Let’s discuss in the comments!
XAUUSDUpdate:
Gold Price Trend: As per our previous analysis on July 28, 2025, the price has now tested the support at 3,269. We expect that if the gold price can hold above 3,249, the gold price trend will remain bullish. We recommend considering buying in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Mechanical vs. Anticipation Trades: The Fine LineWhen traders talk about discipline, they often refer to following rules — sticking to a plan, being methodical, and avoiding emotional decisions. But there's a subtle and powerful difference between being rule-based and being blindly mechanical. And even more, there's a moment in every trader’s process where discipline demands adaptation.
Let’s look at a recent trade on Gold to understand this better.
On Thursday, I published an analysis on Gold stating that the recent breakdown of support had turned that zone into resistance. A short entry from that level made sense.
It was mechanical, clean, and aligned with what the chart was showing at the time.
And, at first, it worked. Price rose into the resistance area and dropped. Perfect reaction. Textbook setup. Confirmation. The kind of trade you want to see when following a rule-based system.
But then something changed.
Price came back. Quickly.(I'm talking about initial 3315-3293 drop and the quick recover)
So, the very next rally pushed straight back into the same resistance area, hmmm...too simple, is the market giving us a second chance to sell?
That was the first sign that the market might not respect the previous structure anymore.
It dipped again after, but the second drop was different: slower, weaker, choppier.
That told me one thing: the selling pressure was fading.
So I shifted. From mechanical execution to anticipatory mindset.
This is where many traders struggle — not because they don’t have a system, but because they don’t know when to let go of it. Or worse: they abandon it too quickly without cause.
In this case, the evidence was building. The failed follow-through. The loss of momentum. The compression in structure. All signs that a reversal was brewing.
Rather than continuing to blindly short, referring to a zone that no longer held the same weight, I started looking for the opposite: an upside breakout and momentum acceleration.
That transition wasn’t based on emotion. It was based on market behavior.
________________________________________
Mechanical vs. Anticipation: What’s the Real Difference?
A mechanical trade is rule-based:
• If X happens, and Y confirms, then enter.
• No need for interpretation, no second guessing.
• It can (in theory) be automated.
An anticipatory trade is different:
• It’s about reading intent in price action before confirmation.
• Higher risk usually, but higher reward if you’re right.
• Can’t be automated. It requires presence, experience, and context.
And the tricky part? Often, we lie to ourselves. We say we’re "mechanical" while actually guessing. Or we think we’re being smart and intuitive, when in fact, we’re being impulsive.
The key is awareness.
In my Gold ideas, the initial short was mechanical. But the invalidation came quickly — and I was alert enough to switch gears. That shift is not a betrayal of discipline. It’s an upgrade of it.
________________________________________
Final Thoughts:
Discipline is not doing the same thing no matter what. Discipline is doing what the market requires you to do, without emotional distortion.
And that, often, means walking the fine line between the setup you planned for, and the reality that just showed up.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Could Show there Potentially BearishGold is currently consolidating, but a downtrend range is forming based on the prevailing market setup. After erasing early gains, XAUUSD stabilized near 3340 on Monday, with downside pressure largely influenced by a stronger U.S. Dollar following the announcement of the US-EU trade agreement.
Price rejected sharply from the 3340 resistance zone, suggesting continued bearish momentum. A minor pullback was seen after testing the upper boundary, with sellers regaining control near resistance. Traders are closely watching the 3350–3362 resistance zone, where another rejection could fuel a fresh downside move A confirmed breakdown below 3312 could open the path toward 3282 in the short term.
Ps: Support with like and comments for more better analysis.
GOLD could test 3375 before falling furtherGOLD could test 3375 before falling further
In our previous analysis, we were looking for gold to fall from the top and, as we can see, it has already reached 3341 from the 3430 area.
From the top down, the price depreciated by 2.85% in less than 3 days, so a possible correction is expected near the area of the structure coming from the left side around 3375.
Given that gold is only moving down, it may be possible for the downward movement to continue slowly. Both scenarios are possible at this point.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
XAUUSD: Bearish Continuation in Play Toward 3,250Gold closed last week with a strong bearish weekly candle, rejecting from the 3,440 supply zone and closing below the key Fair Value Gap at 3,360. This confirms downside pressure, especially in the context of a strengthening dollar.
For this week, we may see a bullish opening early in the week toward 3,370, followed by a deeper bearish move targeting the major low and liquidity pool at 3,250.
Bias: Bearish
Key Zones:
• Resistance / Retest: 3,370
• Target: 3,250
• Supply Rejection: 3,440
Momentum favors further downside unless bulls reclaim key levels.
XAUUSD H2 | Downside Target 3270Gold (XAUUSD) recently rejected from a key resistance zone around 3300, showing strong bearish momentum on the 2H timeframe.
💡 Setup Idea:
• Price broke support → Retest as new resistance ✅
• Clean imbalance left behind → Fills expected 📉
• Target: 3270 zone (300 pips move) 🎯
• Risk-Reward potential is solid for intraday/swing entries.
