XAUUSDK trade ideas
XAU/USD (GOLD) TRADE PLAN 6/5/2025XAU/USD (Gold) Trading Outlook
The current price of XAU/USD around 3380 to 3375. We are anticipating a pullback towards the 3300 level, at which point we will look for long (buy) entry opportunities.
Key Resistance/Target Level:
TARGET 1: 3400
TARGET 2: 3450
TARGET 3: 3480
Key Support Levels:
SUPPORT 1: 3200
SUPPORT 2: 3150
This Strategy is based on the expectation of a price retracement, providing a more favorable risk-reward setup for long positions.
Gold opening rise and fall prediction?The current gold market is in a range of fluctuations, maintaining a wide range of fluctuations. Technically, the key support level below is still focused on the 3270 area, while the 3450 price level above constitutes a significant double-top structural resistance level. Although the conclusion of the US-UK tariff agreement has a phased negative effect on precious metals at the geopolitical level and may provide a demonstration effect for other regional trade negotiations, the overall technical structure still maintains a downward trend. At the daily level, the recent K-line combination has completed a deep retracement from the 3500 mark with two long negative lines, directly breaking through an important support platform. The current daily K-line continues to close the adjustment pattern with an upper shadow line, and the alternating yin and yang oscillation rhythm conforms to the technical correction characteristics. It is worth noting that the 50-period moving average continues a clear downward trajectory, forming a resonance suppression with the double-top structure in the 3450 area.
The 1-hour gold chart shows that the short-term price trend presents a clear downward channel feature, and the seller's power continues to dominate the market. Combined with the Fibonacci extension level calculation, the first target below can still focus on the 3300 area. If this support platform is lost, the price will have a technical demand to further explore the 3320 integer mark. The current volume and price coordination shows that the market is brewing a new wave of trending market conditions. It is necessary to pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of the 3300-3380 range, which will determine the continuation or reversal of the medium-term trend. Taken together, the short-term operation of gold is recommended to be mainly longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3360-3380, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3320-3300.
HelenP. I Gold will rebound from trend line to resistance zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After an aggressive rally from the support zone, the price has been consolidating just below the resistance area. What’s important now is how price behaves around the trend line, which has acted as dynamic support since early April. The most recent pullback landed exactly on this line, where buyers quickly reacted, forming a higher low. This move suggests that the bullish structure remains intact and buyers are defending their positions. The market is currently hovering near 3325, but with momentum slowly building and no major bearish breakdowns, it’s reasonable to anticipate another push higher. The resistance zone between 3405 and 3435 is the next key area, and it aligns with the top of the recent impulse move. If XAUUSD holds above the trend line and breaks through the 3405 level, we could see a continuation toward 3435, my current goal. Overall, the market shows a steady uptrend, supported by rising lows and a strong reaction at the trend line. Until this structure is broken, I remain bullish. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD Correction Complete - Rally Toward $3,450 AheadOANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, signaling ongoing bullish momentum. The price has continued to respect the channel structure, printing higher highs and higher lows, a clear sign of an intact uptrend. The recent retracement represents a healthy correction, potentially setting the stage for another bullish leg.
Price is now approaching a key support zone, marked by the lower boundary of the channel and a previous demand area. If this zone holds, it may offer a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. The projected upside target is $3,450, which aligns with both the midline of the ascending channel and a previous resistance level.
As long as the price remains above the support zone and the ascending trendline, the bullish scenario remains valid. A break below this level, however, could invalidate the setup and increase the likelihood of a deeper retracement.
Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
Gold 100% Profit SignalThe daily level shows that the price of gold fell after a strong rebound for two consecutive days, indicating that the selling pressure from above is significant and there is a need for technical correction in the short term. The current price has retreated to the vicinity of the key psychological level of $3,400, which is the support area of the previous breakthrough gap. If it fails, it may further drop to the level of $3,350. In terms of technical indicators, RSI has fallen from the overbought area, and the MACD red column has shrunk and there are signs of a dead cross, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened. In addition, the 5-day moving average shows a downward trend. If the gold price fails to re-stand on the resistance level of $3,440, it will confirm the formation of a short-term top structure. Overall, gold is in a high-level shock consolidation stage. If there is a lack of new risk aversion drivers, the adjustment cycle may continue. Although geopolitical risks continue to exist, the current financial market is more focused on the evolution of global trade sentiment, resulting in a phased weakening of the attractiveness of traditional safe-haven assets. In the long run, gold still has fundamental support, but in the short term it may be affected by the strength of the US dollar and the recovery of risk appetite. In terms of operating strategy, it is recommended to focus on low-level buying on pullbacks and high-level selling on rebounds. Pay attention to the resistance in the 3405-3430 area on the top and the support in the 3360-3350 range on the bottom.
