AAPL Signals Short Term DropOf the 71 times AAPL triggers a sell on my RSI indicator (the magenta arrow at the bottom of the chart), the stock drops 97.143% of the time in the following 25 trading days. During 37% of the successful drops, the stock moves upward for 1-4 more days after the signal occurs in what I call the delay period.
What qualifies as a successful drop? The sell signal was triggered based on the closing price of AAPL stock on July 10, 2024 at 232.98. This means 97% of the time the stock will move below this closing price in the near-term. 2.85% of the time, the stock does not drop below this price over the following 25 trading days. The stock has always dropped below the signal closing price by at least 0.266% over the next 100 trading days.
On the chart above, the red boxes at the top are the delay zones of interest. The larger red box contains 100% of all delayed movement. The smaller box contains the stock's top or peak of the delay for 50% of the occasions. The same holds true for the two large green target boxes on the bottom. The final downward movement bottoms in the smaller green box 50% of the time, while the much larger green box contains bottoms or valleys for all downward movement.
This delay period of potential continued upward movement has historically had a maximum 3% gain before the stock eventually dropped. Regarding the bottom of the drop. Over the next 25 bars, it can occur on any day in the range with the median bottom occurring by day 8. 75% of the bottoms have occurred before day 18. The stock drops a minim of 0.266%, and median of 5.021%. 25% of the bottoms are no lower than 2.152%, while 75% of the drops are 8.3% or less.
The four shallowest drops over the next 25 days have been 0.266% (September 2010), 0.312% (February 2017), 0.827% (March 2019), and, 0.868% (August 2020) while the four deepest drops have been 63.23% (August 2000), 26.58% (December 1999), 26.51% (January 2006), and 24.80% (September 1999). The most recent double-digit percentage drop was 15% in April 2019. All shallow drops occurred in the most recent strong bull market, while the largest drops were part of the dot-com bubble burst.
While this current potential drop will likely avoid the sharper end of sell-offs, it is always interesting to see the strength and accuracy of signals. Historical movement is not indicative of future movement, but it is good to have as a data point.
APC trade ideas
AAPL SELL!!!! +++I am in disbelief at the lack of corrections in this market on the major averages and tech stocks. For those of us that use technical indicators they have often not been accurate as of lately, stocks are staying overbought much longer with smaller than normal corrections before becoming overbought again. Nonetheless, this WILL correct all of it. SPY, QQQ, AAPL, SPX, TSLA etc. The most recent correction from $221 to $206 I assumed we would see $198-200. Now I feel we could see $211 easily and still be in an uptrend
AAPL - MCDX Banker seems weakening MCDX works perfectly on AAPL.
Even with just 1% MCDX whale/banker detected on AAPL, most of the time, AAPL will fly.
Slow Turtle Buy signal triggers with small 1% MCDX Banker detected on early MAY. Since then, MCDX Banker/Whale kept buying and pushing AAPL from 180 towards rectacgular 1x target at 230. It's almost 30% profit for 1 month rally.
Cautious :- Sign of Bearish Divergence detected (Price Making Higher High while FiFT/MCDX Banker is making Lower High). Bearish divergence is a SIGN. Not a signal. So, we need to monitor for Sell SIGNAL around the target.
Triple top formation for AppleHistorically, the triple top formation is supposed to be bearish. However, here in Apple's chart, we see it did not play out as expected. It went up a whooping 7% breaking the resistance level at 197.41.
I won't suggest to go in now if you want to pickup this shares but wait patiently for the retracement. Then again, it may take weeks for that to happen. That is why patience is such a rare virtue in the game of investing. The fear of missing out is so strong in many investors that they have to participate in the game regardless of the price level. It's like an addiction; taking the action to execute the trade helps relief the anxiety in them. Finally, now they can announce to the world that they own Apple shares. They belong to the community.
