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German Index (DE40) – 4-Hour Time Frame AnalysisGerman Index (DE40) – 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis Market Context: After a very strong bullish trend, the German Index (DE40) appears to be approaching a point where a potential retracement could take place. The market may be signaling a slowdown in bullish momentum, and a correction to the downside is a possibility. Potential Take Profit Levels: First Take Profit (TP1): 20,000 This level represents a key psychological point and may act as an initial target for traders. Second Take Profit (TP2): 19,675 A crucial level where the price could retest significant support if the correction deepens. Key Reminders for Trading: Do Not Follow Blindly: Always analyze the market using your own strategies and trading techniques. Adapt based on live price action. Trading is Reactive, Not Predictive: Focus on reacting to what the market shows rather than trying to predict future movements. Capital Preservation is Key: Keeping your money is more important than making money. Always prioritize protecting your capital to stay in the game. Final Notes: This is the analysis for today on the German Index. Remember, these insights are for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Trade smart, be patient, and avoid impulsive decisions. That’s it for today! Let me know your thoughts or if you need further clarification.
ICMARKETS:DE40Short
by KainT21
Fri 2024 12 13 Long||| Stats ||| Stats Week: ** Mid Month Turn, ** US CPI: 14:30, - as expected, ** Thu EU GC 14:15:, - reduced as expected, ** Mon Morning rule, - yes, ** Tue return to W1 trend and not a W1 trend change, - yes Stats Month: ** Christmas Rally - start Mid Nov. - yes bottom ** Christmas Rally - US election year, start Dec. - yes Stats Year: ** US Election, ||| Trade Taken ||| Trade Taken: ** Time frame: * H3 ** Time: * 03pm, Set-Up: ** Trigger for trade: * Momentum Long, * Mon Morning rule, * Tue return to W1 trend - UP, * Senti, - P16, ** Mom Width: * 6 candles - med/strong, ** Mom Type: * 3rd directional - risk at last Mom turn, Risk Reward: ** Risk: * last Mom Turn, ** Target: * R 1:1 as at ATH,
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by ErPat
1-hr GERMAN 40: The DAX Might Dip LowerThe German DAX has corrected by 200 points from its Monday highs, and further declines seem likely. This outlook is reinforced by the Death Cross—a well-known sell signal—indicating strong short-term bearish momentum. Other major indices, including the UK100, US100, and US30, are also experiencing declines. If the DAX is lagging these counterparts, further losses in the German index may follow. Currently, the price hovers near a resistance level around 20,340, which coincides with the significant 38% Fibonacci retracement. For traders looking to capitalize on the current bearish momentum, a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio might be achieved if the price retests the crucial 50% Fibonacci retracement level, located 50 points above the current value.
CAPITALCOM:DE40Short
by Trendsharks
GER30 POSSIBLE SELL Based on DAILY and 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern. We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
FX:GER30Short
by WiLLProsperForex
DAX forming a top?GER40 - 24h expiry Sequence of 7 positive daily performances broken. We are trading at overbought extremes. Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains. Short term MACD has turned negative. A higher correction is expected. Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high. We look to Sell at 20415 (stop at 20535) Our profit targets will be 20115 and 20025 Resistance: 20350 / 20474 / 20600 Support: 20260 / 20200 / 20000 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by OANDA
GER 40 Trade Log GER40 4H Long Setup Trade Idea: - Long in the 4H FVG post-CPI wick grab, following a potential exhaustion of the ongoing short setup. Confluence: - FVG Zone: Price retraces into the 4H Fair Value Gap, providing a strong discounted entry point. - Liquidity Grab: CPI wick likely cleared liquidity below, setting the stage for a bullish reversal. - Dynamic Support: 4H Kijun aligns with FVG, reinforcing the zone as a high-probability support. Risk-Reward: - Tight stop-loss below the 4H FVG. - Targeting 1:2+ RRR with initial profit-taking at 20,400 and extended targets toward 20,500 . Quick Take: If CPI triggers downside liquidity sweep, this setup offers a clean bullish reversal opportunity. Watch for confirmation before entry!