In the early Asian session, gold prices showed a rapid correction trend. The key support band below is concentrated in the 3356-3363 area, which is the long defensive fortress of the previous upward trend. The technical pattern shows that if the support is confirmed by the retracement, long orders can be arranged in this area, and the low-long idea remains unchanged. The key watershed of the short-term bullish trend is in the 3340-3345 range. The loss of this position will change the short-term strong pattern. The daily level maintains a bullish control structure, and the operation suggestion is to focus on low-long after the correction stabilizes.
Operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to 3355-3365, and add more when it falls back to 3346-50, stop loss at 3338, target 3386-3395.
Gold Bears Aim for 3200 – Selling Rallies Remains the PlayIn my Friday analysis, I highlighted the potential for Gold to retest the 3270 support zone, and indeed, the Asian session and the opening of the new trading week confirmed this move, pushing Gold down to a low of 3255.
The overall chart structure remains strongly bearish following the false breakout above the 3370 resistance and the spike above 3400. This suggests that sellers are firmly in control, with a high probability of further downside.
I expect a break below 3270 support in the coming sessions, targeting the 3200 zone as the next major level for bears.
For now, the strategy remains clear:
Sell rallies as long as 3350 resistance remains intact. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold fluctuates and waits for interest rate decisionAfter gold quickly rose and fell in the morning today, it basically began to fluctuate sideways. Of course, this is also in preparation for the heavyweight data of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The early pullback of gold at the hourly level has double-needle support near 3360, followed by yesterday's Asian session pullback near 3350. The U.S. session mainly focuses on the range of this position. In general, the short-term idea before the interest rate decision is to focus on the high-selling and low-buying operations in the range of 3350 to 3400. If it falls below the support of 3350, it is recommended to directly chase the short position and pay attention to the key support of 3290 below. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to mainly short on rebounds and to go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3400-3405 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3350-3300 line of support.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 9th May 2025🟨 XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis – 09 May 2025
Market Structure Overview:
The market was previously in a bearish trend, forming consecutive Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH).
A bullish shift in structure occurred when price formed a Higher Low (HL) followed by a Higher High (HH), breaking and closing above the previous Lower High.
This break of structure signals a potential trend reversal or deeper pullback in progress.
Key Levels:
Support Zone (Demand): Around 3,315 – 3,325 (recent breakout zone and potential retest area).
Resistance Zone (Supply): Around 3,365 – 3,375 (previous structural HH + liquidity pool).
Expectations:
If price sustains above the 3,315–3,325 support zone, we expect a continuation to the upside targeting the 3,365–3,375 supply zone.
If price fails to hold above support, a rejection and continuation to the downside toward 3,280 is likely.
🔔 Trading Signal (Setup Idea):
Type: Buy (Conditional)
Entry:
Buy on confirmation from support (e.g., bullish engulfing, FVG, or sweep + bullish structure) around 3,320–3,325.
Stop Loss:
Below the swing low or invalidation level: 3,310
Take Profit:
TP1: 3,340 (minor resistance)
TP2: 3,365–3,375 (major supply zone)
Risk/Reward: Minimum 1:2 RRR
Confirmation Tips:
Look for bullish price action at the support zone (e.g., bullish pin bar, demand FVG, CHoCH).
Use volume, OBV, or momentum divergence for additional confirmation.
Show support by following, comment and sharing.
Gold trend and operation ideasThe weak signal of short-term gold technical indicators reminds investors to be alert to the risk of pullback. The 1-hour gold moving average crosses downward in a short position. Unless there is sudden positive news about gold over the weekend and gold directly breaks through $3,370, then gold may have another wave of rise. At present, there is good news of a ceasefire between India and Pakistan and Russia and Ukraine over the weekend. Therefore, in the short term, gold will continue to be under pressure at 3,350-55 and is mainly short.
