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DAX pullback from ATH, support at 22563Key Trading Level is at 22563 Support: 270 followed by 22140 and 21923 Resistance: 23200 followed by 23300 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
DAX pullback US Automobile tariffs “in the neighbourhood of 25%”Yesterday, Wednesday 19th Feb, Germany’s DAX equity index experienced the biggest decline of the major European indices, with automakers like Volkswagen (-2.78%) and BMW (-2.28%) underperforming. Key Trading Level is at 21923 Support: 21770 followed by 21350 and 21060 Resistance: 22850 followed by 23000 and 23300 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
GER40 "Germany 40" Indices Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GER40 "Germany 40" Indices market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 3H timeframe, SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 22700.0 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: GER40 "Germany 40" Indices market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 🟡Macro Economics The global economic slowdown is expected to continue in 2025, with a forecast of 3.0% global GDP growth rate. This slowdown may impact the German economy, leading to a potential decrease in demand for the Euro. 🟣COT Report The latest COT report shows that non-commercials (speculators) are net long 10,000 contracts, indicating a bullish sentiment. 🟠Sentimental Market Retail traders have a bullish sentiment towards GER40, with 60% being long. Institutional investors have a bearish sentiment towards GER40, with 55% being short. 🔵Positioning Institutional traders are holding short positions in GER40, indicating a bearish sentiment. Retail traders are holding long positions in GER40, indicating a bullish sentiment. 🟢Overall Outlook GER40 is expected to trend bullish in the short term, driven by the bullish sentiment among retail traders and the European Central Bank's accommodative monetary policy stance. However, the pair may experience a short-term correction due to the bearish sentiment among institutional traders. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by Thief_Trader
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Analysis Germany 40 Germany 40 maintains its bullish momentum, currently trading at 22,687, well above its VWAP (20) of 21,802. The trend remains positive, with support at 20,930 and resistance at 22,700. An RSI reading of 80 signals strong momentum, though overbought conditions suggest a potential short-term pullback or consolidation before the next move. UK 100 The UK 100 continues its bullish surge, currently positioned at 8,753, still holding above its VWAP (20) of 8,652. Immediate support is noted at 8,450, while resistance stands at 8,854. With an RSI of 62, momentum remains positive, though down from overbought levels following the 2-day pullback from record highs. Wall Street Wall Street remains in a corrective phase within its broader bullish trend, trading at 44,550, right at its VWAP (20) level of 44,550 and below record highs. Key support is identified at 44,097, while resistance is set at 44,988. RSI at 55 suggests moderate momentum, with the market consolidating before a new directional move. Brent Crude Brent Crude remains in a neutral consolidation phase, currently trading at 7474, slightly below its VWAP (20) of 7555. Support is forming at 7371, while resistance is overhead at 7739. The RSI at 44 indicates a lack of clear momentum, with potential for either a breakout or continued range-bound movement. Gold Gold remains in a strong impulsive bullish phase, currently priced at 2,898, comfortably above its VWAP (20) of 2,838. Support is established at 2,722, while resistance stands at 2,955. The RSI at 65 signals sustained bullish momentum, though a temporary pullback cannot be ruled out following such a long time in overbought conditions. EUR/USD EUR/USD remains in a neutral consolidation, trading at 1.0486, above its VWAP (20) of 1.0391. The pair is range-bound, with support at 1.0253 and resistance at 1.0529. RSI at 60 suggests fresh bullish momentum since last week, but a confirmed breakout over 1.05 is needed for a clearer trend. GBP/USD GBP/USD also remains in a neutral phase, trading at 1.2595, above its VWAP (20) of 1.2410. Key support is found at 1.2293, while resistance stands right at current levels near 1.2600. RSI at 62 is the most bullish momentum going back over 3 months, but the pair remains just about within a consolidative range while under 1.26. USD/JPY USD/JPY is in a bearish impulsive phase, currently at 151.63, below its VWAP (20) of 153.60. Support is firm at 150.39, while resistance extends to 156.81. The RSI at 37 indicates weak momentum, confirming the bearish sentiment, though the pair is still above the oversold territory reached earlier in the month.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