Trade Plan:
If price holds below 3300, we expect continuation toward the 3270 zone. This area also aligns with previous structure and liquidity grab.
🕐 Timeframe: 2H
📌 Resistance: 3300
🎯 Target: 3270
📍 RR: 1:2+
#XAUUSD #GoldSetup #PriceAction #SmartMoney #FXTrading #TradingView #ForYou
Bearish Gold Outlook — Potential Flash Crash Imminent🔻 Technical Structure – Bearish Breakdown Brewing
Lower highs and lower lows forming on the daily and 4H timeframes — classic downtrend mechanics.
Price has rejected multiple times near $3,400–3,430, forming a strong resistance ceiling.
Support at $3,280–3,300 has been tested too many times— and each bounce is weaker. When support holds with less conviction, it's often about to break.
Volume spikes on red candles show smart money is exiting on down moves — signs of institutional distribution.
The **tightening consolidation range** looks like a **descending triangle** — usually resolves downward.
If $3,280 breaks, expect a **liquidity event**. Stops get swept, leading to a **sudden acceleration — possibly a flash crash** to $3,200 or lower.
🌍 **Fundamental Drivers – Macro Picture Is Turning Hostile for Gold**
1. Real Yields Are Climbing
U.S. real yields are up as inflation fades and the Fed stays hawkish.
Gold, being yieldless, suffers when investors can get positive returns from bonds.
2.The Dollar Is Gaining Strength
DXY is pushing higher, fueled by strong U.S. data and weak peers (euro, yen).
Gold priced in USD becomes more expensive globally — this suppresses demand.
3. **Rate Cuts Are Off the Table — or Delayed**
Market is pricing fewer and later rate cuts from the Fed.
This removes one of gold’s biggest bullish catalysts from earlier in the year.
4. Geopolitical Fear Is Cooling
No major escalation in Ukraine, Middle East, or Taiwan.
Without fear, gold loses its safe-haven premium.
5. Central Bank Buying May Have Peaked
Recent data from WGC shows some slowing in central bank accumulation.
If this institutional bid softens, gold could drop hard — few natural buyers remain above $3,300.
⚠️Conclusion: Gold Is Walking a Tightrope
The chart is a staircase down.
Macro fundamentals are no longer supportive.
A clean breakdown below $3,280 could trigger a **chain reaction** of automated selling and margin calls — **a flash crash is on the table**.
This isn’t just a correction — this feels like the calm before the storm.
XAUUSD-Bearish reversal?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level, which serves as a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take-profit target.
Entry: 3,319.22
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 3,354.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,271.39
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
GOLD BUYGold maintains its daily gains around $3,300
After retreating markedly on Wednesday, Gold rebounds moderately and remains positive at about $3,300 per troy ounce on Thursday. The precious metal’s rebound comes in response to the daily retracement in US yields across the curve and the so far irresolute price action in the Greenback
The US Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting, in a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, despite intense pressure from US President Donald Trump and his allies to lower borrowing costs. The decision, however, met opposition from Fed Governors Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller. This was the first time since 1993 that two governors had dissented on a rate decision.
In the accompanying monetary policy statement, the committee had a more optimistic view and noted that the economy continued to expand at a solid pace. Adding to this, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during the post-meeting press conference that the central bank had made no decisions about whether to cut rates in September. This comes on top of the upbeat US macro data, and lifted the US Dollar to a two-month high.
Automatic Data Processing reported that private payrolls in the US rose by 104,000 jobs in July, following a revised 23,000 fall recorded in the previous month. Adding to this, the Advance US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report published by the US Commerce Department showed that the economy expanded at a 3.0% annualized pace during the second quarter after contracting by 0.5% in the previous quarter
SUPPORT 3,346
SUPPORT 3,328
SUPPORT 3,309
RESISTANCE 3,283
RESISTANCE 3,273
Bullish Rejection from Support, Upside in FocusMarket Overview: On the M15 timeframe, XAUUSD shows signs of a short-term bullish reversal after a prolonged sideways range around the key support zone of 3,286 – 3,289 USD. Price faked out below this support but quickly recovered, forming a V-shape reversal, suggesting strong buying interest has returned.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zones:
- 3,286 – 3,289: Strong intraday support, tested multiple times with sharp rejections
- 3,274: Next significant support if the above zone fails
Resistance Zones:
- 3,300 – 3,304: First resistance target aligned with the recent high
- 3,308 – 3,312: Higher resistance area where supply may emerge
Technical Indicators:
EMA: Price has reclaimed the short-term EMAs, indicating bullish momentum on lower timeframes
RSI: Rising above 50 but not yet overbought – there’s room for further upside
Volume: Increasing volume during the bounce confirms buying strength
Trading Strategy:
- Bullish Scenario (Preferred): Entry Zone: Watch for pullback toward 3,290 – 3,292
Stop Loss: Below 3,285
Take Profit 1: 3,300
Take Profit 2: 3,304
Extended Target: 3,308 – 3,312 (if bullish momentum continues beyond breakout zone)
- Bearish Scenario (Alternate): Only valid if price breaks and closes strongly below 3,286
Short Target: 3,274 – 3,270
Note: Counter-trend strategy – higher risk, requires strong confirmation
Conclusion: Gold is showing a bullish price structure on the 15-minute chart. As long as price holds above the 3,286 – 3,289 support zone, the path of least resistance appears to be upward, with 3,300 and 3,304 as the next logical targets. Monitor price action closely during the U.S. session for a potential long setup.