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation Setup (read-caption)📊 Chart Overview:
Asset: Unspecified (likely XAUUSD or a crypto asset).
Timeframe: Looks like 4H or Daily.
Tools Used:
EMA 50 (🔴 Red Line) — 3,283.978
EMA 200 (🔵 Blue Line) — 3,185.603
Resistance & Support Zones (🔴 Highlighted boxes)
Price: 3,335.415
🔍 Technical Analysis:
🟩 Trend Direction:
📈 Uptrend Confirmed: Price is above both EMA 50 and EMA 200 → Strong bullish momentum.
✅ Golden Cross: EMA 50 is above EMA 200, confirming long-term bullish bias.
📌 Key Levels:
🧱 Main Support Zone (🟥 Bottom Box - ~2,950–3,050):
Historical strong bounce zone.
Acts as a bullish base in case of a deeper pullback.
🔄 Mid Resistance/Support (~3,180–3,260):
Now acting as support after price bounced above it.
Also aligns with EMA 200 ➕🟦 – adds confluence.
📌 Main Resistance Zone (~3,300–3,380):
Current area of consolidation.
If broken, price likely to retest upper resistance.
🚧 Top Resistance Zone (~3,450–3,500):
Target area if bullish breakout continues.
✈️ Next take-profit zone for bulls.
🧭 Market Forecast:
🔁 Retest Expected: Price might pull back slightly to the main resistance area (~3,300), retesting previous resistance as support.
🚀 Upside Potential: Upon successful retest, price is projected to head toward the upper resistance (~3,480).
📉 Bearish Scenario: If price breaks back below 3,260 and EMA 50, expect a dip toward 3,180 or even the main support zone.
📈 Summary:
Bias: ✅ Bullish
Watch for:
🔍 Retest of 3,300 zone
✅ Breakout above 3,380
❌ Breakdown below 3,260 invalidates bullish scenario
Gold Price Analysis: Sell Near Resistance, Buy at Trendline SuppGold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, here is a detailed analysis
Resistance and Sell Zone:
The chart highlights a resistance area around 3380–3400, which has been marked as a Sell Zone.
Price is currently testing this resistance zone. A bearish confirmation (such as a reversal candlestick pattern, rejection wicks, or a break in structure) is recommended before entering a short position.
The chart suggests a potential short trade if the price fails to break above the resistance convincingly.
Projected Bearish Scenario:
If bearish confirmation occurs, the price is expected to decline toward the ascending trendline support.
The first sell target is marked around 3280–3300.
The Buy Zone lies just above the trendline support, where buyers might step in again.
Buy Opportunities:
First buy opportunity is at the trendline support area (Buy Zone), assuming the bullish structure remains intact.
If the price reacts positively from this level, a potential bounce back toward the highs is expected.
A more aggressive long target is marked at 3499, but the chart notes that waiting for a successful retest of the 3200 level would be prudent before aiming for that higher target.
Market Structure:
Several Break of Structure (BOS) points are identified, indicating previous bullish impulses.
A shift in structure could signal the beginning of a retracement or reversal, depending on confirmation at key zones.
Key Levels:
Resistance / Sell Zone: 3380–3400
1st Sell Target / Support Zone: 3280–3300
Buy Zone: 3200–3250
2nd Buy Target (Aggressive): 3499
Summary:
This chart outlines a range-bound to mildly bearish short-term bias, with the possibility of a bullish continuation if the trendline and buy zone hold.
Traders are advised to wait for confirmation signals before executing trades, especially near the resistance and buy zone.
1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it shows:🔍 Chart Overview
Instrument: Gold Spot against U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1-Hour (1h)
Current Price: Around $3,337.62
Date & Time: May 9, 2025
📊 Key Elements in the Chart
Support and Resistance Zones:
Support Zone (Green box around 3,320–3,330): Price has bounced from this area multiple times.
Resistance Zone (Green box around 3,390–3,405): Price previously stalled and reversed here.
