XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is reacting as it approaches the HTF high zone (3430-3450) and is currently pulling back.
The 1H FVG zones at:
🔹 3400
🔹 3368
and the 1H OB around 3350 are key areas we are watching for potential long entries.
📌 Plan:
We will wait for price to pull back into one of these 1H FVG/OB zones and look for entry confirmations on the 5M or 3M timeframe to go long.
🎯 Targets: 3430 – 3440 – 3450
❌ No sell setup for now unless a clear structure break happens.
XAUUSDK trade ideas
GOLD SELLGold price bears retain control amid fading safe-haven demand, rebounding USD
US President Donald Trump announced late Tuesday that his administration had reached a trade deal with Japan. Furthermore, reports that the US and the European Union are heading towards a 15% trade deal boost investors' confidence and weigh on the safe-haven Gold price for the second straight day on Thursday.
The markets do not expect an interest rate cut from the US Federal Reserve in July despite Trump's continuous push for lower borrowing costs. In fact, Trump has been attacking Fed Chair Jerome Powell personally over his stance on holding rates and repeatedly calling for the central bank chief's resignation.
Moreover, Fed Governor Chris Waller and Trump appointee Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman have advocated a rate reduction as soon as the next policy meeting on July 30. This keeps the US Dollar depressed near a two-and-a-half-week low and could offer some support to the non-yielding yellow metal.
Traders now look forward to the release of flash PMIs, which would provide a fresh insight into the global economic health and influence the safe-haven commodity. Apart from this, the crucial European Central Bank policy decision might infuse some volatility in the markets and drive the XAU/USD pair.
Meanwhile, the US economic docket features Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and New Home Sales data, which, in turn, would drive the USD and contribute to producing short-term trading opportunities around the commodity. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution for aggressive traders.
SUPPORT 3,346
SUPPORT 3,322
SUPPORT 3,399
RESISTANCE 3,394
RESISTANCE 3,379
XAUUSD below trend Gold is currently below rising channel
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️if H4 closed above 3345 ,I will be on bullish side till 3370-3380.
▪️if H4 candle closing below 3330 this Parallel moves upside will be invalid and we have targets at 3290 on mark I'm expecting selling move
#XAUUSD
Bullish bounce off major support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,365.44
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,322.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,451.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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XAUUSD Expecting bullish Movement Gold is currently testing a strong demand zone between 3340 to 3335, which previously acted as a support area. The price action indicates potential for a bullish reversal from this zone, supported by oversold conditions and historical reaction levels.
Entry Zone: 3340 to 3335
First Target: 3375
Second Target: 3390
Two potential scenarios are highlighted:
A direct bullish reversal from the 3340–3335 zone
A slight consolidation before continuation to the upside
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity for intraday or short-term swing traders. Monitor price action confirmation signals before entering
Xauusd Analysis is Ready This chart shows a technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Key levels are:
Support zone: Around 3,301.957, where price may find a floor.
Resistance zone: Around 3,326.940 to 3,347.899.
Demon zone: Upper resistance near 3,371.467, indicating potential strong selling pressure.
The chart outlines possible price movements:
A bounce from support, with targets at 3,326.809, 3,347.693, and 3,371.467.
Multiple rejection scenarios at resistance levels before attempting to break higher.
This is a strategic setup for traders to watch key levels for potential entry or exit points.
XAUUSD swing is ready Gold is currently still holding rising channel we were on sell throughout today and achieved with 180 PIPs TP Hit now I'm going to take Buy trade at 3350-3340 zone
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️I'm gonna take buy trade from 3340-3350 area by following our rising Trend along with structural liquidity sweeps strategy, my target will be 3365 then 3378 in extension.
▪️if H4 candle closing below 3335 this Parallel moves will be invalid and don't look for buy till confirmation
Why emotionless trading is out (and what to do instead)Curious about what self-compassionate trading really means?
Let’s do a little thought experiment together. Imagine you just closed a losing trade. You’re feeling disappointed and unmotivated. You invite two friends over to your home and tell them what happened. Which friend would you rather talk to?
🙋🏽♀️ Friend 1 says:
"What a failure you are. Why were you even stressed out? That’s so silly. Couldn’t you see this trade was going to be a loss? You should just give up—what’s the point of trying? I don’t understand how you could mess up the way you did. Let’s spend the afternoon going through everything you did wrong."
...Or would you prefer:
🙋🏽♀️ Friend 2 who says:
"I can see you’re feeling sad and disappointed about that last trade. I’m really sorry it didn’t go your way. But you know what? Losses are a part of trading—we all go through them. You’ll have another chance tomorrow. I can tell you’re doing your best. Let’s do something kind for ourselves today, and tomorrow you’ll get back to it. Don’t give up—I’m proud of you for chasing your dreams."
🤔 So, who would you choose?
I know this little experiment might sound a bit dramatic—but be honest, wouldn’t we all prefer Friend 2 ? And isn’t Friend 1 sounding suspiciously like that inner critic of yours?
For the longest time, trading advice has told us to "get rid of emotions" and stay completely “stress-free.” I wish it were that simple…
The truth is, trying to trade without emotions is like talking to yourself like Friend 1 . Not only is it impossible —it also builds a harsh, critical inner dialogue that damages both your confidence and motivation.
The reality is: we don’t have full control over our thoughts and emotions. They show up whether we want them to or not. If we could choose our emotional state, we’d all stay calm and focused every time we trade. But that’s not how the human mind works.
Instead of fighting our emotions, we can learn to open up to them—without judgment.
Self-compassionate trading means treating yourself like Friend 2 . It’s about acknowledging when things are tough, and being kind to yourself when stress or anxiety shows up. It’s about replacing harsh self-talk with encouragement, warmth and understanding.
👩🏽🔬 Some people think self-compassion is soft, ”girly”, or even “too emotional.” But guess what? It’s backed by tons of solid research. Studies show that self-compassion helps reduce self-criticism and improve motivation. It’s also an effective tool for managing tough emotions and reducing stress and anxiety.
Self-compassionate trading is a win-win approach—it helps you stay grounded and resilient while building a meaningful trading journey. So why not give it a try? 👇
💡 Pro Tip:
Next time you close a losing trade, find yourself in a losing streak, or just feel anxious about your performance—ask yourself:
“What would I say to a good friend who’s going through the same thing?”
Then offer that same kindness and support to yourself.
Happy (self-compassionate) trading! 💙
/ Tina the Trading Psychologist
Gold Takes Flight, But Will Support Hold? Watch This Zone!Gold has broken its key resistance level in the New York session and, at the same time, has taken support from the trend line, which is pushing it upward. Currently, however, gold has also broken through another minor support level, and we can now observe that it is pulling back and moving downward.
It is advisable to remain patient at this stage. Wait for the market to come down to the zone where the previous resistance has now turned into support. If the price reacts positively at that level and shows signs of holding, we could potentially see a good buying opportunity from there.
As always, please conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. This is not financial advice.
Gold prices are about to rebound?Gold prices are about to rebound?
Just on Saturday, Trump patted Powell on the shoulder, and those who understand understand.
Cut interest rates quickly!!!
Next week will usher in three major news, and global analysts regard next week as a life-or-death moment that determines the future direction of gold prices.
1: Will the Fed cut interest rates in September?
2: How will the tariff war on August 1 evolve?
3: Major non-agricultural data
The trend of gold prices next week is unpredictable, and every day is accompanied by the impact of policy news.
Volatility will become more and more stimulating.
Technical aspect: Gold prices have completed the correction, and I think the bulls are about to counterattack.
As shown in Figure 4h
3330 is an important support level
3440 is a key top area
3360-3380 is a key middle pressure level
We will continue to adopt a low-price long strategy on Monday
Target: 3365-3380-3400-3440-3500+
I firmly believe that next week will be the beginning of a big bull market. Even if it is not, this should be the last chance for bulls to get off the train.
Short-term: $3380-3400 (this week's high resistance).
Medium-term: If it breaks through $3400, it will open the channel to $3500.
Gold operation strategy
Aggressive investors: Buy at the low point of the $3300-3330 range, with a target price of $3380.
Conservative investors: Wait for a breakthrough of $3360 before chasing more, and set the stop loss below 3300.
Conclusion: Gold prices are expected to rebound next week, and the expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve is the core driving force.
Investors are advised to pay attention to non-agricultural data and geopolitical situation, and seize the opportunity to layout at low levels.
Gold Faces Key Fibonacci Resistance Is the Bullish Momentum FadiTrend Structure: Gold remains in a short-term bullish structure, with a clear series of higher highs and higher lows. However, price action shows signs of hesitation near a critical Fibonacci extension zone.
Key Resistance Zone:
$3,428 – $3,438: This area aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension at 3,428.59 and the 0.0 level at 3,438.56, forming a confluence resistance zone that has started to trigger selling pressure.