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by Fondera
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 1H Short Setup Trade Logic: - Setup: Short position initiated within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) after a confirmed bearish structure and pre-market rejection. - Confluence Factors: - Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price retraces into a bearish FVG for a high-probability short entry. - Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed bearish break supports downside continuation. - Kijun Resistance: 1H Kijun line aligns with the FVG, reinforcing dynamic resistance. - Liquidity Grab: The price action indicates a sweep of liquidity above the FVG, creating strong rejection signals. - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): - Stop-loss set just above the FVG zone for tight risk management. - 1:2.35 RRR as per chart, targeting liquidity zones below. - Targets: - TP1 near 20,309 , aligning with intermediate liquidity. - TP2 around 20,250 for a deeper liquidity sweep. Macro Context: - Market Sentiment: GER40 shows bearish signals with a weakening broader market sentiment. - Volume Profile: Declining buy-side volume within the FVG zone signals limited bullish interest. - Pre-Market Behavior: Rejection from the FVG aligns with pre-market bearish tendencies, further supporting the setup. Execution Plan: - Short entry within the FVG zone, managing risk with a stop-loss above the FVG. - Strict adherence to the 1:2.35 RRR with partial profit-taking at TP1 and remaining at TP2. - Monitor market conditions and invalidate if price reclaims the FVG or breaks the Kijun level. Extra Note: Keep an eye on macroeconomic triggers that could cause sudden volatility, particularly during the European session. Let me know if further adjustments are needed!
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by Fondera
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 1H Short Setup Trade Logic: - Setup: Short within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) following a clear bearish shift in market structure. - Confluence Factors: - Break of Structure (BOS): Price confirms a bearish break, with a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) reinforcing downside bias. - FVG Rejection: Anticipating rejection within the 1H FVG as price retests this imbalance area, providing an optimal entry point. - Kijun Resistance: Kijun line on the 1H timeframe aligns as a dynamic resistance level, further supporting bearish continuation. - Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2 RRR with a tight stop-loss above the FVG zone. - Target: TP1 near liquidity at 20,306 ; TP2 at deeper liquidity grab around 20,260 . Confluence Factors: - Market Context: Indices showing signs of pullback after extended bullish momentum, with GER40 leading a potential retracement. - Volume Signals: Declining buy-side volume during recent highs, indicating exhaustion and paving the way for downside. - Liquidity Levels: Price action aligns with tapping liquidity from equal highs before driving into lower demand zones. Execution Plan: - Place short entries within the 1H FVG. - Maintain tight risk management with a stop-loss just above the FVG zone. - Reassess trade if price closes above the Kijun or invalidates the bearish structure. Extra Note: Monitor macroeconomic news or EUR-related sentiment for potential catalysts that could impact volatility in GER40. Let me know if you'd like any additional details or adjustments!
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by Fondera
DE40 (German Index) – Weekly Insight and 4-Hour AnalysisDE40 (German Index) – Weekly Insight and 4-Hour Analysis The German Index (DE40) has been strongly bullish over the past week. However, I’m currently avoiding any long trades, and here’s why: Whenever the market rallies sharply—especially with DE40—there’s a high probability of a sudden crash before you can react. While the 4-hour time frame shows slight corrections, these pullbacks lack strength and conviction. Impulsive entries at this stage could expose your capital to unnecessary risk. Ideal Trading Scenarios: Fibonacci Retracement Setup: Wait for the price to pull back to at least the 50% retracement level on the Fibonacci scale. If the price shows clear signs of bullish momentum or a pullback at this level, it could signal a good opportunity to go long. Key Level Test at 19,670: If the price continues to drop instead of stabilizing at the Fibonacci retracement level, watch for it to test the key support zone at 19,670. Once the price confirms this level, it may provide a solid entry point for a long trade. Liquidity Sweeps and Wicks: Look for a liquidity sweep, such as a significant wick to the downside, indicating a potential reversal. This confirmation can offer an additional layer of security for long trades. Important Notes: Protecting your capital should always be your top priority. Avoid impulsive trades during shallow corrections, as they often lack follow-through. Be patient and wait for clear retracements or liquidity sweeps before entering the market. Making no money is still better than losing money. Final Thoughts: Patience is the key to success in such a scenario. Avoid revenge or impulsive trading, and let the market come to you. Focus on protecting your capital and only act when the setup aligns with your strategy. That’s it for today’s analysis. I hope this helps you in your trading decisions. Don’t forget to like and comment if you find this valuable—it keeps me motivated to provide more insights!