Horizontal Blue Lines: Mark major levels (possibly historical support/resistance).
Bottom line: ~$3,304 – strong support area.
Middle line: ~$3,360 – potential breakout level.
Top line: ~$3,390 – resistance target.
Candlestick Patterns:
Bullish pressure appears to be building after a pullback into the support zone.
Forecast/Prediction Path (Blue Arrow):
Indicates expectation of a bullish move.
Forecast suggests a small pullback, then a breakout above the ~$3,360 zone, and continuation toward ~$3,405.
Risk/Reward Box:
Green Box = Target Profit Area
Red Box = Risk Area (Stop-loss region below ~$3,320, above strong support near $3,304)
📈 Analysis Summary
Bias: Bullish (indicated by the blue projection arrow and structure)
Setup:
Price has bounced from the support zone.
Potential long entry above ~$3,337 with a target near ~$3,405.
Stop-loss just below ~$3,320 to manage risk.
Confluence:
Support zone aligns with previous breakout zone.
Consolidation and recent rejection of lower levels support potential for upside continuation.
GOLD - again at CUT N REVERSE region, what's next??#GOLD.. market perfectly holds in first go as we discussed in our perveious idea.
And now market again at his cur n reverse region that is around 3381-87
Keep close that region and if market hold it in that case we can expect a bounce from here otherwise not.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 3381
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAU/USD: Institutional Accumulation or New Bearish Impulse?Technical Context:
The graphical analysis shows that the price of gold (XAU/USD) is currently consolidating within a significant demand zone following the recent bullish impulse. The daily chart shows an attempt to bounce off the 3,300 USD zone, a key psychological level.
Volume and COT Analysis:
The latest COT data (April 29, 2025) indicates a slight reduction in long positions by non-commercial operators (-18,519 contracts), balanced by an increase in commercial long positions (+1,659 contracts), signaling potential institutional accumulation.
On the retail sentiment front, traders are slightly more exposed to the downside (51% short vs. 49% long), which could indicate a potential short squeeze if the price resumes an upward trend.
Seasonal Trends:
According to data, May historically shows mixed performances with an average of +9.83% over the last 10 years, but with significant fluctuations between longer and more recent periods.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3,380 - 3,400 USD (previous distribution zone)
Support: 3,300 USD (current demand zone) and 3,050 USD (secondary support)
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Scenario: Buy above 3,340 USD with a target at 3,400 USD and a stop loss below 3,300 USD.
Bearish Scenario: Sell below 3,300 USD with a target at 3,050 USD and a stop loss above 3,340 USD.
Gold fluctuates, long and short operations in the US market!
📊Comment analysis
At 14:00 on Wednesday, US time, Fed Chairman Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference.
The market generally expects that the FOMC will continue to remain on hold at this meeting, as the impact of tariff policies on inflation and the economy remains to be seen; the Fed may cut interest rates in June. Since this interest rate decision does not update economic forecasts, the focus will be on the Fed's accompanying comments on any signals of future interest rate cuts to support the economy. Since the decision to keep interest rates unchanged has been fully digested by the market, Powell's tone at the press conference will be the key to changing the market's expectations for interest rate cuts this year.
💰Strategy package
The US market is expected to remain volatile, and both long and short positions have opportunities. You only need to operate at a certain point. Go long on a short-term retracement to 3378 support, and go short when it reaches the upper resistance of 3408.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 12th May 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Gap down on market open
-Looking for price to fill up the gap and form a
bearish structure
-Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3330
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
GOLD JUMPS ON ASIAN OPEN Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Early SurgeGOLD JUMPS ON ASIAN OPEN – Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Early Surge
Gold opened the week with a strong upside move during the Asian session, gaining nearly $30/oz in early trading. The bounce comes amid a weekend full of heightened geopolitical tensions and expectations of increased central bank activity later this week.
🌍 Geopolitical Backdrop:
Rising concerns over Russia–Ukraine and India–Pakistan flare-ups.
No official confirmation from governments yet, but the market is clearly on edge.
Former US President Donald Trump is reportedly pushing for an earlier Fed rate cut.
All eyes now turn to the FOMC meeting this week, with potential policy shifts that could stir further volatility.
These developments have re-ignited safe-haven demand for gold, making this week's opening surge a logical reaction to global uncertainty.
🔍 Key Technical Zones
Resistance levels:
3278 – 3288 – 3301 – 3314
Support levels:
3250 – 3246 – 3238 – 3224 – 3204
🎯 Trade Setups – 06 May 2025
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3246 – 3244
SL: 3240
TPs: 3250 → 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280
Gold may continue its bullish run into the European session. A clean bounce from this support range could offer a solid risk/reward entry.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3300 – 3302
SL: 3306
TPs: 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3284 → 3280 → 3270
If price rallies into this resistance cluster, look for signs of exhaustion for a potential intraday reversal trade.
⚠️ Weekly Outlook:
The FOMC meeting later this week will be key. A dovish tone may extend gold’s rally, while hawkish surprises could trigger sharp reversals.
Any new geopolitical flashpoints may also accelerate volatility — stay alert to global headlines.
Avoid FOMO — trade the reaction, not the prediction.
📌 Pro Tip: Let price come to your zone. Be patient, wait for confirmation, and manage SL/TP with discipline.
Downtrend - will gold price return to 3233?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounded from an early Asian session drop to a multi-day low, reclaiming ground above the $3,300 psychological level in the past hour. The precious metal continues to draw support from persistent geopolitical uncertainties, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, intensifying tensions in the Middle East, and renewed friction along the India-Pakistan border. That said, the upside appears constrained by improving risk sentiment, driven by renewed optimism surrounding a US-UK trade agreement and the launch of US-China tariff negotiations over the weekend.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices are under great selling pressure as trade negotiations on tariffs are becoming more active. They may return to the 323x price zone and continue to accumulate.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3351- 3353 SL 3358
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3232 - $3234 SL $3227
TP1: $3245
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3270
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD: The Ultimate Safe Haven Play! FOR THIS WEEK 12/05🏆 XAUUSD (Gold): The Ultimate Safe Haven Play!
📊 Live Market Snapshot (May 12, 2025)
- Current Price: $3,275
- Weekly Range: $3,201 - $3,455
- Key Liquidity Zones:
- Strong Support: $3,140-$3,145 (Best Buy Zone)
- Immediate Resistance: $3,335 (TP1)
- All-Time High: $3,500
💎 Why Gold Matters Now
1. Market Uncertainty: Perfect hedge against volatility
2. Technical Setup: Bouncing from weekly low of $3,201
3. Institutional Demand: Central banks accumulating
🎯 Trading Strategy
- Entry: $3,240-$3,245 zone
- Take Profit Levels:
→ $3,280
→ $3,330
→ $3,355
- Risk Management:
→ Stop Loss: $3,225
⚠️ Critical Notes
1. Watch USD strength (inverse correlation)
2. Monitor Fed policy decisions
3. Physical demand vs. paper gold flows
🔥 Key Indicators
1. Daily RSI: 52 (neutral)
2. 200-DMA: $3,180 (strong support)
3. Volume Profile: Key node at $3,250
📌 The Golden Opportunity
With global tensions rising, gold offers:
- Safe haven protection
- Inflation hedge
- Technical rebound potential
---
📊 DYOR| Not financial advice 🖌️
Positive US-China trade talks cause gold to continue to fall🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️Gold prices (XAU/USD) faced selling pressure early Monday during the Asian session, dipping toward $3,275 amid a stronger US Dollar. The decline was driven by optimism surrounding US-China trade talks held over the weekend in Geneva, Switzerland. Both countries reported “significant progress” after two days of negotiations aimed at easing trade tensions. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng described the discussions with US officials as an “important first step” toward stabilizing bilateral trade relations, while US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also confirmed “substantial progress” had been made.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Specific actions taken by the world’s two largest economies could potentially reduce the demand for safe-haven assets. However, it can be reaffirmed that the overall ongoing uncertainty surrounding tariffs likely remains the key underlying factor supporting gold.
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3222 - 3225
❌SL: 3218 | ✅TP: 3229 - 3233 – 3237
👉Sell Gold 3323 - 3326
❌SL: 3330 | ✅TP: 3319 - 3315 – 3310
FM wishes you a successful trading day!