ADS trade ideas
Adidias - more downside awaiting (?)I chose to present the chart as log scale to show more clearly the sub-waves of the white impulse count. Without that the impulsive structure of the waves wouldn´t be easy to see.
My main scenario is that Adidas will become cheaper in the foreseeable future as market price broke the structure indicated by going below the white "IV".
Also, the current uptrend on the weekly doesn´t look bullish at all as it is lacking impulsive price behaviour.
The indicators also suggest that the stock topped a while ago and we can see a bearish cross on the MACD and different kinds of divergences on the RSI.
My alternative suggests that the wave V is not finished. (light blue count) However, I do not like the deep retracement for the wave 4 in that case and that is why it only my alternative.
Adidas Soars 8% on Surging Profit & Upgraded GuidanceAdidas ( OTC:ADDYY ), the German sportswear giant, has sent shockwaves through the market with an unexpected surge in first-quarter profits and a bold revision of its full-year guidance. Buoyed by robust sales performance and strategic initiatives, Adidas ( OTC:ADDYY ) has captured investor attention by raising expectations for revenue and operating profit in 2024.
1. Profit Surge and Upgraded Guidance: Adidas' first-quarter profit has witnessed a remarkable year-on-year increase, propelling the company to revise its full-year guidance upwards. With an 8% jump in shares reflecting investor confidence, Adidas ( OTC:ADDYY ) now forecasts a mid-to-high-single-digit growth in currency-neutral revenues for 2024, signaling optimism and resilience in the face of market challenges.
2. Strategic Inventory Management: Adidas' decision to divest its Yeezy inventory following the split with rapper Kanye West has proven to be a strategic masterstroke. Anticipating additional sales of around 200 million euros from the remaining Yeezy inventory, Adidas ( OTC:ADDYY ) has demonstrated agility and foresight in optimizing its product portfolio to drive profitability and shareholder value.
3. Operational Resilience and Growth Momentum: Despite facing headwinds from unfavorable currency effects, Adidas' first-quarter operating profit soared to 336 million euros, showcasing operational resilience and efficient cost management. Analysts anticipate a steadily improving sales trajectory throughout the year, fueled by the momentum of Adidas' core brand and strategic partnerships with marquee sporting events.
4. Brand Momentum and Market Perception: UBS analysts highlight Adidas ( OTC:ADDYY ) as one of the "best earnings momentum stories in the space," underscoring the brand's rapidly accelerating momentum and market appeal. With a packed summer sporting calendar and investments in performance shoes, Adidas ( OTC:ADDYY ) is poised to capitalize on consumer demand and solidify its position as a global sportswear leader.
5. Strategic Partnerships and Product Innovation: Adidas' partnerships with high-profile events like the Olympics, Paralympics, EURO 24, and Copa events further bolster its brand visibility and market penetration. The focus on performance shoes and the resurgence of the Terrace footwear brand signal Adidas' commitment to innovation and meeting evolving consumer preferences.
Technical Outlook
Adidas ( OTC:ADDYY ) stock is riding hard on the bullish train with a positive Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 67.12 indicating bullish momentum. The stock is trading above the 200, 100 & 50- Day Moving Averages respectively.
ADS BUYHi, According to my analysis of Adidas stock, there is a good chance that you will buy or invest in this stock for the long term. The stock is in a very positive condition, going in an upward channel. It also broke the strong resistance at the level of 170. It is expected that the price will return to the same area to retest the rise once again. Good luck everyone
Adidas: How fast are you? 👟Lately, Adidas has made fine progress in the scope of wave 2 in turquoise, moving toward the magenta zone between 157.06€ and 141.72€. Soon, the share should reach this price range and complete the current movement, before turning upwards to develop wave 3 in turquoise above the resistance at 187.78€. However, there is a 32% chance that Adidas could act faster, skipping the magenta zone and climbing above this mark earlier already.
It's NO SECRET, I'm shorting AdidasIt's no secret that I've been looking to short Adidas for weeks before the Bearish Bat Pattern show up.
As a trader, I love to wait for the precise price with candlesticks confirmation before engaging my trade; hence I miss the first opportunity.
And that's ok!
In trading, I have this philosophy that is better to miss a trade than to engage in a trade at a price of disadvantage.
So here I am, trading for the past 18 years.
At this moment, I'm waiting for the Bearish Shark Pattern to form up on the 8 range bar chart to give me a second chance entry to get on this ride.
LONG run in Adidas📈I've placed a limit buy in this market because:
the long-term descending trendline was been broken
we have a bullish seasonality for Adidas
the price has broken above the 30's SMA
the price has broken above the prior swing high
the price has formed now a sequence of higher highs and higher lows (= bullish trend)