AMZN: Sell ideaSell idea on AMZN as you see on the chart because we have the breakout with force the vwap indicator and the support line by a big red candle.
AMZ trade ideas
Amazon showing strengthAmazon has tried to break through this area 3 times this being the fourth. This time it is showing more strength than before. If it breaks it may be this week. when it does the next target is the 165 area.
AMZN ~ Snapshot TA (Daily / Nov 2023)NASDAQ:AMZN chart mapping/analysis.
Consolidation within ascending parallel channel (green).
Bull target(s)
Ascending trend-line resistance (white dotted)
Upper range of parallel channel (green) + 78.6% Fib confluence resistance zone
Overhead gap fill (~163.27)
Bear target(s)
61.8% Fib
Underlying gap fills (~133.57 / ~121.64)
50% Fib
lower range of ascending parallel channel (green)
38.2% Fib
Upper range of descending parallel channel (light blue)
Amazon Cup and Handle Breakout Possibility Next WeekAmazon has formed a cup and handle on the weekly.
Current sentiment has turned bullish, yields are pushing lower and seasonals are great too for Amazon at this time of the year.
Fundamentally, AWS is the engine for Amazon and I expect revenue to pick up in that department in the coming months. As for retail, it should steadily deliver.
We need to finish above 147 in the coming week or get a bullish daily close in the daily and then the coast should be clear.
1st Target is 180.
5 Technical Indicators for Smart TradingNavigating the intricate world of trading requires a keen understanding of technical indicators. These powerful tools serve as guiding stars, illuminating market trends and potential entry or exit points. Today, we unravel 5 top technical indicators that stand as pillars in the realm of trading. Whether you're a beginner seeking foundational knowledge or an experienced trader aiming to refine your strategy, consider these indicators to enhance your analysis.
1. Moving Averages: Riding the Waves of Market Trends
Moving Averages (MA) are foundational tools in technical analysis, smoothing out price data to identify trends over specific periods.
Simple Moving Averages (SMA) provide straightforward trend indications, while Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) offer more weight to recent prices, making them highly responsive to market shifts. Traders often use crossovers between different MAs to pinpoint entry and exit points and utilize different lengths on different time frames. One common way traders use MA’s is to identify the overall trend using one or two moving averages.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Gauging Overbought and Oversold Conditions
RSI measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between zero and 100, traditionally using levels of 70 for overbought and 30 for oversold. Traders interpret divergences between RSI and price movements, seeking potential reversal points. Additionally, hidden divergences, where RSI disagrees with the underlying trend, are valuable for trend continuation strategies.
3. Bollinger Bands: Embracing Volatility for Profitable Trades
Bollinger Bands consist of a middle line being an MA (often 20 period) and two outer bands representing standard deviations from the middle band.
Volatility increases the distance between the bands, offering a visual representation of market volatility. When the price touches the upper band, it signals potential overbought conditions, while touching the lower band indicates potential oversold conditions. Traders also observe "band squeezes" as precursors to significant price movements.
4. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): Capturing Trend Changes
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a trend-following momentum indicator that highlights the relationship between two Moving Averages (MAs). The MACD line represents the difference between a short-term EMA (often 12 periods) and a long-term EMA (typically 26 periods). The signal line, usually a 9-period EMA of the MACD line, acts as a trigger for buy and sell signals.
Traders observe MACD crossovers, where the MACD line crosses the signal line, as potential entry points. Additionally, MACD histogram bars visualize the distance between the MACD and its signal line, offering insights into the strength and direction of a trend. By understanding these components, traders gain a nuanced understanding of potential trend changes and momentum shifts.
5. Average Directional Index (ADX): Measuring Trend Strength
The Average Directional Index (ADX) is a trend strength indicator that quantifies the strength of a market trend without specifying its direction. Typically, an ADX above 25 indicates a strong trend, while below 20 suggests a weak trend.
Traders use ADX crossovers and divergences with the price chart to distinguish between trending and ranging market conditions. A rising ADX suggests a strengthening trend, while a falling ADX may indicate a weakening trend strength.
Combining ADX with other technical indicators enhances a trader's ability to identify robust trends and potential reversals, providing a more comprehensive view of market dynamics.
Wrapping Up:
This article scratches the surface of the indicators listed, there are whole books written on some of them. We have gone more in-depth with most of these indicators in our previous articles. We have linked those articles below if you would like to learn more about any of these foundational indicators. Remember, while these indicators provide valuable data, combining them with a robust risk management strategy, other indicators for confirmation, and a deep understanding of market fundamentals ensures a holistic approach to successful trading. Happy Trading!