- Follow for more real-time gold trading strategies and save this idea if you find it helpful!
Is the market panicking over FOMC today?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) fluctuates within a narrow range during the Asian session on Wednesday, showing only modest gains and losses as traders tread carefully ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement. The metal’s recent rebound from the $3,300 area faces hesitation, with investors awaiting clearer signals on the Fed’s rate-cut trajectory before committing to new positions. As such, attention remains firmly on the outcome of the two-day FOMC meeting, set to be released later today.
In the meantime, pre-Fed uncertainty is lending some support to the safe-haven appeal of gold. Additionally, a slight pullback in the U.S. Dollar—after hitting its highest level since June 23 on Tuesday—is providing a mild lift to the metal. However, expectations that the Fed will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period are limiting the dollar’s decline and capping upside potential for the non-yielding yellow metal. Adding to the cautious mood, recent optimism on global trade also tempers bullish momentum in XAU/USD.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
slight recovery, not big before FOMC news. Gold price will still be under selling pressure when interest rate stays at 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3373- 3375 SL 3380
TP1: $3360
TP2: $3344
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3283-$3281 SL $3276
TP1: $3295
TP2: $3307
TP3: $3320
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD 4H CHART - Bearish pattern Analysis (read the caption)📉 XAUUSD 4H Chart – Bearish Flag Pattern Analysis
This 4-hour chart of Gold (XAUUSD) shows a classic Bearish Flag pattern, which is typically a continuation signal in a downtrend. After a strong bearish move, price entered a consolidation phase inside a rising channel, forming higher highs and higher lows—this creates the flag structure.
The price is currently trading within the Resistance and Support Trendlines of the flag. A break below the Support Trendline would confirm the bearish flag breakout, suggesting a continuation of the downtrend.
Key support levels to watch:
🔻 First Support: 3280.063 – Initial target after breakout
🔻 Second Support: 3250.000 – Extended target if bearish momentum continues
Traders should monitor for a confirmed breakdown with volume and bearish candlestick confirmation to validate short entries. This setup favors sellers if the support breaks decisively.
XAUUSD Weekly July 2025 28 July - 1 Aug🧭 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW – H4
1. Major Trend: Bullish
The overall trend remains bullish, with multiple Bullish Breaks of Structure (BOS) recorded during the upward move since early July.
A strong CHoCH followed by a solid Bullish BOS on H4 after the early July breakout confirms strong buyer intent.
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2. Bearish BOS?
You're absolutely right — there are no significant Bearish BOS on H4 after the recent rally.
The current downward movement appears to be a retracement, not a structural break. No confirmation of bearish market structure yet.
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🔵 CURRENT ZONE: H4 OB BUY (Active POI)
Price is currently rejecting from the H4 OB BUY zone, which aligns with the ascending trendline confluence.
If the H4 candle closes with a strong rejection (e.g. bullish engulfing or pinbar), this would confirm a potential buy entry for the next bullish leg.
This OB BUY is the main POI for next week and represents a:
✅ Buy from Discount
✅ Entry in Uptrend Structure
✅ Confluence of OB + POI + Momentum
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🟥 FVG & TP Structure
1. TP1 / Scaling Zone:
H4 Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3368–3380 can serve as the first target.
2. Final TP / ATH Zone:
Upper FVG (3420+) near a previous POI could act as the final target or a potential ATH test zone if buyers push higher.
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🚀 TRADING PLAN – NEXT WEEK (Still Valid)
✅ Structure is still bullish
✅ Current drop is a retracement to OB BUY
✅ No valid Bearish BOS detected
✅ Current POI + OB BUY zone = prime entry level
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📌 ENTRY STRATEGY
Entry: Buy within the OB BUY H4 zone (around 3320–3340)
Confirmation: Wait for a strong H4 rejection candle
Stop Loss: Below OB H4 (~3310, or adjust to lower OB zone)
TP1: 3368–3380 (FVG zone)
TP2: 3420+ (Upper FVG / POI / ATH zone)
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⚠️ Additional Notes
If price breaks below OB BUY H4 with a strong bearish candle, this setup becomes invalid.
Then, we shift focus to lower OB zones (3280 / 3250).
Be cautious of high-impact news (FOMC/NFP?) – price may spike before confirming direction.
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🔥 FINAL VERDICT:
✅ Plan is highly valid
❌ No strong bearish structure in place
🔒 Current POI is a key sniper entry zone