Sounds irrational and not logical ? Understanding consumer behaviour helps you to better understand the stock market. Whether it is buying an Iphone or 100 shares of a Company stock, the underlying psychological reasons embedded within remains relatively the same.
We buy first and justify second. Is it a need or is it a want ? You need a phone ? Yes ! But you want to own the latest model which costs thousands of dollars, never mind if it exceeds your budget. Associating with it, owning it, carrying it and showing off to a certain extent, however unreasonable to the third party it may seems, this desire will heighten over time and like breaking out of the bearish trend line after the 4th attempt, finally, you purchased it or the price breaks out from the trend line. Hallelujah !
Remember the objective of owning a piece of the business or buying shares. Simply, it is to make your money not collecting a basket of brands. Of course, if it is branded and makes you tons of money, then it is double happiness. But there are many gems hidden in the piles that valued investors who spent time researching will uncover its potential.
Maybe, it is not as popular as the branded ones, but it has excellent sales records and profitability. It has low gearing and enjoys a wide economic moat as well........Find these companies and invest in them. Put on the cap of the venture capitalists , take a small initial position and bet bigger when the data shows more promising .
How to read Volume properlyIn this video, I explain how to interpret volume bars in conjunction with price movements. Recognizing large volume bars is crucial for understanding significant market interest, especially when they accompany substantial percentage changes in the underlying asset. These insights can help confirm institutional buying, signal the beginning or end of uptrends, and indicate the start of sell-offs or the end of downtrends.
For example, large green volume bars can suggest the start of an uptrend or confirm institutional buying, while large red volume bars can signal the beginning of a sell-off or the end of a downtrend. This indicator simplifies the process of reading volume bars, making it easier to extract valuable insights from them.
Mag 7 Short Term SupportThe mag 7 and semiconductors are essentially the entire market at this point, especially for QQQ. It's an important watch, if the mag 7 starts to weaken that could be a sign of a trend change. We have support close below, this will be my key level moving forward. I think it could be a good long opportunity, but if it breaks to the downside it could make for a great short as well.
Apple: A Winner for the next decade
Apple: A Winner for the Next Decade
Apple Inc., a titan in the technology industry, is poised to dominate the tech space over the next decade. The company's strategic focus on its growing ecosystem, rising software and services segment, advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), and a relentless drive for innovation position it as a leader that will continue to thrive. Here’s why Apple’s stock could be a standout performer in the coming years.
Expanding Ecosystem
One of Apple’s greatest strengths lies in its robust and ever-expanding ecosystem. The seamless integration of its devices—iPhone, iPad, Mac, Apple Watch, and Apple TV—creates a cohesive user experience that is hard for competitors to replicate. This ecosystem encourages customer loyalty and drives continuous sales as users are more likely to upgrade within the Apple family of products. Furthermore, Apple’s introduction of the M1 and M2 chips has significantly enhanced the performance of its devices, setting new standards in the industry and ensuring users remain within its ecosystem.
Rising Software and Services
Apple’s pivot towards software and services has proven to be a game-changer. The company has seen significant revenue growth from its services segment, which includes the App Store, Apple Music, Apple TV+, iCloud, and Apple Pay. This recurring revenue model not only provides a steady income stream but also increases the stickiness of the Apple ecosystem. With over 1 billion active devices, the potential for continued growth in this area is immense. Moreover, Apple’s investment in original content for Apple TV+ and the expanding offerings in Apple Arcade highlight its commitment to diversifying and enriching its services portfolio.
Advancements in Artificial Intelligence
AI is set to revolutionize the tech industry, and Apple is at the forefront of this transformation. The company has been integrating AI and machine learning into its products to enhance user experiences. Siri, Apple’s virtual assistant, continues to improve, offering more sophisticated and context-aware interactions. Additionally, features like facial recognition and predictive text in iOS showcase Apple’s AI capabilities. As AI technology advances, Apple’s ongoing investment in this field is likely to yield innovative products and services that keep it ahead of the curve.