ICMARKETS:DE40
by KainT21
My expectations of DAX!Hi guys, I hope you are doing well ** The used time frame for my analysis is 1h frame on the chart, however, I used too the 6H, 8H and daily frames to see the bigger image which all support still my decision. ** As you see the purple trend line which acts as a strong support to the price to push up from. ** The red triangle is very important here too, as the break through (not by a wick but by a closed closed body) in either way will determine the direction if it will be bullish or bearish however, I see the pure wish to break to the upside of the triangle towards 44460-44470 ** I hit already on my previous idea for Dax 4 TPs in a row and I am looking to the 5th one here so I created a separate idea for to make it clear. ** The whalers understand well that small retail investors are looking to short so they enjoy hitting their stop losses and in mean time they did not reach to their target yet as I said that early enough to catch the bullish wave profit and I see still a room to go further up. My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by moustafa_marei
#202449 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax xetra: 20425 is the ath. It’s a parabolic blow-off top at the end of the bull trend. We will likely see a deeper pullback next week. My first targets below are 20000 and then the breakout retest around 19700. We can obviously print another higher high but the upside will probably be very limited next week. I have drawn 3 upper bull trend lines that fit the current structure and no matter how sloppy I draw them, I can’t see this going much further than 20500. Always keep in mind that this is not an exact science, especially when you try to determine tops. We could easily go 21000. At this point it’s just very unlikely compared to a pullback, given the structure and Opex next week. Quote from last week: comment: Late bull breakout during the week like the week before that. Another clear buying signal going into next week. There is not much to add from my tl;dr. Both of my upper bull trend lines run through 20k and I have multiple measured move targets there. More than enough reasons to be bullish and look for longs. Bears can do almost nothing to change my mind, unless we see on giant bear bar closing below 19100 on Monday. comment: 20500-20600 is my max on this. You will not get any bullish outlooks from me anymore. I could be wrong on this for weeks and would not care. The chart shows my preferred path and the only I will be willing to trade. Market will most likely test the daily 20ema this year again. Currently at exactly the breakout point around 19660. There we will see a decisions if bulls can do another retest of the highs into year end or if profit taking and sideways movement will close this year. current market cycle: Bull trend - parabolic rally which is the very end. key levels: 19000 - 20600 bull case: Bulls can keep this going as long as not many start to take profits and bears not doing anything. If the momentum stays on, there is no reason why this could not go up to 20600 or higher. Is this likely after 800 points last week? The first pullback after such a leg up is probably getting bought and a good buying opportunity for many bulls. Until we begin to see a bigger pullback, bulls have all the arguments on their side, no matter how overbought it is. Invalidation is below 19100. bear case: Just the fact that this is overbought beyond anything ever before, does not help any trader. My preferred path forward is a deeper pullback to at least 19700 but as of now, we have not seen a single daily bear bar for 7 trading days. Anything in this section is dependent on bears actually building bigger selling pressure and breaking below prior lows. We are trading at the top of multiple multi-year or monthly patterns and that should be enough to at least stall the market for now. Best case for the bears would be a quick move down to 20000 on Monday, to open up the possibility of a decent two-legged move down to 19700 or more. At 20k, I expect buyers to step in hard and produce another bounce first. Invalidation is above 20600. outlook last week: short term: Max bullish for 20k. Can we chop some before we get there? Sure but I don’t think bears can get this below 19300 again before we hit 20k. → Last Sunday we traded 19626 and now we are at 20384. 700+ points on the week. short term: No more bullish outlooks. I want to see big juicy red bars and people posting on x about “buying opportunity of a lifetime” while they double down all the way back to 19000. Neutral until bears come around. No interest in buying anything above 20100 as of now. 20k might be a decent long scalp for a quick bounce. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-19: 20000 is the goal for 2024, if bulls do not get it until year end, it will probably not happen for the next 5-10 years. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your trading at all for now. The current push is most likely the last of it. Bears will come back soon. current swing trade: None chart update: Converged all major upper trend lines around 20400-20600 and added a potential two-legged correction for next week.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
DAX // The last one of 2024Dear Traders, This is the last one this year. I want to have a break and detach from the charts for some time now. This is the time of love, family&friends. But this chart actually shows the market phases I define quite well!😀 Thanks for you support in the past couple of weeks, since I became actve here! @TradingView asks us wishes recently... My wish for you is: patience discipline balance focus & confidence And vast amount of pips in the piggy bank!💰 Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays!🎄 Peter from The Market Flow 🏄🏼‍♂️ P.S. you may want to check out some of my ideas to get familiar with the terminology I use. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by TheMarketFlow
DAX // correction of the correction - neutralThe market turned south on H4 from the all-time highs and the H1 target fibo 138.2. As long as this short H4 countertrend is valid (the market is below the H4 impulse base), I'm waiting for a bearish H1 countertrend break to target again the correction fibo 23.6 The daily impulse base is in the way, so the trade has to be managed there - it may be a target or a scale-in opportunity. Of course, I'l try to publish how I pull my trigger line as the H1 countertrend develops. For me, long only above the highest clear breakdown (green). ——— Trading is just waiting "sometimes", but opportunities are endless, so why not wait for the right moment!🏄🏼‍♂️ We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by TheMarketFlow
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. *KEY Trend is set by the slope of the VWAP over 50 periods Phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level (above or below) Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively. Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold). Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Germany 40 maintains its bullish momentum in an impulsive phase, currently trading at 20,324, slightly down from the highs but significantly above the VWAP (20) of 19,936. Support is positioned at 19,046, with resistance nearby at 20,825. The RSI at 66 indicates strong momentum, suggesting the uptrend could continue. UK 100 index remains neutral within a consolidation phase, trading at 8,272, slightly below the VWAP (20) of 8,303. Support is at 8,249, and resistance is at 8,357. With an RSI of 50, the momentum is balanced, reflecting a lack of directional bias. Wall Street has entered a correction phase within its bullish trend, trading at 43,850, below the VWAP (20) of 44,572. Support is at 43,800, with resistance ahead at 45,394. The RSI at 43 shows weakening momentum, suggesting caution as the uptrend may reverse in the short term. Brent Crude continues in a neutral consolidation phase, which now looks like a clear triangle pattern, currently priced at 7,376, slightly above the VWAP (20) of 7,270. Support is positioned at 7,063, while resistance is at 7,478. The RSI at 54 indicates moderate momentum, consistent with range-bound trading. Gold remains neutral in a consolidation phase with little change over the past week, trading at 2,658, near the VWAP (20) of 2,650. Support is set at 2,598, with resistance at 2,713. The RSI at 50 reflects balanced momentum, signaling indecisiveness in the market. EUR/USD continues in a bearish correction phase, trading at 1.0502, slightly below the VWAP (20) of 1.0520. Support is at 1.0444, and resistance is at 1.0601. The RSI at 42 indicates bearish momentum, hinting at continued downside pressure. GBP/USD is in a bearish correction phase, trading at 1.2653, back below the VWAP (20) of 1.2670 but inside horizontal VWAP bands. Support is at 1.2543, and resistance is at 1.2817. The RSI at 43 suggests mild bearish momentum, with potential for further downside. USD/JPY is bullish in a correction phase, trading at 153.83, now back above the VWAP (20) of 151.61 in what could be a sign the uptrend is resuming. Support is at 148.22, and resistance is at 154.99. The RSI at 60 reflects strong upward momentum, suggesting further gains are likely.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex