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APC trade ideas

APPL - Short Term Bear - Swing Trade ContinuationHere's the details of my trade Short on AAPL.... I previously shorted APPL for a trade from $255 to $244. Unfortunately I did not fully maximise my profit. If you watch the video I explain where I missed a signal that could have allowed me to gain more profit. Nonetheless, I made a profit! So let's celebrate that. The original pattern and trade is still in tact and therefore this video explains the continuation pattern I am currently trading. Daily Chart: - QQE Signal Short - Divergence on the RSI - Cross down on the MACD 4hr Chart: - QQE Signal Short - Strong Divergence on the RSI - Cross down on the MACD Fundamental Support: - PE Ratio overvalued at 40, historic PE ratio range 12-28 excl Covid 2020 - Buffet has cut Berkshire Hathaways stake in Apple by 60% - 2 consecutive years of flat YoY revenue, with declines in Iphone, Wearables, Ipad, Mac offset by YoY growth in Services - Flat YoY Revenue in USA, Asia Pac, and Japan, with declines in Greater China - 2 consecutive years of YoY Net Income decline, EPS benefit from share buybacks of 1B since 2022 - Operating Margin improvement, however primarily driven by product mix (decline of core products and growth of services business) Previous Developments & News - Next significant economic data is ADP employment report Wed Jan 8th and Unemployment Rate Fri Jan 10th - A lower or higher employment figure than forecast could move the market and is a potential risk to the short position if employment figures are positive - However, inadvertently, higher employment figures will reduce the likelihood of FED rate cuts, offsetting some of the upside potential This was commentary I put in previously....what ended up happening? The unemployment report on Friday ended up being way above forecast 255k vs 155k forecast. Sending treasury yields higher and the market lower. This is in line with my comment about higher employment figures, although it may sound rosey, it's further reducing the likelihood of the FED reducing rates and increase the possibility of higher inflation. The market does not like that Target: - Previous ATH at 236, if it breaks this level than there's opp to move down thru 232, to as low as 221 - Stop: A break above $244 - Possible profit taking at 50 day moving average near $237-$238 range - Previous declines ranged from 8-15 days to reach short term lows, estimating similar timeframe with a possible break of support line, retest, and further decline Risks: - The rollout of Apple Intelligence sparks strong Christmas sales and upgrade cycle for Iphone 16 - Investor optimism for Apple Intelligence drives continued buying in AAPL - A bounce off support and continued move higher Overall: AAPL has rolled out Apple Intelligence in several major markets with some features still coming soon. It would be an understatement to say that the development, features, and rollout have be clumsy at best. Not only has the rollout and announcements been underwhelming, but Apple looks to be playing catchup with technology competitors have already well established in the market. Apple continues to be a loved brand worldwide, and there's no denying the brand loyalty is still strong, however lagging technology, premium prices on their products, high PE/valuation with flat to declining revenue and profitability. Until Apple can either reclaim it's technological advantage by becoming a leader again in the market, or reposition it's product offering and pricing to drive demand, it's difficult fundamentally see why the stock is worth the PE with so many other companies in market with new innovation and growth potential comparatively. This isn't to suggest Apple will collapse, but a correction technically and fundamentally is warranted near term with broader economic risks and technological missed expectations that could warrant lower prices. My Position: 3 Put Options $235 Strike, Current Price $242 Expiration Friday Jan 17th Average Price is $1.30 a contract Investment $400 Target $3.00-$10.00 Stop $.65 Potential Loss -$200 Potential Gain $400-$2600 The reason for the wide target range is because if APPL breaks through the 50 Day MA and the previous ATH, that is very bearish and although it may retest that level, it could create quite a fall and I would look to maximise my trade at that point.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by jaytmarquardt
AAPL Trade IdeaAAPL is playing well off the yellow trendline drawn on the daily chart. Two trade ideas setup based on the green support zone. Entering or not depends on price action around the entry price. Not looking to take a swing trade in AAPL until it decides to either break through the trendline or bounce away from it. Targets are 1.618 fib levels drawn on the hourly and 15 min chart. Exit depends on price action when approaching the target price KEY: -White Horizonal Lines: Previous High or low/resistance levels (multiple timeframes). -Green Horizontal Lines: 1.618 fib level (multiple timeframes). -Yellow trendline: Trendline -Green boxes: Supply or demand
NASDAQ:AAPL
by PennantTrading
APPLE Expected Growth! BUY! My dear subscribers, APPLE looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 229.96 pivot level. Bias - Bullish My Stop Loss - 224.52 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 239.93 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by AnabelSignals
1