Amazon to $200 early 2024We are getting one last upward push before the big crash.
I think we'll reach the psychological level of $200 before the price crashes.
Inverse Head And ShouldersI saw "Inverse Head And Shoulders" on amazon
From my technic i can increase to $260
𝗔𝗺𝗮𝘇𝗼𝗻 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: $AMZN Weekly. Huge bull setupOver 145 and should see a nice run to 170 resistance. Large accumulation pattern (inverse H&S) with an implied target ~$200 🤯
NASDAQ:QQQ $NQ_F TVC:NDQ NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX CBOE:VIX #Stocks
AmznRising wedge here. And severely Overbought on hourly
I'll be looking for a pullback to 132 in the next 3 trading session before a rally up to 145 gap close. Should look like a double bottom pullback. Leg up to 145 holds as long as we don't drop back below 130
W PATTERNThe first ;eg of a W pattern pattern is Down.
The last leg, leg 4, is Up.
Valley 2 (V2) is lower than valley 1.
This brings a few patterns to mind as only a few have this scenario.
A Cypher is measured from the top of the 1st leg to the bottom of the 3rd leg (V2) and terminates near the .786. Price pierced the .786 today with a candle shadow.
The Nen-Star is measured in the same way but terminates at the 1.272 or very close.
A shark is measured using the 1st leg only, the down leg and the 4th leg terminates near the .886 for a Shark and the 1.113 for the Alternate Shark.
So I will wait and see.
No recommendation.
The market can be an endless procession of surprises. The expected rarely occurs and seldom in the expected manner.
$AMZN BULLISH IDEAI am strong bullish on Amazon stocks. After Nicely respect the Monthly FvG. And looking to displaced higher.
AMZN BULLISH???...Watching AMZN for a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern to develop on the Daily Chart. AMZN sold off pretty hard leading up to earnings on 10/26/23 only to experience a large gap to the upside (represented by the blue parallel channel) to open the session on the morning after the report. The stock had been mainly trading inside a Descending Channel(D) since making its most recent high of $145.86 on 9/14/2023. After setting a 52wk Low in Dec '22, the stock began to recover before hitting the 200(MA)(D) and falling sharply as a result of a miss on Q4 '23 earnings announced on 2/2/23. The stock fell more than 20% before finding support and going on a straight rocket ship that it has been on since March of this year. The run has been fueled by three consecutive earnings beats, with the most recent being a few days ago on 10/26/23. As a result, AMZN has beaten projections for all three quarters of '23 and looks poised to have a strong Q4 with the holiday season approaching. AMZN has risen significantly over the last two sessions since the release of the earnings report, however the overall sentiment of the market is FEARFUL, and stocks have been in a corrective mode creating lots of downward pressure. The stock seems to have found support at the 200MA(D) and closed today above both the 50MA(D) and 100MA(D). This area also coincides with the Golden Zone of a Fib Retracement from the last earnings miss, to the most recent high. This area is represented by the yellow rectangle encompassing the Head, just below what would be the Left and Right Shoulders. Expectations are for a pullback in the area of $134-$136 down to the $123-$125 area, (completing the Head and forming the Right Shoulder) before continuing its upward trajectory. Price action should be interpreted as it develops, and this serves as a general idea how the chart could start to take shape. Levels should be treated as zones and entries taken on a real time basis.
Trade Scenarios
1. Early Takeoff
Stock had been trading in a Descending Channel(D) since August. The stock temporarily experienced a false breakout above the channel on 9/8/23 but returned back inside the channel eight trading sessions later. It traded inside the channel for about two weeks before another failed breakout attempt on 10/12/23 and ultimately falling back into the channel. On Thursday 10/26/23 (the last session before earnings were released) the stock found support at the bottom of the channel and the Golden Fib Zone creating a nice bounce allowing the stock to close above the Descending Channel(D). With strong momentum the stock could possibly take off from here however that seems unlikely. The safer play would be to wait for Bullish price action to occur on a retest of the top of the Descending Channel(D). If the overall market begins to show signs of strength, this could be a logical spot for the stock to bounce. This would still be an early aggressive entry.
2.Conservative
The safest way to enter the trade would be to let the pattern develop and take entry when the stock breaks the neckline. For added confirmation wait for a break and retest of the neckline but be mindful that this could result in missing the trade completely.
3. Aggressive
If the formation is to play out it may be advantageous to wait for a pullback/reaction at the potential neckline. Entry would then be taken if BULLISH price action developed at the anticipated area of the right shoulder.
*This is just one of many scenarios/formations that could develop given the stock's current price point and technical levels. It will be important to watch price action over the next couple of days to determine the ultimate direction of the asset.
*Bias is to the upside, but it is important to watch the overall sentiment of the market. A break below the area identified as the Left Shoulder would be the first warning sign, and a break below the area identified as the Head would totally invalidate the trade's parameters. Should that occur, it would not immediately mean the stock has turned BEARISH however, it would mean the stock should be re-evaluated before entry.
*RSI(D) has confirmed DBL BTM, breaking above the neckline and currently resides in BULLISH territory with a reading over 50.
*Watching Bollinger Bands(D), AVP(52wk Low) POC, VAH, and VAL for added support/resistance.
Amzn shortI'm taking a jab at the bearish XABCD pattern. Amzn also hit a resistance at $133.
Target 1: $126.75
Target 2: $123.96-122.87
$AMZN 15min
2 steps for Bullish Scenario with T1S Indicator:
1. Candles Above the Green Line:
• Check that the candles on the chart are positioned above the green line of the T1S indicator. This could be an indication of bullish momentum.
2. Bars Above Zero:
• Ensure that the bars on the T1S indicator are above zero. This condition might suggest positive market sentiment or upward price movement.
2 steps for Bearish Scenario with T1S Indicator:
1. Candles Below the Green Line:
• Verify that the candles on the chart are positioned below the green line of the T1S indicator. This condition may indicate bearish momentum or a potential downward trend.
2. Bars Negative Below Zero:
• Confirm that the bars on the T1S indicator are in the negative territory and located below zero. This setup suggests a negative market sentiment or downward price movement.
AMZN Pulls NASDAQ Up, Expecting Help from AAPLAmazon's quarterly report provided a ray of light in a gloomy environment for the tech-heavy US stock market, as the NASDAQ index fell last week to levels last seen in May.
→ AMZN EPS: actual = USD 0.94, expected = USD 0.58
→ Gross revenue: actual = $143.5 billion, expected = $141 billion
→ For the Q4, AMZN expects revenue of USD 160-167 billion
→ Revenue from Amazon Web Services grew by 12.3% year on year
→ Advertising revenue increased by 26%
However, the AMZN chart shows that:
→ the price pushed off from the lower border of the parallel channel;
→ the breakdown of the psychological level of USD 120 per share turned into a trap for the bears;
→ the price is approaching the resistance zone, which is formed by the median line of the channel and the level of USD 135.
AMZN is acting as a leader among NASDAQ stocks, but that may not be enough for the index to show positive sentiment in a market under pressure from high Fed rates.
While a report from AAPL could add some good news, it is expected on November 2, after the market closes. On the eve of the report, Apple (AAPL) presented new 3-nanometer M3 chips, as well as an updated family of MacBook Pro laptops: a 14-inch MacBook Pro for USD 1,599, and 16-inch laptops will start at USD 2,499.
Also on the radar for stock traders is the Fed meeting on November 1st.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Amazon Analysis WeeklyAmazon.com, Inc. is an American e-commerce company, headquartered in Seattle, Washington. It is the largest Internet company in the world.Time proclaimed Jeff Bezos, the company's founder, Man of the Year in 1999, in recognition of Amazon's success in popularizing e-commerce.
Time to buy Amazon I think now is the best price to buy Amazon and also for long term trade it will be really good .
AMAZON 1st bullish break-out made. Only the 1D MA50 left.Amazon (AMZN) made a Channel Down Lower Low on Thursday just before hitting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and following the higher than expected earnings opened Friday much higher. That price jump broke above the September 14 Lower Highs trend-line. The 2nd and final bullish break-out we expect before buying again for the long-term will be above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is where the October 12 rejection took place.
A candle closing above it, would invalidate the medium-term bearish bias and most likely restore the stock back on long-term bullish trend. The 1D RSI Double Bottom is what at the moment is shifting the sentiment a little more towards a potential bullish break-out. On the other hand, a break below the 4H MA200 will cancel it. Our target is 146.00, just under the August 16 2022 High.
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AMZN Dropping By 11/03?AMZN did great on earnings but its time for a quick drop
1HR
We have Supply Liquidity Heat Zone from $128.30 - $129.84
We have a pivot level from $126.59 - $125.96
Small demand liquidity from $124.79 - $124.50
Demand Liquidity from $119.52 - $117.85
15-30M
Looks like we are starting a trending parallel to the upside
Option Flow
PUTS Below 126 exp 10/27 so ill look for a week later 11/03
Option Chains
Call Walls at $128, $125
Heavy Call Imbalance for a few weeks
Amazon Stock Pops More Than 5%The e-commerce giant's Q4 revenue guidance also beat Wall Street's expectation.
Shares of Amazon (AMZN 7.49%) jumped 5.4% in Thursday's volatile after-hours trading session, following the e-commerce and cloud computing leader's release of its third-quarter 2023 report.
The gain is attributable to the quarter's revenue and earnings both sprinting by Wall Street's estimates, with the bottom-line beat a particularly big one. Investors were also likely pleased that revenue guidance for the fourth quarter -- the particularly important holiday quarter -- exceeded the analyst expectation.
1. Revenue grew 13%
Amazon's net quarterly sales grew 13% year over year to $143.1 billion, easily surpassing the $133.4 billion Wall Street had expected. That result also edged by the company's guidance range of $138 billion to $143 billion. Excluding the favorable effect from foreign-currency exchange, revenue increased 11% from the year-ago period.
Year-over-year revenue growth at AWS continued to slow on a sequential-quarter basis. In the prior three quarters, the cloud computing unit's year-over-year revenue grew 12% (Q2 2023), 16% (Q1 2023), and 20% (Q4 2022). This slowdown is industrywide, as many businesses are being cautious with their spending due to the uncertain macro environment. On the earnings call, management expressed optimism that the surging adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) will be a big tailwind for its AWS business.
That said, AWS's profitability increased significantly (as discussed in the next section) more than its revenue, and profitability growth, arguably, is more important than revenue growth.
Moreover, Amazon's e-commerce business's revenue growth outperformed Wall Street's expectations, which more than compensated for AWS's revenue falling just a tad short of the Street's estimate ($23.06 billion vs $23.13 billion). This dynamic underscores the benefit of diversification.
2. Operating income soared 348%
The quarter's operating income more than quadrupled from the year-ago period to $11.2 billion. This result walloped Amazon's guidance range for operating income between $5.5 billion and $8.5 billion.
AWS's operating income growth was robust on both a year-over-year and a sequential basis. As noted in the chart, it jumped 30% year over year, and it also increased 30% from the prior quarter (Q2 2023).
In the prior quarter, AWS's operating income edged down 5% year over year to $5.4 billion.
3. Earnings per share surged 236%
In Q3, net income was $9.9 billion, or $0.94 per share, up 236% year over year. This result crushed the earnings per share (EPS) of $0.28 that Wall Street had expected.
The quarter's net income includes a pre-tax valuation gain of $1.2 billion included in nonoperating expense from Amazon's common stock investment in electric vehicle maker Rivian Automotive, which went public in November 2021. The year-ago quarter's net income had included a pre-tax valuation gain of $1.1 billion from the Rivian stock.
4. Operating cash flow rose 81% for the trailing year
Operating cash flow jumped 81% to $71.7 billion for the trailing-12-month period. Free cash flow (FCF) was $21.4 billion for this period, compared with negative $19.7 billion in the year-ago period.
The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $50.1 billion, and long-term debt of $61.1 billion.
Investors should mainly focus on Amazon's operating cash flow, rather than its FCF. FCF can jump around a lot quarter to quarter based on how much money the company is investing in growth initiatives.
5. Revenue is expected to grow 7% to 12% in the fourth quarter
For Q4, management guided for net sales in the range of $160 billion to $167 billion, which would amount to growth of 7% to 12% year over year. This guidance includes an expected favorable impact of 40 basis points (0.4 percentage points) from foreign exchange rates.
Going into the Q3 report, Wall Street had been modeling for Q4 revenue of $157.2 billion, so Amazon's top-line guidance was higher than what analysts had been expecting.
Amazon, which doesn't provide earnings guidance, also said that it expects Q4 operating income will be between $7.0 billion and $11.0 billion, compared with $2.7 billion in the prior-year period.
A good overall quarter
Amazon turned in a strong quarter, especially considering the uncertain macro environment.
With its leading positions in two massive growth markets -- e-commerce and cloud computing -- Amazon still has a long runway for growth.
AMAZON Making a bullish break out, potentially long term.Amazon / AMZN had a huge price leap after yesterday's earnings release and already crossed over the top of the Falling Wedge pattern.
This is the main pattern despite the fact that a Channel Down potentially exists as the Wedge's Lower High was priced/ rejected on the 1day MA50.
Equally important is the fact that yesterday the price fall stopped a little over the 1day MA200, which is the first long term Support (1week MA50 being the second).
Buy for the long term and target 145.80 (Resistance B).
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