Immediate Support Levels:
$3,422.62: The 1.0 Fibonacci extension, serving as the first support on a minor pullback.
$3,408 – $3,410: A potential bounce zone combining short-term trendline support and prior consolidation structure.
Fibonacci & Price Waves: The recent bullish leg from $3,330 to $3,438 has completed a 3.618 extension (noted at $3,330.91 on the purple projection). This increases the probability of a corrective retracement.
EMA & RSI (suggested for confirmation): EMA20 (not shown) should act as a dynamic support. Watch RSI for potential overbought signals or bearish divergence if it crosses above 70.
Trade Setups to Watch: Scenario 1 – Short Setup at Fibonacci Resistance Entry: $3,428 – $3,432, only if price action confirms rejection (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar)
Stop Loss: Above $3,438
Take Profit 1: $3,422
Take Profit 2: $3,410 (if trendline breaks)
Scenario 2 – Buy Setup on Pullback Entry: Around $3,408 – $3,410 upon bullish price action confirmation
Stop Loss: Below $3,400
Target: $3,428
Final Thoughts: Gold is approaching a strong resistance zone, and short-term pullback is likely unless bulls break through $3,438 with momentum. Traders should stay patient and wait for confirmation signals before entering. Remember: discipline beats impulse.
Follow for more updated strategies during the US session. Save this idea if you find it helpful! Let’s discuss your view in the comments below.
XAUUSD-3336.40 — a key level bulls want to defend.Why Gold Pulled Back
- Gold pulled back today after hitting $3439.04, just below resistance at $3451.53. Traders took profits ahead of key Fed and trade headlines. Right now, it’s trading around $3414.48, down 0.50%.
- The dip came after the U.S.-Japan trade deal eased geopolitical tension, cutting safe-haven demand. Plus, U.S. bond yields are climbing (10-year at 4.384%), which adds pressure on gold.
Support is building at $3374.42, with stronger buying interest expected around $3347.97 and the 50-day moving average at $3336.40 — a key level bulls want to defend.
Short-term looks a bit weak, but as long as gold holds above the 50-day MA, the bullish trend remains intact. Longer-term, weakness in the dollar, central bank gold buying, and concerns about Fed independence could push prices higher.
Watching the Fed’s July 29–30 meeting next
XAUUSD Selling Expecting Movement Buy Zone Activated after rejection from resistance
First Target 3310.50
Final Target 3275.50
The bullish breakout scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the lower channel boundary. A clean break and retest of the current structure could provide further confirmation for long entries.
Key Notes
Watch for volatility near marked U.S. data events
Maintain tight risk management and monitor for rejection candles near target zones
Today's US market focus is 3350
Gold prices continued their decline from the previous session on Thursday, July 24, slipping further below the 3,400 mark as trade tensions eased and risk sentiment rose. Gold's decline today means a second consecutive day of decline as investors turned their attention to more positive trade progress since yesterday. However, gold still received buying support earlier this week, breaking through $3,400 at one point. This round of gains tested key resistance levels on the gold daily chart, but in the end the bears held their ground.
Risk data interpretation!
Investors are currently waiting for U.S. Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data for new trading instructions. If any PMI index falls below 50.0, indicating a contraction in economic activity in related industries, the dollar may face pressure and help gold prices rise.
The market will also pay close attention to developments surrounding the ongoing discord between U.S. President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. The White House announced Trump's schedule, and Trump will visit the Federal Reserve at 4 p.m. Eastern Time on Thursday.
Views on the trend of gold!
The trend of gold is directly reversed from that of Monday and Tuesday this week. At the beginning of this week, gold rose slowly and continuously without giving a chance to retrace, while today it retreated continuously and did not give a rebound. Does it look familiar? The trend is bearish and I want to short but I can't do it. In fact, we are still bullish in the morning today, and the watershed is actually at the 3375 line. After the frequent breakouts in the European session, it means that the current bulls are suppressed again.
And the K-line on the hourly line is more obvious. There is no positive line in the continuous negative retracement, so the weakness will continue. After all, the Asian session is weak today, and the European session is also continuously weak. The current market has reached the 3363 line, which is actually not far from our second support of 3350. So the US session needs to focus on this position. If the US session can hold, there is still hope for a rebound. Otherwise, it will fall continuously today!
Gold: Long around 3350, defend 3340, and target the 3385-93 line