XAUXAG trade ideas
XAUXAG/XAUUSD ratioThe XAUXAG/XAUUSD ratio is a beauty in terms of Fibonacci retracements and extensions. Against this background I surmise a bearish development which would be bullish for XAUUSD 0.28% , which I am occasionally invested in. Needless to say, this does not constitute trading advice, but is merely an idea (from my perspective, as well!).
Gold-Silver Ratio Down, Precious Metals UpThe gold-silver ratio is motivating me to look for bullish opportunities in the precious metals. Following silver's 17 days down in a row, I believe it is unlikely that it will erase this most recent rally it took from $16 after only reaching the .382 fibo retracement level. Instead, I think it has a date with the downward trend line around $18.2. The indicators are showing me bearish divergence on the gold-silver ratio. If you review a longer term chart, you will see that GSR is inversely correlated to the precious metals. Let's see if it can show us the future here.
GOLD SILVER CORRECTIVE STRUCTUREXAUXAG is in a daily corrective structure. Currently its making a daily (b) corrective wave. I am expecting one more up move as a corrective wave before the big fall in this pair! Just showing u the relation of Gold and Silver so u guys can continue with your gold and silver trades! So keep an eye have a good weekend!
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Gold/Silver ratio: Long term bearish declineThe Gold/Silver ratio shows an interesting setup here, and correlation to inverted SPX, which points to the nature of the ratio's movement tied to risk off/on phases. This has to do with the real world applications silver has as an industrial metal, compared to gold's function as a store of value and risk off protection.
I think we can see a long term decline, implying the price of silver will either appreciate or depreciate less than the price of gold, in comparison to it at least.
It's probably a good trade to take as a pair, which if you're using futures, implies you use a 2 to 3 ratio, selling 2 GC contracts and buying 3 SI contracts to enter the trade with reduced margin requirements. (I think there's a new contract for the ratio alone, but not familiar with it). You should size the trade based on risking 1% to 2% max if the price were to go against you coming back to 70.43.
In the case of CFD or FX traders, you could open trades in the XAUUSD and XAGUSD instruments, or using this XAUXAG or XAGXAU contracts if they exist in your platform. If you own physical gold, exchanging it for silver makes sense at this point (if you didn't already).
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.