GER40 Medium Term Setups Medium-Term (Daily) GER40 – Analysis & Signals --- Market & Institutional Context Macro: Easing inflation and accommodative liquidity conditions continue to support equity markets. Europe’s slower growth vs. the U.S. means the GER40 can be more sensitive to negative local data. Institutional & Derivatives: Overall supportive flow, but hedging remains elevated. This environment can still present favorable swing opportunities, provided key supports hold. --- Primary (Bullish) Swing Setup Technical Rationale The daily chart shows higher highs and higher lows, sustained above major moving averages. Institutional sentiment, paired with macro tailwinds, suggests buying dips into established support levels or breakouts above recent swing highs. Entry Points Breakout Entry: A daily close above ~22,800 confirms continued bullish momentum. Pullback Entry: Bullish reversal signals off 21,700–21,900—a known demand zone/order block. Stop-Loss Beneath 21,700 to allow room below key daily support and avoid minor noise/whipsaws. Targets First Target (TP1): 23,200–23,300 (short-term extension) Second Target (TP2): 23,850, if bullish momentum persists Risk Management Risk 1–2% of account capital. Consider partial profit at TP1, move stops to breakeven on remaining position. --- Alternate (Bearish) Swing Setup Technical Rationale Engages if the GER40 breaks its bullish structure on the daily timeframe. Negative economic data or unexpected shifts in sentiment can accelerate selling if key supports give way. Entry Trigger A decisive daily close under ~21,700, followed by a failed retest of that zone (now acting as resistance). Stop-Loss Above 22,000, invalidating the short if price re-enters the previous range. Targets First Target (TP1): Around 21,000 Second Target (TP2): ~20,500 if downside momentum accelerates Risk Management 1–2% risk allocation. Scale out partial positions at TP1, tighten stops if the market recovers above broken support. --- Additional Risk Notes Overnight Events: Swing trades often span multiple days/weeks. Stay mindful of economic data releases, central bank decisions, and geopolitical news—any of which could create gaps. Institutional Hedging: Elevated put-buying may exacerbate downside once pivotal levels break. Trail & Scale: When price moves favorably, partial profit-taking and trailing stops can lock in gains while letting profits run. --- Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Make sure to conduct your own due diligence and manage risk appropriately. More detailed insights, including live trade management and ongoing macro commentary, are available in our premium channels.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by EliteMarketAnalysis
GER40 MACRO SET UPS MACRO-TRADING (WEEKLY) GER40 SETUP Overall Context Long-Term Trend & Technicals: The weekly trend remains positive, with price generally trading above major moving averages (e.g., 50-, 100-, 200-week). Technical indicators such as trend strength and momentum suggest sustained bullishness, though extended rallies can encounter profit-taking. Institutional & Macro Backdrop: Institutional leverage is elevated, reflecting strong engagement in risk assets. A late-cycle expansion globally, paired with moderating inflation, has thus far supported equities. Europe’s slower growth compared to the U.S. is a point of caution, but overall liquidity remains ample. Policy Environment: Major central banks have signaled a tilt toward easing, which may keep downward pressure on short-term rates. This backdrop, combined with a relatively stable yield environment, can bolster equity valuations if economic data remains supportive. A. PRIMARY (BIAS-ALIGNED) SETUP Rationale Builds on the established weekly uptrend, indicating that longer-term market participants view pullbacks as potential buying opportunities. Macro factors—including declining inflation and generally accommodative monetary policies—sustain the underlying bullish case. Execution Parameters Entry Triggers: A weekly close above a prior swing high, typically around 22,800–23,000, confirming continued bullish momentum. Alternatively, a buy-on-dip approach if price retraces to a major weekly support zone (e.g., 19,700–20,000) and subsequently forms a bullish reversal pattern. Stop-Loss Placement: Beneath ~19,500 on a weekly closing basis, providing a buffer under a key weekly order block or major moving averages. This helps avoid getting whipsawed by normal market fluctuations. Take-Profit Levels: First Target: Around 23,850, reflecting a higher extension based on weekly chart projections. Second Target (Optional): Approximately 25,000, should bullish momentum continue and the market enter a more extended rally phase. Risk Management: Adopt smaller position sizes befitting multi-week holds, limiting exposure to 1–2% of total capital. Consider adding to positions (pyramiding) if price breaks into new highs and retests them successfully as support. Supporting Factors Institutional Trend Following: Large funds typically hold positions for weeks to months, providing steadier upward pressure if the macro environment remains favorable. Policy & Liquidity Tailwinds: Continued central bank easing and ample liquidity help sustain the higher timeframe uptrend, making deep corrections less likely unless a major shift in sentiment occurs. B. ALTERNATE (CONTRARY) SETUP Rationale Activated if the weekly structure convincingly breaks down—such as a decisive weekly close below 19,700, suggesting a reversal in long-term trend dynamics or a deeper correction. Could be driven by negative macro catalysts: a sudden rise in inflation, aggressive policy changes, or a significant geopolitical escalation. Execution Parameters Entry Trigger: A weekly candle closes well below ~19,700, then fails to regain that level on a retest (now acting as resistance). Stop-Loss Placement: Above ~20,000, invalidating the short if price recovers into the prior trading range. Take-Profit Levels: First Target: Around 18,000, tied to a historically significant weekly support area. Second Target (Optional): Near 17,000, if downside momentum strengthens and the market transitions into a sustained bearish phase. Risk Management: Keep total risk around 1–2% on this position. Remain prepared to exit swiftly if a false breakdown occurs and the market reclaims the broken support. Supporting Factors Macro Disruptions: A destabilizing shift—like a policy surprise, economic recession signals, or a global risk-off event—can rapidly deflate bullish sentiment. Institutional Unwinding: High leverage can exacerbate selling if funds de-risk en masse following a weekly close below major supports. KEY RISK MANAGEMENT NOTES Longer Holding Periods: Macro trades often span multiple weeks or months; ensure margin use and stops accommodate potentially large swings. Major Catalysts: Central bank statements, systemic geopolitical events, and global economic indicators can create sizable weekly gaps, requiring wider protective stops. Scaling & Exit Strategy: Consider partial profit-taking at the first target to lock in gains. For the remainder, a trailing stop can help capture further upside while limiting downside risk. CONCLUSION The macro (weekly-focused) GER40 setup outlines a primary bullish scenario aligned with a long-standing uptrend, as well as a clearly defined alternate plan should key support levels give way. By combining strategic entries near crucial technical zones with thorough risk management, macro traders can position themselves to capture major market trends while staying alert to potential regime shifts that could trigger a sustained decline.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by EliteMarketAnalysis
2
DAX overbought rally to new ATH, The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The Dax (DE40) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer term prevailing uptrend. The key trading level is at 21703, which is 07th Feb swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21703 level could target the upside resistance at 22000 followed by 22096 and 22200 over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 21703 support and a daily close below that level could trigger a further retracement and a retest of 21600 support level followed by 21400 and 21240. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
DAX 40 Crosses the 22,000 Mark for the First TimeThe German index increased just over 3% in the past five sessions, driven by the strong performance of companies such as SAP, Siemens, and Deutsche Bank , which have posted gains exceeding 3% during this period. Notably, these companies represent more than 20% of the weight in DAX 40, making their positive performance a key factor in sustaining the bullish pressure that has now pushed the index to new all-time highs. Strong Uptrend The DAX 40 is currently in a strong uptrend, which has accelerated since November 2024. The price has now reached the 22,000-point zone , a potentially significant resistance level. However, for the buying momentum to remain intact in the short term, it will be crucial for bullish positions to hold above this level. Potential Correction At the moment, the RSI line continues to oscillate above the 70 level , signaling overbought conditions. Additionally, while the DAX price has been making higher highs, the RSI has been making lower highs, forming a bearish divergence. These two signals suggest that the recent buying activity may have created an imbalance in the market, which could open the door to short-term downward corrections. Key Levels to Watch: 22,000 points – A new critical resistance zone, aligning with the latest all-time high reached by the DAX 40. If buying activity remains strong above this level, it could help sustain the bullish bias and pave the way for further upward movement in the coming sessions. 21,300 points – A nearby support level, corresponding to a neutral zone from previous sessions, and also aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This area could serve as a potential correction zone, and if price action falls below this barrier, it may lead to a sideways phase in the medium term. 20,300 points – A distant support level, aligning with the 50- and 100-period moving averages. If the price approaches this level, it could revive bearish sentiment and put the current uptrend at risk. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:GER40
by FOREXcom
3
#202507 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Last week my bearish take was wrong again and market moved closer to 23000 than below 22000. Until bears start closing gaps below and breaking bull trend lines, this is still max bullish, no matter the valuations. Still hard to buy the highs, given that we are trading either above or at the high of all of the ones you can draw. We are also far away from the daily 20ema and markets always come back to them. For now it’s useless to look for shorts because bears are not doing anything to have a decent trade setup for shorts. Bulls buy every dip and make money, so join them until it stops working. Trade small. current market cycle: Bull trend (very climactic move last weeks, market needs to take a breather but it doesn’t) key levels: 21800 - 23000 bull case: Not much difference to last week, other that we are 700 points higher. Bulls buy it all because it continues to be profitable. Clear bull trend line around 21800 and if we get there, we can expect heavy buying to happen but I highly doubt we get there in the first place. Upper target is 23000. I expect a sideways correction much more than one to the downside. Longs closer to 22000 are better than ones closer to 22600, obviously. Invalidation is below 21800. bear case: A decent pull-back is overdue but that does not make it happen tomorrow. Bears need to start by closing the gap down to 22150 and testing the bull trend line. For now we can’t expect them to get much more than that. It’s likely that we only see the beginning of more profit taking, once we stop making daily new ath and market stops finding buyers buying new highs. Hasn’t happened yet, so don’t spend too much time looking to short this. Daily close below 22000 would be a huge surprise to me and then we can talk lower targets. Invalidation is above 23000. short term: Neutral until we have a daily close below 22000. Can only look for longs until we clearly stop making daily new ath and see bigger selling pressure. medium-long term from 2024-02-16: As much as I would love to see this 30% lower, it’s not happening anytime soon. Market will probably has to move sideways for some weeks before this could go down. For now it’s still only up. 23000 likely next. current swing trade: Burned the last shorts. Only long scalps for me as of now. chart update: Just highlighted current bull trend lines.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
German Dax Long H4 PlayTrade Setup Overview Entry Price: 21,536.37 Target Price: 22,264.79 Stop Loss: 21,293.57 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 Trade Type: Buy Limit Order Technical Indicators Analysis Moving Averages Price action shows strong bullish momentum with price maintaining position above the 200 EMA Notable clean rejection of the 50 EMA, indicating potential continuation of upward movement The spacing between moving averages suggests a healthy trend structure MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) MACD showing bullish reversal signals following recent retracement Potential for positive momentum continuation as MACD turns upward Signal line crossover could provide additional confirmation of bullish momentum Market Structure Overall bullish market structure remains intact Recent retracement provides opportunity for value entry Higher lows and higher highs pattern supporting bullish bias Risk Management Total Risk: 242.8 points (Entry - Stop Loss) Potential Reward: 728.42 points (Target - Entry) Conservative position sizing recommended due to market volatility Consider trailing stop loss after price moves 1:1 in favor Key Levels to Watch Immediate Resistance: 22,000 (psychological level) Secondary Resistance: 22,264.79 (target price) Primary Support: 21,536.37 (entry price) Critical Support: 21,293.57 (stop loss) Trade Management Strategy Enter at specified limit price of 21,536.37 Initial stop loss placement at 21,293.57 Consider scaling out positions: First take-profit at 1:1 risk-reward Move stop loss to break-even after first target hit Let remaining position run to final target of 22,264.79 Additional Considerations Monitor overall market sentiment and correlating indices Watch for potential catalysts that could affect German/European markets Keep track of volatility indicators for potential position size adjustments Consider reducing position size if VIX shows significant increase Trade Visualization Price currently showing momentum above key moving averages with room to run toward target. The recent retracement provides a value entry point with clear invalidation level at stop loss. Remember to always follow your trading plan and maintain strict risk management protocols.
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by FXCapitalClub
15
Markets Relieved After Tariff DelayThe week’s closing session unfolded under the expectation of potential “reciprocal tariffs” from the United States, which ultimately will not be implemented immediately. This decision eased initial market jitters and led to a weaker dollar, as fears of an escalating trade war subsided—for now. The U.S. outlook was also shaped by weaker-than-expected consumption data: January retail sales fell 0.9%, significantly below estimates, suggesting a weaker household spending impulse. At the same time, industrial production exceeded expectations with a 0.5% increase, but manufacturing within that indicator declined by 0.1%. These mixed data, coupled with the tariff delay, put downward pressure on the dollar, which lost much of the ground it had gained in previous weeks. The effects of this softening U.S. currency were felt across several emerging markets. The Mexican peso posted notable gains, while the Chilean peso advanced up to 0.7% at its peak. In the stock market, signals regarding U.S. consumption and caution over potential tariffs translated into volatile trading on Wall Street, where the S&P 500 remained flat after mixed sector performances. Energy and financials held relatively firm, while consumer staples declined amid a more cautious investor outlook. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 logged another week of gains, driven by strong tech earnings. Europe maintained its recent positive trend, though some of its major indices—such as the DAX and Euro Stoxx 50—showed overbought signals (RSI above 70). In the most recent session, moderate profit-taking was observed in the DAX, while the French CAC 40 managed to hold its gains, supported by strong luxury sector earnings and other better-than-expected corporate results. Investors also remained in wait-and-see mode regarding potential U.S. trade measures impacting the region and the European Central Bank's monetary policy outlook. In Asia, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index stood out with a more than 2% daily gain and over 6% for the week. Investors reacted optimistically to the prospect of the People’s Bank of China implementing new monetary stimulus to reinforce economic recovery. Additionally, strong demand for tech and consumer stocks helped fuel the rally. The commodities market showed divergent movements. On one hand, oil prices remained in a tight range, with WTI hovering around $71 after a brief rally that was capped by the prospect of a diplomatic agreement that could ease energy sector sanctions. In contrast, natural gas surged nearly 9% over the week, reflecting seasonal volatility and some unexpected demand factors. In metals, gold retreated from record highs but remained above $2,900 per ounce. Looking ahead, market attention will be focused on potential concrete announcements regarding the White House’s reciprocal tariffs. This will help shape the market outlook, which for now appears cautiously optimistic following developments in trade tensions but remains closely monitoring key macroeconomic indicators and potential shifts in U.S. trade policy. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by Pepperstone
DAX index Wave Analysis – 12 February 2025 - DAX index broke resistance level 22000.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 22500.00 DAX index is under the bullish pressure afar the earlier breakout of the daily up channel from August and the resistance level 22000.00 The breakout of the resistance level 22000.00 greatly accelerated the active impulse wave 3, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from November. Given the clear daily uptrend and the accelerating upward channel inside which the price is moving now, DAX index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 22500.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).
XETR:DAXLong
by FxProGlobal