XCUUSD trade ideas
Copper Long5.3 Risk to Reward
Swing trade idea.
You may want to find some structural breaks on the lower time frame to get more refined entries and get a better risk to reward ratio.
This trade is probably a 2/5 probability idea, so still a positive expectancy. Just expect this to fail 60% of the time though.
Short-run Bearish on Copper - Converging channel pattern indicates upward trend in short-run.
- Low risk (SL is optional at any point below the lower channel trend line) because price hit channel bottom. Only movement upwards likely.
- RSI at approx. 40 suggests underbought.
- Watch for breakout as channel increasingly converging. After TP is successful, can set a trade order partly above or below the current price - to catch the breakout for a quick profit.
Copper & Stocks DivergingCopper and S&P500 is making a divergence.
Could this mean that we are going to be seeing weakness creep into the real estate market with Lumber and copper falling recently?
SPY has tracked copper closely with the rise & fall in inflation and yields.
The most used commodity in the world should provide pivotal insights into the next turn in the market.
If we do enter disinflation/deflation that's typically not positive for equties despite the "soft landing" narrative.
Take a Look at Copper["The candles are my news, and based on what these candles are trying to tell me is that we can trickle down lower over time. Would be great longterm entry buy around our 50% fib line, if we show signs of bullishness. This is not financial advice "]
Copper is Screaming! Are you listening?Why is Copper so important to track and what can we learn from studying its price action. Copper simply put is the most used base metal in the world and really powers every aspect of world. Doctor Copper is telling us something.
Copper has had an impeccable rally of the lows, this has been confirmed with the major rally in copper mining stocks.
In this chart we have overlayed the inflation rate in orange with the price action in copper.
The inflation rate has a delayed reaction based off of the price action in Copper.
What we can observe recently is the price of copper topping 112 days before the inflation rate. Copper had a significant decline which was followed by a decline in peak inflation.
Over the last 148 days, Copper has rallied 38%. Could this mean that we are about to see a delayed spike in the inflation reading?