Commitment to Innovation
Apple’s commitment to innovation is unwavering. The company consistently pushes the boundaries of technology, whether through the development of new hardware like augmented reality (AR) glasses or the expansion into new markets such as health tech. Apple’s focus on sustainability and environmental responsibility also resonates with consumers and investors alike, enhancing its brand value.
Financial Resilience
Financially, Apple is a powerhouse. With a massive cash reserve, the company has the flexibility to invest in new technologies, acquire promising startups, and weather economic downturns. This financial strength ensures that Apple can sustain its growth trajectory and continue to reward its shareholders.
In conclusion, Apple’s strategic focus on expanding its ecosystem, growing its software and services segment, leading in AI, and driving innovation positions it as a formidable player in the tech space for the next decade. Investors looking for a long-term winner should keep a close eye on Apple, as its stock is likely to remain a dominant force in the technology sector. Do you agree?
TSMC: Chipmaker Prepares for WarRising tensions between China and Taiwan pose a significant challenge to the global technology supply chain. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), a world leader in chip manufacturing, is at the forefront of these concerns. In response to the potential for a Chinese invasion, TSMC has developed contingency plans, including the ability to remotely disable its advanced chipmaking equipment.
This "kill switch" strategy is intended to prevent China from acquiring TSMC's cutting-edge semiconductor technology. Such an event could have a crippling effect on the global tech industry, with companies like Apple potentially facing significant disruptions.
The article delves into the geopolitical factors driving these tensions, the ramifications of a potential invasion of the global tech supply chain, and the ongoing efforts to bolster domestic chipmaking capabilities in Western countries. These efforts aim to reduce dependence on a single source and mitigate the risks associated with geopolitical instability.
While the exact timeline for a potential invasion and the effectiveness of TSMC's contingency plans remain uncertain, this situation highlights the critical need for strategic planning and technological self-sufficiency in an increasingly complex geopolitical landscape.
ApplePrice is testing an important level 220. It is at trend line and also consolidation zone has formed. Price can move up if volume gains steadily.
Buy above 220.50 with the stop loss of 119 for the targets 222, 224 and 226.
Sell below 217 with the stop loss of 218.5 for the targets 215, 213 and 211.
Hit the like button to Rock !! Show some energy !!
Note : This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
You are responsible for whatever you do.
Why Apple Inc. (AAPL) is a Must-Buy Stock Right NowStellar Performance and Market Position
Apple Inc. (AAPL) continues to dominate the tech industry with its innovative products and robust ecosystem. Despite market fluctuations, Apple has consistently demonstrated resilience and growth. The company's recent financial results show a strong rebound, with impressive earnings and revenue figures, highlighting its ability to navigate economic challenges effectively.
Strong Financial Health
Apple reported robust financial health in its latest earnings, with a significant increase in services revenue, which includes its burgeoning subscription services. This diversification beyond hardware sales adds stability to its revenue stream and promises consistent growth. The stock's current upward momentum, as evidenced by its technical breakout, suggests sustained investor confidence and bullish sentiment.
Innovation and Future Prospects
Apple's commitment to innovation remains unparalleled. The upcoming product launches, including new iterations of the iPhone and advancements in AR/VR technology, are expected to drive future growth. Moreover, the company's foray into new markets, such as electric vehicles and healthcare, indicates a forward-thinking approach that could open up additional revenue streams.
Analyst Confidence
Market analysts are optimistic about Apple's future, with a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average price target suggesting a potential upside of approximately 11.78% from current levels. Notable financial institutions have recently upgraded Apple's stock, reinforcing the positive outlook (MarketBeat).
Conclusion
With a solid financial foundation, a pipeline of innovative products, and strong market positioning, Apple Inc. is well-poised for continued growth. The current price presents an attractive entry point for investors looking to capitalize on the company's future success. Investing in Apple is not just about buying into a tech giant but also about securing a stake in the future of innovation and market leadership.