AAPL: Testing Support with Bearish Signals🔥 LucanInvestor's Strategy: 🩸 Short: Below $229.47, targeting $225 and $220. MACD remains bearish, and the price is below the 9-day EMA. 🩸 Long: Above $236.07, aiming for $240 and $246. A recovery above the 9-day EMA could trigger renewed buying interest. 🔥 LucanInvestor's Commands: 🩸 Resistance: $236.07 — A key level for bulls to reclaim upward momentum. 🩸 Support: $229.47 — Immediate support; breaking below this could intensify bearish pressure. Apple (AAPL) is trading under bearish pressure, with MACD indicating continued weakness and the price below the 9-day EMA ($236.07). Elevated selling volume supports the current downtrend. A sustained move above $236.07 is needed to signal a potential reversal. 👑 "Master the moment when the market tests your conviction." — LucanInvestor
NASDAQ:AAPL
by LucanInvestor
New Easy Play on Apple for EveryoneHello everyone, thank you for following me! If you're keeping up with the EASY PLAY idea series, here's a fresh one for 2025! As we've seen (and as you can check in my TW ideas), with AAPL, we've predicted every move: from the June idea with the pre-earnings candlestick pattern, to the March retracement stalemate with all targets hit, and up to the most recent idea with the triangle chart formation, which we fully achieved even before it was completed. With all these fantastic gains, we can confidently say that my technical approach to APPLE works. So, here’s a simple idea for any trader, which could lead us to even more profits! So let's proceed: we have Apple in a retracement phase after taking our profits with the target achieved using Fibonacci, precise and reliable. Apple dropped after reaching our target zone (see the Apple idea on my profile). Now, we move to buy in the lower green zone to sell immediately in the upper green zone, and the game is done! SIMPLE IDEAS ARE ALWAYS THE BEST.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TheAverageTrader00
INNOVATION TAKES APPLE TO NEW HIGHSApple has reached all times high, touching the price level of $237. This milestone underscores the tech giants sustained growth and investor optimism in its future prospects. Over the past year ,Apple has seen its stock value increase by an impressive 32.41% ,reflecting the company's s strong financial performance ,innovative product lineup, and robust consumer demand. Technically , apple is trending in a bullish triangle, breaking this triangle will bring new growth of about $266-270. BUY UP
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by ForxTay
10
Apple Significant Chart TopApple's stock has topped, and is rolling over. Bearish chart is glaringly obvious. KST peaked in early Dec 2024, and bearishly crossed before the final blowoff peak in the stock at 260 Support now is at 220. That looks short term shaky. Target for the move down is the prior high of 190. Buffet has been selling its enormous position in 2024 Rallies in this perennial bull market market leader should be sold, until further notice. AAPL Last 228.26 THE_UNWIND WOODS OF CONNECTICUT
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by The_Unwind
Apple (AAPL) | Time to Buy When Everyone is BearishHere's a trade setup idea based on recent analysis: Trade Plan: - Entry Zone: Consider a buy within the green support box (~$217.80 - $224.76). - Stop Loss: Place it below $213.56 to limit risk. Targets: - Target 1: $245.60 - Target 2: $269.22 (higher resistance zone) Reasoning: - The stock appears to be in a corrective phase within a strong uptrend. - Expecting a rebound from the green support area based on Fibonacci levels and Elliott Wave analysis. The overall trend remains bullish, with potential for higher highs after this pullback.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by MrStockWhale
AAPL at a Critical Level! Key Trade Setups for This Week Analysis: AAPL is showing significant weakness after a clear rejection near the $260-$265 resistance zone, forming a downward trajectory. It has broken below key support levels, now testing the $228-$230 range. The steep drop suggests bearish momentum is strong, as confirmed by the MACD crossing below zero and Stochastic RSI hovering in the oversold territory. Volume has also spiked, indicating potential capitulation in the short term. Key Levels to Watch: * Resistance Levels: * $240: Psychological resistance, aligned with a call wall. * $244-$245: Major GEX resistance with limited upside if reached. * $260-$265: Strong overhead resistance zone. * Support Levels: * $227-$228: Current key support where PUT walls provide temporary stabilization. * $220: Next critical support, aligning with strong GEX negative levels. GEX Insights: * Gamma Exposure (GEX): * Negative GEX levels dominate, indicating market makers are positioned for higher volatility. * PUT support: Strong at $227-$225, but breaching this level could accelerate selling. * Options Activity: * IVR: Elevated at 53.3, signaling high implied volatility. * Call-to-Put Ratio: Puts dominate, with bearish bets intensifying near $227-$230. Trade Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Break above $232.50 with volume confirmation. * Target: $240 (first target), $244 (extended target). * Stop-Loss: Below $228. Bearish Scenario: * Entry: Break below $227 with increasing selling pressure. * Target: $220 (first target), $213 (extended target). * Stop-Loss: Above $232. Directional Bias: Bearish bias dominates, with a high likelihood of testing lower levels unless $227 holds firm. The broader structure points to a continuation of the downtrend, particularly if overall market sentiment remains weak. Actionable Suggestions: * For Scalpers: Focus on shorting rallies into resistance at $232-$235. * For Swing Traders: Monitor the $220-$227 zone for potential breakdown or bounce opportunities. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights