BABA 2.0 !BABA confirmed the uptrend and this dip is a good long opportunity.
Long anywhere here.
Target 1 - 120
Target 2 - 150
Target 3 - 170
Stop Loss - 80
AHLA trade ideas
Alibaba (BABA) Shares Surge Following AI Model LaunchAlibaba (BABA) Shares Surge Following AI Model Launch
Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba has unveiled an upgraded version of its artificial intelligence model, Qwen2.5 Max. According to the company, the model:
→ Outperforms DeepSeek, the AI model that made headlines this week, in several key areas.
→ Achieves "competitive performance compared to top-tier models," referencing OpenAI and Meta, based on benchmark tests.
The news was met with enthusiasm, driving Alibaba's (BABA) stock price up by more than 6% in a single day, pushing BABA shares to their highest level of the year.
The technical analysis of the BABA stock chart shows that stock fluctuations form reference points for constructing the Andrew’s Pitchfork pattern, while price movements along the central line (indicated by an arrow) confirm the validity of the pattern's construction.
Currently, the price:
→ Has broken above December’s high at around $94.
→ Is approaching the psychological resistance level of $100.
Whether bulls can sustain or extend these gains will largely depend on Alibaba’s Q4 earnings report, set to be released today, 29 January.
According to TipRanks:
→ 11 out of 12 analysts recommend buying BABA stock.
→ The 12-month average price target stands at $121.33.
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Trumps Tariffs hurt BABA and other Chinese Stocks? BABA looking good for a buy here? Last time trump imposed tarriffs it shook paper hands and ALL chinese stocks ran. Does history repeat itself?
Fasten Your Seat BeltThe chart indicates a potential "triple bottom" pattern forming, which is a bullish technical pattern in stock analysis. The analyst has marked three key points (labeled 1, 2, and 3) that form this pattern.
The chart includes several notable elements:
A price downtrend from October through December 2024
Three similar low points that could constitute the triple bottom pattern
A bullish projection shown by green dots suggesting potential upward movement
Text saying "Fasten your seat belt!" suggesting the analyst anticipates significant movement
Current price metrics showing the stock at around $84-85 range
The performance metrics shown in the top right indicate:
5.27% gain in 1 week
-1.5% change in 1 month
-17.03% change in 3 months
It's important to note that while technical patterns can be useful indicators, they don't guarantee future price movement. Any investment decisions should be made based on comprehensive research including fundamental analysis and overall market conditions.
New ai Model QWEN 2.5 could be catalyst for BABA - Target 200Baba just released Qwen 2.5, an ai model that is rated to be as good or better as DeepSeek and Chat gpt. This might serve as an additionally revenue stream to an already cheap stock. More importantly, it can serve as a catalyst to ignite investor interest and stock demand.
Currently around 10 pe (seeking alpha data), multiple expansion and eps growth could boost BABA into the 200s or higher given a long term outlook. While the US seeks many ai stocks at high multiple of revenue and earnings, chinese stocks are way cheaper and in theory have less price risk. However, they still have geo political and currency risks.
Baba has a large cash pile. This not only makes it slightly less risky, it also serves as potential ammunition for further innovation, acquisitions, or worst case, cash returned to investors.
New AI Model Before EarningsAlibaba's stock got a boost after it unveiled its new AI model, Qwen2.5-Max. This advanced model can be used directly through Qwen Chat or via API on Alibaba Cloud, highlighting the company's push to enhance its cloud services.
Reports show that Qwen2.5-Max outshines other leading AI models in key areas, which has investors excited. They see this as a smart move that could strengthen Alibaba's position in the growing AI market and add value to its cloud computing business.
I liked to see BABA ride back up after a solid earnings and AI reveal details back to +$100.
BABA under valued by 31% at least Risk-reward ratio: 1to112
I believe over the next years BABA could go to $200#
Wallstreet target: 124.24
The Reason: China is a winning economy and growing GDP
Intrinsic Value: 121,99$
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. stands as a titan in the e-commerce realm, a juggernaut that has revolutionized how business is conducted in China and beyond. Founded in 1999 by Jack Ma and his partners in a small apartment in Hangzhou, the company blossomed from a modest online marketplace into a sprawling digital ecosystem. At its core, Alibaba operates some of the largest online platforms in the world, including Taobao and Tmall, catering to millions of individual consumers and businesses. Taobao, akin to eBay, provides an open-market platform for small businesses and entrepreneurs to reach consumers directly, while Tmall offers a space for international and Chinese brands to establish virtual storefronts. The sophistication and scale of Alibaba’s e-commerce operations have been supplemented by innovative business models like Singles' Day, the world’s largest online shopping event, which epitomizes their prowess in blending digital savvy with consumer psychology.
PE: 17.2 undervalued
Technicals:
VWAP + FIB Golden + POC
Baba Price Reversal on Quarterly. Baba Is bullish again. This is a Quarterly chart.
Fair value Gap between $180-$204 on Quarterly chart.
Price action suggests Baba is poised to make big moves and it's P/E ratio is also only Around 12.
AI hype is coming too for Baba since they have Qwen AI on their hands.
Stop Loss and Target mentioned in the Post. Now let's see what happens.
P.S. This is not a financial advice. This is an educational and speculative post only. Do your own research.
AliBABA Remains In A Larger Bullish Triangle PatternAlibaba is up after the company releases AI model it says surpasses DeepSeek-v3.
Alibaba with ticker BABA is trading sideways for two years, but we are tracking a larger bullish ABCDE triangle pattern in circled wave B before we will see a continuation higher for circled wave C.
With recent rebound away from the lower triangle line due to the release of AI model that surpasses DeepSeek, seems like subwave C is finished and it's now rising within wave D which can recover the price back to the upper triangle line before we will see another and final wave E slow down to complete a triangle in circled wave B.
$BABA looking good?NYSE:BABA looking good to turn around and go upwards. Personally not entering as there are earnings soon.
$BABA Falling wedge breakout on dailyNYSE:BABA falling wedge breakout confirmed with MACD signalling bullish trend.
There's volume gap just above 90 to 94 where price can move very fast.
All sentiment indicator has been very bearish lately which makes me come to conclusion that this was the bottom.
Market was positioning for TRUMP to possibly put on 60% tarrifs on china which doesn't seem to be happening now as Trump has suggested negotiations with President XI
my PT is $99 for BABA in next 3 months
Catch falling knife BABABABA still in downtrend. in market cycle psychology BABA must be at around 73 or 66 to get more retail capitulate their balance.
With collaboration of elliot wave (1-5) it can happen
I think before CNY BABA still downtrend then sideways in bottom and then up only
Textbook bottoming formationexpect Alibaba to have a violent reversal soon, may still touch 75$ from which i will be adding to my position
Alibaba Wave Analysis 28 January 2025
- Alibaba broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 100.00
Alibaba recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 93.50 (a former yearly high from December) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from November.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated active impulse wave 3, which has been part of the intermediate impulse wave (C) since the beginning of January.
Alibaba can be expected to rise further to the next round resistance level 100.00 (which stopped the previous minor correction iv in November).
BABA Stock Analysis After breaking out of the blue resistance zone, the next resistance is in red, where the price could potentially get rejected.
🎯 Next Steps:
Watch for the red resistance as it may halt the upward movement.
If the price breaks through this resistance, we could see further upside.
If it gets rejected, the price may pull back to test previous levels.
BABA: It is finally TIME!NYSE:BABA 🐼
China's GDP is soaring! 🚀
With the highest GDP growth since July 2023, all indicators are pointing to a BIG MOVE upwards. Check out the daily chart, friends—it’s looking bullish!
Catch you at George Washington 💵
Not financial advice
BABA, short, 15m✅ BABA is showing bearish momentum as it moves lower to retest a key support level. This suggests further downside potential before finding stability at the support.
SHORT 🔥
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$BABA - 2Y TGT $170+A great diversified stock
Cheap
Trust the model
Low debt and grear returns in business
Jump and don't think
Period
$BABA Massive Support BounceAlibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) presents a compelling investment opportunity for 2025, supported by several key factors:
Analyst Projections: Analysts maintain a "Strong Buy" consensus for Alibaba, with an average 12-month price target of $125.40, indicating a potential upside of approximately 55.72% from the current price.
Strategic Investments and AI Integration: Alibaba's strategic investments, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI), are expected to drive growth in its e-commerce and cloud computing segments. The integration of AI-powered tools and services positions the company to capitalize on emerging technological trends.
International Expansion: The company's international and logistics segments have experienced revenue growth, reflecting Alibaba's efforts to expand its global footprint. This diversification enhances its revenue streams and reduces dependence on the domestic market.
Valuation and Market Position: Despite recent stock performance, Alibaba is considered undervalued compared to its peers, trading at conservative multiples. Its dominant position in e-commerce and cloud services, coupled with substantial cash reserves, underscores its potential for a market rebound.
In summary, Alibaba's favorable analyst outlook, strategic investments in AI, international expansion, and attractive valuation suggest that BABA is a promising investment for 2025.
BABA 150+, looking forward and here is whyGoldman Sachs Is Bullish on China’s Stimulus
I have selected BABA and want to consider buy the deep strategy and here is why.
Alibaba’s stock has occasionally been undervalued compared to its peers, offering opportunities for investors seeking growth at a reasonable price.
P/E = 11.6, which is one of my favorites ratios, when Amazons P/E higher 45 atm.
Investing in Alibaba Group can be attractive for several reasons.
First of all its still E-commerce Leadership in China. Alibaba is a dominant player in China’s massive e-commerce market (and not only in China), which has immense growth potential due to increasing internet penetration and consumer spending. Platforms like Taobao, Tmall, and Lazada position Alibaba as a market leader in both domestic and international markets.
Alibaba not just a e-commerce marketplace and Babas Cloud is the largest cloud service provider in China and one of the global leaders, competing with Amazon AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. The cloud computing segment has been growing rapidly and has significant potential for profitability and scalability.
And the last and the most significant case from BABA - they invest heavily in AI, logistics automation, fintech, and consumer analytics, keeping it at the forefront of technological advancements in its industry.
Meantime geopolitical tensions, especially, U.S.-China trade tensions and potential delisting threats and slower economic growth in China could impact on stock prices.
BABA BUYBABA has almost retraced to the $81.61 level which is a gap fill zone from 20240909. Waiting to get back to this area prior to loading up LEAP's that expire in 15+ months.
Previously purchased LEAP's in March @ $74 (green circle), and sold in September for $100. Looking for BABA to breakthrough the upper trendline with volume/strength to confirm the big breakout we are all waiting on.
BABA bottoming formationI will take this trade every day, especially if 76$ is reached. 220$ is easily achievable
Alibaba - This Is Really Just The Beginning!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is starting to create a bullish reversal:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After perfectly rejecting a major resistance level just three months ago, Alibaba now retested the previous trendline breakout area and bulls are immediately stepping in. If we actually see a break above the neckline of this bottom formation, we could even see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $80, $115
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
